WEBVTT - AI generated

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The Steady State Sentinel is produced by the

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Steady State, a community of former national

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security professionals who spent their careers

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safeguarding the United States at home and abroad.

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Today, we continue that mission by staying true

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to our oaths to defend the Constitution, uphold

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our democracy, and protect our nation's security.

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Join our expert hosts as they interview field

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-tested guests whose unique experiences shed

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light on the crises and challenges facing our

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nation. I'm Peter Mina, a civil rights and federal

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employment law attorney, as well as a former

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Department of Homeland Security official who

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worked to integrate civil rights and civil liberties

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protections in the department's national security

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programs. And you are listening to the Steady

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State Sentinel from the Steady State. We are

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facing an existential threat, growing autocracy

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in the United States. The Steady State Sentinel

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is a place where we and our distinguished guests

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use our national security expertise to discuss

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and analyze the decisions and acts of this administration.

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that feed that autocratic slide and threaten

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to supplant the pillars of our constitutional

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democracy. Today, we're talking with two distinguished

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guests, Bill Braniff, the executive director

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of the Polarization and Extremism Research and

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Innovation Lab, or PERIL, at American University,

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and a former director of the Center for Prevention

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Programs and Partnerships of the Department of

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Homeland Security. and Dexter Ingram, a former

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director of the State Department's Office of

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Countering Violent Extremism and former director

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of the Office of Preventing Weapons of Mass Destruction

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Terrorism, as well as the founder of InNetwork,

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a nonprofit aiming at guiding young minds aged

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13 to 26 towards fulfilling careers in national

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security. I'll be talking to them about the risk

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they see for radicalization, domestic terrorism,

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and the current political landscape, and what

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those risks mean for the future of democracy

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or a possible slide towards authoritarianism.

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Welcome to the program, Bill Dexter. Thanks for

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having us. Absolutely. Happy to be here. Great.

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So why don't we start with a little bit of your

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origin stories? And Bill, why don't I start with

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you? What drew you to national security and more

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specifically prevention of terrorism, both here

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at home as well as abroad? And I know, you know,

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Dexter, that may be more your domain having been

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at State, but just kind of want to get a little

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bit of the how we got here. Sure. Thanks, Peter.

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And thanks for having us. So this is. It's fairly

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common. I was an idealistic young person. I was

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curious about what I was really made of and the

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idea of going to West Point and finding out what

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I was made of and also being able to serve seemed

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like a good idea. I had a grandfather who served

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in World War II with all of his brothers and

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grew up really in a sort of patriotic environment,

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I suppose. Why prevention? You know, I've actually,

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this is a quick anecdote, I've been in a lot

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of different roles in federal service. So I was

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a cadet, I was a U .S. Army officer, I was a

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GS employee at the National Nuclear Security

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Administration, I was a Title X U .S. Army civilian

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on the faculty at West Point, and then a member

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of the Senior Executive Service. And so I really

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only ever wanted to be a public servant. But

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what kind of public servant has been the journey?

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I started off as an armor officer. I was a scout

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platoon leader in an armored battalion on 9 -11

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and needed to figure out what had just happened.

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So I'm very much part of the 9 -11 generation

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that became part of the counterterrorism community

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and was probably a part of the counterterrorism

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community for a long time. But I'll be honest

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that, you know, 10, 11, 12 years after 9 -11,

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I got very frustrated that we were still trying

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to kill and capture our way out of the threat.

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recognizing intellectually that, of course, that

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wasn't going to work. And so I started looking

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for something different. How else can we try

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to decrease risk? And at the time I was in a

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leadership role at the University of Maryland's

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START Center, which is a terrorism research center.

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And I was fortunate to be on a couple of projects

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with other really brilliant scholars who were

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looking at how we can learn from fields of mental

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health and education about how they think about

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violence prevention. around 2013, 2014. So I

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sort of stumbled into this idea of a public health

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informed approach to targeted violence and terrorism

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prevention through the research at start, and

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then was fortunate enough to be able to bring

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that to life at DHS for a few years. Excellent.

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And, you know, and that's where, you know, we

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cross paths. So that was a real pleasure working

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with you. And obviously, thank you for your service.

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And so let me turn to Dexter. Dexter, give me

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a little bit of give our listeners a little bit

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of your origin story. Sure. You know, I saw Top

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Gun when I was in high school. And I was like,

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classic. Yes, I want to do that. And I ended

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up, you know, going to college, getting my commission

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in the Navy and going to flight school, earning

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my wings and flying E6 Takamo missions. You know,

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this is all in the 90s. So before 9 -11, I got

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out of the Navy and I was at a think tank really

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focusing on weapons of mass destruction because

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I thought, you know, these are threats that are

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so big that, you know, Coming up with solutions

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afterward or mitigation afterwards is kind of

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just behind the curve. So that was a really fascinating

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piece for me. 9 -11 happened and I got a phone

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call to lead the terrorism science and technology

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policy for the brand new House Select Committee

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on Homeland Security. I went from the military

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to think tank to Capitol Hill. And then I got

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a phone call from the State Department. They

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were creating a team to stop terrorists from

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getting weapons of mass destruction. So I went

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there and created that team. That was really

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worthwhile because we had some really unique

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partners back then. Russia was our co -chair.

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We just got to do some fascinating things. And

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from there, my counterterrorism kind of bona

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fides. went to Afghanistan, speak in Pashto in

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Helmand Province, came back, worked at the FBI

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for a bit. Then I spent some time at Interpol,

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three years kind of running their counterterrorism

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team, focusing on defeating ISIS. Came back,

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led the Defeat ISIS team at the State Department.

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And during this process, there was so much just

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happening in the U .S. You know, we'd come out

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of COVID. We saw a lot. people spending time

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online. We saw this polarization when it came

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to just, I guess, a lot of things that were being

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fed that could be misinformation or disinformation.

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And I was taking that personally. I'm a dad.

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I have two young boys. I'm a Black man. And when

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the Office of Countering Violent Extremism had

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an opening for a new director, I applied for

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it and I got it. And for me, it was one of the,

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if not the most personally satisfying and professionally

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satisfying positions because you got to really

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focus on learning a lot about the different groups,

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both domestically and internationally. But I

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think that looking at ways to prevent. And these

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acts of violent extremism was something just

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very unique and it was very challenging. I got

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to work with Bill over at Homeland Security,

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got to work a lot with the White House, work

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a lot with our international partners. So that's

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been my journey. Excellent. And so actually,

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given both of your extensive service, and I should

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start with thank you, you both have done tremendous

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service for this country. How have you seen that

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government service or government experience,

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particularly in the prevention space, translate

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into your work, either in the private sector

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or, Bill, I know you spent a fair amount of time

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and you currently are in academia. How has that

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time in government helped you? For me, I will

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say that a lot of. A lot of the things that I

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did overseas, whether it's in Afghanistan working

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with tribal elders, you realize that the community

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and those personal touches and understanding

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the specifics matter. And in my local community

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back in the U .S., I came back and I was PTA

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president and involved with like creating farmers

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markets and those kind of things. And there was

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so much commonality there. I really was focused

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on youth radicalization. You know, so many young

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people between the ages of 15 to 24 are radicalized,

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whether it's ISIS, whether it's neo -Nazis, or

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whether it's aspects of the manosphere, like

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incels, you know, and committing violence. So

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kind of talking with the community, talking with

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teachers, talking with other parents, there was

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just kind of a natural flow there, especially

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after leaving the government. Excellent. How

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about you, Bill? So many ways to think about

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that question. One note is that I've had a lot

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of similar jobs, whether I was adjacent to government

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at a research center like the Combatant Terrorism

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Center at West Point or START at the University

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of Maryland or now PERIL at American University,

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or on the other side of the fence in a practitioner

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job, relying on research and evidence to make

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informed decisions. I've always sort of straddled

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the fence professionally between the intellectual

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academic community and the practitioner community.

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And that's just been such an exciting and just

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a cool place to be because you're sort of translating

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back and forth between the research world and

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the real world. And trying to create evidence

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based practice that best serves the American

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people and best mitigates risk. And so, you know,

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interestingly enough, I think that even my jobs

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in academia have been public service jobs. My

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jobs in government have been very intellectually

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rigorous and academic. And that to me is very

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satisfying. Military service teaches you a heck

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of a lot about the importance of. diversity,

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the importance of being able to navigate uncertainty.

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I think I'm very confident navigating uncertainty

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and still being able to sort of make decisions

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and move forward. Whereas I think a lot of folks

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who haven't been in uniform or in, you know,

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intelligence -led law enforcement where you're

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making your best informed judgment in a given

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moment, but you don't have perfect information.

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You don't have... clarity. You don't know exactly

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what the future has in store. There is inherent

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risk in the things you do and the things you

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don't do. And that kind of gives you a little

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bit more comfort in leadership roles, trying

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to lead organizations through uncertain times

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outside of government. And I think that's perhaps

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the thing that's most valuable to me. The other

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thing I'll say is that I've been at research

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centers, three different, I think, really elite

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research centers surrounded by brilliant, brilliant

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academics. And as brilliant and elite as those

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organizations have been, the government organizations

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that I've been a part of have been equally inspiring.

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The people have been equally... expert and competent

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and impressive with incredible backgrounds. And

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so I think that one thing people maybe don't

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understand outside of the government is just

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how competitive and high performing our public

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servants are. And I think that's one of the casualties

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of what's happened over the last year is that

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we've allowed public service to be vilified when

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in reality, these are competitive roles. filled

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by highly competent, highly qualified people

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who should make America proud. I couldn't agree

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with you more. I think public service is the

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highest profession there could be, and it requires

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the best and the brightest. So we've been talking

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a lot about the terms prevention. We've talked

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about radicalization. The three of us have sort

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of been in this world for some time, but for

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your listener out there, that, you know, for

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whom this might be the first time they're, you

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know, kind of really engaging with these topics.

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You know, Bill, let me start with you. Could

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you just kind of give, you know, the Reader's

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Digest version of, like, how would you describe

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prevention? And maybe, you know, in that context,

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what does radicalization mean? Sure. Look, I

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think there are three legs to the risk reduction

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stool. I can engage in intelligence -led... military

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and law enforcement disruptions of already mobilizing

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bad guys. I can engage in physical security anti

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-terrorism measures to decrease the vulnerability

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of targets or to deflect violence away from high

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priority targets to low priority targets. Or

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thirdly, I could prevent individuals from ever

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getting to the point where they want to mobilize

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to violence in the first place. And that's what

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prevention is. A series of upstream programs

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designed to decrease the likelihood that someone

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gravitates towards violence. And it, as a result,

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really opens the aperture for who can be engaged

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in prevention. Parents can be engaged in prevention.

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Educators can be engaged in prevention. HR specialists

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at a workplace can be engaged in prevention.

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You know, schools. of course, are massively important.

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And so the way we applied, the way we thought

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about prevention over the last several years

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at the Department of Homeland Security is that

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we basically adopted 30 plus years of evidence

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and practice from the public health violence

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prevention community. So briefly, we've been

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doing violence prevention and injury prevention

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as it relates to suicide, violence against children.

00:15:07.159 --> 00:15:09.220
intimate partner violence. We've been doing that

00:15:09.220 --> 00:15:11.399
professionally in the United States for over

00:15:11.399 --> 00:15:14.059
three decades. And we know a lot about what works

00:15:14.059 --> 00:15:18.179
to decrease the risk factors for violence in

00:15:18.179 --> 00:15:20.580
someone's life and to increase the protective

00:15:20.580 --> 00:15:23.720
factors that mitigate against the likelihood

00:15:23.720 --> 00:15:26.960
of violence in someone's life. But we never bothered

00:15:26.960 --> 00:15:31.179
to those professionals, hey, do you think it

00:15:31.179 --> 00:15:33.740
would work with hate crime? Do you think it would

00:15:33.740 --> 00:15:36.539
work for someone who winds up joining a domestic?

00:15:36.970 --> 00:15:38.830
terrorist organization? Do you think it would

00:15:38.830 --> 00:15:41.409
work to prevent the next school shooter that's

00:15:41.409 --> 00:15:43.789
motivated by an individual grievance? And so

00:15:43.789 --> 00:15:45.309
what we did is we sort of picked up that domain

00:15:45.309 --> 00:15:47.889
of knowledge and put it down around targeted

00:15:47.889 --> 00:15:50.889
violence, premeditated violence. And sure enough,

00:15:51.009 --> 00:15:53.889
we found that it's really effective. If you can

00:15:53.889 --> 00:15:57.210
do early interventions, increase risk factors

00:15:57.210 --> 00:15:59.190
for violence, increase protective factors that

00:15:59.190 --> 00:16:01.669
suffer against violence with these multidisciplinary

00:16:01.669 --> 00:16:03.690
interventions, very similar to what you do for

00:16:03.690 --> 00:16:06.600
a suicide intervention. you can absolutely decrease

00:16:06.600 --> 00:16:08.740
the number of people who gravitate towards violence,

00:16:08.820 --> 00:16:11.440
who go all the way down that rabbit hole. And

00:16:11.440 --> 00:16:16.220
it was incredibly, incredibly rewarding to implement

00:16:16.220 --> 00:16:20.059
these programs through state and local partners

00:16:20.059 --> 00:16:23.179
while I was at DHS. And to just give you one

00:16:23.179 --> 00:16:25.419
data point, because I think it's important for

00:16:25.419 --> 00:16:28.820
people to understand exactly how real this is.

00:16:29.769 --> 00:16:34.309
Through our grant program, we funded 1 ,172 interventions

00:16:34.309 --> 00:16:38.769
for an average cost of $6 ,900 per intervention.

00:16:39.309 --> 00:16:44.389
And we were 1 ,172 to zero in terms of violent

00:16:44.389 --> 00:16:46.789
outcomes. These were individuals who had made

00:16:46.789 --> 00:16:48.769
threats of school shootings. These were individuals

00:16:48.769 --> 00:16:52.470
who were stalking Congress, congressional leaders.

00:16:52.769 --> 00:16:56.450
These were people who had assaulted other individuals.

00:16:57.179 --> 00:17:00.200
or who were fixating on a school shooting or

00:17:00.200 --> 00:17:02.519
a previous attacker. These were real threats,

00:17:02.679 --> 00:17:08.359
and we were able to do interventions that averted

00:17:08.359 --> 00:17:11.079
millions of dollars of criminal justice costs,

00:17:11.119 --> 00:17:14.500
like investigations and incarcerations, and tens,

00:17:14.539 --> 00:17:17.480
if not hundreds of millions of dollars of societal

00:17:17.480 --> 00:17:20.119
costs associated with violence, right? These

00:17:20.119 --> 00:17:22.759
are very, very costly incidents when they occur.

00:17:24.519 --> 00:17:27.299
1 ,172 and zero. So prevention is possible. We

00:17:27.299 --> 00:17:28.839
know how to do it. We just need to invest in

00:17:28.839 --> 00:17:33.480
it. That's incredibly powerful. Dexter, anything

00:17:33.480 --> 00:17:36.220
you want to add there, given your vast expertise,

00:17:36.299 --> 00:17:38.559
and I know you're coming at it from a slightly

00:17:38.559 --> 00:17:43.980
different perspective. Yeah. Prevention is something

00:17:43.980 --> 00:17:46.920
that I think is extremely important, right? This

00:17:46.920 --> 00:17:51.190
is vital. Oftentimes, when we work with partners

00:17:51.190 --> 00:17:53.329
overseas, prevention is something that's hard

00:17:53.329 --> 00:17:57.950
to measure. Bill domestically had grant programs,

00:17:58.049 --> 00:18:00.670
and he worked with people that were highly at

00:18:00.670 --> 00:18:04.450
risk and did a wonderful job. Internationally,

00:18:04.450 --> 00:18:07.769
we have a number of programs and organizations

00:18:07.769 --> 00:18:14.190
that do great work, but as certain leaders kind

00:18:14.190 --> 00:18:16.640
of say, okay, show me the numbers. We can talk

00:18:16.640 --> 00:18:18.880
about the money we spent, how localized it was,

00:18:19.000 --> 00:18:22.400
where it was in the world, and how nothing happened,

00:18:22.640 --> 00:18:25.400
meaning there is no violent extremism that came

00:18:25.400 --> 00:18:28.460
out of these programs. But they'll ask, well,

00:18:28.559 --> 00:18:31.720
is that because of your programming or not? And

00:18:31.720 --> 00:18:35.440
that's where the rub is sometimes. I've seen

00:18:35.440 --> 00:18:37.400
that with both administrations, to be honest.

00:18:37.539 --> 00:18:44.609
And I will say that as we... As we look at key

00:18:44.609 --> 00:18:47.650
program, I remember a program specifically focused

00:18:47.650 --> 00:18:51.049
on children in Syria. And at one point we asked

00:18:51.049 --> 00:18:54.089
them, you know, how many of you see violence

00:18:54.089 --> 00:18:58.109
as a way or a solution to solving problems? And

00:18:58.109 --> 00:19:00.609
about 75 percent of the children said, yeah,

00:19:00.650 --> 00:19:03.650
violence is a way that we. and solve a problem

00:19:03.650 --> 00:19:05.490
and after the programming and this is pretty

00:19:05.490 --> 00:19:07.950
simple program it's age appropriate it's kind

00:19:07.950 --> 00:19:10.049
of like pbs programming to a certain extent but

00:19:10.049 --> 00:19:12.950
really focused on the issues and they would come

00:19:12.950 --> 00:19:16.430
back and about 30 would say that so that's measurable

00:19:16.430 --> 00:19:19.730
right that cuts it in half and these are really

00:19:19.730 --> 00:19:23.109
simple straightforward type things that make

00:19:23.109 --> 00:19:26.329
big differences so much of this is at the community

00:19:26.329 --> 00:19:29.730
level at the local level these aren't necessarily

00:19:29.730 --> 00:19:34.059
huge national programs When you look at preventing

00:19:34.059 --> 00:19:37.839
terrorism or violent extremism, this is something

00:19:37.839 --> 00:19:41.319
the U .S. can't do alone. It's like climate change.

00:19:41.579 --> 00:19:43.660
You know, you've got to have partners. You've

00:19:43.660 --> 00:19:46.640
got to have these coalitions, which are super

00:19:46.640 --> 00:19:49.339
important. And everybody brings some different

00:19:49.339 --> 00:19:52.440
expertise to the same table. I was fortunate

00:19:52.440 --> 00:19:57.009
enough to have a team that... also focused on

00:19:57.009 --> 00:19:59.109
the subnational level of governance, meaning

00:19:59.109 --> 00:20:02.789
like mayors. And when mayors talk, they're really

00:20:02.789 --> 00:20:06.309
focused on outcomes. There's less politics, less

00:20:06.309 --> 00:20:09.349
international kind of back and forth. They find

00:20:09.349 --> 00:20:12.990
so much more commonality. It could be mayors

00:20:12.990 --> 00:20:15.890
that have had huge recent influx of immigrants

00:20:15.890 --> 00:20:21.329
and the local response to that initially. was

00:20:21.329 --> 00:20:23.910
fear could be hatred it could be looking at them

00:20:23.910 --> 00:20:27.230
as as others um but then kind of working through

00:20:27.230 --> 00:20:30.089
that and sharing uh success stories and solutions

00:20:30.089 --> 00:20:33.910
with other mayors whether it's in the us or ukraine

00:20:33.910 --> 00:20:38.809
or you know anywhere in europe or asia we've

00:20:38.809 --> 00:20:42.109
seen a lot of a lot of success so i'm a huge

00:20:42.109 --> 00:20:46.990
fan of the prevention piece for me you know looking

00:20:46.990 --> 00:20:52.279
at um As they say, eradicating hate, stopping

00:20:52.279 --> 00:20:55.319
hatred, that fear of others is at the core of

00:20:55.319 --> 00:21:01.460
it for me. We see so many people that don't experience

00:21:01.460 --> 00:21:05.579
others at a level. And Bill's an academic. I

00:21:05.579 --> 00:21:09.160
really am like just that people person who connects

00:21:09.160 --> 00:21:12.319
with our partners overseas and domestically and

00:21:12.319 --> 00:21:15.779
Bill does too. But I will say that as you kind

00:21:15.779 --> 00:21:19.309
of get to know folks. whether they're Jewish

00:21:19.309 --> 00:21:21.829
or Muslim, you know, we've seen so much anti

00:21:21.829 --> 00:21:25.130
-Semitism, so much anti -Muslim hatred, the LGBTQ

00:21:25.130 --> 00:21:29.269
plus community, excuse me, LGBTQ plus community.

00:21:29.869 --> 00:21:32.609
You know, there's been so much hatred there as

00:21:32.609 --> 00:21:35.750
well, kind of talking it through and seeing young

00:21:35.750 --> 00:21:39.269
people who might even have legitimate grievances

00:21:39.269 --> 00:21:42.380
initially, you know, it's. Dating is scary in

00:21:42.380 --> 00:21:45.059
this day and age. And when you look at issues

00:21:45.059 --> 00:21:49.420
related to finances and jobs, the economy, you

00:21:49.420 --> 00:21:51.880
know, there's some issues there that we can talk

00:21:51.880 --> 00:21:56.799
about. They all go to the Internet. They all

00:21:56.799 --> 00:21:58.920
go to the Internet and they look for solutions.

00:21:59.000 --> 00:22:01.700
And those solutions normally benefit them in

00:22:01.700 --> 00:22:04.579
the first two months or so. These are positive

00:22:04.579 --> 00:22:06.200
things. They're working out. The character is

00:22:06.200 --> 00:22:09.140
getting, you know, kind of developed a little

00:22:09.140 --> 00:22:11.930
bit more. Their confidence is growing. And then

00:22:11.930 --> 00:22:14.589
the algorithm kicks in and it starts taking them

00:22:14.589 --> 00:22:19.470
down roads where it highlights others and starts

00:22:19.470 --> 00:22:21.849
blaming others for any kind of key problems.

00:22:21.990 --> 00:22:24.250
And that other could be women, it could be anything.

00:22:24.349 --> 00:22:29.390
And it takes a few folks down that road to the

00:22:29.390 --> 00:22:32.630
point where violent extremism is the outcome.

00:22:32.869 --> 00:22:36.369
And fortunately, we've seen that many times domestically

00:22:36.369 --> 00:22:39.650
and internationally. I feel like we could have

00:22:39.650 --> 00:22:41.849
a whole separate podcast on the role of social

00:22:41.849 --> 00:22:45.650
media in this space. But you're actually leading

00:22:45.650 --> 00:22:47.630
me, both of you are leading me to sort of my

00:22:47.630 --> 00:22:50.569
next question, which I apologize in advance,

00:22:50.670 --> 00:22:53.089
maybe a little bit multi -part or at least multi

00:22:53.089 --> 00:22:57.950
-contextual. So given the administration's, what

00:22:57.950 --> 00:23:00.549
I would say, inexplicable kind of de -emphasis

00:23:00.549 --> 00:23:03.269
of all the programs you both are talking about

00:23:03.269 --> 00:23:06.890
in favor of a more traditional law enforcement

00:23:06.890 --> 00:23:12.789
focused. approach, how do you see that shift

00:23:12.789 --> 00:23:16.890
as potentially, you know, making us less safe,

00:23:17.009 --> 00:23:19.769
you know, increasing the possibility of radicalization?

00:23:19.950 --> 00:23:22.890
And then, you know, thinking about that shift

00:23:22.890 --> 00:23:26.990
to law enforcement, how effective is that when

00:23:26.990 --> 00:23:29.970
you don't have a, for example, as it relates

00:23:29.970 --> 00:23:33.089
to domestic terrorism, there is no domestic terrorism

00:23:33.089 --> 00:23:35.390
statute. There isn't even an agreed upon definition

00:23:35.390 --> 00:23:39.400
of what domestic terrorism is. So maybe, Dexter,

00:23:39.480 --> 00:23:42.259
if I could start with you, how do you see kind

00:23:42.259 --> 00:23:44.859
of that landscape playing out as we're living

00:23:44.859 --> 00:23:47.240
it right now? Yeah, it's interesting because

00:23:47.240 --> 00:23:50.740
if you look back at the most recent intelligence

00:23:50.740 --> 00:23:53.140
assessments, you know, over the past few years,

00:23:53.259 --> 00:23:55.779
it talked about the biggest threat domestically

00:23:55.779 --> 00:23:59.500
basically being far -right extremism. And that's

00:23:59.500 --> 00:24:02.460
something that isn't political. That's intelligence

00:24:02.460 --> 00:24:06.559
that is actually, you know, grounded in numbers

00:24:06.559 --> 00:24:13.460
and, you know, put together by experts. I know

00:24:13.460 --> 00:24:16.299
we don't talk about that anymore in this current

00:24:16.299 --> 00:24:19.740
administration. Another key issue was racially

00:24:19.740 --> 00:24:22.279
or ethnically motivated violent extremism. That's

00:24:22.279 --> 00:24:26.109
basically white identity terrorism. And, again,

00:24:26.670 --> 00:24:30.309
that's not something that is even labeled in

00:24:30.309 --> 00:24:32.789
the current administration. The first Trump administration,

00:24:33.250 --> 00:24:35.650
they are the ones that came up with that terminology.

00:24:36.210 --> 00:24:39.650
You know, they were happy to have programs with

00:24:39.650 --> 00:24:42.710
Women, Peace, and Security and Remedy -related

00:24:42.710 --> 00:24:48.589
and CVE aspects of prevention. And all that's

00:24:48.589 --> 00:24:50.190
gone away. All the Women, Peace, and Security

00:24:50.190 --> 00:24:56.359
work is gone. The prevention teams that made

00:24:56.359 --> 00:24:59.579
up the U .S. government from CP3 over at DHS

00:24:59.579 --> 00:25:04.000
to the FBI's teams that focus on this to the

00:25:04.000 --> 00:25:06.799
state departments, countering violent extremism

00:25:06.799 --> 00:25:10.440
office, as well as our global engagement center

00:25:10.440 --> 00:25:14.059
and foreign influence teams. Anything that dealt

00:25:14.059 --> 00:25:16.940
with misinformation, disinformation is basically

00:25:16.940 --> 00:25:20.880
gone now. It's not funded. I think, yeah, it

00:25:20.880 --> 00:25:23.119
was last week where the administration actually

00:25:23.119 --> 00:25:26.019
said, we're going to disengage from a number

00:25:26.019 --> 00:25:28.140
of international organizations that focus on

00:25:28.140 --> 00:25:31.900
issues related to prevention. And we created

00:25:31.900 --> 00:25:34.579
a lot of these organizations. We, you know, seeded

00:25:34.579 --> 00:25:38.779
the money for a lot of them. But luckily, you

00:25:38.779 --> 00:25:40.859
know, there are other international donors because

00:25:40.859 --> 00:25:44.059
the world does see this as a threat. And they,

00:25:44.160 --> 00:25:46.539
you know, our partners see this as important.

00:25:48.170 --> 00:25:51.710
It shouldn't be a political thing. And, you know,

00:25:51.730 --> 00:25:54.910
my fear is now that we're really lacking on the

00:25:54.910 --> 00:25:57.210
prevention front when it comes to engagement

00:25:57.210 --> 00:26:00.910
programs, offices, and expertise, you're going

00:26:00.910 --> 00:26:05.589
to see everything as a nail in the hammer, and

00:26:05.589 --> 00:26:07.809
it's everything going to be kinetic. And what

00:26:07.809 --> 00:26:10.710
else is going to happen is the grievances over

00:26:10.710 --> 00:26:12.650
the next few years are going to grow because

00:26:12.650 --> 00:26:14.769
they're not being addressed by prevention programs.

00:26:17.069 --> 00:26:19.170
two or three or four years, you're going to have

00:26:19.170 --> 00:26:22.369
a number of things happening. And the sad part

00:26:22.369 --> 00:26:24.569
about that is it's going to get politicized.

00:26:24.630 --> 00:26:26.470
You'll hear people say, well, that didn't happen

00:26:26.470 --> 00:26:29.529
under our watch. Well, what happened under the

00:26:29.529 --> 00:26:34.329
current watch is nothing. So it is going to blossom

00:26:34.329 --> 00:26:40.309
and bloom in a few years. And that, again, shouldn't

00:26:40.309 --> 00:26:46.750
be politicized. I look at the fear of ICE. and

00:26:46.750 --> 00:26:49.109
what's happening in our communities right now.

00:26:49.289 --> 00:26:52.069
You have folks at the local level that don't

00:26:52.069 --> 00:26:57.519
want to call the police when crime's been. committed,

00:26:57.660 --> 00:27:00.000
you know, if there's a medical issue, they're

00:27:00.000 --> 00:27:02.319
not going to want to report that either because

00:27:02.319 --> 00:27:06.059
they are afraid. And when our communities are

00:27:06.059 --> 00:27:07.880
afraid, there's just overall less reporting.

00:27:08.140 --> 00:27:10.839
And most of the reporting that we get when it

00:27:10.839 --> 00:27:13.319
comes to crime and other issues come from our

00:27:13.319 --> 00:27:15.880
communities. So we're kind of doing the opposite

00:27:15.880 --> 00:27:20.460
of what we should. I say this not as a law enforcement

00:27:20.460 --> 00:27:22.779
expert, even though I spent three years at the

00:27:22.779 --> 00:27:24.920
FBI and three years at Interpol kind of leading

00:27:24.920 --> 00:27:33.089
teams. As I talk to my friends who literally

00:27:33.089 --> 00:27:38.490
bled ice in different years over the past five

00:27:38.490 --> 00:27:41.269
years or so, not one of them says what we're

00:27:41.269 --> 00:27:43.809
doing now is what we should be doing. They all

00:27:43.809 --> 00:27:47.109
say this is not what we should be doing. And

00:27:47.109 --> 00:27:49.049
we're doing this the wrong way if we want to

00:27:49.049 --> 00:27:51.329
accomplish certain things. And that's not political.

00:27:51.490 --> 00:27:55.940
These are former heads of ICE. It's really an

00:27:55.940 --> 00:27:58.220
interesting time for me, and it's great to be

00:27:58.220 --> 00:27:59.880
able to talk about these issues with you and

00:27:59.880 --> 00:28:03.920
Bill. Absolutely. And having come from ICE myself,

00:28:04.140 --> 00:28:05.859
though certainly not in a law enforcement capacity,

00:28:06.200 --> 00:28:09.500
I can absolutely relate to what you're saying.

00:28:09.700 --> 00:28:11.740
And ironically, you mentioned Women, Peace, and

00:28:11.740 --> 00:28:15.460
Security. Then -member of Congress Kristi Noem

00:28:15.460 --> 00:28:17.440
was actually one of the sponsors of the Women,

00:28:17.500 --> 00:28:19.619
Peace, and Security Act. And now, unfortunately,

00:28:19.960 --> 00:28:22.819
it has been discarded kind of across government.

00:28:23.549 --> 00:28:25.609
So, Bill, let me turn to you. How do you sort

00:28:25.609 --> 00:28:29.910
of see these issues? And Dex mentioned immigration.

00:28:30.089 --> 00:28:32.210
And I'm just kind of wondering, you and I were

00:28:32.210 --> 00:28:35.130
talking a little bit before we started recording

00:28:35.130 --> 00:28:38.329
sort of a little bit about, for example, you

00:28:38.329 --> 00:28:41.269
know, the public statements from ICE, Department

00:28:41.269 --> 00:28:45.049
of Labor and others on social media. How do you

00:28:45.049 --> 00:28:47.390
kind of see all of this kind of maelstrom kind

00:28:47.390 --> 00:28:52.619
of, you know? materializing and how do we respond

00:28:52.619 --> 00:28:58.599
to it in a way that's meaningful? Thanks. Let

00:28:58.599 --> 00:29:01.460
me begin to answer this question by actually

00:29:01.460 --> 00:29:04.259
addressing the last question that you posed to

00:29:04.259 --> 00:29:07.140
Dex. First, let's just look at what's actually

00:29:07.140 --> 00:29:10.000
happened as we've reduced our investment in prevention

00:29:10.000 --> 00:29:13.089
of terrorism. And I would actually argue. as

00:29:13.089 --> 00:29:15.069
we've taken a lot of resources away from our

00:29:15.069 --> 00:29:17.349
law enforcement counterterrorism approaches and

00:29:17.349 --> 00:29:20.730
put them towards immigration and border security

00:29:20.730 --> 00:29:25.009
tasks instead of counterterrorism, we've seen

00:29:25.009 --> 00:29:29.210
a massive increase in attacks and credible plots

00:29:29.210 --> 00:29:32.150
in the United States from the last year of the

00:29:32.150 --> 00:29:34.369
previous administration to the first year of

00:29:34.369 --> 00:29:36.410
the current administration. And I'm talking about

00:29:36.410 --> 00:29:38.650
like a 40 % increase in attacks and credible

00:29:38.650 --> 00:29:41.950
plots in the United States. An increase in the

00:29:41.950 --> 00:29:45.230
success rate of those plots, about 55 or 54 percent

00:29:45.230 --> 00:29:49.990
of these plots succeed. 150 percent increase

00:29:49.990 --> 00:29:53.029
in fatalities in the United States from the last

00:29:53.029 --> 00:29:54.569
year of the last administration to the first

00:29:54.569 --> 00:29:56.630
year of this administration. And a 70 percent,

00:29:56.670 --> 00:29:59.410
I assume a 700 percent increase in injuries.

00:29:59.730 --> 00:30:01.970
So it turns out if you remove federal resources

00:30:01.970 --> 00:30:04.250
from these important missions, prevention and

00:30:04.250 --> 00:30:07.430
counterterrorism, the trend lines go in the wrong

00:30:07.430 --> 00:30:09.869
direction in American communities. experience

00:30:09.869 --> 00:30:15.329
more violence. So that's thing one. Thing two,

00:30:15.470 --> 00:30:20.230
if the only resources left, even if they're reduced,

00:30:20.410 --> 00:30:23.609
are law enforcement resources, and yet there's

00:30:23.609 --> 00:30:26.490
no domestic terrorism statute, where does that

00:30:26.490 --> 00:30:29.450
leave us? Excuse me, there's no punitive domestic

00:30:29.450 --> 00:30:32.789
terrorism statute that can be charged. Well,

00:30:32.849 --> 00:30:38.509
it leaves us with a... discrepancy between the

00:30:38.509 --> 00:30:41.430
average duration of a sentence of a domestic

00:30:41.430 --> 00:30:44.789
terrorist extreme perpetrator versus an international

00:30:44.789 --> 00:30:47.049
or someone inspired by a foreign domestic terrorist

00:30:47.049 --> 00:30:49.710
organization. So the average incarceration for

00:30:49.710 --> 00:30:52.750
someone inspired by ISIS or Al -Qaeda is just

00:30:52.750 --> 00:30:56.250
under 14 years. The average incarceration time

00:30:56.250 --> 00:30:59.210
for an individual who is associated with domestic

00:30:59.210 --> 00:31:03.579
terrorism is less than seven. It's just over

00:31:03.579 --> 00:31:05.779
six, excuse me, just over six years. And why

00:31:05.779 --> 00:31:07.420
is that? Well, because they're not being charged

00:31:07.420 --> 00:31:09.680
with a 20 -year material support for a terrorism

00:31:09.680 --> 00:31:12.539
offense kind of charge. They're being charged

00:31:12.539 --> 00:31:15.299
for an assault, a battery, a drug charge, an

00:31:15.299 --> 00:31:18.180
illegal firearms charge, much, much lower sentences.

00:31:18.559 --> 00:31:21.299
And again, six years is the average, which means

00:31:21.299 --> 00:31:24.019
many, many sentences are one or two or three

00:31:24.019 --> 00:31:28.880
years long. And so it's really not even a...

00:31:29.079 --> 00:31:32.279
risk reduction strategy when we use law enforcement

00:31:32.279 --> 00:31:35.819
only approaches to disrupt domestic terrorism.

00:31:35.920 --> 00:31:38.220
What we're doing is we're delaying risk by, you

00:31:38.220 --> 00:31:41.099
know, a handful of years, but we're actually

00:31:41.099 --> 00:31:43.640
adding risk factors for violence to that individual.

00:31:43.839 --> 00:31:45.740
They've now been incarcerated. They have a record.

00:31:45.940 --> 00:31:47.900
It's harder for them to get a job. It's harder

00:31:47.900 --> 00:31:50.460
for them to have a positive pro -social personal

00:31:50.460 --> 00:31:53.420
relationship. It's harder for them to increase

00:31:53.420 --> 00:31:56.309
their educational attainment. It's harder for

00:31:56.309 --> 00:31:59.049
them to reintegrate into society. So they are

00:31:59.049 --> 00:32:01.589
often welcomed back into the arms of the violent

00:32:01.589 --> 00:32:05.190
extremist movement when they get out of prison.

00:32:05.390 --> 00:32:09.109
And so a law enforcement -only strategy for domestic

00:32:09.109 --> 00:32:12.890
terrorism is wildly problematic if we're actually

00:32:12.890 --> 00:32:16.230
trying to reduce the risk of recidivism, of violent

00:32:16.230 --> 00:32:19.930
offense. So that's sort of the first part of

00:32:19.930 --> 00:32:21.910
the question. What we have seen is that these

00:32:21.910 --> 00:32:23.319
counterterrorism... and prevention resources,

00:32:23.720 --> 00:32:26.119
well, prevention resources are gone domestically.

00:32:26.339 --> 00:32:30.220
CP3 does not exist. It was fully dismantled by

00:32:30.220 --> 00:32:34.839
September of this last year. What we've seen

00:32:34.839 --> 00:32:37.559
is a reallocation of counterterrorism resources

00:32:37.559 --> 00:32:41.400
to immigration, immigration enforcement. And

00:32:41.400 --> 00:32:46.759
in the backdrop of increases of ICE checkpoints

00:32:46.759 --> 00:32:52.740
and detainments in U .S. cities, is this social

00:32:52.740 --> 00:32:56.359
media feed that you mentioned, Peter, this idea

00:32:56.359 --> 00:32:58.299
that out of Department of Labor, Department of

00:32:58.299 --> 00:33:01.420
Homeland Security, and then things like ICE job

00:33:01.420 --> 00:33:06.079
advertisements, we're seeing explicitly neo -Nazi,

00:33:06.079 --> 00:33:09.359
Nazi, and white supremacist propaganda coming

00:33:09.359 --> 00:33:12.640
through official communication channels of the

00:33:12.640 --> 00:33:17.740
U .S. executive branch. That is incredibly chilling

00:33:17.740 --> 00:33:20.599
and concerning. And for those who might think

00:33:20.599 --> 00:33:25.740
that this is sensational, we're seeing posts

00:33:25.740 --> 00:33:29.900
that feature white supremacist anthems sung by

00:33:29.900 --> 00:33:32.240
the Proud Boys, like We Will Have Our Home Again.

00:33:32.680 --> 00:33:36.279
We're seeing references to a book written by

00:33:36.279 --> 00:33:38.980
a neo -Nazi who is a member of the National Alliance.

00:33:39.420 --> 00:33:42.019
The book is Which Way, Western Man, which talks

00:33:42.019 --> 00:33:45.279
about sort of the... you know, the white race

00:33:45.279 --> 00:33:49.240
needing to pick a white nationalist future. We're

00:33:49.240 --> 00:33:51.559
seeing references to the great replacement theory,

00:33:51.759 --> 00:33:54.019
this idea that there's a conspiracy to intentionally

00:33:54.019 --> 00:34:00.200
bring in immigrants to lower the level of power

00:34:00.200 --> 00:34:03.819
of sort of white Americans. Often this is an

00:34:03.819 --> 00:34:06.779
anti -Semitic conspiracy theory in which the

00:34:06.779 --> 00:34:09.099
Jewish population is orchestrating this immigration.

00:34:09.949 --> 00:34:12.909
which is why we saw incidents of violence like

00:34:12.909 --> 00:34:15.510
the Tree of Life shooting targeting the Jewish

00:34:15.510 --> 00:34:18.869
population for supporting immigration into the

00:34:18.869 --> 00:34:22.210
United States. But it's also the motivation behind

00:34:22.210 --> 00:34:24.670
the top friendly supermarket attack in Buffalo,

00:34:24.769 --> 00:34:27.690
New York, and the El Paso Walmart attack. These

00:34:27.690 --> 00:34:30.610
are some of the most lethal mass casualty attacks

00:34:30.610 --> 00:34:35.130
in U .S. history on those populations. This is,

00:34:35.130 --> 00:34:38.650
you know, not an accident. Like, you don't have

00:34:38.650 --> 00:34:44.550
songs. You don't have memes, you don't have slogans,

00:34:44.570 --> 00:34:46.989
you don't have actual references or paraphrases

00:34:46.989 --> 00:34:52.449
of Nazi quotes appearing across the executive

00:34:52.449 --> 00:34:57.769
branch of social media feeds by accident. So

00:34:57.769 --> 00:35:03.130
it's clearly indicating that what ICE is doing,

00:35:03.309 --> 00:35:06.250
this focus on immigration and border security,

00:35:06.469 --> 00:35:12.519
the reduction of... immigration from dozens and

00:35:12.519 --> 00:35:14.260
dozens and dozens of countries around the world,

00:35:14.460 --> 00:35:17.679
the attacks on DEI programs and diversity in

00:35:17.679 --> 00:35:20.699
the federal workforce and any organizations supported

00:35:20.699 --> 00:35:23.880
by the federal workforce. You add all this together

00:35:23.880 --> 00:35:28.780
and you get a really chilling racial cleansing

00:35:28.780 --> 00:35:33.019
platform. And as a former peacekeeper in the

00:35:33.019 --> 00:35:36.019
Balkans who kind of became a professional adult

00:35:36.019 --> 00:35:39.190
thinking about ethnic cleansing and... what balkanization

00:35:39.190 --> 00:35:43.889
and identity politics can do to a country to

00:35:43.889 --> 00:35:49.869
see a concerted series of efforts really intended

00:35:49.869 --> 00:35:52.349
to racially cleanse the United States is wildly

00:35:52.349 --> 00:35:56.809
chilling. Well, speaking of chilling, as important

00:35:56.809 --> 00:35:59.170
as this conversation is, I'm sure our listeners

00:35:59.170 --> 00:36:03.329
and I feel it too, it is chilling to sort of

00:36:03.329 --> 00:36:05.630
talk about the realities of what's happening

00:36:05.630 --> 00:36:10.690
out here. So sort of with that backdrop and kind

00:36:10.690 --> 00:36:12.989
of the general instability of what's happening

00:36:12.989 --> 00:36:16.369
in the country, what do you see as the possibility

00:36:16.369 --> 00:36:19.349
of foreign terrorist organizations taking advantage

00:36:19.349 --> 00:36:23.550
of this environment to radicalize people here

00:36:23.550 --> 00:36:26.269
in the United States? And again, what does that

00:36:26.269 --> 00:36:30.670
mean in terms of the overall risk of terrorism

00:36:30.670 --> 00:36:33.530
or other forms of targeted violence? Dexter,

00:36:33.590 --> 00:36:36.530
why don't I start with you? Yeah, I mean, I see

00:36:36.530 --> 00:36:39.210
it as a big opportunity. We don't name something

00:36:39.210 --> 00:36:42.190
that's a huge threat. There's a problem. When

00:36:42.190 --> 00:36:44.469
our national security strategy doesn't mention

00:36:44.469 --> 00:36:47.309
white identity terrorism, there's a huge problem.

00:36:47.590 --> 00:36:50.809
When we're doing things like, you know, trying

00:36:50.809 --> 00:36:54.909
to designate groups like Antifa, when, you know,

00:36:54.949 --> 00:36:57.630
there are bigger issues out there, I think that

00:36:57.630 --> 00:37:02.429
that's a problem. I'm just constantly amazed

00:37:02.429 --> 00:37:06.530
because what we... used to see, right, where

00:37:06.530 --> 00:37:11.429
these kind of attitudes at the local level, we

00:37:11.429 --> 00:37:13.610
call them hooligans, right? If you go to Germany

00:37:13.610 --> 00:37:16.489
or the UK and you're at a football or soccer

00:37:16.489 --> 00:37:18.949
match, you have these hooligans who are drinking

00:37:18.949 --> 00:37:22.409
too much. They have these beliefs and they act

00:37:22.409 --> 00:37:26.809
out. And we see that now becoming more culturally

00:37:26.809 --> 00:37:31.670
attuned as well as more politically, like these

00:37:31.670 --> 00:37:35.429
political parties. are popping up in europe and

00:37:35.429 --> 00:37:39.849
we've also seen you know a right -wing um focus

00:37:39.849 --> 00:37:42.650
domestically as well and it's getting more organized

00:37:42.650 --> 00:37:47.750
if you look at um folks like uh gosh look at

00:37:47.750 --> 00:37:50.809
the groipers right you look at the groipers they're

00:37:50.809 --> 00:37:53.869
that's a political movement these are neo -nazis

00:37:53.869 --> 00:37:58.710
who um They're anti -Semites, they believe in

00:37:58.710 --> 00:38:02.710
the great replacement theory, and they're sitting

00:38:02.710 --> 00:38:05.130
down and they're talking with our political leaders

00:38:05.130 --> 00:38:08.550
and having conversations in rooms they would

00:38:08.550 --> 00:38:11.309
never previously have access to. So a lot of

00:38:11.309 --> 00:38:15.110
that is becoming more culturally, quote, acceptable.

00:38:15.969 --> 00:38:19.429
We'll see people act out in different ways. Maybe

00:38:19.429 --> 00:38:21.550
it gets them fired from their job. Maybe it gets

00:38:21.550 --> 00:38:24.969
them socially isolated. But they have the right

00:38:24.969 --> 00:38:28.389
of freedom of speech, right? Where the line crosses

00:38:28.389 --> 00:38:33.550
over is where they commit violent extremism.

00:38:33.550 --> 00:38:36.590
That violent piece, that word violence is the

00:38:36.590 --> 00:38:41.889
key here. With social media, you have manifestos

00:38:41.889 --> 00:38:45.289
and information being shared in ways that never

00:38:45.289 --> 00:38:47.690
was shared previously. Before, it was like, who's

00:38:47.690 --> 00:38:50.329
in your local community? Now you can be on Discord,

00:38:50.590 --> 00:38:54.409
Roblox, or any aspect of social media and be

00:38:54.409 --> 00:38:57.409
connecting with somebody in Europe or South America,

00:38:57.610 --> 00:39:02.769
Asia, anywhere, and be a part of this group that

00:39:02.769 --> 00:39:05.909
initially starts there. you know, build a community

00:39:05.909 --> 00:39:09.710
with you and make you feel at home and have really

00:39:09.710 --> 00:39:14.070
simple solutions for you for really complex issues.

00:39:14.789 --> 00:39:18.369
And that's the beginning of the radicalization

00:39:18.369 --> 00:39:25.869
process. It's so much easier now. And as we see

00:39:25.869 --> 00:39:28.989
this develop, we can't go to social media companies

00:39:28.989 --> 00:39:32.550
and say, Take that down. What we can do is say

00:39:32.550 --> 00:39:34.630
things like this violates your terms of service.

00:39:34.889 --> 00:39:36.869
And, you know, we're going to highlight it for

00:39:36.869 --> 00:39:40.070
you. But what they do is what they do. I look

00:39:40.070 --> 00:39:43.869
at X, for instance. This isn't violent extremism,

00:39:43.909 --> 00:39:48.750
but X has had Houthis selling arms openly on

00:39:48.750 --> 00:39:52.210
their platform for years. You know, and X is

00:39:52.210 --> 00:39:54.230
making money off of these sales and the Houthis

00:39:54.230 --> 00:39:55.909
are making money. And these are verified accounts.

00:39:56.449 --> 00:40:00.739
It's it's this. process of, you know, I think

00:40:00.739 --> 00:40:03.380
now, especially the government saying, we're

00:40:03.380 --> 00:40:05.480
not going to say what's the truth and what's

00:40:05.480 --> 00:40:08.039
not the truth. That misinformation and disinformation,

00:40:08.420 --> 00:40:13.199
hey, everybody has a point that should be valued

00:40:13.199 --> 00:40:16.360
and we're not the arbitrator of that. You know,

00:40:16.420 --> 00:40:20.219
I think there are certain truths and there are

00:40:20.219 --> 00:40:23.730
certain... untruths out there. And finding ways

00:40:23.730 --> 00:40:27.550
to build trust and get people to understand that

00:40:27.550 --> 00:40:31.210
and be heard is only good for our communities

00:40:31.210 --> 00:40:34.769
and our society. So I'll leave it at there. I

00:40:34.769 --> 00:40:38.409
can go on. Thanks, Dex. And so what I'd like

00:40:38.409 --> 00:40:40.550
to do is, you know, first, Bill, I'd love for

00:40:40.550 --> 00:40:42.070
you to, you know, kind of jump in on that as

00:40:42.070 --> 00:40:45.340
well. But then My final question for both of

00:40:45.340 --> 00:40:48.780
you is, you know, kind of two part. So the first

00:40:48.780 --> 00:40:51.519
is, you know, given what you just said, Dex,

00:40:51.619 --> 00:40:53.880
and certainly just the context of the conversation

00:40:53.880 --> 00:40:56.860
we've been having. I mean, look, I'm my family's

00:40:56.860 --> 00:40:59.059
Egyptian. I'm you know, I'm brown. My kids are

00:40:59.059 --> 00:41:03.119
brown, you know, and I wonder like what given

00:41:03.119 --> 00:41:05.980
all of the threats that you both just laid out,

00:41:06.079 --> 00:41:09.800
what should we be doing? I mean, just at the

00:41:09.800 --> 00:41:12.739
basic family and community level, what do we

00:41:12.739 --> 00:41:16.269
do? And then I think sort of in that, you know,

00:41:16.269 --> 00:41:19.409
broader context, you know, Dexie mentioned, you

00:41:19.409 --> 00:41:21.889
know, obviously freedom of speech. And, you know,

00:41:21.909 --> 00:41:24.530
there's the, you know, the issuance of NSPM 7

00:41:24.530 --> 00:41:27.710
and how, you know, that is sort of fomented the

00:41:27.710 --> 00:41:30.869
sort of use of almost casually the term domestic

00:41:30.869 --> 00:41:34.760
terrorism. What does all this mean for the potential

00:41:34.760 --> 00:41:37.420
slide to authoritarianism? And sorry, I realize

00:41:37.420 --> 00:41:40.699
it's a lot in a couple of questions, but wanted

00:41:40.699 --> 00:41:44.800
to sort of bring this to a kind of a crescendo

00:41:44.800 --> 00:41:46.860
because it's a really, really important conversation

00:41:46.860 --> 00:41:49.159
and one we could certainly talk about for hours.

00:41:50.019 --> 00:41:54.599
Bill, why don't I start with you? Sure. On the

00:41:54.599 --> 00:41:56.639
question of are we more vulnerable to terrorism,

00:41:56.880 --> 00:42:01.059
there's lots of... reasons to think that the

00:42:01.059 --> 00:42:03.880
answer is yes. Not necessarily because terrorist

00:42:03.880 --> 00:42:11.139
organizations are going to capitalize on this

00:42:11.139 --> 00:42:15.599
domestic moment any more so than they would capitalize

00:42:15.599 --> 00:42:17.820
on any opportunity at any point in time. Terrorist

00:42:17.820 --> 00:42:19.340
organizations are opportunistic when they have

00:42:19.340 --> 00:42:21.920
the ability to engage in an act of violence and

00:42:21.920 --> 00:42:24.320
they think it makes sense, they'll do it. I don't

00:42:24.320 --> 00:42:27.519
know that we're changing their... necessarily.

00:42:27.760 --> 00:42:31.239
But what is 100 % happening is that we have eroded

00:42:31.239 --> 00:42:36.840
our international cooperation by removing tools

00:42:36.840 --> 00:42:42.139
like USAID, the damage that's been done to the

00:42:42.139 --> 00:42:44.000
Department of State and their ability to partner

00:42:44.000 --> 00:42:48.679
with allies overseas. Our national security pivot

00:42:48.679 --> 00:42:51.559
to the Western Hemisphere, our threats against

00:42:51.559 --> 00:42:55.840
Greenland and by extension, NATO. Like there's

00:42:55.840 --> 00:42:57.500
all sorts of things that we're doing that are

00:42:57.500 --> 00:43:02.159
decreasing the international ability to engage

00:43:02.159 --> 00:43:03.800
in international counterterrorism effectively.

00:43:03.940 --> 00:43:07.739
And that makes us more vulnerable for sure. On

00:43:07.739 --> 00:43:11.019
your second question about, you know, gosh, this

00:43:11.019 --> 00:43:13.699
is this is concerning. What do we do? Like, what

00:43:13.699 --> 00:43:16.800
do I do at home and in my community? It's really

00:43:16.800 --> 00:43:18.420
important to understand that there are so many

00:43:18.420 --> 00:43:21.539
things that we can be doing in terms of prevention

00:43:21.539 --> 00:43:25.530
of targeted violence and terrorism. The organization

00:43:25.530 --> 00:43:28.909
that I lead now focuses on primary prevention.

00:43:29.010 --> 00:43:30.949
This is upstream prevention. So this is the kind

00:43:30.949 --> 00:43:33.590
of stuff that parents and schools and faith leaders

00:43:33.590 --> 00:43:36.610
and state and local governments can be engaging

00:43:36.610 --> 00:43:39.650
in. And so I'd encourage people to look at the

00:43:39.650 --> 00:43:44.630
PERIL research website for some of those resources.

00:43:47.550 --> 00:43:49.809
It's sort of too long of a list to name, but

00:43:49.809 --> 00:43:53.070
what we have to first understand is that, you

00:43:53.070 --> 00:43:55.320
know, 80 % of school shooters tell someone they're

00:43:55.320 --> 00:43:58.699
going to do it before they do it. North of 50

00:43:58.699 --> 00:44:01.340
% of mass casualty attackers weak their intent

00:44:01.340 --> 00:44:02.960
to say that they're going to do something before

00:44:02.960 --> 00:44:05.639
they do it. We have to take that information

00:44:05.639 --> 00:44:09.159
seriously when we hear it. Ask a caring question

00:44:09.159 --> 00:44:10.820
to that person. Bill, are you thinking about

00:44:10.820 --> 00:44:13.719
hurting somebody? What's really going on? And

00:44:13.719 --> 00:44:15.619
then get that person access to someone who can

00:44:15.619 --> 00:44:18.480
help them. Targeted violence and terrorism, these

00:44:18.480 --> 00:44:21.719
things are preventable. We all have a role to

00:44:21.719 --> 00:44:25.099
play. And it's normalizing this idea of prevention,

00:44:25.320 --> 00:44:26.880
I think, is one of the most important things

00:44:26.880 --> 00:44:29.860
we can be doing, as opposed to just falling victim

00:44:29.860 --> 00:44:32.500
to the apathy and saying that, geez, this stuff

00:44:32.500 --> 00:44:34.519
is inevitable and it's ubiquitous and there's

00:44:34.519 --> 00:44:36.219
just nothing to be done about it. That is the

00:44:36.219 --> 00:44:38.679
worst thing we can be doing. Instead, what we

00:44:38.679 --> 00:44:43.119
need to do is sort of be proactive. So lots of

00:44:43.119 --> 00:44:46.019
things to offer there. And I'd love to follow

00:44:46.019 --> 00:44:47.579
on conversations with anybody who's actually

00:44:47.579 --> 00:44:49.739
interested in what are state and local prevention.

00:44:50.980 --> 00:44:53.300
opportunities. We do a lot of work with state

00:44:53.300 --> 00:44:55.619
governments and local governments and would love

00:44:55.619 --> 00:44:59.159
to continue that conversation. In terms of National

00:44:59.159 --> 00:45:04.300
Security Presidential Memo 7 and this slide towards

00:45:04.300 --> 00:45:08.619
authoritarianism, I would just encourage listeners

00:45:08.619 --> 00:45:11.260
to understand that this isn't some scary imagined

00:45:11.260 --> 00:45:16.039
future scenario. We're talking about before this

00:45:16.039 --> 00:45:21.099
winter break. The Department of Justice issuing

00:45:21.099 --> 00:45:24.539
a memo asking for a list of domestic organizations

00:45:24.539 --> 00:45:29.420
that should be investigated for promoting things

00:45:29.420 --> 00:45:34.239
like anti -traditional American values. That's

00:45:34.239 --> 00:45:36.739
a subjective term. There's no basis in law for

00:45:36.739 --> 00:45:39.159
it. There's a reason we don't have a domestic

00:45:39.159 --> 00:45:41.699
terrorist organization list. It's a wildly slippery

00:45:41.699 --> 00:45:45.119
slope towards authoritarianism and cracking down

00:45:45.119 --> 00:45:49.280
on. uh normal political rivals that that exist

00:45:49.280 --> 00:45:51.519
in a democracy and should exist in a democracy

00:45:51.519 --> 00:45:55.539
and so you know with with national security presidential

00:45:55.539 --> 00:46:00.780
memo 7 and then the follow -on doj efforts individuals

00:46:00.780 --> 00:46:02.800
need to understand that this is an existential

00:46:02.800 --> 00:46:06.820
threat to american democracy to civil society

00:46:06.820 --> 00:46:13.989
and we have to we have to speak up Next, you

00:46:13.989 --> 00:46:15.550
get the last word, and I would love to hear,

00:46:15.670 --> 00:46:17.909
you know, as I was describing my background,

00:46:18.190 --> 00:46:20.409
you mentioned you're a Black man, you've got

00:46:20.409 --> 00:46:23.690
two Black boys. What do you tell them? Yeah,

00:46:23.750 --> 00:46:26.829
I have to have tough conversations with them,

00:46:26.949 --> 00:46:29.650
you know, where their friends can go out and,

00:46:29.750 --> 00:46:33.090
you know, their parents are saying, boys will

00:46:33.090 --> 00:46:35.869
be boys, or they're just being cheeky. I'm like,

00:46:35.989 --> 00:46:39.099
you can't do that. You have to be held to a higher

00:46:39.099 --> 00:46:43.980
standard. You can be perceived as older or more

00:46:43.980 --> 00:46:46.280
of a threat than you actually are. You know,

00:46:46.300 --> 00:46:49.659
I know you're 10 and 13. You know, there have

00:46:49.659 --> 00:46:54.199
been a number of cases where I can't even get

00:46:54.199 --> 00:46:56.019
into it. I mean, there's literally thousands

00:46:56.019 --> 00:46:59.480
of cases of police being called on young black

00:46:59.480 --> 00:47:03.440
men for just kind of living their lives. And

00:47:03.440 --> 00:47:06.059
so that's that's something that's always there.

00:47:06.219 --> 00:47:08.599
I also tell them it's their superpower because

00:47:08.599 --> 00:47:12.019
they are more attuned and more alert and they're

00:47:12.019 --> 00:47:15.179
not just going la -di -da through life. They're

00:47:15.179 --> 00:47:17.280
being intentional about what they're doing and

00:47:17.280 --> 00:47:20.739
who they are. So I, you know, I kind of spin

00:47:20.739 --> 00:47:22.960
it and say that that's your superpower. You see

00:47:22.960 --> 00:47:26.119
things others don't. My boys are also very international.

00:47:26.360 --> 00:47:29.039
I mean, you know, I remember during the last

00:47:29.039 --> 00:47:31.480
Trump administration when I was at Interpol.

00:47:32.030 --> 00:47:34.789
meeting with the leadership from the White House.

00:47:34.889 --> 00:47:38.170
I met with Tom Bossert and, well, I'm not going

00:47:38.170 --> 00:47:40.650
to name my other friend, but, and they would

00:47:40.650 --> 00:47:43.429
say, you know, we're the globalists. And it was

00:47:43.429 --> 00:47:45.030
me and the Secretary General of Interpol. And

00:47:45.030 --> 00:47:47.289
I would have to explain to the Secretary General

00:47:47.289 --> 00:47:50.070
what that meant, that they believe in international

00:47:50.070 --> 00:47:52.389
cooperation and America's place in the world.

00:47:52.489 --> 00:47:56.469
Those are good things, right? When you villainize,

00:47:56.489 --> 00:47:59.809
you know, just international cooperation, and,

00:47:59.869 --> 00:48:03.250
you know, I always tell young people, Learning

00:48:03.250 --> 00:48:05.750
different languages is great. Having a passport

00:48:05.750 --> 00:48:09.610
is great. Traveling is super important. And,

00:48:09.650 --> 00:48:11.929
you know, there's different religions and there's

00:48:11.929 --> 00:48:14.369
different food. And it doesn't mean it's better

00:48:14.369 --> 00:48:16.329
or worse. It's just different. And the more you

00:48:16.329 --> 00:48:18.010
understand that, the more you'll see we have

00:48:18.010 --> 00:48:20.289
in common. Everybody wants the best for their

00:48:20.289 --> 00:48:22.730
kids, right? There's so much we have in common

00:48:22.730 --> 00:48:25.710
internationally. But we have this tendency to

00:48:25.710 --> 00:48:28.010
villainize folks. And I see that especially at

00:48:28.010 --> 00:48:30.869
the international level. That also applies when

00:48:30.869 --> 00:48:35.789
you have immigrants coming into the U .S. I personally

00:48:35.789 --> 00:48:40.429
think that within our communities, we see a lot

00:48:40.429 --> 00:48:43.869
of people kind of pushing back. We see different

00:48:43.869 --> 00:48:48.250
religious leaders kind of organizing and talking

00:48:48.250 --> 00:48:55.230
about the commonalities that we have. It is amazing

00:48:55.230 --> 00:48:59.730
to watch people like Stephen Miller. talk the

00:48:59.730 --> 00:49:03.710
way he talks. And I literally feel like I'm back

00:49:03.710 --> 00:49:07.030
in 1943. Not that I was alive then, but I'm a

00:49:07.030 --> 00:49:10.929
big student of history. It really is amazing.

00:49:12.010 --> 00:49:14.510
And a lot of times people say, you know, well,

00:49:14.610 --> 00:49:16.969
they're not coming after me right now. They're

00:49:16.969 --> 00:49:19.110
not targeting me. It's a slippery slope. It goes

00:49:19.110 --> 00:49:21.349
down all of these. It doesn't matter. You know,

00:49:21.389 --> 00:49:23.250
maybe they target the trans community or immigrant

00:49:23.250 --> 00:49:26.590
community at one point, you know, then it's.

00:49:26.909 --> 00:49:30.030
it's it's literally the door is open for anybody

00:49:30.030 --> 00:49:32.670
and you have people there's a number of youtube

00:49:32.670 --> 00:49:35.469
videos out there of people who voted for this

00:49:35.469 --> 00:49:37.949
current administration that say i never thought

00:49:37.949 --> 00:49:40.969
this would happen to me this is unfair i i didn't

00:49:40.969 --> 00:49:44.409
realize this and i think that a country should

00:49:44.409 --> 00:49:49.289
um basically you know the worth of a country

00:49:49.289 --> 00:49:52.110
the values of a country really come down to how

00:49:52.110 --> 00:49:54.869
it treats its most disenfranchised right it's

00:49:54.869 --> 00:49:57.349
poor it's sick it's children it's elderly it's

00:49:57.349 --> 00:50:00.849
immigrants and that says you know the core values

00:50:00.849 --> 00:50:03.949
of leadership and what that country stands for

00:50:03.949 --> 00:50:06.309
and i i feel like we're failing at this moment

00:50:06.309 --> 00:50:09.730
but um as i look at my nonprofit and network

00:50:09.730 --> 00:50:11.590
and all the young people that want to get involved

00:50:11.590 --> 00:50:16.349
in national security i see hope i see um smart

00:50:17.300 --> 00:50:20.579
passionate hope you know one of the chorus that

00:50:20.579 --> 00:50:22.119
i tell them all is that if you're going to be

00:50:22.119 --> 00:50:24.539
a part of the network you got to be a good human

00:50:24.539 --> 00:50:27.559
can't be a jerk can't be selfish can't be focused

00:50:27.559 --> 00:50:30.639
on yourself always focus on the mission and connecting

00:50:30.639 --> 00:50:33.219
with others and doing what you can and and that

00:50:33.219 --> 00:50:36.780
provides me hope well picking up on that hope

00:50:36.780 --> 00:50:40.500
as a child of immigrants and former feds and

00:50:40.500 --> 00:50:43.519
you know with kids of my own I hope that we can

00:50:43.519 --> 00:50:46.460
all hang on to that as we go through this really

00:50:46.460 --> 00:50:49.380
difficult period in our history. So thank you

00:50:49.380 --> 00:50:52.659
so much for joining us, Bill and Dex. Really

00:50:52.659 --> 00:50:54.579
appreciate you having here such an important

00:50:54.579 --> 00:50:58.539
conversation. Could you both just briefly tell

00:50:58.539 --> 00:51:02.320
our audience where they can find you? Go ahead,

00:51:02.360 --> 00:51:06.949
Bill. Sure. Thanks. So again, I'm the executive

00:51:06.949 --> 00:51:09.769
director at PERIL at American University, and

00:51:09.769 --> 00:51:14.070
our website is perilresearch, one word, perilresearch

00:51:14.070 --> 00:51:18.369
.com. Resources are available there. And also

00:51:18.369 --> 00:51:21.469
the editor at large for prevention at Homeland

00:51:21.469 --> 00:51:23.610
Security Today. So happy to talk to you about

00:51:23.610 --> 00:51:27.250
publishing articles to help continue the conversation

00:51:27.250 --> 00:51:30.289
on prevention, which is incredibly, incredibly

00:51:30.289 --> 00:51:34.190
important for us, given the 2 .6. incredible

00:51:34.190 --> 00:51:36.230
plots and attacks per day in the United States.

00:51:36.309 --> 00:51:38.230
We've got a lot of work to do. So we'd love to

00:51:38.230 --> 00:51:40.809
see you contribute articles and I'd love to publish

00:51:40.809 --> 00:51:44.940
them for you. Thanks. Yeah, I'm the founder of

00:51:44.940 --> 00:51:49.440
InNetwork. That's in -network .org. It's a nonprofit

00:51:49.440 --> 00:51:52.139
basically focused on getting more young people

00:51:52.139 --> 00:51:54.380
of all backgrounds into the national security

00:51:54.380 --> 00:51:58.920
world and just overall service. I'm also the

00:51:58.920 --> 00:52:02.739
author of Codename Citizen, a substack that really

00:52:02.739 --> 00:52:06.760
touches on these exact issues. I have articles

00:52:06.760 --> 00:52:08.719
coming out every Monday, do a bunch of lives.

00:52:09.420 --> 00:52:13.019
um and you know i'm available on linkedin because

00:52:13.019 --> 00:52:15.179
i'm happy to speak i just came back from ohio

00:52:15.179 --> 00:52:18.460
with over 300 police officers talking about these

00:52:18.460 --> 00:52:21.539
issues and it was good to see them start to understand

00:52:21.539 --> 00:52:25.570
it so thanks so much for having us peter Of course,

00:52:25.570 --> 00:52:28.309
of course. So if you like what you heard on today's

00:52:28.309 --> 00:52:30.349
show, please subscribe to the Steady State Sentinel

00:52:30.349 --> 00:52:32.590
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00:52:40.130 --> 00:52:42.809
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00:52:43.010 --> 00:52:45.510
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00:52:50.630 --> 00:52:53.489
isn't a spectator sport. This is Peter Mina for

00:52:53.489 --> 00:52:55.809
the Steady State Sentinel. Still standing watch.

00:52:59.349 --> 00:53:02.170
Thank you for listening to the Steady State Sentinel

00:53:02.170 --> 00:53:05.650
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