Welcome in to the newest edition of the Justin Time Sports Podcast.
I am your owner and host, Justin Jackson.
And in this week's episode, we bring you the season six debut of the Justin Time Sports
Podcast, wherever you get your podcasts.
In this week's episode, we'll be talking about the NFL's wild card weekend.
We'll also talk about the awards race for the regular season awards.
We'll have our NFL betting segment, Jax Pack, as we wrap up the regular season and move
into the playoffs.
We will have our college football playoff segment, and we will have our best for last.
Now, as always, don't forget to like, rate, and subscribe to the Justin Time Sports Podcast
wherever you get your podcasts.
And don't forget to follow the social media handle at JTimeSports, I repeat, at JTimeSports,
for all of your breaking news, coverage, and updates.
And as always, sit back and get ready when I'm talking.
This
If you win a couple games, he might even show you grace
JCS on every platform, we grow in adaptation
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We even tweeting on Twitter, you can meet us in the spaces
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This is just a time sports, come and get your weekly takes
He gonna tell it to you straight
Welcome into the show
Welcome into season 6 of the Justin Tom Sports podcast
The audio show, as you guys know we have the YouTube show as well
Which will be recorded very soon, we got a lot of exciting things coming
In 2025 for the YouTube show, I spoke about it with you guys
On the season 5 finale of the audio show of this show
About the exciting things we're gonna have including guest appearances
We're gonna have more creative stuff happening, some different segments
All kind of stuff, a lot of that stuff will get kicked off after football season
Of course we are a very football dominated show, during football season
Basketball is roaring, shout out my guys Zion Williamson being back last night
For my Pelicans and then my guy LeBron with one of the dunks of the year
He's definitely gonna be a dunk of the year candidate
Posterizing Derrick Lively who was not born when LeBron James entered the NBA
So yeah, mind blown there
But absolutely a lot of fun stuff playing for you guys in season 6
I'm so happy you guys have made this show a part of your weekly sports watching repertoire
And my phone is blowing up which means something is happening
So let me try and figure out what's going on there
Whole lot of nothing, typical guy, just his group message
There's some stuff that could be happening in far as the Lakers-Hornets game for tonight
I'm recording this Wednesday evening, you guys hear this Thursday morning
There's wildfires going on in the LA area
And it's just the NBA saying we're in communication with both teams about postponements or delays
Or whatever could be going on due to those wildfires, pretty crazy situation in LA right now
But the NBA is in constant communication, my apologies I like the audio sound weird, I muted myself
So I had to do a little quick editing, new microphone still learning it out
Had to do some quick editing to get that situated and straight
But again, pretty wild situation happening in LA with those wildfires
But anyway, that is about all the basketball you can expect from this show
Nothing personal, I enjoy basketball, I actually love the game of basketball
I'm a huge Pelicans fan, I love LeBron and his game, I'm a huge basketball fan
That's all the basketball you're going to get from today's show
So if you're looking for basketball, thanks for tuning in
But let's get into business
So the NFL Wild Card weekend is here, we have made it, football fans, we have made it all the way through
We have made it to Wild Card weekend and the final bracket is out
So in the AFC, you start with the Chiefs at the 1C, they're off
They took week 18 off as well, interesting strategy
I believe I probably would have played my guys if I was in that situation
I probably would have played my guys at least a quarter
Because I knew for a fact I had the buy
Or a drive maybe, starters player drive on offense, starters player drive on defense
Now that runs the risk of two things
Number one, you end up having to probably deactivate somebody or cut somebody
To make sure a third quarterback is available
Because technically my homes couldn't all of a sudden be your emergency quarterback
You know what I'm saying? Number one
Number two, that also brings up the issue of now you don't deactivate Chris Jones, that's our awesome spot
You don't deactivate Isaiah Pacheco, that's our awesome spot
You don't deactivate Travis Kelsey, that's our awesome spot
So that would be the issue there if you were to do the strategy of
Oh we're going to have our seven, eight main guys play a drive and then pull them
You lose seven, eight guys total, that's special teamers, that's rotational players
You know those guys you just don't have anymore because those guys can't all of a sudden be deactivated
And then activate new guys
That'd be a cool system, but unfortunately that's not how it works
So the Chiefs get the 1C, they won't play for 26 days between games
Almost a month of football without football
Without live snaps anyway, that's going to be a hard ass, but we're going to see how that goes
The Buffalo Bills come in as a seven, eight, sorry eight and a half point favorite
At the time of this recording against the Denver Broncos
Advantage, we're going to pick the games against the spread in Jack's Pack
We're going to pick every playoff game, however I'm not going to just say
I'm not going to pick because it's in Jack's Pack, that's dumb
This game has a very good chance of being a barn burner
For the Bills
Now for the Broncos, I don't see the Broncos being able to compete very much in this game
This was a game that I was hoping that the Broncos lost to the Chiefs
Because the Dolphins lost to the Jess, Jess did their part, the Bengals did their part
The problem is the Chiefs played no one
And became the second team all season to get shut out
Behind the Saints who had no one due to injury
And the Chiefs who had no one due to choice
And so the Broncos getting to play off of Bo Nicks and Sean Payton getting to play off of that first year together
I would have much preferred this game to be Joe Burrow going into Orchard Park
This might be a three point game and we see Burrow, Chase, Brown, all the crew one more game
Higgins one more time
Instead we may never see that trio again
We may never see Higgins, Burrow, and Chase take the field ever again as a trio
There was a lot of mismanagement in Cincinnati from the top on down
There were contractual numbers you could have got Chase and Higgins for last year
You could have got Chase for $25 million last year
You could have got Higgins probably for $21 million last year
And you thought both numbers, especially Higgins numbers was high
Now you're looking at Chase maybe at $35 million, Higgins maybe at $31 or $30 million
And it's like, yeah, you could have saved yourself $20 million a year on them
And instead you're going to cost yourself that for basically trying to out think the room
So that's what's going on in Cincinnati, but Bo Nicks and the crew gets in
Now Denver is in a position with Bo Nicks, then he's on a rookie contract
I speak about the same thing with Jayden Daniels with the Commanders
You're in the playoffs as a rookie
So that means you are good-ish at least and the town around you is at least solid because you're in the playoffs
So now this is an opportunity, you still got a young passer-tane, you still got a couple of young pieces
This is an opportunity where if you're the Denver Broncos, you go balls to the wall for the next three years
And you just go for it
You sign top free agents, you should look at T. Higgins
You sign top free agents, you sign defense, you go balls to the wall to try and win it
A la Seattle Seahawks' Arosa Wilson
Because you have a quarterback who's obviously a playoff-level caliber quarterback making peanuts of his value
If Bo Nicks is on the open market, he'd probably end up making, he's probably in that mid-level QB range
Not quite Baker's 33 a year, but I can see him at 22, 23
So by the fact you're getting him for 10, that's $13 million available
And so that is going to be huge for the Denver Broncos
Flip over to the Buffalo Bills, you have one mission and that's to go to Arrowhead Stadium
If you're the Bills, well, your mission if you're the Bills, I'm sorry, is to get to the Superdome in New Orleans
But your main thing is through the AFC is to get to Arrowhead
That, I mean, that's, that you should have a singular focus as the Buffalo Bills
And your only focus should be we're going to get to Arrowhead Stadium
That's all you should care about
That's all anybody inside the building should care about is getting to Arrowhead
Point blank period, we're going to get to Arrowhead
Somehow, someway, we're going to be at Arrowhead and the first step is beating the Broncos
Josh Allen, to me, well, we're going to talk about that in a few minutes, but Josh Allen's in the MVP race, right?
He's top two now, I'll get into more detail in a few minutes
He's going to be top two in the MVP race, no doubt about it
So I think that this is a game where you're going to get to that level that I think Lamar's at right now
In which case Lamar has these regular seasons, he has all this stuff you've never heard before
He's the first quarterback to do whatever since the history, since Moses wrote tablets
It's all this amazing stuff and then you get to the playoffs and it's a dud
I remember the playoff game where he was booed off the field
Now, it was his rookie year or whatever where the Chargers played seven DBs and just ended the Raven season
He was unceremoniously booed
I remember the playoff game where he played Derrick Henry in the Titans and Derrick Henry had more passing touchdowns than he did
So when you get to that point, where I think Josh Allen's right up against it
You're going to be compared to who you are as opposed to what you can do
So we've seen what you can do, now we're going to compare you to that standard and not anybody else's standard
So that's a different place to be in, that's an interesting place to be in for most guys
But that's the place I think, especially if he loses this game, you're going to hear a lot from the Josh Allen crusade
Speaking of Lamar Jackson, his Ravens enter as a 10 point favorite against division rival Steelers
Like I said, we'll get into the betting line of it in a few minutes
However, we were just speaking about Lamar's legacy
He has a legacy of great regular seasons, the first quarterback to do something ever
The first quarterback to do something since Michael Vick, the first to do something since Sammy Ball
The first quarterback to do it since again Moses wrote on the stone tablets
And you get to the playoffs and he's, eh, and not just for his standards, he's, eh, everybody
Like I said, I was just going to go through the games, the boot off the field against the Chargers
And most people dismiss his rookie year, that's fine
The playoff game where Derrick Henry had more passing touchdowns than he did
He's had playoff games where many people in the media, myself included, wondered if snapping him in the ball and running would just be better
He can't have that
He gets the Pittsburgh Steelers, your bloody division rival
This is not like Baltimore and Cleveland have their own sordid history
Especially with the fact that the Cleveland Browns used to be the Baltimore Ravens
The Baltimore Ravens used to be the Cleveland Browns
You know, they got in the famous Mayflower truck video in the middle of the night
The Ravens with the, the Browns that went to Baltimore
And became the Baltimore Ravens
And then the Browns restarted
But the history of the Browns, technically should be with the Ravens
These Browns should be the newest franchise
But when they brought the team back, they brought it back to the Browns
They got all their history back, so on and so forth
So the Ravens became one of the newer franchises
But it really should be the Broncos, the Browns, this version of the Browns
But anyway, um, despite the Ravens and the Browns sordid history, the Ravens and the Bengals
They only have a lot of history there, to be honest with you
Um, the Ravens and the Steelers are the AFC North rival
Um, they are just the most physical, the most decorated, the most put together
They embody the AFC North
More than anybody else could possibly embody the AFC North between those two
So because of which, I don't see this game being a big blowout
Because I don't believe the Pittsburgh Steelers' pride will allow them to do it
Um, Mike Tomlin has too much pride, he has too much, his team has too much pride
They're honestly, they're just too good
Now they're having some issues with their offense
They are definitely having some issues offensively
I'm not sure what that's about, but they age like they're now on the same page
George Pickens seems to be imploding
They age like they're now on the same page offensively
So it looks like they're having some trouble there
But the Baltimore Ravens and the Spitsberr Steelers know each other
It's like in the Bayou Classic
Whenever Southern can be 8 and 2, Gravelin can be 2 and 8
You toss the game out because it's like, nope, nope, it's these two, who cares?
The Iron Bowl, you know, Bama can be 9, could be 11 and 1
Auburn can be 1 and 11, or 10 and 1 and 1 and 10
And they're going to come together and it's going to be a knockdown, drag out, slugfest for four quarters
Purely because it's the Iron Bowl
And that's the kind of rivalry that the Ravens and the Steelers have
Throw the records out, throw the seating out, throw the point spread out
They're going to go to war
It's going to be like I said, knockdown, drag out, punch in the mouth, punch in the throat
We're going to battle kind of game
And it's going to be very interesting to see who comes out on top
And then the Texans enter as three point dogs at home against the Chargers
The Texans backslid a lot this season
We had CJ Stroud being the MVP talks as a rookie
We had the Texans being one of the new eight teams in the league
Between D'Amico Ryan and CJ Stroud and Derrick Stingley
And then they added Stephon Diggs and they go out and they have Tengdale
And they go out and they add at the running back position
They have to go to the added running back
But they go out and add these pieces
And you just think, man, the Texans are going to take off
They went from 10, 11 wins, they're going to go to 13, 14
Off development and title addition alone
And you don't, you regress
Now Randy has some injuries
Tengdale blows his knee apart
Stephon Diggs gets injured, foul for the year
Like he had some injuries
However, a lot of the expectations and a lot of the pressure put on the Texans organization
Did not come to fruition this season
And then the Chargers, man, what are they trying to do for the Chargers?
They had the worst coach in the NFL, in Brandon Taley
Sad all the time, he had no head coaching experience at any level
I have not had the blessing and the privilege of being a head coach yet
A football
Me and Brandon Taley had the same amount of head coaching experience when he got the NFL head coaching job
None
Under the relevant coach, under the relevant employment section, he had to take nothing
Because he's never been a head coach of anything
Not at the high school level, not at the college level, not at the pro level
He was handed Los Angeles Chargers
So, again, that was a crap show
The hardball comes in, cleans up the books, cleans out the old garbage
And all of a sudden, they are a playoff team
And they weren't in the same division as the Chiefs, probably a Division 1
But that is all I have for the AFC, jumping to the NFC
The NFC has their number one seed, the Detroit Lions, who put on a hell of a game in Week 18 in order to secure said number one seed
So, great job by them, they put on for their city, and they did it in front of the Detroit Faithful
Your two seed, Philadelphia Eagles, coming in as a four point favorite against the Green Bay Packers
Now, this could be from a result of Jalen Hurts not practicing up until today, actually
So, Jalen Hurts was a non-participant
I was even going on the knowledge that Jalen Hurts would probably be out for the season
And so, not out for the season, but out for the game
So, with that being said, they kind of changed the opinion on the game
But, however, he went to practice today and practiced fully
So, that could be a huge thing for the Eagles to get Jalen Hurts back
And if you're the Packers, you kind of feel like you're reeling from injuries
Again, specifically Christian Watson
Again, as Christian Watson tore his ACL in his last game
In a game that wasn't particularly necessary
Now, it was necessary in the sense that they needed a rhythm
It was necessary in the sense that they needed to hold the playoff seed
It was necessary in the sense that you weren't the one seed or a playoff seed that couldn't move
It wasn't like you're the three seed and the four seed's two games behind and there's one game left
And you're like, well, screw it, we're going to rest because we're not going to get the bye anyway
So, this is a way for the team to focus on the next opponent
So, we look at the Green Bay Packers, back to the Packers
They lost Christian Watson to an ACL
It was a game that was borderline meaningless, but I won't fault, obviously, Michael LaFleur for deciding to play his guys
Watson's a fairly injury prone player and he blew his ACL along with some other damage
He had some knee destruction there for him
So, it's going to be very interesting to see how the Packers operate without him
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are going to battle the Washington Commanders in Tampa in Raymond James Stadium
Tampa opening as a slim 3-point favorite
Now, that's intriguing because that saying these teams are evenly matched
You get three points for home field advantage
So, the fact that they were like, if it was a neutral side game, it's a pick-em
That's a credit and a kudos to the Washington Commanders organization
I spoke about the same thing with Denver and Bo Nicks
This is their chance if you're Washington
And they're starting to make some moves
They brought in Austin Eckler, they kept Terry McLaurin
They kind of stripped a little bit of the defense away, which is mostly the depth piece
But the Washington Commanders are on a great spot
They also, like I said about the Broncos and Bo Nicks, don't be stupid
Try to execute the Russell Wilson route
Go get them weapons, which you got scary, Terry
Austin Eckler's pretty solid, but go get them some weapons and go get a hell of a defense
You can pay for weapons, drive the defense
And they're in a position in order to really go try and win a championship in the next couple of years
And then the Rams opened up as the home underdog against the Minnesota Vikings
Those Vikings who were ceremoniously disemboweled on Sunday Night Football against the Detroit Lions
Now look to get their playoff run started against the Los Angeles Rams
I'm sure the Rams are going to execute a lot of what the Lions is to the Vikings
In terms of sending that constant pressure, sending that heat, making Sam Donnell move from the pocket
It's going to be quite the game and quite the weekend all around for the NFL
But up next, I'm sorry, my apologies
So let's go through a quick look of JCS's official award ceremony
If I were to have it, MVP, it's coming out two person thing, Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson
I said it before, Lamar Jackson is going to be held to his own standard
His own standard is better than this, so I've got to go with Josh Allen
The two on the list is the Steelers plus nine and a half at Ravens
What am I going to do there? I'm so sorry, I skipped all the way down to Jax Pack
My apologies, my nose got jumbled there
Office of the Year race between Saecon Barkley, Jamar Chase and Derrick Henry
To me, the Office of the Year feels like a consolation prize or the non-QB Heisman
I always feel like the Heisman is the best QB and that the Office of the Year goes to the best non-QB Heisman
Now what I didn't think about was that Joe Burrow would not be allowed to leave without an award
So you always hand him the award, but it just occurred to me that Joe Burrow is not leaving without an award
He led the league in passing, so he's going to end up with something
Is it coming to the Play of the Year? I don't think so
I think he would have the qualifications to meet that situation
Coach of the Year, to me it came down between Dan Campbell and Kevin O'Connell and Sean McVay
We've got to go Dan Campbell
When the game was on the line, he beat Kevin O'Connell
When the first seed in the division was on the line, he beat Kevin O'Connell
Rookie of the Year has to be without a shadow of a doubt, Washington Command's QB, Jaden Daniels
There's literally no choice
And it's not going to be unanimous
A couple of Denver guys are going to vote for both next
We're going to have one Caleb Williams guy somewhere
We're going to end up with a couple of guys voting for Michael Pennant
It's not going to be unanimous
But it's going to be vast majority is going to vote Jaden Daniels
To me he's the clear and obvious choice here
And comeback player of the year has to be Joe Burrow
He had the hand injury last year
And remember, Sam Donnell isn't eligible because the AP changed the rules about honoring the spirit of the award
And coming back from being bad isn't a Comeback Player of the Year nomination
So it's coming back from a hardship or injury or something like that
Being out of the league in general, some of that nature is what the Comeback Player of the Year is now
But up next, we're going to shift to our NFL betting segment, Jax Pack
Welcome into the show
And welcome back into the show, Ryler
Welcome to the NFL betting segment, Jax Pack
Which is going to be our B block
So kind of an apology for a long A block, my bad
But our B block and we're going to go into our Jax Pack
Which is going to be a review of the regular season
And then coming into the playoffs
So in a regular season we finally got our perfect week
Week 17 with 5-0
I did the show before week 17 finished
With a 4-0 and then the Bengals covered that night
So we ended up being 5-0
So we go into week 18
I'm riding high
I'm loving the process
But what did I end up saying that night?
What I ended up saying when I recorded the show
I was like, hey man, I don't necessarily love it
The reason being is because
You don't know who's going to play when for what motivation
Incentives are being discussed in locker rooms
Plan time, playoff position, who's going to do what when
It's a bad week to bet at a show, we went 1-4
So we came off 5-0 and we went 1-4
However, we fell with a record of 49-38-3
Which hits at 56%
Which is the exact number we tried to hit
Remember we said 56% or higher
You'll be a professional gambler
A professional gambling level
And you'll be able to eat all your juices
If you bet the units all the same
You'll end up being a positive
You'll be able to end up making money off your gambler
And not like making money like
I bet the whole season I made 300 bucks
You'd make a few thousand dollars
We bet every single bet, we bet the same unit
Let's say if you bet $100 every game, we bet
You would have ended up being right and eating the juice
And making a few thousand dollars from this betting
If you did 10, you'd probably make a few hundred
If you did $1, some of you do $1 bets
I don't know, you'd probably make a couple hundred
But if you did $10, $20, $50 bets
You made a few thousand dollars this season
Being at 56%, so kudos to us
Thank you guys for trusting me with the bets
We hit at 56% this year
Last week we finally hit the perfect 500 parlay
I always say that's how I want to do the bets
I want to bet them all individually
And then put one parlay together with all five
If you did that last week, you would have made a lot of money
With every single pick and the parlay
Kudos to us, the process was great
And I'm feeling good about our process
We're going to go right into our jacks pack for the playoffs
So, playoff games, you pick every single one
I'm not about to get picky
And there are six games and I pick five
Or there's four games and I pick three
We're going to pick every single playoff game
And ride out the rest of the season by doing so
These games are not picked in order of how much I like them or love them
They are picked in order of when they literally come on television
So, the Chargers at the Texans
Chargers minus three, take the Chargers here
Road favorite in the playoffs
Not the most advantageous bet
However, however
The Chargers is a better team than the Texans
You don't believe me? Let's go through the list
Better coach
Hardball is better than D'Amico Ryan
Hardball is one rings, Vincenzo Soppo
D'Amico Ryan is nothing either
Better quarterback, Herbert Astral
Give me Herbert
Better number one receiver
Lad McConkey is the best receiver in this game
Better tight end
Tie
Better offensive line
Tie
Better corner
Stingley is the best corner in the game, so I give you Stingley
Best DB in general
Derwin James
Best defensive line
That might be a push
I don't expect there to be a blowout
Of course, the playoffs
I'd rather there to be a blowout
However, I do expect the Chargers to win by about a touchdown 27 to 20
I think Herbert hits a touchdown about five minutes left
Texans don't get it in
And then they bleed the clock out and get out of Houston when they win
So I'm thinking 27 to 20
Chargers get the victory, so Chargers minus three, take the Chargers
Steelers at Ravens, Steelers plus nine and a half, take the Steelers
I'm picking this purely off the, it feels disrespectful
This feels very disrespectful to the Pittsburgh Steelers Association
To Coach Mike Tomlin and to the rivalry known as the Steelers and the Ravens
That means in order for this bet to cash, the Ravens would have to beat the Steelers by ten, by double digits
I don't see that happening, not in the playoffs
If this is week 18, sure
Week 12 and the Steelers are just god awful, maybe
And the two playoff caliber Ravens-Steelers teams are going to meet in the playoffs
And one's going to beat the other, I don't care who it is, one's going to beat the other by double digits?
Nah, I ain't with it
So Steelers plus nine and a half, take the Steelers
Eagles minus, no, Eagles, sorry, Eagles versus the Packers
Eagles minus four, take the Eagles
Now this number could be an absolute steal, especially if Jalen Hurts comes back
I strongly believe this number is due to the fact that Jalen Hurts is highly questionable
Now I was telling people, hell, yesterday, maybe two days ago
That Hurts wasn't going to play
So then he practices, no that was yesterday, so Hurts wasn't going to play
So then he practiced fully today, he attends practice today
The practice Thursday is going to be vital, and then probably Saturday is going to be huge, of course
To see if he's going to clear protocol to play on Sunday
I think with Kenny Pickett, they win this game
I think, I've seen Kenny Pickett's good enough, Davante Smith's amazing
AJ Smith, AJ Brown, AJ Brown, and Saquon Saquon
I think they win the game anyway with Kenny Pickett
I think they win by a touchdown plus if Jalen Hurts plays
And that's what I'm counting on, I'm counting on Jalen Hurts playing
And that the Eagles win it by probably 10 points
Over at the pack, especially at home, I think Saquon's going to be just too much
I think he's going to just overwhelm them
Overwhelm the Packers
Now very curious to see if Hurts is cleared if the tush push is taken out of the playbook
He clears the custom protocol on Saturday
Do you stick his head in the middle on Sunday?
Or do you wait a week?
I mean that could be a very interesting
It could be interesting how they play goal line, fourth and one, third and one
Fourth and two, third and two situations
Because the tush push was guaranteed two to three yards
But it involved him putting his head first into almost every situation
Do you allow trained Saquon how to do it?
You know, he catches it and drops it, I don't know
I don't know, very curious to see how that developed
But I've got the Eagles here, minus four, take the Eagles
Commanders at Bucks, Commanders plus three, take the Commanders here
This is full belief in Jaden Daniels
I told you guys I was going to drive the Jaden Daniels bandwagon until the wheels fall off
We're driving on into the playoffs
And going to continue doing that
Plus three against the Bucks here
I truly think the Commanders are going to win this game
We get Marshawn Lattimore and Mike Evans again
We just get it in different uniforms now
So that's cool
Potentially if Lattimore's hamstring is ready to go
But we know what Jaden Daniels represents
He's not afraid of the big moments, he's played in big games
He played in the SEC, he ain't worried about a stage
When you play in the SEC you're no longer concerned about a stage
And I just think that the Bucks may come into this game a little tight
I think the advantage that the Bucks would have over a regular wild card team
They don't have over the Commanders
I think Jaden Daniels, he may not be the better or pure quarterback right now
But he has the higher upside in this game
As far as he can game break with his legs
I think scary Terry and Mike Evans cancel
There's not a lot of advantages that Tampa would normally have
That they would have in this game
I think Dan Quinn is actually going to be a better coach than Todd Bowles
So I think Cliff Kingsbury could be a better offensive minor than Tampa's offensive coordinator
Because it's like the advantage they would normally have, they don't
So I think the Commanders win this game outright
So Devon Tech Commanders plus three
Bills versus the Broncos, Bills minus eight and a half
Do me a favor and take the Bills, I'm sorry, do yourself a favor
And take the Bills here
They're going to absolutely destroy the Denver Broncos
Like it's going to get bad
Like the Buffalo Bills in Orchard Park are going to absolutely commit destruction against the Denver Broncos
Point blank period
They're going to wreck the Broncos
Eight and a half is disrespectful
The fact that they say the Denver Broncos, Bo Nicks is closer to the Bills
Than Russell Wilson, from Mike Tomlin and the Steelers are to the Ravens
That's blasphemous in my opinion
That's just downright disrespectful
And I think the Ravens are going to, not the Ravens, the Bills are going to absolutely blow the Broncos off the face of planet Earth
And then lastly Vikings at Rams, Vikings plus, I'm sorry, Vikings minus one and a half
Take the Vikings here
This is because the Vikings are going to win the game
And I've said before it's hard to win an NFL game by less than two
It's just difficult
Like mathematically here
I think to me anything in Vegas less than two and a half or less
You can tell that team you think is going to win
Because it's really hard to win a game by less than a field goal
Like 24-22 happened recently
But like it's really hard to win a game by less than a field goal in a game of threes and sevens
It's just difficult to win a game by less than a field goal
And so I think the Vikings here, you only got to give them one and a half
I think they win the game alright
They definitely cover the spread
The Vikings minus one and a half at the Rams
So to run through it again
We have the Chargers minus three at the Texans
The Steelers plus nine and a half at the Ravens
Eagles minus four versus the Packers
Commanders plus three at the Bucs
Bills minus eight and a half versus the Broncos
Vikings minus one and a half at the Rams
But that is all I have in this segment
So we're ready to continue our winning weight into the playoffs
Now we're going to shift to college football playoff
And talk about what's going on there
Welcome back into the show
And now we're going to talk about the college football playoff
We're going to talk about the college football playoff
And the college football playoff
Where we are nearing the round that we used to start in
People in the 80s and 90s remember that they just named one
In the national championship game
They just named the national champion
Florida, sometimes you work out with the number one team
Who plays the number two team in the bowl game
You know what I'm saying
And then whoever wins the national championship
They would name number two the national champion
And the AP would name somebody else
It was weird in this couple years
But I did notice that in some of the bowl games
Back in those times they would try to match up
So if number one was Penn State and number two was Miami
They'd play in the Orange Bowl
Or they'd play in the Sugar Bowl
They would try to match them up to where they played in their bowl game
To almost have a de facto national championship game
Without calling it officially a national championship game
That was in the 80s and 90s
Then the BCS is born in 1999
Where from the rest of 1989 through current day
We have on the field champions
The BCS exists until about 2013, 14
Remember if I'm saying that correctly
And then the BCS dies, maybe 16
Then the BCS dies and gives way to the college football playoff
The four team playoff
And it was every year in the BCS
The third team would feel robbed
It was very rare
I remember the LSU Alabama national championship game in 2011
Where two teams from the same division and the same conference
Played in the championship game in New Orleans
It was the most regional, sectional thing ever
It was raided horribly on the west coast
It was two teams that they didn't have a connection to
It was bad, it raided bad in the northeast
Oh my god, it raided through the roof
Bama went 21-0 off six field goals
Or five field goals
If I touch down on some weirdness like that
They went 21-0
LSU gets dominated
They don't cross the 50 yard line to the fourth quarter
It was bad as an LSU fan, right?
This peak LSU Alabama rivalry, the Knicks saving stuff
It was bad, right? It was rough
But that game was like the poster child for why we needed at least four teams
Most people went right to eight
And then they said, okay, let's settle on four
But that game was the poster child
Because in a four team playoff, three and four
LSU would have played four, Bama would have played three
And if they win and they play, alright, it is what it is
But the fact that Bama rose from like six to two
And didn't play in their conference championship game
Because LSU won their division
Like it was mind blowing, right?
So that was the poster child for the four team playoff basically
The four team playoff happens
Five starts to have a gripe immediately
However, the fifth seed starts to blow a gasket
So most people, rational, said, okay, go to eight
There's never been more than eight teams that you would even consider winning a match championship, right?
If you want, like, it's easy
The four I said purely the top eight maranis
Don't worry about the conference
If you're going to do eight, don't worry about the conference championships
None of that
Know what the top eight is? One through eight, play football
But because of the bowl system, there are six new year's six bowls
This, so you have to have six bowl games with the new year's six before the playoff
In order to not rotate two bowls out a year as far as playoff games
And we got Georgia Clemson in the orange bowl
Where Georgia beats Florida State six, three to three
Because Florida State's entire team gets pissed they weren't in the four team playoff
Because of Jordan Travis injury and opt out
Everybody either opt out or went to the draft
They lost like 30 players or something like that
And Georgia mauls them
Because Georgia was pissed they didn't get in
So Georgia mauls Florida State like six, three to three
Georgia uses that to piss off, we're going to destroy you
Florida State pouted
But it was an orange bowl, New Year's six bowl, it was bad, right?
And so people was like we can't have this anymore
Fair enough
So in order to do that, in order to keep all the bowls happy we expand to 12
This is the first year of the 12 team playoff
So officially we are in the part that would have happened last year
But here's the thing, if it would have happened last year, none of these teams would have been in
Now granted that's due to this qualifying system
Last year's qualifying system
Texas, Ohio State and Notre Dame probably are in
And then Georgia's the fourth team
No, Oregon would have been the fourth team
So who's the lowest ranked?
Probably Notre Dame doesn't get in
Well Notre Dame, yeah Notre Dame probably don't get in
Texas gets in, Oregon's in, Georgia's in, probably Ohio State's in
And Notre Dame is screaming bloody murder
Right?
That's probably how it would have gone last year
But this year we get the 12 team playoff
So we get the teams, I disagree with how the seeding was done
Because honestly on the video game it was never smooth
Like on EAS CODS Sports, Football 25, it was never smooth
It was always a weird seed
It was always like the big 12 champion who was like 7 and 6 or 8 and 4 gets there by
Or they get to host it, it's always like a weird seed, right?
But it's always used as one
This year it was multiple weird seeding
You had Clemson steal the ACC from SMU
You had, so that made the ACC champion the lowest ranked champion
Because Bojie State was really good
Arizona State wins the big 12
They were ranked higher than Clemson
Oregon was undefeated, Georgia wins the SEC
So those ended up being the four teams that get in
Notre Dame, because they're not in the conference, can't get in because they're not a conference champion
They can't get a bye
So remember those four teams, Oregon, Georgia, Bojie State, Arizona State
First round happens, we discussed it, they get to the second round
So now you're in the second round
None of the teams that had a bye, win
Now, a lot of people went up in arms
Oh, because they had to wait three weeks to play
And oh, it's because they, you know
Stuff happened in New Orleans
And you know, the tragedy that happened in New Orleans, right?
And you know, my heart's in thoughts
And it's a, it's a terror attack anywhere
But it's a Louisiana terror attack
We don't get these, these don't happen here
Usually, you know, that happens in LA
Or that'll happen in New York or that'll happen in Florida
Usually doesn't happen in Louisiana
So, you know, we get all the way around
And schools are having moments of silence every day at nine o'clock
And it's, you know what I'm saying, it's just, it's weirdness, right?
It doesn't happen here
But back to the games itself, you know, you know, people in all kinds of circumstances
I simply say, seating was at fault
And people in, I was, I said it in the group message and they jumped all over me
Like, how could seating be at play? How could seating be the problem?
It's easy, the four best teams weren't given the top four seats
Okay, you can make that argument with Oregon, fine
You think Boise State was the second best team in the country? No
You think Arizona State was the third best team in the country? No
Who else lost? Georgia lost? They lost to Texas
It is what it is, right? They had the back quarterback
Because Carson Beck was hurt
So, Georgia injuries, Oregon getting thrashed, notwithstanding
Boise State and Arizona State shouldn't have had the buys
But guess who Boise State and Arizona State lost to?
They lost to Texas, Arizona State did, who would have had a buy
And they lost to Penn State, Penn State probably wouldn't have a buy
Another other buy team would have been Ohio State
But they didn't get a buy either
So, if you look at who should have gotten a buy, because Ohio State thrashes Oregon
So, if you look at it the way who should have got a buy
It should have been Oregon, Texas, Georgia, Notre Dame
So, and then Ohio State should have hosted, and Boise State should have hosted
Arizona State should have hosted, and they would have won their games
They made it to the second round, cool
But to me, your first round games would have been closer
Your second round games would have been closer
You would have even had to earn your way into this Final Four
Which they did anyway, I mean, and I think, I don't think the rest helped
But I think who had the rest was much more at fault
And the seeding, and how the teams are seeded, just opposed to the rest
Is my argument there for the playoff, the teams with the buys going 0-4
But anyway, let's get into the games that were happening this weekend
So, the Cotton Bowl between Texas who are 5.5 points underdoggers against Ohio State
Now, this line being 5.5 feels a bit big
First of all, this is basically a home game for Texas, it's Cotton Bowl
They go every year into the literal Cotton Bowl
The same stadium to play the Red River Shootout
It's in Dallas, it's a home game for Texas, right?
Like every non-school ticket is going to go to a Texas fan
They're literally right there
So, Ohio State is going to get their allotment, Texas is going to get their allotment
Anything in the middle, any general admission, whatever, any non-school tie ticket is going to go to Texas
They're right there
It is going to be a whole lot of burnt orange in that stadium
It's going to look like, oddly, the Red River Shootout
Because burnt orange is going to be on one side and scarlet is going to be on the other side
So, it's going to look oddly like the Red River Shootout anyway
It's going to be a home game basically for Texas
However, there is supposed to be an Arctic blast coming through the Texas area very soon
Louisiana is going to get some of it, we've had really low temperatures recently
But Texas is going to get like an Arctic blast
The NCAA is going to monitor the situation, working with both teams, potentially a reschedule
Or, you know what I'm saying, move up or move back to better accommodate, number one, not only player safety, but fan safety
People have to get to the game
And so, that is what's happening there
But, all, let's just say it all goes well, they play the game, that schedule is no, you know, ice
Storm situations
I'm going to go with Texas here
I'm going to go with Texas here, and I think because of home, it's going to be basically home for the advantage
It's going to be a home game without it being a home game
Like, it won't count in the home game statistics, but it will be a neutral site win
And I think truly that they're going to win this game off the home for the advantage
Ohio State is riding high, Ohio State is coming in there after absolutely thrashing Oregon
And getting all their advantage in the world
But Texas is also riding high
They survived Arizona State, and I think that was big for them
Because they had a pretty easy first run, they handled Clemson from start to finish
So, going with Ohio State into the Fiesta Bowl, I call it the weird one
The Fiesta Bowl had wild stuff happen all the time, it's the weird one
And they go in there and they survive
Oh, no, they were the Peach Bowl, I'm sorry, they were the Peach Bowl, another weird one
Stuff that happens all the time, the Peach Bowl as well
And they go in there and they survive against Arizona State
Despite Scadaboo, I mean, bawling out of his life, winning MVP and losing effort
Like, he was pooping
So, shout out Texas, I think Texas gets it done
And the SEC has somebody in the championship game
And then Penn State versus Notre Dame
Now, Notre Dame, I don't have their points spread up here, oddly
I'm going to look it up real fast, but Penn State plays Notre Dame in a game
Where, first of all, Notre Dame is $14 million richer
Because they don't have to split their revenue share with anyone
That's the benefit of being independent, that's why Notre Dame always says F off
Whenever anybody potentially brings up the possibility of them joining a conference
They say, we're doing all our other sports
We're not doing it in football because of the revenue sharing process
Now, if somebody makes Notre Dame a sweetheart deal
Notre Dame is one and a half point favorites right now
Notre Dame is one and a half point favorites
If somebody makes Notre Dame a sweetheart deal
Where they don't get affected with the NBC contract
And they can keep most of their money revenue sharing and blah blah blah
They might
But I just don't see Notre Dame joining a conference
Because they have it too good
And I think they're either going to get
The NCAA is going to change the rule of the automatic qualifier who gets it
Which is going to help Notre Dame even more
Because now they get to make all the money in the world
And they get to get a buy in the event the NCAA changes who can get what buy when
So that's going to be huge for them
As opposed to Penn State, man, this is a team that not many people looked at in the Big Ten as being a title contender
And right now they're standing with their Big Ten brother on Ohio State as a
It could be an all Big Ten title game
Right? And many people thought it would be the SEC Invitational
When they went to 12 team and honestly without automatic qualifiers
I think Bama probably sneaks in
So it may, you know what I'm saying, who knows what could happen
But I do know that it could be an all Big Ten national championship game
Which would be crazy for the Big Ten
The revenue money would be wild for the conference
And I think that that's going to be huge
I think Penn State's a really good football team
And they're a toughest Nels football team
I think I've watched them play several times this year
And honestly, not rooting for their team
But looking at it from the other end, like I watched the USC game
Looking at the USC players
I watched the Ohio State game looking at the Ohio State players
And every time I turned on a Penn State game
I was left impressed with their physicality
I was left impressed with their toughness
I was left impressed with their discipline
And so that's going to be huge for Penn State
But I don't think they get it done
I think Notre Dame sneaks by them in the Orange Bowl
And I do mean sneaking
I'm talking about this is going to be, in my opinion, a tie game
With two minutes left
Whoever has the ball last wins
And I just think that that's going to end up being Notre Dame
But up next, we're going to shift to our best for last
It's going to be a quick, quick discussion on Bloody Monday
Welcome back into the show
And now we're going to talk about Bloody Monday
Or Black Monday
Or whatever else it's called, the NFL
The day where coaches usually get fired
Right?
It's a day where GMs and coaches and assistants and stuff get fired
Because what happens is a lot of times
Let's say you walk off the field Sunday night
You may be with your owner that night
Like, Gerard Mayo got fired
Basically, from what it was said, walking off the field
They were like, yeah, you ain't coming back
You know what I'm saying?
Like, before you went to the locker room, they had fired him
So it was kind of like
Those decisions and choices are made prior to the last game, typically
And so they make those moves right after the game
And so that is a situation where
That happened to Gerard Mayo
I'm talking about Gerard Mayo
He got fired right after the game
They had the press conference about him being fired the next day
It was pretty crazy
So Gerard Mayo is fired from the New England Patriots after one season
After a 4-13 season with the Patriots
And he is fired
I think he could have had a chance at coming back for multiple years
I'm a Patriots fan
And you'll see this talk a lot more
More than likely on the YouTube show
With IMS Productions, with Jai from Hey Jai
And we're filming that tomorrow
So you're going to see a lot more of this on the YouTube show
Because we're both Patriots fans
So we're going to talk about it
I think he would have had a chance of coming back
And I think he would have had a real chance of coming back
If, and I do mean if
He didn't have the problems with team management
It felt like the management was off
It just felt like what was wrong was wrong
It was awfully wrong
It was just bad
So I think that he would have had a legitimate chance of coming back
If he wasn't dealing with that
If he wasn't dealing with the management was just off
A lot of pre-snap penalties
A lot of stuff I felt like he could have cleaned up
A lot of stuff that I just thought man like
People in New England don't talk
That was like the steel, it was like the iron curtain for years
Nothing gets out
It doesn't, like nothing leaves the building
Tom Brady talked for 20 something years in New England
You don't remember five words he ever said
Bill Belichick's most famous talk in New England
Is about when he went through the history of long snapping one day
In a press conference
That's it
And on the Cincinnati
Like that's it
And it was just players say this, players say that, players say that
They weren't going anonymous
They were saying the truth
Like they were saying it from their mouth
Into the camera, into the microphone
There was no anonymousness about it
They were just fed up and they were over it
And that ain't the Patriot way
Robert Kraft had a quiet team for 20 something years
He wants his quiet team back
And so that's why I think he's going to
I think Mike Vrabel is going to end up with that job
Because there's one thing Mike Vrabel does is run a team
And so I think that he's going to end up with that job
Doug Peterson gets fired after three seasons with Jacksonville Jaguars
So now Trevor Lawrence will have his third coach in five seasons for the Jaguars
Not saying it's Trevor Lawrence's fault, but there seems to be a commonality
So I'm sure that the owner, Shad Khan, in an interesting note
Said that they're going to keep GM Trent Bulkey
Which probably took off a couple of high level names for the job
However, the coach will report directly to owner Shad Khan and not to Bulkey
So the coach is going to go past the executive suite into the ownership suite to report to him
So that's an interesting structure
That pretty much tells you Bulkey's on thin ice
Because now I don't want my coach to think he's tied to GM
If I'm pleased with his job, he's going to keep it and GM may go
So if I'm Bulkey, I'm nervous about what's going on there
And then positional coaches
The Cincinnati Bengals fired their defensive coordinator, Lou Anarumo
Their offensive line coach, linebacker coach, and defensive line coach
Some people are saying the D.C. got a bad break because we took a guy like Jesse Bates away from them for nothing
And then Dax Hill gets hurt and you expect the defense to still be great
I say that defense is bad, horribly bad all year until the last couple of games of the season
You got a historic offense, you made the playoffs, the defense got a go
Seattle Seahawks have fired offense coordinator Ryan Grubb
And the Indianapolis Colts have fired D.C. Gus Bradley
But that is all I have for you today
I hope you guys enjoyed the show
I hope you guys have a great rest of your week
For those of you in my Texas area, stay warm
For my Louisianaans, stay warm, it's pretty cold out here these days
And make sure that you do your best to stay warm out there through this winter
We're getting a few arctic storms around the country
And again, California with the burns, keep safe for you guys
And New Orleans, we're thinking about you and we're praying for you
That is all I have for today
This has been your host, Justin Jackson, signing out
See you guys next time