WEBVTT

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So I want you to picture a very specific kind

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of failure. Oh, this is going to be good. Right.

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Because usually when we talk about disasters

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on this deep dive, we imagine something physically

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breaking, like an engine exploding or a catastrophic

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mechanical flaw. A wing snapping off. Exactly.

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But today, we're looking at a disaster where

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almost every single piece of billion dollar technology

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was working perfectly. and it still resulted

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in this massive pile of scrap metal sitting at

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the bottom of a freezing fjord. It really is

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the ultimate paradox of the modern age. I mean,

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you have one of the most advanced warships in

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the world, right? A Fritjof Nansen -class frigate.

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Built to hunt submarines? Hunt subs, track supersonic

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missiles, survive high -intensity warfare, and

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yet it gets taken out by a slow -moving oil tanker

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on a totally calm, clear night. It sounds like

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a bad joke, or like a massive plot hole in a

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movie. But it's real. It is entirely real. This

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is the story of the H &O MS Helgingstad and the

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oil tanker Solitis. Welcome back to the deep

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dive. Glad to be. Today we're combing through

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the official accident investigation reports,

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the court transcripts from the Norwegian legal

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system, maritime logs all to figure out how this

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happened. And honestly, the how is terrifying

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because it's just so deeply human. Yeah, that's

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our mission today. We aren't just looking at

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a boat crash. We're unpacking this this perfect

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storm of. cognitive bias, invisible design flaws,

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and communication breakdowns. It turned a routine

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navigation exercise into a total loss for NATO.

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A total loss. So let's set the board. We have

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two massive players here. First up, the victim.

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if we can call it that. The Hel Ingstad. Right.

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The pride of the Royal Norwegian Navy. She's

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134 meters long, valued at nearly 5 billion Norwegian

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kroner, just unequipped. Which is astronomical.

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And much, much more once you add all the weapon

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systems. She had just finished this massive NATO

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exercise called Trident Juncture. So you've got

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a crew of 137 people, highly trained, coming

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off a really high -tempo operation. And she's

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fast. Very fast, capable of roughly 26 knots.

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She's designed to be sleek, agile, and stealthy.

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Yes. Stealthy is a key word here because it plays

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a huge role in the setup. They weren't just sailing

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normally. No, they were navigating the Hiltiff

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Jordan, which is a super busy shipping lane north

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of Bergen. And they were doing it in what's called

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passive mode. Meaning they had their AIs switched

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off. AIS being the Automatic Identification System.

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Right. Think of AIS as like a digital name tag.

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Every commercial ship broadcasts its name, speed,

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heading, position to everyone else. It pops up

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on digital charts. But the hell Jinxtad turned

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that transmit function off? For training purposes.

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They wanted to practice navigating without giving

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away their position, just like they would in

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an actual war zone. So they can see everyone

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else on their screens, but to the digital systems

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of the other ships, the frigate is effectively

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a ghost. To the digital systems, yes. Right.

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I mean, they still show up as a blip on raw radar,

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but there's no data attached, no name, just this

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anonymous echo moving through the dark. OK, so

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we have a ghost ship doing 17 knots through a

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busy fjord. Who is in the other corner? The heavyweight

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champion. A Maltese -flagged oil tanker. And

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this thing is a Leviathan. 250 meters long, almost

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twice the length of the frigate. And fully loaded

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with 625 ,000 barrels of crude oil. That is just

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a massive amount of massive momentum. It's basically

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a freight train on water. And it's being escorted

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by a tugboat. the 10X, they had just pulled away

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from the store terminal. Now usually when a tanker

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leaves a terminal, it's this slow, loud, very

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obvious affair you'd think would be impossible

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to miss. And yet we're here discussing a collision.

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Exactly. This is where we need to get into the

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head of the bridge crew on the frigate. The investigation

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talks a lot about an optical illusion. How do

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you get an optical illusion with a giant lit

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up tanker? This is the psychological pivot point

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of the whole disaster. The Sola TS had left the

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dock, right? But the crew hadn't turned off their

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deck floodlights yet. These are incredibly bright

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industrial halogen lights used to illuminate

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the work deck so the crew can see what they're

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doing while leaving port. OK, but it's super

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bright. Shouldn't that make it easier to see?

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You would think so. But from the angle the halogen

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stod was approaching, those bright deck lights

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totally drowned out the tanker's navigation light.

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The red and green ones. Right, the lights that

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actually tell you which way a ship is moving.

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Even worse, the tanker was still physically very

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close to the terminal it just left. Ah, I see

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where this is going. The terminal has lights

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too. The stir terminal is lit up like a Christmas

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tree. So when the crew on the frigate looked

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out the window, they didn't see a ship moving

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toward them. They saw a cluster of bright lights

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that blended perfectly with the background lights

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of the terminal. Object constancy. Their brains

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just decided that is a stationary object. Precisely.

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They identified the tanker as part of the dock.

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They thought they were looking at a stationary

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extension of the land. And once that mental model

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locks in, it becomes incredibly hard to break.

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But wait, there are other safeguards. What about

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the traffic control center? The FedGVTS? They're

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watching the screens, right? Like the air traffic

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controllers of the sea. They are. But remember

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that AIS issue? The passive mode? Right. The

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traffic controller sees a blip on his radar moving

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south. But because the frigate isn't broadcasting

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its ID, he has no idea it's a warship. He doesn't

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know it's the Helgingstad. So the frigate thinks

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the tanker is a dock. The tanker sees a blip

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but doesn't know what it is, and traffic control

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is looking at an anonymous echo. Everyone is

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operating in this fog of partial information.

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And the clock is ticking. We can actually trace

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the radio logs, the VHF recordings, and it is

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just agonizing to listen to. What happens? About

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three minutes before impact, the Sola TS pilot

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calls up traffic control. He sees this fast moving

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echo on his radar coming straight at him. He

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asks, who is this ship coming towards me? A totally

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reasonable question. What does FEDGY say? The

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traffic controller says, I don't know. Wow. He

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literally couldn't identify the target initially.

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That has to be chilling for the tanker pilot.

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You have a collision course target, and the authorities

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don't even know who it is. So the tanker tries

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to signal physically. They use an Aldus lamp,

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which is a powerful Morse signal lamp, and they

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flash it directly at the bridge of the oncoming

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frigate. Like flashing your high beams on the

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highway to say, hey, wake up. Exactly. But think

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about the confirmation bias we just talked about.

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The frigate crew thinks they're looking at the

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terminal. Right. If you see a flashing light

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on a quote unquote stationary terminal, what

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do you think it is? I don't know. Someone working

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on the dock. A flickering floodlight. Exactly.

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They didn't interpret it as a warning signal.

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They interpreted it as background noise that

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just fit their existing theory. This is the danger

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of a strong mental model. It just filters out

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everything that contradicts it. So at some point,

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they must have gotten on the radio. They did,

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but it was too late and way too confused. The

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traffic center finally deduced it might be the

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Helgingstead. So the pilot on the tanker gets

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on the radio. He is very clear. He says, turn

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starboard immediately. Varon Wright, get out

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of the way. Standard evasion. And the officer

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of the watch on the Helgingstead replies, no.

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He refuses. He refuses. He says, if I turn starboard,

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I'll get too close to the blocks. The block.

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He means the shore. Remember, in his head, the

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tanker is the shore. He thinks the pilot is telling

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him to drive his ship onto the rocks. Oh, man.

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That is tragic irony. The move that would save

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them is the one move he thinks will destroy them.

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He actually says they will wait to turn until

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they have passed the object. He thinks he can

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squeeze between the object and his port side.

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He doesn't realize the object is moving toward

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him at seven knots, and he's closing at 17 knots.

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That's a closing speed of almost 25 knots. And

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then impact. 401 AM. And it wasn't a head -on

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crash. It was a side swipe, which in maritime

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terms is often way worse. Why is a side swipe

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worse? Because the tanker has these massive steel

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protrusions on the bow called anchor cleats.

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They're basically giant steel horns. And against

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the sleek steel of a frigate. It acted like a

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giant can opener. It caught the starboard side

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of the Helging stud and tore a 45 -meter long

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gash right along the hull. 45 meters? It shredded

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the side of the ship, opening up the crew quarters,

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the canteen, and critically, the generator room.

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What about the tanker? Barely scratched. Just

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kidding. Some paint scraping, minor bow damage.

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It's a double -hulled supertanker. It barely

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felt it, but the frigate spun out of control.

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They lost steering, lost engine power. OK, but

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here's where I get confused. This is a warship.

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It's designed to take a missile hit. It has watertight

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compartments, bulkheads. It's like an ice cube

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tray, right? If you puncture one cube, the others

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stay dry. Why did a single gash sink the whole

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ship? This is where the story shifts from human

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error to an incredible engineering failure. And

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this is the part that triggered massive lawsuits

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later on. Theoretically, the Helging Stard was

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designed to survive flooding in any two watertight

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compartments. OK. The collision opened up two

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or three. It really should have floated. But

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it didn't. No. And the reason was hidden deep

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inside the mechanics of the ship, the propeller

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shafts, the long tubes connecting the engines

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to the propellers at the back. On this specific

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class of ship, those shafts were hollow. Hollow.

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Why does that matter? Well, the collision flooded

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the generator room. The propeller shafts ran

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right through that room. The water filled the

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room, found its way into those hollow shafts

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and used them like a secret tunnel. Wait, you

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mean the water traveled inside the spinning shafts?

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Inside the shafts. It bypassed the watertight

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bulkheads completely and just poured out into

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the gear room and the engine rooms further back

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in the ship. So the bulkheads were doing their

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job holding the water back, but the water just

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went straight through the pipes running through

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the bulkheads. Exactly. It completely defeated

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the entire compartmentalization strategy. Suddenly,

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the crew wasn't fighting a localized flood. Water

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was appearing in rooms that hadn't even been

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touched by the collision. That sounds like a

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catastrophic design oversight. The investigation

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board certainly thought so. They called it a

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critical safety issue not just for the ship but

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for the entire class of frigates. But we can't

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lay it all on the design either. There is total

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chaos on board. The human element again. Right.

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As the ship was flooding, the crew evacuated.

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And in the panic, and keep in mind, it was pitch

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black, freezing water, screaming metal everywhere.

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They didn't close all the watertight doors and

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hatches behind them. They left the doors open.

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Several of them. The investigation found that

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progressive flooding occurred through hatches

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left open during the evacuation. So you had water

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tunneling through the shafts from below and water

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spreading through open doors from above. The

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ship just didn't stand a chance. But the captain

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did try to save it, though. I remember seeing

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photos of the ship up against the rocks. Yeah,

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he made a split second decision to run the ship

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aground. He pushed it onto the rocky shore to

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literally stop it from sinking into the deep

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water of the fjord. And for a few days it just

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sat there leaning precariously. It became this

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massive public spectacle. And this leads us to

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the salvage operation, which, from the reports,

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sounds like it was a disaster in its own right.

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It was a slow -motion car crash. You have a multi

00:11:35.389 --> 00:11:38.029
-billion kroner asset teetering on the rocks.

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The Navy and salvage crews rushed in. They tried

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to secure the frigate to the shore using heavy

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steel cables to pin it in place. Secure it so

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it wouldn't slide down the underwater slope.

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Exactly. But this operation was heavily criticized.

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The Green Warriors of Norway, which is an environmental

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group, were watching closely. They publicly called

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the cables sewing thread. Sewing thread. That

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is not what you want to hear about the gear holding

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up a billion dollar warship. Were they right?

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Tragically, yes. On the morning of November 13th,

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so a few days after the crash, the cable started

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to smoke. Smoke from the tension. Friction and

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tension. And then snap. One by one, the cables

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burst. The ship slid down the embankment and

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sank almost completely underwater. Only the very

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top of the radar tower was left sticking out

00:12:24.039 --> 00:12:26.620
of the fjord. That image is seared into my brain.

00:12:27.080 --> 00:12:30.080
A top tier NATO asset totally submerged in freezing

00:12:30.080 --> 00:12:32.299
water. They did eventually raise it, though.

00:12:32.519 --> 00:12:34.720
They brought in these massive crane ships, the

00:12:34.720 --> 00:12:38.120
Gulliver and the Rambiz. They lifted it out and

00:12:38.120 --> 00:12:41.600
barged it to a naval base. But, you know, saltwater

00:12:41.600 --> 00:12:44.820
is the ultimate enemy of electronics. After sitting

00:12:44.820 --> 00:12:47.710
underwater for months, the ship was toast. So

00:12:47.710 --> 00:12:50.590
let's talk numbers. What is the final bill for

00:12:50.590 --> 00:12:53.470
a mistake like this? Astronomical. When they

00:12:53.470 --> 00:12:55.850
finally assessed the damage, the repair estimate

00:12:55.850 --> 00:13:00.210
came in between 12 and 14 billion Norwegian kroner.

00:13:00.389 --> 00:13:02.730
And what's the cost of a new ship? About 11 to

00:13:02.730 --> 00:13:05.129
13 billion. So it is literally cheaper to buy

00:13:05.129 --> 00:13:07.490
a brand new destroyer than to fix the wet one.

00:13:07.870 --> 00:13:09.710
Correct. The Ministry of Defense declared it

00:13:09.710 --> 00:13:12.090
a total loss. They stripped it for spare parts

00:13:12.090 --> 00:13:14.690
and sold the metal for scrap. I'm almost afraid

00:13:14.690 --> 00:13:17.970
to ask, what's the scrap value of a 5 billion

00:13:17.970 --> 00:13:21.350
kroner frigate? About 15 to 18 million kroner,

00:13:21.549 --> 00:13:24.629
it's pennies on the dollar, a 99 % loss of value.

00:13:24.950 --> 00:13:26.769
That brings us to the accountability side of

00:13:26.769 --> 00:13:29.370
things. Because in the military, usually if you

00:13:29.370 --> 00:13:32.470
lose a ship, heads roll. Who took the fall for

00:13:32.470 --> 00:13:34.679
this? This is where it gets legally very messy.

00:13:35.019 --> 00:13:37.960
The Accident Investigation Board, the AIBN, was

00:13:37.960 --> 00:13:40.679
very careful. They concluded that this wasn't

00:13:40.679 --> 00:13:43.919
the fault of one single person. It was systemic.

00:13:44.139 --> 00:13:47.179
How so? They blamed training deficiencies. They

00:13:47.179 --> 00:13:49.899
blamed the confusion caused by the tanker's lights.

00:13:50.120 --> 00:13:52.759
And they heavily blame the passivity of the traffic

00:13:52.759 --> 00:13:55.000
control center. So nobody went to jail? Will

00:13:55.000 --> 00:13:57.820
the state fine the Ministry of Defense 10 million

00:13:57.820 --> 00:14:00.759
kroner for corporate negligence? Wait, the Ministry

00:14:00.759 --> 00:14:03.220
of Defense is the state? So the government basically

00:14:03.220 --> 00:14:06.100
fined itself? Essentially, yes. It's a way of

00:14:06.100 --> 00:14:08.220
formally acknowledging institutional failure.

00:14:08.779 --> 00:14:11.980
But they did go after one person, the officer

00:14:11.980 --> 00:14:14.220
of the watch. the young officer in charge of

00:14:14.220 --> 00:14:16.200
the bridge that night. A guy who said no to the

00:14:16.200 --> 00:14:18.899
turn command. Him. He faced criminal prosecution.

00:14:19.539 --> 00:14:21.919
The argument was that despite the confusing lights,

00:14:22.139 --> 00:14:24.860
despite the systemic issues, he had working radar.

00:14:25.100 --> 00:14:27.860
He had instruments. He failed to use them and

00:14:27.860 --> 00:14:30.759
relied solely on his eyes. Navigating by sight

00:14:30.759 --> 00:14:32.559
when you have millions of dollars of sensors

00:14:32.559 --> 00:14:35.200
available right in front of you. Exactly. The

00:14:35.200 --> 00:14:37.759
court ruled his actions were clearly unjustifiable.

00:14:38.440 --> 00:14:41.360
He was sentenced to 60 days of suspended imprisonment.

00:14:41.559 --> 00:14:45.740
He appealed, but as of late 2023, that sentence

00:14:45.740 --> 00:14:48.740
was upheld. It just feels like a very heavy birdie

00:14:48.740 --> 00:14:52.220
for one guy to carry. When the VTS failed, the

00:14:52.220 --> 00:14:54.539
tanker lights were blinding and the ship had

00:14:54.539 --> 00:14:58.100
a hidden design flaw. Speaking of which, what

00:14:58.100 --> 00:15:00.440
happened with that hollow shaft issue? Did the

00:15:00.440 --> 00:15:03.019
Navy just eat that cost? Oh, absolutely not.

00:15:03.419 --> 00:15:05.259
The Norwegian government turned around and sued

00:15:05.259 --> 00:15:08.009
the shipbuilder, Navantia. A Spanish company.

00:15:08.230 --> 00:15:11.769
This is a massive lawsuit. 13 .3 billion Croner.

00:15:11.850 --> 00:15:14.070
They want the full replacement costs. Yeah. They

00:15:14.070 --> 00:15:15.929
argue that the ship shouldn't have sunk. They

00:15:15.929 --> 00:15:17.809
say if the shafts weren't hollow or if the seals

00:15:17.809 --> 00:15:19.529
had worked properly, the ship would have just

00:15:19.529 --> 00:15:21.870
been damaged, not lost. And what does Devante

00:15:21.870 --> 00:15:23.950
say? You crashed it. You bought it. Pretty much.

00:15:24.200 --> 00:15:27.159
Navantia fights back hard. They argue that the

00:15:27.159 --> 00:15:29.159
hollow shaft design is standard for that class

00:15:29.159 --> 00:15:31.120
of ship and complied with all the regulations

00:15:31.120 --> 00:15:33.799
at the time. They also point out that the Norwegian

00:15:33.799 --> 00:15:36.740
Navy was operating with unaddressed deviations.

00:15:37.179 --> 00:15:39.639
Meaning the Navy knew about certain maintenance

00:15:39.639 --> 00:15:42.039
or safety issues and just ignored them. Or that

00:15:42.039 --> 00:15:43.700
the crew wasn't trained well enough to close

00:15:43.700 --> 00:15:46.919
the watertight doors. Navantia's stance is essentially,

00:15:47.519 --> 00:15:49.759
you drove it into a tanker, you left the doors

00:15:49.759 --> 00:15:52.679
open, and now you want us to pay for it. That

00:15:52.679 --> 00:15:56.940
trial is looming for late 2025. So even years

00:15:56.940 --> 00:16:00.019
later, the ripples of this crash are still hitting

00:16:00.019 --> 00:16:03.299
the courts. It's fascinating because it starts

00:16:03.299 --> 00:16:05.860
with such a simple thing, a light that was too

00:16:05.860 --> 00:16:08.539
bright, and it ends with international litigation.

00:16:08.840 --> 00:16:11.559
It really exposes the fragility of these high

00:16:11.559 --> 00:16:13.659
-tech systems we rely on. We surround ourselves

00:16:13.659 --> 00:16:16.299
with radar, AIS, collision warnings, automated

00:16:16.299 --> 00:16:19.259
barriers. But in the end, the safety of that

00:16:19.259 --> 00:16:21.539
billion -dollar vessel came down to a 20 -something

00:16:21.539 --> 00:16:23.299
-year -old looking out a window and seeing what

00:16:23.299 --> 00:16:25.740
he expected to see rather than what was actually

00:16:25.740 --> 00:16:28.299
there. Confirmation bias. It's the bug in the

00:16:28.299 --> 00:16:30.419
human operating system that no amount of technology

00:16:30.419 --> 00:16:32.700
seems to fix. And that actually brings us to

00:16:32.700 --> 00:16:35.320
the scariest statistic from the report. They

00:16:35.320 --> 00:16:38.240
found that out of 88 identified safety barriers

00:16:38.240 --> 00:16:41.000
that should have prevented this accident, 53

00:16:41.000 --> 00:16:45.039
were violated or failed. 53 out of 88. Yeah.

00:16:45.379 --> 00:16:48.259
That is a staggering failure rate. It's not even

00:16:48.259 --> 00:16:50.340
a Swiss cheese model anymore. It's just a giant

00:16:50.340 --> 00:16:53.600
hole. It is. And it leaves us with a provocative

00:16:53.600 --> 00:16:55.919
thought for everyone listening to mull over.

00:16:56.440 --> 00:16:59.320
We live in a world where our cars break for us,

00:16:59.460 --> 00:17:02.379
our planes practically fly themselves, and our

00:17:02.379 --> 00:17:05.880
ships have digital eyes. But does that safety

00:17:05.880 --> 00:17:08.940
net actually make us less safe? Because we stop

00:17:08.940 --> 00:17:12.000
looking. Because we outsource our survival instinct

00:17:12.000 --> 00:17:14.700
to the machine. The crew of the Helgeinstadt

00:17:14.700 --> 00:17:17.240
assumed the system would catch them. They assumed

00:17:17.240 --> 00:17:19.259
if there was a real threat, the radar would scream

00:17:19.259 --> 00:17:22.319
or the VTS would call. They stopped actively

00:17:22.319 --> 00:17:24.650
interrogating reality. That is a thought that

00:17:24.650 --> 00:17:26.410
will keep me up at night. Are we asleep at the

00:17:26.410 --> 00:17:28.309
wheel because we think the car is driving itself?

00:17:29.309 --> 00:17:31.430
A huge thank you to our expert for walking us

00:17:31.430 --> 00:17:34.390
through this incredible, expensive, and really

00:17:34.390 --> 00:17:36.490
tragic story today. Thank you. It's a lesson

00:17:36.490 --> 00:17:38.309
definitely worth learning. And thank you to everyone

00:17:38.309 --> 00:17:40.349
for listening to this deep dive into the Helding

00:17:40.349 --> 00:17:43.369
-Stodd collision. Stay curious, stay skeptical,

00:17:43.670 --> 00:17:45.269
and always double check what you see out the

00:17:45.269 --> 00:17:47.529
window. We'll see you on the next deep dive.
