Welcome in to the newest edition of the Justin Time Sports Podcast.
I am your owner and host, Justin Jackson.
And this week's episode, we'll be discussing the blockbuster trade in the NBA involving
Damian Lillard.
We will have our NFL week three recap.
We will have our Thursday night football recap.
Along with that, talk about NFL week four, we will have our continuing successful NFL
betting segment, Jax pack.
And we will always have, as always, Jax hot take to close out the show.
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Welcome into the show.
Welcome to the Justin Time Sports Podcast season four, episode 27.
It's about damn time we get this started.
Okay.
All right.
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I admit that was rough, but we're going to keep it because we're going to roll with our
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Uh, okay.
Mostly unbiased.
I'm biased when it comes to the Pelicans.
I'm biased when it comes to the Patriots.
I barely talk Yankees because it was just before my fans perspective.
Um, but everybody else unbiased opinion regarding the sports world and what is going down in
the latest sports world, but let's get on to the show.
It's the middle NFL season.
I know it's week four.
I know we four started last night.
I get it.
I totally understand that we four started last night in a great game, uh, in a divisional
game that we'll talk about later.
Um, but when the NBA drops a bomb like this in their off season, you have to start with
it as Dane time has officially ended in Portland.
However, it has a new home.
He will be tapping his watch in green and white for the Milwaukee bucks standing next
to Yannis Antetokounmpo as Damien Lillard.
Any three team deal has been traded to the Milwaukee bucks.
Um, not the Miami.
So this has a lot of different facets, a lot of different areas that can discuss.
First I'll give you guys all the details.
That's fully shared on all just in time for social medias.
Damien Lillard is the Milwaukee books received Damien Lillard in this trade.
Portland Portland receives a pretty good haul.
Drew Holliday, Deandre Aiden, uh, to money camera, a Camaro, a 20, 29 unprotected first
round pick and a swap rights with the books in 20, 28 and 2030.
And the Phoenix suns who helped facilitate this trade obviously received Yusef Nurtkic,
Yusef Nurtkic from Portland, Grayson Allen, uh, Nasir Little and Keon Johnson is what
the spinning suns, um, return.
So there's a lot of different angles.
You can discuss this trade.
So I will start off with the angle.
If you're the bucks, if you're the Milwaukee bucks, this was a move to keep Yannis in a
Milwaukee uniform.
Yes.
Short term.
I think you're a better basketball team.
Now you're going to miss your holidays defensive prowess.
You're going to miss, um, those assets later down the line.
Grayson Allen's a good three and deep player.
You're going to miss maybe potentially miss that 20, 29 unprotected first.
That's what five years out or six years out.
I mean, that's after Dane's contract is over.
That's after Yannis's next contract will be over.
Um, so those, so that could be interesting in terms of if that unprotected first round
pick ends up being a top three pick with a generational talent, you know, it's one of
those butterfly effect moments.
You keep it.
It ends up being in the 20s or the 30s because you're winning titles.
Um, it's useless.
You're traded as a top three pick and the next Carmella Anthony, Dwayne Wade, um, Luca
Troy Young is that pick, you know, next Yannis is that pick, you know, it's, uh, it's one
of those situations where that pick will look at in six years and go, man, that was a hell
over pick to give up for this, especially cause they didn't win a title, especially
because you know, it, who it became.
It had been worth way worse than it was.
Or we could look at it and say, man, they won three titles in five years.
Um, there are dynasty and that pick is in the thirties.
Who gives, you know, who cares or that picks in the late twenties on 30 teams that picks
in the late twenties, who cares?
Um, and so that's the only thing that we can discuss.
Again, the swap rights are useless unless for some reason Portland is better than Milwaukee
and then that's why it becomes important.
Otherwise they're useless.
Um, so let's stick to what we know.
So if you're, if you're the Milwaukee Bucks, you're, you're thinking title of us.
This move was made for two folds.
It was made for the short term because now you, this season and next season, you have
one of the best, if not the best tag team in the NBA.
For the first time in Dame's life, he's playing with somebody demarcably better than him.
And for the first time in Yannis life, he's playing with a bona fide type of top 15 player.
Um, Damian Lewis is a top 75 player all time.
He's a future Hall of Famer.
Um, he's Dame time.
He's big, he's big time.
He's box office.
Um, we've seen him in multiple situations.
We've seen him wave off Paul George.
We've seen him, uh, go toe to toe with the Codin State Warriors.
Um, we'll see, we'll see them in color on his side.
We've seen him in a lot of different capacities.
We've never seen him with his title contention.
At no point in Portland were they title contenders at all.
And if anybody's trying to trick themselves in Portland, and I, and hey, I love Portland
as a fan base, uh, Damian Lewis, he's a top, he's a top, he's a top, he's a top, he's
a top 25, um, uh, if anybody who wrote a whole info from our contact, I don't know if I
mentioned it just before, but my contact was not responding the recall me that I felt
is trying to trick themselves into thinking Portland
was ever a title contender in the West is,
is just that, it's tricking themselves,
it's deceiving themselves,
it's allowing themselves to have mental anguish
and pain that they don't deserve.
They'd be like me as a Pelicans fan saying,
man, remember that year that Steph hit the shot
of only they didn't get hurt.
Now, Rondo's convinced they won the title,
he's on the team, he would know better than I,
but, it was Demarcus Cousins' year,
but, it would be foolish of me as a fan to say,
man, the Pelicans should have won the title,
or the Pelicans wouldn't have had a contention,
they weren't.
And the same thing with Portland,
like, at no point in Portland's history,
they made it to the Western Conference Finals,
and I still would not have deemed them a title contender.
So, Dane, for the first time in his career,
goes into a season, the favorite to win the title,
because he's rolling with, to me,
the best player on the planet,
and that's Giannis Antetokounmpo.
Well, Alehima Jokic, the top two player on the planet,
and that's Giannis Antetokounmpo.
If you're Portland, you have,
I go to Phoenix first, and I go to Portland.
If you're Phoenix, you have now,
hey, you got rid of Deandre Aiden,
grain it, grain it.
You did pick up Yusef Nerkic's bad contract,
but you got rid of Deandre Aiden,
you got that out of the building.
You add Wing Dep, and Grayson Allen, let's see a little,
and Kion Johnson.
Now, none of these guys are gonna win you an NBA title,
but KD needs a night off, Book needs a night off,
Bill needs a night off.
Any one of the last three I name could fill into their roles,
or fill into their spots.
Not necessarily fill their roles,
but you would be comfortable enough
to say we're not gonna get destroyed because of blah.
Because of stars, I expect them Phoenix play heavy minutes,
so you can kinda say we're not getting destroyed
because of blah.
And so, that was huge for Phoenix,
because they pretty much, I mean, to me,
I would stand at them running seven people
for most of the year, I mean, playing 10,
but three other people playing three, four minutes a game,
primarily a seven man rotation for most of the year.
Now, Grayson Allen's a rotational piece.
Let's see a little of when he's healthy
to play in that rotation.
Kion Johnson, I've seen him play in rotations.
So, now you have 10 to 11 people
that they can comfortably roll in.
Now, with a roster, with a front four that big,
do you ever decide to go with
the bench guys for too long?
Probably not, but it does give credence to,
on a playoff game, playoff series,
you need more than just your seven guys.
You know, it's probably just a foul trouble, et cetera.
You need some more players ready to go,
capable guys ready to go,
people who just aren't going to
get absolutely destroyed out there,
but they are going to work every single day
in order to become better.
So, if you were in Phoenix's case,
those role players were gonna be huge,
because they allowed you to play at a different pace,
especially in the playoffs.
Now, you know, I'm not saying that
with a team of Kevin Durant, Bradley Beal,
Yousef Nerkic, Devin Booker,
that Grayson Allen is going to decide
who wins or loses the NBA Finals,
but it does give you the ability to play
a little bit differently,
it does give you the ability to play more physically.
Maybe one of those games where Kevin Durant
has two fouls with two minutes left in the first quarter,
you're not necessarily thinking,
well, he can survive on defense
with two minutes to keep him in the game.
You'll just pull him, put Grayson Allen in,
lose the offense effectively,
but you got a great catch and shoot guy,
and you get the defender.
Flipping it over to the side of Portland,
you have an asset now.
So De'Andre Aiden is gonna be a guy you keep around
for, you know, three years, probably three to four years,
he matches your team timeline.
He's not in his prime here or entering his prime.
The guy who's there has not arrived yet.
So Aiden has the ability here to get a fresh restart,
that potentially moving J.M.Current,
he can have an opportunity to be really, really good
for a very long time in Portland.
But Portland has probably the most interesting asset
in the NBA, that's Drew Holliday.
Drew Holliday doesn't match up timeline-wise
with the Portland Trailblazers.
He's in his mid-30s, he's trying to win now.
Portland's gonna go full on rebuild.
And when you got a two-way guard on a contract next year,
because you're gonna have to get extended,
there won't be something insane.
He's a very two-way guard,
probably one of the best two-way guards in the NBA.
And he has the ability to clamp down your number one guard,
along with score the ball.
It was all that shit when Millerton went down,
Drew decided, okay, I'm gonna pick my offense up.
And just immediately started to score the ball a lot more.
So that's a huge sign, if you are Portland,
that you can move him.
People are gonna get desperate for players.
Right, and usually a trade like this
doesn't happen so close to training camp,
because usually teams would immediately pivot
during training camp,
and try and get themselves another guy.
But me personally,
I don't think he ever reports to Portland.
It makes no sense.
He's in his mid-30s,
everyone else on Portland that matters is 25, 26 or younger.
He's looking for a win-out situation.
Portland's at least two to three years off.
And there's gonna be so many suitors
lining up to try and come get him.
Boston should be one of his online lines.
Golden State should be the first in that line.
New Orleans, Philly,
just to name a few of the teams
that I think make the most sense for Drew Holliday
to get redirected out of Portland
into a contenders uniform,
somewhere where he can make a big difference right now
on the winning,
and not just the fact that he's running around the court,
but he does make an impact, like I said, on the winning.
So I think that, again, New Orleans,
Golden State for a redirection of Chris Paul,
Boston to try and combat what just happened in Milwaukee.
Those are the three teams to me that jump out,
again, very quickly.
Now, could a trade happen?
Drew Holliday ends up somewhere we don't know.
It's very possible Miami missed out on Dame.
Could they land Drew Holliday as well?
Or Drew Holliday instead?
So very interesting.
I think they were in the NBA for kind of 24 hours, I guess,
in the NBA, what was happening.
And then Phoenix Suns continued to skirt
around the second tax apron.
By this time, they started taking on a pretty
and free agency.
They took on a really, really bad contract,
and you said Nurgitz.
So they continue to dance around the second apron
and free agency, and they also continue to move your way
into the title picture.
Now, Dame and Giannis is maybe the best one-two punch
since Shaq and Kobe in terms of a big and a little.
But we are dead.
Well, LeBron and AD, well, that book kind of big.
Only a big and a little, Shaq and Kobe.
So we're definitely going to be playing a lot of basketball
below the rim.
And I said that NBA was kind of shifting towards anywhere
with the advent and the prevalence of three-point
shooting, but this is going to be a game that you play
below the rim almost at all times.
But up next, we are going to shift to the NFL.
So I'll talk about going down with the shield.
Welcome back into the show.
And now we're jumping into the NFL,
which is what the sport of our main season right now.
But now we're going to talk about week three.
Then, of course, we'll talk about week four.
Then we'll have Jack's pack are increasingly, well,
are consistently rather successful at NFL betting
segment, NFL week three had some storylines in it
all over the place.
First, we're going to start off with the Cowboys being upset
by the Arizona Cardinals.
Now, the Cardinals have looked promising all year.
Now, of course, they're without Kyle O'Mara right now,
as he's recovering from ACL surgery.
But they were expected to be in the Caleb Williams sweepstakes,
meaning like tanking out and looking to get Caleb Williams
and new run for Kyle O'Mara.
And I kind of spoke to a lot of people out and they trade
out as a Simmons, gave them to the Giants, basically nothing,
although he's done nothing for the Giants.
So potato, potato.
But I spoke to several people about the Arizona Cardinals.
And I kept reverberating back to financially,
it makes no sense to tank.
People are thinking kind of weird,
because you're going to give Caleb Williams a dead cap hit
of $80 million if you move Kyle O'Mara after next season.
But after this season, he's $80 million.
You can't cut him, it's $200 million or $150 million,
something like that.
But if you trade him, you eat his guaranteed contract hit.
So it doesn't behoove you to tank with Kyle O'Mara
on the roster, because then two of your best assets
are going to be quarterbacks.
One would be Caleb Williams,
the generational prospect you tank to get,
and the other being Kyle O'Mara,
who would still have a B-O excess of $150 million
in the contract.
So it doesn't financially behoove you to tank.
It actually does better if you play kind of decent,
give Kyle a shot to come back on a team that's still trying,
give him a couple of warm-up games,
get ready for next season,
draft him a Marvin Harrison, Jr.,
and then draft him a great left tackle.
Whoever the best left tackle is in college,
you know, draft the best tackle in college
and build the offense.
Because they look pretty solid with Josh Dobbs.
Week one didn't go so well for them,
but they had the lead in week two,
a good lead in week two, blew it.
And so week three, they came out,
and I'm thinking they're going to do the same thing.
They're going to take a lead on Dallas,
and then Dallas is going to realize, hey,
or Arizona is going to realize we should be tanking,
not for Caleb Williams, but for Marvin Harrison, Jr.,
and then lose the game.
But no, they kept their foot down on Dallas.
Speaking with a friend of mine,
and he was saying it's hard to take in the NFL,
because in the NBA,
tanking is so accepted that people who are part of
tank jobs, like players, even coaches,
will get another job.
If that staff gets fired or that player gets,
you know, they're released or whatever,
they'll get another job,
because tanking is so widely accepted.
In the NFL, tanking is
discouraged heavily,
and it kind of seems like quitting,
but the game is so violent,
you can't half speed football, you'll get hurt.
And also, those guys live on non-guaranteed contracts.
So that sixth round rookie that's starting now
because the team traded out the two veterans for draft picks,
he's putting on a show or trying to,
because he's trying to either make that team keep him,
he's on, or he's trying to effectively force the hand up
of another GM to pick him up.
And so, it's hard to tank in the NFL.
Coaches too, you know,
you could be a position coach forever,
never even a coordinator interview.
And, you know, coaching your DBs incorrectly,
just so they play it bad, just to get points,
just so you get the number one pick doesn't help you,
because if that team decides to let you go,
and everybody else see, well, your DBs on film
did everything wrong, why would we hire you?
You know, it's a spot where in the NFL you can't tank,
it's not good for you as a business to tank.
And so they ultimately defeated the Cowboys.
Now the Cowboys may have been dealing
with an emotional letdown,
because they had just lost Trayvon Diggs 40 out before
for the season two at 20 ACL.
So maybe they were scrambling defensively.
You can kind of tell they had planned
on running man coverage in that game,
because Arizona's defense isn't that explosive,
Arizona's receivers rather, aren't that explosive.
So you can definitely tell that the plan was to run
a lot of man coverage, which left the cornerback
opposite Stephon Gilmore, a lot of man coverage.
And it just put the Cowboys into a bad spot.
It felt like Arizona, every time they needed
to get something, got it.
Offensively, it just was a bad spot to me
for Dallas to be in.
And the Cardinals ultimately take the game.
Now the Cardinals are an interesting spot,
because they have their own pick,
and they have Chicago's pick.
Chicago, not Chicago, they have Houston's pick.
And Houston actually looks pretty solid right about now.
CJ Strahd looks damn good.
She's playing in a quarterback position.
He's one of three players ever.
To have 900 yards and seven touchdowns,
something like that in their first three starts.
I mean, he's looking, or nine touchdowns,
maybe whatever, it's gonna be seven touchdowns.
He's looking damn good right now.
As far as, he's my early candidate for rookie of the year.
I think I picked him going into the season.
I'm gonna stick with that.
He is looking really, really good right now for Houston.
D'Amico-Ryans and that Houston Texas organization
seems to have their next franchise quarterback.
But what it does is it makes that Cardinals pick
a little less, that Cardinals trade for that pick
a little less valuable.
Because instead of potentially being two top fives,
it may end up being a five and a nine.
It may end up being a four and a 10.
So it can make that pick just a little bit less valuable,
although if you really want a certain player,
you can package the two picks and go get
whatever pick you want.
All right, so now that we've gotten through that,
let's just discuss the NFL.
The NFL gives you treats every week.
They give you joys every week.
They give you spectacular games,
Seas, Saints, Packers, especially that ending, every week.
Sea Lions, Chiefs, week one, every week.
They give you an impact game.
They give you a close game.
They give you a frustrating game.
See Colts, Ravens in overtime.
They give you all these different games every week.
But also the NFL showcases every week
why it's the not for long league.
All right, because on top of giving you legitimate good,
they give you awful, I mean absolutely awful, right?
They give you awful moments.
And some of these moments and some of these players
we're gonna discuss are awful.
The Chicago Bears is an unmitigated disaster.
To me, the Chicago Bears are doing the most obvious
tank job in the NFL in a long time.
The building effectively imploded sometime last week.
The defensive coordinator resigned.
Justin Fields openly said coaching
is the reason he's not playing well.
There was a rumor that the later proven false FBI raid
on the former defensive coordinator's house.
I mean, it's just what's going on on Hallis Lane.
The part that I struggle with the Bears
is that I can see the talent.
I can see Justin Fields in a vacuum of the talent.
I can see DJ Moore in a vacuum of the talent.
Hell, I can see Lazy Chase Claypool in a vacuum as a talent.
The problem is that A, they're not in the vacuum
and B, whenever they get into the real world,
it just, it comes apart.
And so that's something that the Bears
just have to figure out.
What is the balance between being
a really, really good football team
and a not so great football team
and they've gotta figure out the balance
because right now they are struggling here.
If I'm the Bears, I take another couple of weeks
of really going for it
and then I start planning for the future.
I traded away some talent.
I traded DJ Moore to the Patriots right now
for a second round pick.
I traded Chase Claypool away.
Probably also for a third or fourth round pick.
I'm trying to think who needs a receiver.
Chargers, just also receiver.
Like I'd call them and be like,
Chase Claypool for a fourth.
You know, like I just, I would start building
for the future if you're just looking at 0-4 or 0-5.
If I'm Chicago, I start building for the future
and I tell Justin Fields,
hey, I hope you didn't buy your home
because we're gonna get the number one pick.
We're gonna go Caleb Williams.
So I hope you didn't buy your home
and be looking to move on
because you cannot continue to torture
that amazing fan base in Chicago
with that nonsense that's within Chicago.
Cincinnati Bengals, really quickly.
Just like the Bengals won their game
and it is a WTF moment.
Joe Burrow entered that game against the Los Angeles Rams.
Again, the Bengals again did squeak out and win.
Joe Burrow entered that game with a damaged calf.
The entire world knew the calf was damaged,
especially his coaching staff.
And Joe, Joseph Byte Burrow,
I wanna say Joe Byte,
Joseph Burrow dropped back 54 times,
throwing 49 passes in a game against Aaron Donovan
in that pass rush and that defense, 54 times.
The crazy part is Joe Mixer was actually getting
pretty good yards per carry that game.
So it wasn't like rushing wasn't working.
They just didn't want to, 54 times.
That is job, that is workplace endangerment.
If I've ever heard it.
I'm already on a calf that you think
could be potentially torn.
And you want to drop back 54 times.
That is, I,
every time he dropped back, I would get nervous.
Every time a Rams jersey got too close,
I would get nervous.
The bingles and those amazing uniform
with the white helmet, with the white,
oh, that's nice.
The white base of the black stripe, that's nice.
But every single time,
I would just get nervous.
Every single time he dropped back,
I would just get nervous.
Like this can't end well, this can't possibly go right.
And he would get up,
it may be a little slow this time,
but he would get up.
And it's just like, absolutely hell.
What's Cincinnati put Joe Burrell through?
The Saints absolutely collapsed in that game
against the NBA Packers.
Derek Carver went down with proven to be an AC joint injury.
James Winston came in up 17-0 mid-third quarter
and lost the game in regulation.
You know, and they did the harness,
and that'd be great.
As you guys know, if you listen to me,
I am a high school football coach.
We have a coach on staff
who says that we have certain players
who are determined to not be great.
James Winston played that game
like they told him don't blow that game,
and instead they should have told him don't be great.
Because that's pretty much what happened.
He struggled the whole way through.
Felt like to me he was playing anti-James Winston football.
So instead of no risk and no biscuit,
pretty much is what he was living.
Bruce Arias kind of used no risk and no biscuit
as an excuse or as a phrase
to continue to put the ball in harm's way.
James literally lived no risk and no biscuit for a night.
To me it cost the New Orleans Saints the football game.
Fans were outraged.
Many people were calling for taste of him and et cetera,
but ultimately that did not happen.
And James and Jordan Love ultimately led the comeback
to win the game.
All right, Jets.
And this is like, this is my last point about week three.
The Jets, what you are doing right now,
G Young Joe Douglas, head coach Rob Vassala,
what you are doing right now is workplace intellectual
athletic malfeasance.
This was happening in New York.
You are allowing a really, really good roster,
52 really, really good players to go to hell
in a hand basket for one in Zach Wilson.
That is a disaster.
It's despicable.
It's downright deplorable.
It's a fireable offense.
It is a life, it is a black balling offense.
For y'all to sit there at one New York place,
I think is the address, and to watch Zach Wilson practice,
to watch Zach Wilson play, to hear Zach Wilson talk,
and instead of apologizing to your team
and getting in a quarterback like a Carson Wentz
prior to an injury like a James Winston,
instead of getting some of those guys in place
so that they may begin to help you turn this ship around,
you are going to continue to create
and continue to allow that nonsense,
that ridiculousness, that thing that makes me
turn off Jets games, that thing that made Joe Namath
rip him apart in the media, you're gonna allow Zach Wilson
to continue to ruin his organization this season.
Because now, even if he's bringing in a quarterback,
it's gonna take him two weeks,
which means Zach Wilson's gonna start another two weeks,
and he's going to continue to wreck your franchise,
and another two weeks started for Zach Wilson,
you might as well get prepared for 2024.
He is a disaster, they need to release him expeditiously,
and he is going to continue to bring down the organization
until he is finally removed.
But up next, we're going to shift into week four,
including a recap of last night's
Bay of the Net action.
Welcome back into the show,
and now we're going to discuss NFL week four,
the upcoming week.
I know you guys try to get you guys
this show on Wednesday morning,
say you're getting it Friday afternoon,
my apologies, had some scheduling conflicts,
but I wanted to make sure you guys got this information out
and got to hear it prior to the weekend being kicked off.
But last night, we had a very interesting,
or potentially interesting rather,
Thursday night football game between the Detroit Lions
and the Green Bay Packers.
To me, it showcased the class the Lions are in,
they separated themselves from the North.
Green Bay should have lost last week
to the New Orleans Saints,
so we just spoke about that,
or you guys heard about that.
Derek Carr goes down with what proves to be
an AC joint injury,
Jameis comes in, does a whole lot of nothing,
and the Packers are able to storm back
from 17-0 to a victory.
And so, you go into this week,
I think a lot of that emotional high
might have still been there from last week with the Packers.
And so when they came out flat,
they kind of just took all the spark in the air
out of the room,
and the Lions show again why they've separated themselves
from the NFC North.
I definitely expect them to win
their first NFC North division ever,
and their first division since it was the NFC Central
in the late 90s.
And so they just found out to separate themselves.
But towards the end of that game, man,
some bad coaching came out, right?
There was no reason to make a few of the decisions
that they made from a coaching staff.
From a player's perspective standpoint,
Quay Walker jumping over the long snapper
in an attempt to block the field goal,
first of all, it is illegal to jump over a center
from that far.
It is illegal to jump over anybody from that far.
I just, I don't understand what Quay Walker was doing there.
There was no benefit to it at all.
He didn't block the kick.
And I looked at my wife and I said,
that is an awful mistake.
Because now worst comes to worst.
Seriously, for the Lions,
he takes two and a half more minutes off the clock
to get the field goal.
So now you're in the exact same situation,
but you're down two, two and a half more minutes
before you are able to even begin
to try and recover from it.
It was just a great ball game in general.
I said, Jordan Love showed me a little fight at the end,
but Jared Goff and his high powered offense,
along with that defense, a little bit too much.
They forced Jordan Love into an inception.
Jared Goff was looking like a legitimately,
like an NFL quarterback, like a starter in this league.
And they were just too much for the new Green Bay Packers.
But now we're gonna jump into some games.
We pick a few of them.
So if we pick them,
we are not going to jump in Jack's Pack,
but we are going to discuss the games that,
we're gonna discuss all the games that I want to discuss.
We're just not gonna pick the ones that are in Jack's Pack.
To press game up, Ravens at Brown,
or Raven versus the Browns.
Now this game feels like a Browns victory,
and it's not in Jack's Pack.
So I'm gonna say Brown's victory.
The reason being is the Ravens look like
an infirmary war from World War II.
They have more names on the injury reserve
than probably the rest of the league put together.
The Ravens, or the injury report rather,
the Ravens are beat up.
They play a physical style even with Todd Monkhan.
I already said LaMarr Jackson beefed up last year.
We kept that beef on,
because they are going to take a beating
just with this new system.
Guys stepping around my whole time.
So with that being said,
I believe the Browns are gonna be too much for them.
That edge rush from Miles Garry,
pass shows from Miles Garry,
Grand Dale put in the back.
I mean, I definitely think that,
I definitely think that
the Ravens are gonna struggle against the Browns defense.
No real separators still in Baltimore.
I knew the Browns were gonna take that game
fairly comfortably.
I'd say about nine points, 24 to 16.
So that was eight points, 24, 16 Browns.
Next up we got the Bengals and the Titans,
which the next four games are all in Jack's pack.
So we won't pick them, but we will talk about them.
So the Bengals and Titans are a very interesting matchup.
The Bengals probably the thing you can have them in
is their secondary.
The Titans strength at this point in time
is probably their receivers
and their own line in terms of pass protection.
So it's gonna be a very interesting combination.
Trey Hendrickson is gonna decide a lot
for the Cincinnati Bengals
because he's able to just flat out wreck a game
with the way he's able to rush the passer.
And then of course, Joe Burrow's health.
He escaped against Jeffrey Simmons,
throwing 50 feet, he escaped against Aaron Donner rather,
throwing 54 passes.
And I kind of feel like at a certain point,
they have to realize what is best for Joe Burrow
just to give the ball 30, 35 times,
Joe mixing other running backs.
So now you got Jeffrey Simmons across from you in Tennessee,
much better defensive coordinator,
defensive coach with Mike Vrabel involved.
And so I just think that repeatedly dropping back
is gonna be a recipe for disaster.
And then flip side to the Titans,
you've got to find a way to mitigate the negative effects
of Ryan Tannehill,
along with keeping guys like Derrick Henry
fully, fully engaged in the Tennessee experience as well.
So again, to give him a balance 35, 30 to 40 run game,
because if you allow Trey Henderson
to just continue to tee off on people,
he's gonna make a lot of history and a lot of money.
So that is my synopsis on being with Titans.
Oh, Ezekiel Elliott returns to Dallas for the first time
as a New England Patriots visitor.
It's not just the fact that he's playing his old team,
he's playing his old team in his old building.
Ezekiel Elliott, like I said, returns to Dallas as a visitor.
He returns as a New England Patriot.
And to be honest, he's starting to look like
running back one in New England.
Emma Remandre to me on one A and one B now,
there's no real one two anymore.
Ezek may end up getting a contract extension
from the Patriots, he's playing really, really well.
It wouldn't shock me if he got a contract extension.
He's like, he's come in the building,
put his head down, went to work, lost a few pounds,
cut off his hair, he looks to be ready to roll
for a few years in New England.
And so it'd be interesting to see what happens there.
But Ezekiel Elliott, he played seven years in Dallas,
started this new wave, him and Dak.
So it'd be very interesting to see how his emotions are
entering that building.
If they're the tribute video,
if all the 21 Zeke Juries, I'm sure that'll be in the crowd,
kind of showing him some love and appreciation
for giving them a great seven years.
And the battle of the bottom.
The Dumpster Bowl, the Toilet Bowl, the,
oh, this is on TV, ah, game, is Bears and Broncos.
Now, the Broncos just lost a football game 70 to 20.
The Bears lost a football game by about 30,
35 points themselves.
One has a quarterback, people think a wash,
and it's too old.
The other has a quarterback, people think never had it.
Both of them have solid defensive players.
Both of them are pretty decent skill players.
Both quarterbacks oddly kind of remind of each other
when they're both playing like this.
And both have, well, Sean Payton cast a check
that currently his team's not,
well, it's wrote a check his team's currently not catching.
The Chicago Bears is kind of wading through the water
of Justin and Phil's situation,
because I believe that if he doesn't turn around
and turn around quickly and dramatically,
he's gonna be an ex-Chicago Bear sooner rather than later,
because the new GM is gonna want his own guy.
And so it is the battle of the Toilet Bowl.
It's not great at all.
But they have the ability, in this case,
to try and both teams have a chance to bounce back.
If you're the Bears, you have a chance to launch
and kind of get some respectability
into a 5-6 win season.
If you're the Broncos, you still have playoff aspirations.
Now I get it, you're a weather there with 0-3.
You have an opportunity here to launch from this point on.
Again, you're in the same division as the Chargers
and the Chiefs, that's not fun.
But you have the ability here to launch
and try and salvage some of this season
and do your absolute best to save it.
You know, you got Russell Wilson,
give him some confidence,
give that defense some confidence,
or find out if you gotta make some staff personnel changes
immediately.
I would have fired the DC after giving him 70.
But he's trying to figure out if you gotta do some staff
or personnel changes.
But up next, we're going to jump into our continuing success
of our NFL betting segment, Jax Pack.
["Jax Pack Theme Song"]
Welcome back into the show.
And now we're jumping into our continuously successful
NFL betting segment, Jax Pack.
We are working on our third consecutive winning week
in a row, three in two in all three weeks,
which brings our total to nine in six,
including undefeated, as you heard me,
undefeated three and oh on our lock bets.
You don't believe me?
Check, check, check, check my last episodes.
They're timestamped, go write to Jax Pack
and check my last episodes.
We are three and oh right now on our lock bets,
nine and six total.
It gives a 60% win rate.
I say it every week and I'm gonna continue saying it.
To be a professional gambler,
you want your success rate to be around 54 to 56%.
We are currently hitting 60% right now
on our point spread selections
and I'm trying to keep the momentum rolling.
We have one lock this week as always.
The lock, like I said, last week is like a two unit bet.
So a unit bet is whatever you're comfortable betting.
So if you bet $10 on a game,
one unit for you would be $10,
a two unit bet would be $20.
If you're a $100 gambler,
then a one unit bet for you is $100,
a two unit bet would be $200.
So our locks, I treat them as two unit bets.
And the rest of the bets are one unit,
standard one unit bets.
But let's get right into it.
So we have our first game,
which is our lock Saints minus three and a half
over the Bucks.
It's a home game from New Orleans.
So that's automatically three points.
I think they're just a little bit better team.
Mike Evans usually plays horrible
against Marshawn Lattimore.
He has been ever since the big incident
that first started their rivalry.
The pass rush is going to cave in
the Tampa Bay offensive line.
The pass rush of New Orleans, they play physical.
Tom Brady struggled to beat him.
I think Brady only beat him one time in his time in Tampa.
And in that one time, he was in the playoffs.
Now it was a time that mattered.
It was a time to ultimately kick catapulted Tampa
into the Superbowl.
But he only beat them one time.
I think he ever beat them in the regular season.
In the dome is loud, it's raucous.
They hate the NFC South and they show it.
They say with Mike Evans always struggling against
Marshawn Lattimore,
adding in that pass rush versus Baker Mayfield.
Baker's playing with his confidence.
It's time for Baker to let you down.
I think New Orleans wins it by about 10, 27, 17.
Patriots plus six and a half at the Cowboys.
I think the Pacemen win this game all right.
Dallas is going to struggle without Trayvon Deeks
for a while, because they kind of have to figure it out.
And the benefit of Dallas was they can kind of,
along with the defensive line made by Michael Parsons
and that pass rush,
they kind of was sending in extra blitzers
because they knew they had Trayvon Deeks to find Gilmore.
I have two of the best six or seven cover corners
in the league.
And so I could send some hell at you in terms of blitzing.
So now only is Michael Parsons coming.
I'm sending in a blitz.
And your receivers are blanketed from the snap.
Use your outside receivers.
So you gotta figure out how to operate
through the middle of the field quickly.
And that was a rough recipe for a lot of people
trying to go against that Dallas defense.
And so the Patriots however,
have their office lines getting healthy.
They have receivers that can operate anywhere on the field.
And what people realized last week,
I noticed there had been a lot of the commentary
and the discourse is that running at Michael Parsons works.
He struggles against to just stop a run
that's coming straight at him.
And so running directly at Michael Parsons
seems to be negatively affecting him.
It's at least slowing down his pass rush.
Games where teams run right at him
more often than they want to rate from him.
His pass rush rate is significantly reduced.
And so I think that that's what the league is gonna do.
Bill O'Brien is gonna attack right at Michael Parsons.
This game is gonna be a game that's gonna be slower.
Zeke's gonna get 20,
Zeke might get 20 carries on Sunday.
It's gonna be emotional.
He's playing over his skis emotionally.
I think the players are gonna run the ball at Michael Parsons.
They're gonna do their best
to keep it away from that pass rush.
You can have the Cowboys inside.
So Michael Parsons to the middle is very available.
To the outside, to the other side gets a little fishy,
but you can take that team if you come through the middle.
And so I think that New England
may end up flat out winning this game,
but I definitely think they're a little bit more
than a touchdown.
So I've got New England plus six and a half.
Jets plus eight and a half at the Chiefs, versus the Chiefs.
All right, so this one, I'm confident in this one.
Probably my least favorite number this week,
but I am confident in this one
because of the Jets defense.
Kansas City's offense looks like something
out of a horror movie at times.
They just don't look right.
And so with the Jets coming in with that elite level defense,
they're gonna keep New York in every single game.
I think that New York is going to,
they're gonna be forced to run the ball this week
with a lot of Breece Hall, a lot of Dalvin Cook,
try and run the ball right at Kansas City,
because Zach Wilson's just not gonna do it.
And if he throws too many in the substance game,
got a hand quickly.
But I just think that the Jets are gonna keep this game
closed defensively.
I think it'll be a low scoring contest.
I can see the Jets eking out two touchdowns,
however, against that defense.
So I have the Kansas City Chiefs winning 20 to 13.
Broncos minus three and a half at the Bears.
The Chicago Bears, the worst team in the NFL.
And at this point, I believe they're literally tanking.
The Denver Broncos have every reason to not tank.
This is one of those games where if Sean Payton
is going to ever consistently win in Denver,
if Russell Wilson's ever going to,
to me, get his Hall of Fame chances back,
they're gonna have to blow the Bears out.
They're gonna have to dominate the Bears
from the time the ball is kicked.
We don't lose 70 to 20 in the NFL
and then lose the next week and keep jobs.
So I think that they're going to have to dominate the Bears
from the opening jump.
I think they handled the Bears early.
Kansas City just punched on the Bears quickly.
I think the Broncos are gonna get Chicago out of there
sooner rather than later.
And they win the game 27 to 10.
And then Bengals minus two and a half at the Titans.
I'll take the Bengals here.
I've got the Bengals winning by,
it's gonna be closer just because of the inability
of Joe Burrow in order to,
in order to throw the ball down the field.
He's still trying to adjust to doing,
get basically pushing off, not his foot.
And so I think the Titans are gonna be able
to get some pressure in there, slow down the run game.
I just don't trust Ryan Tanner.
He'll do anything productive.
The Bengals are gonna load up to stop Derrick Henry.
I just think that the Bengals are gonna ultimately
squeak out enough points.
To me, the defense the Bengals played last week
is a better defense than they're playing this week.
And so even though Mike Varebo is a hell of a coach,
I just think that the Bengals squeak out enough points
to cover the three 2017 Bengals.
So just to recap, got Saints minus three and a half
over the Bucs in our lock of the week.
Pats plus six and a half over the Cowboys.
Jets plus eight and a half over the Chiefs.
Broncos minus three and a half over the Bears.
Bengals minus two and a half over the Titans.
But up next, we're going to have our Jets hot take,
which is going to be about the WNBA's only hope.
bibliography.
Welcome in to the show.
And now we're going to talk about the WNBA and their only hope that they have left in
the WNBA to stop the Las Vegas Aces and that's the New York Liberty.
I know Connecticut Sun fans.
I know WNBA fans.
They're trying to sell me on the Connecticut Sun.
I'm with you, except I'm not.
The only the Las Vegas Aces, I believe lost six games all season.
Three of them went to the Liberty.
That means the rest of the WNBA combined beat them three times.
If there is any chance for somebody to beat the Las Vegas Aces three out of five times,
it is the New York Liberty.
That is the only hope.
Someone cue up Princess Leia.
Obi-Wan Kenobi, you're our only hope.
The New York Liberty, you're the W's only hope.
Now I'm rooting for the Aces here.
I'm pulling for them.
The W basketball, I've noticed, grows with dynasties.
Every great growth period in the NBA came with the dynasty.
When the WNBA was at its most popular, the two most popular periods in the NBA history,
its inception, the dynasty comments won four in a row.
And then during the era of the Lynx, where they won like four out of six or four out
of seven or something like that.
That is when the WNBA was the most popular.
And then currently, after the Wubble, it grew tremendously.
And then also in the NBA, tremendous areas of growth.
The 60s with Bill Russell, and it fell off in the 70s.
They were the dominant champion.
And then the 80s, it gets saved because of Magic and Bird.
In the 80s, Magic has five titles, Bird has three, Isaiah has, or in the 80s, yeah, between
79 and 90, when the NBA gets saved, because they come in into 79, Magic has five, Bird
has three, Zeke has two, Dr. J has one.
Directly after them, Michael Jordan wins six in eight years.
When it's not Michael Jordan, it's Hakeem Olajuwon.
Then it goes right into Kobe and Shaq for three years.
And then guess what?
The NBA dovetails because there's no dynasty.
And then LeBron arrives to the forefront.
He's winning MVP, and he's in the finals every year, and the NBA skyrockets.
And then the Warriors and the skyrockets again.
The NBA, well, basketball in general, is built on dynasties.
Football doesn't want dynasties.
Football wants parity.
Basketball wants dynasties.
So I'm rooting as a WNBA fan for the 80s to win this year and next year.
Just win three in a row.
Just win three in a row and just be a dominant team, dominant organization, because then
the WNBA can literally put the league on their backs, and they carry them into the next era
of the WNBA.
But the only hope for any other fan base in the WNBA for that not to happen is that the
Liberty win against the Connecticut Sun, plain and simple.
So I think that the WNBA title will be the Las Vegas Aces, and I think they'll play the
Connecticut Sun, and they'll beat them in four games.
Alyssa Thomas and DeWana Biner ain't enough.
And so I just think that the Aces will win, and they will ultimately show up and show
out against the Connecticut Sun in the WNBA finals.
But that is all I have for you guys today.
I hope you guys have a great rest of your weekend.
Appreciate you guys for sticking around with me today.
This is your owner and host, Justin Jackson, signing out.