Hello and welcome in to the newest edition of the Justin
Tomsports podcast. I am your host, Justin Jackson. In this
week's episode, we'll be talking about the college football
playoff controversy. We'll be talking about the NFL. We will
have Jax Pack. We'll touch on the NBA and we will have our
Jax Hot Take. Now, as always, don't forget to like, rate,
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Now, as always, don't forget to sit back and get ready to learn
something.
Welcome into the show. Welcome back to episode 36 of season
four of the Justin Tomsports podcast. I am your owner, host,
and proprietor, Justin Jackson. And one of the only places to
correctly predict the college football playoff before it came
out. If you need help, go to my timeline on Twitter, Instagram,
Facebook. I believe I did it on threads as well. We're pretty
much the only show to call the decision as it happened before
it happened and we're pretty much the only people not shot.
And so let's just back it up for those of you who don't know,
which if you don't know about not even living under a rock,
Florida State was bumped out of the college football playoff.
They were number three going into the weekend, undefeated.
They looking to be the undefeated conference champion.
That is an automatic bid. Or what was thought to be rather an
automatic bid into the playoff. No if answer, but about it.
No questions asked. 13 and 0 conference power fire champion.
You're in the playoff. There was another team, H2UCF, of
course claims a national title in the year. They went undefeated
as well. They went 13-0 through the American conference and
then they went and won their bowl again. They beat somebody
in the fiesta bowl. Now in the next year's playoff in the 12
team UCF would have gotten in because UCF was ranked like
number eight or nine and they were easily the highest ranked
group of five champion. They would have gotten in and then
they would have had a chance on the field to play it. That team
had a few. They had Shaquem Griffin, the one with Guy with
the one hand on that team. It was a couple of other NFL players
and people that went to NFL rosters on that team. So it wasn't
an awful team. It wasn't like a out of nowhere team. That team
was pretty good, but they would have had a chance in next year's
playoff in the 12 team playoff to prove it because they would
have been easily the highest group of five champion. However,
they didn't make the playoff. They end up going win their fiesta
bowl. They claim that title, whatever. So anyway, Florida State
would be undefeated, power five conference champion ACC.
And actually I don't have a time stamp on Facebook. I may have
to look on Twitter. I'm a little more active on Twitter. I
have my time stamps. So during the conference championship
games, I began tweeting. Okay. I began tweeting. So the first
tweet I sent out is all Central time was December 2nd, 458. I
tweeted, it's kind of a long about reading and I quote the
console ball playoff committee is making an almost impossible
decision. If the SEC championship game score of 17
and seven and a half time holds and I put a little, you know,
dash Washington's undefeated there. Michigan is currently
undefeated. They will be in. Florida State is currently
undefeated. They would be in and I put in parentheses in
theory. What do you do with the four spot of Alabama wins?
Bama is a one loss AC champion. Georgia has one loss three
years. Texas is a one loss big 12 champion. Iowa State has
one loss total. That's to Michigan. That's the undefeated
big team champion. That's for deserving teams for one spot
drama city. Okay. Now that tweet was sent at 458 local time.
This is Central time at 626 about an hour and a half later.
I tweet the beginning of the drama has started for the first
time in nearly three seasons. Georgia has lost 2724 to
Alabama to win the extra championship game and throw their
name fully into the console playoff discussion. Okay. So by
this point, I'm thinking bam is in but in the back of my
brain, I keep saying to myself, they're going to move Florida
State out because there's two precedents that were fighting
each other. There's never been a zero loss conference champion
to not make it but the SEC has also never not made it. The
SEC is going to ESPN next year in the new expanded conference
Texas, Oklahoma is coming in the SEC's leaving CBS and going
to ESPN full time. The SEC's never made it. The console
playoff is in ESPN production. Okay, that wasn't on the ESPN
part was on the floor for my brain, but I knew I had read
that the committee had the right to factor in the loss of
a key player in the decision making. Jordan Travis is
probably the fourth person in New York. Of course, it's
Jayden Daniels, it's Michael Panix, it's Marvin Harris
Jr. and it's Bo Nicks. Marvin Harris Jr. probably doesn't
make it. Jordan Travis is probably in New York. He
doesn't win anything. Dave Nair is going to win the Heisman
but Jordan Travis is the Heisman finalist if he never
gets hurt. That's about as key of a player as it can be.
Right. So that was 628. I sent out the 628. I sent out the
tweet about Bamron Wetz. About three hours later, about
three and a half hours later, I tweet about Michigan is
one quarter away from the console playoff and Florida State
is nursing a 10-3 lead into the fourth quarter in the fluid
ball. And I quote from me, there was a growing concern
that Florida State needed stop points to make the playoff.
Currently, their stop points are zero. Okay. An hour later
at 10-45. So that's what you have with 948. This one's
at 10-45. Again, all local centers up. It is and I quote
again, Michigan wins 26-0 in the domination of Iowa in the
big team championship and Florida State's defeat Louisville
16-6 in the AC Championship confirming the ultimate chaos
for the 14th playoff. The unquestionable teams are
Washington and Michigan. Right. That leaves Florida State,
Texas, Alabama and Georgia for the last two spots. Voters
are not going to have fun with this decision in the slightest.
My top four is Michigan, Washington, Texas and Alabama.
They will make matchups of Michigan versus Alabama,
Washington versus Texas. Right. That sparked some stuff on
Facebook. Not really much, you know, but that sparked some
dialogue on Facebook. People say, I know I was talking about
I got asked if I watched sports. That was interesting.
It created some discord on Facebook for sure. Created some
discord on social media in general. It was, you know, as
127 comments on it, a lot of reactions on it, some laughs
at it. You know what I'm saying? It was pretty interesting
what people had to say. You know, AC didn't deserve a spot.
People wanting Georgia to stay in somehow. People say Michigan
should buy that completely, but some weird stuff. But anyway,
that was discourse regarding my use and regarding my playoff.
And people were wondering why did I come to this decision?
And I'm actually keep going through discourse. So then a
little while later, actually the following morning, AP poll
comes out, Texas jumps to Florida, Florida State, Texas is
third, but Florida State holds on the fourth. Then the old BCS
system does a poll. Florida State, and I'm talking about
barely is fourth over Alabama. I mean like less than a point,
less than a half a point there in front with the old BCS.
And I'm thinking, all right, that was the problem with the
BCS. The computers would make it close enough where the humans
could mess it up. Quote unquote. That was the issue with the
BCS. The human, the computer would get it close enough where
the humans can mess it up. Okay. And then one hour after the
AP, when I thought about the AP poll, bam, it comes out.
The Coswell playoff is set. Michigan versus Alabama,
Washington versus Texas. Florida State becomes the first
undefeated Power 5 Conference champions to not make the
Coswell playoff as they finish fifth. Heartbreak rejoicing the
ACC as they get their champion in. This led to 30 minutes
later, the ACC commissioner putting out a statement calling
it unfathomable that a Power 5 Conference champion was left
out of the playoff. Their exclusions called to question
the entire process. If the committee's guidelines are
followed, yada, yada, yada, whatever. Jordan Travis, who's
the reason why this is happening, tweeted out his saying
he's devastated, heartbroken and so much disbelief. He
wished he had broke his leg earliest. You can see that he
was much more than a quarterback. He apologized to the fans.
Okay. So how do we got through the timeline of how I was
right? And that's the whole reason why I kind of wanted to
see how like fast stuff was happening. That's the reason I wanted
to highlight the timeline. Florida State's season was over
the minute Jordan Travis broke his leg. That was it. And it's
not a situation where, oh man, Florida State's high powered
offense, they're blowing people out left and right, whatever.
That was the case. If they were a team that was punching people
in the face over and over and over again, you get no complaint
out of me. I don't bring it up. But they weren't. And I put
something else on Facebook. I guess I didn't put it on Twitter.
That when Florida State was it was embroiled in their battle
and they were trying to hold on or whatever.
Oh, no, I put it in the sports debate. I didn't put it on my
sports. I put it on the sports debate group. And I said that
Florida State when Jordan Travis got hurt was no longer playing
and I'm going to say this in general. I didn't put it in the sports debate group.
I'm going to say this to you all. The minute Jordan Travis got hurt,
Florida State was no longer playing their opponent. They were.
They were not. In matter of fact, they were playing the ghost
of what they used to be. They were playing something they probably
had no chance of beating, which was the mental expectations
of what the committee thought they should be. It was they were
playing expectations. They were playing the ghost of what they
should be and they were playing something far worse and far more
sinister. They were playing doubt because now there's a reason
to not put them in and the AC Commissioner put out the statement
about following the committee's guidelines, factoring in the loss
of the key players and the committee's guidelines. To me, the
four best teams in the country that I've seen, I've watched all
the top teams is the four that's in. Now you can make an argument
for Georgia. I probably reordered them a little bit just from
what I've seen. Michigan is the best team in the country. Then
Texas over Alabama because Texas beat them and then Georgia
was actually my fourth best team that I've seen. Again, personally,
I've watched them all. Georgia just barely because I think if
Georgia doesn't have an injury to Brock Bowers and the other,
the receiver number 84 I think is his number. I think Georgia
beats Alabama and Florida State still out, but they're out for
Texas. Texas is fourth. They're going to be Georgia, Michigan,
Washington, Texas. I think that'd be the situation. Regardless,
I think an ACC champion deserves to be in. It's ironic. I'm going
to cut more points on this on this topic. It's ironic the fact
that the ACC got screwed. It's ironic because there is this thing
or correction. There used to be this thing called the Alliance
and it was the agreement for a few, specifically there was an
agreement for the ACC, the Big Ten, and the Pac-12 to come
together and form what they call the Alliance. What this Alliance
was built and designed to do was to help in college for
all playoff voting. It was to help each other in scheduling
and pretty much screw over the big bad ACC. The ACC gets
whatever they want all the time. You know, it just means more
and all this other stuff. We're going to come together. We're
going to fight back in the ACC effectively because the Big
12 is not in the Alliance. The Pac-12 is struggling and everybody
kind of knew it. The Big Ten is probably going to bolster the
Pac-12 and the ACC got no respect for the most part. But everybody
feared the Big Bad ACC. The Alliance ends up being the reason
why there's not a 12-team playoff this season. Is there a 12-team
playoff this season? None of this matters. Florida State
possibly falls. Probably not. There's no reason to make them fall.
Or the buys because in the 12-team playoff the top four have
to buy. So in that case being third or fifth matters because
instead of having to play a first round game against the Liberty,
more than likely because Tulane lost. So yeah, against the Liberty
because they got the Fiesta Bowl bid, you would be resting
that week. So potato, potato in terms of, you know, preference
and what it means. But regardless you'd be it. Now you can
about the buy but you'd be in the tournament. Well, the Alliance
came together and said no, the 12-team playoff the earliest
could be activated for the 2024-2025 season. Next year. So all
season when the playoff record come out people would do hypothetical
if there was a 12-team playoff this how it would look. And then the
ACC got screwed up. Allegedly screwed up. I think it's the right
decision for a variety of reasons. I think it's the right
decision because the four best teams in the country got in. I
mean you could debate Georgia, Alabama, but or you could debate
Georgia, Washington, but the four best teams in the country
has proven on the field got in. In the current state. Okay.
There's reportedly a hundred and fifty million dollar difference
between Alabama getting in and Florida State. There's a
reported a hundred and fifty million dollar difference. I
said this to friends. I said this to coworkers. This is a
business and a TV show at the end of the day. This is a
football game. There's college pride on the line. There's
millions of dollars on the line as far as incentives. There's
probably NIO deals all kind of stuff on the line. The
committee at the end of the day had to prove a TV product. They
mentally went against three unquestionable teams. What is
the problem with Florida State? They don't have a quarterback.
As we've seen in their last three games by Jordan Travis,
their offense is a joke. They're going to get railroaded
by anybody they played. Washington would hit them for
a foot. Washington would shut them down. Michigan would shut
them down. Texas would shut them down. They can't score. So
Florida State's great defense aside, they'd lose 20 to 3 in a
snooze fest. You know what I'm saying? And their ratings would
be terrible. There's PTSD of TCU. There's PTSD of Oklahoma.
You know, there's PTSD of teams that we all kind of knew
wasn't that good and ran into a juggernaut and the game was a
disaster. Oklahoma playing Alabama that year and then that
game, the first shadow game. There's certain things we kind
of knew. The committee had a chance and a legitimate case to
stop it. So they did. It's just plain and simple as that. And
then another thing is karma. Because you pretty much are going
to make an alliance to keep the SEC down only for the Pac-12
SEC to get in and year out. So in the last year, the Pac-12,
they have Washington in. In the new SEC, they have two of the
members in, Texas and Alabama. The new Big Ten has two
members, Washington and Oregon. The ACC gets kicked out of
there. The Pac-12 in this last year gets a representative.
Like everybody seemed to have one here besides the ACC, which
again, is horribly ironic because they tried to make an
alliance to screw the SEC to begin with. Kind of deserved
this Florida State. Just going to be honest. The committee
needed a reason to not put Florida State in. They had to
play against, they were playing style points game at that
point, long about wins and losses by style points. They
never had the style points. They don't have the playoff spot.
Just that simple. But up next, we're going to shift to the
NFL Week 13.
Welcome back into the show. Boy, I have missed you all. All of
my friends all around the world, all of my fans all around the
world. I have missed all of you. Last week wasn't feeling too
great. Just wasn't in it. My personal note, I just couldn't
deliver the best product to you guys. So I took a step back,
took a week off. Stayed busy on the socials of course, but just
took a week off from the podcast. And for the first time
in a couple of weeks, I get to talk about NBA. Sorry, I was
sorry. Just reading something about the NCAA tournament,
which is about a blast. I get to discuss the NFL. So last week
had some big games going on. The biggest one of course, big
Niners versus Philly. The Niners absolutely destroyed the
Eagles. That was the kind of game where you look back and go,
tune it's a class of great teams. It's almost like the Hall
of Fame and the Hall of Very Good. Like there are certain
people I'm never going to forget playing football. Like I'll
probably never forget Reggie Bush. I'll probably never
forget Philip Rivers. I'll probably never forget, pretty
much it. But it's the kind of play I'm thinking of. I'll never
forget those two gentlemen. If they get anywhere near my Hall
of Fame, I'm going to school. Right? And so it was the Hall
of Fame and the Hall of Very Good, the Hall of Memorable. In
the regular season, there is the Super Bowl contenders. And
then there's really good playoff teams. Right? And oftentimes
it's hard to tell the difference until you see them
side by side. For instance, Crysis 300 looks like a Phantom.
In the words of Cat Williams, until a Phantom pull up. That
beautiful woman in your town looks like she could be Miss
America until Miss America walks up. You see what I'm
saying? Like the Eagles looked like a contender until a
contender pulled up. San Fran took that game personally.
They had to hear all offseason, how great the Eagles were.
The Eagles in their credit tried to fight back and say, no,
the end of championship game wasn't a fluke. You know, they
won an issue, whatever, you know, try to do their best to
validate what we all do wasn't the truth. They tried to
validate the fact that they won that game. Even though
Brock Purdy blew his elbow out, they had another quarterback
injury. At one point Christian McCaffrey was playing quarterback
and at one point when he busted right elbow, Brock Purdy was
handing the ball off to Christian McCaffrey. And the Eagles, you
know, won the game and talked their noise, whatever. And you
could tell the 49ers took that personally. They basically
dominated the Philadelphia Eagles from the time the ball was
kicked off to the time the game ended. It was just a punishment.
It was like retribution of the highest order. It felt like if
the Eagles owed them money and they came to collect it, it was
just brutal. Schematically, it was a mismatch. Purdy hitting all
those all-pulls all over the place. Debo, Joann, Jennings
making great plays, especially runs after the catch. The defense
was suffocating. It felt like Jalen Hurts couldn't find an open
target all night. I mean, it was rough for the Philadelphia
Eagles. It was one of those games where it's like, man, do
they even like belong on the same field as the Niners? It was,
even if you're an Eagles fan, that had to hurt to watch. That
had to be shell-shocking if you were an Eagles fan because it's
just one of those moments where it's like, my God, we're not
even close. We're not even in the area of close. We thought we
were somewhere. We're just not there. It's like, oh, yeah, yeah,
I'm a really tall person until a giant walks up. It was brutal,
man. From a schematic standpoint, it was laughably different. From
a physicality standpoint, I mean, it's a short yardage situation.
Niners are running the ball left because Trent Williams over
there, he's on the ball hood in front of him. And they did it on
repeat. They were throwing Eagles off. It was just two different
classes of teams. Shaw of the 49ers were just being different
and dominating that game. And the Eagles have to go regroup.
They immediately signed Shaquille Leonard. So they're going to
need all the help they can get to try and beat that 49er
football team. The Green Bay Packers stunned the Chiefs in a
game where the offense for the Chiefs looked more disjointed
than normal. The Green Bay Packers took advantage of early
momentum and they stunned the Chiefs. Simone Bowes, his husband
takes down Taylor Swift's boyfriend. And the Chiefs did not
deserve to win that game. They played sloppy. They were on
discipline. They looked like they didn't know what they wanted
to do or could do. They didn't deserve to win that game and
they still almost won it. So that tells you how good the
Chiefs are as a team. But the Packers were a huge win. That's
the kind of win in Jordan Love's debut starting season that
instills confidence throughout the offseason. And even if he
looks a little rough towards down the stretch and, you know,
mini camp isn't great, you kind of point back to that cheese game
and go, that's what he could be. And you kind of hinge on that
for as long as you can. Great win by the Packers. That's a
Matt LeFleur defining win. You're at home, you know, it's
Monday Night Football or Sunday Night. It's a prime time game.
The whole country is watching. It's a game where you're trying
to, you know, defeat, I think it's Sunday Night, whatever. But
it's a game where you're trying to defeat one of the greatest
quarterbacks ever, one of the greatest coaches ever. You're
going in with your young gun and you're 50-50 on yourself. And
you go in there and you come into your building and you beat
them. And congratulations to the Packers. They had Lil Wayne,
Sunday Night, they had Lil Wayne doing the intros. He's a big
Packer fan, he's from New Orleans. They had Lil Wayne
doing the intros. They had everything raring to go. They
were giving out goat hats to Simone Biles. Everything was
raring to go for that night. Oh, and the Packers beat them.
And joy and love. I'll play Patrick Mahomes. And that defense
of that cheese that was so highly touted was outplayed by
the Packers defense. In every aspect of the game, the Packers
were the better football team. They deserved to win it, which
is, again, a little shell-shocking to the Chiefs. If you're in a
position that they're in, they're trying to look to continue
a dynasty and they're taking the hills like that. So if you're
the Chiefs, that's definitely a little shell-shocking, but I'm
sure they're going to go back in and try and regroup.
The Cincinnati Bengals, the Joe Burrow led Cincinnati Bengals,
the Jake Browning led Cincinnati Bengals, defeated the
Jacksonville Jaguars in a game that could have major
ramifications in the AFC on a modular front. So first, Jake
Browning with all-time production and efficiency in his night.
Kudos to him. And then, of course, the Jaguars had a couple
injuries. Christian Kirk's basically out for the year with
core muscle surgery. Trevor Long has an ankle sprain. He's going
to try to play on this week. If he doesn't play on this week,
more than likely he'll play on it next week. But the Bengals,
like I said, without Joe Burrow riding the back of Joe Mixon,
get a huge win. It brings Jacksonville only with one game
away in the AFC South with Indianapolis and Houston just one
game back of Jacksonville for the AFC South. It pretty much
takes Jacksonville out of the number one seed contention. It
also keeps the Bengals in playoff contention. I even thought,
myself included, when Joe Burrow went down, that was pretty much
the end of football in Cincinnati. The Bengals have said,
not so fast, my friend. And they're going to continue to try
and push in power behind Jake Browning. Like I say, we just
came off an all-time production and efficiency day. So kudos
to the Bengals. Shout out Kyle O'Murray for saving his job.
Kyle O'Murray is playing this season to save his job. Kyle O'Murray
is playing this season in an effort to make sure that the
Cardinals go into the offseason going. We have our franchise
quarterback. Let's try and get things to help him. Because right
now he's in a perfect spot. Right now, third overall pick
and playing well, he's in a great spot because you can't get
Kayla Williams and you probably won't get Drake May. So then
that means you've got Jay Dangles and Kyle O'Murray. You
probably go to Kyle O'Murray. He's running in your system and
in your building. You can use that third pick on Marvin
Harrison Jr. So that is the benefit Kyle O'Murray is doing
right now. He may be playing his way into Marvin Harrison Jr.
which would be absolutely amazing for him and his development.
That's a true noble receiver even as a rookie. And so that's
going to be huge for Kyle O'Murray because as I say, he's
currently playing and currently saving his job from his play
on the field. And in New England, my Patriots, it's over.
It's over. Look, I fought and I still, my heart of hearts,
want Belichick to come back this offseason. But if they
promoted Gerard Mayo and let Belichick out the side door, I
wouldn't be mad. The New England Patriots is something that
has not been done since like 1938 which was a Lauer team,
which was a Lauer less than 10 points in three consecutive
games and lose all three games. The offense is a disaster.
Mac Jones is awful. Bailey Zapp is worse. These guys are just
not bearing the quarterbacks at all in the slightest. And I
think it's making Bill O'Brien look horrible because he's
in the head, but he's got no quarterbacks. He's really got
no personnel with Bill O'Brien. He's in over his head even though
he's not. It's absolutely disastrous in New England. They
need to get ready for it. They are getting ready for the
offseason. If I was in there, I would do my best to have
Carolina win a couple of games and get them the number one
overall pick. So a lot of great pop fans got Wenday Yammer,
Bill Belichick, Caleb Williams. It is just a mess in New England.
All right, some quick, hidden news. A.N. Rogers was reported
to come back right around Christmas Eve. He started
practicing. However, his return is officially unlikely. The
Jets' playoff chances apparently is a big factor. Although I
believe he has said that when lose or draw in terms of close
to the playoffs, that he wants to get on the field pretty much
to prove he could. But he wants to get on the field. However,
his return to play is officially unlikely. Eric Bieneme has
reportedly guarded interest from the Chicago Bears about taking
over their head coaching position. The Bears currently still
have their coach, but they interviewed Bieneme before hiring
their new coach, the coach they have currently. Now they're
looking to look into Eric Bieneme again as he has been
officially coordinating calling his own plays in Washington.
Tim Boyle, Tom Brady's best friend, the pick intercession
turnover machine himself has been waived by the New York Jets
following two games of starting. And other Jets related quarterback
news, Zach Wilson is officially the starter against the Texans.
Reportedly, he went and asked for the ball. Robert Salah
granted that wish and Zach Wilson is going to be the starter
for the New York Jets. And last but not least, Ramon J.
Stevenson, the New England Patriots, has a high ankle sprain
and is expected to finish several weeks due to that high
ankle sprain. So an offense that was already pretty putrid,
one of the bright spots gets taken out with a high ankle
sprain. Up next we're going to look into NFL week 14.
Welcome back into the show. And now we're going to do some
quick hits on NFL week 14. And of course, if it is in
Jax Pack, which we haven't done in a couple of weeks, I will
not pick it. I'm picking now. I'll pick it in Jax Pack.
It was NFL week 14, Patriots at the Steelers Thursday night
football. Unless you're a fan of these two teams, I wouldn't
watch it. It's kind of going to be a snooze fest. I'll never
say I don't watch football. I wouldn't be excited for this
game. It's kind of going to be a snooze fest. The Patriots
offense is something to be desired. And the Steelers
offense, same. The Steelers have a great defense. The Patriots
defense has been on fire the past month. It's not going to be
the world's best offensive game. If you're in the defensive
scheme, if you're in the defensive hitting, if you're into
the punts and punt return as special teams, you're going to
gain. If you're looking for an aerial assault, maybe not the
game for you. I'd watch it, but maybe not the game for you.
It's going to be between two legendary coaches, of course,
Bill Belichick and Mike Tomlin have had epic wars in the
playoffs and the regular season. Especially when both their
teams are really good. You're talking Big Ben, Antonio Brown,
Le'Veon Bell versus Tom Brady, Rob Gronkowski, Wes Welker.
You're talking some epic Amandola gets involved in there.
You're talking some epic battles between these two legendary
Hall of Fame first-ballot coaches. Both of them are
actually, despite their record differences, doing amazing
coaching jobs. Belichick's got this defense rolling, which
means the culture is right. It's hard to get a really good
defense to play really good all the time when the offense is
horrible. They're rolling on these, which means the culture
is right. Of course, Mike Tomlin, what he's doing right
now is a minor miracle. In Pittsburgh, they have no reason
to have a record that they have. It's purely Coach Tomlin.
So, absolute kudos to those gentlemen. Of course, again,
we'll pick the game in Jax Pack. But the game I will pick
now, it is not in Jax Pack. Jax at Browns. This is a game
that depends on the injuries. I think, it's a hard thing,
I think Jacksonville can win the game without Trevor Lawrence.
I think 85% of Trevor Lawrence is better than whoever the
back of it is, which I don't even know who that is. However,
if there's a situation where Lawrence can't move and there's
somebody named Miles Geary peeling off the edge, he'll
get a little dicey. And so, I think the Jacksonville Jaguars
win this game either way. And that's just because I don't
believe in the Cleveland Browns offensively. Jacksonville has
a pretty good defense as well. I just don't believe in the
Cleveland Browns offensively. Joe Flacco, Dorian Johnson,
Robson, it doesn't matter. I just don't believe in them a
lot offensively. And so, therefore, I think Jacksonville
can squeak out enough points even with a backup, although
they'll be a lot tighter with the backup. Even with the backup,
I believe they can squeeze out enough points and they can
eke out enough points to win a game regardless if Trevor
Lawrence is there. So, I'm not betting on it. It's too hard to
bet on the game right now. You don't know what Trevor
Lawrence is going to be. He could be either in uniform,
wearing number 16, or in a headset, in a hoodie. It's just
too hard to kind of pick the game if you're betting it. If
you're just picking around with your friends, I would go with
the Jacksonville Jaguars right now, because they're
regardless. Now, I confirm Trevor Lawrence out, may sway
my opinion. He's one of those picking it caveat-like,
confirmed Trevor Lawrence, especially Trevor Lawrence
being confirmed out, let's say tomorrow, according to some
Wednesday nights. Let's say by Thursday, he's confirmed out,
or Friday, he's confirmed out. And Cleveland has two days to
prepare for the actual backup. It's not only about splitting
preparation. That may sway my opinion to Cleveland. But
right as of right now, I would pick Jacksonville. I'm a close
one, 23 to 20. Bills at Chiefs, another game that's not in
my Jax pack, so we'll pick it right now. I got the Chiefs
here. Good teams don't like to get embarrassed. Great teams
hate being embarrassed. The Chiefs were embarrassed on
Sunday night. I mean, everything about it was
embarrassing. The offense was a joke. The defense couldn't
guard the field immediately. Special teams unit was there.
Coaching, it looked like Madeline Flores was cooking
circles around Hendery and his staff. That was embarrassing
to the Chiefs. They have Subo last braces, dynastic dreams,
and they lost to the Packers, who I don't believe play in
the playoffs. Again, that's an embarrassing loss. Good teams
do not get embarrassed and lose the next week. Subo and
Henders definitely do not do that. Do not get embarrassed
and lose the next week. Buffalo Bills, on the other hand,
kind of running hot. Joe Brady's come in. Somehow he's
finagling the interceptions out of Josh Allen, or at least
the crushing ones. Their offense looking good. Their
defense is getting a little bit of a swag back. The
weather's starting to turn, with Buffalo used to play a little
better in the cold weather. They have a different kind of
cold in Buffalo. Going to Arch Orchard Park, winds swirling
and all that other stuff, it's going to be hard for anybody
to go in there and beat them right now. Unfortunately for
the Bills, they're going in the arrowhead, pissed off arrowhead,
an embarrassed arrowhead. I've got the Chiefs winning this
game, 27-23. Broncos at Chargers, a game that is in my
Jax pack, so it will not be picked. This is the kind of
game where I say when Sean Page took the EFC West job,
your division's a B-word. The Chargers suck record-wise.
The Broncos started off 1-3. If I had to name, if I said,
okay, outside of the top six records, take the top six
records out. Take out your Niners, your Eagles, your
Cowboys, your Chiefs. Start naming teams you don't want to
play. By the time you get to team two or three, either the
Broncos or the Chargers come up, take Baltimore out, but you
get to Miami out. I don't want to play Houston. I don't want
to play the Rams. After that, you start getting into your
Broncos and your Chargers. The Broncos, one of the five of
them last, say eight, the Chargers, and one of the more
talented roster in the league, their head coach just sucks.
They just let them come together. I think they're the
black cat franchise of the NFL. I remember they were one
point in one year, they were first in offense, first in
defense, and missed the playoffs. Strange things happen
to the Chargers as a franchise. These are two teams that no
one else wants to play. They're playing each other, and they're
in the same division. They're in the AFC West. I say the AFC
West job is a pain in the butt. Every two or three years, the
AFC West has a really good team. The Chiefs are the Chiefs.
The Chargers are really good. That's why I was saying, that
might be the world's best job, Christian and Peyton. He's got
a better record than the Chargers and the Raiders right
now. Jokes on me, he knew what he was doing. It's a game
between two good quarterbacks, one good offensive head coach,
defensive head coach, talent on both sides, just untapped into
and unachieved talent on both sides in the current uniform.
Of course, we'll send the Super Bowl champion, Kaleo Mack,
but in their current uniforms, it's a lot of unrealized
potential. I think this is going to be an absolute barn
burner, but we'll talk about them a little bit more in the
Jax pack. Of course, the game of the week, the game everybody
should be watching. Don't care if you're a fan of football,
the Teeqo's at Cowboys. I spoke about a few minutes ago, good
teams don't like to be embarrassed. Championship teams
hate to be embarrassed. The Eagles got embarrassed by the
Niners. It was so bad that Stephen A. Smith delegitimized
the Eagles winning the end of the title match. It was so bad,
people wondered if it was some kind of like joke, like if it
was like a rig situation, where it was like the Niners like
weren't supposed to win and blow out the Eagles. It was so
bad, people began to question if people came in the game
injured and no one said anything. Like, it was awful, the
level of just difference between the Niners and the
Eagles. So they got embarrassed. We'll see how they bounce
back. And then of course the Cowboys are riding high.
They're blowing people out. They're scoring points all over
the place. They have little to no, little to no upsetness.
Everything's going pretty well in Frisco Park. I mean, they
are just, it's gum balls and gum drops and sugar plums. Like,
the Cowboys are riding well. They had a big win against the
Seahawks. I thought the Seahawks were going to be blowing
people out. They're nine and three. They're just sitting
there like, man, we're riding nine. The last team to beat the
Cowboys was the Eagles. And then it was in Philly, it was at
the link. But they'd be in the 28-23. The last team to beat the
Cowboys about a little, little month ago was the Eagles at
28-23 in the link. And this is the very profound score because
I think it's going to be 30-24 Cowboys this time around.
The Philly, the Eagles' secondary has weak links. Shaq Leonard
is not going to be playing. If he's playing, he's in packages.
And so he's not really a big addition. I have to like factor
into it. It's going to be a very close game, very physical game.
Stay away from it in the point spread. I would take the
Cowboys' money line. Although if one side, the Eagles' side is
juiced, then take the Eagles there as far as a bet. But I got
the Cowboys here winning 30-24. But up next, I am shifting to
Jax Pat. High enough obedience segment, Jax Pat.
Welcome back into the show. Now we're going to get into our
NFL betting segment, Jax Pat. Up and down year for us this year.
We're a little under 500. I forgot my exact record. I didn't
write it down. So we're a little under 500 this year. We're up
and down. But we're going to bounce back. We're going to
sprint from here on to the playoffs. Whatever the record is,
kind of get rid of it. So we're going to sprint on from here
into the playoffs. We're going to keep up with it. Some stuff
got lost in the move. I hate moving. But some stuff got lost
in the move. So now we're going to get our record back right.
We're going to keep track of our record from here on out. You
know, this is kind of stuff we're going to get into. Jax Pat
is a fresh new record, fresh new everything. Mid-season, I don't
care. It's my show. I do what I want. And so therefore we're
going to start out with a fresh new Jax Pat record. But we're
going to jump right into it. So we discussed this game already.
It's Thursday Night Football. Pat's at Steelers. Steelers minus
six. Take the Steelers. Look, the Patriots offense. I'm a
Patriots fan. Patriots offense is cool. It's one of the worst
offense I've ever seen in my life. I've seen the 0-17 Lions.
Like, I'm old enough for the 0-17 Lions. I'm old enough for
whatever the hell Carolina was last year. Old enough for
whatever the hell Carolina is this year. The Patriots offense
is one of the oldest, worst, sorry, not the oldest, one of the
worst offense I've ever seen in my life. Like, it's terrible.
It's just the receivers don't separate. Mack Jones is a
disgrace. Bill O'Brien's trying. He just ain't working. I
don't think Joe Judge should be in the building. He's not in
the building. But, I have to say that Joe Judge, who cares?
And it's just like, it's awful. Like, there's a legitimate
chance the Steelers win this game ten to three and then
cover the six. Like, that's how bad it is right now in New
England. I don't see New England scoring double digits.
And so, say the New England gets nine, the Steelers can't get
16 and win the cover, cover the spread. Or get 15 and cover
the spread. I'd tie it. Let's go with the Steelers here, minus
six. It's just one of those sides where it's just too, not
obvious, but pretty obvious if you watch either team play.
Which side is the better side here? Steelers minus six.
Texans minus five and a half at the Jets take the Texans.
Zach Wilson's back. Yay, if you're betting on the Texans.
The Jets offense is slightly above the Patriots offense.
It's a little bit more disgraceful because there's
legitimate talent on the Jets. They're just bad. And so,
Zach Wilson's back. Reportedly, he asked for the ball after
the report came out saying he was ducking the ball. Whatever.
But I'm gonna say he was asked for the ball. He wants back in.
And so, Robbisola granted his wish and he's back in. Good
for him. But Zach Wilson is back, like I said, which means
great things for the Texans. Derrick Singler has four
exceptions in his last three games. You've got Will
Anderson balling right now. You know, he's got a lot of
great positive things. They mean short fields for CJ
Stroud. That means he's gonna score 24 points. I don't see
the Jets getting 16 points. Breeze Hall, I need a couple
touches on how to use fantasy purposes. But regardless,
I have the Texans here covering the five and a half.
Rams plus seven at the Ravens take the Rams. This is a
sneaky one. This is one that if it's six and a half, I think
the Ravens. I just think that this game is gonna be a little
closer than the experts think. I think the Ravens ultimately
win the game. But the Ravens offensively, it's been kind of
in. Lamar Jackson specifically hasn't really been accounting
for touchdowns all that much lately. Picked it up over the
last couple of contests, but there was a stretch there. He
was struggling. The Rams have a legitimate inside stopper
when they're in the Donald where you can stop the Ravens
and make them bounce. Now, they ultimately want to get them
outside anyway. OBJ, Lamar Jackson, et cetera. Let's see
Flowers. They want to get them outside anyway. But if I don't
have to scheme you to the outside, that makes it a little
bit different. Aaron Donald existing the way he's playing,
the way he playing and not having to scheme inside
presence and bounce automatically. And then Lenz was to
the Rams. Matthew Stafford playing a little bit better.
Now, people have gone into M&T, Bayside and Baltimore and got
destroyed. Ask the Lions. But in the Seahawks, I just think
that the Rams, you know, it is a cross country trip. The
Rams lose the game. They lose it close. They lose it 30 to
24. The Ravens defense have been hard hitting. They're
knocking them out of games. They're about as legally the
2000s Ravens as they can be. But I just think the Rams,
they're coming there. Simon Vape gets real clever. They get
a couple of cheap touchdowns. Pooka Nakua and Cooper Cupps
are a hard deal with a guard for anybody. Karen Williams is
doing really well running the ball. The Ravens win the game,
but it's closer than the experts think 30 to 24. Broncos plus
three at the Chargers and I totally I know I didn't pick this
guy. Broncos plus three at the Chargers. Take the Broncos
here. I think the Broncos win this game. All right. The
Broncos right now are put together better. Brandon
Staley is Nathaniel Hackett 2.0. Slightly better coach.
Just saying much because of Nathaniel Hackett. But I just
think Brandon Staley is Nathaniel Hackett 2.0. Because of
which the Broncos are putting together an actual program
there. To your one of Sean Payton, they look like a
football team. They didn't just bail at the trade they
thought they were. They look like a football team. And
because of which I think they're going to go in there and
beat the Chargers. It's going to be 50-50 home field anyway.
So it's not really a home field advantage. It's not a big
travel. Denver to LA is an hour and a half flight maybe two.
It might be an hour. Anyway from an hour, hour and a half
flight. Private jet. You know what I'm saying. Ten to five
minute flight. No real travel at all. We're not having a
time zone switch. We're going into a friendly-ish environment.
Like I think the Broncos are just further along in their
program than the Chargers. What you're saying is that
Staley has been there for years. I think the Broncos are
a little further along in their program. They step beside
Ben Joseph and I wanted them fired for that horrible
70-point situation against Miami. And they bounce back
and they look like a much better football team. So I'm
going to get the Broncos the edge here. Close, closer, close
30 to 27. And then last but certainly not least, Titans
at Dolphins. Dolphins minus 13 take the Dolphins. Not going
to spend a lot of time here. I don't see the Titans going
20. I don't see the Dolphins going less than 30. So because
of that, you kind of meet in the middle. I would have loved
this number. You could tease this number. If you could
tease maybe this down to 11, 11 and a half and tease, add
those points to the Broncos. But that game gets teased down
to one and a half. That might be a good teaser. Or you tease
the Dolphins maybe down to 11 and a half and you give those
points to the Steelers. Maybe they're at seven and a half
now. Excuse me. That also be a pretty good teaser as well.
But again, I'm comfortable at minus 13 here. It's only two
touchdowns. This game got 37-17 written all over it.
Derrick Henry's beat up. Not in the cushion protocol, but
he's beat up. Not enough team speed on the Titans in the
back end, which that's the same for everybody. So this got
37-17 written all over it. Take the Dolphins. So to recap,
we have Steelers minus six over the Patriots, Texans minus
five and a half over the Jets, Rams plus seven over the
Ravens, Broncos plus three over the Chargers, Dolphins minus
13 over the Titans. But up next, we have Jax hot take, which
is about the transfer portal being a coaching character.
Welcome back into the show. And now we're going to get into
Jax hot take. We're just going to go out the transfer portal,
basically being the coaching carousel. And you know, you
got a lot of slander from guys I see in the media, especially
social media. These kids get hit hard when they transfer,
especially starters or popular players, high recruits that
may want to perform. Anybody with a name that carries in the
team gets slandered for going into the portal. But that's the
coaching carousel. You know, like these kids are looking for
an opportunity. Texan, there's a coaching change that happens.
The kids jump in the transfer portal. It's just the way it
goes. Because now there's opportunities. Maybe there's a
coach that you're really connected with. Maybe there's
like an OC at one school that you're connected with, you decide
to go with this coach, that coach gets fired or leaves. So
now you jump in the portal, he goes to another coach, a new
spot or the same spot, whatever. But are you going home? LSU
Brad Kelly has made it a big thing where he wants to get kids
to come home. Jordan Gilbert to safety out of Texas A&M,
coached against that kid. He's legit. I wanted him at LSU.
He's crystal balled now to come to LSU. And then there's a
returner guy, I can't think of his name. But he's looking at
LSU as well from Louisiana. But these kids go in the portal
and they're looking for you to go home. They're looking for
an opportunity. They're looking to get out of the situation
they're in, whatever. Or if these are the NIO, looking for
more money. Look at the transfer. There's like 10 starting
quarterbacks in the portal. And I'm not saying quarterbacks
that could start. I'm saying starting quarterbacks for a
reason. Cam Ward started at Washington State. DJ Uyagalele
started at Oregon State. Kyle McCoy started at Ohio State.
That's the guy at the top of my head. All these guys started,
they're all in the portal. It's going to cost you a million,
a million and a half dollars for any of them. Like it's just
like, you know what I'm saying? Like, oh, Dante Moore from
UCLA. Like he's going to probably, he's going to end up in
Michigan. He's going to probably end up costing Michigan $2
million a year to get them. DJ Uyagalele, I can see it Miami,
he's going to cost $875,000, a million dollars in Miami to get
them in Miami. Like Matt Rule, I think was talking about it.
He was saying a quick quarterback in the portal costs you a
million dollars, $2 million now. That's just it is what it is.
Now you've got Vanderbilt jumping in the NIO saying they're
going to use their collective to get players. Players cost
money. Guess what? That's been coaches forever. ASAP coaches
don't have a coaches carousel. They don't have a coaching
portal. They have this thing called the coaching carousel that
they spin around and change jobs, et cetera. And they have
agents. These agents negotiate their leave and their arrival
all behind the scenes. The guy who resigns, Lincoln Riley, in
the middle of the night, he's introduced to the new school the
next day. Deion Sanders was flying back and forth between
Jackson, Mississippi and Boulder, Colorado. He was in, he
wore Jackson State stuff. That's right. Title game on the plane
with him and his son changed into Colorado. Got off the
plane in Colorado gear, walk around, saw the stadium, saw the
facilities, saw the locker room, et cetera. Got back on the
plane, coach Jackson State in the celebration bowl. Get off
the plane, again, leaves Jackson again, says the team
leaves Jackson again, puts on Colorado stuff. He gets introduced
to Colorado head coach the next day. That's the transfer portal.
That's where these kids are entering the portal or where
portal is going to enter the portal the day after bowl games
or the day after the conference championship game, the day after
the last regular season game. They've been negotiating their
exit probably with a staff or a different team for weeks. One of
these top players that like leave, they start somewhere two
years and then they go into the portal and they list it as do
not contact. They know where they're going. Like Haley Van
Liff, she had do not contact in her portal thing when she left
Louisville. Everybody in that grandma knows she's going to
LSU. There's a top corner, I think it's from Clemson, has do
not contact in his thing. Everyone like he knows where he's
going. Those quarterbacks, they're fine being contacted.
They're negotiating their money. That kid knows exactly where
he's going, for what money and what school. Like if the coach
and carousel does the same thing. Dion was negotiating his
contact in Colorado, flying back and forth in Jackson the
Boulder and he was introduced knowing what his contact was
going to be. The coaching carousel and the transfer portal
is the exact same thing. But somehow again, we have
villainized the people making less money over the people
making more money. It's no different in the NFL,
unprofessional sports, where we villainize our players. We
villainize the millionaires for the sake of the billionaires
and now we're villainizing the kids who some of them, this is
their time to earn money playing sports. DJ Uyagalila is not
an NFL quarterback. Not legitimately, not for years. He's
going to make most of his money playing sports in college. Kyle
McCord doesn't look like an NFL quarterback right now. He's
going to make most of his money playing college sports. Can
insert Cam Ward here. Like he's going to make most of that
money playing college sports. So now we're going to victimize
the player trying to earn all he can. And we're going to say,
man, you left us underperformed. You did this gay artist money.
You were bad. The NFL does it every year. The NBA does it
every year. The NHL, the MLB, whatever. These establishments
have these same exact players. But again, we've victimized
the people making less for the sake of making more. It's
insane logic. I've never understood it, but that's the way
it is. And so the transfer portal is no different than the
coaching carousel. However you feel about the transfer portal,
you should feel the way about coaches changing. Because guess
what? The vast majority of these transfers are coming because
the coach left. Texas A&M is going to lose half their recruiting
class and probably a third of their roster minimum. Because
take Jemma Fisher got fired. But what about the coaches who
used to put different jobs? Two lanes in trouble. Willie
Fritz is now in Houston. Half of their recruiting class and a
third of their roster has been leave. Because they were A,
they were probably getting brought from two lanes to
Houston with Willie Fritz. Which if you're a kid, unless you're
from New Orleans and you're dreaming of going to two lanes,
that's an upgrade. I've been to both campuses. It's an upgrade.
The University of Houston facility, the indoor facility, is a
city block. Like it's an upgrade. The stadium is beautiful.
The weather is much better. Like you're not in danger of a
hurricane smacking you in the face every year. It's a better
situation in Houston. And your NIO is probably better in Houston
too. It's life, right? And so it's just the way it goes. You
should not slander the kid. I don't call them kids. They're
nothing but joking. I mean, but you shouldn't slander the
player, the athlete, for trying to make all the candy in the
NIO, for trying to transfer to a better spot for him, and
applaud the coach for moving up in the ranks. It's the exact
same thing. But that is all I have for you guys today. A
wonderful show. So glad to be back with you guys. And a shout
out to my fans all over the world. Shout out to you guys
especially, it's been right to my social media. Keep hitting
that follow button, man. I love it. It's big. It's helping other
people find out about me as well. Find out about our Just
in Thomas Boys family. So keep growing the family. Keep
growing, telling your friends, etc. But this is your host,
Justin Jackson, signing out.
We'll see you next time.