WEBVTT

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Welcome in. We are just so glad you are joining

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us today for another deep dive. Absolutely. You

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know, we spend a lot of time sifting through

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massive amounts of information looking for those

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hidden gems, the kind of things that make you

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sit back, pause, and just say, wow, I really

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had no idea. Right, the stuff hiding in plain

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sight. Exactly. And today we have a fantastic

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deep dive planned just for you. We are going

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to be exploring a Wikipedia article titled List

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of United States Senators from Hawaii. Which

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I know. I know what might be going through your

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head right now. You hear Wikipedia list and you

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probably picture this very dry standard table

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of names, dates, political affiliations. Just

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a spreadsheet basically. Right. It sounds exactly

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like the kind of page you might just scroll past

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if you were casually browsing the Internet late

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at night. But our mission today is to take that

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exact. table and extract the hidden aha moments.

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And there are a lot of them. There really are.

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We are going to uncover incredible mind bending

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details about political stability, unique representation

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and just the absolute quirks of history in the

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Aloha State. So if you love finding the extraordinary

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hidden right there in the seemingly ordinary,

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you are in the exact right place. It really is

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the perfect example of how raw data. tells a

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massive story if you know how to look at it.

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When you look closely at this specific list,

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it is not just a bland record of who held an

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office. It's an anomaly. It's a mathematical

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anomaly that defies the statistical norms of

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almost every other state in the entire country.

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We're going to see patterns of incumbency and

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demographic representation that are entirely

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unique to Hawaii. It is a fascinating reflection

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on how a state operates on the federal level.

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And it's all hidden right there within the columns

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and rows of a digital encyclopedia. OK, let's

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unpack this. Let's set the baselines. We are

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all on the exact same page before we get into

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the wild stuff. Sounds good. So Hawaii was admitted

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to the union on August 21st, 1959. That date

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is the starting line for everything we are going

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to talk about today. Now, when a state joins

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the union, as you probably know, they get two

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United States senators. And I want you to think

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about the U .S. Senate. is a highly exclusive

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club. Extremely exclusive. Right. It is incredibly

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hard to get into. You have to campaign endlessly.

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And there are only 100 members at any given time.

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But the Hawaii chapter of this club, it is arguably

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one of the most exclusive groups in the entire

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country. Without a doubt. Since that admission

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date back in August of 1959, do you want to guess

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how many people have ever served as a U .S. senator

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from Hawaii? It's crazy. Seven. Just seven people

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in the entire history of the state. That number

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really gives you pause when you consider the

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timeframe we are talking about here. Yeah. From

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1959 to the present day, which is well over six

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decades of history, countless election cycles,

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massive cultural shifts, wars, economic booms

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and busts. Only seven individuals have held those

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two seats. Just seven. To put that into perspective

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for you, just think about how many U .S. presidents

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have come and gone in that exact same period.

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Oh, wow. Or think about how many senators have

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cycled through other states. Right. But in Hawaii,

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the senatorial delegation has remained incredibly,

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almost unimaginably consistent. Which brings

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us to a staggering statistic. We talk about the

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incumbent advantage a lot in politics. Right,

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the idea that... The general idea that if you

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already hold the seat, you have a distinct edge

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in keeping it. Because of name recognition, fundraising,

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all of that. Exactly. Well, Hawaii takes that

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basic concept and turns it into an absolute impenetrable

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fortress. Hawaii is the only U .S. state that

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has never defeated an incumbent senator in either

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a primary or a general election. Never. Let me

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just repeat that for you, because it is wild

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to think about. In the entire history of the

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state, an incumbent senator from Hawaii has literally

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never lost their seat at the ballot box. Zero

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primary defeats. Zero general election defeats.

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What's fascinating here is the profound political

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continuity this represents. A 100 % incumbency

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retention rate is not just a fun trivia fact

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you bring up at a dinner party. It is a testament

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to an unparalleled level of electoral stability.

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When you never load out an incumbent, it completely

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changes the mechanics of a political career.

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Wait, hold on. Let me make sure I'm wrapping

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my head around this. Yeah. You're saying in over

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60 years, not a single person woke up on Election

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Day and successfully voted out a sitting Hawaii

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senator. Not once. That defies basically every

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rule of modern politics. I mean, in other states,

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if a senator steps out of line, someone from

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their own party will challenge them in the primary

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to kick them out before the general election

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even starts. Or you see wave elections. Exactly.

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A massive wave election happens where the whole

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country shifts red or blue. away incumbents who

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thought they were totally safe. You see it all

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the time in swing states like Ohio or Florida,

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where seats flip back and forth. But in Hawaii,

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that simply does not happen. It simply does not

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happen. And because they never lose at the ballot

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box, it means the only way a vacancy ever occurs

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in Hawaii is through life events or personal

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choices. The transitions of power have exclusively

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happened through voluntary retirements or deaths

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in office. For example, Orin E. Long served his

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time and retired. Hiram Fawn retired. Later on,

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Daniel Akaka retired. Right. Those are the only

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times those seats opened up voluntarily for a

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new generation. And when they didn't voluntarily

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step down, they served until the very end. Spark

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Matsunaga died in office on April 15th, 1990.

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And Daniel Isnu died in office on December 17th.

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2012. Yes. It is just incredible to think about.

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If you are an elected senator in Hawaii, history

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dictates that you are there until you choose

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to walk away and enjoy your retirement or until

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you pass away. The sheer job security is unlike

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anything else in the country. It is a true incumbency

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fortress. It really is. And to your earlier point

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about swing states, this shifts the entire dynamic

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of how representation works for Hawaii voters.

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How so? Well, when you effectively remove the

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mechanism of an incumbent being ousted by the

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voters, the election Elections that truly matter,

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the ones that shape the next generation of politics,

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become the open seat elections. Oh, I see. Those

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are the rare fleeting moments when a retirement

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or a death creates a vacancy. Because whoever

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wins that open seat is... statistically speaking,

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going to hold it for as long as they possibly

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want to. Here's where it gets really interesting.

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Let's pivot to the political makeup of these

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seven specific individuals, because this, a fortress

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of incumbency, is heavily, heavily concentrated

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on one side of the aisle. Very heavily. Out of

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those seven people who have served since 1959,

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only one has ever been a Republican. Just one.

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Yes. His name was Hiram Fong. He held the class

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one seat representing Honolulu. He was elected

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right at the very beginning, serving from statehood

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on August 21st, 1959, until he retired on January

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3, 1977. Every single other senator on this list

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has been a Democrat. And because Hiram Fong is

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the sole Republican in the state's entire senatorial

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history, it creates another massive statistical

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anomaly. OK. Hawaii holds the longest streak

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in the nation for having all Democratic senators.

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They last elected a Republican in 1970, which

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was Hiram Fong's final reelection before his

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eventual retirement. Wow, 1970. Ever since that

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1970 election, it has been exclusively Democrats

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sent to Washington. Furthermore, if you look

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at the class three seat, the other Senate seat.

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It has always been held by a member of the Democratic

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Party from the very moment Hawaii became a state.

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Now, before we dive any deeper into these numbers,

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I want to take a quick time out and make something

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explicitly clear to you, our listener. Yes, this

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is important. As we discuss these streaks and

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the historical dominance of the Democratic Party

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in these seats, we are looking at this entirely

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impartially. We are not taking sides here whatsoever.

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Absolutely not. Whether a state votes entirely

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blue, entirely red or anything in between. Our

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goal in this deep dive is simply to analyze the

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mathematical and historical data provided to

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us. We are looking at the math, the dates and

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the records. We are absolutely not endorsing

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one political party over another. It is just

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objectively fascinating to observe the. and the

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historical weight behind a streak like this.

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Exactly. Our role here is to look at the historical

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timeline, and the timeline shows a distinct partisan

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dominance that has lasted for decades. When you

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consider that a Republican hasn't been elected

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to the U .S. Senate from Hawaii since 1970, you

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are looking at over half a century of... unbroken

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party representation. Half a century. That is

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a massive streak purely from a statistical standpoint

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is a level of predictability that campaign managers

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in other states can only dream of. So let's break

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down the history of these two specific seats

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to see how that played out, because the U .S.

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Senate divides its seats into different classes

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to stagger the election. So not everyone is running

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at the same time. Hawaii elects senators to class

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one and class three. Let's look at class three

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first. Remember, this is the seat that has only

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ever been held by Democrats. It started with

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Orny Long. He served briefly from 1959 to 1963.

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After he retired, Daniel Inusi was elected. And

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Inusi served from January 3, 1963, all the way

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until December 17, 2012. And we really need to

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pause on Daniel Inusi for a moment to let that

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sink in. From 1963 to 2012, he is Hawaii's longest

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serving senator. And when you do the math on

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those dates, that is an astonishing 49 years

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in office. Nearly half a century in a single

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Senate seat. That incredible tenure. perfectly

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illustrates that incumbency fortress we were

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just talking about. 49 years. That means there

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were voters casting ballots for him who hadn't

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even been born when he first took office. This

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is incredible. That is wild. And then following

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Inouye's passing, we have Brian Schatz, who is

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currently in the seat. He took office in 2012

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and is still serving today with his next election

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coming up in 2028. So that is the complete history

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of Class 3. Long, inary shots. Just three guys

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over 60 plus years. It really highlights the

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bottleneck effect we mentioned earlier. Now,

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let's contrast that with class one. This is the

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seat that Hiram Fong, our sole Republican, held

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from 1959 to 1977. Right. After Fong retired,

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Spark Matsunaga, a Democrat, took over from 1977

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until he passed away in 1990. Then Daniel Akaka

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was appointed and subsequently elected, serving

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from 1990 until his retirement in 2013. And finally,

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Mezi Hirono was elected, serving from 2013 to

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the present day, with her next election set for

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2030. Exactly. And if you look closely at that

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specific lineage for the class one seat Fong,

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Matsunaga, Akaka, Hirono, there is an incredibly

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unique demographic fact hidden right there in

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the lineage. There is. The class one seat in

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Hawaii is... is the only Senate seat in the entire

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United States that has always been held by an

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ethnic minority. Never once in its history has

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it been held by anyone else. If we connect this

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to the bigger picture, it says something profound

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about representation and the demographic identity

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of Hawaii on the federal stage. Yeah, absolutely.

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When you have a seat that since the very day

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the state was admitted to the union in 1959 has

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exclusively elevated minority voices to one of

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the highest legislative bodies in the country,

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it establishes a historic benchmark. Definitely.

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It is an unbroken record of minority representation

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that literally no other Senate seat in the country

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can claim. It highlights how the unique cultural

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and demographic makeup of Hawaii translates directly

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into its electoral outcomes and its distinct

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voice in Washington, D .C. It is truly a remarkable

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piece of history. So let's recap what we've uncovered

00:11:36.799 --> 00:11:40.289
so far. We've got this. impenetrable fortress

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of incumbency, an unbroken streak of democratic

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representation since the 70s, and a class one

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seat that has always been held by an ethnic minority.

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That's right. So what does this all mean for

00:11:53.409 --> 00:11:56.250
the current delegation? Let's bring our focus

00:11:56.250 --> 00:11:58.789
to the two people holding those seats right now,

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Brian Schatz and Maisie Hirono. This is where

00:12:02.220 --> 00:12:04.259
we get into some really fascinating procedural

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quirks of the U .S. Senate. I love this part.

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In the Senate, there is always a senior senator

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and a junior senator from each state. Now, this

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isn't based on age. It is based entirely on their

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length of continuous service in the chamber.

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It usually follows a certain logic, though. The

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person who has been in the Senate longer is generally

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older in age, having had more time to build a

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long political career before arriving in Washington.

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But that is not always the case. Right. And there

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is this incredibly fun piece of trivia here.

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Hawaii is one of only 14 states to have a younger

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senior senator and an older junior senator. It's

00:12:37.389 --> 00:12:39.759
a very specific club. Let me actually list those

00:12:39.759 --> 00:12:41.940
out for flavor because it's so quirky. The states

00:12:41.940 --> 00:12:45.740
are California, Colorado, Georgia, Idaho, Louisiana,

00:12:46.100 --> 00:12:48.799
Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Missouri, Nevada,

00:12:49.000 --> 00:12:52.080
Pennsylvania, South Dakota, Utah, and of course,

00:12:52.080 --> 00:12:54.860
Hawaii. Right. So in Hawaii, Brian Schatz is

00:12:54.860 --> 00:12:56.759
the senior senator, despite being younger in

00:12:56.759 --> 00:12:59.360
age, and Mazie Hirono is the junior senator,

00:12:59.500 --> 00:13:01.720
despite being older. This raises an important

00:13:01.720 --> 00:13:05.539
question. Exactly why did this age quirk happen

00:13:05.539 --> 00:13:08.590
in Hawaii? because the timeline spells it out

00:13:08.590 --> 00:13:10.889
day by day, and it all comes down to a razor

00:13:10.889 --> 00:13:13.230
-thin margin of just over a week. Just over a

00:13:13.230 --> 00:13:15.110
week. Let's walk through the exact sequence of

00:13:15.110 --> 00:13:18.269
events at the very end of 2012. As we discussed,

00:13:18.649 --> 00:13:20.809
Daniel Newey was the longest -serving senator

00:13:20.809 --> 00:13:24.000
holding that Class 3 seat. He tragically died

00:13:24.000 --> 00:13:27.220
in office on December 17th, 2012. OK, so suddenly

00:13:27.220 --> 00:13:29.860
there is a totally unexpected vacancy in a state

00:13:29.860 --> 00:13:32.679
that almost never, ever has vacancies. Exactly.

00:13:32.740 --> 00:13:35.620
For nine days from December 17 to December 26,

00:13:35.899 --> 00:13:37.919
the seat was officially vacant. Then on December

00:13:37.919 --> 00:13:41.019
26, 2012, Brian Schatz was officially appointed

00:13:41.019 --> 00:13:43.440
by the governor to continue Inouye's term. Got

00:13:43.440 --> 00:13:45.879
it. So Schatz's clock of continuous service in

00:13:45.879 --> 00:13:48.340
the Senate officially started ticking on that

00:13:48.340 --> 00:13:51.440
exact date. December 26. OK, I want you to hold

00:13:51.440 --> 00:13:54.639
that date in your mind. December 26, 2012. Meanwhile,

00:13:54.779 --> 00:13:57.220
over in the class one seat, Daniel Akaka had

00:13:57.220 --> 00:13:59.960
already decided to retire. His term was legally

00:13:59.960 --> 00:14:03.139
scheduled to end on January 3, 2013. Right. The

00:14:03.139 --> 00:14:05.320
voters had already held the 2012 general election

00:14:05.320 --> 00:14:07.740
to pick his successor, and Maisie Hirono had

00:14:07.740 --> 00:14:10.519
won that election. But even though she won, her

00:14:10.519 --> 00:14:13.039
term did not legally begin until the new Congress

00:14:13.039 --> 00:14:16.279
convened on January 3, 2013. So look at the board.

00:14:16.919 --> 00:14:18.860
You have Brian Schatz, who was appointed to an

00:14:18.860 --> 00:14:21.639
empty seat on December 26th. And you have Maisie

00:14:21.639 --> 00:14:24.179
Hirono, who took office for her new term on January

00:14:24.179 --> 00:14:27.299
3rd. That is a difference of exactly eight days.

00:14:27.440 --> 00:14:29.860
Eight days. Because Schatz was appointed to fill

00:14:29.860 --> 00:14:32.340
a sudden vacancy just eight days before Hirono's

00:14:32.340 --> 00:14:35.399
regularly scheduled term began, he secured permanent

00:14:35.399 --> 00:14:38.480
seniority over her. Those eight extra days give

00:14:38.480 --> 00:14:40.379
the younger Schatz the title of senior senator

00:14:40.379 --> 00:14:42.940
over the older Hirono. It is amazing how a margin

00:14:42.940 --> 00:14:45.559
of just eight days in late December of 2012 set

00:14:45.559 --> 00:14:47.639
the entire hierarchy for the state's federal

00:14:47.639 --> 00:14:49.980
representation for more than a decade and counting.

00:14:50.200 --> 00:14:52.039
It really is. And, you know, in the U .S. Senate,

00:14:52.159 --> 00:14:54.320
seniority is everything. It's how you get the

00:14:54.320 --> 00:14:56.320
best committee assignments, the most funding,

00:14:56.399 --> 00:14:59.980
the best office space. So by keeping their senators

00:14:59.980 --> 00:15:02.840
in office for life and having these quirky appointment

00:15:02.840 --> 00:15:08.559
timelines, system to maximize its power in Washington?

00:15:08.820 --> 00:15:11.299
They absolutely have. It is these tiny granular

00:15:11.299 --> 00:15:13.980
details, these little quirks of timing that make

00:15:13.980 --> 00:15:17.340
reading a timeline like this so rewarding. You

00:15:17.340 --> 00:15:19.220
start with a simple list of names and dates,

00:15:19.340 --> 00:15:22.980
and you uncover a massive story of timing, appointments,

00:15:23.059 --> 00:15:25.320
and permanent seniority. It really is a perfect

00:15:25.320 --> 00:15:27.500
synthesis of everything we've discussed today.

00:15:27.799 --> 00:15:30.519
We set out to find the aha moments in what initially

00:15:30.519 --> 00:15:33.600
appeared to be a standard Wikipedia table. And

00:15:33.600 --> 00:15:35.179
we found a lot. And what did we actually find?

00:15:35.299 --> 00:15:38.120
We found a fortress of incumbency where an incumbent

00:15:38.120 --> 00:15:40.539
senator has literally never been defeated in

00:15:40.539 --> 00:15:43.600
a primary or general election. We found an unmatched

00:15:43.600 --> 00:15:46.470
partisan streak. With the state holding the longest

00:15:46.470 --> 00:15:48.830
active record for an all -democratic delegation,

00:15:49.230 --> 00:15:52.889
dating all the way back to 1970, we found historic

00:15:52.889 --> 00:15:55.830
demographic representation, with the class one

00:15:55.830 --> 00:15:58.169
seat being the only one in the nation to always

00:15:58.169 --> 00:16:01.250
be held by an ethnic minority. And we found a

00:16:01.250 --> 00:16:04.409
highly exclusive club of only seven people, capped

00:16:04.409 --> 00:16:07.370
off by an eight -day seniority quirk that defined

00:16:07.370 --> 00:16:09.250
the power dynamic of the current delegation.

00:16:09.960 --> 00:16:12.779
It is truly a masterclass in how much you can

00:16:12.779 --> 00:16:14.740
learn just by paying attention to the details

00:16:14.740 --> 00:16:17.139
and asking the right questions. We want to thank

00:16:17.139 --> 00:16:19.000
you so much for coming along on this exploration

00:16:19.000 --> 00:16:21.259
with us today. Definitely. We really hope this

00:16:21.259 --> 00:16:23.740
deep dive provided you with a satisfying aha

00:16:23.740 --> 00:16:26.259
moment and proved that even the most seemingly

00:16:26.259 --> 00:16:28.580
straightforward data can be packed with surprises

00:16:28.580 --> 00:16:31.679
without overwhelming you with information overload.

00:16:32.490 --> 00:16:34.649
You stuck with us through the dates, the streaks

00:16:34.649 --> 00:16:36.450
and the math, and we hope you feel a little more

00:16:36.450 --> 00:16:38.110
well -informed about the fascinating political

00:16:38.110 --> 00:16:41.309
anomalies of the Aloha State. But before we sign

00:16:41.309 --> 00:16:44.649
off, I want to leave you with one final lingering

00:16:44.649 --> 00:16:47.970
thought to mull over something that builds directly

00:16:47.970 --> 00:16:50.289
on the data we've explored today. Okay, let's

00:16:50.289 --> 00:16:53.990
hear it. If Hawaii is truly the only U .S. state

00:16:53.990 --> 00:16:56.990
that has literally never defeated an incumbent

00:16:56.990 --> 00:17:00.590
senator in a primary or general election, What

00:17:00.590 --> 00:17:02.809
does that actually mean for an ambitious up and

00:17:02.809 --> 00:17:06.410
coming politician in the state? Oh, wow. If you

00:17:06.410 --> 00:17:09.470
are a young leader with fresh ideas, do you simply

00:17:09.470 --> 00:17:11.690
have to wait for a decades long incumbent to

00:17:11.690 --> 00:17:14.809
retire or pass away? before you even have a statistical

00:17:14.809 --> 00:17:16.950
chance of serving your state in the Senate. That

00:17:16.950 --> 00:17:19.650
is such a fascinating paradox to leave them with.

00:17:19.710 --> 00:17:22.349
It is the ultimate double -edged sword. You have

00:17:22.349 --> 00:17:24.829
an incredible system of absolute stability and

00:17:24.829 --> 00:17:27.210
unmatched federal seniority that really benefits

00:17:27.210 --> 00:17:29.990
the state, but at the exact same time, it creates

00:17:29.990 --> 00:17:33.009
a massive potential bottleneck for new voices

00:17:33.009 --> 00:17:35.970
and new leadership. It really does. It is definitely

00:17:35.970 --> 00:17:37.970
something to think about next time you look at

00:17:37.970 --> 00:17:40.789
a ballot. Thank you again for joining us for

00:17:40.789 --> 00:17:43.109
this deep dive. Keep asking questions, keep looking

00:17:43.109 --> 00:17:45.730
closely at the data, and keep digging into the

00:17:45.730 --> 00:17:48.569
hidden stories behind everyday information. We

00:17:48.569 --> 00:17:49.410
will catch you next time.
