WEBVTT

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So welcome back to the Deep Dive. Today we're

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doing something a little bit different. A little

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different, yeah. Yeah, usually we grab a massive

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stack of articles or a book, you know, heavy

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research papers and we synthesize it all for

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you. But today... Today we are looking at a ghost.

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A ghost. I mean, I thought we were looking at

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an amphibian today. We are. We are looking at

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a frog, but it really feels like a ghost. Right.

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We're diving into the curious case of this creature

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that seems to exist almost entirely as like just

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data points rather than a flesh and blood animal.

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It's the Papyrana salibensis. Ah, right. The

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salibis frog. And you're totally right. It is

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a bit of a phantom. The sort material for this

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deep dive is, and I say this with total affection

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for the platform, it's a Wikipedia stub. A stub,

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which for anyone who doesn't know is basically

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Wikipedia speak for we started this page, but

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we got tired and went to lunch. Essentially,

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yeah. It's a placeholder. It's the site explicitly

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admitting that the entry is incomplete. But,

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and I think this is why I love this topic so

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much, even a stub can tell you a massive amount

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about the history of science. If you know how

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to read it. Exactly. If you know how to look

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at the metadata, it's an exploration of a specific

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true frog that's endemic to Indonesia. Right.

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So the mission today isn't just to learn about

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a frog. It's to learn about how we actually catalog

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the natural world and more importantly, where

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the massive gaps are. Because this frog, it's

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been in our scientific system for nearly 150

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years and we still barely know it. It is the

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perfect case study in the difference between

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having data and having knowledge. We have data

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on Paparana celibensis. I am just not sure how

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much knowledge we actually have. Yeah, that makes

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sense. So let's set the scene first. Where are

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we? We are in Sulawesi, which is historically

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known as Celebes. It's a massive, incredibly

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diverse island in Indonesia. Okay, so let's start

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with the name, Paparana celibensis. It sounds

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super elegant. It sounds established. But the

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funny thing is, if you were looking for this

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exact frog just a few years ago, you wouldn't

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have found that name at all. No, you wouldn't

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have because the name papyrana is actually quite

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new. It was only assigned to this frog in 2020.

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2020. So this frog basically got a rebrand during

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the pandemic. In a way, yeah. The reclassification

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came from a researcher named Frost. But to understand

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why that 2020 shift matters, we really have to

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go back way further. We have to go back to the

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original discovery. Which was 1872. 1872, exactly.

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Described by Wilhelm Peters. Wilhelm Peters.

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Yeah, he was a German naturalist, kind of a titan

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in the field of herpetology back then. He describes

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this frog, but he obviously doesn't call it Pepperana.

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Right. Looking at the history here, the notes

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say he originally called it Rana celibensis.

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Or wait, there's another one, Limnodytes syllabensis.

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Yeah, Rana is the really important one there.

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Because for the longest time, basically for the

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entire 20th century, Rana was what biologists

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call a wastebasket taxon. A wastebasket taxon.

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Okay, that does not sound very scientific. No,

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it really doesn't. But it's exactly what it sounds

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like. Imagine you're cleaning your house. Okay.

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And you have that one drawer in the kitchen.

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If you find a rubber band, a weird battery, a

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paper clip, and you just don't know where they

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go. You throw them in the junk drawer? You throw

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them in the junk drawer. In the world of frogs,

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Rana was the junk drawer. If a biologist out

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in the field found a frog that looked like a

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standard frog. Like smooth skin, jumps well.

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Yeah, smooth skin, lays eggs in water. But it

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wasn't obviously a toad or a tree frog. They

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would just say, eh. So for over 100 years, our

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friend the Celebes frog was just sitting in the

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junk drawer with thousands of other completely

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random frogs. Pretty much. And they were classified

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by their morphology, which is just a fancy way

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of saying it. By what they look like. It looked

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like a generic frog, so it got the generic true

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frog label in the family Ranidae. Ranidae, right,

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which is the true frogs. Exactly. And during

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that time, it also had a phase where it was called

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Hylauronacellabensis, right? Yeah, there was

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a lot of shuffling. It bounced around as scientists

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tried to organize the junk drawer a little bit

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better. Hylauron was one of those attempts. Okay,

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so then came the 2020 update from Frost. What

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actually changed? Like, did the frog suddenly

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change? No, the frog didn't change at all. Our

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tools changed. We finally stopped just looking

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at the shape of the leg or the webbing of the

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toes, and we started looking at genetics. DNA

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sequencing. Ah, okay. So the move to Pepperana

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isn't just someone swapping a label on a jar.

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It's us realizing that genetically, this creature

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is distinct. Precisely. It's like finding out

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that the guy you always thought was your first

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cousin is actually a much more distant relation.

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Papyrana implies a very specific evolutionary

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lineage that is distinct from the classic Rana.

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It's a much more precise address in the tree

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of life. Exactly. Speaking of addresses, let's

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talk about where this frog actually lives on

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the ground. The name obviously gives it away

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a bit. Celebensis. Right. Named after Celebes,

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which again is Sulawesi. And the source specifically

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says it is endemic to Sulawesi. Yes. And endemic

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is a really heavy word in biology. It means it

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is found there and only there. It didn't migrate

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there from somewhere else. It evolved there.

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It is intimately tied to that specific geography.

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And Sulawesi is found in Indonesia, but I want

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to drill down into the specific location data

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provided in this stub, because honestly, this

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is where I started to get a little bit skeptical.

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Skeptical, why? Well, it lists the elevation

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range for the frog. It says it has been observed

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between 326 meters and 475 meters above sea level.

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Okay. 326 meters, not 300. Not around 350, 326.

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That is just suspiciously specific, isn't it?

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It feels like false precision. Oh, that's a really

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sharp observation. Yes. When you see a number.

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Like 326 meters in a biological survey, you aren't

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actually seeing the boundaries of the animal's

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habitat. What am I seeing? You are seeing the

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logbook of the scientist. Ah. So it literally

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just means Steve, the biologist, was standing

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exactly at 326 meters when he caught one. That

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is exactly what it means. It's a single data

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point that is masquerading as a heart boundary.

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If that exact same frog had hopped two meters

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downhill to 324 meters, the official data would

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be different. But because nobody caught it there,

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the official record forever starts at 326. Wow.

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It really highlights how thin the data actually

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is, doesn't it? Like, we act like we have this

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incredibly comprehensive map of nature, but really

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we just have a few random pins stuck in a board.

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We do. However, to be fair, that range, 326 to

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1075, it does tell us something broad that is

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useful. Which is? It tells us this is a lowland

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to mid -montane species. It's not a beach frog

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living down at a zero meter sea level. And it's

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not some high alpine specialist. It likes that

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middle ground. The humid forested slope. Right.

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It's a lowland forest species. But the habitat

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description has a little twist in it that I found

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really interesting. It says it occurs in lowland

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forest, which makes sense. But then it adds...

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that it also occurs in disturbed habitats. And

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that is arguably the most important phrase in

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the entire article. Disturbed habitats. Because

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to me, a disturbed habitat sounds like a construction

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site or a place where someone bulldozed a logging

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road. That is exactly what it is. It means logging

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areas, agricultural edges, places right near

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human villages. In conservation biology, we usually

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divide animals into two broad camps. The specialists

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and the generalists. The specialists being the

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divas. The divas, yes. The ones who need pristine

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ancient canopy cover with highly specific humidity

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levels. And if you change anything, they just

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vanish. Then the generalists. The generalists

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are the survivors. The raccoons, the pigeons,

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the rats. The animals that look at humans cutting

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down trees and say, oh, you put up a banana plantation.

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Cool, I can work with that. So Papyrana celibensis

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is basically the raccoon of the Sulawesi frog

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world. In spirit, maybe. The fact that it thrives

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in disturbed habitats suggests it is highly resilient.

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It doesn't need a perfect, untouched Eden to

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survive. It can handle the mess that humans make.

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And I guess that resilience probably explains

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the next data point we have, which is the conservation

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status. The IUCN Red List reads it as least concern.

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Which is basically the gold star of conservation.

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It means we are not currently worried about this

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species going extinct. But, and I feel like I'm

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just being the total pessimist today. I have

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to question that rating too. You're questioning

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the least concern rating. Well, look at the citation

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for it. The assessment is credited to Iskandar

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and Mumpuni. And the date of that assessment?

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2004. Yes. I see where you're going. 2004. That

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is over 20 years ago. Is it really safe to assume

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a species is of least concern based entirely

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on field data from two decades ago? That right

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there is a massive problem in conservation biology

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right now. We actually have a term for it. Data

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decay. A decay? Yeah. The assessment was completely

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accurate in 2004, but think about how much a

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place like Indonesia has changed since 2004.

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I mean, massive deforestation, palm oil expansion,

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climate change. Exactly. Sulawesi has seen really

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significant habitat loss in the last 20 years.

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So while the frog is resilient because we know

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it likes those disturbed habitats, there is always

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a limit to how much disturbance even a tough

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survivor can take. So least concern might actually

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mean least concern as far as we knew back in

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2004. It's a snapshot from the past. It is likely

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still doing OK because of that generalist nature.

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But we really can't be 100 percent sure without

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a completely new field. Which brings us back

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to the stub nature of this whole Wikipedia article.

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We have these highly specific dates. We have

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the elevation down to the single meter. We have

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the complex taxonomy history. But when you look

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for the actual description of the frog. The morphology.

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Yeah, the morphology. What does it actually look

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like? I'm reading the text and it's just it's

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not there. It is completely absent. There is

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literally no section that says it is green with

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black spots or it is brown and bumpy. If I was

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walking in a forest in Sulawesi right now at

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exactly 326 meters elevation and I picked up

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a frog, this entire Wikipedia page would be completely

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useless to me in identifying it. It's what I

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call the digital ghost problem. Oh. We have all

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the metadata, but we somehow lost the picture.

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How does that even happen? How can we have a

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fully updated 2020 taxonomic name and a sequence

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gene, but no physical description on the page?

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It is a direct byproduct of how modern database.

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work. If you look at the very bottom of the stub,

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did you see that massive block of links? Oh,

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yeah. The taxon bars. The taxon bars, right.

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It looks like a robot exploded. It's just NCBI,

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iNaturalist, IDIS, Wikidata, just alphabet soup.

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Those are all global biodiversity databases.

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And they all talk to each other. They share the

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identity of the frog, the unique ID number, the

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name Peperana celibensis, the family tree data.

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That specific type of information is very easy

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to scrape and replicate automatically across

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the Internet. So you're saying a bot built this

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Wikipedia page? A bot almost certainly built

00:11:06.419 --> 00:11:08.799
the skeleton of the page, yes. It pulled the

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taxonomy from one database, the location from

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another, and the 2004 conservation status from

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the IUCN. But a bot cannot read Wilhelm Peter's

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original 1872 German field notes and summarize

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the physical description into English for a general

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audience. Right. That requires a human being.

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That requires a human. And evidently, since the

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page was created, no human has actually gotten

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around to doing it yet. It's so fascinating.

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We have built this incredible, massive digital

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infrastructure to catalog every piece of life

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on Earth. We have the filing cabinet. We have

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the folders. The folders are labeled absolutely

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perfectly. But inside the folder. Empty pages.

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It really makes. It makes you wonder about the

00:11:45.559 --> 00:11:48.539
actual completeness of our knowledge. We tend

00:11:48.539 --> 00:11:50.279
to think that because something is on the Internet,

00:11:50.500 --> 00:11:53.000
it's known. It's the illusion of omniscience.

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We see a long list of Latin species names and

00:11:56.580 --> 00:11:58.919
we just assume we know what they are. But for

00:11:58.919 --> 00:12:01.700
a huge number of species, especially in places

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like the tropics, we effectively just have a

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name on a list. Wow. And honestly, Peperanus

00:12:07.460 --> 00:12:10.100
sullibensis is lucky. It actually got a 2020

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genetic update. Many species on these lists haven't

00:12:13.480 --> 00:12:15.960
been looked at by anyone since the 1800s. So

00:12:15.960 --> 00:12:18.440
if we zoom out and distill all this down, what

00:12:18.440 --> 00:12:21.159
is the actual story of this frog based on all

00:12:21.159 --> 00:12:24.279
these sources? It starts in 1872 with a German

00:12:24.279 --> 00:12:26.399
naturalist finding it. Right. Then it spends

00:12:26.399 --> 00:12:29.840
roughly 140 years just hiding in the Rana wastebasket.

00:12:29.980 --> 00:12:31.799
Sitting in the junk drawer. Sitting in the junk

00:12:31.799 --> 00:12:34.580
drawer. Then in 2004, some researchers check

00:12:34.580 --> 00:12:36.240
on it, find it hanging out in some disturbed

00:12:36.240 --> 00:12:38.639
forests and say, hey, you're doing. find least

00:12:38.639 --> 00:12:42.659
concern then in 2020 geneticists come along sequence

00:12:42.659 --> 00:12:45.240
its dna pull it out of the junk drawer and give

00:12:45.240 --> 00:12:48.580
it a shiny new name papyrana and now here we

00:12:48.580 --> 00:12:51.299
are today staring at a wikipedia stub that has

00:12:51.299 --> 00:12:54.039
all the bureaucratic administrative details but

00:12:54.039 --> 00:12:56.559
cannot even tell us if the frog is cute or ugly

00:12:56.559 --> 00:12:59.980
that is the perfect summary it's a creature defined

00:12:59.980 --> 00:13:02.740
way more by its bureaucratic history than its

00:13:02.740 --> 00:13:04.960
actual biology You know, there's something kind

00:13:04.960 --> 00:13:07.580
of poetic about those taxon bars. The article

00:13:07.580 --> 00:13:11.039
actually uses the phrase taxon bars with automatically

00:13:11.039 --> 00:13:14.120
added original combinations. That phrase really

00:13:14.120 --> 00:13:16.500
stuck with me. It is remarkably dry phrasing.

00:13:16.580 --> 00:13:19.159
It really is. It sounds so industrial, like we

00:13:19.159 --> 00:13:21.480
are literally manufacturing frogs in a plant.

00:13:21.659 --> 00:13:23.960
But it's actually just us trying desperately

00:13:23.960 --> 00:13:26.460
to keep track of nature before we lose it. Or

00:13:26.460 --> 00:13:29.500
before we forget what we've already found. I

00:13:29.500 --> 00:13:31.240
think that's the real danger here. We discover

00:13:31.240 --> 00:13:33.759
things and then they just get buried in the academic

00:13:33.759 --> 00:13:35.840
literature. Right. If that information doesn't

00:13:35.840 --> 00:13:38.080
make it to the surface to accessible places like

00:13:38.080 --> 00:13:40.340
Wikipedia, it effectively disappears for the

00:13:40.340 --> 00:13:42.960
general public. So Papyrana Salabensis is basically

00:13:42.960 --> 00:13:45.820
waiting for a hero. It really is. It's waiting

00:13:45.820 --> 00:13:47.740
for someone who has access to a university library

00:13:47.740 --> 00:13:51.159
or someone who's actually out in the field in

00:13:51.159 --> 00:13:54.980
Sulawesi to just log in and type a single sentence.

00:13:55.200 --> 00:13:58.970
The frog is brown. That is literally all we need

00:13:58.970 --> 00:14:01.429
to start. It sounds so simple when you say it

00:14:01.429 --> 00:14:04.429
like that. The frog is brown, but that one sentence

00:14:04.429 --> 00:14:07.330
completely bridges the gap between a sterile

00:14:07.330 --> 00:14:10.350
database entry and a living, breathing thing.

00:14:10.570 --> 00:14:12.649
Exactly. I do want to go back to the endemic

00:14:12.649 --> 00:14:14.809
part one more time before we wrap up today, because

00:14:14.809 --> 00:14:16.590
I feel like we might have glossed over the risk

00:14:16.590 --> 00:14:18.690
there a little bit. We said it's least concern,

00:14:18.789 --> 00:14:20.789
and we said it's highly resilient, but at the

00:14:20.789 --> 00:14:23.009
end of the day, it's still on an island. Yes.

00:14:23.230 --> 00:14:27.019
Island Biogeography 101. Islands are inherently

00:14:27.019 --> 00:14:29.720
fragile ecosystems. Because if something happens

00:14:29.720 --> 00:14:32.659
to Sulawesi, say a massive amphibian disease

00:14:32.659 --> 00:14:35.320
outbreak or a new invasive predator gets introduced

00:14:35.320 --> 00:14:38.179
or just catastrophic climate shifts, this frog

00:14:38.179 --> 00:14:40.120
has nowhere to run. It can't exactly hop across

00:14:40.120 --> 00:14:43.039
the ocean to Borneo. No, it can't. That is the

00:14:43.039 --> 00:14:46.440
double -edged sword of endemism. You are perfectly

00:14:46.440 --> 00:14:49.120
adapted to your specific home, but you are totally

00:14:49.120 --> 00:14:52.360
trapped in your home. And while papyrana is a

00:14:52.360 --> 00:14:55.559
survivor in disturbed habitats, every single

00:14:55.559 --> 00:14:58.440
species has a breaking point. It reminds me of

00:14:58.440 --> 00:15:01.139
those historical stories where you find a species

00:15:01.139 --> 00:15:04.879
that was common, common, common, and then just

00:15:04.879 --> 00:15:07.120
gone overnight. The passenger pigeon effect.

00:15:08.009 --> 00:15:10.110
Abundance does not always equal permanent safety.

00:15:10.389 --> 00:15:12.450
And when you're dealing with conservation data

00:15:12.450 --> 00:15:15.610
that is 20 years old, we are flying a bit blind.

00:15:15.730 --> 00:15:17.710
We are just assuming the abundance is still there.

00:15:17.830 --> 00:15:19.809
So the takeaway for you listening isn't just,

00:15:19.830 --> 00:15:22.110
hey, cool frog. It's really check your data.

00:15:22.210 --> 00:15:24.330
And update your records. Yeah. Science isn't

00:15:24.330 --> 00:15:26.409
a static thing. We tend to think of scientific

00:15:26.409 --> 00:15:28.309
facts as bricks. Once you lay them, they just

00:15:28.309 --> 00:15:31.149
stay there forever. But they don't. No. In taxonomy

00:15:31.149 --> 00:15:33.230
and conservation, facts are much more like plants.

00:15:33.429 --> 00:15:35.389
You have to water them. You have to prune them.

00:15:35.509 --> 00:15:37.590
You have to actively check if they're still alive.

00:15:37.850 --> 00:15:39.950
The fact that Pepperonis syllabensis is least

00:15:39.950 --> 00:15:42.289
concern is a plant that literally hasn't been

00:15:42.289 --> 00:15:45.149
watered since 2004. That is a brilliant analogy.

00:15:45.389 --> 00:15:48.129
And I guess the genetic name change in 2020 was

00:15:48.129 --> 00:15:51.389
a bit of necessary pruning. Exactly. We pruned

00:15:51.389 --> 00:15:54.769
the Rana branch and we grafted it onto the much

00:15:54.769 --> 00:15:56.950
more accurate Pepperonis branch. Well, this has

00:15:56.950 --> 00:15:59.389
been a surprisingly deep dive for a source page

00:15:59.389 --> 00:16:02.289
that literally only has four sentences of text.

00:16:04.240 --> 00:16:06.460
often hide the deepest secrets. Oh, look at you

00:16:06.460 --> 00:16:08.600
getting philosophical at the end here. I try.

00:16:08.860 --> 00:16:11.279
But it's true. We started with a name that sounded

00:16:11.279 --> 00:16:14.000
like a witness protection alias, and we ended

00:16:14.000 --> 00:16:17.179
up questioning the entire nature of digital knowledge

00:16:17.179 --> 00:16:19.600
and conservation. And we managed to do all of

00:16:19.600 --> 00:16:21.000
that without even needing to know what color

00:16:21.000 --> 00:16:23.440
the frog actually is. Oh, I am still absolutely

00:16:23.440 --> 00:16:26.279
dying to know. So if you are listening to this

00:16:26.279 --> 00:16:28.539
and you happen to know what Papyrana celibensis

00:16:28.539 --> 00:16:31.299
looks like, if you have a photo, a field sketch,

00:16:31.539 --> 00:16:34.200
even a doodle, please, for the love of science,

00:16:34.399 --> 00:16:37.279
upload it to the stub. Be the citation you want

00:16:37.279 --> 00:16:39.340
to see in the world. I love that. Be the citation

00:16:39.340 --> 00:16:41.360
you want to see in the world. It's true, though.

00:16:41.419 --> 00:16:44.799
We totally rely on these volunteer armies to

00:16:44.799 --> 00:16:47.720
maintain our collective digital knowledge. This

00:16:47.720 --> 00:16:50.679
stub is literally a cry for help from the database.

00:16:51.080 --> 00:16:54.080
So here's a final provocative thought to chew

00:16:54.080 --> 00:16:57.120
on today as we close out. We live in the information

00:16:57.120 --> 00:16:59.820
age. We carry the sum of human knowledge around

00:16:59.820 --> 00:17:02.500
in our pockets every single day. But when you

00:17:02.500 --> 00:17:04.359
really peel back the layers, how much of that

00:17:04.359 --> 00:17:06.880
knowledge is just scaffolding? Right. How many

00:17:06.880 --> 00:17:09.759
other papyrana celibensis entries are out there

00:17:09.759 --> 00:17:12.559
right now? Just names on a digital list waiting

00:17:12.559 --> 00:17:15.259
for a human to actually give them a story. It

00:17:15.259 --> 00:17:17.640
definitely suggests that our map of the natural

00:17:17.640 --> 00:17:20.359
world is much sketchier than we would ever like

00:17:20.359 --> 00:17:23.339
to admit. The map is not the territory. And the

00:17:23.339 --> 00:17:26.579
stub is not the frog. You said. All right. That

00:17:26.579 --> 00:17:28.640
is it for this deep dive. Go check out a stub

00:17:28.640 --> 00:17:30.579
today. Maybe fill in a blank for us. We'll see

00:17:30.579 --> 00:17:31.019
you next time.
