WEBVTT

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So if you follow World War I history, or honestly,

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even if you just kind of vaguely remember your

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high school history classes, you have probably

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heard this massive overarching casualty figure,

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like a thousand times. Right, the 40 million.

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Exactly, 40 million. It's the number that gets

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printed in the textbooks. It's cited in all the

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documentaries. But welcome back to another deep

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dive, because today we are going to actually

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look at the data. that makes up that colossal

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number. Yeah, we have this massive, incredibly

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detailed repository of historical casualty data

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in front of us today. We do. We're pulling from

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demographic studies, official government reports,

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and historical databases that have all been compiled

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into this rather staggering overview. And our

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mission for you today is to go way beyond that

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incomprehensible macro number. Because 40 million

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is just, it's too big to visualize. It really

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is. We want to pull out the casualties that usually

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get left out of the standard trench warfare narrative,

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things like neutral nations and colonial laborers.

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We really want to look at how the dawn of industrialized

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warfare fundamentally changed human history.

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It absolutely did. To set the stage, the sheer

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scale we are talking about in these sources is

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an estimated 15 to 22 million deaths and roughly

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23 million wounded. It's a scale that defies

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human imagination, really. And that difficulty

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in comprehending the numbers is exactly why digging

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into this data matters so much today. Because

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if we want to understand the modern world, you

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have to understand the specific conflict. Right.

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It shifted the entire paradigm of human loss.

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Before 1914, wars were generally fought by professional

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armies. They took place on relatively contained

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battlefields. Usually. But the staggering figures

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you just mentioned, they represent the exact

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moment in history when the machinery of the Industrial

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Revolution was fully applied to human destruction.

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It was the moment warfare stopped being a contained

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event and instead enveloped entire global societies.

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Which is reflected immediately in the data when

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you look at how people actually died. Yeah. I

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was really struck by this massive shift. because

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in 19th century conflicts, the vast majority

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of soldiers didn't actually die from bullets

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or cannons. No, they didn't. They died from disease.

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You would have an army march out, set up camp

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somewhere, and dysentery or cholera would do

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far more damage than the enemy ever could. But

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in World War I, about two -thirds of military

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deaths were actually in battle. What's fascinating

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here is that this two thirds figure is a direct

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mathematical reflection of industrialized warfare.

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We are talking about the mass production of machine

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guns, heavy artillery that could fire from miles

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away, poison gap. Just a completely different

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scale of violence. Exactly. And a style of trench

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warfare that turned battlefields into static

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meat grinders. The technology of killing had

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vastly outpaced the military tactics of survival.

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But while we look at that two thirds, I do have

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to caution you not to forget the remaining one

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third. Right, the disease factor didn't just

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vanish. No, it was still millions of human beings.

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Millions of soldiers died far away from the front

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lines. They died in prisoner of war camps from

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exposure and malnutrition. And crucially, they

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died from diseases like the 1918 Spanish flu

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pandemic. Which was just brutal. It swept through

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the trenches and the staging camps with just

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devastating speed. The breakdown by Alliance

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really drives the sheer volume of that lost home,

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too. The sources show that Triple Entente, the

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Allies, lost about six million military personnel.

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Staggering. Meanwhile, the Central Powers lost

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about four million. And when you look at individual

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nations, the numbers are just jaw -dropping.

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Germany alone saw over 2 million military dead.

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France saw over 1 .3 million. Over a million

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young men. Right. Just imagine the demographic

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hole that leaves for you as a society. Imagine

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wiping out the entire population of a major modern

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city exclusively comprised of young men in just

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four years. It alters the trajectory of a nation

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for generations. You have millions of empty chairs

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at dinner tables, missing workers in the economy,

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and entire communities in mourning. And that

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brings up the complex reality of how we even

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know these numbers to begin with. You mentioned

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earlier that the total deaths range from 15 to

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22 million. Yeah, that's a huge gap. It's a 7

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million person variance. That massive gap exists

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because the methodology used by each nation to

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record and classify their casualties was completely

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ununiform. OK, let's untag this. variance for

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a second, because how does a modern military

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operation just lose track of 7 million people?

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Why do the estimates range so wildly in the official

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records? Well, let's look at the Russian example

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from the sources, because it perfectly illustrates

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the chaos of the era. Russian casualties are

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incredibly hard to kin down. During their massive

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military retreats on the Eastern Front, a huge

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portion of field reports were simply lost. Just

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gone. Just gone. They were burned, destroyed

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by artillery, or just abandoned in the mud. You

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had commanders who couldn't accurately report

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their losses because their units were in total

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disarray or the commanders themselves were killed.

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Wow. So Soviet demographers decades later had

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to retroactively estimate the true totals. By

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looking at pre -war census data, post -war population

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data, and whatever surviving records they could

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find, they estimated that the actual Russian

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military dead could be up to 2 .2 million. That

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was vastly higher than the initial chaotic wartime

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counts. But wait, if the field reports were burned

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or lost in a massive retreat, aren't those demographers

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decades later basically just guessing? How can

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we trust a number calculated so long after the

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fact? That is exactly the friction that historians

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deal with. It is an educated estimation based

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on demographic modeling rather than a direct

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head count. This raises an important question

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about who gets counted and who falls through

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the cracks of history. When you don't have a

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body or a dog tag or a ledger entry, you become

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a statistical ghost. And those cracks were literally

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shifting beneath their feet because the borders

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of the world completely changed after the armistice.

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Yes they did. The sources highlight this incredible

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difference between counting casualties by the

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borders of 1914 versus the borders of 1924. Exactly.

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You have to remember that this war destroyed

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massive multi -ethnic empires. The Austro -Hungarian

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Empire, the Russian Empire and the Ottoman Empire

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were all dismantled. So if you count casualties

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by the borders of 1924, after those empires broke

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apart into new countries, you reveal the hidden

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tolls of these newly formed nations. Right, like

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the Czechoslovakia. The sources note that 185

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,000 Czechoslovaks died in the war. But Czechoslovakia

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did not even exist as an independent state in

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1914. Not at all. They were drafted into the

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Austro -Hungarian army or they defected and fought

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in Allied legions and they died for a nation

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that was still quite literally being born. It

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really makes you think about how retroactive

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counting shapes modern national identity. And

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what I really love about this source material

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is seeing how modern organizations are actively

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revising history right now, today, to fix these

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historical blind spots. Yes, the initial counts

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in the 1920s often prioritized the combat soldier

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specifically, the European man holding the rifle

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in the trench. But wars are fought with logistics.

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They are fought by laborers, porters, and massive

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transport networks. People carrying the ammunition.

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Precisely. For decades, the colonial laborers

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recruited from Africa, the Middle East, and Asia

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who provided that vital logistical support were

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largely left off the official roles of British

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war dead. This happened even though domestic

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British laborers working in similar capacities

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were counted. Which is just a glaring double

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standard. It was. But the Commonwealth War Graves

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Commission, or CINWGC, has been actively rectifying

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that in recent years. And that fundamentally

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changes how we view the global footprint of the

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war. Here's where it gets really interesting,

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because it reminds you that this was literally

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a world war. It is so easy to get stuck in that

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standard European trench warfare narrative, mud,

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barbed wire in the Western Front. But the sources

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point out these fascinating nuggets that completely

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defy that image. For instance, the UK employed

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around 300 ,000 laborers from all over the globe

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just to keep their war machine running. A prime

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example of this from the text is the Chinese

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Labor Corps. The British and French recruited

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heavily from China to manage their logistics.

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The CWGC reports that nearly 2 ,000 workers from

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the Chinese Labor Corps died during the war.

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That's a huge loss. And they are buried right

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alongside British war dead in France. And what

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is striking is that many of them didn't die from

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artillery shells. They succumbed to the 1918

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flu epidemic while performing incredibly difficult

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back -breaking tasks like clearing battlefields,

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moving supplies, and digging trenches in a foreign

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country. Imagine that physical reality for a

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second. You are recruited from China, shipped

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across the world to northern France, and your

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job is to clear unexploded ordnance out of the

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freezing mud. And then you don't even die from

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combat. You're taken out by a global flu pandemic.

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It's a tragic reality of the logistics of war.

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And it wasn't just labor from around the world.

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It was combat too. I was amazed by the numbers

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here. You have the 200 ,000 Nepalese Gurkha volunteers

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who served the British Empire. They fought on

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all fronts, France, Turkey, Palestine, Mesopotamia,

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suffering some 20 ,000 casualties. And we also

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have to look at the massive inclusion of colonial

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troops fighting directly for the European powers.

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You had regiments from French Algeria and Vietnam.

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You had troops from British India, which alone

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suffered roughly 74 ,000 dead. You have men from

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Senegal and Madagascar traveling thousands of

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miles to fight and die in the mud of Europe.

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It was an entirely globalized mobilization. So

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what does this all mean for the people left behind?

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You mentioned the mobilization of entire empires.

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But when you pull all those resources, the food,

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the trains, the labor toward the front lines,

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what happens to the civilians? That is where

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the numbers get truly dark. The sources show

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a staggering toll that I don't think gets enough

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attention. They estimate between 6 to 13 million

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civilian deaths. How do 13 million civilians

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die in a war that was supposedly contained to

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military fronts? They died largely because starvation

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was explicitly weaponized. This wasn't just a

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war of armies shooting at each other. It was

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economic warfare on a continental scale. The

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Allied blockade of Germany, for example, was

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designed to completely cut off food, fertilizer,

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and essential supplies to the civilian population.

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The goal was to crush morale and force a surrender

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by making daily life unlivable. According to

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the German Board of Public Health, they estimated

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that 763 ,000 German civilians died from malnutrition

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and disease specifically due to that blockade.

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Because it's not just a matter of soldiers fighting

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anymore. It's about systematically dismantling

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the enemy's ability to survive at a basic human

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level. Precisely. And the devastation of these

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economic strategies was even worse in colonial

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territories, where local populations had zero

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say in the conflict. In East Africa, the campaign

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between the British and the Germans was incredibly

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harsh. In what way? Well, the military logistics

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meant that both sides relied heavily on stripping

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local resources. They requisitioned crops and

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livestock, leading to severe food shortages for

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the people who actually lived there. Combined

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with epidemic diseases that always follow moving

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armies, this resource stripping killed an estimated

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750 ,000 African civilians. And you didn't even

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have to be a participant in the war to suffer

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these consequences. This is one of the most surprising

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facts from the sources to me, the fate of Qajar

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Persia, which is modern day Iran. Yes, the Persian

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famine. They were completely neutral. They wanted

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absolutely no part in this European conflict.

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Yet because of their strategic location and their

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oil, British and Russian troops occupied parts

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of the country anyway. They requisitioned local

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food supplies to feed their armies and blocked

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traditional distribution networks. This culminated

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in a devastating famine. Up to two million Iranians

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died. Two million people. That was roughly 19

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% of their entire population. Nearly one in five

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people wiped out in a war they were officially

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neutral in. It perfectly illustrates how industrialized

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warfare respects no borders and recognizes no

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neutrality. The logistical calories required

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to feed an occupying army will strip a local

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population bare, regardless of their political

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stance. And Persia wasn't the only neutral nation

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to bleed for a war they didn't start. You have

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Norway, which was known at the time as the neutral

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ally. They lost over 1100 people. Right. And

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those were mostly merchant sailors, just guys

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trying to do their jobs, moving cargo and trading

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in what had suddenly become war zones and getting

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their ships torpedoed by submarines. It really

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shifts your perspective on the reach of the violence.

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It reaches everywhere. We talk a lot about the

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major empires losing millions of men, but I was

00:12:43.929 --> 00:12:45.649
looking at the breakdown of proportional losses

00:12:45.649 --> 00:12:48.409
in the text, and there was one nation that absolutely

00:12:48.409 --> 00:12:51.169
stopped me in my tracks. What happened in Serbia?

00:12:51.389 --> 00:12:53.889
Serbia is the most glaring example in our sources

00:12:53.889 --> 00:12:56.690
of how smaller nations suffered losses that were

00:12:56.690 --> 00:12:58.970
essentially existential threats to their future.

00:12:59.549 --> 00:13:02.289
When an empire loses a million men, it is a tragedy.

00:13:02.490 --> 00:13:05.169
When a small nation loses that same number, it

00:13:05.169 --> 00:13:08.610
is a demographic collapse. Serbia lost an estimated

00:13:08.610 --> 00:13:13.210
16 .7 % to 27 .8 % of their entire pre -war population.

00:13:13.610 --> 00:13:17.570
That is between 750 ,000 and 1 .25 million people.

00:13:17.690 --> 00:13:20.029
Out of a population of just 4 .5 million, it

00:13:20.029 --> 00:13:22.659
is just devastating. It is a level of societal

00:13:22.659 --> 00:13:25.259
destruction that changes the cultural DNA of

00:13:25.259 --> 00:13:28.360
a region. And we see similar catastrophic demographic

00:13:28.360 --> 00:13:30.799
events in the Ottoman Empire, which the sources

00:13:30.799 --> 00:13:34.399
note saw between 2 .8 and 3 .2 million total

00:13:34.399 --> 00:13:38.039
deaths. That was up to 15 .4 % of its entire

00:13:38.039 --> 00:13:40.480
population. And a significant portion of that

00:13:40.480 --> 00:13:43.039
Ottoman civilian toll involves one of the darkest

00:13:43.039 --> 00:13:45.980
chapters of the war, where the chaos of a global

00:13:45.980 --> 00:13:49.149
conflict was used as a smokescreen. Yes. Based

00:13:49.149 --> 00:13:51.309
strictly on the historical sources we are reviewing

00:13:51.309 --> 00:13:54.009
today, those Ottoman civilian casualties include

00:13:54.009 --> 00:13:56.909
the Armenian Genocide. The text notes that the

00:13:56.909 --> 00:13:58.950
overwhelming majority of historians, as well

00:13:58.950 --> 00:14:01.129
as academic institutions focused on Holocaust

00:14:01.129 --> 00:14:03.789
and genocide studies, recognize the deaths of

00:14:03.789 --> 00:14:06.629
1 .5 million Armenians alongside Assyrians and

00:14:06.629 --> 00:14:09.389
Greeks as part of a targeted policy of extermination

00:14:09.389 --> 00:14:12.289
by the Ottoman Empire. The source material also

00:14:12.289 --> 00:14:14.649
explicitly notes the geopolitical reality that

00:14:14.649 --> 00:14:16.730
successive regimes in Turkey have denied the

00:14:16.730 --> 00:14:19.629
Armenian genocide from 1915 all the way up to

00:14:19.629 --> 00:14:22.649
the present day. It is a stark reminder of how

00:14:22.649 --> 00:14:25.289
the fog of war can mask violence against civilians.

00:14:26.070 --> 00:14:28.789
And sometimes that violence against non -combatants

00:14:28.789 --> 00:14:31.889
was shockingly sudden. To ground these massive

00:14:31.889 --> 00:14:34.190
sweeping numbers, the sources highlight some

00:14:34.190 --> 00:14:36.809
highly specific memorable incidents that just

00:14:36.809 --> 00:14:38.909
show how nowhere in the world was truly safe.

00:14:39.070 --> 00:14:41.269
from the ripple effects of this war. The global

00:14:41.269 --> 00:14:43.629
reach was unprecedented. Right. For instance,

00:14:43.990 --> 00:14:45.970
think about being a civilian in North America,

00:14:46.330 --> 00:14:49.750
an ocean away from the trenches. In 1917, a French

00:14:49.750 --> 00:14:52.669
cargo ship laden with high explosives collided

00:14:52.669 --> 00:14:54.950
with a Norwegian vessel in the harbor of Halifax,

00:14:55.169 --> 00:14:57.850
Canada. The resulting explosion leveled the area

00:14:57.850 --> 00:15:00.450
and killed 2 ,000 civilians in an instant. Then

00:15:00.450 --> 00:15:02.730
you have the sinking of the ocean liner Lusitania,

00:15:03.070 --> 00:15:05.649
killing 128 Americans, which happened before

00:15:05.649 --> 00:15:08.210
the U .S. even officially entered the war. And

00:15:08.210 --> 00:15:09.850
here's one that really stuck with me because

00:15:09.850 --> 00:15:13.360
of how incredibly random it feels. 13 Portuguese

00:15:13.360 --> 00:15:15.419
civilians were killed when a German submarine

00:15:15.419 --> 00:15:18.379
just suddenly surfaced and bombarded Madera Island.

00:15:18.960 --> 00:15:21.220
You were on an island in the Atlantic going about

00:15:21.220 --> 00:15:23.379
your daily life and suddenly the war arrives

00:15:23.379 --> 00:15:25.419
on your doorstep. If we connect this to the bigger

00:15:25.419 --> 00:15:27.700
picture, all of these incidents from the massive

00:15:27.700 --> 00:15:30.559
famine in Persia, to a submarine bombarding a

00:15:30.559 --> 00:15:33.259
Portuguese island, to the accidental destruction

00:15:33.259 --> 00:15:36.879
of a Canadian city, they show exactly why you,

00:15:37.179 --> 00:15:39.159
the listener, should care about the minutiae

00:15:39.159 --> 00:15:41.500
of these sources. Exactly. These casualty numbers

00:15:41.500 --> 00:15:43.940
don't just represent a historical event that

00:15:43.940 --> 00:15:46.840
happened over a century ago. They represent the

00:15:46.840 --> 00:15:50.129
terrifying dawn of the modern era. This was a

00:15:50.129 --> 00:15:53.009
time when entire populations, not just professional

00:15:53.009 --> 00:15:56.389
armies, were mobilized, weaponized, and ultimately

00:15:56.389 --> 00:15:59.450
targeted. The traditional line between combatant

00:15:59.450 --> 00:16:02.490
and non -combatant was permanently erased. That

00:16:02.490 --> 00:16:05.889
is the real aha. moment for me in reading through

00:16:05.889 --> 00:16:08.129
all this data. We tend to think of globalization

00:16:08.129 --> 00:16:10.330
as a relatively recent phenomenon, something

00:16:10.330 --> 00:16:12.830
from the late 20th century, but this shows how

00:16:12.830 --> 00:16:15.509
deeply interconnected the world already was in

00:16:15.509 --> 00:16:18.070
1914. It was incredibly intertwined. You have

00:16:18.070 --> 00:16:20.029
an assassination that triggers a regional war

00:16:20.029 --> 00:16:23.570
in the Balkans and somehow through this web of

00:16:23.570 --> 00:16:26.970
alliances and global empires that leads to Japan

00:16:26.970 --> 00:16:30.289
mobilizing a force of 800 ,000 men. It leads

00:16:30.289 --> 00:16:33.009
to 800 Finnish volunteers fighting in the Russian

00:16:33.009 --> 00:16:35.470
army despite officially having an exemption.

00:16:36.490 --> 00:16:39.029
It leads to laborers from Madagascar traveling

00:16:39.029 --> 00:16:41.529
thousands of miles to die in a European winter.

00:16:41.710 --> 00:16:44.009
And it forces us to think critically about how

00:16:44.009 --> 00:16:46.470
we record history itself. We tend to think of

00:16:46.470 --> 00:16:49.110
history as a book that has been published, something

00:16:49.110 --> 00:16:52.250
firmly settled in the past. But this source material

00:16:52.250 --> 00:16:54.429
shows that the ledger of the dead is still actively

00:16:54.429 --> 00:16:56.350
being written. It really is an ongoing process.

00:16:56.470 --> 00:16:58.649
Think about the physical reality of what historians

00:16:58.649 --> 00:17:00.889
are doing right now. The fact that researchers

00:17:00.889 --> 00:17:03.789
in 2025 are still updating databases like the

00:17:03.789 --> 00:17:06.809
Italian Istore Eco Project, which is meticulously

00:17:06.809 --> 00:17:09.170
trying to find the exact burial places of over

00:17:09.170 --> 00:17:11.269
half a million soldiers or organizations. like

00:17:11.269 --> 00:17:14.710
the CWGC finally etching the names of African

00:17:14.710 --> 00:17:17.410
laborers into official memorials proves that

00:17:17.410 --> 00:17:20.150
history is never truly finished. The past is

00:17:20.150 --> 00:17:22.470
constantly being reevaluated based on who we

00:17:22.470 --> 00:17:25.069
decide matters enough to count today. It really

00:17:25.069 --> 00:17:28.130
is a heavy realization, but an incredibly important

00:17:28.130 --> 00:17:31.039
one. We've gone through a lot of dense dark material

00:17:31.039 --> 00:17:33.740
today, and we really want to thank you for taking

00:17:33.740 --> 00:17:36.059
the time to explore these sources with us. It's

00:17:36.059 --> 00:17:38.220
not easy to look directly at human destruction

00:17:38.220 --> 00:17:40.599
on this scale. No, it's not. But I hope that

00:17:40.599 --> 00:17:43.000
by unpacking the methodology and the hidden stories,

00:17:43.460 --> 00:17:45.160
we've helped show that the 40 million number

00:17:45.160 --> 00:17:47.319
isn't just a sterile statistic to memorize for

00:17:47.319 --> 00:17:51.099
a test. It is made up of individual lives, soldiers,

00:17:51.420 --> 00:17:54.440
laborers, and civilians from literally every

00:17:54.440 --> 00:17:57.049
single corner of the globe. Absolutely. And I

00:17:57.049 --> 00:17:58.750
want to leave you with a final thought to mull

00:17:58.750 --> 00:18:00.869
over, building on the naval casualties we touched

00:18:00.869 --> 00:18:05.410
on earlier. The text mentions 14 ,661 merchant

00:18:05.410 --> 00:18:08.650
navy dead for the British Empire alone, alongside

00:18:08.650 --> 00:18:11.230
hundreds of Danish and Norwegian fishermen killed

00:18:11.230 --> 00:18:13.950
by U -boats. Just staggering numbers for non

00:18:13.950 --> 00:18:16.410
-combatants. I want you to think about the invisible,

00:18:16.750 --> 00:18:19.109
un -uniform supply chains that keep our nations

00:18:19.109 --> 00:18:22.109
alive today. How does your food reach your local

00:18:22.109 --> 00:18:25.049
grocery store? How does fuel reach your city?

00:18:25.579 --> 00:18:28.339
In global conflicts, it is so often the people

00:18:28.339 --> 00:18:31.180
simply trying to transport food and goods, the

00:18:31.180 --> 00:18:33.619
merchant mariners, the civilian laborers, the

00:18:33.619 --> 00:18:36.319
deckhands who become the silent, uncounted casualties

00:18:36.319 --> 00:18:39.220
of economic warfare. When the world goes to war,

00:18:39.299 --> 00:18:41.839
the very first targets are the fragile lifelines

00:18:41.839 --> 00:18:44.079
that sustain us. Something to seriously think

00:18:44.079 --> 00:18:45.900
about the next time you see a cargo ship out

00:18:45.900 --> 00:18:48.319
on the horizon. Thank you again for joining us

00:18:48.319 --> 00:18:50.660
for this deep dive. Remember to always keep questioning

00:18:50.660 --> 00:18:52.880
what you read, look for the hidden mechanics

00:18:52.880 --> 00:18:55.160
behind the massive statistics, and above all,

00:18:55.279 --> 00:18:57.319
Stay curious. I'll catch you next time.
