Welcome in to the newest edition of the Justin Time Sports Podcast.
I am your owner and host, Justin Jackson.
In this week's episode, we'll be discussing the NFL as we move into week three.
We will have our Jax Pack, which is our NFL betting segment.
And of course, we will have our best for last, or our rebranded best for last rather, Jax
Hot Take.
Now, as always, don't forget to like, rate, and subscribe to the Justin Time Sports Podcast
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Justin Time Sports has a prominent presence on all of them, and therefore you guys should
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Now, as always, don't forget to sit back and get ready to learn something.
Welcome into the show.
Welcome into episode 26 of season four of the Justin Time Sports Podcast.
As always, it is your host and owner, Justin Jackson, welcoming you into a Wednesday morning
show.
Recording is Tuesday night, of course, with our new schedule.
We're about to tell you guys it'll be Wednesday morning.
So welcoming you into our Wednesday morning show.
I hope you guys have had a great week so far.
Hope you guys are kicking butt at work.
I hope your teams didn't disappoint you too badly over the weekend.
Or at least I hope you have hope going into this coming weekend.
I guess it's probably the best that some of us can ask for is to have hope going into
our next weekend.
Shout out my European friends, as always, especially when people in Germany and France.
Shout out my Southeast Asian fans as well.
Of course, shout out to you guys, the home base.
Always represented and holding it down for Justin Time Sports.
Again, we want to really run that social media up.
So if you listen to the show faithfully, I thank you.
But if you're not following the social media pages to keep you updated on notes and news,
definitely make sure you follow the social media handle at JTimeSports.
It is on all your favorite social medias, ex Instagram, Facebook, TikTok and threads.
Justin Time Sports is on there officially posting news and updates and highlights, etc.
So if you love the podcast and you wanted to get a daily update, not really have to
wait every week to get a mass update.
There's some minor stuff I may have missed, some stuff I may have not even discussed about,
some stuff I may just not even fit in the show well.
It'll definitely be on that so you can get the news aspect and hear my opinion on the
podcast.
But what a very interesting week two in the NFL.
It's weird the NFL.
I was telling my wife this actually, we were watching the game and I was like, man, the
NFL is going to have to stop doing that.
It's not looked at me weird because when I say half a thought in my head and then the
rest of it comes out loud, I'm saying man, the NFL is going to have to stop doing that.
They're going to have to stop playing that guys in the preseason because offenses look
awful.
They look God awful and some bigger name quarterbacks look downright deplorable.
It's actually so bad that the first segment of the show is going to be, there was a Young
Money song, Wayne, Nicki Minaj and Birdman.
What's wrong with them?
And that's the name of this segment.
What's wrong with them?
There's so much elite level quarterbacks that we think that are elite that look downright
awful in the first two games.
Especially, or maybe they were elite adjacent or maybe they've had elite peaks and again,
they just look downright awful.
And a lot of these guys either didn't play the preseason or played very limited snaps
in the preseason.
And you know, the big wave in the NFL now is joint practice.
It's been that way for the past few years, especially after the Rams basically had no
preseason and when you're on the Super Bowl, a lot of different people decided, oh, we're
going to run these joint practices, which it's a controlled setting.
It's effectively a live scrimmage and they figured my ones go against your ones for 30
plays or 20 plays, whatever.
That's about how long they were playing the preseason.
So what's the difference?
And to me, the difference is in practice, there's a script, like regardless of what happens,
you know, if you run a pass on the first play of the script, that pass can be a 50 yard
touchdown.
That pass can be, you know, whatever.
If the script says it's going to be inside zone to the left on play two, you're going
to run inside zone to the left on play two.
You know what I'm saying?
So there's no rhyme or reason.
If you're the defense, you pretty much, you'll try coverages with no real reason to attempt
them.
You may get lucky and get a clean blitz sack, or you may give up three verticals wide open
like this picks one, you know, so it's a little different in joint practices because again,
it's very coach controlled.
It's very script based.
There's no real ebb and flow.
Now the preseason isn't the world's best diagnostic either, as you can tell from Pittsburgh offense,
and we'll talk about them a little later, but the preseason isn't the world's best diagnostic
either.
I believe when we're serving it correctly, the 0 and 16 Lions with four and on the preseason.
The Ravens haven't lost the preseason game in like six years.
So the preseason isn't the world's best diagnostic test, but it has a little bit more rhyme or
reason to the play selection.
So now if it's first or second in 20, you're not going to run dive left.
You know what I'm saying?
Just because it's on the script.
You may throw a screen pass like that, but you're not just going to hand the ball over
the middle, bend and throw deep crosses on third and 22 just because again, the script
says the plate is supposed to run.
So it's a little bit better for teams to my opinion to work in the preseason, to work
in the preseason games during practice is a great, right?
But I don't think we're properly preparing our offensive lines.
I don't think we're properly preparing our quarterbacks, especially with the quarterback
movement being a thing now.
It's not like quarterbacks were there five, six, seven years, basically the same group
of guys.
Okay.
I don't necessarily need to go into a game for 12 snaps.
I throw you 10 passes.
They're like, okay, now I got it.
Like no, it's the same group of receivers in the same quarterback five, six, seven years.
So they know each other at the back of their hands.
There's no real necessity in order to play in the preseason and to battle potential injury.
However, now with quarterback movement, like I said, Brady moved first, really and truly
to Tampa and then Stafford goes to LA and then Ron Rogers in New York, Derek Harz in
New Orleans, Baker Mayfield is in Tampa.
You know, you got Russell Wilson last year, then Denver.
You got a lot of QB movement, Deshaun Watson really getting a first off season in Cleveland.
A lot of quarterback movement as of late.
And so now to me, preseason games become even more valuable because now you get the opportunity
to play at game speed.
You get the opportunity to play in a non-controlled environment.
There's some semblance of play calling logic or rationale.
Usually not a massive playbook.
There's some logical rationale in the play calling and so you get to play situation of
football without, you know, saying, okay, for the next 10 plays, we're going to be in
a two minute drive.
If you do a two minute drive in during practice, the QB can't get hit.
There's just a bunch of other stuff that's happening here.
And also that quarterback sense of security goes away too.
When you walk, when you're working in practice, everyone on the planet knows, don't hit the
quarterback.
If you hit the quarterback, you probably get cut.
All right.
Operating in that sense of security means that I can throw the ball with a defense tackle,
barrel and right on me, cause I know he can't hit me.
There's a certain level of freedom that QBs play with in camp.
They don't play with them in the regular season because people can literally clean their clocks.
So they do their best to not play the same way.
But anyway, I digress back to our first topic, which is what's wrong with them.
Slaughter for Joe Burrow.
So this is a question that should be asked, but also should be answered.
It's his calf.
We spoke about a couple of minutes ago, we spoke about how the preseason for all these
little quarterbacks is so valuable.
But I feel like all young quarterbacks need to play in the preseason anyway.
And that's Joe Burrow trying to expand the offensive line versus a lot of bullets.
Of course his first game action with that calf to see how it would respond, how it would
deal.
He wasn't really even clear to play until right before week one.
I think he began aggravating it then and then whatever he did in the last game took it over
the top.
And so there's a potential he misses some games.
Absolutely awful if that is the case.
However, however, they pulled off a minor miracle last year in terms of how they started
off and then they ran through and made the playoffs.
I think 10 wins may end up winning that division.
Because once the division start cannibalizing each other, they're not going to be able
to hold those pristine records.
So I think 10 wins may win that division.
I think 11 definitely wins that division.
But Joe Burrow has an opportunity here to take a week off to try and rest as much as
humanly possible and come back ready for the last three, four months of the season because
he wouldn't have thrown in a way trying to win one game.
Deshaun Watson, the Cleveland Browns looks absolutely cooked.
Yeah, it's pretty rough.
He's the worst aging quarterback in the league in terms of what consistency thought of making
big money because at least in the case of Van Rogers, he was 40, 39, 40.
He's like his decline age 38, 39.
And then you get to your age 40 season and the Achilles goes.
Okay, it happens, right?
There's another guy on the list we're going to talk about in a few minutes.
People are going to say, what about Russell Wilson?
What's a Russell Wilson too?
Well, compounds Deshaun Watson is what she had to give to get him.
The Cleveland Browns still owed the Houston Techless a first round pick.
So which is why Houston was so comfortable moving their first round pick this draft to
get Will Anderson last draft because they knew they had another first round pick coming from
Deshaun Watson.
So instead of two first round picks, they have one first round pick, no biggie.
And they go up and get a guy they knew they wanted in Will Anderson.
Again, no biggie.
Now, I think Houston picks end up being top three.
Nick and I had to tell them Kayla Williams, who knows how that conversation breaks down
or Marvin Harrison Jr.
Who knows how that conversation ends.
But regardless, again, no biggie.
Cleveland still owes Houston a first round pick.
When Deshaun Watson showed up without playing a year of football with 24 sexual misconduct
allegations, he signed for five years, $230 million.
For the next four seasons, the Cleveland Browns owe him $200 million.
His cap hits.
Oh, and he has automatic bonuses on there.
So he has $46 million in base salary every year the next three years.
And he also has a $16 million like bonus, prorated bonus every year the next three,
every year the next three to four years.
So because his deal is fully guaranteed, if you were to say, let's cut him after this
season, his cap hit, his dead cap would be $200 million.
If you want to cut him the year after that, his dead cap hit is $132 million.
If you want to cut him the year after that, his dead cap hit is like $60-something million.
So basically, he's effectively uncuttable.
He has Cleveland completely over the barrel as far as financial power.
His cap hits are $60-something million a year over the next three to four years.
Now the cap will rise, so that would give it a little grace.
But absolutely painful was the Sean Wesson going through.
I mean, some of the throws he's making, I'm just looking and going, who is he throwing
the ball to?
I mean, legitimately questioning who's he throwing the ball to?
Because it couldn't have been the person in the same color as him.
Because the person in the same color as him is a ways away from where the ball ended up.
And so, Deshawn is one of those quarterbacks that just doesn't look like himself.
Like I said, he looks absolutely, I had to say, but he looks cooked.
He looks like he's done.
And I don't know if he can get it back.
Fans of his, I know a few of them.
Oh, when Deshawn gets it back, he'll be top two again, top three again.
People forget what Deshawn was before he sat out.
No, we remember.
We definitely remember.
But I just don't think he's gonna get it back.
Quarterback is in a position you can sit out for a year, year and a half and come back
and like perfectly normal.
I just don't think he shakes it back.
He has all the talent in the world in his body and next to him as far as a team.
And I just don't think he shakes it back, which is sad.
Because again, Deshawn Watson before these allegations, whereas top two, three quarterback
in the NFL, he's literally giving a case to him being the best.
And then forced to take a year sabbatical, comes back and he's just not the same.
And he has Cleveland completely over the barrel.
So one thing Cleveland Brown's fans can say is he's got four years to figure it out because
he's not going anywhere in the next four years.
But he definitely limits Cleveland's ability to build around him and it hurts him to me
overall legacy wise.
Trevor Lawrence don't know what happened to him.
He looks a lot more like for picking the first half Trevor Lawrence than lead the comeback
lead the comeback in the playoff game and again, he threw the four picks in Trevor Lawrence.
I mean, he looks more like Jester than Prince.
I don't get it.
What's going on with Trevor right now?
Schematically, they look a little off.
Maybe that could be it, but I just don't think Trevor Lawrence looks like the quarterback
he was supposed to be this season.
Again, people expected more of that last seven game lead into playoffs, first playoff game
kind of success.
Then they get in the second half of that second playoff game.
The first half of the playoff game he was absolutely awful.
He was at four interceptions.
They were down to 28-0, 24-0, something like that.
He gets them all the way back and they're winning the game.
That's kind of what people were expecting Trevor Lawrence to use this year, bouncing
off of that momentum launching upwards to try and climb the career ladder.
Incredibly worried about Trevor Lawrence's performance this year because it just doesn't
look like the quarterback we saw over the last seven to eight weeks of last season.
Justin Fields, everyone's dark horse MVP pick.
That horse is dead, by the way.
Secondly, I think his career in Chicago is dead.
That wouldn't be surprising.
The entire NFL just says we've seen enough.
CJ Stroud has more career passing, 300 yard passing games than Justin Fields.
This is Justin Fields' I believe fourth year starting in Jacksonville.
CJ Stroud, starting in Chicago rather, CJ Stroud played two football games total in
the NFL.
I think that's a huge problem because in today's NFL you need to be able to go sideline to
sideline and really stretch the field out.
There's too many layups in that equation that Fields just flat out misses.
I won't slander him and say he's throwing with his eyes closed because I've kind of
been hearing that joke is that Fields wants to throw with his eyes closed.
I won't dare get from that.
Some of the vision mistakes, some of the protection errors, stuff like that, he's just making
it harder on him to overcome an already subpar roster.
The GM is doing his absolute best to clean up that mess the last GM did.
They're going to have to do something about the quarterback position.
They need to figure it out.
And last but certainly not least, Russell Wilson is having a bit of a career resurgence
in Denver under Sean Payton.
Points per drive, they're tops for second highest in the league.
They're scoring pretty much everything to get the ball.
They're just having difficulties once they get close to the goal line.
They just have difficulties.
I think the field condenses a little bit.
There's a lot less space.
Russell Wilson didn't have the absolute rocket arm he used to possess.
So I think that is running into some issues with Russell Wilson right now.
He's playing his absolute best, but there's just some stuff happening around the organization,
especially on the defensive side, that has to get rectified if Russell is supposed to
have any chance of leading this team anywhere.
I don't think the playoffs are a possibility, maybe not this year, but I think that the
Broncos are at least taking a step in the right direction.
We had a couple of shifting gears from that.
We had a couple of top running backs go down with injuries this week.
So first off, we had, I go with the police group, we had Saquon Barkley dealing with
a hamstring issue.
He'll be out a few weeks, but then he will be able to, okay, I said a few weeks, but
they're talking about he's a fast healer and could play the Thursday night.
I wouldn't.
I would definitely give it at least a week in order to try and heal itself before you
play on another Sunday.
So if you miss Thursday, you have another whole week to get to the Sunday in order to
get ready to play.
So absolute kudos to Saquon Barkley and the Jazz Organization.
Like I said, I sit them down for at least a week, minimum.
It could be up to three weeks and we're talking about a hamstring here.
One of the more fickle things in the human body between that and the Achilles, one of
the two most fickle things in the human body.
And of course I posted on my social medias with the label warning, but Nate Shove was
hit directly in the knee by Minka Fitzpatrick and it caused one of the most disgusting injuries
I have seen in a knee in a very, very long time.
If you want to see it on all my socials, it's just an incredibly, incredibly impactful player.
I mean, Cleveland offense does not exist if Nick Chubb is not running the ball and running
the ball well.
So it's like they're wild.
There's stuff going around like Minka, a dirty player, he's not a dirty player.
Is it unfortunate what happened to Nick Chubb?
Absolutely.
Is it unfortunate that that happens more than people would like?
Absolutely.
But you can't go high and so only to bring a guy like Nick Chubb down is to go low and
Chubb just happened to plant his knee, plant his leg and they met at the same time.
Normally in a situation where a guy gets hit in the knee, his knee's off the ground and
so he's able to kind of like push that into the realm of like pain tolerance.
But with the knee planted, they had nowhere to go and so the joint just gave in on itself.
They're pretty disgusting injury, but like I said, if you want to check it out on all
my socials, I prayed with Chubb, it's the same knee.
He completely blew up at Georgia.
And so I'm just hoping that it does not affect him long term.
He is able to come back to the running back we know and love.
This is a couple of quick hitters.
I have two seconds.
I call it the worst winners and the best losers.
The worst winners again with the Giants.
You played an awful football game and you lost Saquon Barkley.
He was having to win.
So I guess kudos to you.
The Saints in general, they did not look all that great.
The offense needs a lot of buffing and polishing.
As I was saying, preseason games, it's time for you to buff and polish a brand new anything
and they're going to have to buff and polish on the fly.
And then the Pittsburgh Steelers won a football game in which the fourth quarter they had
negative seven yards.
I just won't even give you credit for that offensively.
That is absolutely awful.
And then the best losers, Los Angeles Rams.
They look really good.
Puka and Nakoa with the most receptions in the first two weeks of the season.
League Packers for the second weekend of the row looked good offensively under Jordan Love.
Now he's playing Cooper Cup spot, but I'm just going to let that rock.
He needs to continue to work on himself via film.
But for the most part, the Packers look fine without any rogers.
When you're worried about a precipitiv drop off on the offensive flow, going from Rogers
to Love, I haven't noticed any.
Pretty much as long as the offense operates as it should around Love, they work perfectly
fine.
I haven't seen any major drop off, any precipitiv change, no weird attitudes blown up.
None of the stuff you usually would get from a team in turmoil or any some sort of big
switch.
And then lastly in the best losers list, we got the Los Angeles Chargers, everyone's favorite
losers.
They actually did something that was not done in the history of the NFL this time in their
loser realness.
See if I can find my photo, should have had this photo already.
My apologies.
The Chargers have scored 58 points, zero turnovers in their 0-2.
In the Super Bowl era, 32 other teams have scored at least 50 points, committing no turnovers
in the first two games.
The 2023-2024 Chargers are the only ones to be winless.
So I think Brandon Staley cannot be allowed to ruin this roster and to hurt the prime
of this quarterback further.
I know that he needs to be fired.
It's coming up off season, in the off season.
It's just, the Chargers feel like they have a permanent black cat running around their
ring.
And if they lose games, it's not like you say people are inventing ways to do stuff
dumb.
They invent ways to lose football games.
I think Brandon Staley has to go.
There's no way he makes it all the way through the off season into next season.
There's literally no way.
He's absolutely awful.
He's dragging down the Chargers organization along with the other issues they have as far
as management, ownership, and other stuff the Chargers have going on.
But Brandon Staley is an easy fix.
It's awful.
If I'm Sean Payton, I'm kicking myself because I probably could have waited a year.
And instead of getting descending, Russell Woods on a massive contract, you could have
got ascending.
Justin Herbert in Los Angeles instead of Denver.
In doors instead of out.
So many of us would have been on the Chargers side instead of the Broncos side.
Sorry.
But up next, we're going to talk about NFL Week 3 coming up and talk about our favorite
storylines going into it.
Welcome back into the show.
And now we're going to jump right into NFL Week 3.
Let's talk about some of our favorite games and along with our major storylines heading
into Week 3.
So, of course, we talked about some injury news.
We're going to touch right back on that really quickly.
Nick Chubb, of course, is going to be out for the season with a complete total knee
destruction.
I will honestly be surprised if anything stayed intact in his knee.
That was absolutely rough.
Like I said, that was a knee that was already put back together once.
And so the same exact knee getting put back together again, I don't know.
But we're definitely going to see and keep our eye on Nick Chubb to recovery.
But he's out indefinitely with at least a year.
Like I said, Kwon Barkley could be no games missed to three games missed.
Depending on how fast he heals, according to his team, Carolina Panthers linebacker
Shaq Thompson has a broken fibula.
He is out for the rest of the season as well.
But on some positive news, Patrick Mahomes had a restructuring of his contract and the
deal does not add years.
It does not add money.
It simply brings his yearly salary in line with the rest of the quarterbacks in his ilk
in his talent level.
That is all it is doing is bringing it in line with the rest of the quarterbacks.
And so Patrick Mahomes' deal again, one second, trying to pull it up.
I posted all about it and now I can't find it.
Oh, found it.
All right.
So Patrick Mahomes' restructure of his contract again, added no new money and added no new
years.
But it moved $210.6 million of guaranteed money into the next four years.
So between 2023 and 2026, he has $210.6 million guaranteed dollars coming his way and it can
go up to $218.1 million with incentives.
The 210.6 is the most over four years in NFL history.
The remainder of the contract after 2026 is effectively removed and the team will renegotiate
after 2026.
They'll tear up whatever years are left and make a whole new contract.
But again, it brings Patrick back into line with the other quarterbacks in the league.
Now, what makes it interesting is, what makes this deal quite interesting is because it
didn't add years or add money, his cap hits don't change.
It's actually a beautiful deal done by the Kansas City team.
It's not like they lopped off three years, moved all the money up and cap hits started
going crazy.
His cap hit doesn't change because according to the system, those years still exist.
Now, they're effectively null and void, but they still exist and he can pull any of his
money over those years as well to try and reduce his cap hit.
So major, major shout out to Patrick Mahomes and his agency for getting that done.
One of the more interesting games of the week and we won't pick it because it's in our
Jets pack.
A lot of these games are actually in our Jets pack, but Pats versus Jets.
Both teams are 0 and 2 for totally different reasons.
The Patriots seem to not have a downfield offense.
Mike Jones had 31 completions for 200 yards in the last game, which is almost impossible.
And then of course, the Jets have Zach Wilson.
So that is one of the more interesting games that is happening this weekend because of
the highs of the Patriots and the Jets defense and then the lows of their offense.
So as if you're a Jets fan, you went from the journey of Aaron Rodgers Super Bowl to
Zach Wilson Oh No's within an hour of each other.
I mean, that's the life you live if you're the Jets right now.
I know Robert Sala, Blue Smoke of Zach Wilson saying that, Oh, he's the guy we're going
to bring in a young guy and I want to be clear that this is Zach's team.
Great.
You did an excellent job blowing smoke.
But he's just he's bad.
He's awful at the quarterback position.
He's dragging that roster down as a Patriots fan.
I appreciate it.
I know even if Mike Jones struggles, Zach Wilson is going to be worse and he's going to be
considerably worse and we have to take an opportunity to intercept the passes that come
our way.
But you know, and by I mean the Patriots.
So it should be a very interesting game as well.
So we'll pick it in Jack's pack.
Saints versus Packers.
I stayed away from the whatever the spread was.
Honestly, I kind of got the Saints here.
That's going to be a lot of offensive line coming at Jordan Levin once and it's going
to be his most real old line he'll play probably besides San Fran.
Maybe Dallas probably.
You know, the New Orleans Saints are in a spot where they're kind of going up with house
money again.
They get to get exotic with their blitzes, exotic with their coverages, exotic with anything
they have going on.
And Jordan Love has to face the realest D-line.
Sorry, not O-line.
He will have to deal with presumably all season.
And of course, you know, we're going to do our absolute best if you're the New Orleans
Saints and limiting the big explosives from the Packers.
Same thing with the Packers.
The Saints have one game.
Just pack up a game because they hit one big explosive.
And so if you are the Greenway Packers, you're doing everything you can to keep the game
most going to not get outrun sideline to sideline and to try and take down the New Orleans Saints.
But again, I have slight favor to the Saints.
The Los Angeles Chargers versus the Minnesota Vikings, two franchises and these days two
quarterbacks that cuts a lot of flat for their franchise and up to two between Justin Herbert
and Kurt Cousins.
I strongly believe that this game is in our jack's back, so we won't pick it.
But it should be an interesting contest, a high scoring contest at that.
I don't believe in either defense.
I don't believe the defense is believing either defense.
And so I think it'll be a very high scoring game where Herbert and Cousins will get an
opportunity to really showcase their abilities to play quarterback.
Because again, I don't think either team will be necessarily a ground and pound situation.
And also I don't think either team will be necessarily be stopped by the other's defense.
Steelers have an interesting game with the Raiders.
This is the game if Mike Thomas is going to get this ship corrected, then this is the
game for him to do it.
Jim Igrappolo is playing pretty rough right now for Vegas.
They didn't really have a lot going for them.
They have a Hunter Renfro problem.
Devontae Adams is normal, which means it's not great for Devontae Adams.
No real signs of life.
Like I said, it was Jim Igrappolo playing pretty roughly.
This isn't absolutely terrible, but if Mike Thomas is going to get him a game under Kenny
Pickett's belt and get some benefit or some happiness or some anything with offensive
coordinator Matt Canada, this will be the game he does against the Las Vegas Raiders.
But on the flip side, the Las Vegas Raiders have an opportunity to really kickstart their
season.
To kind of get a win over a good program like the Steelers.
Mike Thomas never had a losing record, so he doesn't know what a losing record feels
like.
So for the Raiders to go and get a win like that over the Steelers, that would be big
for them to kind of kickstart their season and give them confidence in locker room.
That game is not Jack's pack.
I don't think the Raiders will get it done.
I do think the Steelers suffocate them and get a victory.
And then lastly, the double Monday night football schedule is back.
My friends and I wasn't really huge fans of it.
Kind of feel chaotic.
If you have multiple screens, I guess it could work.
I had Saints on my TV and then the Steelers Browns on my iPad.
So if you had a situation like that, I guess it could work.
It's not bad.
But this week, of course, it is Eagles at Bucks and then Rams at Bengals.
Rams at Bengals could be a very nice contest.
I didn't touch on Jack's pack because it all depends on Joe Burrow plays.
If he plays, I think the Bengals get them and get on the board for their first win.
We would know what our team's got for cool.
And then Eagles Bucks, I think Eagles kind of punch on the Buccaneers here.
Although the Eagles have soft spot and accepting their own linebacker core, if pressure does
not get to the quarterback, I think they'll heat up.
Baker may feel forced to go bad decisions.
Oh, he's starting to get some expectations.
So there's no doubt he'll let whoever it is down.
And because Baker will let you down, which Baker does, right?
I think that the Eagles are going to run away and hide with the game late.
Again, not in my Jack's pack either one.
But I think the Eagles run away and hide with their late.
And I think Rams Bengals pretty much all depends on Joe Burrow plays.
If you have Burrow, he's 80% and if the Bengals win the game, if you don't have Burrow, if
the Rams want to go in the game pretty comfortable.
But up next, we're going to shift to our NFL betting segment, Jack's pack.
Welcome back into the show.
And now we're going to jump into our NFL betting segment, Jack's pack, where we pick five games
every week against the spread based on the ESPN app.
And so we pick those games, keep track of them all season.
This year we're adding the lock.
So every week I'm going to pick my favorite number of the week, I'm going to lock it in.
So if you're in the betting terms, a one unit bet, a two unit bet, there's always be my
two unit bet.
So we're going to always kind of treat everything else as a one unit bet.
And by unit, I mean whatever you're comfortable betting.
So if you're a $10 guy, each one of these bets will be $10.
However, if it's a two unit bet, you just double whatever your standard is.
So if you're a $100 bad guy, put $100 in each one of these games, but that lock put $200
on.
I'm not really looking at the value of the pick.
I'm just kind of looking at the pick itself and the number itself.
Usually over hundreds, usually points spread is about one way either way.
So again, to be a professional gambler, we spoke about this a lot last year, but to be
a professional gambler, you want to be at about 56% to be profitable as a professional
gambler.
And so right now we're three and two again this week.
So we're six and four.
We're sitting at about 60%.
So right now we'd be at a professional gambler's level.
We're sitting at six and four, including two and O on our locks.
So we're going to try and keep the momentum going this week.
And we're going to jump right into the numbers that I am a fan of this week.
So we have the Ravens minus eight first, the Colts take the Ravens.
I just think that the Ravens are a team that's going to go out there against the Colts.
They're going to throw a lot of different looks at Anthony Richardson as a young quarterback.
John Harbaugh is going to play some games with Richardson in terms of making him see
things he's not used to seeing.
I don't think they have the total team speed to keep up with Lamar in that new look offense.
I just think that the Ravens win this game by at least two touchdowns, which more than
covers the eight points that they need.
So again, the Ravens minus eight first, the Colts take the Ravens Patriots minus two and
a half at Jets.
This is my lock of the week.
Take the Patriots.
I don't understand how this is only two and a half points.
This to me should be six and a half, seven and a half points spread here.
I don't, I don't understand the two and a half points at all.
New England has always given Zach Wilson's fits.
They have, they have dominated the Jets at literally every single turn, including especially
in the Zach Wilson era.
They beat the Jets.
They beat the Jets so many times in a row at this point.
I just think that there's no way that the Jets are only a field goal or sorry, less
than a field goal, better than the Jets at this point.
I just, it makes absolutely no sense.
This line makes no sense.
Some of it they're begging you to take the Patriots here, which is a very odd thing for
Vegas to do.
So they have those lines where in fact they want to juice one side of it.
I think they're trying to juice the Patriots side here, but it's minus two and a half of
the Patriots, pass minus two and a half over the Jets, take the Patriots.
Again it's our lock of the week.
Chargers.
Even in a pick them at Vikings, take the Chargers.
I think Chargers is the better football team.
Even on the road, even if they're going to have to travel almost cross country.
I just think the Chargers are better.
And I look at position group by position group.
I think an assessment quarterback, I think is Justin Herbert pretty easily.
Receiver I would say lean Vikings here.
Justin Depp was the best receiver on the board, but I think two and three go to the Chargers.
I just think the gap between one and two is bigger than the gap between two and four,
which I think Jordan Addison is probably the fourth best receiver in the game.
And I just think Justin Jefferson to Keenan Allen is a much bigger gap than Keenan Allen
to Jordan Addison.
And so we've got the edge there, a receiver to the Minnesota Vikings.
I think Olanah is the Chargers, running backs the Chargers, tight end groups the Chargers.
Defensive name power is also the Chargers.
I don't want to break either of those groups down defensively because they both suck.
But as far as name power, the Chargers also get that battle as well as the Chargers are
a better football team.
Now that the coaching edge goes to Minnesota, so that can make it interesting.
But I think Tyler for Tyler, the Chargers is just better.
And the game of both teams need the win.
I think Tyler is going to win out here.
So I've got the Chargers.
Bears at Chiefs, Chiefs minus 12 and a half over the Bears take the Chiefs.
Usually I stay away from the big spreads.
It's just asking for one of those weird backdoor covers like it's 34-17 or 34-20.
You know, Chiefs have dominated Bears got a couple of late scores, but it's 34-20.
And then, you know, you get a field goal for some strange mathematical reason with like
six minutes left in the game.
Bears got a field goal and now it's 34-23 and you lose the bet.
That sort of thing.
So, but in this specific game, I legitimately don't think the Bears will score 10 and I
don't see how the Bears keep my homes under 30.
And so a gap of 30 plus to 10 below is at least 20 points, which means a 12 and a half
clean spread is more than comfortable that I'm willing to take the Chiefs there minus
12 and a half.
And then lastly, Buffalo at Washington, Washington plus six and a half take Washington.
I think Washington is going to keep this game fairly close.
I'm not picking him to win.
All right.
I'm not.
But I think it's going to keep the game fairly close.
It would not shock me if this game was, if this game was you look up and it's 34-31,
you know, Bills up, but Washington has the ball trying to tie it in and don't take the
lead.
So it would not shock me with that at all.
If this game had a game turned out.
I just legitimately think that the Washington Commanders have something going on with the
enemy.
He's finding some stuff in Sam Howell.
They're playing really, really good offensive football.
And so I think that the Washington Commanders keep it closer than the experts think, obviously,
but Buffalo ends up taking the victory.
Just to run back through it one more time.
We have Colts minus, I mean sorry, Ravens minus eight over the Colts, Pats minus two
and a half over the Jets in our lock of the week, Chargers in a Pick'em victory over
the Vikings, Chiefs minus 12 and a half over the Bears, Washington plus six and a half
over the Buffalo Bills.
What's up next?
Deion Sanders is the Coach of the Year.
Welcome in to our hot take and you just heard it.
Prime time, Coach Prime Deion Sanders is the Coach of the Year in college football and
I don't think the voting should be close.
First of all, he's already won three times as many games the team did last year.
He's done a complete and total roster overhaul, something unforeseen in the NCAA five years
ago, unimaginable in the NCAA eight months ago.
He's changed the culture of Colorado.
It looks like, I mean just the sights of people willing to go to Boulder, Colorado, because
it's not like it's that much better than Jackson, Mississippi.
It's not, but the money, the fame, the prowess and the attention that a powerful high school
can give is a little bit bigger than Jackson State was able to provide, but just the culture
change as far as going on to Colorado with Coach Prime, this is an overwhelming support
he's getting from many people.
But on the field, they were playing a dirty team on Saturday.
Jay Norville either coaches that team that way or he's condoned them acting that way,
but they were playing a dirty team on Saturday.
They cheap shot at Travis Hunter, lacerated his liver.
They took a couple shots at Shador.
They could look out the end zone.
They had the prime time dance ready for a touchdown.
Also a show and a watch, which has become synonymous with Shador.
They looked they were ready to come for heads that game and ultimately Colorado pulled it
out because Shador is the best player on the field.
But Deion Sanders, Coach Prime is the coach of the year in college football and it's not
close.
I will not allow anyone else to vote for anybody else in first place besides Coach Prime.
What he's doing there is an experiment unforeseen and unimaginable in the NCAA 18 months ago.
That would not have been possible what he's doing right now.
Instead, he's putting on an absolute show at Colorado on the field, off the field.
The attention to Colorado is insane.
They have sold out every single football ticket for the rest of the season in Boulder.
That is the impact that Deion Sanders providing.
Week one, they basically brought in $18 million.
Week two, Leeds against Nebraska was a great game as well.
I'm sorry, week two, he brings in $18 million.
Week three, he has the highest rated, highest streamed game ever and the fifth highest rated
TV football broadcast ever for ESPN with college football.
This Saturday, he goes up against Oregon and then the Saturday after that, at 9 a.m. local
time, he gets to battle Caleb Williams on USC.
Prime has an opportunity to be the easy fix for Coach of the Year after these next few
weeks.
He's already in the fundraise of the year.
It's after Coach Novell talked about Deion's shades.
The company who sells the line has made $4.5 million off of the sunglasses pre-orders.
They found their Michael Jordan networks, their absolute cash cow and gold mine.
But huge, huge respect for what Coach Prime is doing out in Colorado and I cannot wait
to hear him accept his Coach of the Year award.
But that is all I have for today.
I hope you guys have a great rest of your day.
This is your host, Justin Jackson signing out.