WEBVTT

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Welcome to this custom -tailored deep dive made

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specifically for you. We have a pretty complex

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and, well, a highly revealing mission today.

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They really do. It's a fascinating one. We are

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exploring the anatomy of mass hysteria and the

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devastating power of a fabricated narrative.

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Our source material today is a really comprehensive

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Wikipedia article detailing the Popish plot of

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1678 to 1681. Right, which was a completely fictitious

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conspiracy. Totally fake. But it plunged England

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and Scotland into this deadly paranoia, ultimately

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leading to the execution of at least 22 innocent

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men. Okay, let's unpack this because we are looking

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at forged letters, a king who saw through the

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lies from day one, and a society that willingly

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dismantled its own justice system to appease

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its deepest fears. It serves as a remarkable

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case study in societal psychology. You know,

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the plot itself was entirely fabricated, like

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you said, but the panic and the political weaponization

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of that panic were very real. Our objective for

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this deep dive is to move beyond the surface

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narrative of the events. We need to dissect the

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systemic failures and understand the precise

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con - Absolutely. Because. As you know, by the

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late 1670s, the English public carried more than

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a century of generational trauma regarding religious

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and political upheaval. It wasn't a spontaneous

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panic at all. Right. Exactly. We don't need to

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rehash the entire Tudor Reformation or the gunpowder

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plot of 1605, but we do need to look at how that

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history created an institutionalized confirmation

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bias. Which was massive. It really was. The public

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was pre -programmed to view Catholicism not merely

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as a differing theology, but as an apparatus

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of foreign state terror and absolute. What's

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fascinating here is how those past events functioned

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as a permanent, distorting lens through which

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the English public viewed contemporary politics.

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You think about the whiplash of the Reformation.

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Oh, the whiplash was extreme. It was. Starting

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in 1533, you have Henry VIII breaking from Rome.

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Then Edward VI pushes strict Protestantism. Only

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for Mary I to return to Catholicism and burn,

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what, 300 Protestants at the stake? Exactly.

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And then Elizabeth I breaks away again. It's

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society suffering from chronic ideological whiplash.

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Add in the 1605 gunpowder plot, where Catholic

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conspirators like Guy Fawkes literally tried

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to blow up Parliament. Which served as the ultimate

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confirmation bias for the English Protestant

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majority. It convinced them that Catholics were

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murderous conspirators. Add the trauma of the

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English Civil War, the devastation of the Great

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Plague, and the Great Fire of London. Which contemporary

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rumors falsely blamed on Catholic arsonists,

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by the way. Right. All that created a hypervigilant

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society. And then you have the specific geopolitical

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anxieties of the 1670s. King Charles II was in

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a highly precarious position. He had a Catholic

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wife, right? He did. And he had allied with Catholic

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France against the Protestant Netherlands. His

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brother and heir, James, the Duke of York, was

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openly Catholic. So the tension was already systemic.

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Parliament was intensely suspicious of the Crown's

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intentions, especially after Charles II issued

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the Royal Declaration of Indulgence in 1672.

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Which suspended penal laws against Catholics.

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Yeah, and Protestant dissenters too. But for

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the public, this wasn't viewed as a step toward

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modern religious tolerance. It was seen as an

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illegal overreach of royal prerogative. It terrified

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a populace that had just fought a civil war over

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monarchical overreach. The fear was that Charles,

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or eventually his brother James, would use a

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Catholic alliance to impose an absolute monarchy,

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dismantling Parliament entirely. That is the

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tinderbox. The society was primed. The political

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factions were deeply distrustful of one another,

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and the institutions were fragile. All it required

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was a spark. And that spark arrived via two extremely

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unlikely villains, Titus Oates and Israel Tunn.

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Two men who absolutely shouldn't have been trusted

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with anything. Definitely not. Tunn was a clergyman

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whose contemporaries heavily documented his obsessive,

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nearly insane fixations on supposed Catholic

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subversion. And Oates was even worse. Right.

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Oates was a man who had repeatedly been dismissed

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from various naval and clerical posts for misconduct

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before briefly spending time in Jesuit seminaries

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on the continent. From which he was also expelled.

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Of course he was. But together they manufactured

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this sprawling, convoluted manuscript. It alleged

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a vast conspiracy approved by the Pope to assassinate

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King Charles II. and replace him with his Catholic

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brother James, and violently suppress Protestantism

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in England. They named nearly 100 Jesuits and

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prominent English Catholics as the architects

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of this incoming slaughter. And the absurd setup

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of how they introduced this document is just

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wild. Oates literally slipped a copy of this

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massive manuscript into the wood paneling of

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a gallery in a physician's house where Tun was

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residing. Just so Tun could magically discover

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it the following day. Exactly. He finds it and

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passes it to an acquaintance. That acquaintance

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happened to be a chemist named Christopher Kirkby,

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who had previously assisted King Charles with

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scientific experiments. So Kirkby actually has

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access to the king. He does. On August 13, 1678,

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Kirkby approaches the king while Charles is just

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taking a walk in St. James's Park. He warns him

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of assassins waiting to shoot him and claims

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the queen's own physician planned to poison him

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if the bullets failed. But the king's reaction

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is what's really telling here. Charles II was

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notoriously cynical, and he was immediately dismissive

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of the claims. He didn't buy it for a second.

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Not at all. During a later interrogation, Oates

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claimed to have met Don Juan of Austria in Brussels.

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The king, who actually knew Don Juan personally,

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immediately realized Oates had no idea what the

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man looked like. He caught him in a blatant lie.

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He knew Oates was a liar. But Charles allowed

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his chief minister, Lord Danby, to review the

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allegations. Danby saw a political opportunity

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to use the rumors to bolster the king's standing

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by presenting the crown as under threat. Demanding

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more loyalty and funding from Parliament. Precisely.

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But Charles wanted the matter kept secret. He

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figured that publicizing an assassination plot

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might ironically give someone the idea to actually

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attempt it. Here's where it gets really interesting,

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because the investigation before the Privy Council

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in late September completely spirals out of control.

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Despite the king's skepticism, it takes on a

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life of its own. The rumors had reached his brother,

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the Duke of York. And because the plot directly

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implicated James' associates, James essentially

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forced the king's hand. He demanded a formal

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Privy Council investigation to clear his name,

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right? He did. James believed that a swift inquiry

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would expose Oates as a fraud and end the matter.

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He severely miscalculated the council's susceptibility

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to confirmation bias. Which brings us to Oates'

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performance before the Privy Council. He expands

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his initial claims into 43 massive allegations,

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naming 541 Jesuits. He claims there were secret

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meetings at the White Horse Tavern to coordinate

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an invasion of Irish and French forces. But the

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turning point and the critical failure of the

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council revolves around a packet of forged letters.

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The council presented Oates with five letters,

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supposedly intercepted from prominent priests,

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detailing the assassination plot. The council

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actually suspected these letters might be forged.

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Yet when Oates was asked to examine them, he

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instantly identified the supposed authors of

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each letter after barely glancing at the handwriting.

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The cognitive dissonance of the highest nobles

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in the kingdom is just staggering. They took

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his instantaneous recognition of the handwriting

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as definitive proof of his intimate knowledge

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of the conspiracy. It is a tragic irony and a

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textbook failure of critical thinking. It apparently

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never occurred to the Privy Council that Oates'

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ability to instantly recognize the handwriting

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made it vastly more likely that he was the one

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who had forged the letters in the first place.

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They were amazed by his memory instead of suspicious

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of his forgery. Because the letters confirmed

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their pre -existing fears about a Catholic uprising,

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the council suspended their logical faculties.

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They validated Oates, inadvertently granting

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him state -sanctioned credibility. And then the

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physical catalyst occurs. The event that poured

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gasoline on the fire. The magistrate who had

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first taken Oates' sworn deposition, Sir Edmund

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Barry Godfrey, goes missing. And in mid -October,

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his body is discovered in a ditch on Primrose

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Hill. He had been strangled, his neck broken,

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and he was run through with his own sword. The

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murder remains unsolved to this day, but the

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public immediately blamed Catholics. That period

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became known as Godfrey's Autumn. For a public

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already on edge, the unsolved murder of a prominent

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Protestant magistrate was the irrefutable physical

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proof they needed. It transformed Oates' abstract

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manuscript into a bloody reality. That panic

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was suddenly tangible. And to make matters worse,

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investigators raiding the homes of the accused

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found actual factual correspondence. A man named

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Edward Coleman, a secretary connected to the

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Duke of York, was caught with letters he had

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written to a French Jesuit. So there actually

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was a real conspiracy going on. Yes. Coleman's

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letters are the crucial kernel of truth that

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every effective disinformation campaign requires.

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Coleman wasn't plotting an assassination, but

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he was attempting to secure French funding to

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bribe members of Parliament. Essentially trying

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to dissolve the English legislature in favor

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of a more pro -French absolutist model. Exactly.

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Which is entirely separate from Oates' fictitious

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murder plot, but it was nonetheless high treason.

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Coleman was executed, and his real conspiracy

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provided the necessary foundation to make Oates'

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fabricated conspiracy appear credible. At this

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point, the mechanics of the hysteria shift from

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the government chambers to the streets. The city

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of London effectively militarized itself overnight.

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Roger North described it by saying, the very

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cabinet of hell has been opened. The sheer panic

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was overwhelming. Noble women carried firearms.

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The House of Commons was repeatedly searched

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for hidden bombs. There was even a moment where

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a Frenchman was caught hoarding gunpowder, causing

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widespread panic until they realized he was just

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the king's firework maker. It's absurd, but it

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highlights the tragicomedy of the situation.

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The print media was a massive driver of this.

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The printing press was basically the social media

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of the 1670s. Censorship laws had recently lapsed,

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right? They had. So a flood of cheap, easily

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digestible pamphlets and broadsides hit the streets.

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These publications... serialized Oates' allegations,

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complete with lurid, woodcut illustrations of

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Jesuits plotting in the shadows. Creating an

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inescapable feedback loop of terror. Which brings

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us to the accusation of the five Catholic lords.

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With the press and the public behind him, Oates

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aimed at the very top of the social hierarchy.

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The specifics of these accusations highlight

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the complete abandonment of logic. Two of the

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accused lords, Arendelle and Stafford, hadn't

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spoken to each other in 25 years because of a

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bitter feud. Yet Oates accused them of conspiring

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together. Yes. And another, Lord Bellesise, had

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gout so severe he could barely stand, let alone

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lead a violent military uprising. But the absurdity

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didn't matter. The political utility of the plot

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had overtaken any search for the truth. Factions

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within Parliament realized they could weaponize

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this mass hysteria to fundamentally alter the

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power structure of the country. Opposing factions

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used the public terror generated by the Popish

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plot to introduce legislation aimed at explicitly

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excluding the Catholic Duke of York from the

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line of succession. While the politicians were

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playing chess with the succession, the justice

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system was actively collapsing under the weight

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of public fear. We see this with the execution

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of William Staley. A young Catholic banker who

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allegedly made a drunken threat against the king

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in a tavern. In a functioning legal system, he

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might have been fined or jailed. During the Popish

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plot, he was tried, convicted of high treason,

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and executed within 10 days. To understand how

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22 innocent men were legally murdered, we have

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to look at the procedural mechanics of a 17th

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century treason trial. Defendants were not permitted

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defense counsel. They weren't even allowed to

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see the evidence against them prior to the trial.

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They could not call witnesses under oath to contradict

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the Crown's informers. The accused were fighting

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blindfolded. And the Crown actively incentivized

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informers with pardons and rewards. Men were

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tortured into giving false confessions. Like

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Miles Prance, who was thrown into a freezing

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dungeon and tortured until he broke. To save

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himself, he falsely implicated three entirely

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innocent working men. Berry, Green, and Hill,

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who were then executed for Godfrey's murder.

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The environment was so toxic that Oates continuously

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updated his lies to explain away any inconsistencies.

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When people question why none of the supposedly

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hired assassins had managed to shoot the king

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during his daily walks, Oates claimed the assassins

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were planning to use special silver bullets so

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that the king's wounds wouldn't heal. It's a

00:12:56.470 --> 00:12:59.889
desperate rationalization, but the public eagerly

00:12:59.889 --> 00:13:03.120
swallowed it. But hysteria, by its very nature,

00:13:03.220 --> 00:13:06.200
is unsustainable. The fever eventually breaks.

00:13:06.379 --> 00:13:08.539
And it wasn't from a sudden realization of the

00:13:08.539 --> 00:13:11.139
evidence, but a shift in public sentiment regarding

00:13:11.139 --> 00:13:13.519
the victims. As these innocent men went to their

00:13:13.519 --> 00:13:16.139
deaths protesting their innocence, public opinion

00:13:16.139 --> 00:13:19.500
began to shift. In the 17th century, the words

00:13:19.500 --> 00:13:22.000
of a dying man were considered legally and spiritually

00:13:22.000 --> 00:13:24.600
weighty. They continually delivered incredibly

00:13:24.600 --> 00:13:27.679
dignified final speeches, and you start to see

00:13:27.679 --> 00:13:30.259
grassroots skepticism empowering the judiciary

00:13:30.259 --> 00:13:33.259
to reclaim its authority. Judges like Chief Justice

00:13:33.259 --> 00:13:35.779
William Scroggs, who had previously presided

00:13:35.779 --> 00:13:38.720
over wrongful convictions, began demanding actual

00:13:38.720 --> 00:13:41.210
corroborating evidence. And when the informers

00:13:41.210 --> 00:13:43.850
couldn't produce it, judges ordered juries to

00:13:43.850 --> 00:13:46.429
acquit. King Charles threw the full weight of

00:13:46.429 --> 00:13:49.210
the crown behind the judges. The moment the institutional

00:13:49.210 --> 00:13:52.070
support vanished, Titus Oates's entire empire

00:13:52.070 --> 00:13:54.809
collapsed. King Charles finally kicked Oates

00:13:54.809 --> 00:13:56.830
out of his cushy state apartments in Whitehall.

00:13:57.169 --> 00:14:01.200
And when James II took the throne in 1685, the

00:14:01.200 --> 00:14:03.220
ultimate reckoning occurred. James had Oates

00:14:03.220 --> 00:14:06.179
tried for perjury, right? He did. Oates was stripped

00:14:06.179 --> 00:14:08.919
of his clerical status, imprisoned for life,

00:14:09.100 --> 00:14:11.080
and sentenced to be whipped violently through

00:14:11.080 --> 00:14:13.340
the streets of London and pilloried annually.

00:14:13.759 --> 00:14:16.220
Even though his credibility was permanently eradicated,

00:14:16.460 --> 00:14:18.759
the long shadow of the damage he inflicted was

00:14:18.759 --> 00:14:22.379
devastating. At least 22 innocent men died. The

00:14:22.379 --> 00:14:24.519
Society of Jesus was functionally decimated in

00:14:24.519 --> 00:14:27.179
England. And ordinary Catholics were subjected

00:14:27.179 --> 00:14:30.000
to strict anti -Catholic legislation that wasn't

00:14:30.000 --> 00:14:33.360
fully removed until 1829. So what does this all

00:14:33.360 --> 00:14:35.500
mean? We aren't examining this narrative just

00:14:35.500 --> 00:14:38.279
to recount dusty history. This is highly relevant

00:14:38.279 --> 00:14:40.419
to your world today. It's a masterclass in how

00:14:40.419 --> 00:14:42.940
disinformation operates. It truly is. It shows

00:14:42.940 --> 00:14:45.980
how bad actors can exploit societal anxieties,

00:14:46.039 --> 00:14:49.080
how confirmation bias blinds even smart people

00:14:49.080 --> 00:14:52.059
like the Privy Council, and how quickly the presumption

00:14:52.059 --> 00:14:55.080
of innocence vanishes in a panic. This raises

00:14:55.080 --> 00:14:57.120
an important question regarding how we consume

00:14:57.120 --> 00:14:59.960
information today. Knowledge is only valuable

00:14:59.960 --> 00:15:02.879
when applied with critical thinking. The Popish

00:15:02.879 --> 00:15:05.480
plot should serve as a cautionary tale against

00:15:05.480 --> 00:15:08.139
letting fear dictate truth. I want to leave you

00:15:08.139 --> 00:15:10.500
with one final provocative thought to explore

00:15:10.500 --> 00:15:13.320
on your own. If you look at the broader categorization

00:15:13.320 --> 00:15:16.019
of this event in our source material, it's listed

00:15:16.019 --> 00:15:18.820
under conspiracy theories. It shares DNA with

00:15:18.820 --> 00:15:21.159
modern examples like crisis actors or shadow

00:15:21.159 --> 00:15:23.620
governments. The crucial concept connecting them

00:15:23.620 --> 00:15:26.539
all is falsifiability. In a logically found investigation,

00:15:26.879 --> 00:15:29.120
a theory must be falsifiable, meaning there must

00:15:29.120 --> 00:15:31.769
be a way to prove it wrong. In the Popish plot,

00:15:31.889 --> 00:15:33.830
the complete lack of physical evidence was twisted

00:15:33.830 --> 00:15:35.950
into proof of just how well -hidden the conspiracy

00:15:35.950 --> 00:15:38.950
was. The complete lack of evidence miraculously

00:15:38.950 --> 00:15:41.750
became the strongest evidence of all. I challenge

00:15:41.750 --> 00:15:44.690
you to look at the media you consume today. If

00:15:44.690 --> 00:15:47.169
a theory is designed so that even the total absence

00:15:47.169 --> 00:15:49.710
of evidence supposedly proves it to be true,

00:15:50.509 --> 00:15:52.730
Are we dealing with facts or are we just living

00:15:52.730 --> 00:15:55.289
in someone else's popish plot? A vital question

00:15:55.289 --> 00:15:57.850
for anyone navigating the information age. Thank

00:15:57.850 --> 00:16:00.250
you for joining us on this deep dive. Stay curious,

00:16:00.350 --> 00:16:02.570
stay critical, and we will catch you next time.
