WEBVTT

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Welcome to the deep dive. We are really thrilled

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to have you with us today. Yeah, thanks for joining

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us. We've got a fascinating one today. We really

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do, because today we are looking at a piece of

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history that reads exactly like a Hollywood espionage

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thriller. But every single detail actually happened.

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Exactly. Today's mission is exploring a single

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Wikipedia article concerning one of those, well,

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consequential documents of the 20th century.

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The Zimmerman Telegram, a massively important

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piece of paper. Truly. We are going to uncover

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how a single intercepted 160 word coded message

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in 1917 just completely altered the course of

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global history and, you know, pulled the United

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States directly into World War One. Right. And

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for you listening, the source material we're

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working from today is absolutely packed with

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real world spycraft, cryptographic triumphs and

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some truly staggering. diplomatic blunders. To

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put it mildly. OK, let's unpack this. Set the

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scene for us. What exactly is the context surrounding

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this infamous telegram? And why was the world

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on such a knife edge in early 1917? Well, to

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understand the sheer gravity of this telegram,

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you really have to put yourself in January 1917.

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We are deep into the grinding, brutal stalemate

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of World War One. The trench warfare era. Right.

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The trenches in Europe have barely moved. Millions

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have died. And the German empire is feeling the

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squeeze of this massive British naval blockade.

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So they're getting desperate. Very desperate.

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So the German high demand prepares to make a

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massive, deeply risky strategic move. They plan

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to resume unrestricted submarine warfare on February

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1st. Which essentially means taking the gloves

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completely off in the Atlantic Ocean, right?

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Precisely. Unrestricted submarine warfare means

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German U -boats will sink any ship they encounter

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in the Atlantic War Zone. Any ship at all? Any

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ship. including neutral passenger and merchant

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vessels. I mean, if it has a propeller and it's

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heading toward Britain, they're going to torpedo

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it. Even if it's flying the American flag. Even

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then, the German leadership believes this ruthless

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total war tactic is the only way to starve Britain

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of supplies. To force them to the negotiating

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table. Yeah, within a few months, hopefully.

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But there is a massive catch to this plan. They

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know the US is going to hate it. Right. They

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know that blowing up American civilian and merchant

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ships will almost certainly force the neutral

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United States. Which has this massive industrial

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base. Exactly. To declare war on Germany. So

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they are deliberately preparing to poke the bear.

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Yes. But they needed a contingency plan for when

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the U .S. inevitably got angry and mobilized.

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So how does Arthur Zimmerman fit into this desperate

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situation? This is where Arthur Zimmerman, the

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state secretary in the German Foreign Office,

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makes an incredibly audacious move. OK. On January

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17th, he dispatches a highly secret, heavily

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coded telegram to Heinrich von Eckert, who was

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the German ambassador stationed in Mexico at

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the time. Right. And the pitch he makes to the

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Mexican government in this message is just breathtaking

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in its scope. It really is. Zimmerman proposes

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that if the United States appears certain to

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abandon its neutrality and enter the war, Ambassador

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Eckert should approach the Mexican government

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with a proposal for a formal military alliance.

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And he isn't just asking for moral support either.

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Not at all. Zimmerman is offering generous financial

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support for Mexico to actively make war against

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the United States. And the prize for Mexico is

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huge. Yeah. Germany says that after the war is

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won, Mexico will get to reconquer its lost territories.

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He specifically lists Texas, New Mexico and Arizona.

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It's wild. And the telegram even goes a step

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further. It instructs the Mexican president to

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invite Japan to instantly join this alliance,

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asking Mexico to mediate between Germany and

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Japan to bring them into the fold against America.

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If we connect this to the bigger picture, Germany's

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motivations here are quite calculated, even if

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the execution was deeply flawed. How so? Well,

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Germany had long sought to incite a conflict

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between Mexico and the United States. Right.

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Why? Because a hot war on the North American

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continent would tie down the American military.

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That makes sense. If the U .S. Army is fighting

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a massive border war in the Southwest, they physically

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cannot export arms, munitions, and eventually

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troops across the Atlantic to help the European

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allies. It's a massive distraction technique.

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Just keep America busy in its own backyard. Exactly.

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And the Zimmerman Telegram wasn't an isolated,

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out of the blue idea. The source material highlights

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several previous German provocations aimed at

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keeping the U .S. distracted. Right. There were

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prior attempts. Yes. For example, there was the

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1914 Ipiranga incident where German ships aided

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in arming Mexican factions. I remember reading

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about that. Then, in 1915, a German naval intelligence

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officer named Franz von Rintelen actually handed

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Victoriano Huerta $12 million to try and incite

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a border war. $12 million back then was a fortune.

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A massive sum. And beyond Mexico, there were

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even German saboteurs actively operating inside

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North America. Oh, like the explosions. Right.

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An agent named Lothar Vitske, who was based in

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Mexico City, later claimed responsibility for

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the massive March 1917 munitions explosion at

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the Mare Island Naval Shipyard in California.

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He was also heavily suspected in the infamous

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Black Tom explosion in New Jersey in 1916. Which

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destroyed millions of pounds of American ammunition

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destined for Europe. Right. So Germany was actively,

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aggressively trying to light a fire in America's

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backyard. And from the German perspective, tensions

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were already incredibly high on the U .S.-Mexico

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border. Very high. General John J. Pershing had

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just spent the better part of 1916 leading U

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.S. troops into Mexico to try and capture Pancho

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Villa. And completely failed. Exactly. So the

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Germans are watching this and thinking, well,

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Mexico might actually go for this. It wasn't

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a totally crazy thought to them. But the logistics

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of how this telegram actually gets from Berlin

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to the German embassy in Mexico is just a massive

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irony. How did they physically send it? The transmission

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method is perhaps the most glaring strategic

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error in this entire saga. It's unbelievable.

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At the very outbreak of the war in 1914, Britain

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did something incredibly smart. They dredged

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up and physically cut Germany's international

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telegraph cables. A direct secure transmission

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from Berlin to the rest of the world was virtually

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impossible. Right. Germany had to get creative.

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One route was sending the message as a radio

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transmission through a plant in West Saveville,

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New York, which was ironically being monitored

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and operated by the U .S. Navy at the time. Exactly.

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Another route involved hiding the message inside

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a Swedish diplomatic pouch that went from Stockholm

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to Buenos Aires and then up to Mexico. But those

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routes were unreliable. The most incredible route,

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the main one they used, relied on the United

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States itself. Yes. Because their own cables

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were severed, the German Foreign Office appealed

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to the United States State Department. They literally

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asked if they could use the American diplomatic

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telegraphic system to send messages to their

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embassy in Washington. And President Woodrow

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Wilson actually agreed to this. He did. He believed

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that cooperating with Germany and keeping the

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lines of communication open would sustain good

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relations. And help facilitate his ultimate goal,

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which was brokering a negotiated end to the war.

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Right. So the workflow is absurd. The Germans

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would hand their messages to the American embassy

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in Berlin. OK. Those would be relayed to Copenhagen

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and Denmark, forwarded to London, and then sent

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across the transatlantic cable to the US by American

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telegraph operators. And Germany assumed this

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American diplomatic route was completely secure.

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They felt very safe using it. But my understanding

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is that the US had placed a very strict condition

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on this courtesy. All messages sent through the

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American system had to be in clear text. Yes.

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For anyone unfamiliar, clear text just means

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plain unencrypted language. The Americans demanded

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to know exactly what the Germans were sending

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so they wouldn't be accused of aiding the German

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war effort. Exactly. If Zimmerman had sent his

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plan to carve up Texas in clear text, the American

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telegraph operators would have read it immediately

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and massive alarm bills would have gone off.

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That was the rule. But Wilson, in his desperate

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attempt to be accommodating and foster peace

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talks, had recently relaxed those rules. He allowed

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the Germans to send coded messages, assuming

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they were sensitive peace proposals. So they

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took full advantage of that big time. The Germans

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actually persuaded the U .S. ambassador in Berlin,

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James W. Girard, to accept Zimmerman's explosive

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note in its fully coded form. So on January 16th,

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1917, the United States State Department essentially

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transmitted the very weapon meant to be used

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to dismantle their own country. The Americans

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literally paid for the telegraph transmission

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of their own planned invasion. Yes, they did.

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But this relies on the assumption that no one

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is listening in on the American diplomatic lines.

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And that brings us to the British. Every single

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piece of diplomatic traffic passing through the

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transatlantic cables which landed in Britain

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was being quietly monitored by British intelligence.

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Right. Specifically, a highly secretive department

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at the Admiralty known as Room 40. Rune 40 was

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essentially the World War I equivalent of Bletchley

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Park. Exactly. It was filled with brilliant codebreakers,

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linguists, and analysts whose sole job was to

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intercept and decrypt enemy communications. And

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they caught it. They intercepted the Zimmerman

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transmission as it bounced through London. Inside

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Room 40, an analyst named Nigel DeGray recognized

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the code being used. And he had partially decoded

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the telegram by the very next day. Here's where

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it gets really interesting. How did they get

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the specific insight to crack this top -tier

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German diplomatic code? It wasn't just raw mathematics.

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Not at all. It involved a massive stroke of luck

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in a completely different theater of the war.

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It's a phenomenal story of global espionage.

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Room 40 was dealing with the German diplomatic

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code 13040. Okay, 13040. Right. To understand

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this, you have to know how codebooks work. They

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are essentially massive translation dictionaries.

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A specific string of numbers corresponds to a

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specific word or phrase. Precisely. Without the

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physical book, the numbers are just gibberish.

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You might decipher a few common words through

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frequency analysis, but a complex diplomatic

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message is nearly impossible to read. quickly

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without the key. And the British had been slowly

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reconstructing code 13040 for years, but they

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had massive gaps. Yes. And the missing pieces

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to that puzzle were found in the Middle East.

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Specifically through a German agent named Wilhelm

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Wasmus, he was involved in the Niedermeier Hentig

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expedition. Which was a failed German mission

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in Afghanistan to try and incite local populations

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against British India. Right. The mission fell

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apart and Wasmus had to flee for his life. In

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his desperate escape, he abandoned his luggage.

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Just left it behind. British and allied forces

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recovered his baggage and inside they found his

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heavily guarded 13040 codebook. Wow. Finding

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Wasmus's abandoned codebook provided the crucial

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missing keys that allowed the British codebreakers

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in London to finally piece together the terrifying

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full text of the Zimmerman telegram. So William

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Reginald Hall. The chief of Room 40 now holds

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the fully decrypted telegram in his hands. Yes,

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he does. He is staring at a document that proves

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Germany is trying to ally with Mexico and Japan

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to carve up the United States. A completely staggering

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piece of intelligence. He knows this piece of

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paper could completely sway American public opinion

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and their neutrality and bring millions of American

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troops into the war to save Britain. But he can't

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just hand it to Washington. Right. What's fascinating

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here is the absolute strategic dilemma this created

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for Admiral Hall. It was a monumental intelligence

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tightrope. If he just walks up to the American

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ambassador and says, look what the Germans are

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planning, the Americans are going to immediately

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ask, how did you get this? Because to explain

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how they got it, Paul would have to admit to

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two disastrous things. Exactly. First, the Germans

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would instantly read the news, realize their

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top -secret 13040 code was completely compromised,

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and change all their communication methods overnight,

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blinding British intelligence. Right. And second,

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the United States would realize that their supposed

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ally, Britain, was actively tapping and eavesdropping

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on private American diplomatic cables. Paul could

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have won the battle but lost the entire intelligence

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war. So he actually waited. For three agonizing

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weeks while British ships were being sunk by

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U -boats, Hall sat on the telegram. That must

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have been excruciating. During this time, Nigel

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de Grey and another brilliant cryptographer,

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William Montgomery, completely finished decrypting

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and refining the translation. And then? Finally,

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Hall passed it to the British Foreign Office

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on February 5th, but strictly warned them not

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to release it yet. They needed to engineer a

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watertight cover story. They had to explain to

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the Americans how they got the coded text and

00:12:59.879 --> 00:13:02.580
how they got the plain English translation. Without

00:13:02.580 --> 00:13:05.840
ever exposing Room 40's existence or the fact

00:13:05.840 --> 00:13:08.399
that they were spying on U .S. cables. And the

00:13:08.399 --> 00:13:10.539
cover story they came up with is a master class

00:13:10.539 --> 00:13:14.330
in espionage. It really is. The British reasoned

00:13:14.330 --> 00:13:16.529
that because the message was relayed from Washington

00:13:16.529 --> 00:13:19.370
down to the German embassy in Mexico City, the

00:13:19.370 --> 00:13:22.269
commercial telegraph office in Mexico City would

00:13:22.269 --> 00:13:25.129
legally have a copy of the coded text on file.

00:13:25.549 --> 00:13:27.169
Right, a physical record of the transaction.

00:13:27.330 --> 00:13:30.210
So they deploy a British agent in Mexico. He's

00:13:30.210 --> 00:13:33.659
known in the files only as Mr. H. Though Sir

00:13:33.659 --> 00:13:35.980
Thomas Haller, the British ambassador in Mexico,

00:13:36.399 --> 00:13:38.580
later claimed in his autobiography that he was

00:13:38.580 --> 00:13:40.960
the operative, Mr. H walks into the commercial

00:13:40.960 --> 00:13:43.720
telegraph company in Mexico City, slips an employee

00:13:43.720 --> 00:13:46.200
a hefty bribe, and walks out with a physical

00:13:46.200 --> 00:13:49.259
copy of the coded telegram. That specific action

00:13:49.259 --> 00:13:51.659
was the masterstroke that saved the entire operation.

00:13:51.879 --> 00:13:54.600
It provided a brilliant half -truth. A half -truth?

00:13:54.919 --> 00:13:57.730
Yes. When the British finally presented the evidence

00:13:57.730 --> 00:14:00.090
to the Americans, they could truthfully look

00:14:00.090 --> 00:14:02.870
them in the eye and say we bought a copy of this

00:14:02.870 --> 00:14:05.470
telegram in Mexico. This perfectly obscured the

00:14:05.470 --> 00:14:07.490
fact that they had originally intercepted it

00:14:07.490 --> 00:14:11.039
by tapping American lines in London. Furthermore,

00:14:11.259 --> 00:14:14.000
when the German embassy in Washington retransmitted

00:14:14.000 --> 00:14:16.620
the message down to Mexico City, they didn't

00:14:16.620 --> 00:14:20.039
use the newest codes. They encoded it using the

00:14:20.039 --> 00:14:23.360
older 1 -3 -Z -40 code because the embassy in

00:14:23.360 --> 00:14:25.679
Mexico didn't have the newest code books yet.

00:14:25.860 --> 00:14:27.899
Which is the exact code book the British had

00:14:27.899 --> 00:14:30.019
just perfected thanks to the luggage left in

00:14:30.019 --> 00:14:32.639
Afghanistan. Exactly. So the British hand, the

00:14:32.639 --> 00:14:35.860
Americans, the coded text from Mexico, the English

00:14:35.860 --> 00:14:38.259
translation, and the third 3 -D -40 code book.

00:14:38.509 --> 00:14:40.870
They tell the Americans, don't take our word

00:14:40.870 --> 00:14:43.470
for it, verify it yourself. And the Americans

00:14:43.470 --> 00:14:45.389
do. They go to their own commercial telegraph

00:14:45.389 --> 00:14:48.129
records, pull the exact same coded message they

00:14:48.129 --> 00:14:50.389
had transmitted for the Germans weeks prior,

00:14:51.149 --> 00:14:53.029
apply the British code book, and read the threat

00:14:53.029 --> 00:14:55.350
with their own eyes. It was undeniable proof.

00:14:55.649 --> 00:14:57.990
And meanwhile, how did Germany react when they

00:14:57.990 --> 00:15:00.539
found out Britain had the message? Because Britain

00:15:00.539 --> 00:15:03.639
publicly claimed they stole a physical hard copy

00:15:03.639 --> 00:15:06.960
in Mexico, the German Foreign Office completely

00:15:06.960 --> 00:15:09.379
refused to believe their cryptographic codes

00:15:09.379 --> 00:15:11.759
were compromised. They trusted their math too

00:15:11.759 --> 00:15:14.580
much. Way too much. Instead, they idiotically

00:15:14.580 --> 00:15:17.379
launched a massive paranoid witch hunt inside

00:15:17.379 --> 00:15:20.580
their own embassy in Mexico City. Accusing their

00:15:20.580 --> 00:15:23.570
own loyal staff of treason. and leaking the document.

00:15:23.970 --> 00:15:26.029
Yes, they never changed their codes, allowing

00:15:26.029 --> 00:15:28.330
Room 40 to keep reading their mail for the rest

00:15:28.330 --> 00:15:30.929
of the war. It's an astonishing self -own by

00:15:30.929 --> 00:15:33.250
the German high command. Yeah. But while the

00:15:33.250 --> 00:15:35.210
Germans are chasing ghosts in their embassy,

00:15:35.750 --> 00:15:37.629
we have to look at what was actually happening

00:15:37.629 --> 00:15:39.669
with the Mexican government. That's a crucial

00:15:39.669 --> 00:15:42.389
part of the story. When Ambassador Eckhart finally

00:15:42.389 --> 00:15:44.669
presented this audacious proposal to Mexico,

00:15:45.450 --> 00:15:48.450
did they ever seriously consider it? The answer

00:15:48.450 --> 00:15:51.090
is yes. They took it seriously enough to evaluate

00:15:51.090 --> 00:15:53.559
it. When Mexican President Venustiano Carranza

00:15:53.559 --> 00:15:56.820
didn't just dismiss it out of hand, he assigned

00:15:56.820 --> 00:15:59.279
a formal military commission made up of his top

00:15:59.279 --> 00:16:02.860
generals to assess the actual feasibility of

00:16:02.860 --> 00:16:05.220
forming an alliance with the German Empire and

00:16:05.220 --> 00:16:07.820
launching a military campaign to take over Texas,

00:16:08.039 --> 00:16:11.120
New Mexico, and Arizona. Which sounds terrifying

00:16:11.120 --> 00:16:13.860
on paper, but when the Mexican generals actually

00:16:13.860 --> 00:16:17.700
sit down and apply some cold, hard critical thinking

00:16:17.700 --> 00:16:21.919
to this grand German plan, it falls apart instantly.

00:16:22.480 --> 00:16:25.139
Precisely. The military commission laid out several

00:16:25.139 --> 00:16:27.820
highly logical, deeply practical reasons for

00:16:27.820 --> 00:16:29.960
rejecting the alliance. What was the first reason?

00:16:30.320 --> 00:16:32.159
First, you have to look at Mexico's domestic

00:16:32.159 --> 00:16:34.820
situation. They were in the middle of a brutal,

00:16:35.159 --> 00:16:37.840
protracted civil war. Figures like Pancho Villa

00:16:37.840 --> 00:16:40.860
and Emiliano Zapata were still actively leading

00:16:40.860 --> 00:16:43.159
armed factions. So they weren't unified? Not

00:16:43.159 --> 00:16:45.539
at all. President Carranza's own position was

00:16:45.539 --> 00:16:47.840
incredibly insecure. He was barely holding the

00:16:47.840 --> 00:16:49.779
country together and, in fact, was eventually

00:16:49.779 --> 00:16:53.200
assassinated in 1920. Wow. Picking a massive

00:16:53.200 --> 00:16:55.039
fight with the United States would have instantly

00:16:55.039 --> 00:16:57.539
prompted Washington to heavily arm and support

00:16:57.539 --> 00:17:00.120
one of Carranza's domestic rivals, guaranteeing

00:17:00.120 --> 00:17:02.340
his downfall. Then there was the reality of the

00:17:02.340 --> 00:17:05.680
military hardware. Exactly. The disparity in

00:17:05.680 --> 00:17:08.660
military strength was vast. Even if Mexico had

00:17:08.660 --> 00:17:11.259
been perfectly united, there is no scenario where

00:17:11.259 --> 00:17:13.279
they could successfully invade and hold U .S.

00:17:13.299 --> 00:17:16.039
territory. Right. Much of Mexico's military hardware

00:17:16.039 --> 00:17:19.319
in 1917 was outdated. Some of it was only a slight

00:17:19.319 --> 00:17:21.440
upgrade from the muskets and cannons they used

00:17:21.440 --> 00:17:23.640
in the Mexican -American War 70 years prior.

00:17:23.799 --> 00:17:27.259
They simply did not have the industrial capacity

00:17:27.259 --> 00:17:29.640
to fight a modern war against the U .S. military.

00:17:29.640 --> 00:17:33.750
No. But wait, didn't Germany promise generous

00:17:33.750 --> 00:17:37.009
financial support? Couldn't Mexico just buy better

00:17:37.009 --> 00:17:39.750
weapons? The generals realized that German promise

00:17:39.750 --> 00:17:42.269
was entirely empty. The German government had

00:17:42.269 --> 00:17:45.029
already told Carranza back in June 1916 that

00:17:45.029 --> 00:17:46.990
they couldn't even provide enough gold to help

00:17:46.990 --> 00:17:50.089
Mexico stock an independent national bank. The

00:17:50.089 --> 00:17:52.190
British naval blockade was starving Germany.

00:17:52.549 --> 00:17:55.049
There was no way German ships could deliver mountains

00:17:55.049 --> 00:17:57.589
of gold or weapons to Mexican ports. The generals

00:17:57.589 --> 00:17:59.869
knew Germany was writing checks it couldn't cash.

00:17:59.970 --> 00:18:02.329
Exactly. And even if Mexico somehow found the

00:18:02.329 --> 00:18:03.970
money, they would have had to buy those modern

00:18:03.970 --> 00:18:06.849
weapons from the ABC nations. The ABC nations

00:18:06.849 --> 00:18:10.440
being Argentina, Brazil and Chile. Right. And

00:18:10.440 --> 00:18:13.240
this brings up a crucial diplomatic angle. The

00:18:13.240 --> 00:18:15.759
ABC nations had actually stepped in to organize

00:18:15.759 --> 00:18:20.140
the Niagara Falls Peace Conference in 1914. They

00:18:20.140 --> 00:18:22.660
did this specifically to prevent a full -scale

00:18:22.660 --> 00:18:25.779
war between the US and Mexico after the US military

00:18:25.779 --> 00:18:29.019
occupied the port of Veracruz. So if Mexico suddenly

00:18:29.019 --> 00:18:31.950
turned around and launched an unprovoked German

00:18:31.950 --> 00:18:34.150
-funded invasion of the U .S. It would completely

00:18:34.150 --> 00:18:37.289
betray the ABC nations and ruin relations with

00:18:37.289 --> 00:18:39.670
the most powerful countries in South America.

00:18:40.390 --> 00:18:42.829
And finally, the generals pointed out the sheer

00:18:42.829 --> 00:18:45.710
terrifying logistical impossibility of what Germany

00:18:45.710 --> 00:18:47.990
was asking. They were supposed to occupy Texas,

00:18:48.309 --> 00:18:50.660
New Mexico and Arizona. That meant trying to

00:18:50.660 --> 00:18:53.420
pacify millions of heavily armed English speaking

00:18:53.420 --> 00:18:55.799
Americans who were fiercely independent and used

00:18:55.799 --> 00:18:57.539
to self -government. It was a complete fantasy.

00:18:57.759 --> 00:19:00.779
So Mexico gives a very firm, quiet no. And the

00:19:00.779 --> 00:19:02.880
direct result of this logical assessment is that

00:19:02.880 --> 00:19:05.119
the U .S. rewards Mexico's neutrality. Right.

00:19:05.420 --> 00:19:08.759
On August 31st, 1917, the U .S. officially recognized

00:19:08.759 --> 00:19:11.359
the Carranza government as the legitimate permanent

00:19:11.359 --> 00:19:13.640
rulers of the country, what diplomats called

00:19:13.640 --> 00:19:16.700
de jure recognition. They did this specifically

00:19:16.700 --> 00:19:19.380
to stabilize Carranza and ensure that Mexico

00:19:19.380 --> 00:19:22.380
remains strictly out of World War One. Yes. But

00:19:22.380 --> 00:19:24.920
let's rewind a few months to the moment the American

00:19:24.920 --> 00:19:28.119
public actually finds out about this plot. President

00:19:28.119 --> 00:19:31.359
Wilson receives the authenticated telegram from

00:19:31.359 --> 00:19:34.920
the British in late February. He does. The source

00:19:34.920 --> 00:19:38.000
notes he feels much indignation, which is a very

00:19:38.000 --> 00:19:40.180
polite diplomatic way of saying he was furious.

00:19:40.640 --> 00:19:43.240
He releases it to the Associated Press on March

00:19:43.240 --> 00:19:46.920
1st, 1917. And the public reaction is explosive.

00:19:47.160 --> 00:19:49.279
But it's not universally supportive of war right

00:19:49.279 --> 00:19:51.920
away. No. It's important to understand how complex

00:19:51.920 --> 00:19:54.619
and divided American public opinion was at that

00:19:54.619 --> 00:19:57.859
exact moment. Right. On one hand, many Americans

00:19:57.859 --> 00:20:00.819
already held strong anti -Mexican and anti -German

00:20:00.819 --> 00:20:03.160
views. And tensions on the southern border were

00:20:03.160 --> 00:20:05.720
at a boiling point because of the raids by Pancho

00:20:05.720 --> 00:20:08.680
Villa. But on the other hand, there were massive.

00:20:08.940 --> 00:20:11.920
deeply entrenched anti -war sentiments across

00:20:11.920 --> 00:20:14.619
the country. President Wilson had literally just

00:20:14.619 --> 00:20:16.799
won re -election a few months prior on the slogan,

00:20:16.960 --> 00:20:20.180
He Kept Us Out of War. Right. And you have heavily

00:20:20.180 --> 00:20:23.339
influential media outlets, most notably the Hearst

00:20:23.339 --> 00:20:26.380
Press Empire, and various groups of German Americans

00:20:26.380 --> 00:20:29.059
and Irish Americans who were deeply skeptical

00:20:29.059 --> 00:20:31.789
of British intentions. Very skeptical. When they

00:20:31.789 --> 00:20:34.670
read this telegram in the newspapers, they looked

00:20:34.670 --> 00:20:37.069
at the convenient cover story that the document

00:20:37.069 --> 00:20:39.769
was just found in Mexico and they assumed it

00:20:39.769 --> 00:20:42.809
was fake. They loudly argued that the entire

00:20:42.809 --> 00:20:45.829
telegram was an elaborate forgery. A piece of

00:20:45.829 --> 00:20:48.569
black propaganda created by British intelligence

00:20:48.569 --> 00:20:51.609
to trick the United States into shedding American

00:20:51.609 --> 00:20:55.059
blood to save the British Empire. And the Wilson

00:20:55.059 --> 00:20:57.519
administration is stuck in a terrible position.

00:20:57.799 --> 00:20:59.720
They have the confidential proof from the British,

00:21:00.079 --> 00:21:02.039
the code books, and the commercial telegraph

00:21:02.039 --> 00:21:04.039
receipts. But they can't make that hard evidence

00:21:04.039 --> 00:21:06.819
public without completely blowing Room 40's cover

00:21:06.819 --> 00:21:09.140
and ruining British intelligence. The Fortree

00:21:09.140 --> 00:21:11.720
theories are gaining serious traction. The anti

00:21:11.720 --> 00:21:14.720
-war movement is seizing on this doubt. The U

00:21:14.720 --> 00:21:16.920
.S. government needs a miracle to prove the document

00:21:16.920 --> 00:21:19.240
is real without revealing their sources. And

00:21:19.240 --> 00:21:21.539
they get that miracle from the most baffling,

00:21:21.599 --> 00:21:24.019
unlikely source imaginable. Arthur Zimmerman

00:21:24.019 --> 00:21:27.539
himself. Yes. It is truly one of the most catastrophic

00:21:27.539 --> 00:21:31.039
public relations blunders in all of diplomatic

00:21:31.039 --> 00:21:33.339
history. It's hard to believe it actually happened.

00:21:33.799 --> 00:21:37.140
On March 3, just two days after the telegram

00:21:37.140 --> 00:21:39.680
hits the front pages, while the forgery theories

00:21:39.680 --> 00:21:42.460
are working perfectly in Germany's favor, Zimmerman

00:21:42.460 --> 00:21:45.049
holds a press conference in Berlin. An American

00:21:45.049 --> 00:21:48.210
journalist asks him point blank about the telegram.

00:21:48.549 --> 00:21:50.630
And instead of denying it, instead of calling

00:21:50.630 --> 00:21:54.289
it a British lie, Zimmerman simply says, I cannot

00:21:54.289 --> 00:21:57.569
deny it. It is true. It's astonishing. He didn't

00:21:57.569 --> 00:22:00.390
just slip up once either. On March 29th, he gave

00:22:00.390 --> 00:22:02.509
a formal speech in the Reichstag, the German

00:22:02.509 --> 00:22:05.009
parliament, and again fully admitted the telegram

00:22:05.009 --> 00:22:07.859
was genuine. Why did he do this? He was facing

00:22:07.859 --> 00:22:10.640
intense criticism from political rivals inside

00:22:10.640 --> 00:22:12.579
Germany who thought he wasn't doing enough to

00:22:12.579 --> 00:22:15.460
prepare for America entering the war. So he admitted

00:22:15.460 --> 00:22:17.779
to the telegram to prove to his domestic critics

00:22:17.779 --> 00:22:20.079
that he was actively trying to build alliances.

00:22:20.460 --> 00:22:22.599
Exactly. He tried to justify it by saying it

00:22:22.599 --> 00:22:25.220
was only a contingency plan, but the geopolitical

00:22:25.220 --> 00:22:27.720
damage was entirely done. By defending his own

00:22:27.720 --> 00:22:30.900
ego, he personally squashed the American forgery

00:22:30.900 --> 00:22:33.700
theories and handed the allies a blank check.

00:22:33.819 --> 00:22:36.759
He really did. So what does this all mean? You

00:22:36.759 --> 00:22:39.960
have this terrifying telegram, publicly authenticated

00:22:39.960 --> 00:22:42.380
by the man who wrote it, proposing to carve up

00:22:42.380 --> 00:22:44.740
the American Southwest. And at the exact same

00:22:44.740 --> 00:22:48.579
time February 1st has passed, Germany's unrestricted

00:22:48.579 --> 00:22:51.660
submarine warfare has officially begun. The abstract

00:22:51.660 --> 00:22:54.019
threat has become a bloody reality. Exactly.

00:22:54.440 --> 00:22:56.960
German U -boats are now actively torpedoing and

00:22:56.960 --> 00:22:59.119
sinking American merchant ships in the Atlantic.

00:22:59.980 --> 00:23:02.500
American sailors are drowning. President Wilson

00:23:02.500 --> 00:23:04.900
had previously tried to arm merchant ships for

00:23:04.900 --> 00:23:08.380
self -defense, but anti -war senators had filibustered

00:23:08.380 --> 00:23:10.579
and blocked the measure. Now the context has

00:23:10.579 --> 00:23:12.980
violently shifted. You have the immediate physical

00:23:12.980 --> 00:23:15.559
threat to American lives on the high seas combined

00:23:15.559 --> 00:23:18.259
with the existential geopolitical threat outlined

00:23:18.259 --> 00:23:21.079
in the Zimmerman telegram. Neutrality is no longer

00:23:21.079 --> 00:23:23.019
a defensible position in the eyes of the public

00:23:23.019 --> 00:23:25.319
or the government. The demands for action become

00:23:25.319 --> 00:23:28.619
completely overwhelming. And on April 6, 1917,

00:23:29.000 --> 00:23:30.799
the United States Congress officially votes to

00:23:30.799 --> 00:23:33.009
declare their war on the German Empire. With

00:23:33.009 --> 00:23:35.450
President Wilson calling for a war to make the

00:23:35.450 --> 00:23:39.230
world safe for democracy. The telegram, combined

00:23:39.230 --> 00:23:42.029
with the submarines, was the tipping point. And

00:23:42.029 --> 00:23:44.710
as a brief, almost comical postscript to the

00:23:44.710 --> 00:23:47.430
Grand Alliance proposal, the Japanese government,

00:23:47.529 --> 00:23:49.589
who were already fighting on the allied side

00:23:49.589 --> 00:23:51.990
and honoring their treaties with Britain, eventually

00:23:51.990 --> 00:23:54.569
released a public statement confirming they had

00:23:54.569 --> 00:23:57.490
absolutely zero interest in Germany's absurd

00:23:57.490 --> 00:24:00.359
offer to switch sides and attack America. The

00:24:00.359 --> 00:24:03.380
Zimmermann Telegram completely backfired on every

00:24:03.380 --> 00:24:05.660
single conceivable level. It failed to secure

00:24:05.660 --> 00:24:08.220
an alliance. It failed to distract the U .S.

00:24:08.319 --> 00:24:11.240
Army. It exposed their supposedly unbreakable

00:24:11.240 --> 00:24:13.519
codes. And it directly accelerated the entry

00:24:13.519 --> 00:24:16.059
of the United States into the war, which ultimately

00:24:16.059 --> 00:24:18.480
sealed Germany's defeat. It's an astonishing

00:24:18.480 --> 00:24:20.799
sequence of historical dominoes. And there's

00:24:20.799 --> 00:24:24.400
a final amazing detail to wrap this up. For decades,

00:24:24.819 --> 00:24:26.839
historians assumed that the original typed decryption

00:24:26.839 --> 00:24:29.440
of the telegram, the actual physical piece of

00:24:29.440 --> 00:24:31.799
paper that Admiral Hall handed to the American

00:24:31.799 --> 00:24:34.819
ambassador in London, was lost forever. Likely

00:24:34.819 --> 00:24:37.220
tossed in an incinerator along with thousands

00:24:37.220 --> 00:24:40.119
of other secret documents from the era. But...

00:24:39.900 --> 00:24:43.640
In October 2005, an anonymous historian researching

00:24:43.640 --> 00:24:45.819
the UK's government communications headquarters

00:24:45.819 --> 00:24:48.160
finally found it. They discovered the original

00:24:48.160 --> 00:24:50.559
typescript handed to U .S. Ambassador Walter

00:24:50.559 --> 00:24:52.980
Hines Page. And right at the top of the document

00:24:52.980 --> 00:24:55.579
scribbled in Admiral William Reginald Hall's

00:24:55.579 --> 00:24:59.019
own handwriting are the words, This is the one

00:24:59.019 --> 00:25:02.220
handed to Dr. Page and exposed by the president.

00:25:02.420 --> 00:25:05.140
It is a remarkable artifact to survive a century

00:25:05.140 --> 00:25:07.180
of history, and it connects this entire narrative

00:25:07.180 --> 00:25:09.650
directly back to you listening right now. How

00:25:09.650 --> 00:25:12.609
so? Well, the Zimmerman Telegram is so much more

00:25:12.609 --> 00:25:14.910
than a date you memorize for a history test.

00:25:15.250 --> 00:25:18.349
It is a profound real world case study in the

00:25:18.349 --> 00:25:20.450
critical importance of information security.

00:25:20.950 --> 00:25:23.190
Absolutely. The German High Command arrogantly

00:25:23.190 --> 00:25:25.349
assumed their communications were safe. They

00:25:25.349 --> 00:25:28.009
actually used American diplomatic cables to transmit

00:25:28.009 --> 00:25:30.529
a plan to attack America, which is perhaps the

00:25:30.529 --> 00:25:33.410
most spectacular example of unintended consequences

00:25:33.410 --> 00:25:36.910
in modern warfare. Furthermore, this entire saga

00:25:36.910 --> 00:25:40.279
highlights the immense life -saving value of

00:25:40.279 --> 00:25:43.299
critical thinking. We see this perfectly demonstrated

00:25:43.299 --> 00:25:45.660
by the Mexican Military Commission, who looked

00:25:45.660 --> 00:25:48.940
past the grand promises of reclaimed glory and

00:25:48.940 --> 00:25:52.619
objectively analyzed the cold, hard, logistical

00:25:52.619 --> 00:25:55.220
realities of the proposal. It really is the ultimate

00:25:55.220 --> 00:25:57.960
cautionary tale of acting on arrogant assumptions.

00:25:58.579 --> 00:26:02.519
The Germans assumed their 3040 code was mathematically

00:26:02.519 --> 00:26:05.539
unbreakable. They assumed Mexico would be blinded

00:26:05.539 --> 00:26:08.559
by the temptation of reclaiming Texas. And they

00:26:08.559 --> 00:26:10.619
assumed the United States wouldn't find out about

00:26:10.640 --> 00:26:13.099
plot until it was too late. And every single

00:26:13.099 --> 00:26:15.299
one of those assumptions was dead wrong. Dead

00:26:15.299 --> 00:26:17.839
wrong. This raises an important question though

00:26:17.839 --> 00:26:19.940
about what we still might not know regarding

00:26:19.940 --> 00:26:22.519
this event. Right. History is rarely a perfectly

00:26:22.519 --> 00:26:25.240
closed book even a hundred years later. Exactly.

00:26:25.680 --> 00:26:28.279
As recently as 2024 it was reported that there

00:26:28.279 --> 00:26:31.839
are still six open files regarding the Zimmerman

00:26:31.839 --> 00:26:34.240
telegram held securely by the National Archives

00:26:34.240 --> 00:26:36.700
at Q in the United Kingdom that have not yet

00:26:36.700 --> 00:26:39.339
been declassified. That's fascinating. Well over

00:26:39.339 --> 00:26:42.680
a century has passed since this single 160 word

00:26:42.680 --> 00:26:45.059
message fundamentally changed the trajectory

00:26:45.059 --> 00:26:47.900
of the modern world. Yet as we examine the available

00:26:47.900 --> 00:26:50.259
evidence we are left to ponder. What secrets

00:26:50.259 --> 00:26:52.500
about the century -old telegram, about the spies

00:26:52.500 --> 00:26:54.799
who intercepted it, or the methods they used

00:26:54.799 --> 00:26:57.180
are still deemed too dangerous, too sensitive,

00:26:57.240 --> 00:26:59.380
or too revealing to share with the world today?
