WEBVTT

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Greetings, I'm Andy Johnson. This presentation

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is called Understanding Evidence and Research.

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I have a lot of notes and handouts and other

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things related to this at my free sub stack.

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Plug in the reading instruction show and you

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will find it there. It's free, there's no subscription

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charge. Also, a lot of people have asked me about

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teaching writing and writing instruction is one

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of the most under instructed skills in our schools.

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Again, another free substack, how to teach writing,

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you can find it there. All the stuff there is

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based on my book. And of course, like the rest

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of 90 % of America, I have a podcast with tens

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of listeners. Okay, let's start. Context. matters

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to understand things, to understand research,

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to understand data, to understand evidence. Context

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matters. You can't pull things out of context

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and try to understand. So let us look at the

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big picture. The big picture is to enable all

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children to develop their full literacy potential

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so that they can use literacy for real life purposes

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in the real world, not to pass a unit test or

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to get higher scores on this and that. So to

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use literacy to achieve real life goals. And

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literacy includes reading and writing, but also

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speaking, listening, and thinking. So I ask unto

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you, what constitutes evidence of this? Beware

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of the number monkeys who try to describe learning

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only in terms of numbers. If it can't be quantified,

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they tell us it doesn't exist. Reading is not

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sounding out words. It's creating meaning with

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print. And we read for two purposes. We read

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to understand information, and we read to enjoy

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books. That is the end state, the goal. All our

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objectives should lead to that goal. Everything

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we do to teach reading should lead to those two

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goals. And the ability to do these things should

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define students' reading ability. So what is

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evidence of a literacy crisis? We're talking

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about evidence. The crisis, a crisis, any crisis,

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is a time of intense difficulty, trouble, or

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danger. And some insist we have this thing called

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a reading crisis. You can read the media and

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literacy. Thousands of children functionally

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illiterate. Oh, really? Just because you see

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it or hear it doesn't mean it's true. Teachers

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criticize their colleges of ed for not preparing

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them to teach reading. How many teachers? Two

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teachers? Four teachers? How old were they? First

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year? 20th year? 50th year? How many colleges

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of ed? We must look for evidence as we consume

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the media, as we consume various forms of media.

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It's alarming, they tell us. Children are severely

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behind, teachers say. Behind what? Behind who?

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What educators are saying what? Just because

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is it two educators saying it? Journalists, journalists

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are important in a democratic society. I'm not

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getting down on them, but journalists write stories.

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Stories are not evidence. Stories are things

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that people put together. not necessarily for

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accuracy, but for impact, to get clicks on their

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little websites, to get awards at banquets. That's

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what journalists do. There is not legitimate

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evidence that there is a literacy crisis. Evidence,

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legitimate. Paul Thomas talks about it and has

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written about all the various literacy crises

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starting in the early 50s. And there'll be another

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one coming around in 10 to 15 years when this

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one has found to be another boondockle or when

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some publisher needs something else to be sold.

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There will be another one when they find this

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science of reading thing doesn't work. Why? Because

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it's much easier to blame schools and teachers

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and parents than to address social issues, systemic

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poverty, economic inequality, overcrowded schools,

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income inequality, lack of school funding. These

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things impact learning. But it's easier to say

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schools are failing, teachers are doing a bad

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job. Everybody who's been to first grade seems

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to have all the answers to fix public education.

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Teach more phonics, George Bush told us once.

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Higher standards, get tough. Get rid of teachers

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unions. Reward the good teachers. More tests.

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Reward high performing schools. Interesting.

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Simple, simple answers. to complex problems.

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Blaming teachers takes people's attention from

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the real issues and teachers can't fight back.

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This has led to a teacher shortage. Teacher turnover

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is the leading factor in teacher shortages. They

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are leaving. Qualified teachers are leaving teachers

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who love their job, good teachers, for reasons

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other than retirement. There's no shortage of

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teachers. There's a shortage of teachers who

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are willing to put up with baloney. As an example,

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I am retiring in three months and one of the

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reasons I'm retiring is because I would be required

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to go through letters training, what I call re

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-education camp. Just like in a clockwork orange,

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they force that guy's eyes open to watch those

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scenes. I would be forced to watch letters or

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to take letters training. There is not a reading

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crisis, a reading achievement crisis. Now we

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are going to look at data from the National Assessment

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of Educational Progress. This is part of the

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U .S. Department of Education. They take a large

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sample, a representative sample. They give tests

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to students in grades four, eight, and 12 every

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year. It's called the nation's report card. It

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gives us a sense of how we are doing. Rikin,

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Ruby, and Risco. There's no irrefutable evidence

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that we are experiencing a national literacy

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crisis. Crisis would look something like that

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or something like that. It would not look like

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that. These are long -term reading scores in

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fourth grade and in eighth grade, starting in

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71. You can see there's just a gradual release

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of scores, but there's a natural fluctuation,

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and that's called normal, normal. This is the

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latest one I found a couple of days ago on the

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website, and it's hard to find this data. They've

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included a whole bunch of stuff that makes it

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difficult. No statistically significant difference

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from 2013 to 2020. Of course, we had the COVID

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dip. didn't we? And before the dip, we were higher

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than we were statistically significantly higher

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than we were in 92. Same with eighth grade. Here

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is the COVID dip and we expected that. But from

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12 to 20, no significant dip. Reading scores

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fall to new lows, says Sarah Schwartz from Education

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Week. And she's a reporter. She just writes a

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lot of stuff. She is a reporter. She's not an

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academician or a scholarly writer. But here's

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the thing, even if she weren't lying, think about

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it. This is the dates when all the states have

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passed their miracle reading legislation. Mississippi

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in 2013. Here's when the miracle started. And

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look at all these other things, all these other

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miracles starting 2009, 21, 22. Here's Minnesota

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right there in 2023. So let the miracles occur.

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We should just be sitting back enjoying our cup

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of coffee and just watching the miracles unfold

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in front of us. Dramatic pause. except they are

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not. But even if there were a crisis, which there

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is not, the science of reading a fellow's people

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have determined, have claimed that they've isolated

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the causal variable. They say that they know

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both the cause and the solution to a problem

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that does not exist. But let me tell you, my

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friends, Randomly determining causality is not

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science. That's baloney, sometimes called pseudoscience.

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These are all the variables that impact student

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achievement. And you can pause and look at it

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yourself for a good time on a Saturday afternoon.

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Again, we must distinguish between scholarly

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articles, scholarship, and journalists. Journalists

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write down what people tell them. People tell

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them things, they write it down, and they create

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their stories. And everyone wants to be the next

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Emily Hanford. Look how famous she is and how

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much money she's getting and how many speaking

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gigs. Oh, I want to be just like Emily. publish

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stuff. They put numbers to it. They have sensational

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things. They always have a picture of a kid who's

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crying or looking distraught. And look at this

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graph. Oh, that's just horrible. That's horrible.

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Pulling things out of context, putting them in

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ways that create a sensation. It's a straw man

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argument. This is when you create a cartoonish

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version of something and argue against the cartoon.

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Things like balanced literacy. People describe

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it in ways that it is simply not true. Whole

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language, the three QE systems. Some people are

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just horribly upset about what they call Q -ing,

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and they don't even know what it is. They're

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describing something horrible. Public schools,

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DEI has been made a swearing word. Critical race

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theory, same thing by people that have not taken

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the time to understand what it is. I had this

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fellow on my show. I was interviewing him. He

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asked me to, so I did. He had a book which had

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a very interesting premise. The book was called

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Failure Factor, and in this book, he described

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administration. as changing teachers' grades

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to show that they were doing a good job. And

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in Baltimore, apparently, instead of a superintendent,

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they have a CEO, hence the factory motif. But

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Brother Chris here has some very simplistic answers

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to a very complex situation. And he either misunderstood

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or misrepresented information. His answer, of

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course, was just to hold students to higher standards.

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Oh, okay. Just hold them to higher standards.

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Duh. Why didn't I think of that? Based on a lot

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of I -thinkisms. Now notice, here's some of the

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stuff from his book indicating failure. He says,

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well, the budget has stayed consistent, all right,

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and the number of enrollment has gone down significantly.

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Look at all these things. But none of these things

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are indicative of the quality of education occurring

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in classrooms. SAT, that's a self -selected test

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that people going to college take. That's not

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a representation of how schools are doing. AP,

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advanced placement exams, again, a representative

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sample. Attendance, you can have quality teaching

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going on, but that does not impact attendance

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or dropout. or absenteeism, or enrollment. Some

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of these are societal factors. So either he doesn't

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know, he doesn't understand, or he's purposely

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misrepresenting to get his little statues and

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to get book sales. Again, he said, more discipline.

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Hold students to higher standards. Get rid of

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teachers unions. I hear that a lot. And in my

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book, I will be talking about teachers unions

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at some point, not today. Here's the thing I

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read in his book that made me want to throw up

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in my mouth. When a reporter focuses on one beat,

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they become an expert on that beat. Oftentimes

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a beach reporter knows the subject matter better

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than the industry professional they cover, unquote.

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What do you say to something like that? You don't.

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You just vomit in your mouth a little bit. They

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write stories. This is a story written like a

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detective novel. Watch the City has fallen into

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a state of decay. And that was certainly my view

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one September afternoon in 2017, as my photographer

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and I were. You get the idea. This isn't scholarly

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writing, not that you need scholarly writing,

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but he's creating a story for impact. That's

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what they do in television. That's how you get

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those little statues at award ceremonies. Everyone

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wants a statue. I want a statue. I welcome journalists

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into our academic conversations. I welcome you,

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but you do not get a free pass on ignorance.

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In my conversation with Chris and John Stossel,

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I understood that you have to have some background

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knowledge to understand and interpret what you

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see and hear. I often had to correct the presumption

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upon which questions were based before I answered

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questions. They had a shallow and disjointed

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knowledge base. There's nothing wrong with that.

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But you don't realize that. It makes it difficult

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to engage in academic discussion. discourse with

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these people, these people, with a journalist

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sometimes. I don't want to generalize. Reading

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instruction is first and formally an academic

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topic, and it has been, discussion has been going

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on in academic, academia, academic discussions

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for decades. And there's always been people with

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differing ideas. There isn't a reading war. And

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again, You are welcome as anybody is into our

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academic discussion. Anybody can publish in an

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academic journal. It's subjected to blind peer

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review. Anybody could speak at a conference,

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but allow for questions, get alternative views.

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When you say research, cite the research. You

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should not get a pass on ignorance. And that

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is happening. As I mentioned, I was interviewed

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by John Stossel. The interview took about 60

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minutes. He put together a story and my little

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part, I'm guessing was two to four minutes at

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most. And he created a collage with it to create

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the story that he wanted. This is an email I

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got from a producer. We're doing a story on the

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literacy crisis in America. of which there is

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not, I came across your advocacy of whole word

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reading instruction. Where did you come up with

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that? I don't know. Do you know what whole word

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reading instruction is? I've talked about whole

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language, but that's different from whole word.

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But anyway, he said, we would like to get your

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take on the subject. They would like to get my

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take. Imagine that. They didn't want my take

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on anything. They wanted to create a collage.

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Now, the speaking fee for John Stossel, for him

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to do a keynote is $75 ,000. I know because I

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pretended I was someone else and I contacted

00:18:31.599 --> 00:18:34.700
his speaking bureau. Am I a bad man for doing

00:18:34.700 --> 00:18:38.900
that? The speaking fee for me to do a keynote

00:18:38.900 --> 00:18:41.359
is give me a little flattery and a hamburger

00:18:41.359 --> 00:18:46.890
and I will be there. Now, in 1992, somebody determined

00:18:46.890 --> 00:18:49.569
that the NAAP reading scores weren't low enough,

00:18:49.569 --> 00:18:53.549
so we need to invent categories, advanced, proficient,

00:18:53.730 --> 00:18:58.289
and basic. Well, what is basic? We just assume

00:18:58.289 --> 00:19:01.569
that it's something. What is proficient? We just

00:19:01.569 --> 00:19:06.769
assume that it's something. What's average? This

00:19:06.769 --> 00:19:10.170
is what Rinking Ruby and Risco said. The cut

00:19:10.170 --> 00:19:14.799
scores used to define these categories were arbitrarily

00:19:14.799 --> 00:19:20.019
set by a small group of hand -picked politically

00:19:20.019 --> 00:19:24.160
appointed experts against the recommendations

00:19:24.160 --> 00:19:27.619
of the psychometricians who have been contracted

00:19:27.619 --> 00:19:32.420
to advise the development of this approach. You

00:19:32.420 --> 00:19:37.359
hired people? Interesting. Okay, interesting.

00:19:38.599 --> 00:19:42.140
Categories and levels and content are arbitrarily

00:19:42.140 --> 00:19:46.480
defined. citing some more sources there. Now,

00:19:46.480 --> 00:19:50.279
if you go on the website, US Department of Education,

00:19:50.380 --> 00:19:54.319
they report in percentile rankings, 10th, 25th,

00:19:54.359 --> 00:19:58.960
50th, 75th, and they have so much data and little

00:19:58.960 --> 00:20:02.519
data bits, it's designed more to confuse, and

00:20:02.519 --> 00:20:05.700
you can pull out little data bits to create a

00:20:05.700 --> 00:20:08.579
variety of stories, a variety of impressions.

00:20:09.420 --> 00:20:13.609
If you do this, pull it out of context. context

00:20:13.609 --> 00:20:17.549
as needed. This is average right here, so let

00:20:17.549 --> 00:20:23.930
me explain. 1992, this is average, so they decided,

00:20:23.950 --> 00:20:28.490
hmm, I think we'll make basic a little below

00:20:28.490 --> 00:20:33.529
average and proficient a little above average.

00:20:34.029 --> 00:20:37.009
What would that look like in a normal population?

00:20:37.329 --> 00:20:40.190
In a normal population, we have the bell -shaped

00:20:40.190 --> 00:20:45.089
curve where 50 % are below the mean and 50 %

00:20:45.089 --> 00:20:49.009
are above the mean. And in every school, if it's

00:20:49.009 --> 00:20:52.549
a normal population, we're going to have 50 %

00:20:52.549 --> 00:20:57.170
below the mean or below average. Well, if they

00:20:57.170 --> 00:21:02.069
decide that this is basic right here, by definition,

00:21:02.879 --> 00:21:08.579
40 % are gonna be below the basic level. And

00:21:08.579 --> 00:21:13.039
60 % are gonna be below the proficient level.

00:21:13.339 --> 00:21:17.579
And you can say, oh, we have a crisis. Only 40

00:21:17.579 --> 00:21:20.599
% of our students are reading at the proficient

00:21:20.599 --> 00:21:24.559
level. You see how the game is played? That's

00:21:24.559 --> 00:21:29.420
how they play the game. That's not right. Eighth

00:21:29.420 --> 00:21:35.920
grade, same thing. Same thing. Same thing. That's

00:21:35.920 --> 00:21:42.579
not right. Walton said, this is from their website.

00:21:43.160 --> 00:21:45.819
This is from the Center for Educational Statistics.

00:21:46.359 --> 00:21:49.359
Proficiency levels are based on desired expectation.

00:21:49.819 --> 00:21:54.240
These levels are aspirational, not mathematical.

00:21:54.900 --> 00:21:57.859
We would like this to be basic. We would like

00:21:57.859 --> 00:22:02.329
this. there to be used on a trial basis, we need

00:22:02.329 --> 00:22:05.750
evidence to determine if they are reasonable,

00:22:06.230 --> 00:22:13.250
valid, and informative. Hand -picked political

00:22:13.250 --> 00:22:17.950
appointees, arbitrarily decided levels, any time

00:22:17.950 --> 00:22:21.970
you hear about NAP levels of basic and proficient,

00:22:22.289 --> 00:22:26.519
even on state level tests. These should always

00:22:26.519 --> 00:22:30.079
be put in this context and they should always

00:22:30.079 --> 00:22:36.440
be questioned. State criterion reference test.

00:22:37.380 --> 00:22:40.140
You can't compare state to state because each

00:22:40.140 --> 00:22:44.359
state has a different test, but someone establishes

00:22:44.359 --> 00:22:47.160
a criterion. We think third graders should know

00:22:47.160 --> 00:22:50.720
that and sixth graders should know that. A test

00:22:50.720 --> 00:22:54.299
is given every year. And we think this is basic,

00:22:54.559 --> 00:22:59.720
and that is, arbitrarily decide who decides the

00:22:59.720 --> 00:23:03.019
criteria, who decides the content of these tests,

00:23:03.380 --> 00:23:07.119
who decides what's advanced, proficient, and

00:23:07.119 --> 00:23:12.059
basic, and how are these decisions made. I had

00:23:12.059 --> 00:23:15.380
to do a lot of looking here in Minnesota on their

00:23:15.380 --> 00:23:18.559
websites, and I finally found, after a lot of

00:23:18.559 --> 00:23:21.019
phone calls and tiny print on their websites,

00:23:22.919 --> 00:23:26.740
that originally these MCAs were based on the

00:23:26.740 --> 00:23:30.000
Common Core State Standards. They took these

00:23:30.000 --> 00:23:33.160
three -dimensional standards and made a two -dimensional

00:23:33.160 --> 00:23:35.519
test. Of course, you never actually get to see

00:23:35.519 --> 00:23:39.759
what's on the test. And in your real life, how

00:23:39.759 --> 00:23:42.960
often have you had to do these things? But yet

00:23:42.960 --> 00:23:47.220
these are used to define the literacy potential

00:23:47.220 --> 00:23:51.400
of our students. These are, and these standards,

00:23:51.640 --> 00:23:55.079
Common Core, were aspirational, not mathematical.

00:23:55.779 --> 00:23:58.200
To prepare students, we would like them to be

00:23:58.200 --> 00:24:02.099
able to do these things at each level, aspirational.

00:24:02.799 --> 00:24:05.779
And this idea, like they have here in Minnesota,

00:24:06.180 --> 00:24:08.859
that every student will be reading at grade level,

00:24:09.460 --> 00:24:14.519
that's simply absurd. That creates winners and

00:24:14.519 --> 00:24:18.740
losers. Grade level. How do you determine grade

00:24:18.740 --> 00:24:21.960
level? Criterion based, norm reference based,

00:24:22.339 --> 00:24:25.460
aspirational, inspirational, fairy tale based

00:24:25.460 --> 00:24:29.859
measures. Now in Minnesota, a couple of years

00:24:29.859 --> 00:24:32.579
back, they claimed that test scores were falling,

00:24:32.819 --> 00:24:35.980
but no test scores were ever reported. They don't

00:24:35.980 --> 00:24:39.220
give you that. They simply give you percentages.

00:24:39.660 --> 00:24:44.259
And four of these arbitrarily defined categories.

00:24:44.839 --> 00:24:50.180
Those aren't test scores. And you can't use percentages

00:24:50.180 --> 00:24:54.700
to make comparison. This is percentages of students

00:24:54.700 --> 00:24:58.900
at or above proficiency. That's not a comparison

00:24:58.900 --> 00:25:02.519
of scores over time. That's what's called in

00:25:02.519 --> 00:25:06.119
the business baloney. And that's the family friendly

00:25:06.119 --> 00:25:10.299
term for it. So tips for evaluating scholarly

00:25:10.299 --> 00:25:14.130
work. And again, Academic discourse is when you

00:25:14.130 --> 00:25:17.509
use research and reason to make a case for one's

00:25:17.509 --> 00:25:20.430
argument. Argument here isn't the yelling kind

00:25:20.430 --> 00:25:23.170
of argument. It's where you put forth a proposition

00:25:23.170 --> 00:25:27.150
and you make a case for that using reason, using

00:25:27.150 --> 00:25:33.789
reason and research. And disagreement is a natural

00:25:33.789 --> 00:25:37.289
part of the academic conversation. It's how we

00:25:37.289 --> 00:25:41.390
evolve our thinking. There should never be a

00:25:41.390 --> 00:25:44.710
singular type of thinking. This insulated bubble

00:25:44.710 --> 00:25:47.670
that the reading league tries to create for itself,

00:25:48.390 --> 00:25:52.450
that creates cognitive inbreeding and deleterious

00:25:52.450 --> 00:25:57.349
mutations. We need to hear other ideas to evolve

00:25:57.349 --> 00:26:00.349
our thinking. I say the reading league because

00:26:00.349 --> 00:26:03.609
when I post things on their various platforms,

00:26:03.730 --> 00:26:06.980
they block me. Oh, we can't have our people hearing

00:26:06.980 --> 00:26:09.940
that idea. That's horrible. They may believe

00:26:09.940 --> 00:26:14.160
the wrong thing. So they block me. Interesting.

00:26:15.019 --> 00:26:19.359
Now, it's important that we critique each other's

00:26:19.359 --> 00:26:23.700
work. That's what we do in a scholarly, in academia,

00:26:24.240 --> 00:26:28.000
in a scholarly context. Now, I have a book coming

00:26:28.000 --> 00:26:30.920
out this summer, the one you see here. And I

00:26:30.920 --> 00:26:34.119
hope you critique it. I hope you tell me what

00:26:34.119 --> 00:26:37.059
I got wrong. Don't tell me I'm a bad person or

00:26:37.059 --> 00:26:40.500
I'm a horrible person. I already know that. Don't

00:26:40.500 --> 00:26:43.500
tell me I'm not very smart. I already know that.

00:26:43.680 --> 00:26:46.119
Tell me what you disagree with and what I got

00:26:46.119 --> 00:26:49.200
wrong. And here's the thing. If you tell me what

00:26:49.200 --> 00:26:53.420
I get wrong and I'm convinced, I will make another

00:26:53.420 --> 00:26:56.619
video. But don't just say I'm a bad person and

00:26:56.619 --> 00:27:00.839
I got it wrong. That's not academic. Discourse.

00:27:01.240 --> 00:27:04.559
Disagreements based on works published or presented

00:27:04.559 --> 00:27:09.400
in an academic context. That's what academic

00:27:09.400 --> 00:27:13.319
discourse is. Not on personal attributes, not

00:27:13.319 --> 00:27:18.039
on personal emails. This is where we disagree.

00:27:18.259 --> 00:27:21.599
We must have disagreement. That's how we evolve

00:27:21.599 --> 00:27:26.759
our thinking. Academic discourse using reason

00:27:26.759 --> 00:27:29.400
and research. research -based theories. And by

00:27:29.400 --> 00:27:33.559
the way, there never was a reading war. That

00:27:33.559 --> 00:27:39.099
was a term invented by people outside of an academic

00:27:39.099 --> 00:27:43.160
context in the media to sell books or papers,

00:27:43.180 --> 00:27:46.940
whatever. There has always been differing ideas

00:27:46.940 --> 00:27:50.740
for decades since the National Council of Teachers

00:27:50.740 --> 00:27:55.259
of English was formed in 1911. the International

00:27:55.259 --> 00:27:57.880
Literacy Association, then the International

00:27:57.880 --> 00:28:02.539
Reading Association in 1956. People have differing

00:28:02.539 --> 00:28:06.279
ideas based on their theoretical orientations.

00:28:06.839 --> 00:28:10.500
Academic discourse is how we hold ourselves accountable.

00:28:11.539 --> 00:28:17.140
And I've taken Sally Shaywitz to terms for her

00:28:17.140 --> 00:28:20.210
research, for her bad research. but I'm sure

00:28:20.210 --> 00:28:22.609
she's a wonderful human being and she has to

00:28:22.609 --> 00:28:27.450
be very smart, but I have trouble with all the

00:28:27.450 --> 00:28:32.910
flaws and confounding variables in her research.

00:28:33.269 --> 00:28:37.059
How does she get away with that, I wonder? The

00:28:37.059 --> 00:28:39.759
differences we have in academia are based on

00:28:39.759 --> 00:28:42.960
theoretical orientations. Every theory can be

00:28:42.960 --> 00:28:46.500
supported by research data and evidence. Theories

00:28:46.500 --> 00:28:49.640
are neither right nor wrong. They're weak or

00:28:49.640 --> 00:28:52.240
robust. And I'll demonstrate that. Flat earth,

00:28:52.380 --> 00:28:55.960
that's a theory. There may be little bits of

00:28:55.960 --> 00:28:59.000
data. It's a very, very weak theory. And I think

00:28:59.000 --> 00:29:02.200
the simple view of reading is the flat earth

00:29:02.200 --> 00:29:05.200
theory of reading. Yes, there's research to support

00:29:05.200 --> 00:29:09.519
it. but it's weak research. It's a weak theory.

00:29:10.099 --> 00:29:14.980
Theories are based on research. Research study

00:29:14.980 --> 00:29:18.700
is a data dot. That's why you can have separate,

00:29:18.940 --> 00:29:21.940
you can have different research -based theory

00:29:21.940 --> 00:29:24.660
connecting different data dots differently, and

00:29:24.660 --> 00:29:30.819
they're both research -based. It's weak or robust.

00:29:31.019 --> 00:29:34.200
theory. A robust theory connects a lot of data

00:29:34.200 --> 00:29:37.799
dots. A weak theory leaves a lot of data unaccounted

00:29:37.799 --> 00:29:43.000
for. The interactive theory of reading, psycholinguistic,

00:29:43.099 --> 00:29:47.059
neurocognitive theories, account for a lot of

00:29:47.059 --> 00:29:50.920
data dots. The simple view of reading account

00:29:50.920 --> 00:29:53.759
for a few. They ignore a whole bunch of stuff.

00:29:55.180 --> 00:29:59.079
Now here's one way to transform weak into robust

00:29:59.079 --> 00:30:01.759
theories. You can do what the National Reading

00:30:01.759 --> 00:30:06.319
Panel did. They ignored or excluded a whole bunch

00:30:06.319 --> 00:30:08.839
of research. Oh, all that research over there.

00:30:09.079 --> 00:30:13.019
That's not good stuff. Only this kind of research

00:30:13.019 --> 00:30:19.720
is good. Okay. Reading instruction is an academic

00:30:19.720 --> 00:30:24.500
topic. Academic arguments based on theoretical

00:30:24.500 --> 00:30:27.980
differences have been going on for years. It's

00:30:27.980 --> 00:30:32.099
a natural part, and as I said, the term reading

00:30:32.099 --> 00:30:38.779
wars was invented by the media. All right, let's

00:30:38.779 --> 00:30:41.319
take a look at scholars. We are looking at evidence.

00:30:41.740 --> 00:30:46.619
Scholars should not get a free pass on obfuscation.

00:30:49.400 --> 00:30:52.859
Common tricks, using buzzwords. That's a word

00:30:52.859 --> 00:30:57.130
used to elicit an emotional response. rather

00:30:57.130 --> 00:31:02.529
than accurately transmit information. And using

00:31:02.529 --> 00:31:05.710
them in an academic context, that's an academic

00:31:05.710 --> 00:31:08.730
buzzword used to create the illusion of something

00:31:08.730 --> 00:31:13.769
important. Now, take a look at these academic

00:31:13.769 --> 00:31:17.009
buzzwords. They're used all the time to make

00:31:17.009 --> 00:31:20.869
something sound very, very important. Could you

00:31:20.869 --> 00:31:26.319
define each one of these? If I went to a reading

00:31:26.319 --> 00:31:30.019
league conference and sat down and have each

00:31:30.019 --> 00:31:34.059
person write a definition of these, how much

00:31:34.059 --> 00:31:38.119
similarity do you think there would be in these?

00:31:39.119 --> 00:31:43.380
What is evidence -based instruction? Well, you

00:31:43.380 --> 00:31:46.579
know, it's instruction and it's based on evidence.

00:31:46.859 --> 00:31:51.859
Okay, buzzword. And we already talked about the

00:31:51.859 --> 00:31:58.559
straw man argument. Louisa Moats, oh, Louisa,

00:31:58.619 --> 00:32:03.059
Louisa, Louisa. She wrote this for the Thomas

00:32:03.059 --> 00:32:06.640
Fordham Institutes, not peer reviewed. It's,

00:32:06.859 --> 00:32:10.720
but here's the ultimate straw person talking

00:32:10.720 --> 00:32:13.839
about whole language, uses teacher modeling,

00:32:14.000 --> 00:32:19.539
not direct instruction. Instead of teaching children

00:32:19.539 --> 00:32:22.140
how to read and comprehend, they engage in shared

00:32:22.140 --> 00:32:26.019
reading. Students can repeat the language and

00:32:26.019 --> 00:32:30.160
read by osmosis or memorization. Just, Louisa,

00:32:30.460 --> 00:32:33.700
do you not know better? That is not at all what

00:32:33.700 --> 00:32:36.279
whole language is. Do you not know better or

00:32:36.279 --> 00:32:38.819
do you know better and you're doing this anyway?

00:32:39.319 --> 00:32:42.819
Both are frightening propositions, but this is

00:32:42.819 --> 00:32:46.180
a straw man argument. This is a cartoonish version

00:32:46.180 --> 00:32:50.960
of something. Do you have no decency? Don't do

00:32:50.960 --> 00:32:59.089
that. Baloney, is interpreting research or misrepresenting

00:32:59.089 --> 00:33:04.549
decontextualized data. This is why we have to

00:33:04.549 --> 00:33:08.190
critically evaluate all the scholarly work. We

00:33:08.190 --> 00:33:11.109
can't be snookered by important sounding brain

00:33:11.109 --> 00:33:14.309
words. We have to pull them apart. We have to

00:33:14.309 --> 00:33:18.490
examine the propositions and the citations. And

00:33:18.490 --> 00:33:21.670
a cow pie is when you put a whole bunch of academic

00:33:21.670 --> 00:33:25.099
buzzwords together. to create a conveniently

00:33:25.099 --> 00:33:28.880
inaccurate perception of something. Here's an

00:33:28.880 --> 00:33:33.039
example of a cow pie. Goldenberg wrote this in

00:33:33.039 --> 00:33:36.960
reading research quarterly, talking about reading

00:33:36.960 --> 00:33:41.299
wars. Now, a proposition is a basic claim or

00:33:41.299 --> 00:33:43.359
assertion within a sentence. You can say it's

00:33:43.359 --> 00:33:47.059
true or false. The dog is in the house. Three

00:33:47.059 --> 00:33:50.309
propositions. There's a dog. The dog is in something

00:33:50.309 --> 00:33:54.430
and it is the house in which the dog is in. Three

00:33:54.430 --> 00:34:00.029
propositions there. Here's Goldenberg's abstract.

00:34:00.569 --> 00:34:03.890
The author's intent is to begin with the knowledge

00:34:03.890 --> 00:34:07.089
base of the science of reading, build onto it

00:34:07.089 --> 00:34:09.670
research on effective literacy instruction for

00:34:09.670 --> 00:34:12.269
ELLs, and then begin articulating what could

00:34:12.269 --> 00:34:15.269
become a science of reading instruction for students

00:34:15.269 --> 00:34:17.550
who are learning and progressing as readers in

00:34:17.550 --> 00:34:20.130
English while learning to speak and understand.

00:34:20.210 --> 00:34:25.050
It sounds very good. It sounds so wonderful.

00:34:26.050 --> 00:34:30.719
But let's, when we look at that cow pie, we can

00:34:30.719 --> 00:34:34.039
find here's just two of the propositions. There

00:34:34.039 --> 00:34:37.239
is a knowledge base and the science of reading

00:34:37.239 --> 00:34:40.019
has it. The science of reading knowledge base.

00:34:40.320 --> 00:34:44.019
Where is that? Where can I find that? Who put

00:34:44.019 --> 00:34:47.159
the knowledge in the base? Is there a balanced

00:34:47.159 --> 00:34:50.900
literacy knowledge base? Hmm, these are buzzwords

00:34:50.900 --> 00:34:55.110
strongly together. I could do that. The presenter's

00:34:55.110 --> 00:34:57.610
intent in this presentation is to begin with

00:34:57.610 --> 00:35:00.630
the knowledge base of reading research, build

00:35:00.630 --> 00:35:03.409
on to it research related to neuroscience, psycholungus.

00:35:03.570 --> 00:35:07.550
You get the idea. Anyone can create a cow pie.

00:35:07.889 --> 00:35:11.570
It's not that tough. It creates the illusion

00:35:11.570 --> 00:35:16.130
of stuff, but it doesn't transmit information.

00:35:16.590 --> 00:35:19.730
We have to be wary when we see things like this.

00:35:20.570 --> 00:35:23.269
This is a misinterpretation. This is an example

00:35:23.269 --> 00:35:26.610
of baloney. In that paper, he referenced two

00:35:26.610 --> 00:35:30.210
research studies to make a case for structured

00:35:30.210 --> 00:35:32.670
reading instruction. And this is what he said.

00:35:33.070 --> 00:35:38.289
He looked at von et al and Eri et al's research

00:35:38.289 --> 00:35:41.829
studies. They included explicit and systematic

00:35:41.829 --> 00:35:44.269
instruction of targeted knowledge and skills

00:35:44.269 --> 00:35:47.170
and daily lessons that include activities focused

00:35:47.170 --> 00:35:50.250
on the five core skills of phonological awareness,

00:35:50.530 --> 00:35:53.809
phonics, fluency, and comprehension, developing

00:35:53.809 --> 00:35:56.610
oral language, integrated oral language. It sounds

00:35:56.610 --> 00:36:01.090
very good. Stop using my cow pies, the cow says.

00:36:01.989 --> 00:36:04.710
But when we look at that, and I just so happened.

00:36:06.139 --> 00:36:08.699
to look at each of these studies, and I've happened

00:36:08.699 --> 00:36:11.619
to analyze both of them very carefully. These

00:36:11.619 --> 00:36:14.900
are the pretty pretty words that Claude Goldenberg

00:36:14.900 --> 00:36:18.699
uses. Oh, they are so pretty, pretty pretty words,

00:36:18.760 --> 00:36:23.619
but they are conveniently inaccurate because

00:36:23.619 --> 00:36:27.679
in his description none of these words were supported

00:36:27.679 --> 00:36:33.199
by the research he is citing. Yes, some of them

00:36:33.340 --> 00:36:36.420
were used as descriptors in the studies. Their

00:36:36.420 --> 00:36:39.320
description was often inaccurate, incomplete,

00:36:39.460 --> 00:36:44.139
or just plain wrong. But none of the pretty words

00:36:44.139 --> 00:36:47.599
were variables that were isolated and compared

00:36:47.599 --> 00:36:51.420
in these two studies. Why is that important?

00:36:52.480 --> 00:36:55.699
And here's more baloney. Effects were moderate

00:36:55.699 --> 00:36:59.139
measures on English, phonological awareness,

00:36:59.420 --> 00:37:02.849
et cetera, et cetera. OK. Principles of early

00:37:02.849 --> 00:37:06.610
reading instruction. Okay. Isolating variables

00:37:06.610 --> 00:37:10.210
in controlled experimental research, which is

00:37:10.210 --> 00:37:12.570
the science of reading research standards. That's

00:37:12.570 --> 00:37:17.429
not mine. It's used to determine if one thing

00:37:17.429 --> 00:37:22.449
caused the other thing to occur. If structured

00:37:22.449 --> 00:37:25.289
language causes something to occur, but you have

00:37:25.289 --> 00:37:28.489
to start with two groups that are similar and

00:37:28.489 --> 00:37:33.000
exposed to similar conditions. The treatment

00:37:33.000 --> 00:37:35.840
is the variable. That's the only difference that

00:37:35.840 --> 00:37:39.539
should be between the two groups. And if there

00:37:39.539 --> 00:37:42.880
is a difference on some measure between the two

00:37:42.880 --> 00:37:46.039
groups at the end, and if that difference is

00:37:46.039 --> 00:37:49.480
statistically significant, we can say with some

00:37:49.480 --> 00:37:53.380
amount of confidence that the treatment was the

00:37:53.380 --> 00:37:57.219
cause of the variable. That's a very simple overview.

00:37:57.480 --> 00:38:00.900
of controlled experimental research. But in both

00:38:00.900 --> 00:38:04.539
the studies that Goldenberg is citing so confidently,

00:38:05.420 --> 00:38:09.119
they compared students who received individual

00:38:09.119 --> 00:38:13.280
tutoring to students who received instruction

00:38:13.280 --> 00:38:16.659
in small groups. And they said, oh, it was the

00:38:16.659 --> 00:38:20.460
specific type of tutoring that caused the difference.

00:38:21.400 --> 00:38:24.619
When in fact, it had nothing to do with the tutoring.

00:38:25.130 --> 00:38:29.449
One was individual tutoring with individual tutor

00:38:29.449 --> 00:38:32.909
with lots of feedback and a whole bunch of stuff.

00:38:33.690 --> 00:38:36.570
And another was in small group using prepackaged

00:38:36.570 --> 00:38:40.710
remedial stuff. It was designed to give them

00:38:40.710 --> 00:38:44.650
a result that was favorable to the group that

00:38:44.650 --> 00:38:49.409
they wanted to. As an example, this is what it

00:38:49.409 --> 00:38:53.670
was. My research question was, do blue cages

00:38:53.670 --> 00:38:56.489
cause mice to gain weight? And I said, yes, they

00:38:56.489 --> 00:39:00.909
do. Because we compared them, and the blue cage

00:39:00.909 --> 00:39:05.170
mice were heavier, and the yellow cage mice were

00:39:05.170 --> 00:39:08.250
skinnier at the end of this experiment. So if

00:39:08.250 --> 00:39:11.449
you want to lose weight, paint your house yellow.

00:39:12.409 --> 00:39:16.469
And you see the confounding variable here? These

00:39:16.469 --> 00:39:20.420
aren't equal groups. One was fed marshmallows,

00:39:20.440 --> 00:39:24.860
the other was fed salaries. In the studies, Goldenberg

00:39:24.860 --> 00:39:29.199
cited the type of metaphorical food given to

00:39:29.199 --> 00:39:33.699
the metaphorical mice were different. They claimed

00:39:33.699 --> 00:39:36.840
it was the color of cages that caused improved

00:39:36.840 --> 00:39:40.179
reading scores. Anyone with a sixth grade education

00:39:40.179 --> 00:39:43.039
could see that if you read the studies carefully.

00:39:44.119 --> 00:39:48.059
So three questions, which A controlled experimental

00:39:48.059 --> 00:39:51.440
research will not answer. Did Goldenberg not

00:39:51.440 --> 00:39:54.760
read the studies? Did he read the studies and

00:39:54.760 --> 00:39:58.420
not see the confounding variable? Or did he read

00:39:58.420 --> 00:40:02.440
the studies, see the anomaly, and make the citation

00:40:02.440 --> 00:40:08.460
anyway? I would like to know. Understanding research.

00:40:08.699 --> 00:40:12.260
And by the way, if state legislators were really

00:40:12.260 --> 00:40:17.030
serious about evidence -based practice for reading

00:40:17.030 --> 00:40:19.730
and research -based reading instruction, but

00:40:19.730 --> 00:40:23.110
they're not. If they were, every school district

00:40:23.110 --> 00:40:26.309
would have a subscription to the same kind of

00:40:26.309 --> 00:40:30.510
legitimate research database that I do as a university

00:40:30.510 --> 00:40:34.030
professor. And not what works Glaringhouse or

00:40:34.030 --> 00:40:37.969
Eric. That's not legitimate. That's not legitimate.

00:40:38.590 --> 00:40:42.210
How do you expect teachers to make research -based

00:40:42.210 --> 00:40:45.969
decisions and evaluate evidence -based practice

00:40:45.969 --> 00:40:50.130
without research and evidence, and yet you blame

00:40:50.130 --> 00:40:54.050
them and you beat them up. That's not logical.

00:40:54.090 --> 00:40:58.110
That's not science. There's no such thing as

00:40:58.110 --> 00:41:02.190
the research. The research says. The research

00:41:02.190 --> 00:41:06.590
shows. I'm often asked this, show me the research.

00:41:06.809 --> 00:41:10.940
What does the research say? They demand of me

00:41:10.940 --> 00:41:15.079
the research. By the way, when anyone uses research

00:41:15.079 --> 00:41:18.639
in a declarative sentence, they must, in an academic

00:41:18.639 --> 00:41:21.820
setting, cite their research. You can't just

00:41:21.820 --> 00:41:24.780
say, research says there's no such thing as gravity.

00:41:25.900 --> 00:41:29.800
There's no such thing as the research. There's

00:41:29.800 --> 00:41:34.260
no objective God. Oh, almighty research, we prayeth

00:41:34.260 --> 00:41:38.570
unto you, give us truth and enlightenment. There's

00:41:38.570 --> 00:41:42.809
no God who offers this objective view of reality.

00:41:44.929 --> 00:41:48.670
There's no such thing as the holy book called

00:41:48.670 --> 00:41:51.489
the research, where you can look up and say,

00:41:52.070 --> 00:41:58.289
ah, the research says. Maybe they mean Thea research,

00:41:58.590 --> 00:42:00.909
a researcher named Thea research. And they're

00:42:00.909 --> 00:42:06.079
saying Thea research says. Maybe I should call

00:42:06.079 --> 00:42:09.860
my next book the research. So you could say the

00:42:09.860 --> 00:42:17.059
research sets. Research involves science. Science

00:42:17.059 --> 00:42:21.159
uses research. It's a process of asking a question,

00:42:21.340 --> 00:42:25.079
collecting data and using data to answer that

00:42:25.079 --> 00:42:28.300
question. The question up front is important.

00:42:28.590 --> 00:42:31.630
Louisa Motes tends to just collect data and then

00:42:31.630 --> 00:42:35.670
come to a conclusion. That's not research. What's

00:42:35.670 --> 00:42:38.610
the weather? Question. Look at the thermometer.

00:42:38.989 --> 00:42:43.550
Data. It's hot. Data to answer question. That's

00:42:43.550 --> 00:42:47.550
a basic of research. It's a systematic process

00:42:47.550 --> 00:42:50.909
used to collect and analyze data. Systematic

00:42:50.909 --> 00:42:55.289
means there's a fixed plan. based on a set of

00:42:55.289 --> 00:42:57.869
principles that are generally agreed upon by

00:42:57.869 --> 00:43:02.190
the field. And the research method is a systematic

00:43:02.190 --> 00:43:06.590
process used to gather and analyze that data.

00:43:07.849 --> 00:43:10.809
That's important because there is no scientific

00:43:10.809 --> 00:43:13.989
method. There is no the method of science. There

00:43:13.989 --> 00:43:21.210
are methods of science. Controlled experimental

00:43:21.210 --> 00:43:23.550
research, the controlled experimental research

00:43:23.550 --> 00:43:31.829
is only one method of science. We must understand

00:43:31.829 --> 00:43:35.650
that conducting research in the physical sciences

00:43:35.650 --> 00:43:39.530
is a bit different from research in the social

00:43:39.530 --> 00:43:43.090
sciences. With human beings, we cannot control

00:43:43.090 --> 00:43:45.889
all the variables. We cannot put our children

00:43:45.889 --> 00:43:50.420
in giant Petri dishes. and give them similar

00:43:50.420 --> 00:43:54.739
conditions. That's not how it works. And research

00:43:54.739 --> 00:43:59.059
is not research unless and until it has been

00:43:59.059 --> 00:44:02.340
subjected to blind peer review and published

00:44:02.340 --> 00:44:10.980
in an academic journal. Here's the basic blind

00:44:10.980 --> 00:44:14.980
peer review process. This is why it's important.

00:44:16.360 --> 00:44:20.500
You do a study. You write it up. You submit the

00:44:20.500 --> 00:44:24.860
manuscript to an editor. An editor submits it

00:44:24.860 --> 00:44:28.000
to blind peer review. These are experts in their

00:44:28.000 --> 00:44:30.900
field. They don't know who the author of the

00:44:30.900 --> 00:44:34.219
article is. The author doesn't know who the reviewers

00:44:34.219 --> 00:44:38.260
are. They review that and they make a recommendation

00:44:38.260 --> 00:44:43.820
either to reject, accept with revisions, or accept.

00:44:44.519 --> 00:44:47.420
There, and it's usually two to five reviewers,

00:44:48.420 --> 00:44:51.559
their comments go to the editor, who then makes

00:44:51.559 --> 00:44:57.460
a decision based on their comments to accept,

00:44:58.079 --> 00:45:00.820
reject, or accept with revisions, and they work

00:45:00.820 --> 00:45:04.500
with the author. That's the process, checks and

00:45:04.500 --> 00:45:08.420
balances a filter. That's different from the

00:45:08.420 --> 00:45:11.980
process a journalist use. People tell them things,

00:45:12.239 --> 00:45:14.940
they write a story, and they submit it to the

00:45:14.940 --> 00:45:19.119
editor who approves or asks for revision. Much

00:45:19.119 --> 00:45:23.519
different. And the process used to put stuff

00:45:23.519 --> 00:45:26.519
on the internet. You think of stuff, you write

00:45:26.519 --> 00:45:30.420
it, and there you go. It's on the internet. Interesting

00:45:30.420 --> 00:45:35.300
article I recently analyzed. It's not research.

00:45:35.719 --> 00:45:38.360
These publications don't go through blind peer

00:45:38.360 --> 00:45:41.960
review. They just hire reporters to say stop.

00:45:42.460 --> 00:45:47.460
American public media. Data is not research.

00:45:47.840 --> 00:45:51.800
Published reports are not research. White papers

00:45:51.800 --> 00:45:56.320
aren't research. Unpublished theses and dissertations

00:45:56.320 --> 00:46:01.820
do not go through blind peer review. Articles

00:46:01.820 --> 00:46:06.030
describing research are not research. Famous

00:46:06.030 --> 00:46:10.190
researchers aren't research, secretaries of education

00:46:10.190 --> 00:46:14.469
aren't research, and anything on Lexia Learning

00:46:14.469 --> 00:46:19.510
website is not research. These are often used

00:46:19.510 --> 00:46:22.969
as if they were by people outside of academia,

00:46:24.030 --> 00:46:28.369
collecting data, citing white papers, think tanks,

00:46:29.170 --> 00:46:39.139
not research. Not. research. Non -profit does

00:46:39.139 --> 00:46:43.519
not mean non -biased. These are all think tanks

00:46:43.519 --> 00:46:46.940
that have things to say about education, but

00:46:46.940 --> 00:46:53.619
they all have an agenda. The two kinds of research,

00:46:54.159 --> 00:46:58.130
basic and applied, basic science, and applied

00:46:58.130 --> 00:47:01.650
science. Basic is research that is done apart

00:47:01.650 --> 00:47:04.769
from the setting in which it's used, eye movement,

00:47:04.889 --> 00:47:08.070
brain imaging, miscue analysis. Applied research

00:47:08.070 --> 00:47:10.769
is done in the setting in which it will be used

00:47:10.769 --> 00:47:16.269
in the classroom or learning environment. And

00:47:16.269 --> 00:47:19.849
controlled experimental research is used to isolate

00:47:19.849 --> 00:47:23.570
a variable to determine a causal relationship.

00:47:24.030 --> 00:47:31.849
This thing caused that to occur. Now the science

00:47:31.849 --> 00:47:37.550
of reading research standard says only applied

00:47:37.550 --> 00:47:41.309
research using control and experimental groups

00:47:41.309 --> 00:47:44.849
can be used to make decisions about reading policies,

00:47:45.389 --> 00:47:49.090
products, and procedures based on the mistaken

00:47:49.090 --> 00:47:52.369
assumption that you can isolate all the variables

00:47:52.369 --> 00:47:58.409
to determine universal causality and generalize

00:47:58.409 --> 00:48:01.769
that to all of humanity. That's a mistaken assumption.

00:48:04.329 --> 00:48:07.289
Research is not research unless it has been subjected

00:48:07.289 --> 00:48:10.989
to blind peer review. Research is different from

00:48:10.989 --> 00:48:19.829
collecting data. Data is not research. I could

00:48:19.829 --> 00:48:24.079
collect data to show that I am the greatest professor

00:48:24.079 --> 00:48:27.579
in the world, but that wouldn't be research.

00:48:28.300 --> 00:48:31.119
What's a good professor? What's a valid measure

00:48:31.119 --> 00:48:35.320
of a good professor? These are all things that

00:48:35.320 --> 00:48:38.780
I could collect. One of these, oh, look at my

00:48:38.780 --> 00:48:41.760
course evaluation. Oh, look at the number of

00:48:41.760 --> 00:48:46.099
YouTube views. That proves I'm a good professor.

00:48:47.239 --> 00:48:51.130
I highlight this because at our university, someone

00:48:51.130 --> 00:48:55.449
wanted to have metrics, I hate that term, metrics,

00:48:56.030 --> 00:48:59.510
to show that our College of Ed was doing a good

00:48:59.510 --> 00:49:03.909
job with teachers. So to get metrics, they found

00:49:03.909 --> 00:49:07.750
something that could be measured. And they went

00:49:07.750 --> 00:49:11.369
to the scores on the state teacher licensure

00:49:11.369 --> 00:49:14.050
exams that our students took, and they said,

00:49:14.050 --> 00:49:16.389
oh, look at the scores, based on that, we're

00:49:16.389 --> 00:49:20.530
doing a good job. That's not a valid measure.

00:49:21.309 --> 00:49:24.070
And here's the thing, if we spent the three semesters

00:49:24.070 --> 00:49:27.650
we have them, just preparing them to take those

00:49:27.650 --> 00:49:31.110
tests, our scores would be out of this world.

00:49:31.809 --> 00:49:34.349
But we try to prepare them to do this thing called

00:49:34.349 --> 00:49:41.489
teach, teach. Imagine that. A Massachusetts rep

00:49:41.489 --> 00:49:45.030
said, show me the data on queuing. The data,

00:49:45.230 --> 00:49:50.389
the data. Data is not research. Anybody can collect

00:49:50.389 --> 00:49:55.250
data. And here's the thing on queuing. Queuing

00:49:55.250 --> 00:50:00.010
is not a method or a approach. How's that? There's

00:50:00.010 --> 00:50:03.070
some data. The three queuing is not a method.

00:50:03.250 --> 00:50:06.150
It's not something you teach. And we'll talk

00:50:06.150 --> 00:50:12.250
about that later. Methods of science. The scientific

00:50:12.250 --> 00:50:19.809
method. There's no such thing as the method.

00:50:20.389 --> 00:50:23.710
A variety of research methods are used to study.

00:50:23.989 --> 00:50:27.909
And there's two groups, quantitative and qualitative.

00:50:28.449 --> 00:50:32.389
Let us understand the basics. Quantitative research,

00:50:32.409 --> 00:50:35.349
again, seeks to find that causal relationship,

00:50:36.130 --> 00:50:40.210
controls or manipulates reality to isolate a

00:50:40.210 --> 00:50:44.079
variable. You have a measure. You have two groups

00:50:44.079 --> 00:50:47.460
that are similar. You isolate one. The only difference

00:50:47.460 --> 00:50:50.280
is this treatment. And then you have a post -test.

00:50:50.579 --> 00:50:55.579
That is the basics. The difference must be statistically

00:50:55.579 --> 00:50:59.699
significant. That means it's greater than could

00:50:59.699 --> 00:51:03.260
occur by chance. Now, you don't need to understand

00:51:03.260 --> 00:51:06.860
statistics to understand statistical significance.

00:51:09.990 --> 00:51:14.909
statistically significant at the .05 level, that

00:51:14.909 --> 00:51:19.269
means in less than 5 % of the cases, can we say

00:51:19.269 --> 00:51:23.849
that that difference was attributed to chance?

00:51:24.630 --> 00:51:28.650
In 95 % of the cases, we can be confident that

00:51:28.650 --> 00:51:31.150
the difference between the two groups was caused

00:51:31.150 --> 00:51:36.869
by the variable. .05 is good, .01 is the best.

00:51:37.050 --> 00:51:41.110
but 0 .05 is generally regarded as the standard.

00:51:42.809 --> 00:51:46.929
Controlled experimental research seeks to quantify

00:51:46.929 --> 00:51:50.949
reality. But here's the thing. By controlling

00:51:50.949 --> 00:51:54.929
all the variables to study reality, you make

00:51:54.929 --> 00:51:59.789
that bit of reality a bit of non -reality. You

00:51:59.789 --> 00:52:03.530
mess with the environment. It's not how it really

00:52:03.530 --> 00:52:07.650
is if you're controlling all the variables. Qualitative

00:52:07.650 --> 00:52:13.110
research seeks to study reality as it is. There's

00:52:13.110 --> 00:52:16.849
Jane Goodall studying apes in the wild making

00:52:16.849 --> 00:52:23.309
notes. There's a variety of types of qualitative

00:52:23.309 --> 00:52:28.949
research. Here you see a professor in there taking

00:52:28.949 --> 00:52:32.309
notes that helps us understand, that sees the

00:52:32.309 --> 00:52:37.500
people behind the numbers. By using only quantitative

00:52:37.500 --> 00:52:40.900
research, we are describing learning and human

00:52:40.900 --> 00:52:45.539
beings in numbers. But in 2002, the Education

00:52:45.539 --> 00:52:50.179
Science of Reform Act said only quantitative

00:52:50.179 --> 00:52:52.860
research could be used. That's the only kind

00:52:52.860 --> 00:52:55.760
of research that would be funded. That's the

00:52:55.760 --> 00:52:59.739
only kind of knowledge that's valid. So a whole

00:52:59.739 --> 00:53:02.199
bunch of qualitative research that helped us

00:53:02.199 --> 00:53:05.340
understand. that helped us understand the numbers

00:53:05.340 --> 00:53:10.000
was eliminated and slowly went away. It has to

00:53:10.000 --> 00:53:13.639
be experimental or quasi experimental research.

00:53:14.059 --> 00:53:17.840
No qualitative research, no government funding.

00:53:19.840 --> 00:53:23.300
So it's not the use of controlled experimental

00:53:23.300 --> 00:53:26.719
research that's problematic. It's the exclusive

00:53:26.719 --> 00:53:30.980
use. you disallow us to see the people behind

00:53:30.980 --> 00:53:35.239
the numbers by disallowing a whole bunch of good

00:53:35.239 --> 00:53:39.719
qualitative research. And this is what the science

00:53:39.719 --> 00:53:44.539
of reading standards are. Strategies and practices

00:53:44.539 --> 00:53:49.639
that lead to improved outcomes, yes. Strategies

00:53:49.639 --> 00:53:52.360
and practices are supported by experimental or

00:53:52.360 --> 00:53:56.679
quasi -experimental research, establishes causal

00:53:56.679 --> 00:54:00.340
variables and the research has been conducted

00:54:00.340 --> 00:54:03.780
in an authentic learning environment. The science

00:54:03.780 --> 00:54:06.980
of reading says they use strategies and practices

00:54:06.980 --> 00:54:10.440
that have been determined to be effective by

00:54:10.440 --> 00:54:14.280
these standards. Those are the standards and

00:54:14.280 --> 00:54:19.400
I would be just fine with those standards if

00:54:19.400 --> 00:54:23.679
they were consistently applied. Now here's an

00:54:23.679 --> 00:54:28.420
example of baloney. In Minnesota and Massachusetts,

00:54:29.000 --> 00:54:32.800
they recently passed legislation. They assumed

00:54:32.800 --> 00:54:36.860
there was a literacy crisis. They assumed teachers

00:54:36.860 --> 00:54:39.639
were teaching the wrong thing. And they assumed

00:54:39.639 --> 00:54:42.420
the problem was balanced literacy and the answer

00:54:42.420 --> 00:54:46.420
was structured literacy. And the causal relationship

00:54:46.420 --> 00:54:50.039
was determined by anecdotal evidence. That's

00:54:50.039 --> 00:54:54.309
not science, people. That's not science. If you're

00:54:54.309 --> 00:54:56.510
going to be a science of reading, you have to

00:54:56.510 --> 00:55:00.989
be consistently scientific. The science of reading

00:55:00.989 --> 00:55:04.670
should not be given a free pass on non -scientific

00:55:04.670 --> 00:55:08.869
thinking. And these are two examples of things

00:55:08.869 --> 00:55:12.829
that are given a pass. Do these. As research

00:55:12.829 --> 00:55:16.139
show that they lead to improved reading achievement

00:55:16.139 --> 00:55:20.059
or improved teacher ability to teach reading

00:55:20.059 --> 00:55:22.480
effectively? And have they been compared with

00:55:22.480 --> 00:55:29.380
something else? No single study provides irrefutable

00:55:29.380 --> 00:55:36.260
proof of anything. Research is a lot like sighting

00:55:36.260 --> 00:55:39.760
in your deer rifle. I grew up in a small town

00:55:39.760 --> 00:55:43.230
in a deer hunting culture. and every fall we

00:55:43.230 --> 00:55:46.429
would sight in our rifles to see if the rifle

00:55:46.429 --> 00:55:48.869
was shooting straight. The scope often got bumped

00:55:48.869 --> 00:55:51.710
over the winter and we wouldn't take a single

00:55:51.710 --> 00:55:54.570
shot. We would take a lot of shots to give us

00:55:54.570 --> 00:55:58.130
a sense of where the scope was shooting because

00:55:58.130 --> 00:56:00.590
we could have wiggled or there could have been

00:56:00.590 --> 00:56:03.210
something that happened with the table that gave

00:56:03.210 --> 00:56:07.460
us an extreme shot. By taking many shots, we

00:56:07.460 --> 00:56:10.000
get a sense of where the scope is shooting, and

00:56:10.000 --> 00:56:14.420
then we adjust our scope. But even then, if we're

00:56:14.420 --> 00:56:16.760
pretty certain of where it's shooting, even though

00:56:16.760 --> 00:56:19.019
we start walking in the woods, it's the person

00:56:19.019 --> 00:56:22.000
behind the scope that determines where the bullet

00:56:22.000 --> 00:56:27.500
lands and a bunch of other variables. No single

00:56:27.500 --> 00:56:30.679
study. Research is like that. We can't find one

00:56:30.679 --> 00:56:34.570
study and say, ah, that proves that. That's not

00:56:34.570 --> 00:56:39.489
how research works. Research does not prove or

00:56:39.489 --> 00:56:44.090
debunk. And by the way, whole language has not

00:56:44.090 --> 00:56:47.489
been debunked. Yes, there's been people that

00:56:47.489 --> 00:56:50.849
say it's been debunked. In the name of almighty

00:56:50.849 --> 00:56:55.690
research, I debunked you, B debunked you. It

00:56:55.690 --> 00:56:59.369
hasn't been debunked just because people say

00:56:59.369 --> 00:57:03.110
that. Okay? Well, I could debunk things. I could

00:57:03.110 --> 00:57:05.989
debunk the theory of gravity. There it is. It's

00:57:05.989 --> 00:57:09.010
been debunked. I debunked it. And here's my proof.

00:57:09.989 --> 00:57:13.829
You can't just go around debunking things. Research

00:57:13.829 --> 00:57:19.730
answers a specific research question. Research

00:57:19.730 --> 00:57:24.750
proves or disproves a hypothesis. And we have

00:57:24.750 --> 00:57:28.110
to be wary of research that doesn't have a specific

00:57:28.110 --> 00:57:32.440
research question. or purpose, and that is true

00:57:32.440 --> 00:57:37.340
of Louisa Moats's stuff. Can't use the word proven

00:57:37.340 --> 00:57:42.559
with science. Observations are never perfect.

00:57:43.500 --> 00:57:48.440
Interpretations are never perfect. Truth needs

00:57:48.440 --> 00:57:51.840
a context and information is often complete.

00:57:52.360 --> 00:57:55.960
Scientists rarely use that word. Here's an example.

00:57:56.489 --> 00:58:00.210
Phonics instruction is good for increasing phonics

00:58:00.210 --> 00:58:04.610
skills. Absolutely. You teach a bunch of phonics

00:58:04.610 --> 00:58:08.289
and students are going to score higher on phonics

00:58:08.289 --> 00:58:13.070
measures. Absolutely. Absolutely. Phonics instruction

00:58:13.070 --> 00:58:16.090
has shown to be more effective in raising scores

00:58:16.090 --> 00:58:19.250
on measures of phonics than no phonics instruction.

00:58:19.929 --> 00:58:25.599
Absolutely. prove that all students need lots

00:58:25.599 --> 00:58:30.099
of phonics instruction? Something can be technically

00:58:30.099 --> 00:58:33.780
true and conveniently inaccurate at the same

00:58:33.780 --> 00:58:37.440
time. This idea that phonics should be the center

00:58:37.440 --> 00:58:40.519
of reading instruction, that is based on a lot

00:58:40.519 --> 00:58:44.219
of I thinkisms. This does not mean all students

00:58:44.219 --> 00:58:48.340
need heavy doses of phonics. Or students would

00:58:48.340 --> 00:58:52.670
be better readers if they get more phonics. Or

00:58:52.670 --> 00:58:56.570
more phonics is better than less phonics. Or

00:58:56.570 --> 00:58:59.530
phonics is the key variable in learning to read.

00:59:00.909 --> 00:59:03.210
Anything other than phonics instruction should

00:59:03.210 --> 00:59:07.570
be excluded. And phonics should be taught at

00:59:07.570 --> 00:59:12.530
all ages and levels. Phonic skills transfer to

00:59:12.530 --> 00:59:17.090
authentic reading situations. These are all assumptions.

00:59:17.599 --> 00:59:21.019
And these research is based on the assumption

00:59:21.019 --> 00:59:25.019
that reading is sounding out words. Research

00:59:25.019 --> 00:59:29.360
based on sounding out words focuses on sounding

00:59:29.360 --> 00:59:32.639
out words and includes sounding out word measures.

00:59:34.019 --> 00:59:37.420
If you ask sounder out questions, you use sounder

00:59:37.420 --> 00:59:40.420
out measures, you collect sounder out data, you

00:59:40.420 --> 00:59:44.710
are going to make sounder out conclusions. That's

00:59:44.710 --> 00:59:50.110
what science of reading research is. Research

00:59:50.110 --> 00:59:52.969
is not collecting a bunch of data and saying

00:59:52.969 --> 00:59:56.590
stuff. Research must be based on a specific question

00:59:56.590 --> 00:59:59.949
or hypothesis. When you read a research study

00:59:59.949 --> 01:00:02.389
after the abstract, the first thing you should

01:00:02.389 --> 01:00:07.570
look for is that research question. And research

01:00:07.570 --> 01:00:12.010
always... focuses on a specific group at a specific

01:00:12.010 --> 01:00:15.469
location doing a specific task. That's why we

01:00:15.469 --> 01:00:22.349
can't use one study. For example, what works

01:00:22.349 --> 01:00:25.630
with a first grade student in Blackwater, Arizona

01:00:25.630 --> 01:00:29.929
struggling with word recognition may not work

01:00:29.929 --> 01:00:32.909
with a fifth grader in Edina, Minnesota struggling

01:00:32.909 --> 01:00:38.320
with comprehension. Human beings are not standardized

01:00:38.320 --> 01:00:41.420
products. Readers are not standardized products.

01:00:41.679 --> 01:00:46.519
Students are not standardized products. Again,

01:00:46.539 --> 01:00:50.960
when you read the research, skip the literature,

01:00:52.039 --> 01:00:58.570
look for the question. and these are the big

01:00:58.570 --> 01:01:02.050
three. All right, I have seen that this is 60

01:01:02.050 --> 01:01:04.909
minutes. I am going to stop my presentation here.

01:01:05.190 --> 01:01:08.929
I will host this presentation on my sub stack,

01:01:09.030 --> 01:01:12.210
the reading instruction show, and I'll post the

01:01:12.210 --> 01:01:17.949
rest of this. Those who are still here, I thank

01:01:17.949 --> 01:01:20.530
you for listening. I am Andy Johnson.
