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Welcome in to the newest edition of the Justin Time Sports Podcast.

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I am your host, Justin Jackson.

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In this week's episode, I'll be discussing the NFL as we are in week one.

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I'll be having our Jax pack and I'll be closing with Jax's hot take.

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Now, as always, don't forget to like, rate, and subscribe to the Justin Time Sports Podcast

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wherever you get your podcasts.

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And don't forget to follow and turn on your post notifications for Justin Time Sports

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social media on all your favorite social media, whether that is X, Instagram, Facebook, or

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TikTok.

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Follow all your favorite social medias.

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Now, as always, don't forget to sit back and get ready to learn something.

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Welcome in to the show.

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So excited to be back with you guys.

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Recording is late Saturday night, so you guys are here this Sunday morning.

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So, so excited to be back with you guys this weekend.

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This NFL weekend, excited to be here.

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It is week one.

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We have made it.

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Man, it felt like it was a long time from February.

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You know, the last time we seen a football game, it was a football game that mattered,

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I should say.

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It was Kansas City competing in the Super Bowl, comeback against the Eagles, and then

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it was a long time.

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We've crowned every world champion in American sports.

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We have gone through free agency.

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We've gone through the draft.

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We've gone through training camp.

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We've gone through that weird period of the year during preseason where that seventh receiver

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on everybody's team that we're swears is going to make it, or that fifth guard, or that sixth

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corner that we just know in our minds is going to be the next superstar and never is.

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We've gotten through all that.

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We've gotten to the big cut day.

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We've made it through hard knocks, and we have officially arrived in week one of the

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NFL season.

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It's already started.

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Chiefs and Lions opened up the season.

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Of course, the defending national champion, defending Super Bowl champion, I'm sorry,

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watching basketball, I had a brain cramp.

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The defending Super Bowl champion opened up the season.

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They have banner night, very similar in all sports, or at least is that way in the NBA

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and the NFL.

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The defending champion opens up the season.

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So the NFL has ring night actually before, so I guess there's 53 players.

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They have a big ring night.

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The Chiefs do it in their in-air head stadium.

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They bring the families.

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They have all the different tables.

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You come in suited and booted, and you get your ring, and then they drop the banner before

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the game.

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In the NBA, because only 12 players, or 15 players, max, 12 to 15 players, and usually

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only retain eight of them a year, they give out the rings to the eight players opening

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night, and then they raise the banner.

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And so players from other teams customarily, if they aren't playing that night and they

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are well on the champion, they'll fly in too and get their rings as well.

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And get honored.

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Like I said, the banner gets raised, and then the new season starts.

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So Chiefs and Lions start off.

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I was contemplating how I was going to attack this game, whether I was going to just do

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like one of those recap moments, or whether I'm going to pick and choose, because I feel

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like anybody can tell you a recap.

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I feel like anybody you can listen to in sports can tell you what they saw.

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And by what they saw, I mean literally, the Chiefs score 20, the Lions score 21, here's

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how it happened, the touchdowns were this and this, I thought passing home was a bad.

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That's the basic, I literally watched the game.

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Kind of the stuff.

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I don't want to do that.

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I want to take it a little deeper than that.

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And we all watched the game, we've heard all the conjure analysis Friday, if you guys have

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watched the NFL show Saturday, it was only game on until everybody gave an opinion, multiple

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opinions on it.

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You know, people were teased, like Nick Wright for picking the Chiefs and all this.

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We've had all the different angles of the game.

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But I want to take it a little bit deeper, and I want to take it to a different spot.

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I want to take it to the Chiefs coaching staff, specifically Eric V. enemies, no longer being

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there.

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Yes, Travis Kelsey was injured.

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I understand that Travis Kelsey was out.

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But the offensive scheme itself, even if Travis Kelsey was in the game, would have struggled.

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Now congratulations to the Lions for putting together a pretty good defensive plan, although

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the Chiefs kind of gave it to one, no Travis Kelsey for one.

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Then Cadarius Tony decided to leave his hands wherever his burner, wherever his Twitter

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fingers were all off season.

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Sky Moore as well did not bring his hands to the party.

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And it's just, it's an interesting scenario when you have a generational quarterback.

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Patrick Holmes is a generational quarterback as far as raw talent.

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He's probably the top two, top three level quarterback.

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You know, probably Aaron Rodgers, him and Pure Arm.

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Aaron Rodgers and him probably got the top two.

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They probably separate them.

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So Elway is up there as well.

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Marino is up there as well.

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Bradshaw.

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But they're definitely, to be Patrick Holmes, the top three top two quarterbacks ever.

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And so we have a guy like him.

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You have Travis Kelsey who people even like Shannon Sharpe would say is the greatest tight

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end of all time.

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But he's a top three tight end of all time.

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You can take schematic liberties with those two and they're good enough to win the game.

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And what I mean by schematic liberty is I don't have to necessarily draw up the world's

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best play because I have the world's best quarterback and the world's best tight end.

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So I don't have to be this amazing play designer where Travis Kelsey has to be schemed open

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and Patrick Holmes has to have these schemed windows and everything has to be on time and

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perfect.

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And it's just, you know, everything has to be together and perfectly amazing because

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otherwise no one's getting open, et cetera.

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When you do have the world's best quarterback and you do have the world's best tight end

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and you do have receivers that, I'll just be honest, are not traditionally the best receivers.

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But you can take those liberties because you can put Scott Moore in a one on one situation

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with a slot coin because Travis Kelsey is going to get double or even tripled in terms

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of coverage focus.

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So you can put Kadiris Toney in a one on one situation and tell him just to beat the third

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best corner of the team.

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You can put Scott Moore in a one on one situation and kind of scheme open a little bit because

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there's a double or a triple team even on Travis Kelsey, but not having Kelsey exposed,

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not having the enemy.

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And he now says something like, oh, this game has an Astros vibe because there's no Travis

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Kelsey, no Chris Jones, which I mean, the Lions offense only scored 13 points.

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So I feel like 14 points.

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I feel like Chris Jones not being there was not nearly the good fact that Travis Kelsey

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not being there because again, I can't even think of who the Matt Campbell I think it

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is.

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I can't think of the man.

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Oh man, the office coordinator for I can't think of it.

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Maggie maybe.

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But you know, the Chiefs don't have to be perfect with Kelsey in the game because you

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got to attract so much attention.

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They can kind of have awful spacing and awful rock combinations with the rest of them.

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And because if you single cover Chelsea, he's going to get open.

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If you double or triple team Kelsey, other guys that I want to opportunities even with

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the poor rock combination, that's the NFL receivers.

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They make it win around by themselves.

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And so that is something that the organization is going to have to adjust to.

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She's going to adjust to Travis because it's getting older.

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There's going to be life after Kelsey.

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Maybe this is the first game to try and test that lifestyle or reality out because their

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offense was horrible.

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There were several moments there where Patrick had a lot of people wasn't even looking at

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how they feel.

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There is moments where the spacing is just awful.

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I didn't know who my home was throwing the ball to.

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I mean, there is just moments of pure, poor play, pure, poor schematics coming from the

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Kansas City Chiefs.

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But kudos to the Lions, man.

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They play hard.

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They play really, really hard.

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Jerrick off made some throws and he had to make them.

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The running game went well.

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They didn't run the ball a ton, but when they needed to, especially from the first round

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pick Jameer, they really ran the ball incredibly well.

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So kudos to them.

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But they pressured my home's all night, took advantage of the mistakes when they were able

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to do it.

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They were pretentious to them rather, and they were able to really, really work and

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get this victory because they had to grind it out.

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And it could kind of continue that excitement of the first set out at Ford Field since the

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Ford Field became an existence, sold them off season tickets.

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So that's the kind of support that the program needs.

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In terms of the Lions, Dan Kembel is one of those firecracker coaches, and he needs all

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the support and love he can get because the more you pour into him, the more he is able

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to be that firecracker for the Lions team.

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But leaving that game behind, we're going to shift into some storylines we're looking

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at going into week one.

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Mac Jones has a real offensive coordinator this year.

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He does not have a defensive coordinator, Mac Patricia, cosplaying an offensive coordinator.

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We had the worst scheming offense in football last year, and we won eight games.

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And by we, I mean the Patriots.

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So I am definitely looking forward to the Patriots having a better offensive season

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this year because they're not dealing with the literally worst offensive coordinator

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in football because he's the only offensive coordinator that's not an offensive coordinator.

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And so he was cosplaying the position, and therefore I expect just the team to be better

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in general, but Mac Jones to be a lot better considering he's back with his collegiate

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coach that got him to be as high-pick as he was, and he's away from Matt Patricia.

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So congratulations to Mac Jones.

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I expect him to have a big season.

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Brock Purdy returns for the San Francisco 49ers.

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They have moved on, obviously from Trey Lance, shipping him to the Dallas Cowboys for a fourth

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round pick.

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But Brock Purdy returns to leave the cheapest quarterback room by a standard mile.

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I don't think Brock Purdy's making a million dollars a year yet.

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Sam Dorma signed for the veteran minimum.

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They have, as far as I know, no one else on the roster playing the position.

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So they have about two and a half, I'm going to call it three million dollars tied up in

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the position of quarterback.

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So what do you do with that kind of money?

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You start paying players, and they end up giving Joey Bosa the biggest contract for

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a defensive end in NFL history.

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Five years, $170 million, with a little over $122 million of it guaranteed.

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And so he is living like a fat cat.

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He's living a good life.

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He is officially activated.

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It will play him week one.

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But to me, all eyes should be on Brock Purdy.

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And I've been one that's been preaching the rhetoric often, is the fact that Brock Purdy

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eventually has turned back into Brock Purdy.

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And I think it will be that kind of playoff game, a game where he needs to continue to

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overachieve his Mr. Irrelevant status.

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And he's going to turn into, well, Mr. Irrelevant and turn back into Brock Purdy.

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Because I didn't think he was that good at Iowa State.

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The scouts, the GMs, the coaches didn't think he was that good coming out.

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He was literally the last pick of the draft.

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Basically a flyer pick in the draft.

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And he ends up, you know, until his elbow exploded, looking like he might lead them

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into the Super Bowl.

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But like I said, Purdy is back.

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I expect regression this year.

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But he is back.

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Jordan Love takes over the reins in Green Bay.

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He tries to become the third person in the succession line of Hall of Fame quarterbacks.

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Of course, Brad Favre started it out and then Aaron Rodgers.

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And now you have Jordan Love.

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He's out of Nevada.

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He's sat behind Rodgers two, three years.

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Story very similar to Rodgers.

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Finally, the team got fed up with Rodgers.

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It's like the team got fed up with Favre and then they moved into the Jets.

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Sounds familiar.

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The Packers quarterbacks have relatively unknowns.

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Have great Hall of Fame careers.

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Play for the Jets.

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That's pretty much what the last two is doing.

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Jordan Love comes in relatively unknown.

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If the Packers continues, great all-time career with one and two of them.

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And then quietly going to the Hall of Fame.

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So that's pretty much Jordan Love in a nutshell what he's facing.

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Now he does not have a Devontae Adams.

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He does not have a Donald Driver.

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He does not have one of these elite all-time level wide receivers throw the ball to.

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He does not.

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But he does have Aaron Jones on a pretty good offensive line to kind of protect him early

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until he gets his confidence and starts letting the ball go.

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But I am very excited to see Jordan Love.

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The rookies.

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The rookies are debuting.

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The rookie quarterbacks, the big three are debuting.

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Number one overall pick Bryce Young.

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He leads the Carolina Panthers against the LA Falcons.

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Number two or three, I can't remember but he's not back to back.

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00:15:13,520 --> 00:15:17,080
But number two or three overall pick CJ Stroud.

239
00:15:17,080 --> 00:15:21,680
He leads his Houston Texans against the Baltimore Ravens who no longer have Mark Andrews or

240
00:15:21,680 --> 00:15:25,240
who's expected to not have Mark Andrews I should say.

241
00:15:25,240 --> 00:15:27,520
Anthony Richardson I believe with a five.

242
00:15:27,520 --> 00:15:33,600
He's leading his Indianapolis Cokes against the Prince that was promised and the Jacksonville

243
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Jaguars.

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This is always opening week so it's very intriguing to me for a rookie quarterbacks because I

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don't expect any of them to win.

246
00:15:41,480 --> 00:15:43,960
I don't expect any of them to play well.

247
00:15:43,960 --> 00:15:48,200
But I do expect to see signs and traits.

248
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Stuff like ball placement.

249
00:15:51,400 --> 00:15:56,000
You know decision making.

250
00:15:56,000 --> 00:15:58,600
After two with the offense, the firstification of the offense.

251
00:15:58,600 --> 00:16:03,800
These are things that I am looking forward to seeing from all three of these quarterbacks

252
00:16:03,800 --> 00:16:04,800
maybe down line.

253
00:16:04,800 --> 00:16:08,920
You know Richardson offense may look way different than Stroud's offense which may look way different

254
00:16:08,920 --> 00:16:10,280
than Young's offense.

255
00:16:10,280 --> 00:16:14,600
So I will wait and see how these guys perform before we pass our judgment.

256
00:16:14,600 --> 00:16:18,840
Now I do think that Richardson is an absolute bust.

257
00:16:18,840 --> 00:16:25,480
I don't necessarily believe in Young as a long term option given how small he is.

258
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Stroud is in a very interesting position in Houston.

259
00:16:28,480 --> 00:16:35,200
So there is going to be a lot of commentary on these guys.

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I'll be watching them incredibly closely.

261
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Aaron Rodgers rounds out the week one with a Monday night game versus the Buffalo Bills.

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And the Bills have been going back and forth in terms of social media and taking little

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00:16:53,400 --> 00:16:58,320
shots at each other during the course of interviews or whatever.

264
00:16:58,320 --> 00:17:04,960
So that is going to be an incredibly interesting game between Rodgers and the Bills.

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00:17:04,960 --> 00:17:06,920
I expect the Bills to...

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00:17:06,920 --> 00:17:10,560
My bad that's my sound of stopping myself.

267
00:17:10,560 --> 00:17:13,960
I expect the Bills to win that game.

268
00:17:13,960 --> 00:17:15,440
I don't think the Jets start off well at all.

269
00:17:15,440 --> 00:17:19,520
If you listen to my prediction I got the Jets starting off like 1-6.

270
00:17:19,520 --> 00:17:22,560
I don't enjoy their season schedule at all.

271
00:17:22,560 --> 00:17:27,200
I don't like the connection or the connection that Aaron Rodgers is doing.

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I'm just not a huge fan and I think a bunch of support from his teammates.

273
00:17:31,640 --> 00:17:36,400
So we will definitely keep our eye on that game.

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I just think Josh Allen is going to do a little bit more than Aaron Rodgers is doing with the

275
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continuity.

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00:17:41,160 --> 00:17:46,040
He's getting fusted by Stephon Diggs or ghosted by Stephon Diggs all offseason.

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00:17:46,040 --> 00:17:51,960
I've just kind of been hearing about chemistry issues and leadership and oh Brian Diggs was

278
00:17:51,960 --> 00:17:54,280
gone and he's returning back to his turnover ways.

279
00:17:54,280 --> 00:18:00,880
There's just a lot of stuff happening that they are going to have to work through in

280
00:18:00,880 --> 00:18:04,360
Buffalo but they are doing their absolute best like I said and they're going to have

281
00:18:04,360 --> 00:18:05,360
to get through it.

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00:18:05,360 --> 00:18:08,840
But I think they win this game, start the Jets off and they're kind of seizing a bit

283
00:18:08,840 --> 00:18:13,520
of misery with a bunch of underperforming.

284
00:18:13,520 --> 00:18:18,800
You know they're going to underperform pretty, they're going to underperform and with the

285
00:18:18,800 --> 00:18:22,840
Jets they're going to be an 8-win team which is going to put a lot of people under a lot

286
00:18:22,840 --> 00:18:23,840
of scrutiny.

287
00:18:23,840 --> 00:18:29,840
But ultimately I think that the Bills will win this game and they will take care of the

288
00:18:29,840 --> 00:18:30,840
Jets.

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00:18:30,840 --> 00:18:38,080
And finally Justin Fields, a lot of people's popular MVP choice for some reason.

290
00:18:38,080 --> 00:18:39,960
Justin Fields is trying to save his job right now.

291
00:18:39,960 --> 00:18:45,920
I was thinking in my head how many wins does it take for him not to be replaced?

292
00:18:45,920 --> 00:18:51,720
And it pretty much is how you feel about Shadour Sanders because they won't get to Kayla Williams.

293
00:18:51,720 --> 00:18:53,680
They won't probably get to Drake May.

294
00:18:53,680 --> 00:18:57,800
But when you start getting to that third quarterback on the board is how do you feel about a Shadour

295
00:18:57,800 --> 00:18:58,800
Sanders?

296
00:18:58,800 --> 00:19:00,800
How do you feel about Joe Milton?

297
00:19:00,800 --> 00:19:02,040
How do you feel about a Jay Day?

298
00:19:02,040 --> 00:19:05,920
Those things of that nature.

299
00:19:05,920 --> 00:19:08,280
Those guys, how do you feel about a Michael Pinnix?

300
00:19:08,280 --> 00:19:09,280
Etc.

301
00:19:09,280 --> 00:19:11,400
How do you feel about a Bo Nix?

302
00:19:11,400 --> 00:19:17,120
You know there's plenty of guys out there once you get around that 10th, 12th pick I

303
00:19:17,120 --> 00:19:20,960
think the Bears are going to win some games because they're that good, because of that

304
00:19:20,960 --> 00:19:21,960
division.

305
00:19:21,960 --> 00:19:28,080
So Porus and Winnebun now pretty much thought Anoraz is dominating for the Packers.

306
00:19:28,080 --> 00:19:32,360
But that is all I have for this segment.

307
00:19:32,360 --> 00:20:02,280
I will now switch into our NFL betting segment, Jax Packers.

308
00:20:02,280 --> 00:20:07,760
And welcome back into the show.

309
00:20:07,760 --> 00:20:13,440
And now we are transitioning into our NFL betting segment, Jax Pack.

310
00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:17,800
As you guys know we pick five games every week against the spread using the ESPN app

311
00:20:17,800 --> 00:20:21,720
for their betting lines whenever I get them, when I get the numbers.

312
00:20:21,720 --> 00:20:23,760
So that's who we use our app with.

313
00:20:23,760 --> 00:20:27,840
So if you guys get a number similar to this I'll tell you numbers I'm comfortable betting

314
00:20:27,840 --> 00:20:32,640
with, or how I think the score is going to go, and you can kind of deem that if you want

315
00:20:32,640 --> 00:20:37,760
to tease the lines to get better odds or to not have to give any juice into the number,

316
00:20:37,760 --> 00:20:38,760
that sort of thing.

317
00:20:38,760 --> 00:20:42,320
But you're going to do whatever you need to do to get the line as best you would.

318
00:20:42,320 --> 00:20:47,160
I'll give you guys how my bet is according to the ESPN line, and also probably what I

319
00:20:47,160 --> 00:20:48,160
feel like it's going to be.

320
00:20:48,160 --> 00:20:53,680
Also my prediction of what's going to happen, and so that way you guys can tease the line

321
00:20:53,680 --> 00:20:55,480
up if you need to.

322
00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:58,520
But again, we're in our NFL betting segment, Jax Pack.

323
00:20:58,520 --> 00:21:02,880
We're going to keep a running total of the games this year.

324
00:21:02,880 --> 00:21:06,880
So 17 times 5, 85 games.

325
00:21:06,880 --> 00:21:08,880
Yeah, that's good.

326
00:21:08,880 --> 00:21:10,480
We have 85 games.

327
00:21:10,480 --> 00:21:19,040
We have a total, the goal is to be a professional better, you need to go 53.5% or 54.5% or something

328
00:21:19,040 --> 00:21:20,040
like that.

329
00:21:20,040 --> 00:21:21,040
No, 56% I'm sorry.

330
00:21:21,040 --> 00:21:25,640
If you fit 56% of your bets, you will be labeled as a professional gambler.

331
00:21:25,640 --> 00:21:30,360
Professional gambler ability, they hit about 55 to 58% of their bets.

332
00:21:30,360 --> 00:21:33,640
So 56 is the benchmark number you want to hit.

333
00:21:33,640 --> 00:21:35,480
Last year we were under 50%.

334
00:21:35,480 --> 00:21:39,040
Year one we did this, we were about 54%.

335
00:21:39,040 --> 00:21:42,840
And so not quite at the professional gambler level just yet.

336
00:21:42,840 --> 00:21:47,360
But year three of this, I'm expecting a big turnaround this year.

337
00:21:47,360 --> 00:21:51,640
Week one and two are the harder weeks.

338
00:21:51,640 --> 00:21:54,720
Weeks 16 and 17 are always tough.

339
00:21:54,720 --> 00:21:59,680
Usually weeks three to 15 you kind of make your money if you're good at this.

340
00:21:59,680 --> 00:22:03,840
Because week one and two, early season guys coming out of training camp injuries, early

341
00:22:03,840 --> 00:22:06,640
season IR.

342
00:22:06,640 --> 00:22:10,840
Week 16 and 17, guys are shutting you down.

343
00:22:10,840 --> 00:22:11,840
Unexpected benchings.

344
00:22:11,840 --> 00:22:17,600
It's a really weird time period in the first two weeks and the last two weeks.

345
00:22:17,600 --> 00:22:21,200
So those numbers and those lines can be really odd because people are expected to sit that

346
00:22:21,200 --> 00:22:22,360
don't sit.

347
00:22:22,360 --> 00:22:24,960
People sit they weren't expected to sit.

348
00:22:24,960 --> 00:22:30,560
It's a pretty wild situation.

349
00:22:30,560 --> 00:22:33,400
And so anyway we're into Jax pack.

350
00:22:33,400 --> 00:22:35,400
We're in the week one.

351
00:22:35,400 --> 00:22:37,840
I actually liked a lot of the numbers this week.

352
00:22:37,840 --> 00:22:40,200
It was a pretty solid week as far as numbers.

353
00:22:40,200 --> 00:22:45,360
So again if you get some of these numbers around the same area, some of these teams

354
00:22:45,360 --> 00:22:47,400
are going to have a win out right.

355
00:22:47,400 --> 00:22:51,200
But the first game and they're in no particular order in terms of how I like them.

356
00:22:51,200 --> 00:22:53,280
They're all to me one unit bets.

357
00:22:53,280 --> 00:23:00,560
By unit bets I mean like if you are a $20 gambler, you bet $20.

358
00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:04,920
If you are a $100 gambler, you bet $100.

359
00:23:04,920 --> 00:23:05,920
You know what I'm saying?

360
00:23:05,920 --> 00:23:06,920
These are all one unit bets.

361
00:23:06,920 --> 00:23:11,240
There will always be one unit bets for Jax pack just so it would be a running total.

362
00:23:11,240 --> 00:23:15,040
If you would have bet one unit every week on every single game, when would you break

363
00:23:15,040 --> 00:23:16,040
even?

364
00:23:16,040 --> 00:23:17,040
How would you break even?

365
00:23:17,040 --> 00:23:18,040
Etc.

366
00:23:18,040 --> 00:23:23,480
But anyway so then the first game up is Texans at Ravens.

367
00:23:23,480 --> 00:23:27,040
Ravens minus nine and a half take the Ravens.

368
00:23:27,040 --> 00:23:30,360
The Ravens are going to come out there with a potent passing attack I think.

369
00:23:30,360 --> 00:23:35,200
A lot of stuff going sideways just to get Lamar some kind of layup style throws.

370
00:23:35,200 --> 00:23:38,520
Get Rashad Babeman, get O'Dell if he plays in space.

371
00:23:38,520 --> 00:23:39,520
No Mark Andrews.

372
00:23:39,520 --> 00:23:42,360
They're going to have a good run game if they're online to go to run the ball.

373
00:23:42,360 --> 00:23:44,640
Of course Lamar is there ready to roll.

374
00:23:44,640 --> 00:23:48,400
He believes in the offense and I just think he's going to struggle in his first game.

375
00:23:48,400 --> 00:23:51,760
Usually rookies either play amazing or they play horrible in their first game.

376
00:23:51,760 --> 00:23:54,640
I think he's going to go on the bad side and then throw a couple of picks including one

377
00:23:54,640 --> 00:23:57,000
rough pick six in the Ravens cover.

378
00:23:57,000 --> 00:23:59,360
Although they'll probably cover barely.

379
00:23:59,360 --> 00:24:05,160
I've got them winning 27 to 13.

380
00:24:05,160 --> 00:24:07,520
Number two Bucs at Vikings.

381
00:24:07,520 --> 00:24:10,480
Vikings minus five take the Vikings.

382
00:24:10,480 --> 00:24:13,400
I'm not sure why this line is five points.

383
00:24:13,400 --> 00:24:17,640
Nothing about the Bucs offense suggests that they're going to score more than 17 points

384
00:24:17,640 --> 00:24:20,680
at a consistent basis.

385
00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:23,600
Nothing about the Vikings offense suggests they're going to score anything less than

386
00:24:23,600 --> 00:24:25,840
24 points on a consistent basis.

387
00:24:25,840 --> 00:24:28,280
I don't understand why this line is five points.

388
00:24:28,280 --> 00:24:32,560
The Minnesota Vikings do not have the world's best defense but the Tampa Bay Bucs definitely

389
00:24:32,560 --> 00:24:34,760
do not have the world's best defense.

390
00:24:34,760 --> 00:24:42,800
The Kirk Cousins, Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison and the rest of that crew is a lot

391
00:24:42,800 --> 00:24:47,600
more dangerous than Baker Mayfield, Mike Evans and Chris Gallagher.

392
00:24:47,600 --> 00:24:52,800
The weapons are there for Tampa but the motivation, Mike Evans doesn't have a contract yet.

393
00:24:52,800 --> 00:24:55,480
Baker Mayfield is not that good at the sport.

394
00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:59,760
There's just so many things working against the Bucs here.

395
00:24:59,760 --> 00:25:05,480
So Vikings by a touchdown is very, very plausible.

396
00:25:05,480 --> 00:25:09,040
Jags minus four and a half at Colts.

397
00:25:09,040 --> 00:25:12,640
Again, another one of those lines I just don't understand.

398
00:25:12,640 --> 00:25:14,280
The Colts thought they were a quarterback.

399
00:25:14,280 --> 00:25:16,760
It's his first game, it's at home.

400
00:25:16,760 --> 00:25:19,800
Anthony Richardson was inaccurate in college, he was inaccurate in the preseason.

401
00:25:19,800 --> 00:25:23,560
Now he's going to go up against the Prince of the promise with a new addition than Calvin

402
00:25:23,560 --> 00:25:24,560
Ridley.

403
00:25:24,560 --> 00:25:26,280
I think he's going to win by multiple touchdowns.

404
00:25:26,280 --> 00:25:32,240
So the line being less than one touchdown suggests that Vegas is going to again, that

405
00:25:32,240 --> 00:25:35,960
first couple of weeks in Vegas are trying to figure out football to get themselves.

406
00:25:35,960 --> 00:25:40,080
So I just think that Jags will win by multiple touchdowns, which means they'll easily cover

407
00:25:40,080 --> 00:25:45,160
the four and a half point spread and they will take down the Colts.

408
00:25:45,160 --> 00:25:47,160
We have a bit of breaking news.

409
00:25:47,160 --> 00:25:53,920
Into the show, Israel Adesanya was defending his undisputed middleweight title and Sean

410
00:25:53,920 --> 00:26:02,080
Strickland whooped him by unanimous decision to become the undisputed middleweight champion

411
00:26:02,080 --> 00:26:03,520
at UFC 293.

412
00:26:03,520 --> 00:26:09,360
I repeat, Sean Strickland defeats Israel Adesanya by unanimous decision to become the undisputed

413
00:26:09,360 --> 00:26:14,520
middleweight champion at UFC 293.

414
00:26:14,520 --> 00:26:19,120
Usually champions don't lose the belt by decision.

415
00:26:19,120 --> 00:26:24,240
So Strickland dominated the fight from start to finish and left the judges no choice but

416
00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:28,480
to award him the belt.

417
00:26:28,480 --> 00:26:34,320
But anyway, yeah, I said the Jags are going to run away and hide from the Colts.

418
00:26:34,320 --> 00:26:36,120
It's a division game.

419
00:26:36,120 --> 00:26:39,040
Yes, it's in Indianapolis.

420
00:26:39,040 --> 00:26:42,640
Based on my schedule picking system, I count as the L for Jacksonville.

421
00:26:42,640 --> 00:26:45,960
I just think that the Colts may not score more than 17 points.

422
00:26:45,960 --> 00:26:51,880
So if you're just daring Trevor Lawrence score 23, which to me feels very, very likely.

423
00:26:51,880 --> 00:26:58,120
So Trevor Lawrence and the Jags cover the four and a half against the Colts.

424
00:26:58,120 --> 00:27:02,280
The Packers plus one at the Bears hammer the Packers here.

425
00:27:02,280 --> 00:27:06,520
If there was going to be a actually we're going to do the locks.

426
00:27:06,520 --> 00:27:12,680
We're going to add locks to our segment.

427
00:27:12,680 --> 00:27:15,400
And so the locks are two unit bets.

428
00:27:15,400 --> 00:27:18,840
These are the bets I am very confident in.

429
00:27:18,840 --> 00:27:21,240
These are the bets that we're going to have their own individual section in the record

430
00:27:21,240 --> 00:27:22,440
card.

431
00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:26,480
Lock in Packers plus one at the Bears.

432
00:27:26,480 --> 00:27:29,000
The Packers are winning this game outright.

433
00:27:29,000 --> 00:27:35,520
So of course they're going to get one point because a one point spread is simply who wins

434
00:27:35,520 --> 00:27:41,060
the game because it's a one point spread.

435
00:27:41,060 --> 00:27:43,800
So it's simply who wins the football game.

436
00:27:43,800 --> 00:27:52,720
I mean 20 there's no real likely one point scores, you know, 20, 21.

437
00:27:52,720 --> 00:27:54,520
For the most part, this is going to win the game.

438
00:27:54,520 --> 00:27:57,280
I think the Packers are going to win the game outright.

439
00:27:57,280 --> 00:28:00,600
So then being the underdog, I would bet this game outright.

440
00:28:00,600 --> 00:28:05,080
I think Packers are the lock here.

441
00:28:05,080 --> 00:28:09,860
And so I would definitely go with the Green Bay Packers.

442
00:28:09,860 --> 00:28:18,160
And then last but certainly not least, the NFC East has their first major contest of

443
00:28:18,160 --> 00:28:19,960
the season.

444
00:28:19,960 --> 00:28:24,840
You have the Cowboys at the Giants, the Giants plus three and a half.

445
00:28:24,840 --> 00:28:26,080
Take the Giants.

446
00:28:26,080 --> 00:28:30,880
Now this line was interesting to me because I think it's almost perfect.

447
00:28:30,880 --> 00:28:31,880
It's plus three.

448
00:28:31,880 --> 00:28:33,280
I stay away from it.

449
00:28:33,280 --> 00:28:36,440
But I think the Cowboys are going to win this game by about three points.

450
00:28:36,440 --> 00:28:41,920
And then they're going to win something like 27, 24 and which we cover because the Giants

451
00:28:41,920 --> 00:28:42,920
is three and a half.

452
00:28:42,920 --> 00:28:46,520
Again, this is one of those games where if you get it, if you see it at three or less,

453
00:28:46,520 --> 00:28:47,520
don't touch it.

454
00:28:47,520 --> 00:28:51,400
To be honest, if you see it at three and a half, I probably wouldn't touch it for most

455
00:28:51,400 --> 00:28:52,400
people.

456
00:28:52,400 --> 00:28:56,600
But if you see it at four, I'd hammer it because I think this game is going to be a 27, 24

457
00:28:56,600 --> 00:28:57,600
kind of game.

458
00:28:57,600 --> 00:29:01,280
Oh, and I just think that the Giants are going to lose it, but they're going to cover the

459
00:29:01,280 --> 00:29:03,040
three and a half.

460
00:29:03,040 --> 00:29:06,640
So again, just to recap it, it is Texans at Ravens.

461
00:29:06,640 --> 00:29:07,880
Ravens minus nine and a half.

462
00:29:07,880 --> 00:29:08,880
Take the Ravens.

463
00:29:08,880 --> 00:29:09,880
Bucks at Vikings.

464
00:29:09,880 --> 00:29:10,880
Vikings minus five.

465
00:29:10,880 --> 00:29:11,880
Take the Vikings.

466
00:29:11,880 --> 00:29:13,160
Jags at Colts.

467
00:29:13,160 --> 00:29:14,840
Jags minus four and a half.

468
00:29:14,840 --> 00:29:15,840
Take the Jags.

469
00:29:15,840 --> 00:29:18,160
Packers plus one at the Bears.

470
00:29:18,160 --> 00:29:19,160
Take the Packers.

471
00:29:19,160 --> 00:29:21,480
Cowboys at Giants plus three and a half.

472
00:29:21,480 --> 00:29:22,480
Take the Giants.

473
00:29:22,480 --> 00:29:29,200
But up next, we're going to shift into Jack's Hot Take, which is going to be a take on college

474
00:29:29,200 --> 00:29:30,200
football.

475
00:29:30,200 --> 00:29:58,040
Welcome back into the show.

476
00:29:58,040 --> 00:30:01,320
And now we are jumping into Jack's Hot Take.

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As you guys know, this segment used to be called Best for Lies.

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We always took some kind of personal language on the topic and kind of talk about something

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that I thought you guys may be interested in, something I definitely was interested

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in for sure.

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We have since rebranded this last segment into Jack's Hot Take.

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Why do I give you guys a strong take on one of the topics that's going on in the sports

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world?

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Oh man, the big topic is college football.

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And so my hot take is that Deion Prime Time Coach Prime Sanders is, I have two takes this

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week actually.

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I have Coach Prime being college football's savior and I believe the reign of terror by

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Nick Saban is officially over.

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And I think that not only is Nick Saban's reign of terror over, he's not even a threat

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anymore.

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So let's start off with Saban first and what ended with Deion.

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Saban was summarily defeated tonight by Steve Sarkeesian, 34-24 in Tuscaloosa.

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And honestly the game wasn't as close as the score suggested.

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A couple of Texas miscues, a couple of Texas fixes and they're 40 something 24.

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You know, Nick Saban in his last nine games versus former assistants are 4 and 5.

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Before that he was 24 and 0.

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He's just lost to me his ability.

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He's got Jalen Merrill starting who's not the level of quarterback that they've been

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grown accustomed to at Alabama.

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He was 14 and 27 tonight.

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Two pretty bad interceptions.

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And so he's not the level of quarterback that they are used to in Alabama.

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Especially as with recently when they're used to high winners, they're used to number one

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overall picks, they're used to national championship level quarterbacks.

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He is none of those things.

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He will never be any of those things.

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And we knew that in the off season.

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And so I think that Saban's got to make a choice at quarterback but no one fears them.

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It's an era now where good offense beats good defense.

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And so now that that is flipped, a guy like Saban who would love to play every game in

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the phone booth and just fight it out and scrap it out amongst the big guys in the middle

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and not really worried about trying to scheme everything open and people still using double

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tide and ace backs and kind of old school football.

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Now everybody's going five wide finding a weak corner and exploiting them.

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So I think that Nick Saban's recruiting stronghold is fading or faded.

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I think he's lost finally lost too much of the infrastructure.

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Kirby Smart is at Georgia.

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He has his family staff, I think it was 2015, has seven current FBS head coaches on it.

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You know, it's just his strength coach left with Georgia.

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There's so much infrastructure that he has to replace every single year.

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And I think that Saban's finally run out of gas and trying to be able to pull the magic

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string every time.

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So I think that ultimately his reign of terror is over in the SEC and Cosmo.

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But in more positive news, Coach Prime Deion Sanders prime time is Colorado Buffalo's are

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two and oh after controlling and fairly dominating the Nebraska Cornhuskers, especially in the

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second half, because Nebraska was in a war with them in the first half.

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And they were really battling in the first half.

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And then Nebraska the kid that exit the crop of random field goal.

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And that was pretty much it.

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Nebraska began to roll another brassica colorado begins a roll after that.

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But my take on this is that Coach Prime is Cosmo ball savior.

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Cosmo didn't have a face.

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He didn't have that person that you really wanted to sit down and interview and talk

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with.

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They didn't have that big personality kind of necessary to help run a team.

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You know, there's got to be personality.

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We happy big personality, sad personality, angry, because what you don't want is for

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you to be flat all the time.

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And then something bad happens and I open your energy and angry that kind of gets most

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people to shut down.

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And so Deion Sanders is really good at always providing energy, always having the media,

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always having the merchandise, always having everything they can need, because he doesn't

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want them to get pulled out of the portal by a major conference.

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Now Colorado is going to the major conference next year.

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But just an absolutely massive win.

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I think he's Cosmo ball savior because for two weeks in a row, big noon kickoff has had

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his game with his face with their countdown ready to go for him.

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He brought it so much into the HBCUs when he was there at Jackson State.

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He brought so much into the HBCUs.

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I'm still seeing his impact with names on the back of Jersey.

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That was not a thing before Deion got to Jackson State and it was like, we can't afford to

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put a kid's name on a darn jersey.

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You know, his mom and them want to see his name on the back of the jersey.

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So there was stuff that he definitely helped improve on for the HBCUs and now he's looking

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to do that for black coaches at the FBS level, trying to get as many opportunities for African

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American coaches at the level.

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But who's the main, you know, what's the main story in Cosmo ball?

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Deion, you know, it's Colorado.

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They won two games this year.

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That's twice the winter they had last year.

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For me, last year was Nebraska.

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So you know, congratulations to the Colorado Buffaloes.

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I mean, their season just started, obviously, but they have already exceeded a lot of expectations

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by beating CCU and now they just doubled down on it by taking care of Nebraska.

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They have Colorado State next week, should be an easy contest.

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And then they move right into Oregon, I believe, which will be the first big, big, big showdown.

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I mean, CCU was huge because of Deion's first game, etc.

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But Oregon's in the conference, so that'll be the first conference big, big showdown

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of their Colorado team.

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But I just think Deion is Cosmo ball's savior.

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If he's as energetic as he is all the time, he's pushing for the stuff he's pushing for

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even after his son's leave.

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I believe that Deion is college football savior.

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But that is all I have for you guys today.

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I hope you guys enjoyed it.

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I hope you guys enjoyed the rest of your weekend, your Sunday.

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Watch some NFL.

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It's our first full day of real football from noon or 1 if you're on the East Coast and

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10 if you're on the West Coast to all the way through the night.

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You know, and it's just it's a wonderful feeling to have football back because now everything

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runs through the lens and runs through the prism of football content.

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So I again, I appreciate all you guys sticking around.

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This don't forget to follow social media pages, post notifications and don't forget to like,

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rate and subscribe to the podcast wherever you get your podcasts.

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This is your host Justin Jackson signing out.

