WEBVTT

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I want you to close your eyes for a second. Unless

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you're driving. Right, yeah, if you're driving,

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please keep them on the road. But for everyone

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else, I want you to picture this. You are sitting

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in the single most boring place on the face of

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the earth. You are on a plane. Specifically,

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you are stuck on the tarmac. Oh, the absolute

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purgatory of modern travel. Exactly. The air

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is stale. Your knees are just jammed into the

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seat in front of you. Your phone battery is hovering

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at like 12%. And you're just waiting for the

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misery of a long -haul flight to actually begin.

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Yeah. You're doom -scrolling. You're desperate

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for a distraction. And then the atmosphere just

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shifts. The social contract breaks. A woman stands

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up two rows ahead of you, and she isn't heading

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to the bathroom. She starts walking down the

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aisle very slowly. Very deliberately. It's so

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creepy. It really is. She stops at a row, points

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a finger right at a passenger, and tells him

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exactly how they're going to die and when. And

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not just a vague, you know, you will die someday

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kind of thing. Specifics, cause of death, age.

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Then she moves to the next person, then the next.

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And then she stops, turns, and points at you.

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It is a terrifying visualization. And it's the

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exact premise that kicks off the book we are

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diving into today. Today we're doing a deep dive

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into Here One Moment by Leanne Moriarty. Now,

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if you've been anywhere near a bookshelf in the

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last decade, you know Moriarty. Little Lies,

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Nine Perfect Strangers. She is the undisputed

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heavyweight champion of the domestic thriller.

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She really is. She certainly knows how to ruin

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a perfectly good dinner party, or in this case,

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a domestic flight. But here's the thing. As I

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was prepping for this, looking through the stack

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of research you pulled, I realized something.

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Yeah. This book, which came out back in September

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2024, it initially sells itself as this spooky,

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almost supernatural mystery. You have a death

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lady on a flight. But as we dig into the sources,

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specifically the critical reception and the author's

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own research notes, we find that this isn't really

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a ghost story at all. No, it's not. It creates

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that illusion perfectly, but underneath, it's

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something much sharper. It feels more like a

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controlled experiment on human nature. That is

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the perfect way to frame it. It's a study on

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probability, on the way our brains process data,

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and how we handle the knowledge of our own mortality.

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Right. It asks a question that's honestly more

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mathematical than magical. Right. Which is, if

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you strip away the illusion of control, do people

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break? And that's our mission for today's deep

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dive. We are going to look past the spooky hook

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and see what this book is really saying about

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fate and data. Because the premise terrified

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me, but the analysis you've got lined up makes

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me think there is a lot more math involved than

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I expected. There is always more math than you

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expect. Yeah. But trust me, in this context,

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the math is actually the scary part. Well, let's

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not get ahead of ourselves. Let's set the scene

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properly. Let's unpack that flight. Sure. The

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book opens on a route from Hobart, Tasmania to

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Sydney, a standard, totally boring domestic route.

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And that mundane... setting is crucial right

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horror always hits harder when it disrupts something

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totally boring enter the woman her name is cherry

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and readers actually learn that pretty early

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on around page 92 according to the notes so we

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aren't dealing with some nameless monster here

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she's a person right and the source material

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notes something crucial about her background

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immediately her mother was a psychic medium so

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right out of the gate moriarty is planting a

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seed of doubt is this ability Is it real magic?

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Or is this just a learned behavior from growing

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up in that specific environment? And she walks

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down the aisle pointing at people without permission.

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Can we just talk about the violation? Oh, it's

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massive. You're stuck in a metal tube. You can't

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leave. And someone is screaming your expiration

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date at you. It is an extreme violation of social

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norms. And she gives them the cause of death

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and their age. And then she drops this line that

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the sources highlight over and over. She says,

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fate won't be fought. Fate won't be fought. I

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mean, that is a conversation stopper. It creates

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immediate psychological chaos. Now, obviously,

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the plane eventually lands. And in a normal world,

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the passengers would get off, collect their bags,

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and tell their friends about the crazy lady in

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C -12B. They'd laugh it off. That's exactly what

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I would do. I'd be tweeting about it before I

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even left the airport. But then the other shoe

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drops. The catalyst. The sources tell us that

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in the aftermath, three of the passengers actually

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die. And they don't just die of random, unrelated

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causes. No. They die in strangely odd ways that

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perfectly match the predictions Cherry made on

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the plane. Okay, that is where the panic sets

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in. If nothing happened, it's a funny anecdote.

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But once you have three data points that match

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the prediction, it stops being a story and starts

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looking like a pattern. Exactly. And this is

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where the sociological experiment really begins.

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The remaining passengers are thrust into absolute

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panic. They form a Facebook group because, of

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course, they do to obsess over the deaf lady.

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Naturally. And we start to see these different

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archetypes of human behavior emerging. Oh, absolutely.

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The summary mentions that the central conflict

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becomes how these people change their lives.

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You've got some who just accept it, right? The

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fatalists. Yeah, the ones who say, well, the

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spreadsheet says I die at 45, so I might as well

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stop worrying. And then you have the ones who

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try to cheat death, which, good luck with that.

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That is the classic self -fulfilling prophecy

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setup. The sources discuss this tension deeply.

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Are these people dying because she predicted

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it? Or did she predict it because she could see

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the trajectory they were already on? Right. Like

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if you tell someone they are going to die in

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a car crash, maybe they get so anxious behind

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the wheel that they actually cause the crash.

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It completely messes with your head. So where

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does an idea like this even come from? Did Leanne

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Moriarty have a brush with the occult? Actually,

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no. She had a brush with something much more

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common. Extreme boredom. Really? Boredom? Yeah.

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The ordnance story here is incredibly relatable.

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Moriarty was waiting for a flight out of Hobart.

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just like the characters in the book. And this

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is a nightmare for a writer. She realized she

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didn't have a book to read. No book. That is

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tragic. I panic if I don't have three podcasts

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downloaded just for a grocery run. Exactly. So

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she was stuck at the gate with nothing to do.

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So she did what anyone would do. She started

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people watching. She looked around the gate area

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at all these strangers and she had this sudden

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epiphany. She realized that eventually every

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single person in that room would die. I mean,

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true, but a little dark for a Tuesday afternoon

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at the airport. It is dark, but it's also just

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factual. She realized that one day, the data

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on everyone's death, the specific age, the specific

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cause, would be a matter of public record. It

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would literally be a fact on a death certificate

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somewhere. Okay, when you put it that way, it's

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less about magic and more about bureaucracy.

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Precisely. The what if that sparked the novel

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wasn't imagine if I could see the future. It

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was simply imagine if that information, which

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will exist one day, was available right now.

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That is a really interesting way to frame it.

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It's not predicting the unknown. It's accessing

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the inevitable. Yes. And we have to connect this

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to the bigger picture of Moriarty's life at the

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time, because the sources highlight that this

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wasn't just a random thriller idea she pulled

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out of a hat. She had been thinking about mortality

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quite a bit. Oh, what was going on? Well, she

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and her sister had both been dealing with breast

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cancer. Oh, wow. Yeah. And her father had passed

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away a few years prior. So she was really already

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in that headspace. She was. She mentioned in

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interviews that she and her friends were talking

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about illness and deaths constantly. It was just

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the backdrop of her life at that point. So here

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one moment comes from a place of genuine reflection

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on how fragile we are, not just an attempt to

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write a scary plot to sell books. That grounds

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the spookiness in something very real. It's that

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middle of the night fear we all have. But speaking

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of real versus spooky, let's pivot to the thing

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you teased earlier, the math. Yes, the skepticism.

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Because you mentioned a review from the Skeptical

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Inquirer that really changed how you looked at

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the book. This is where it gets fascinating for

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me. The review was written by Adrienne Hill.

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Now, Hill is a high school math teacher and a

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skeptic. So she went into this book very wary.

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She actually said she almost didn't finish it

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because she thought it was endorsing psychic

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phenomena. I can totally see that. If you're

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a science -minded person. Reading a book that

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seems to say, yes, magic is real, might be incredibly

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annoying. Exactly. But the twist, at least thematically,

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is that the book shifts. Hill noted that in the

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second half, the narrative moves heavily into

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discussions of statistics and common fallacies.

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So the Death Lady might not be magic. She might

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just be very observant. The book explores the

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concept of cold reading. Moriarty actually used

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a book called Psychic Blues. by Mark Edward for

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her research. It looks at how psychics use observation,

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probability, and broad statements to convince

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people they know things. Let's unpack cold reading

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for a second. This is like when someone says,

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I sense you've had a difficult time with a loved

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one recently. And you go, oh my God, yes. Right.

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But statistically, almost everyone has had a

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difficult time with a loved one recently. It's

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called a Barnum statement. Something that feels

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personal but actually applies to everyone? So

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Sherry, the character on the plane, might just

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be really good at guessing based on actuarial

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data. Like looking at someone and thinking, okay,

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middle -aged man, high stress, clutching his

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chest, likely a heart attack. That is the implication

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the Skeptical Review highlights. It turns out

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the Death Lady might be using observation and

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math rather than magic. It raises the question,

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if you predict enough things based on statistical

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likelihood, Eventually, you will be right. And

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the human brain is wired to remember the hits

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and forget the misses. Confirmation bias. Exactly.

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If she points at 50 people and gets three right,

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those three become legends. The 47 she got wrong,

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people just forget them. That is almost scarier

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because it implies that we are walking billboards

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for our own health issues. It suggests we are

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essentially walking data points. But there's

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another layer the skeptical inquirer praised,

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and that is the mental health aspect. The review

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points out that Moriarty does a very accurate

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job depicting specific conditions. Yeah, I saw

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mentions of smiling depression. That's a term

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we're hearing a lot more often lately. It is.

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It's that high -functioning depression where

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someone appears perfectly happy, productive,

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and put together on the outside while suffering

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intensely internally. The source notes that this

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along with obsessive compulsive disorder, or

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OCD, is portrayed with a lot of care. How does

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OCD tie into the psychic prediction stuff? I

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mean, I have an idea, but... Well, think about

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what OCD often involves. It could be a desperate

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need for certainty or control. Intrusive thoughts

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about bad things happening. Right. Now imagine

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you have that condition and someone tells you

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you will die on this exact date. Yeah. That is

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going to spiral you completely. The book details

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treatments for OCD and explores how incredibly

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harmful it can be to believe in a deterministic

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fate. So the villain isn't just the spooky prediction.

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The real villain is the belief that you have

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no choice. Precisely. It connects the thriller

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aspect to an educational one. It shows the psychological

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harm of believing that fate is locked in. It's

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not just a plot device. It's a look at how dangerous

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that loss of agency can be for the human mind.

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That makes the book sound pretty heavy. And I

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know Moriarty is known for balancing heavy things

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with wit. I mean, Big Little Lies was funny despite

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being about murder and domestic abuse. But did

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the critics think she pulled it off this time?

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I know her track record is usually spotless,

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but was this one universally loved? It was definitely

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more of a mixed bag this time around. The consensus

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wasn't nearly as unified as it was for her earlier

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hits. Who didn't like it? Let's hear the bad

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news first. Well, The Guardian was quite harsh.

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The reviewer, Adele Dumont, called the plot far

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-fetched. I mean, to be fair, a psychic pointing

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at people on a plane is far -fetched. True, but

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her criticism went deeper than just the premise.

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She called the book disappointingly orderly.

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Orderly. That's an odd critique for a thriller.

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Right. She felt that despite all these heavy

00:12:02.059 --> 00:12:04.419
themes we just discussed, domestic violence,

00:12:04.580 --> 00:12:08.399
self -harm, sex, the reader is never really unsettled.

00:12:08.460 --> 00:12:10.899
She actually described the ending as beige and

00:12:10.899 --> 00:12:13.710
paint by numbers. Ouch. Beige is a rough insult

00:12:13.710 --> 00:12:16.570
for a thriller. You want neon red or pitch black.

00:12:16.789 --> 00:12:19.009
You do not want beige. The New York Times had

00:12:19.009 --> 00:12:22.629
a pretty similar take. Leah Greenblatt felt it

00:12:22.629 --> 00:12:24.669
missed the tug and wallop of a taut thriller.

00:12:25.250 --> 00:12:27.809
She described it as feeling like a work in progress

00:12:27.809 --> 00:12:30.350
that was still searching for its final form.

00:12:30.610 --> 00:12:33.029
So some critics felt it was a bit half -baked.

00:12:33.250 --> 00:12:35.509
Or maybe that it was just trying to do too many

00:12:35.509 --> 00:12:37.669
things at once, like be a thriller, be a math

00:12:37.669 --> 00:12:40.190
lesson, be a character study. That seems to be

00:12:40.190 --> 00:12:42.179
the friction point. for the negative reviews.

00:12:42.500 --> 00:12:45.779
But surely there were fans. Oh, certainly. The

00:12:45.779 --> 00:12:47.919
Washington Post had a much more positive take.

00:12:49.019 --> 00:12:51.379
Stephanie Mary wrote that if you stop expecting

00:12:51.379 --> 00:12:54.019
a pure puzzle, you find a lot of value in it.

00:12:54.379 --> 00:12:57.440
She argued that the is she psychic or not question

00:12:57.440 --> 00:12:59.320
becomes way less interesting than the actual

00:12:59.320 --> 00:13:01.559
character study. So she liked watching the people

00:13:01.559 --> 00:13:04.899
squirm. In a way, yes. She valued the book for

00:13:04.899 --> 00:13:07.240
showing how people react to their ephemerality.

00:13:07.720 --> 00:13:10.120
She said the book induces a sense of sanguinity.

00:13:10.559 --> 00:13:12.779
Sanguinity. Okay, hold on. That is a $5 word.

00:13:12.899 --> 00:13:14.559
Let's unpack that for a second. It's a great

00:13:14.559 --> 00:13:17.120
word. It basically means a cheerful optimism

00:13:17.120 --> 00:13:19.779
or peace, specifically in the face of difficult

00:13:19.779 --> 00:13:22.200
situations. So the book about death made her

00:13:22.200 --> 00:13:25.679
feel peaceful. Yes, because it forces you to

00:13:25.679 --> 00:13:29.139
accept that we are temporary. And Hannah White

00:13:29.139 --> 00:13:31.879
from the Colgate Maroon News backed this up completely.

00:13:32.259 --> 00:13:34.879
She called the book bold. and recommended it

00:13:34.879 --> 00:13:37.240
for anyone looking to look inward, even if she

00:13:37.240 --> 00:13:39.200
admitted the structure could feel a bit overwhelming

00:13:39.200 --> 00:13:41.360
at times. It sounds like if you went in expecting

00:13:41.360 --> 00:13:43.480
a pure adrenaline thriller, you might be disappointed.

00:13:43.759 --> 00:13:45.840
But if you wanted a character study on death,

00:13:46.059 --> 00:13:48.179
you'd be happy. That seems to be the main divide

00:13:48.179 --> 00:13:51.019
among readers. And just to place it in context,

00:13:51.679 --> 00:13:54.320
Good Housekeeping ranked the Moriarty books in

00:13:54.320 --> 00:13:58.320
March 2025. They put, here, one moment at number

00:13:58.320 --> 00:14:01.059
three. Bronze medal. That's respectable. What

00:14:01.059 --> 00:14:03.159
beat it? The Husband's Secret was number one.

00:14:03.480 --> 00:14:05.799
And Big Little Lies was number two. It was sitting

00:14:05.799 --> 00:14:08.519
right behind the absolute classics. That is very

00:14:08.519 --> 00:14:11.200
good company to be in. Now, before we wrap up,

00:14:11.240 --> 00:14:13.320
I have to ask about Leanne Moriarty herself.

00:14:13.779 --> 00:14:16.299
We've talked about the book's stance on psychics,

00:14:16.340 --> 00:14:19.159
that it leans heavily toward the math and skeptic

00:14:19.159 --> 00:14:21.759
side. But what about the author? Does she believe

00:14:21.759 --> 00:14:23.759
in this stuff? Because she wrote a whole book

00:14:23.759 --> 00:14:25.879
about a woman who might be the real deal. She

00:14:25.879 --> 00:14:28.480
actually identifies as a skeptic. But she has

00:14:28.480 --> 00:14:31.100
a fantastic anecdote about visiting a psychic

00:14:31.100 --> 00:14:34.279
for research that I think, perfectly encapsulates

00:14:34.279 --> 00:14:36.440
the whole theme of the book. Oh, do tell. Did

00:14:36.440 --> 00:14:39.279
she go undercover? She did. She went to a fortune

00:14:39.279 --> 00:14:42.600
teller while researching. Here, one moment. She

00:14:42.600 --> 00:14:45.440
wanted to see the technique up close, the cold

00:14:45.440 --> 00:14:48.580
reading, the observation. So the psychic asked

00:14:48.580 --> 00:14:50.740
her a bunch of questions, including what she

00:14:50.740 --> 00:14:53.100
did for a living. And she said, I'm an international

00:14:53.100 --> 00:14:55.899
bestseller who has sold 20 million books and

00:14:55.899 --> 00:14:58.720
Nicole Kidman stars in my adaptations. She was

00:14:58.720 --> 00:15:00.600
a bit more modest than that. She just said, I

00:15:00.600 --> 00:15:03.259
write books. Okay. Vague. I like it. Give them

00:15:03.259 --> 00:15:06.080
nothing. And the psychic, in a stroke of absolute

00:15:06.080 --> 00:15:09.299
genius safety, looked at her and said, I think

00:15:09.299 --> 00:15:11.220
you should do pretty well with that. Pretty well.

00:15:11.299 --> 00:15:13.600
That is the understatement of the century. Exactly.

00:15:13.840 --> 00:15:16.000
But think about it from the perspective of cold

00:15:16.000 --> 00:15:19.580
reading. It was a prediction clearly based on

00:15:19.580 --> 00:15:22.340
safe guesses. If someone tells you they write

00:15:22.340 --> 00:15:24.759
books, telling them they'll do pretty well is

00:15:24.759 --> 00:15:28.159
a flattering, safe bet. Right. If they fail,

00:15:28.240 --> 00:15:30.409
they just think, oh. I haven't done well yet.

00:15:30.809 --> 00:15:33.610
If they succeed, the psychic looks like a genius.

00:15:33.929 --> 00:15:36.409
It's a win -win for the psychic. It really is.

00:15:36.570 --> 00:15:39.129
And it only reinforced Moriarty's skepticism.

00:15:39.429 --> 00:15:41.649
She said she would love to believe she really

00:15:41.649 --> 00:15:44.929
wants that magic to be real, but her experiences

00:15:44.929 --> 00:15:47.370
just haven't amazed her. It's all just vague

00:15:47.370 --> 00:15:50.080
validation. It's funny because that real life

00:15:50.080 --> 00:15:52.919
experience mirrors the book so perfectly. It's

00:15:52.919 --> 00:15:55.440
all about the interpretation. If she had been

00:15:55.440 --> 00:15:57.220
a struggling writer, she would have clung to

00:15:57.220 --> 00:15:59.240
that prediction as a lifeline. She wouldn't walked

00:15:59.240 --> 00:16:01.179
out of there thinking it's going to happen. The

00:16:01.179 --> 00:16:04.500
spirit said so. But because she's already wildly

00:16:04.500 --> 00:16:08.259
successful, she sees it as exactly what it is,

00:16:08.259 --> 00:16:10.840
a safe guess. That is the core of the novel,

00:16:10.879 --> 00:16:12.620
isn't it? It is not about the prediction. It's

00:16:12.620 --> 00:16:15.230
about the reception. The death lady is just a

00:16:15.230 --> 00:16:17.750
mirror reflecting the passenger's own fears and

00:16:17.750 --> 00:16:20.769
insecurities back at them. The date she gives

00:16:20.769 --> 00:16:23.009
them forced them to look at their lives right

00:16:23.009 --> 00:16:26.129
now. It forces the question, am I living the

00:16:26.129 --> 00:16:28.370
way I want to be living? So let's wrap this up.

00:16:29.840 --> 00:16:32.220
We have a book that starts with a terrifying

00:16:32.220 --> 00:16:35.299
supernatural premise on a plane. It takes us

00:16:35.299 --> 00:16:37.779
through the absolute chaos of these passengers

00:16:37.779 --> 00:16:40.620
trying to outrun their expiration dates. But

00:16:40.620 --> 00:16:43.080
ultimately, it lands as a critique of how we

00:16:43.080 --> 00:16:45.799
obsess over the future and a deconstruction of

00:16:45.799 --> 00:16:48.220
the psychic industry itself. And a pretty detailed

00:16:48.220 --> 00:16:50.259
look at mental health along the way. Is it a

00:16:50.259 --> 00:16:52.679
thriller? Yes. But it's one that asks you to

00:16:52.679 --> 00:16:54.500
bring your calculator and your therapist along

00:16:54.500 --> 00:16:57.039
for the ride. I love that. OK, here's the question

00:16:57.039 --> 00:16:59.409
I want to leave you with today. We talked about

00:16:59.409 --> 00:17:01.669
the data of death, the fact that the date and

00:17:01.669 --> 00:17:04.089
cause of your death will eventually be a matter

00:17:04.089 --> 00:17:07.529
of public record. It is a file that, theoretically,

00:17:07.869 --> 00:17:10.089
exists in the future. It is entirely inevitable.

00:17:10.490 --> 00:17:12.950
So, if that file existed right now, and it was

00:17:12.950 --> 00:17:15.009
sitting on a table right in front of you, would

00:17:15.009 --> 00:17:17.690
you open it? That is the ultimate question. Ignorance

00:17:17.690 --> 00:17:20.809
is bliss, or is knowledge power. If you knew

00:17:20.809 --> 00:17:22.789
the date, would you live differently? Would you

00:17:22.789 --> 00:17:25.309
quit your job tomorrow? Or would knowing the

00:17:25.309 --> 00:17:28.069
end just ruin the middle? I think I might be

00:17:28.069 --> 00:17:31.589
too curious to resist. I would open it, and then

00:17:31.589 --> 00:17:33.650
I would probably spend the rest of my time trying

00:17:33.650 --> 00:17:37.130
to prove the data wrong. Which ironically, as

00:17:37.130 --> 00:17:39.230
we learned today, might be exactly what causes

00:17:39.230 --> 00:17:42.089
it. See, I think I'm with the skeptics on this

00:17:42.089 --> 00:17:45.450
one. I'd rather just enjoy the flight, have my

00:17:45.450 --> 00:17:47.809
little bag of pretzels, and not know when we're

00:17:47.809 --> 00:17:49.769
landing. Probably the safer choice for your blood

00:17:49.769 --> 00:17:51.789
pressure. And that is why we make a good team.

00:17:51.869 --> 00:17:55.740
You analyze the risk, and I just ignore it. Thanks

00:17:55.740 --> 00:17:57.400
for listening to this deep dive into Here One

00:17:57.400 --> 00:17:58.859
Moment. See you next time. Bye.
