WEBVTT

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What if I told you that the reason you snapped

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at your coworker this morning and the reason

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you bought that needlessly expensive TV last

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weekend are actually driven by the exact same

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evolutionary machinery? Yeah, I mean, we really

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tend to think of our minds as these pristine,

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completely rational engines. You take in facts,

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you weigh the options, you make a logical choice.

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Right, exactly. But the reality is you are operating

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on this bizarre set of hidden rules, just these

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invisible forces pulling at your mental steering

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wheel every second of the day. It is a profound

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illusion that we're in total control of our decision

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making. If you look at the research, what we

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call rational thought is actually heavily filtered

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through systematic deviations. You see it across

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almost every aspect of human cognition. Which

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is exactly why we're doing this deep dive today.

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We're taking a massive, meticulously sourced

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compilation of cognitive biases drawn from this

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comprehensive Wikipedia database, and we're going

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to trace the chronological life cycle of a single

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thought. All right, instead of just reading you

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a list of academic terms, we're taking you from

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the second you gather information to how you

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make a choice to how you, well, inevitably justify

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it. And finally, how you remember it. OK, let's

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unpack this. Are these biases actually just brain

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bugs or are they features masquerading as bugs

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because it feels like our brains wouldn't evolve

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over millions of years just to be consistently

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wrong? That tension right there is actually at

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the center of modern cognitive psychology. You

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have prominent researchers. like Gurdjieger Renser

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from The Source Material, who actively argue

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against labeling these biases merely as errors.

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Oh, really? Yeah. Gurdjieger's view is that these

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are actually highly efficient mental shortcuts.

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Heuristics. The brain is essentially a cognitive

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miser. A cognitive miser, I like that. Right,

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because it takes a massive amount of biological

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energy to process every single variable in a

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room or in a complex decision. So to survive,

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the brain developed these workarounds to produce

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decisions rapidly. So it's less about finding

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the perfect truth and more about finding a like

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a good enough truth so you don't get eaten by

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a tiger while you're doing the math. Precisely.

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And researchers generally divide these workarounds

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into two categories. You have your cold biases,

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which are just noisy information processing shortcuts.

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Like literal glitches in how the brain handles

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data. Exactly. And then you have hot biases,

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which are motivational. Those are the ones driven

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by your ego, your emotions, or wishful thinking.

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OK, let's put this into practice and start at

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the very beginning of the thought lifecycle.

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So, estimation. You walk into a situation, and

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before you can act, you have to gather data.

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According to the 2020 classification by DiMara

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and colleagues, estimation is that very first

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task. Right. So tell me why, when I walk into

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an electronics store, they always put the $3

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,000 television right at the front of the aisle,

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even though they know almost nobody's going to

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buy it. Well, because they're exploiting a cold

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bias known as anchoring. When your brain enters

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a novel situation, it desperately needs a baseline

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to measure everything else against. Because without

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a baseline, evaluating the price of a TV just

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takes too much cognitive processing. Exactly.

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So your brain grabs the very first piece of numerical

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information it encounters, that $3 ,000 price

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tag. That becomes your anchor. So when I walk

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10 feet down the aisle and see an $800 TV, my

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brain isn't evaluating whether $800 is actually

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a fair price for those specific components. No,

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not at all. My brain is just screaming, wow,

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compared to $3 ,000, this is an absolute steal.

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Yes. The anchor fundamentally skews your perception

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of value. Your brain isn't doing the objective

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math. It's doing relative math based on an entirely

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arbitrary starting point. It's basically a rapid

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processing trick that marketers have completely

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weaponized against us. It really is. And that

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sets up the next phase. You've estimated the

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value, and now you have to make a decision. Okay,

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let's talk about the friction between what I

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plan to do and what I actually do. Because on

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Sunday night, I always plan to eat salads all

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week, hit the gym, and be highly productive.

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We all do. But by Tuesday at 2 p .m., I am eating

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a donut and scrolling through social media. Why

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is my brain actively sabotaging the logical plan

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it just made? You are experiencing hyperbolic

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discounting or present bias. From an evolutionary

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standpoint, abstract future planning is a very

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recent luxury. Because for most of human history,

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tomorrow wasn't guaranteed, right? Exactly. If

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you found a source of dense calories, like honey

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or fruit, you consumed it immediately. So the

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brain heavily discounts the value of a future

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reward in favor of an immediate, tangible payoff.

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That makes total sense, like a theoretical salad

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next week doesn't keep you alive today. The source

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material highlights a classic study on this that

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maps perfectly to your Sunday night salad plan.

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When researchers asked participants to choose

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their snacks for the coming week, 74 % of people

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chose fruit. Because they're operating in that

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abstract, logical, future -planning mode. Right.

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But when those same people were asked to choose

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a snack for the current day, 70 % of them chose

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chocolate. Wow. 70%. Yeah. The immediate visceral

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reward completely overrides the long -term logical

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planning center of the brain. Okay, so I've anchored

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on a bad price and I've chosen the immediate

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reward over the long -term benefit. Now I have

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to deal with the aftermath. Let's talk about

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how we value things after we've put effort into

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them. Ah, the Ikea effect. Yes. The research

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claims we overvalue things, we build ourselves.

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But I want to push back on this a little bit.

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If I spend three hours putting together a bookshelf

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and I feel proud of it, isn't that just a healthy

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sense of accomplishment? Why is that a cognitive

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bias? What's fascinating here is that it becomes

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a bias when that internal sense of pride warps

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your objective assessment of reality. It's a

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form of effort justification. OK, how so? Well,

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if you build a bookshelf and it is wobbly, structurally

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unsound and objectively terrible, but you still

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genuinely believe it's a high -quality piece

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of furniture simply because you tighten the screws

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yourself, your judgment has deviated from reality.

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So I am essentially hallucinating the quality

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of the chair to justify the three hours of my

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life I just lost building it. Exactly. It ties

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into a broader set of biases related to self

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-perspective and baseline comparisons. Your brain

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has a vested interest in proving to itself that

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its expenditure of energy was worthwhile. Because

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if I admit the chair is garbage, I have to admit

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I wasted valuable time and effort. Right. And

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to protect you from that psychological loss,

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your brain alters the baseline of how you evaluate

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the object. We are working incredibly hard to

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protect our own egos, and that transitions us

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into the next phase of our thought -life -cycle

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hypothesis assessment. We've made our decisions

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and now we have to make sense of the world around

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us. How do we test our reality? Very poorly.

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Mostly due to the illusion of explanatory depth.

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We walk around with the profound belief that

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we understand that the world works much better

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than we actually do. And the research notes this

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is specifically true for explanatory knowledge,

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right? Rather than just factual knowledge. Yeah,

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we confuse our familiarity with an object with

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an actual understanding of its mechanics. Here's

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where it gets really interesting. It's exactly

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like thinking you completely understand how a

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zipper works. Oh, that's a great example. Right,

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because you use one every single day. But if

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I handed you a pen and a piece of paper right

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now, told you to draw the physical mechanics

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of the interlocking teeth, you'd probably freeze.

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Your brain gave you the feeling of understanding

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without any of the actual data. That is a brilliant

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visualization, and think about the evolutionary

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utility of that illusion. If we walked around

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acutely aware of how little we understood about

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our environment, we would be paralyzed by anxiety

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and indecision. So the illusion of depth allows

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us to operate confidently in a highly complex

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world without having to process the mechanics

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of every zipper or engine or societal structure

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we interact with. Exactly. But that confidence

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becomes dangerous when we combine it with confirmation

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bias, doesn't it? We have this illusion that

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we understand things and then we actively seek

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out information that proves we are right, while

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aggressively ignoring anything that proves we

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are wrong. Confirmation bias is one of the most

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robust findings in psychology. But if we connect

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this to the bigger picture, we shouldn't just

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dismiss it as a useless processing error. The

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source text brings up a fascinating controversy

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in the scientific community regarding this. Wait,

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really? Some people don't think it's an error.

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Right. Some researchers argue that confirmation

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bias, specifically when interacting with other

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people, is actually a highly evolved social skill.

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Wait, how could ignoring facts to preserve your

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own worldview possibly be a valuable social skill?

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Think about it in terms of tribal cohesion. If

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you meet someone new and you ask them leading

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questions that confirm their own assumptions

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about themselves or the world, you are validating

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their identity. You are reducing friction. Oh,

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wow. I never thought about it like that. Yeah.

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In a prehistoric environment, social cohesion

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and establishing quick alliances were vastly

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more important for survival than objective truth.

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Confirming someone else's bias is an incredibly

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fast way to build a social bond. So, nodding

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along to an irrational belief might have literally

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kept our ancestors from being exiled from the

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group. That completely flips the script on how

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we view these glitches. It really does. But let's

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look at what happens when the cohesion breaks

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down. We've assessed our reality, and now something

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goes wrong. We enter the phase of causal attribution.

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We have to assign blame. And this is where we

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see a massive double standard in human cognition,

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primarily through the actor -observer bias and

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the fundamental attribution error. Meaning we

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evaluate our own actions using entirely different

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metrics than we use for other people. Exactly.

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Give me an example of how that plays out in daily

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life. Okay, imagine you were driving to work

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and you aggressively cut someone off in traffic.

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How do you justify it? I tell myself it's because

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I'm running late, the kids were screaming this

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morning, and I just had a momentary lapse in

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judgment because of the situation. Right. You

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blame the external environment. But if another

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driver cuss you off in the exact same way, you

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do not assume they are having a bad morning.

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No, definitely not. You immediately attribute

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their behavior to their innate personality. Yeah.

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You assume they're just inherently a selfish,

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reckless person. We give ourselves the grace

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of context, but we judge everyone else as a static,

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flawed character. Why does the brain do that?

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Is it just pure ego protection again? It is heavily

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ego protection, yes. Internalizing our own failures

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is psychologically damaging, but it is also a

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matter of cognitive load. Cognitive load? Yeah.

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It takes a tremendous amount of mental energy

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to empathize, to actively imagine the complex,

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stressful situational factors that might be influencing

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a stranger's behavior. It's far cheaper, glorically

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speaking, to just categorize them as a jerk and

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move on. Now, I imagine there are people listening

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right now thinking, well, this is great. Now

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that I know the fundamental attribution error

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exists, I'm just not going to do it anymore.

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I'm cured. Unfortunately, no. The source material

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actually has a specific classification for that

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exact belief. It is called the G .I. Joe Fallacy.

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The G .I. Joe Fallacy. Like, knowing is half

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the battle. Exactly. It's the tendency to think

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that merely knowing about a cognitive bias is

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enough to overcome it. We assume that awareness

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equals control. But these are foundational operating

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systems in the brain. You cannot simply turn

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them off just because you read a Wikipedia article

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about them. It's like knowing about optical illusions.

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Even when you know the two lines are exactly

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the same length, your eyes still force you to

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see one as longer. You can't out -think the hardware.

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Precisely. Which brings us to the most vulnerable

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part of the thought, life cycle memory. The event

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has happened. We've made our choices. We've assigned

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blame. Now we have to store the experience we

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transitioned into the recall phase. And the most

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important thing to understand here is that human

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memory is not a video camera recording objective

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facts. Not even close. It feels more like a game

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of telephone we play with ourselves over time.

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That is an incredibly accurate way to describe

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it. One of the primary mechanisms dictating how

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we store information is the peak -end rule. Okay,

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what is that? Well, we do not perceive the sum

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total of an experience. We do not average out

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every minute of an event. Instead, the brain

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heavily waits just two specific moments, the

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absolute emotional peak of the experience and

00:12:33.710 --> 00:12:36.590
how it ended. So if I go on a two -week vacation

00:12:36.590 --> 00:12:39.029
and the first 13 days are miserable, it's raining,

00:12:39.169 --> 00:12:41.549
I lose my luggage, the hotel is awful, but on

00:12:41.549 --> 00:12:43.950
the very last day the sun comes out, I have an

00:12:43.950 --> 00:12:46.889
incredible meal, and I watch a breathtaking sunset.

00:12:47.169 --> 00:12:49.429
Your brain is going to average the peak misery

00:12:49.429 --> 00:12:51.870
with that amazing ending, and you will likely

00:12:51.870 --> 00:12:54.850
remember the overall trip as pretty good. Just

00:12:54.850 --> 00:12:57.669
because of the last day? Yes. Because again,

00:12:57.850 --> 00:13:01.149
the brain is a cognitive miser. Storing a minute

00:13:01.149 --> 00:13:03.710
-by -minute emotional ledger of a 14 -day trip

00:13:03.710 --> 00:13:06.450
takes up too much space. Evolutionarily, all

00:13:06.450 --> 00:13:08.129
you really need to remember from an experience

00:13:08.129 --> 00:13:10.929
is the moment of highest threat or highest reward,

00:13:11.330 --> 00:13:14.009
the peak, and the final outcome, the end. Because

00:13:14.009 --> 00:13:16.929
if the outcome was positive, the brain tags the

00:13:16.929 --> 00:13:19.730
entire experience as a net positive to save processing

00:13:19.730 --> 00:13:22.590
power. So what does this all mean for us today?

00:13:22.809 --> 00:13:25.169
Because how is that memory storage changing now

00:13:25.169 --> 00:13:27.149
that we don't even have to rely on our own biological

00:13:27.149 --> 00:13:29.549
hard drives? The sources talk about the Google

00:13:29.549 --> 00:13:32.210
effect, the fact that we are rapidly forgetting

00:13:32.210 --> 00:13:33.710
information because we know we can just pull

00:13:33.710 --> 00:13:37.929
it up on a search engine. Are we actively outsourcing

00:13:37.929 --> 00:13:40.570
our brains? This raises an important question.

00:13:40.809 --> 00:13:43.629
We are outsourcing, but it's an extension of

00:13:43.629 --> 00:13:47.110
a deeply rooted biological process. To understand

00:13:47.110 --> 00:13:49.029
the Google effect, you have to look at what the

00:13:49.029 --> 00:13:52.740
research calls Q -dependent forgetting. Cue dependent

00:13:52.740 --> 00:13:55.259
forgetting. Yeah, our memory is heavily tied

00:13:55.259 --> 00:13:58.480
to context and external triggers If the context

00:13:58.480 --> 00:14:01.080
isn't there the memory is incredibly hard to

00:14:01.080 --> 00:14:04.580
retrieve Furthermore the verbatim effect dictates

00:14:04.580 --> 00:14:07.159
that our brains rarely store exact copies of

00:14:07.159 --> 00:14:09.879
data We remember the gist or the general meaning

00:14:09.879 --> 00:14:12.259
of a conversation Rather than the verbatim wording

00:14:12.259 --> 00:14:14.340
because storing the gist is cheaper than storing

00:14:14.340 --> 00:14:17.740
the exact transcript Exactly. So when you introduce

00:14:17.740 --> 00:14:20.600
a tool like a search engine the brain optimizes

00:14:21.280 --> 00:14:24.059
If the brain knows that the gist is all it needs

00:14:24.059 --> 00:14:27.539
to navigate a situation and the exact verbatim

00:14:27.539 --> 00:14:30.019
data is safely stored on a server that you can

00:14:30.019 --> 00:14:32.860
access in three seconds, it clears the cache.

00:14:33.059 --> 00:14:35.899
Wow. It stops wasting biological energy trying

00:14:35.899 --> 00:14:37.879
to remember facts that the environment is holding

00:14:37.879 --> 00:14:40.360
for you. But outsourcing the facts leaves us

00:14:40.360 --> 00:14:42.919
incredibly vulnerable, doesn't it? If we only

00:14:42.919 --> 00:14:45.779
remember the gist and we rely on external cues,

00:14:46.059 --> 00:14:49.539
how easily can those memories be altered? Alarmingly

00:14:49.539 --> 00:14:52.750
easily. This is the danger of the misinformation

00:14:52.750 --> 00:14:56.289
effect. Because our memories are reconstructions

00:14:56.289 --> 00:14:59.070
rather than recordings, they are highly susceptible

00:14:59.070 --> 00:15:01.149
to interference from post -event information.

00:15:01.309 --> 00:15:03.269
Like someone suggesting a detail that wasn't

00:15:03.269 --> 00:15:05.929
there. Right. If you witness a car accident and

00:15:05.929 --> 00:15:07.889
later someone asks you a leading question like,

00:15:08.210 --> 00:15:10.169
how fast was the car going when it smashed into

00:15:10.169 --> 00:15:12.730
the other car? Your brain might take the word

00:15:12.730 --> 00:15:15.370
smashed, weave it into the reconstruction, and

00:15:15.370 --> 00:15:17.389
actually alter your memory. To make the cars

00:15:17.389 --> 00:15:19.809
appear to be moving faster than they were. Yes.

00:15:20.029 --> 00:15:22.730
You will vividly remember a sequence of events

00:15:22.730 --> 00:15:25.269
that never actually happened simply because the

00:15:25.269 --> 00:15:28.129
cue changed. We're basically retroactively editing

00:15:28.129 --> 00:15:30.570
our own history without realizing it, and that

00:15:30.570 --> 00:15:32.809
brings us to the final task in our life cycle

00:15:32.809 --> 00:15:35.710
opinion reporting. We've taken this heavily edited,

00:15:36.149 --> 00:15:38.549
warped memory, and now we're going to communicate

00:15:38.549 --> 00:15:40.870
our beliefs to other people. And this is where

00:15:40.870 --> 00:15:44.289
we run straight into naive realism. Naive realism.

00:15:44.529 --> 00:15:47.750
Define that for me. It is the profound, unshakable

00:15:47.750 --> 00:15:51.679
belief. that we see the world objectively. We

00:15:51.679 --> 00:15:54.179
assume that our perceptions are direct reflections

00:15:54.179 --> 00:15:57.039
of reality. And the dangerous corollary to this

00:15:57.039 --> 00:15:59.860
is that if we believe we are entirely objective,

00:16:00.419 --> 00:16:03.159
then anyone who disagrees with us must be uninformed,

00:16:03.559 --> 00:16:06.399
irrational, or heavily biased. Exactly. It creates

00:16:06.399 --> 00:16:08.980
an impossible barrier for communication. Because

00:16:08.980 --> 00:16:11.480
if I think my warped memory is object to fact,

00:16:11.639 --> 00:16:13.259
I'm not going to listen to your perspective.

00:16:13.620 --> 00:16:15.740
Which leads right into the ultimate blinders,

00:16:15.799 --> 00:16:17.720
the bias blind spot. Oh, the bias blind spot

00:16:17.720 --> 00:16:20.450
is fascinating. It's incredibly easy for us to

00:16:20.450 --> 00:16:22.570
spot all these glitches in other people, right?

00:16:22.879 --> 00:16:25.820
I can clearly see when my coworker is anchoring

00:16:25.820 --> 00:16:28.440
on a bad number or falling for the fundamental

00:16:28.440 --> 00:16:31.639
attribution error. But you are physically incapable

00:16:31.639 --> 00:16:34.740
of seeing those exact same biases operating in

00:16:34.740 --> 00:16:36.980
your own mind. And when you do finally share

00:16:36.980 --> 00:16:39.740
your opinions, you are further constrained by

00:16:39.740 --> 00:16:42.679
social desirability bias. Yes, because your memory

00:16:42.679 --> 00:16:46.779
is just a flexible representation, you will unconsciously

00:16:46.779 --> 00:16:49.919
warp the details as you speak to fit your current

00:16:49.919 --> 00:16:52.100
social needs. You highlight actions that make

00:16:52.100 --> 00:16:54.250
you look good to the group and suppress the details

00:16:54.250 --> 00:16:56.730
that make you look bad. The reporting itself

00:16:56.730 --> 00:16:59.269
becomes another layer of distortion. When you

00:16:59.269 --> 00:17:02.159
lay it out sequentially. It's a miracle we managed

00:17:02.159 --> 00:17:04.640
to function as a society at all. It really is.

00:17:04.759 --> 00:17:06.740
So let's pull all the way back and look at the

00:17:06.740 --> 00:17:08.539
terrifying life cycle we've just mapped out.

00:17:08.960 --> 00:17:11.660
It starts with your brain grabbing onto an arbitrary

00:17:11.660 --> 00:17:14.380
anchor just to save energy. Right. You make a

00:17:14.380 --> 00:17:16.579
choice based on immediate gratification because

00:17:16.579 --> 00:17:18.759
your ancient biology doesn't care about tomorrow.

00:17:19.359 --> 00:17:21.599
You build a terrible chair and hallucinate that

00:17:21.599 --> 00:17:24.180
it's a masterpiece to protect your ego. Yep.

00:17:24.480 --> 00:17:27.069
Effort justification. You blindly assume you

00:17:27.069 --> 00:17:29.390
understand how zippers and complex systems work,

00:17:29.470 --> 00:17:32.049
and you aggressively ignore any data that threatens

00:17:32.049 --> 00:17:35.089
your worldview. When things go wrong, you blame

00:17:35.089 --> 00:17:37.329
the universe for your mistakes, but you blame

00:17:37.329 --> 00:17:40.069
your friends' personalities for theirs. The classic

00:17:40.069 --> 00:17:42.509
fundamental attribution error. You store all

00:17:42.509 --> 00:17:45.470
of this in a deeply flawed memory bank that only

00:17:45.470 --> 00:17:47.750
cares about the best meal you had and the flight

00:17:47.750 --> 00:17:51.569
home. And finally, you confidently explain your

00:17:51.569 --> 00:17:54.049
perspective to the world, utterly convinced that

00:17:54.049 --> 00:17:56.599
you are the only objective observer in the room.

00:17:57.019 --> 00:17:59.039
It's a lot to take in. So why should you, the

00:17:59.039 --> 00:18:01.480
listener, care about this massive catalog of

00:18:01.480 --> 00:18:04.220
glitches? Because while you cannot outsmart your

00:18:04.220 --> 00:18:07.079
own biology, the G .I. Joe fallacy guarantees

00:18:07.079 --> 00:18:09.059
that just knowing this stuff won't cure you.

00:18:09.460 --> 00:18:11.740
Understanding this framework gives you a diagnostic

00:18:11.740 --> 00:18:14.559
tool. Absolutely. When you feel yourself reacting

00:18:14.559 --> 00:18:17.519
defensively to a coworker or when you catch yourself

00:18:17.519 --> 00:18:19.839
judging a stranger's character instead of considering

00:18:19.839 --> 00:18:22.000
their situation, you can hit the pause button.

00:18:22.279 --> 00:18:24.599
You can recognize the mechanism in real time.

00:18:24.839 --> 00:18:27.339
you step out of the illusion of objectivity.

00:18:27.609 --> 00:18:30.589
even just for a fraction of a second, to acknowledge

00:18:30.589 --> 00:18:32.529
the evolutionary currents that are pushing your

00:18:32.529 --> 00:18:35.049
decisions. It fosters a tremendous amount of

00:18:35.049 --> 00:18:37.690
intellectual humility. I completely agree. And

00:18:37.690 --> 00:18:39.829
I want to leave you with one final provocative

00:18:39.829 --> 00:18:42.250
concept from the source material to mull over

00:18:42.250 --> 00:18:45.690
on your own. As we've discussed, the brain relies

00:18:45.690 --> 00:18:48.369
on these shortcuts because it is constantly trying

00:18:48.369 --> 00:18:51.769
to offload cognitive effort. Well, buried in

00:18:51.769 --> 00:18:54.029
the research is something called automation bias.

00:18:54.269 --> 00:18:57.759
Ah. Automation bias. It is the human tendency

00:18:57.759 --> 00:19:01.400
to depend excessively on automated systems. It

00:19:01.400 --> 00:19:04.180
is so powerful that humans will actually override

00:19:04.180 --> 00:19:06.700
their own correct decisions just because a machine

00:19:06.700 --> 00:19:09.240
told them otherwise. It is the ultimate manifestation

00:19:09.240 --> 00:19:12.039
of the cognitive miser. If a machine offers an

00:19:12.039 --> 00:19:15.160
answer the brain accepts it to save energy. even

00:19:15.160 --> 00:19:17.779
if the answer defies logic. And as we move into

00:19:17.779 --> 00:19:20.180
a world where artificial intelligence is increasingly

00:19:20.180 --> 00:19:22.720
doing our estimation, our hypothesis assessment,

00:19:22.779 --> 00:19:25.480
and our recall for us, what happens to our critical

00:19:25.480 --> 00:19:27.500
thinking? That is the million dollar question.

00:19:27.779 --> 00:19:30.839
If our brains are biologically hardwired to take

00:19:30.839 --> 00:19:33.599
the path of least resistance, will the AI tools

00:19:33.599 --> 00:19:36.559
we build simply amplify our existing biases?

00:19:37.420 --> 00:19:39.660
Or will they eventually become the objective

00:19:39.660 --> 00:19:42.259
baseline we've never been able to achieve? Something

00:19:42.259 --> 00:19:44.279
for you to keep in mind the next time you blindly

00:19:44.279 --> 00:19:47.059
trust a GPS system that tells you to turn your

00:19:47.059 --> 00:19:49.779
car directly into a lake. We may be running on

00:19:49.779 --> 00:19:51.960
ancient hardware, but we are the ones writing

00:19:51.960 --> 00:19:53.920
the code for what comes next. That's our deep

00:19:53.920 --> 00:19:56.140
dive for today. Keep questioning the code, and

00:19:56.140 --> 00:19:57.579
we will catch you on the next one.
