Welcome into the newest edition of the Justin Time Sports Podcast.
I am your host and owner, Justin Jackson.
In this week's episode, we'll be discussing the NFL week seven, along with week eight,
along with news on the NFL.
We will have our NFL betting segment, Jax Pack.
We will touch on the NBA returning and we will have Jax Hot Take.
Now, as always, don't forget to like, rate, and subscribe to the Justin Time Sports Podcast
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With the social media handle at JTimeSports, I repeat, at JTimeSports.
Follow your breaking news, updates, and highlights from around the sporting world.
Now, as always, don't forget to sit back and get ready to learn something.
Welcome into the show.
So excited to have you guys here with me on a Wednesday morning.
Well, recording is Tuesday night.
By the time you hear this, Wednesday morning, excuse my voice.
My voice is a little bit odd.
I've been feeling under the weather the past few days.
For some reason, my voice decided that it wanted to go out.
It sounds like me after I finish coaching.
For those of you who don't know, I am a high school football coach, defensive coordinator.
We're four on four right now.
Shout out to Baker Buffaloes.
But it sounded like my voice right after I'm finished coaching.
And so, again, I sound a little bit like Doc Rivers.
But, again, excuse me.
I apologize for my voice.
I've been feeling under the weather the past few days.
But I wanted to make sure I came in and recorded and gave you guys some content for this week.
Because I know that you guys look forward to my podcast.
Especially my fans over in Southeast Asia, Germany, France, picking up as well.
And of course, my American friends.
I always love you guys.
But we're going to jump right into the show.
As you heard in the intro, we've got last week and this week at the NFL.
We've got Jax back, which has taken a hit last week.
Last week was brutal.
Then we have touch on the NBA.
The NBA is back.
And then we'll have Jax hot take.
But the NBA is back.
I am watching currently the tail end of Lakers and Nuggets, which I'll touch on that probably
later in the show.
But the NBA is back.
So excited the NBA is back.
Nikola Jokic looks really, really in shape, which should be scary for the rest of the
NBA.
He doesn't have his baby fat on.
We got to talk about the NBA now, I guess.
He doesn't have his baby fat on.
So that's got to be terrifying for the rest of the NBA.
And in regards to the Lakers, they look good.
I just think there's a lot of new moving pieces.
I think the Lakers might be one of the teams that start off 5 and 5, 6 and 6, 5 and 7.
And then kind of have to roll their way into maybe an 8, 9, 10 game win streak where they
go from 8th in the West, 9th in the West to 1st or 2nd.
I think they're going to be one of those kind of teams.
They have to figure out what they're going to do with Cameron.
Jackson Hayes looks out of place.
Gabe Vincent doesn't really know what shots he wants to take.
And even in year 21, LeBron is the ecosystem.
So when he's on the court, the Lakers look like one of the better teams that you're going
to see in basketball.
He's off the court.
They get there playing the Nuggets, but he's the lookalike of a team that was struggling
to make the playoffs.
It's not something you want considering that LeBron has spoken about how he wants Anthony
Davis to take over at this age and stage in AD's career.
A hell of a player by Ricky Jackson.
Sheesh.
Oh, sorry.
I can tell you he was called a pope, my apologies.
But you got a lot of guys on Denver that just know their role.
The guys who came back from last year know what they're doing.
Yo Kitsch, Bron, Brady Jackson, KCP, Aaron Gordon, Jamar Murray.
Interesting switch decision there.
Those guys just know what they're doing.
And so out of the 10 guys that are playing, that have played, seven of them were key rotational
guys last year.
So Denver, Michael Porter Jr., Denver knows pretty much how they want to play.
I'm looking at the court now for the Lakers.
There was three Lakers on it.
Two Lakers on it from the start of last season.
Not one Laker on it from the start of last season being Anthony Davis.
Of course, D-Lo and Hachimura coming with the trade deadline, Vincent and you can't
see who the fifth started.
Oh, that's Cam Reddish arrive in his off season.
So the Lakers are going to try and figure their way out.
They cut the lead down on Denver.
Denver pushes it back out.
And then it would be very interesting as well in the second game with Phoenix and Golden
State because Phoenix has a depth problem thanks to them deciding to blow completely
through the second luxury tax, which if you guys know anything about the luxury tax system,
that is the way to go.
And so if you guys are unfamiliar with the luxury tax, especially with the second luxury
tax apron, if you decide to blow through it, you guys go to the second, you might want
to blow through it because the penalties for being one penny over are so painful.
You might as well just blow through it because one penny over means that, you know, you're
restricted, but you can't use second round picks and trades and you can't, you got to
go player for player in every trade, player for player and dollar for dollar in every
trade.
You can't acquire cash in a deal.
It's just, it's so many restrictions.
Um, I don't know, might have experience tomorrow night.
That'd be interesting.
I got to arrive at Victorin Bayama, but um, officially, but there's so many restrictions
to being a second apron team that Boston, Golden State, Phoenix, uh, they've just decided
that we're going to blow through it.
There's no point in being one penny in it.
We're going to sign for agents all the way to it and then resign our guys all the way
through it and we'll just be a ridiculously, um, sorry, uh, we'll just be a ridiculous
really, uh, high tax team.
Uh, Denver, uh, wouldn't go into the tax like that for, uh, Bruce Brown.
So Lakers blew through it, uh, or it got right up to it.
So there's, uh, multiple teams that just decided we're going to blow right through it.
Don't really care.
Because once you won penny over, you figured it's the cost of winning a championship.
You'll pay extra 200, 250 million dollars in luxury tax over four or five years.
If it guarantees you a title, I mean, it's how most owners kind of look at it.
And so that's what most owners decided to do.
So that, uh, so Phoenix did that.
My HPA came in, of course, Kevin Durant trade, Bradley Bill trade, Chris Paul trade, all
within six months of each other and also handed out a bunch of contract extensions.
Um, he also made the move of course to get rid of the Andre Aiden, which, uh, helped
facilitate some bench movement back.
Um, but, and then he helped facilitate the Damien Lillitray to Milwaukee.
Um, they got some big movement back, but for the most part it's built around the big four,
uh, Booker, Katie, uh, Bradley Bill, and now Yousef Nurgich.
Uh, and so it's been around the big three though, Booker, Katie, and Bradley Bill.
Um, now who are they going to guard?
Absolutely no idea.
I don't know who Bradley Bill is going to guard on the basketball court.
Um, and in the event that they do have an injury, like Bradley Bill has a back situation,
who's going to step up is Grayson Allen.
You know, like it kind of falls off the map and their weakness of lack of depth pops through,
uh, tremendously whenever one of them is down.
So that's going to be something to keep our eye on with Phoenix, how they move and maneuver
without Bradley Bill.
I'm sure for one game it won't be that big of a problem, but if Bradley Bill's back becomes
a lingering thing because Bill has had injury concerns.
Kevin Durant has missed time with injury.
Devin Booker is the 30th title of the group.
He's missed some time with injury, which feels like the modern take on every NBA player.
Who misses time with injury?
And so that's just the way it's going to go in Phoenix.
They're going to have to depend on health, which is why I didn't really pick Phoenix
to go very far because again, they're going to have to depend on health.
Um, it doesn't tend to make this an NBA topic, but hey, love it.
Um, and so since we're here, I might as well do my awards.
I'm an individual award person.
I'm not into all NBAs, all that stuff.
I don't pick them, but I will pick the big five.
So MVP, defensive player of the year, sixth man of the year, most improved and then coach
of the year.
And so my MVP selection, I think Giannis goes and gets it again.
I just think he has the ability to play with Damian Lowe this year.
He's going to see more space than he ever has in his life.
I just think Giannis, well, since he became the Giannis we know now, I just think Giannis
is going to see so much space that he's going to easily dominate in the paint, you know,
30 and 12, 30 and 15 might be regular stat lines for him.
And because of which I can see Giannis winning the MVP award for my most, for my sixth man
of the year.
Um, that one is a little bit tricky because these lineups, I think going to shuffle so
much, but one candidate I would drive the train for is Chris Paul.
As you guys know, Chris Paul's on the Golden State Warriors now after getting bounced a
couple of locations in the off season, feeling so Washington into Golden State.
I think that Chris Paul has the opportunity here to win sixth man of the year.
I don't see, I don't see Chris Paul starting.
Now Chris Paul has started every single game of his NBA career, his entire NBA career.
I just don't see Chris Paul starting.
It doesn't make basketball sense.
If you look at it, do you really want to start a lineup with Chris Paul who can't guard anybody
these days?
Steph Curry who you don't want guarding anybody these days?
Clay Thompson who last year with a shell of himself on defense.
Draymond Green and Andrew Wiggins are starting lineup.
That means your tallest player is six foot seven.
You can only, and even with that little, even with that small of a lineup, your switching
versatility doesn't involve either of your guards.
So you're in a situation where you're in an awful spot if you are the Golden State Warriors
by starting Chris Paul.
However, if you start Kavon Looney, now you have a real big, you still are in the same
Swiss limitations, but at least now you have a real big.
And Chris Paul come off the bench, captain of your second unit, he's the best second
unit leader arguably ever.
I mean, we're talking him and Manu Janobili.
And so if I'm Chris Paul, that's the decision I make with the organization.
I say Chris Paul is my sixth man of the year.
Oh, I also do Ricky of the Year as well.
I'm sorry.
For Coach of the Year, I think Coach of the Year is an interesting pick.
I think it's going to be Darvin Ham.
Either Darvin Ham or Willie Green.
You know, I'm going to go Willie Green.
I'm not going to go Darvin Ham.
I'm going to go Willie Green here with the New Orleans Pelicans.
And this may be hard overhead here because my head's saying Darvin Ham, but it may be
hard overhead here.
But I think the Pelicans have finally figured out for the most part the health situation
of their big three.
Now obviously it all hinges on Zion.
If Zion can find a way to play 60 games, I think they'll win 48 of the 60 he plays, win
eight of the 22 he doesn't, and they're a 50-60 winning team.
You know, it's just, it's that simple in New Orleans.
If he can play 65 games, they may win 40, you know, they may win 50-52 with those.
17 he doesn't play, they win five.
They're a 57-win team, probably number one seed.
People forgive before he goes down in December.
Even with Brandon Ingram already being down, the Pelicans were tied for first with the
Denver Nuggets in the Western Conference in the middle of December.
However, then he goes down, Ingram's already out, the team dovetails.
That is the kind of firepower New Orleans possesses.
CJ McCullough must fix his hand injury.
Zion Williamson looks to be in the best shape he's been in since his NBA career started.
Brandon Ingram, of course, is there.
They still have Jonas Valanchunas.
You know, they have a lot of those guys still readily available to play in New Orleans.
So I just think that it is the opportunity for the Pelicans to put it all together.
And I think Michael, oh, not Michael Malone, I was talking about the Nuggets thing.
Willie Green wins Coach of the Year in the NBA.
Defensive Player of the Year, that's an award that kind of varies up and down.
But I'm going to give it to Joel Embiid.
I think that Embiid is going to have to anchor the defense in Philly even more than usual.
And so I just think that he's going to have to anchor that defense, like I said, a little
bit more than usual in Philly, especially with the drama with James Harden.
And so I just think they're going to have to lean a little bit more on the defensive
end.
They're going to have to be better than an anchor than a 7'2", 7'3 guy in Joel Embiid.
And so I think that Embiid is going to win Defensive Player of the Year.
For my Rookie of the Year, I think it's going to be easily Victor Wimbenyama.
Now I think Chet is going to give him a run for his money because Chet didn't play last
year.
So the NBA has that real rule that's not like in any other sport.
If you don't play a minute in your Rookie of the Year, you can technically redshirt.
James Embiid redshirted two years, Blake Griffin redshirted, Ben Simmons had the redshirt year.
Julius Randall didn't because he got hurt like on his first play.
But it's like, you know, Blake Griffin had the redshirt year.
So if you don't play, you can kind of redshirt your first year rookie, your first year, and
then have your real two of your contract be your rookie in the NBA.
And so Chet is going to be in that Rookie of the Year race with Victor.
So the two long lanky forward center guys are going to be in the same Rookie of the
Year race.
I just think that Victor is going to have so much hype coming in.
It's going to be like LeBron and Mello where Chet numbers may look a little better, maybe.
But Victor is going to have the momentum.
Plus Chet's on a better team.
Chet has SGA, Josh Giddy, J-Dub, J-Will, Lou Dort.
He has guys, Victor Oladipo I think now.
He has guys that are going to put up their own numbers.
And so it may take away from his offensive counting numbers.
And so Victor is on the team with Jeremy Shone in prayers.
So I think he's going to have the opportunity to put up more counting numbers.
So Victor Winbyama wins Rookie of the Year.
I think that's everything.
MVP, six man Rookie of the Year, Coach of the Year.
So I'm not going to think of.
But anyway, so now we're going to transition into the NFL, which will be talk about NFL
Week 7.
Welcome back into the show.
And I'm going to go into my originally planned A block, which was just talk about NFL Week
7.
I started rolling about the NBA.
I was like, Hey, I want to touch on it.
But then it kind of expanded.
So we're going to talk about the NBA.
But now to our regularly scheduled A block again, NFL Week 7.
A lot of interesting games happened last week.
Um, that was some shockers as well.
Patriots beat the Bills.
That was shocking.
Oh, as you guys know, I'm a Patriots fan.
I had completely abandoned ship.
I even picked Buffalo in my very ill-fated Jax pack.
I picked Buffalo, I said the Patriots are cooked.
And then day of game day.
Um, way up to an article, nice article, several reporters, um, that Bill Belichick had indeed
signed a contract extension, a lucrative contract extension at that, um, to remain GM and head
coach of the team.
So that was interesting because if you guys remember, I kind of been saying that maybe
the Patriots plan is they're doing their reset year that they have their draft picks that
they have after this year, $100 million plus in cap space.
They possess most of their young players.
They have, um, staff stability.
Sorry, my mouth got stuck there.
Yoke is ridiculous.
Um, they have staff stability because Belichick is not going anywhere.
O'Brien's not going anywhere.
Draw Mayo is not going anywhere.
Um, the higher ups in the organization is not going anywhere.
You know, you have staff stability.
Reset year, just go 4 and 13, pick a really, really good left tackle, see what you have
in Mack Jones and kind of go from there.
Uh, which side note, right after my, uh, Chris Paul for six man of the year thing, the Warriors
start him tonight because Draymond Green's out, whatever.
Um, but yeah, it's kind of the things where, you know, you kind of see what you have on
the team and you can kind of retool.
This is a draft and an off season that can fix a lot of New England's problems.
T Higgins is going to be available.
The Bengals for some odd reason didn't trade him for a first round pick in the draft.
Um, so T Higgins is going to be available.
I think the Patriots should go and pay him.
I think that the Patriots should make a move on our running back.
Zeke is trying to bounce back.
Ramon J. Stevenson seems to be a shell of himself.
Uh, a couple offense alignment, some speed on the outside, quarterback.
Patriots are back in business.
Uh, they can do all that one off season, especially with the amount of money they're going to
have available in the salary cap and the draft fix they possess as well.
Um, smart spending and smart drafting the Patriots could be back.
Maybe not to total dominance, but to where kind of what they're used to seeing them
in one off season.
Um, and so the thing is though, go to the game with the Bills, I pretty much decided
that Patriots season was over.
Uh, they were going to lose to the good teams, battle the struggling teams, beat the bad
teams and as I said, go to the off season four and 13, five and 12 and then see what
happens.
But they beat the Bills.
They beat the Bills physically.
They beat the Bills schematically.
They got enough of a bad game from Josh Allen and they got enough of a great game from Mack
Jones and they were able to win.
Uh, to get their second win of the season.
The Patriots now have two wins, both are in division.
Uh, they beat the Jets and they beat the Bills.
Now they got the Dolphins.
So maybe they go three for three in the division.
I'm not sure, but we're going to definitely keep our eye on the Patriots game.
Uh, the Bills just didn't look like themselves.
Honestly, I'm not sure if it was a great Patriots game, which the Bills been a little off, but
the Bills didn't like themselves and the Bills come right after that game where they had
that really awkward thing with Brian Debel and the Giants, they didn't look good in that
game either.
Um, and so to go into the Patriots game and look as rough as they did, something's going
on in Buffalo.
Uh, it's feeling like we're on the down slope of the, um, Josh Allen roller coaster.
The Baltimore Ravens absolutely, and I mean this as kindly as I can, wrecked the Detroit
Lions.
Absolutely disrespected the city of Detroit, um, abused the state of Michigan.
Uh, I believe that I heard the city cry.
It was rough.
I think Motown, the building burned down.
Like it was rough in Detroit.
In Baltimore, I'm glad it wasn't a home game.
I mean Baltimore absolutely went to work.
They put on a show, Lamar Jackson was dancing around the Lions, finding receivers in the
end zone.
Schematically, it like the Lions did not practice all week.
They were not prepared for anything the Ravens were doing.
Um, and it's not high school football, you know, where you get that really good private
school that happens to be in the same district as the all right public school.
And then the private school just runs away from them hides.
This isn't college football with Alabama.
Like yeah, Alabama and South East center both division one for our programs.
But if they play Alabama win by, you know, 60, this is two NFL teams.
It's two highly paid quarterbacks, two highly paid coaches.
Everybody on the roster is making it's trying to make money to feed their families.
Then the Baltimore Ravens absolutely pick the lions apart.
Like they knew everything that was going to happen.
And they just absolutely destroyed the Detroit Lions.
Absolute great win from the Baltimore Ravens organization.
They are springboarding their way up.
And the scary part about it was the Ravens didn't like they care.
You know, like you win a game like that, you're jumping, you're bouncing, you're celebrating,
you're doing this, that and the third.
The Ravens was like, all right, onto the next thing because they have bigger goals and aspirations.
They want the Super Bowl.
And so that's what the Ravens looking for.
And that was a determined destruction that they put together after last game.
So absolute big, big kudos to the Baltimore Ravens organization for the way that they
played that game.
The Eagles defeated the Miami Dolphins in a game again where physicality reigns supreme.
The Philadelphia Eagles were able to tush push like five or six times.
A brotherly shove, whichever one you prefer.
They were AJ Brown is continuing his high streak.
He now has five games over 125 yards receiving continuing his high streak as well.
Jalen Hurts looked somewhat like the Jalen Hurts.
We seen last year, he had his moments there not running nearly as much.
I think that's by design.
The menace and then when you go look more into the game, the Miami Dolphins, Tyree Hill
got off.
Not much else did.
The loss of Devon A. Kane or a Shane, a Kane.
I think it's a Kane.
I'm gonna go with the Kane.
The loss of him is showing because the one thing that this offense, this version of the
Kyle or the Mike Shanahan offense had over the other versions that exist in Arthur Smith
runs it in Tennessee, but Kyle Shanahan of course runs it in San Francisco.
Sean McVey runs it in Los Angeles.
The difference between their versions and Miami's versions is that Miami's versions
are just so fast.
Tyree Hill, Jalen and Wilder, Devon A. Kane.
I mean they think they're still responsible for the top seven fastest runs with the ball
in the league.
They're just so much faster.
So yes, the scheme is really, really good, but if I get to the really, really good scheme,
really, really fast, it makes it incredibly hard to stop.
And so that was the issue that a lot of people have with them.
It's like we're already out-schemed and we have to almost be early to stuff because of
how much faster they are.
And if we're wrong on what we're early to, you might as well go ahead and put up seven
points.
I mean that's kind of what most people are going through.
Well, with our A. Kane out, you can overplay the pass because the speed isn't there at
running back that it was previously.
Not that kind of speed.
Sure, they're fast.
They're gonna have running backs, but they're not elite.
I make fast people look slow, fast.
And so now people are kind of overplaying the pass as opposed to being stuck between
the middle.
And so that's affecting Miami's pass game, which in turn affecting their run game because
now you don't have that elite speed guy to get around the outside.
Even when the play breaks down, he's just going around you.
And it's limited play action.
People are still reacting to pass first.
And so it's affecting the Miami Dolphins offense.
And you were able to see when Philly brought in some of those exotic pressures, Miami had
trouble kind of picking them up at certain points.
And Tua for the first time all season looked a little frazzled.
Not a lot, not a lot by any means, but it was enough to where it wasn't his usual comfortable.
I'm gonna just pick you apart because I have the fastest team over in the prep for him.
A damn accurate quarterback.
He was forced to, he was forced to pat the ball a couple of times.
The timing was a little off.
Again, it wasn't anything super major, but it was enough to affect the Dolphins offense.
And for the first time all season, make it look mundane.
And my last point I'm going to talk about before I get into news is Brock, Mr. Irrelevant
Purdy.
I do this because I love this, honestly.
And I do this because I want you guys to have the best information, have the best news as
unbiased as possible.
I tell you my biases before they even start.
The Yankees, it's LSU, it's LeBron, and it's the Pelicans.
I tell you this before it starts.
So if you hear bias in one of those topics, you can't say Justin never told you because
I'm telling you right now what my bias is like.
Okay.
Let's just, we got that out of the way?
We got that out of the way.
All right.
I told you last week for the first time in his life, he, Brock Purdy specifically, had
to discover what it was like to live like the rest of the quarterbacks live.
Nobody else in the league has all pro everythings.
Nobody else in the league has highest paid everythings.
Nobody else in the league has the highest paid left tackle and the highest paid running
bag and the highest paid inside linebacker and not one of the highest paid, it's not
the highest paid DB core and one of the highest paid receivers in the league.
No one else has that.
Mathematically, it doesn't work.
Brock Purdy makes 800 grand against salary cap.
So that leaves the entire salary cap to fill in the roster.
Last week, he lost some of his all pros and he looked pretty human.
He actually lost a start, which at that point was deemed nearly impossible.
And then this week, having all week to practice without those guys, even getting some of them
back, Christian McCaffrey played, Trent Williams, I think, played.
I know he got Debo back.
He looked human again, even throwing two fourth quarter interceptions and ultimately costing
him a C in the game and now he's lost two starts in his career.
Brock Purdy is not that good.
Accurate, I give you that.
He threw a couple of beautifully timed passes in the last game.
I give you that.
I give you that entirely.
He threw a couple of beautifully timed passes, especially right across the middle.
I give you that.
Right?
But he's just not that good.
He's just not.
Sorry.
I'm sorry to be the bearer of bad news.
I don't want to be this guy.
I'm simply telling you the truth, but don't hit your wagon to Brock Purdy.
This is an opportunity for you to be on the right side of history.
Do you want to be on the side of the people that make sense or Brock Purdy?
You want to be on the side of the people who worked in scouting and he was the dead last
pick in the NFL draft and the only team to come out and the only report that has come
out and said that they wanted him to be their quarterback even on the practice squad or
for agent signing is Minnesota Vikings.
Do you want to be right?
Or do you want to be on the side of Brock Purdy?
Do you want to be the hot taking machine who can 20 years from now say, man, I've seen
that seventh round pick coming?
Or do you want to be right?
See, this is not a situation where it's a negotiable moment.
It's a non-negotiable.
What's going to happen is Brock Purdy is going to turn back to the pumpkin that he is.
It is not an offensive Brock Purdy.
I promise it's not personal.
He's just going to return back into the pumpkin instead of Cinderella's horse John carriage
with the beautiful horses and the glass slipper and all that stuff.
He's going to lose all of that and then turn back into the pumpkin that we know and did
not love him as an Iowa state.
I promise it's going to happen as the day is long as the sun raises in the sky.
Rock Purdy will turn back into well, Brock Purdy.
Um, can I say that a lot of last year, eventually he has to return back to my friend eventually
and they stayed it off.
I think Philly might have did it to him in the playoffs last year, but they stayed it
off.
He was injured.
The excuse city, um, injuries legitimate though.
And then I, and then he came out this year, still winning games.
I said, you know, he, maybe, maybe I, I almost chugged some of the Kool-Aid.
Maybe he's just that real.
And then I started seeing signs of he's not, he's just Brock Purdy.
He is we thought he was, he is exactly what you thought he was.
Pretty okay quarterback starter, low end, but starter, nothing you shine your organization's
futures on.
It's okay.
It's one of those moments you get the opportunity to be right.
So if I'm the, if I'm on the right side of history, if I'm being smart, I, I choose the
side of rock party is going to turn back into Brock Purdy.
That's just me.
But anyway, let's go into news.
Quick hitters.
The New England Patriots have waived Malik Willis, Malik Cunningham.
My apologies.
Uh, they just signed into an extension about 10 days ago.
One of those weird language based extensions, but he, uh, he was waived by the New England
Patriots.
Um, today, um, the Tennessee Titans are expected to.
Potentially play Malik Willis, which is why I think I'm Malik Willis and, uh, Will Levis
as Ryan Tannehill is out.
So they have two young quarterbacks, both picked them back to back drafts.
Uh, neither one first on traffic.
So now they have the opportunity to see both of them play and appear like they're going
to take it.
Uh, Zach Ertz and Isaiah Nguyen, uh, the, uh, the chief Cardinals and Dolphins respectively
have both been placed on IR for a, uh, duality of elements.
Uh, Marvin Jones Jr. decided to leave football, um, the Detroit Lions do the personal family
matters.
The Lions has since waived him as a result.
The Rams have released Brett Maher as a result of missed kicks.
Oh, and lastly, unfortunately, Kansas City Chiefs, where I received with Justin Ross,
who just seemed to be turning a corner in his career.
Uh, it's been charged with multiple, uh, counts, including battery.
But up next, we're going to shift into NFL week eight.
Welcome into the show.
And now we're going to talk about NFL week eight and what's happening this current week.
Starting off with Thursday night football, the Bucks and the Bills.
Now we spoke about the Bucks and the Bills earlier.
We won't pick this game.
It is in our NFL.
No, it's actually okay.
We can pick this game right now.
Uh, producer just told me, uh, we can pick this game right now.
It is in, uh, not in our Jax pack.
So therefore we can pick it disgusting and full.
So we talked about in the second segment, how Josh Allen's in that streak.
He's in that odd space where he'll have two, three to four games where it's just like,
Josh, what are you doing?
You know, and it's just, it's just Josh, what Josh, what are you doing?
Um, and then the offense looks just shoveled and you guys weird Stefan digs that ain't
going on and they've been playing off the past couple of weeks and playing off offensively
with going against Bill Belichick is one thing.
It's totally understandable.
Bill Belichick is the best defensive mind ever.
It's totally understandable.
They look off against giants and against the giants team.
When the bill, when the bills were at home, that everyone knew the designs were trying
to make the game short and not necessarily get into any kind of real battle, um, especially
offensively and they were, man, not long at all away and they're potentially Tyra Taylor
checking out, um, of the play on the goal line in the first half from the giants winning
that game.
Um, so that's, I mean, that's the situation.
That's the, um, that's the situation going on in Buffalo right now.
Um, and Tampa Bay is playing with a lot of confidence.
He and his plan better than anybody thought they would play.
Um, myself included a Baker Mayfield hasn't tanked yet.
I think it's going to happen, of course, but he hasn't quite taint yet.
Um, Mike Evans is still producing at a high level.
That defense is rolling.
I'm going to actually go with Tampa and the upset here on Thursday night, uh, in Buffalo.
I think Tampa gets it done.
Uh, and I think Tampa gets it done close 20, uh, four to 20.
I think that Buffalo comes up in the red zone small at times, smaller than they should be
given the talent that they have.
Uh, I think Tampa squeaks out.
Mike Evans gets a long one.
Uh, they may pop one in the running game, big return sets up a short field for Baker,
knock in some field goals and you win the game 24 to 20.
Um, so that is how I think bucks and bills are going to go.
Uh, sticking in the ASE East, but traveling South way South, uh, the New England Patriots
take their annual trip to the Miami dolphins.
Now usually this game is in, I call it weather crisis spot.
It's either really early where Miami's 95 degrees fill or it's really late where Miami
was 85 degrees.
They're 80 degrees, but New England's 20, you know, so you're flying in, you're shivering,
you're shivering all week and then you fly off Friday and land in this beautiful, warm,
thick, humid air and it's cramped city.
Are you moving slow as it or goes the other way where it's pretty decently warm in New
England, it's 80, 85 every day.
Miami is 95, 100 again, humid area, it's cramped city.
Being that it's this time of year, late October, the temperatures are in the same area and
it's not nearly as humid as it would be known in Miami.
So the weather advantage Miami would normally carry in this game is not nearly as impactful
as it normally is.
Now good teams get embarrassed, usually play really, really well the next week.
Do I think that the dolphins will win the game?
I do.
I think they'll win the points spread.
I believe it was eight and a half, nine most plays.
I think it'll be close on the points spread.
I say I think it'll be a six point game.
Things going on with Miami organizationally that people are kind of cracking the code
a little bit.
Um, just a little bit.
I'm not saying they're solved by any means, but people are starting to slow them down
week by week.
They're getting a little bit slower and a little bit slower and a little bit slower.
I think this game is decently low scoring.
I got 23 17 of dolphins.
I think they get in the end zone, you know, two, three times and you know, whatever 24
17 somewhere in there.
Uh, dolphins, I think they win the game, but it's a game where, you know, pages had a
ball late, you know, down seven down six, three, four minutes left for timeout or dolphins
have it up six, four minutes left.
Pat said, you know, it'll be somewhere where the last couple of minutes of the game matters.
I think it'll be a really close football game.
I think the dolphin dolphins ultimately squeak it out.
Uh, we're going to skip over the battle for New York because that is in my Jack's pack
and we're going to go over the battle of the top picks as well.
Also in my Jack's pack, but we are going to go into the Browns at the Seahawks.
I guess it's an interesting game.
It's a cross country travel game as pretty much all of Seattle games are except for us
in the division.
Um, but Cleveland goes across the country to play Seattle.
Cleveland is bringing in one of the angriest defenses and one of the meanest defense I've
seen in a while.
Uh, they gave up a lot of points with the Colts, but a lot of it was flukey plays.
Um, and so I think that the Browns are going to go in there against Seattle, a team that's
a little less pop happy than the Colts.
The Colts are kind of playing with house money.
And so they're going forward.
I think Seattle is going to play a little more of a stage of the game, which allows
Myles Garrett to go off a little bit more.
That Browns defense is hungry.
It's active.
They will turn you over and they will try to score off state turnovers.
We've seen multiple big turnovers, back including TJ White.
But what Myles Garrett did in the last game, man, jumped over the line, blocked the field
goal.
He got our safety.
Um, he had multiple, two or three sacks.
Um, he was absolutely all over the place.
Undoubtedly the best player on both teams.
The most dominant player on defense last week by far.
Um, he played absolutely hell of a game.
And so I think he brings that momentum into, um, Seattle.
And the Browns get a victory, uh, with PJ Walker in the center, 24-20.
I mean, the Browns get a victory there.
A big defensive plays insider.
You know, it's a second and 12 and then becomes third and 19 because of Myles Garrett's sack
or a strip fumble or, you know, I think the defense makes a play for Cleveland when they
need it and they squeak out a four point victory, 24-20.
And then the last game I want to take a gander at is a Cincinnati Bengals at the San Francisco
49ers.
A game that has a lot of potential.
The 49ers to me are one game away from panicking because up until a couple weeks ago, Brad
Perry never lost.
Now, obviously he was going to lose eventually, but he had never lost.
He definitely had not lost two in a row with the second one totally being his fault.
That had not happened.
Uh, Christian McCaffrey has entered for a record of 16 consecutive games with a touchdown
from scrimmage.
Um, you know, he's, he's getting help from his all pros and yet he threw the game away.
Like I said, two in the seven in the fourth quarter is unacceptable.
You're not going to win a football game like that.
And so the 49ers are the first time could potentially looking at Perry down the hallway
going he may not be perfect.
Um, and then the Bengals, man, huge opportunity for the Bengals here to go into San Francisco
and have all the confidence in the world because not many people go into San Francisco.
I don't even think the San Francisco 49ers to begin with, but definitely not a lot of
people go into San Francisco, into Levi's Stadium, um, and defeat the 49ers.
That usually doesn't happen, but with Brock Purdy has a struggle in the past couple of
weeks, especially in the last week's fourth quarter, this is an opportunity for the Bengals
to get a huge win that they normally would not be able to get.
And I'm going to pick them to get it.
Uh, I think they, uh, now they're going to have a block Nick Bosa and that pass rush
the 49ers.
But I think that Brock Purdy is going to be so not viable on the other end that they're
able to, um, get a victory for the Bengals 27 to 24.
It'll be closer to come down to even McPherson or Moody knocking in the kick is how the game's
going to go.
But 27, 24 Cincinnati Bengals.
But up next, we are going to shift to our NFL betting segment.
Welcome into the show.
And now we're on to our NFL betting segment.
Jack's pack.
It was a rough week for the first time since I've been doing this.
I went oh, and five.
Oh, that's interesting.
Nerd kids, K.O.
Cause okay, nevermind.
So Cody's going to be the fifth starter in the event Bradley bills healthy cause Alan
Grayson, Alan's sorry.
Okay.
Um, but, um, for the first time since doing this, when oh, and five, when oh, and five,
first time doing this, that was rough.
And we had a couple of games that were right on the edge, like a Cleveland minus two.
And then when my one, uh, we had a couple of, I had another one that was really right
on the edge that we ultimately just didn't get, unfortunately.
Um, but we're going to bounce back this week.
We are 14 and 19 on the season.
Not great.
Um, so to give you a percentage on that, we are as at 14 of 19 on the season.
Uh, which comes out to 40%.
So we are about 16, 17% under what we want to be, which again is a professional gambler
rank of, um, 55 to 56%.
We are at 40%.
So we're going to bounce back.
Our locks are hitting at about 57%.
So our last is professional gambler, four, four and three in our locks.
Uh, then we went oh, and five last week.
So that was not great, but like I said, we are going to bounce back this week.
I can assure you of that.
We're going to come back with a vengeance this week.
We're going to start off with the battle of New York.
Um, I, uh, jets minus three at the Giants take the jets.
I just think defensively the Jessica dominant this game.
The Giants are going to struggle to score the basketball period.
Not the basketball.
So I'm watching basketball.
The Giants are going to struggle to score the football plain and simple.
Um, and I think Zach Wilson can eke out 17 points.
I don't think the Giants are getting 10 as great as, you know, Brian David is his job
as solid as Tyra Taylor has looked.
The jets are going to torture the Giants offense.
I think it's going to be an ugly low scoring like 17 to 10 kind of game.
That's all I need to cover.
Uh, so man, hell, it might be 17 to 12.
That's all I need to cover.
Uh, so the jets minus three at the Giants take the jets.
Vikings and they pick them at the Packers take the Vikings.
Uh, something's going on with the Packers.
They're running out of love for Jordan.
Uh, he's struggling now.
He can't, he's not even turning it on in the fourth quarter.
It's just not coming on.
Uh, I don't know what's going on exactly with, um, the Greenway of Packers offense.
I don't think they're developing, uh, Jordan love.
Well, I think the lead's catching on to what they want to do with him and he's not adjusting
well.
Um, so something going on with that, uh, organization offensively and the frustration are beginning
to leak out.
Minnesota is playing with house money.
They have found how to get Jordan Addison loose.
Um, they do really, really well with the tight end position with TG Hawkinson.
He's starting to get his catches and targets as well.
Um, and so there's just a lot of positive happening with Minnesota defensively.
They look really, really good.
Um, and so I just think that, uh, Minnesota is going to win, uh, the game, which of course
covers the Pickle.
And the battle of the top two picks in the draft, um, CJ Stroud needs some Texans with
a three, a three point favorite over the Carolina Panthers.
Um, my lock of the week, take the Texans.
They're just a better team.
She has a better quarterback.
The Panthers are still not one of a game in CJ's, in Bryce Young's career.
She has a better quarterback.
Um, the Texans are the better team.
The Texans are actually, you know, playing to win games.
The Panthers are playing because they can't practice all week.
Um, and still click the paychecks.
Then the Texans are going to run away and hide with this game.
This is maybe a double, maybe a 14, 17 point kind of game.
Uh, the Texans are going to destroy the Panthers and of course cover the three points.
The Las Vegas Raiders at the Lions, Lions minus eight.
Uh, take the Lions here.
The teams get, they get beat, they get embarrassed.
Especially the way the Lions got embarrassed.
Especially how they come home.
They're going to want to defend themselves.
They're going to want to bowl up.
They're going to want to come back.
That was the worst game in the Dan Campbell era.
Um, and so they were absolutely pummeled and embarrassed.
I think they're going to bounce back and show that they have some kind of grit in there.
Uh, you know, get up and bite off a kneecap on the way up in the words of Dan Campbell.
And so I think they run away and hide from the Raiders and they cover the eight points.
And then lastly, but certainly not least, Bears at Chargers, Chargers minus eight and
a half.
Take the Chargers.
Same, same concept.
The Chargers were handled, uh, by the Kansas City Chiefs.
They struggle, uh, they struggled offensively the past couple of weeks.
They've already had defensive struggles.
As you guys know, they are the worst total defense, uh, in the NFL since Justin Herbert's
first game was started when he started unexpectedly because the doctor tried to puncture, had
to kill Tyra Taylor and punctured his lung.
Uh, okay.
He didn't literally try to kill Tyra Taylor, but he stabbed Tyra Taylor and punctured his
lung.
And so ever since that game, the Chargers have had the worst defense in the NFL in history,
um, in that time span to start a quarterback's career.
And so I think this is a get right game for the Chargers.
Now they have a week of tape on that Bears quarterback as Justin Fields remains out due
to his thumb grip, or he's dislocated thumb.
Uh, and so they get a week of tape on him and I think the Chargers run away and hide
from the Bears pretty early.
Or they get way out in front early.
Uh, Herbert puts on a masterclass and the Chargers win covering the eight and a half.
So again, I have Jets minus three over the Giants, the Vikings, and you pick them over
the Packers.
Texans minus three over the Panthers, which is my lock of the week.
Our two unit bet, Raiders, uh, Lions over the Raiders minus eight, uh, for the Lions
and then Chargers minus eight and a half over the Bears.
Now up next, we're going to shift into our Jax hot tape, which we're going to talk about
at the University of Michigan, Scandal.
Welcome back into the show and into Jax hot take, which is going to be a discussion or
a take on the University of Michigan football, um, sign stealing scandal.
So it came out a few days ago that Michigan was on the investigation again under Jim Harbaugh
again.
This time was interesting.
Um, so reportedly they were stealing signs.
They were having someone, which again, everyone still signs for lack of a word, just to be
clear, but they were having someone, uh, travel to different games with their opponents and
to record or write down or whatever the signs of the opposing team.
So what's the sign go to?
What is the play?
What does the sign go to?
What is the play?
Uh, even if there's no more than run pass and kind of, you know, it greatly helps you
out if you know, it's a run arts pass more than just tendencies.
What's the sign?
What's the play?
What's the sign?
What's the play?
Um, and so, um, when it came out, cruelly, or not cruelly is a bad word.
When it came out shadily, my brain went, or I thought, Hey, this will be really easy to
get out of.
Take some GA or somebody that not necessarily you don't like, but you know, don't have a
big future in this business.
Take some low level assistant, get them to sign the NDA, say he did it, give them $150,000
a package, $200,000 a package and end of story.
You know, you, you, you, you take a, a small reduction in something, pay a big fine, give
him money on the side, end of story.
Right.
And that's basically exactly what the University of Michigan has done.
Um, so the person they've done it to is Connor Stallions has become an escape go from Michigan.
They have paper trails of him paying for tickets to games, different opponents.
They have him, um, on video now where, and they did the paper trail is a paper trail
where, oh, he bought tickets and then he transferred them to this account or he bought tickets
for this game.
So for that game and how is this person who's making, you know, a 65 grand a year buying
all these premium seats, all these big games.
We'll do, we'll do.
Right.
That's, that could be easily explained away.
Maybe they used to, I don't know, but you can somewhat, I'm sure smart people somewhere
with given time and resources can explain that away.
It's can't explain away is the video that came out and it was a video of Stallions gaze
with GA standing right next to the defensive coordinator.
When they're playing Ohio state's first drive of the game, very first out again, there's
no tendencies in this game.
Nothing.
Ohio state comes to the line and does their famous check with me where everybody stands
up and they, and they get to play, you know, it's just called check with me.
Right.
So show the formation, you're hiking, see if you're running moves and you check up
the sideline.
When they did the check with me, you can see in the video Stallions and the defensive coordinator
look to the sideline, not just like look to their own team to try and get, not look to
their team on the field to try and get them lined up position or whatever.
They look straight at the Ohio state sideline.
Once the signal comes in as Ohio state is turning back to the line of scrimmage, the
entire area of Michigan's players and staff are pointing to the sky signaling pass.
There is Stallions running right in the ear of the defensive coordinator.
The entire secondary is signal, the entire, not secondary sideline is signaling pass.
The GA, the defensive coordinator, players, they're all jumping and pointing to the sky
signal to pass.
It's the very first series of the game and you, it's hard to get Tennessee that strong
from an A-Rate team that they're going to pass and you got it from Ohio state pretty,
I mean, so by the angle, it's not like Ohio state's in the middle of the field.
It's third and 17.
I mean, it's probably, you know, it's inside the 30.
It's where it run passes either one and they're all jumping signaling pass after seeing the
signal from the Ohio state sideline.
And so it looks like they're going to scapegoat kind of Stallions in this.
Ironically, I believe he follows Justin Thomas' voice.
He's interacted with the Pays a couple of times.
And so it was kind of weird seeing the name like that name looks familiar.
I think it's him.
So I hope it's one of the ways to it's bad, but he's going to get fired.
Ultimately, he might get scapegoated from the business.
But it, it seems like they're trying to do underhanded tactics.
I thought nobody would notice somebody put the PIP trail together.
He gets blamed for it, you know, end of discussion kind of thing.
But I think that he's the scapegoat.
I don't know if he actually was sent to do it.
I don't know how he's a scapegoat, but I think he's the either the unwilling or the willing
scapegoat to this plan by the University of Michigan football program to steal signs.
But that is all I have for you guys today.
I thank you guys for powering through my voice.
For those of you who are concerned how I feel, I feel fine.
No congestion, no headache, you know, anything like that.
My voice sounds absolutely awful.
But that is all I have for you guys today.
This is your host, Justin Jackson signing out.
Thank you.