WEBVTT

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I want you to close your eyes for a second. Just

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picture the Caribbean. Oh, that's easy. White

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sand or the turquoise water. Right. Exactly.

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You're probably seeing that pristine travel brochure

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version. Maybe there's a cruise ship docked way

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out in the distance. Someone handing you a very

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colorful drink with a little paper umbrella in

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it. Yeah. Paradise. It is. Well, it's the modern

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definition of paradise, but that's a really surface

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level view of what those islands actually are.

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It really is. Yeah. So let's peel back that layer.

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of the all -inclusive resorts. I wanna zoom in

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specifically on the islands of Antigua and Barbuda.

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Okay, zooming in. And now we're gonna turn the

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clock back. How far back are we talking? Oh,

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way back. We aren't going to the Pirates. or

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even to the arrival of Columbus. Right. We are

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going back thousands of years. Before the very

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first human footstep ever disturbed that white

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sand. Exactly. To a time when those islands were

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louder, wilder, and honestly much stranger than

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they are today. A completely different world.

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In this ancient version of Antigua, there's a

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creature moving through the underbrush. And it

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isn't a bird. It isn't a reptile. Right. Which

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is what you'd expect on a remote island. Right.

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It's a mammal. Yeah. And it is not small. Definitely

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not small. We're talking about something the

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size of a large house cat. Maybe even a small

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dog. It's robust. It's furry. And it is the undisputed

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king of the ground. And here's the real kicker

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about this animal. It survived incredibly long

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odds just to get there. Unbelievable odds. It

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thrived for millennia. And then in the blink

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of a geological eye, it vanished. Poof. Gone.

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But that is not actually the strangest part of

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this whole story. No, the strangest part is its

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current status today. because usually when we

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talk about extinct animals, you know, dinosaurs,

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dodos, the woolly mammoths. We know their names.

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Exactly. We know their names. We have the museum

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t -shirts. We have the lunchboxes. The whole

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branding package. But this creature, you can

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go to a museum right now today. Like the University

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of Florida or the Smithsonian. Yeah, and you

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can literally hold its skull in your hands. We

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have the bones. We have all the measurements.

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We know exactly where it lived, what it ate,

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who ate it. We have so much data. But if you

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open the official rule book of zoology doesn't

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exist it does not it's a biological reality But

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legally it's a taxonomic boast So today we're

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doing a deep dive into this ghost of the Caribbean.

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I love that title a massive extinct rotant that

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is technically completely nameless due to this

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bizarre bureaucratic loophole that has lasted

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for over 60 years. We're talking about the creature

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that is known informally as Echplotomies. Echplotomies.

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Or, as the scientific literature rather coldly

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prefers to call it, Undescribed Species B. Undescribed

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Species B. I mean, that sounds like a vitamin

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supplement, not a giant island conqueror. It

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really lacks a certain grandeur, doesn't it?

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It's a terrible name for a king. It is. But the

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story behind that lack of a name is almost as

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fascinating as the animal itself. For this deep

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dive, we're going to be heavily referencing a

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specific Wikipedia entry that details the taxonomy,

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the morphology, and the history of this creature.

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And that entry is primarily built on the foundational

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work of a paleontologist named Clayton E. Ray.

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Clayton Ray, he's really the central detective

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in this whole mystery. He absolutely is. Okay,

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let's unpack this, because I'm reading the source

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material and it sounds like something out of

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a Kafka novel. It's very bureaucratic. How can

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an animal be sitting in a drawer at Harvard,

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fully fossilized, fully described in writing,

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and yet the scientific community collectively

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says, nope, never heard of it? To really wrap

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your head around that, we have to talk about

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the rules of the game. OK, the rules. Zoology

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isn't just about going out into the field and

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finding cool bones. I mean, that's part of it,

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but it's also about paperwork. Lots of paperwork.

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There is an official governing body called the

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ICZN. Which stands for? The International Commission

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on Zoological Nomenclature. Wow. Yeah, they are

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basically the Supreme Court of Animal Names.

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The Supreme Court of Taxonomy. I imagine their

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meetings are very lively. They are incredibly

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precise, let's put it that way. But they have

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to be. Their job is to prevent total chaos. Think

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about it. If we didn't have strict universal

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rules, you'd have, say, five different scientists

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discovering the exact same species of beetle

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on five different expeditions. Then they'd all

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give it a different name. Exactly. You'd have

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five different names in the literature, and no

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one would know that they were all talking about

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the same bug. science would grind to a halt.

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Okay, so I get why the ICZN exists. They need

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a strict code on what counts as a legally published

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name so everyone is on the same page. Right.

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And that brings us to Clayton Ray. Enter our

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detective. So rewind the clock to 1962. Clayton

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Ray is a PhD student at Harvard University, and

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he's writing his thesis on the rodents of the

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Antilles. The Caribbean islands. Yes. He's examining

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these subfossil and fossil collections from Antigua

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and Barbuda. And as he's looking at these bones,

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he realizes he's holding something entirely new.

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It's not just another rat. No, this is a monster

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rat. It's totally distinct from anything else

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on record. So he does what a good scientist does.

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He does the work. He does a brilliant job, actually.

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He measures the skulls. He painstakingly describes

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the teeth, the morphology. He figures out exactly

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where this giant fits in the mammalian family

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tree. He maps it all out? He maps it out, and

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he names it. He gives it the species name, Orizomis

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hypoidemus. Orizomis hypoidemus. And he even

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creates a brand new subgenus for it, which he

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calls ecblutimus. So he typed this all up. He

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types it all up, gets it bound into his thesis,

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and he submits it to the faculty at Harvard.

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He defends it, gets his PhD. He gets his doctorate.

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And that physical thesis document goes right

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into the Harvard Library archives. OK, so case

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closed, right? The giant rat. has a name. It's

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written down at Harvard. You would really think

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so. But here is the massive loophole. I'm bracing

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myself. According to the International Code of

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Zoological Nomenclature. The Supreme Court. Right.

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According to their rules, a universe of thesis,

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especially one from 1962, is not legally considered

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a published work. Wait, hold on. It's sitting

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in the Harvard Library. Yes. Any researcher can

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walk in, request it, and read it. They can. Other

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scientists have literally cited it in their own

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papers. How was that not considered published?

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It all comes down to their strict definition

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of public dissemination. Public dissemination.

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The ICZN logic is that a thesis is essentially

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an internal academic document. It's a final exam

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for a student. An incredibly long final exam.

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Exactly. But it wasn't printed in a recognized

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scientific journal. It wasn't distributed to

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thousands of libraries and universities globally.

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It wasn't put out for the mass scientific public.

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Right. In the legal taxonomic sense, it wasn't

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made formally available. So because he didn't

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take that specific cha... of his thesis and mail

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it off to Nature or Science or the Journal of

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Paleontology. The names don't count. That is

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wild. Because he never formally published that

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exact taxonomic description in a wide -release

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format, the names Orizames, Hypememus, and Echblitemes

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are legally considered unavailable names. Unavailable.

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It's like a squatter. It's living in the house

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of taxonomy. Everyone knows it's there, but it

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doesn't actually have the deed to the property.

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That seems... I mean, I get the need for rules,

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but that just seems incredibly pedantic. It's

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deeply pedantic. We've known about this animal

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and its proposed name for over 60 years. Everyone

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in the field knows what eculotomies is. They

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do, but science relies on that pedantry to function

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consistently across centuries and across language

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barriers. I suppose. But you're right, it does

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leave us in this weird, frustrating limbo where

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we essentially have to use the name in quotation

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marks. Which is why we're calling it a ghost

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species. Exactly. It's fully visible to anyone

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who opens the drawer, but legally, on paper,

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it's invisible. Well, ghost or not, I really

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want to talk about the name that Clayton Ray

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tried to give it. We should. Because usually

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when you read scientific names, they're just

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dry Latin descriptors, right? Like largefoot

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or redhead. They're very literal. But Ray got

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surprisingly poetic with this one. He really

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did. He wasn't just describing bones. He was

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telling a story with the etymology. Let's break

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that down. Start with this species name. OK.

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The species name is Hypenemus. Hypenemus. Which

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means what, exactly? It derives from the ancient

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Greek word Hypanemos. Okay. And that translates

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directly to Leeward. Leeward? As in the Leeward

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Islands? Exactly. Geographically, Antigua and

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Barbuda are part of the Leeward Islands chain

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in the West Indies. So he's anchoring the animal

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to its physical home right there in the name.

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That's right. But the subgenus name, ekbletomys,

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that's the one that really paints a vivid picture.

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Ekbletomys. It's a portmanteau, right? It is.

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It's a combination of two Greek words, ekbletos

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and phlos. OK. Well, I know moos is the standard

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root for mouse. Right. What is ekbletos? Ekbletos

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means cast up or thrown out. Cast up. So put

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it together. The cast up mouse. The cast up mouse.

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That is so evocative. I mean, the cast up mouse,

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it immediately makes me think of a shipwreck

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or a a survivor washing ashore on a piece of

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driftwood. Which is precisely what Ray intended

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when he chose it. Really? Yes. He chose that

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specific imagery because it hints at a very specific

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scientific theory, the rafting theory. The idea

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that this animal didn't just walk across a land

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bridge to get to Antigua... No, it was washed

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ashore. It was a literal castaway. We are definitely

00:09:38.090 --> 00:09:39.769
going to get into the details of that voyage.

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The source material calls it a Sinbad voyage,

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which is... Just a fantastic phrase. It's an

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epic journey. But before we send our giant rat

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out to sea, I think we need to get a much better

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handle on what this animal actually looked like.

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Physically, you mean? Yeah, structurally. Because

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earlier you said it was the size of a large house

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cat. Give or take, yes. But when I say the words

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rat or mouse to you, I think most people, myself

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included, have very specific ingrained image.

00:10:06.299 --> 00:10:09.429
Sure. We picture a subway rat. We'd picture a

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pest, something small, skittish, darting along

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a baseboard. Right, and you need to completely

00:10:14.370 --> 00:10:17.090
erase that image from your mind for this. Erasing.

00:10:17.190 --> 00:10:20.509
This is not a subway rat. Echblutomys belongs

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to a group known as the orizomenes. Orizomenes?

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The common name for that group is the rice rats.

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Okay. But even within the rice rats, Echblutomys

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was an absolute giant. So in the world of Caribbean

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rodents, this was basically megafauna. It was.

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It was the largest known orizomene. How big is

00:10:37.769 --> 00:10:39.710
megafauna when we're talking about a rat? Give

00:10:39.710 --> 00:10:42.750
us a comparison. We often compare its scale to

00:10:42.750 --> 00:10:46.009
another famous extinct Caribbean giant called

00:10:46.009 --> 00:10:50.129
Megalomys dysmoresti. Megalomies, mega mouse.

00:10:50.649 --> 00:10:54.250
Exactly. These animals were incredibly robust.

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We are talking about a body length that could

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potentially be over a foot long. And that's not

00:10:59.509 --> 00:11:02.370
even counting a very long, thick tail. Wow. They

00:11:02.370 --> 00:11:05.710
were heavy, muscular creatures. If you saw one

00:11:05.710 --> 00:11:07.830
of these walking around today, your brain wouldn't

00:11:07.830 --> 00:11:10.610
immediately register, eek, a mouse. Oh, what

00:11:10.610 --> 00:11:11.950
would I think? You'd probably think, is that

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a beaver? Or maybe a huge muskrat? It had real

00:11:15.590 --> 00:11:17.850
physical presence. It had undeniable presence,

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and we know this because of the skull. The source

00:11:19.970 --> 00:11:22.049
material goes into a ton of detail about the

00:11:22.049 --> 00:11:24.830
exact skull measurements, millimeters and ratios.

00:11:24.929 --> 00:11:28.110
It gets very granular. And I know usually when

00:11:28.110 --> 00:11:29.990
we start reading off millimeter measurements

00:11:29.990 --> 00:11:32.809
of old bones, people's eyes tend to glaze over

00:11:32.809 --> 00:11:34.649
a bit. Oh, absolutely. It sounds like dry data.

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But in this case, those specific bone measurements

00:11:37.529 --> 00:11:40.779
are everything, right? They're the only way we

00:11:40.779 --> 00:11:43.039
know for sure that this isn't just the exact

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same rat they found on the next island over.

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That is the critical point. That's why the measurements

00:11:47.899 --> 00:11:50.879
matter so much. Explain that. See, the Caribbean

00:11:50.879 --> 00:11:53.460
historically had a few of these giant rats. We

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mentioned megalomies, which lived on islands

00:11:55.559 --> 00:11:58.580
like Martinique. So if you're a slightly lazy

00:11:58.580 --> 00:12:01.179
scientist back in the day looking at a drawer

00:12:01.179 --> 00:12:04.639
of big bones from Antigua, it would be very easy

00:12:04.639 --> 00:12:07.970
to just shrug and say, eh, they're all just big

00:12:07.970 --> 00:12:10.230
rats. They're all the same basic thing. Right.

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Big rat A on Martinique, big rat B on Antigua,

00:12:14.009 --> 00:12:16.110
probably the same species they just swam across.

00:12:16.529 --> 00:12:19.450
But Ray didn't do that. Ray looked closer. He

00:12:19.450 --> 00:12:22.009
looked at the holotype skull of Eclitmus, the

00:12:22.009 --> 00:12:24.889
primary reference specimen, and he saw something

00:12:24.889 --> 00:12:27.809
fundamentally structurally different from megalomus.

00:12:28.009 --> 00:12:30.330
What did he see? He zeroed in on something called

00:12:30.330 --> 00:12:33.129
the interorbital region. Okay, let's help everyone

00:12:33.129 --> 00:12:36.529
visualize this. Where exactly is the interorbital

00:12:36.529 --> 00:12:38.730
region on a skull? Okay, put your fingers on

00:12:38.730 --> 00:12:40.710
your own temples. Right, fingers on temples.

00:12:41.169 --> 00:12:43.590
Right between your eyes and your ears, that bridge

00:12:43.590 --> 00:12:46.070
of bone that sits just behind the eye sockets.

00:12:46.970 --> 00:12:49.740
I feel it. In most animals, and notably in the

00:12:49.740 --> 00:12:52.740
neighboring giant megalomus, this area is quite

00:12:52.740 --> 00:12:56.720
broad. It's wide. Yes. It forms a wide, sturdy

00:12:56.720 --> 00:13:00.240
highway of bone connecting the face to the main

00:13:00.240 --> 00:13:03.480
brain case. It's a wide forehead. Exactly. But

00:13:03.480 --> 00:13:06.259
when Ray examined a cabal de mace, he found that

00:13:06.259 --> 00:13:09.100
this exact space is aggressively constricted.

00:13:09.399 --> 00:13:11.960
Constricted how? It is severely pinched inward.

00:13:12.379 --> 00:13:15.480
In fact, it is narrower than in any other rice

00:13:15.480 --> 00:13:17.759
rat known to science. Pinched like he was put

00:13:17.759 --> 00:13:20.019
in a vice grip? Morphologically speaking, yes.

00:13:20.500 --> 00:13:22.240
Imagine looking at the top of the skull and it

00:13:22.240 --> 00:13:24.480
looks like an hourglass. OK, I see that. The

00:13:24.480 --> 00:13:26.360
waist of that hourglass right between the eyes

00:13:26.360 --> 00:13:29.110
is incredibly thin. That's the defining feature

00:13:29.110 --> 00:13:31.549
of the skull roof of egg boltomies. But why does

00:13:31.549 --> 00:13:33.889
that matter? I mean, is it just a cosmetic quirk?

00:13:34.110 --> 00:13:36.110
Just a case of, oh, well, this family has a narrow

00:13:36.110 --> 00:13:38.610
face. No, not at all. In biology, especially

00:13:38.610 --> 00:13:41.690
in functional anatomy, form always follows function.

00:13:41.870 --> 00:13:45.110
OK. That specific part of the skull, that interorbital

00:13:45.110 --> 00:13:47.309
region, is where the temporal muscles attach.

00:13:47.690 --> 00:13:49.629
The temporal muscles. Those are for chewing.

00:13:50.029 --> 00:13:52.730
Yes. Those are the big, powerful muscles that

00:13:52.730 --> 00:13:54.909
control the closing of the jaw. Oh, interesting.

00:13:55.120 --> 00:13:57.559
So when you change the architecture of that skull

00:13:57.559 --> 00:14:00.600
roof so drastically when you pinch it in, you

00:14:00.600 --> 00:14:03.340
are fundamentally changing the leverage and the

00:14:03.340 --> 00:14:05.980
structural integrity of the entire head. You're

00:14:05.980 --> 00:14:08.200
changing how the machine works. Exactly. You

00:14:08.200 --> 00:14:10.659
changed the bite force. So this narrow skull

00:14:10.659 --> 00:14:13.460
implies that Ekbultemes was eating differently

00:14:13.460 --> 00:14:16.379
than its neighbors, using its mouth in a totally

00:14:16.379 --> 00:14:19.899
different way. It strongly implies a deep evolutionary

00:14:19.899 --> 00:14:22.779
divergence in their diet and behavior, you don't

00:14:22.779 --> 00:14:25.120
just develop a heavily pinched skull overnight.

00:14:25.279 --> 00:14:27.840
It takes time. That kind of major structural

00:14:27.840 --> 00:14:30.980
redesign takes hundreds of thousands, maybe millions

00:14:30.980 --> 00:14:33.700
of years of complete genetic separation. Wow.

00:14:34.120 --> 00:14:36.460
So that narrow hourglass shape proves beyond

00:14:36.460 --> 00:14:38.919
a doubt that Ekbultemes isn't just a megalomys

00:14:38.919 --> 00:14:41.299
that decided to move to Antigua. It's not a cousin

00:14:41.299 --> 00:14:44.039
who just hopped a fairy. No, it represents a

00:14:44.039 --> 00:14:46.320
completely separate lineage, a totally different

00:14:46.320 --> 00:14:48.519
branch of the family tree that just happened

00:14:48.519 --> 00:14:50.720
to end up in the same geographical neighborhood?

00:14:51.120 --> 00:14:53.759
That is fascinating. And there's another detail

00:14:53.759 --> 00:14:55.759
about the mouth architecture in the source material

00:14:55.759 --> 00:14:59.220
that really stood out to me. The palate. Or the

00:14:59.220 --> 00:15:01.820
teeth. Well, both really. Yeah. The palate is

00:15:01.820 --> 00:15:04.220
described as being very short, barely extending

00:15:04.220 --> 00:15:06.679
past the third molar. Right. And the insides

00:15:06.679 --> 00:15:08.399
of the foramina, which are those holes in the

00:15:08.399 --> 00:15:10.559
roof of the mouth, are also extremely short.

00:15:10.820 --> 00:15:13.580
Yes, very compact. But the teeth are what really

00:15:13.580 --> 00:15:16.440
caught my eye. The text says it had massive molars

00:15:16.440 --> 00:15:20.360
but slender incisors. Yes. The dental profile

00:15:20.360 --> 00:15:23.000
is incredibly telling. So translate that for

00:15:23.000 --> 00:15:26.000
us. What does having huge back teeth but skinny

00:15:26.000 --> 00:15:28.100
front teeth actually tell us about what this

00:15:28.100 --> 00:15:30.759
giant rat was doing for dinner? Think about teeth

00:15:30.759 --> 00:15:34.460
as tools in a toolbox. Okay. If you have huge

00:15:34.460 --> 00:15:37.059
heavy complex grinding molars in the back of

00:15:37.059 --> 00:15:39.480
your mouth, you are built to process something

00:15:39.480 --> 00:15:42.710
tough. Like what? Maybe... coarse fibrous island

00:15:42.710 --> 00:15:46.090
vegetation, maybe really hard seeds. You are

00:15:46.090 --> 00:15:48.409
an anatomical grinder. The grinder. But then

00:15:48.409 --> 00:15:50.789
look at the incisors, the front biting teeth.

00:15:51.070 --> 00:15:53.929
They are slender, relatively delicate for an

00:15:53.929 --> 00:15:56.889
animal this size. Now, compare that toolbox to

00:15:56.889 --> 00:16:01.370
the neighbor, megalomies. Megalomies had noticeably

00:16:01.370 --> 00:16:04.990
smaller molars, but absolutely massive, thick,

00:16:05.470 --> 00:16:08.870
robust front incisors. So megalomies was using

00:16:08.870 --> 00:16:12.899
its front teeth. as the primary tool. Yes. Megalomies

00:16:12.899 --> 00:16:14.919
might have been cracking up in really hard nuts

00:16:14.919 --> 00:16:18.220
or gnawing through tough wood using those big

00:16:18.220 --> 00:16:20.950
front teeth almost like chisels. So Megalomys

00:16:20.950 --> 00:16:24.110
is a cracker, and Iqblotemis is a grinder. Exactly.

00:16:24.570 --> 00:16:26.370
And this tells us that even though they were

00:16:26.370 --> 00:16:29.289
both giant rats living on Caribbean islands relatively

00:16:29.289 --> 00:16:31.529
close to each other, they had evolved to fill

00:16:31.529 --> 00:16:33.909
completely different ecological niches. They

00:16:33.909 --> 00:16:36.409
weren't just carbon copies of the same survival

00:16:36.409 --> 00:16:39.129
strategy. Not at all. It really emphasizes the

00:16:39.129 --> 00:16:41.250
idea that the Caribbean wasn't just this generic

00:16:41.250 --> 00:16:43.730
uniform basket of tropical islands. Each island

00:16:43.730 --> 00:16:47.110
was its own world. Each one was a unique, isolated

00:16:47.110 --> 00:16:50.019
laboratory of evolution. Laboratory is the perfect

00:16:50.019 --> 00:16:52.700
word for it. Isolation is what breeds biological

00:16:52.700 --> 00:16:54.659
innovation. Because there's no gene flow from

00:16:54.659 --> 00:16:56.639
the outside. Right. When you stick a small animal

00:16:56.639 --> 00:16:58.559
on a remote island and just leave it completely

00:16:58.559 --> 00:17:01.139
alone for a million years, it starts to get weird.

00:17:01.179 --> 00:17:04.319
It has to. It solves the basic problems of survival

00:17:04.319 --> 00:17:08.519
in highly unique, localized ways. Atblitomies

00:17:08.519 --> 00:17:11.039
solved the problem of surviving on ancient Antigua

00:17:11.039 --> 00:17:13.819
by becoming a massive, narrow -skulled grinding

00:17:13.819 --> 00:17:16.799
machine. But to become a weird islander, you

00:17:16.799 --> 00:17:19.839
first have to actually get to the island. Ah,

00:17:20.140 --> 00:17:23.420
yes, the hardest part. Which brings us to section

00:17:23.420 --> 00:17:27.839
three of our outline, The Voyage. The Sinbad

00:17:27.839 --> 00:17:30.000
Voyage. I just love that Clayton Rae used that

00:17:30.000 --> 00:17:32.480
specific comparison, because if you pull up a

00:17:32.480 --> 00:17:36.009
map, Antigua and Barbuda are, well... they are

00:17:36.009 --> 00:17:38.490
not close to South America. They are deeply isolated.

00:17:38.609 --> 00:17:40.849
They're way up the northern end of the Lesser

00:17:40.849 --> 00:17:42.789
Antilles chain. To get there from the mainland

00:17:42.789 --> 00:17:45.450
coast to South America, you have to cross a tremendous

00:17:45.450 --> 00:17:48.829
amount of open ocean. So, logically, the most

00:17:48.829 --> 00:17:50.670
obvious theory for how a rat gets there would

00:17:50.670 --> 00:17:52.490
be island hopping, right? Like stepping stones

00:17:52.490 --> 00:17:55.890
across a pond. Yeah. You swim or drift a short

00:17:55.890 --> 00:17:58.269
distance from Venezuela to Trinidad, then you

00:17:58.269 --> 00:18:00.410
establish a population there, then maybe a few

00:18:00.410 --> 00:18:02.509
generations later, some wash over to Grenada.

00:18:02.720 --> 00:18:05.880
Then St. Vincent, St. Lucia, Martinique, Dominica,

00:18:06.099 --> 00:18:07.779
Guadalupe. Right, just working your way up the

00:18:07.779 --> 00:18:10.339
chain, island by island, over thousands of years.

00:18:10.480 --> 00:18:12.900
That is the intuitive theory. It feels logical

00:18:12.900 --> 00:18:15.740
and safe. But Ray totally rejected that idea

00:18:15.740 --> 00:18:18.559
for ectyltomize. He did. He looked at the data

00:18:18.559 --> 00:18:21.579
and said, no, that's not what happened. Why?

00:18:22.000 --> 00:18:24.339
I mean, taking it in short hops seems infinitely

00:18:24.339 --> 00:18:27.200
easier than doing it in one massive shot. Ray

00:18:27.200 --> 00:18:29.920
looked closely at the geology and the bathymetry.

00:18:30.329 --> 00:18:33.670
the ocean depth of the region, even during the

00:18:33.670 --> 00:18:36.910
Pleistocene Epoch, the Ice Age, when global sea

00:18:36.910 --> 00:18:39.509
levels were drastically lower because so much

00:18:39.509 --> 00:18:41.930
water was locked up in the polar ice caps. The

00:18:41.930 --> 00:18:43.730
islands would have been bigger then, right? More

00:18:43.730 --> 00:18:46.730
exposed land? They were larger, yes. But the

00:18:46.730 --> 00:18:49.589
deep ocean channels between those islands, those

00:18:49.589 --> 00:18:52.609
remained. They were still massive, turbulent

00:18:52.609 --> 00:18:55.109
water barriers. So it wasn't a land bridge situation?

00:18:55.210 --> 00:18:57.839
Not at all. Ray calculated that to get from the

00:18:57.839 --> 00:19:00.259
South American mainland all the way up to Barbuda

00:19:00.259 --> 00:19:03.799
by hopping, this specific lineage of a rat would

00:19:03.799 --> 00:19:07.319
have to successfully cross at least seven distinct

00:19:07.319 --> 00:19:10.420
deep water ocean barriers. Seven times they'd

00:19:10.420 --> 00:19:13.339
have to brave the open ocean and win. Seven consecutive

00:19:13.339 --> 00:19:15.900
miracles. You have to launch a few individuals

00:19:15.900 --> 00:19:18.259
into the water. They have to land safely on the

00:19:18.259 --> 00:19:21.839
next island. establish a viable colony, thrive

00:19:21.839 --> 00:19:24.420
there, outcompete whatever's already living there.

00:19:24.559 --> 00:19:26.539
And then eventually launch another population

00:19:26.539 --> 00:19:28.940
into the water to the next island. Right. And

00:19:28.940 --> 00:19:30.759
Ray argued that the mathematical probability

00:19:30.759 --> 00:19:33.819
of doing that seven times in a row, and crucially,

00:19:34.019 --> 00:19:36.700
without leaving any fossil trace of this specific

00:19:36.700 --> 00:19:38.799
lineage on the intermediate island. Because we

00:19:38.799 --> 00:19:42.079
don't find Ichblochemies on Grenada or St. Vincent.

00:19:42.240 --> 00:19:45.160
Exactly. To do all that without leaving a trace

00:19:45.160 --> 00:19:47.880
is statistically, practically impossible. So

00:19:47.880 --> 00:19:50.190
that's where the quote comes from. Yes. Ray wrote

00:19:50.190 --> 00:19:52.670
that a series of successful sequential voyages

00:19:52.670 --> 00:19:55.450
like that would be, quote, no less wondrous than

00:19:55.450 --> 00:19:58.069
those of Sinbad. So if they didn't hop from island

00:19:58.069 --> 00:20:01.089
to island, they must have. rafted in one straight

00:20:01.089 --> 00:20:03.829
shot. The rafting theory, also known in biogeography

00:20:03.829 --> 00:20:06.250
as the sweepstakes route. Sweepstakes route.

00:20:06.529 --> 00:20:08.450
That name implies that most people who enter

00:20:08.450 --> 00:20:11.130
the sweepstakes lose. Almost everyone loses.

00:20:11.650 --> 00:20:14.009
A sweepstakes route is a high stakes, extremely

00:20:14.009 --> 00:20:16.650
low probability dispersal event. Okay, I need

00:20:16.650 --> 00:20:18.569
you to really paint the picture for us here.

00:20:18.750 --> 00:20:21.950
Because when you say rafting rat, my brain immediately

00:20:21.950 --> 00:20:24.450
goes to a cartoon. Like a rat tying some twigs

00:20:24.450 --> 00:20:26.349
together with vines and raising a little leaf

00:20:26.349 --> 00:20:28.569
sail? Exactly. Stuart Little on the high season.

00:20:28.799 --> 00:20:32.759
What is a natural raft actually like? OK, you

00:20:32.759 --> 00:20:36.599
have to picture the great massive river systems

00:20:36.599 --> 00:20:39.039
of the South American continent. Like the Orinoco

00:20:39.039 --> 00:20:43.519
or the Amazon. Exactly. Imagine a massive catastrophic

00:20:43.519 --> 00:20:47.799
storm, a huge hurricane system, or maybe just

00:20:47.799 --> 00:20:50.180
unprecedented seasonal flooding high up in the

00:20:50.180 --> 00:20:52.140
mountains or the rainforest. The water levels

00:20:52.140 --> 00:20:55.079
rise rapidly. The river swells enormously. It

00:20:55.079 --> 00:20:56.960
becomes a torrent and it starts undercutting

00:20:56.960 --> 00:21:00.019
its own muddy bank. And the land just collapses

00:21:00.019 --> 00:21:02.960
into the churning water. Huge intact chunks of

00:21:02.960 --> 00:21:05.240
the forest floor. We are talking about dense

00:21:05.240 --> 00:21:07.900
mats of vegetation, tightly interlocked tree

00:21:07.900 --> 00:21:10.759
roots, fallen trunks, vines, thick soil. Like

00:21:10.759 --> 00:21:13.240
floating islands of dirt and wood. Yes. Some

00:21:13.240 --> 00:21:14.920
might be the size of living room. Some might

00:21:14.920 --> 00:21:16.940
be the size of a whole house or even larger.

00:21:17.039 --> 00:21:19.940
Wow. These massive mats float rapidly down the

00:21:19.940 --> 00:21:21.980
swollen river and eventually get blasted right

00:21:21.980 --> 00:21:25.579
out into the ocean. And if our little rat ancestor

00:21:25.579 --> 00:21:27.460
just happened to be sitting on that particular

00:21:27.460 --> 00:21:29.900
piece of land when it gave way. There's suddenly

00:21:29.900 --> 00:21:32.539
a passenger on an ocean voyage. And I'm guessing

00:21:32.539 --> 00:21:35.160
this is not a luxury cruise. It is an absolute

00:21:35.160 --> 00:21:37.839
nightmare. I can't even imagine. You are drifting

00:21:37.839 --> 00:21:40.579
helplessly in the strong Caribbean currents.

00:21:41.140 --> 00:21:43.619
The sun is beating down on you relentlessly.

00:21:43.859 --> 00:21:47.140
Tropical sun. No canopy cover. No shade. And

00:21:47.140 --> 00:21:49.960
worse, you have absolutely no fresh water. Just

00:21:49.960 --> 00:21:52.519
whatever rain happens to fall. Right. You are

00:21:52.519 --> 00:21:55.779
constantly battered by salt spray, which is dehydrating

00:21:55.779 --> 00:21:58.539
you further. You have to endure ocean storms

00:21:58.539 --> 00:22:00.859
that are actively trying to break your fragile

00:22:00.859 --> 00:22:04.000
raft apart. And you have to survive this horrific

00:22:04.000 --> 00:22:07.980
ordeal for, realistically, how long? To drift

00:22:07.980 --> 00:22:09.980
from the mouth of the Orinoco all the way up

00:22:09.980 --> 00:22:12.400
to the Leeward Islands, you are looking at weeks.

00:22:12.539 --> 00:22:15.220
Weeks? Maybe even a full month at sea. A month

00:22:15.220 --> 00:22:17.319
on a floating tangle of roots with no water.

00:22:17.400 --> 00:22:20.420
And here is the truly crucial mind -bending part

00:22:20.420 --> 00:22:23.900
of the sweepstakes. It cannot just be one tough

00:22:23.900 --> 00:22:26.680
male rat that survives this. Because one male

00:22:26.680 --> 00:22:28.900
rat does not build a population on a new island.

00:22:29.380 --> 00:22:31.380
Exactly. You need at least a pregnant female

00:22:31.380 --> 00:22:34.160
to survive the trip. Or a breeding pair that

00:22:34.160 --> 00:22:37.259
somehow both make it. The odds against that seem

00:22:37.259 --> 00:22:39.559
genuinely astronomical. It feels impossible.

00:22:39.700 --> 00:22:42.500
It is effectively impossible in any human timeframe.

00:22:42.759 --> 00:22:44.460
If you stood on the beach for a lifetime, you'd

00:22:44.460 --> 00:22:47.619
never see it happen. But here is the magic of

00:22:47.619 --> 00:22:51.230
deep geological time. If you give the impossible

00:22:51.230 --> 00:22:53.950
a million years to happen, it eventually becomes

00:22:53.950 --> 00:22:56.269
inevitable. Exactly. If you roll the multi -sided

00:22:56.269 --> 00:22:59.109
dice every single major flood season for two

00:22:59.109 --> 00:23:02.130
million years, eventually one day you roll that

00:23:02.130 --> 00:23:05.289
perfect double six. So one day, against literally

00:23:05.289 --> 00:23:08.269
all the odds in the universe, this battered,

00:23:08.329 --> 00:23:11.029
shrinking raft of vegetation, with a very thirsty,

00:23:11.170 --> 00:23:13.529
very traumatized, pregnant rat clinging to it,

00:23:13.549 --> 00:23:16.269
crashes onto the pristine white limestone shores

00:23:16.269 --> 00:23:20.519
of Barbuda, cast up, Now you see why he chose

00:23:20.519 --> 00:23:22.759
that name. It hits so much harder now. It really

00:23:22.759 --> 00:23:25.059
was physically cast up by the sea. And once they

00:23:25.059 --> 00:23:27.400
finally stumble off that raft onto the dry land,

00:23:27.759 --> 00:23:30.059
the entire game of survival changes. They are

00:23:30.059 --> 00:23:32.359
in a totally new world. And Ray actually had

00:23:32.359 --> 00:23:34.700
a very strong theory about exactly who was on

00:23:34.700 --> 00:23:36.960
that original raft, didn't he? Where they originally

00:23:36.960 --> 00:23:40.269
came from on the mainland. He did. By closely

00:23:40.269 --> 00:23:42.950
analyzing the skull morphology, he pointed to

00:23:42.950 --> 00:23:46.390
a mainland species called Orizomys albigularis

00:23:46.390 --> 00:23:49.650
as the closest living relative. OK. As a quick

00:23:49.650 --> 00:23:53.089
aside, taxonomy never sleeps. So today, that

00:23:53.089 --> 00:23:56.450
specific species has actually been moved by geneticists

00:23:56.450 --> 00:23:59.450
into a new genus called Nephelomys. Nephelomys.

00:23:59.490 --> 00:24:01.569
But the common name is really the key detail

00:24:01.569 --> 00:24:04.490
here. They're known as the cloud forest rats.

00:24:04.779 --> 00:24:07.940
Cloud forest, that sounds cold and wet. It is.

00:24:08.220 --> 00:24:10.039
These are rats that live high up in the Andes

00:24:10.039 --> 00:24:12.700
Mountains and in the cool high altitude highlands

00:24:12.700 --> 00:24:15.400
of Panama and Venezuela. They live in misty,

00:24:15.579 --> 00:24:18.180
chilly, wet mountainous forests. Exactly. It

00:24:18.180 --> 00:24:20.299
seems like the exact opposite of a sun -baked

00:24:20.299 --> 00:24:22.819
Caribbean beach on Antigua. It is as different

00:24:22.819 --> 00:24:25.079
an environment as you can get, but they share

00:24:25.079 --> 00:24:27.640
the underlying skull architecture with our island

00:24:27.640 --> 00:24:31.000
giant. So they have that same robust brain case,

00:24:31.079 --> 00:24:34.779
the specific crests on the bone? Yes. Which heavily

00:24:34.779 --> 00:24:37.140
implies that the small ancestor of eclatomace

00:24:37.140 --> 00:24:39.539
somehow washed down from those cool mountains

00:24:39.539 --> 00:24:42.319
during a flood, survived the brutal tropical

00:24:42.319 --> 00:24:45.339
ocean crossing, and then had to immediately adapt

00:24:45.339 --> 00:24:48.319
to a radically different, dry, scrubby climate

00:24:48.319 --> 00:24:51.140
on Antigua. Talk about culture shock. You go

00:24:51.140 --> 00:24:55.279
from the misty, cool Andes to a limestone scrub

00:24:55.279 --> 00:24:57.900
forest at sea level in the Caribbean. It's extreme.

00:24:58.160 --> 00:25:00.480
And that intense environmental pressure combined

00:25:00.480 --> 00:25:03.039
with the isolation is what drove the gigantism.

00:25:03.119 --> 00:25:05.039
The gigantism. because they didn't start out

00:25:05.039 --> 00:25:07.819
giant. No, the ancestor was relatively small.

00:25:08.240 --> 00:25:10.440
This transformation is an example of a classic

00:25:10.440 --> 00:25:12.619
biological principle called the island rule.

00:25:12.859 --> 00:25:14.980
The island rule. Is that the one where small

00:25:14.980 --> 00:25:17.079
things get big and big things get small? Exactly

00:25:17.079 --> 00:25:20.400
that. Foster's rule. If you are a large animal

00:25:20.400 --> 00:25:22.680
on the mainland, like an elephant, and you get

00:25:22.680 --> 00:25:24.680
trapped on an island - You shrink. Right. You

00:25:24.680 --> 00:25:26.960
become a dwarf elephant over generations because

00:25:26.960 --> 00:25:29.420
there simply isn't enough food or land to support

00:25:29.420 --> 00:25:31.640
massive bodies. But if you are a small animal,

00:25:31.740 --> 00:25:35.190
like a rat - You get huge. Why? Why is - bigger,

00:25:35.490 --> 00:25:37.569
suddenly better for a rat on an island. It's

00:25:37.569 --> 00:25:39.990
a combination of several factors. First and foremost,

00:25:40.450 --> 00:25:42.829
a total lack of predators. Right. On the South

00:25:42.829 --> 00:25:45.690
American mainland, if you are a rat, you stay

00:25:45.690 --> 00:25:49.269
small so you can hide in tiny crevices from jaguars,

00:25:49.569 --> 00:25:52.109
ocelots, foxes, eagles. Everything wants to eat

00:25:52.109 --> 00:25:56.410
you. But on ancient Antigua, there are no mammalian

00:25:56.410 --> 00:26:00.190
carnivores. None. No wild cats, no wolves. You

00:26:00.190 --> 00:26:02.430
are perfectly safe. You don't need to scurry

00:26:02.430 --> 00:26:04.970
and hide in tiny holes anymore. You can relax.

00:26:05.170 --> 00:26:07.789
Okay, safety is one thing. Second is competition.

00:26:08.529 --> 00:26:11.109
If there are limited resources and you are slightly

00:26:11.109 --> 00:26:13.390
bigger than your siblings, you can physically

00:26:13.390 --> 00:26:15.829
bully other members of your own species to get

00:26:15.829 --> 00:26:18.490
the best food. Size gives you dominance. And

00:26:18.490 --> 00:26:20.549
third, which is very important for our grinding

00:26:20.549 --> 00:26:23.900
rat, is metabolic efficiency. A larger body mass

00:26:23.900 --> 00:26:25.940
with a longer digestive tract actually helps

00:26:25.940 --> 00:26:28.660
you process the coarser, lower quality vegetation

00:26:28.660 --> 00:26:30.859
that you find on a dry island. Which perfectly

00:26:30.859 --> 00:26:32.960
aligns with those massive grinding molars we

00:26:32.960 --> 00:26:35.160
talked about earlier. Exactly. It all fits together.

00:26:35.240 --> 00:26:37.460
So over thousands and thousands of generations,

00:26:37.759 --> 00:26:40.740
this little, terrified, cloud forest refugee

00:26:40.740 --> 00:26:44.859
slowly puffs up into the giant, confident Ekbultemis.

00:26:45.220 --> 00:26:48.619
And it essentially becomes the dominant terrestrial

00:26:48.619 --> 00:26:51.890
mammal of the entire island system. I really

00:26:51.890 --> 00:26:54.609
want to talk about what that daily life was actually

00:26:54.609 --> 00:26:57.950
like for them. The ecology. Yeah, because reading

00:26:57.950 --> 00:27:00.789
the source material, we actually have a surprisingly

00:27:00.789 --> 00:27:04.970
vivid detailed picture of the exact ecosystem

00:27:04.970 --> 00:27:08.049
Iqbaltami's lived in. We do. We know its neighbors.

00:27:08.390 --> 00:27:11.240
And we know this thanks to... of all things,

00:27:11.779 --> 00:27:15.579
fossilized owl vomit. Yes, the absolute glamour

00:27:15.579 --> 00:27:17.759
of paleontology. That's amazing. We honestly

00:27:17.759 --> 00:27:19.960
owe almost everything we know about the small

00:27:19.960 --> 00:27:23.380
extinct animals of the Caribbean to the burrowing

00:27:23.380 --> 00:27:25.819
owl. Okay, you have to explain that process for

00:27:25.819 --> 00:27:28.299
us. How exactly does an owl become the premier

00:27:28.299 --> 00:27:30.839
fossil collector of the Caribbean? It's a field

00:27:30.839 --> 00:27:33.900
of study called taphonomy. The study of how organisms

00:27:33.900 --> 00:27:36.500
die, decay, and become fossilized over time.

00:27:37.019 --> 00:27:39.920
And owls happen to be fantastic natural taphonomic

00:27:39.920 --> 00:27:42.380
agents. Because of how they eat. Right. Owls

00:27:42.380 --> 00:27:45.700
swallow their smaller prey whole. Rats, lizards,

00:27:45.799 --> 00:27:47.900
little birds down the hatch in one piece. Gruesome.

00:27:48.140 --> 00:27:50.319
But their stomach acids, while they digest all

00:27:50.319 --> 00:27:52.599
the meat and soft tissue, they can't handle the

00:27:52.599 --> 00:27:55.599
hard stuff. They can't digest bones, teeth, or

00:27:55.599 --> 00:27:57.880
fur. So they have to get rid of it. So a few

00:27:57.880 --> 00:28:01.359
hours after eating, the owl regurgitates a dense,

00:28:01.420 --> 00:28:04.559
compact little pellet that contains all the clean,

00:28:04.799 --> 00:28:07.460
perfectly concentrated bones of whatever it just

00:28:07.460 --> 00:28:10.480
ate. It's literally like a pre -packaged, perfectly

00:28:10.480 --> 00:28:13.359
curated museum exhibit just waiting to be found.

00:28:13.680 --> 00:28:16.940
Precisely. And here's the key. These burrowing

00:28:16.940 --> 00:28:19.799
owls, Athene cunicularia, they tend to live in

00:28:19.799 --> 00:28:22.700
limestone caves or under rocky overhangs. And

00:28:22.700 --> 00:28:24.799
they roost in the exact same spot year after

00:28:24.799 --> 00:28:27.769
year. generation after generation for millennia.

00:28:28.069 --> 00:28:30.670
So over thousands of years, these pellets just

00:28:30.670 --> 00:28:33.130
drop to the cave floor and pile up. A mountain

00:28:33.130 --> 00:28:35.349
of data. They break down, they get buried in

00:28:35.349 --> 00:28:37.789
the fine cave dust and sediment, and they preserve

00:28:37.789 --> 00:28:40.190
an absolutely perfect high resolution snapshot

00:28:40.190 --> 00:28:42.609
of everything that was living and scurrying around

00:28:42.609 --> 00:28:44.769
in the immediate area. So when Clayton Ray was

00:28:44.769 --> 00:28:47.250
doing his field work excavating those sites in

00:28:47.250 --> 00:28:49.309
Barbuda places with great names like Two Foot

00:28:49.309 --> 00:28:51.950
Bay and Suffers. Or Mill Reef and Indian Creek

00:28:51.950 --> 00:28:54.819
over on Antigua. Right. When he was digging there,

00:28:55.180 --> 00:28:57.099
he was essentially just digging through thousands

00:28:57.099 --> 00:29:00.799
of years of ancient owl toilets. That is factually

00:29:00.799 --> 00:29:03.880
correct, yes. He described finding these distinct

00:29:03.880 --> 00:29:06.900
layers of red to yellow, unconsolidated sediment.

00:29:07.099 --> 00:29:10.039
Loose dirt? Loose, dry dirt that was absolutely

00:29:10.039 --> 00:29:13.220
packed with thousands of microbones. So let's

00:29:13.220 --> 00:29:15.519
use that data to reconstruct the scene. Let's

00:29:15.519 --> 00:29:18.619
imagine it's, say, 2 ,000 years ago on Barbuda.

00:29:18.680 --> 00:29:20.980
OK. We're standing outside the caves at Two Foot

00:29:20.980 --> 00:29:24.259
Bay at twilight. What are we seeing and hearing

00:29:24.259 --> 00:29:26.380
around us? Well, first of all, it's a very busy,

00:29:26.559 --> 00:29:29.960
very noisy ecosystem. It is not quiet. OK. Based

00:29:29.960 --> 00:29:32.079
directly on what we found in those owl pellets,

00:29:32.359 --> 00:29:34.700
the ground all around you is just alive with

00:29:34.700 --> 00:29:37.619
reptiles. Lots of lizards. Everywhere. You have

00:29:37.619 --> 00:29:40.480
thecidactylus rapicata. Thecidactylus, what is

00:29:40.480 --> 00:29:42.940
that? The common name is the turnip -tailed gecko.

00:29:43.059 --> 00:29:45.319
Turnip tails. There are these big, chunky, very

00:29:45.319 --> 00:29:47.799
vocal nocturnal geckos. So you hear them barking

00:29:47.799 --> 00:29:50.819
and clicking. OK, clicking geckos. You also have

00:29:50.819 --> 00:29:52.910
fast -moving ground lizards. It's darting through

00:29:52.910 --> 00:29:55.950
the leaves, like fallidocilis grazoldi. Try saying

00:29:55.950 --> 00:29:59.109
that three times fast. I won't. And up in the

00:29:59.109 --> 00:30:02.549
branches, you have anolis litchi, the large tree

00:30:02.549 --> 00:30:05.130
anoles. So there is just constant rustling in

00:30:05.130 --> 00:30:07.829
the dry leaves. The ground is moving. And what

00:30:07.829 --> 00:30:10.890
about the birds? The limestone cliffs and caves

00:30:10.890 --> 00:30:14.380
would be echoing. The pellets show huge numbers

00:30:14.380 --> 00:30:17.220
of seabirds nesting right there, especially shearwaters.

00:30:17.500 --> 00:30:20.519
The puffinous species. Right. And shearwaters,

00:30:20.579 --> 00:30:23.039
if you've never heard them, they make this incredibly

00:30:23.039 --> 00:30:26.279
eerie, ghostly, wailing call when they return

00:30:26.279 --> 00:30:28.279
to their nests at night. It sounds like a crying

00:30:28.279 --> 00:30:30.180
baby or something, doesn't it? Like a crying

00:30:30.180 --> 00:30:32.720
baby or a ghost moaning. It's very unsettling.

00:30:32.859 --> 00:30:35.420
Creepy ambience. Very. Now, add the bats. The

00:30:35.420 --> 00:30:37.660
sediment is full of bat bones. So the sky is

00:30:37.660 --> 00:30:40.799
full of them. Huge swarms of mormoups and nautilus

00:30:40.799 --> 00:30:43.000
bats sw - whirling around the cave entrances

00:30:43.000 --> 00:30:46.259
at dusk, catching insects. And frogs. Yes, the

00:30:46.259 --> 00:30:49.400
tiny whistling frogs, Aliferidactylus johnstoni,

00:30:49.400 --> 00:30:51.519
calling constantly from the damp spot. So it

00:30:51.519 --> 00:30:54.119
is an absolute cacophony. It is wild. We've got

00:30:54.119 --> 00:30:56.599
peeping frogs, squeaking bats, wailing ghost

00:30:56.599 --> 00:30:59.099
birds, clicking geckos. And moving through the

00:30:59.099 --> 00:31:01.740
middle of all this noise and chaos is our giant

00:31:01.740 --> 00:31:04.980
capillutomys. The king of the ground. It's big,

00:31:05.279 --> 00:31:07.960
and compared to a skittish mainland rat, it's

00:31:07.960 --> 00:31:10.819
probably relatively slow moving. It has no reach.

00:31:10.640 --> 00:31:14.299
It's just lumbering along, foraging for tough

00:31:14.299 --> 00:31:16.559
seeds. Maybe occasionally raiding one of those

00:31:16.559 --> 00:31:18.559
shearwater nests on the ground to eat an egg.

00:31:18.799 --> 00:31:20.960
And of course, occasionally getting snatched

00:31:20.960 --> 00:31:23.700
up in the dark by a very ambitious burrowing

00:31:23.700 --> 00:31:26.960
owl. Which frankly is impressive, because burrowing

00:31:26.960 --> 00:31:29.779
owls are not huge birds. They are relatively

00:31:29.779 --> 00:31:32.920
small, long -legged owls. So taking down a cat

00:31:32.920 --> 00:31:35.460
-sized rat is a big deal. It suggests the owls

00:31:35.460 --> 00:31:38.000
were probably mostly hunting the juveniles, the

00:31:38.000 --> 00:31:41.450
younger rats, because of full -grown, heavy adult

00:31:41.450 --> 00:31:44.650
ecboltomus might literally be too heavy for a

00:31:44.650 --> 00:31:47.250
burrowing owl to lift. But the sheer number of

00:31:47.250 --> 00:31:50.309
bones shows that this rat was a staple, everyday

00:31:50.309 --> 00:31:52.690
food source. It was the primary protein bar of

00:31:52.690 --> 00:31:54.670
the island ecosystem. Everything relied on it.

00:31:54.789 --> 00:31:57.069
It really paints such a beautiful picture of

00:31:57.069 --> 00:31:59.789
a highly functional, entirely self -contained

00:31:59.789 --> 00:32:02.069
world. It does. You know, we so often think of

00:32:02.069 --> 00:32:05.150
islands as these fragile, broken ecosystems just

00:32:05.150 --> 00:32:07.450
waiting for humans to arrive and mismanage them.

00:32:07.789 --> 00:32:09.970
But this was working perfectly find without us.

00:32:10.210 --> 00:32:13.269
It was a perfectly balanced equation. The lizards,

00:32:13.450 --> 00:32:16.410
the giant grinding rats, the owls, the bats.

00:32:16.829 --> 00:32:19.349
They had all been dancing this intricate evolutionary

00:32:19.349 --> 00:32:21.849
dance together for thousands of years. Until

00:32:21.849 --> 00:32:24.089
the music completely stopped. Until the music

00:32:24.089 --> 00:32:26.750
stopped. And this brings us to the harsh reality.

00:32:27.309 --> 00:32:30.490
Section five of our outline. The extinction event.

00:32:30.670 --> 00:32:33.250
The end of the line. We know, obviously, that

00:32:33.250 --> 00:32:36.390
eclatomace is gone today. The big question is,

00:32:36.509 --> 00:32:38.900
who killed it? Well, in paleontology globally,

00:32:39.420 --> 00:32:41.940
we argue about extinction causes all the time.

00:32:42.039 --> 00:32:44.359
Was it an asteroid? Was it a volcano? Was it

00:32:44.359 --> 00:32:47.460
climate change? Right. But when you are studying

00:32:47.460 --> 00:32:50.299
the extinction of endemic Caribbean mammals,

00:32:50.740 --> 00:32:53.400
the answer is almost always painfully the same.

00:32:53.799 --> 00:32:56.279
And the definitive evidence for that answer is

00:32:56.279 --> 00:32:58.259
buried right there in the dirt of those caves,

00:32:58.380 --> 00:33:01.140
isn't it? It is written clearly in the stratigraphy,

00:33:01.380 --> 00:33:04.039
the physical layers of the cave floor. Walk us

00:33:04.039 --> 00:33:06.140
through those layers because this is fascinating.

00:33:06.259 --> 00:33:09.079
Think of the cave floor deposit as a giant layer

00:33:09.079 --> 00:33:11.940
cake of history. Okay, a cake. The thickest,

00:33:12.220 --> 00:33:14.900
bottom -most layer of that cake is that yellow

00:33:14.900 --> 00:33:17.000
to red loose sediment we just talked about. The

00:33:17.000 --> 00:33:20.140
owl pellet layer. Right. That thick layer represents

00:33:20.140 --> 00:33:23.960
the old world. It is absolutely packed with the

00:33:23.960 --> 00:33:27.599
bones of Ekbuldemiz, the native geckos, the local

00:33:27.599 --> 00:33:30.019
bats. And chronologically, how much time does

00:33:30.019 --> 00:33:33.440
that yellow layer cover? It spans many thousands

00:33:33.440 --> 00:33:36.140
of years. It dates from the late Quaternary,

00:33:36.299 --> 00:33:38.720
the Pleistocene Ice Age, all the way up through

00:33:38.720 --> 00:33:40.779
the Holocene. Meaning it continues right up through

00:33:40.779 --> 00:33:42.940
the arrival of the very first humans in the Caribbean.

00:33:43.099 --> 00:33:46.779
Yes, that's a crucial point. The giant rat actually

00:33:46.779 --> 00:33:49.940
survived the first waves of human arrival. Who

00:33:49.940 --> 00:33:52.539
were they? The Amerindians, primarily the Saladoid

00:33:52.539 --> 00:33:55.420
peoples, they arrived in Antigua and Barbuda

00:33:55.420 --> 00:33:58.799
roughly around 2500 BCE. So they shared the island.

00:33:59.240 --> 00:34:02.319
They did. We actually find Ekwodamese bones mixed

00:34:02.319 --> 00:34:04.500
into the archaeological middens, the ancient

00:34:04.500 --> 00:34:06.420
trash heaps of these indigenous peoples. Meaning

00:34:06.420 --> 00:34:08.219
they were hunting and eating the giant rats.

00:34:08.400 --> 00:34:10.940
They were. It was a large, meaty animal. But

00:34:10.940 --> 00:34:13.519
hunting them didn't wipe them out. No. The overall

00:34:13.519 --> 00:34:15.860
population of the rats might have dipped slightly,

00:34:16.059 --> 00:34:18.179
but they had coexisted for a very long time.

00:34:18.780 --> 00:34:20.980
The indigenous hunting and agricultural practices

00:34:20.980 --> 00:34:23.739
were relatively low impact compared to what came

00:34:23.739 --> 00:34:26.360
later. They didn't completely clear cut the habitat.

00:34:26.619 --> 00:34:29.480
Exactly. The giant rat and the indigenous humans

00:34:29.480 --> 00:34:32.800
shared those islands for over three millennia.

00:34:33.119 --> 00:34:34.800
OK, so looking back at our soil cake, we have

00:34:34.800 --> 00:34:38.460
this thick yellow layer showing humans and giant

00:34:38.460 --> 00:34:41.300
rats living together. Then what happens is you

00:34:41.300 --> 00:34:43.159
move up the dirt. Then you hit a very sharp,

00:34:43.260 --> 00:34:45.800
very sudden line in the soil. The yellow dirt

00:34:45.800 --> 00:34:48.900
just stops abruptly. And right above it, sitting

00:34:48.900 --> 00:34:52.480
on top, you get a distinct layer of very dark,

00:34:52.800 --> 00:34:55.309
organic, rich sediment. The dark layer. That

00:34:55.309 --> 00:34:57.530
sounds incredibly ominous. It is the stark boundary

00:34:57.530 --> 00:35:00.449
line of the colonial era. And in that dark sediment

00:35:00.449 --> 00:35:04.250
layer, Ekboldimis just vanishes. The bones disappear

00:35:04.250 --> 00:35:06.929
completely. It is entirely absent from the upper

00:35:06.929 --> 00:35:08.909
record. And what replaces it in that dark soil?

00:35:09.170 --> 00:35:11.969
Raddus. Raddus. The European rats. Specifically,

00:35:12.210 --> 00:35:14.889
Raddus raddus, the black rat, and Raddus norvegicus,

00:35:15.110 --> 00:35:17.309
the brown rat. The ship rats. And crucially,

00:35:17.590 --> 00:35:20.030
raddus does not cross oceans by rafting on random

00:35:20.030 --> 00:35:23.030
mats of vegetation. No. Raddus travels comfortably

00:35:23.030 --> 00:35:25.510
in the holds of massive wooden sailing ships.

00:35:25.809 --> 00:35:27.849
The sudden appearance of Raddus bones in that

00:35:27.849 --> 00:35:30.610
upper layer is the definitive geological marker

00:35:30.610 --> 00:35:34.409
for the arrival of Europeans post -1500 AD. It

00:35:34.409 --> 00:35:37.889
is amazing. in a sad way, that the geology is

00:35:37.889 --> 00:35:40.389
that incredibly precise. Yeah. You can literally

00:35:40.389 --> 00:35:42.349
drag your finger up the cave wall and see the

00:35:42.349 --> 00:35:44.730
exact moment Columbus and the subsequent colonizers

00:35:44.730 --> 00:35:47.670
arrived. It is a stark, devastating line in the

00:35:47.670 --> 00:35:50.769
earth. One world ends entirely, and a completely

00:35:50.769 --> 00:35:53.610
different one begins. So why exactly is the European

00:35:53.610 --> 00:35:56.170
rat such an unstoppable killer in this scenario?

00:35:56.550 --> 00:35:58.929
I mean, think about it. Ekbultemis is a giant.

00:35:59.150 --> 00:36:01.269
It's the size of a cat. Rattus is relatively

00:36:01.269 --> 00:36:04.110
small. Sure. In a one -on -one cage match, I

00:36:04.110 --> 00:36:07.230
am absolutely betting my money on the giant Caribbean

00:36:07.230 --> 00:36:09.449
rat. And in a pure physical cage match, you'd

00:36:09.449 --> 00:36:12.510
be right. Agultamese wins easily. But evolution

00:36:12.510 --> 00:36:15.010
and extinction isn't a cage match, it is a numbers

00:36:15.010 --> 00:36:17.590
game. A numbers game. And Rattus is the ultimate

00:36:17.590 --> 00:36:20.309
biological cheat code in the numbers game. How

00:36:20.309 --> 00:36:22.929
so? Unpack their strategy. First and foremost,

00:36:23.630 --> 00:36:26.449
rapid reproduction. They breed fast. Insanely

00:36:26.449 --> 00:36:29.980
fast. An island giant like Ekbultemes, having

00:36:29.980 --> 00:36:32.820
lived with zero predators for millions of years,

00:36:33.079 --> 00:36:36.260
almost certainly evolved a very slow life history.

00:36:36.539 --> 00:36:37.920
Because they didn't need to replace themselves

00:36:37.920 --> 00:36:40.559
quickly. Right. They likely had fewer babies'

00:36:40.619 --> 00:36:43.699
poo litter, a much longer gestation period, and

00:36:43.699 --> 00:36:45.760
took a longer time to reach sexual maturity.

00:36:45.840 --> 00:36:48.739
Whereas the European rat... Explodes in population.

00:36:48.980 --> 00:36:51.860
The giants simply could not reproduce fast enough

00:36:51.860 --> 00:36:53.900
to sustain their numbers under new pressure.

00:36:54.019 --> 00:36:57.469
They just swarmed them. Swarmed. Second... Rattus

00:36:57.469 --> 00:37:01.130
is a highly aggressive, hyper -adaptable generalist.

00:37:01.429 --> 00:37:03.869
They will eat literally anything. So they stole

00:37:03.869 --> 00:37:06.590
the food. They absolutely would have outcompeted

00:37:06.590 --> 00:37:08.610
Iqbaltomys for the seeds and plants it relied

00:37:08.610 --> 00:37:12.369
on. But much worse, European rats are notorious

00:37:12.369 --> 00:37:15.550
egg and nest predators. They likely hunted and

00:37:15.550 --> 00:37:18.070
ate the juvenile Iqbaltomys right out of their

00:37:18.070 --> 00:37:19.949
nest before they could ever grow into giants.

00:37:20.010 --> 00:37:22.050
So they cut off the next generation. And finally,

00:37:22.349 --> 00:37:25.690
perhaps the most deadly factor, disease. Biological

00:37:25.690 --> 00:37:28.639
warfare. Almost certainly. Bratis carries a whole

00:37:28.639 --> 00:37:31.800
host of continental pathogens, fleas and viruses

00:37:31.800 --> 00:37:35.400
that the native isolated island rodents had absolutely

00:37:35.400 --> 00:37:38.679
zero immune defense against. It's the exact same

00:37:38.679 --> 00:37:41.199
tragic story as the human populations of the

00:37:41.199 --> 00:37:43.920
Americas encountering European diseases. It is

00:37:43.920 --> 00:37:46.579
a terrible parallel. Yes. So the extinction wasn't

00:37:46.579 --> 00:37:49.079
a giant battle. It wasn't a bang. It was just

00:37:49.079 --> 00:37:52.260
a whimper, a slow choking, inevitable squeeze,

00:37:52.539 --> 00:37:55.440
a deadly squeeze, but one that happened incredibly

00:37:55.440 --> 00:37:58.900
fast in geological. time. Within just a few short

00:37:58.900 --> 00:38:01.860
decades of European ships dropping anchor, a

00:38:01.860 --> 00:38:04.420
unique biological lineage that had successfully

00:38:04.420 --> 00:38:07.480
survived for millions of years was completely

00:38:07.480 --> 00:38:10.489
wiped out. And it wasn't just limited to Antigua

00:38:10.489 --> 00:38:13.150
and Barbuda, was it? The outline mentions this

00:38:13.150 --> 00:38:15.969
mysterious, undescribed species bee showing up

00:38:15.969 --> 00:38:18.170
elsewhere. Yes. And this is where the scale of

00:38:18.170 --> 00:38:19.849
the tragedy really widens. What did they find?

00:38:20.030 --> 00:38:22.309
In recent years, archaeologists digging in middens

00:38:22.309 --> 00:38:25.230
on other islands, specifically Guadalupe, Montserrat,

00:38:25.389 --> 00:38:27.710
and Marie Galante, have found the scattered bones

00:38:27.710 --> 00:38:30.949
of a very similar massive rice rat. Also labeled

00:38:30.949 --> 00:38:34.150
undescribed species bee. Exactly. The morphology

00:38:34.150 --> 00:38:37.590
is so close that it strongly suggests that either

00:38:37.590 --> 00:38:40.670
Agbultimus itself or its very, very close cousins

00:38:40.670 --> 00:38:43.730
were actually the dominant ground mammals across

00:38:43.730 --> 00:38:45.969
that entire section of the Lua chain. They weren't

00:38:45.969 --> 00:38:48.269
just a localized fluke. They were a regional

00:38:48.269 --> 00:38:51.170
empire. They were a massive evolutionary success

00:38:51.170 --> 00:38:53.670
story. They had conquered multiple islands. They

00:38:53.670 --> 00:38:56.030
were everywhere. And they all fell to the exact

00:38:56.030 --> 00:38:59.159
same enemy. The dark sediment layer is found

00:38:59.159 --> 00:39:01.900
in the caves of all those islands. The story

00:39:01.900 --> 00:39:04.659
is identically grim across the board. The wooden

00:39:04.659 --> 00:39:08.059
ships arrive. The European rats disembark. The

00:39:08.059 --> 00:39:10.760
native giants completely disappear. It really

00:39:10.760 --> 00:39:12.840
brings us right back to the start of this entire

00:39:12.840 --> 00:39:15.960
conversation. The profound irony of this animal's

00:39:15.960 --> 00:39:18.159
existence. It is deeply, deeply ironic. If you

00:39:18.159 --> 00:39:19.679
just take a step back and look at the resume

00:39:19.679 --> 00:39:22.190
of the species. Let's review it. It starts out

00:39:22.190 --> 00:39:25.389
as a small, shivering rat in the high, misty

00:39:25.389 --> 00:39:28.070
cloud forests of the Andes. It gets swept into

00:39:28.070 --> 00:39:30.949
a raging river, survives a brutal, seemingly

00:39:30.949 --> 00:39:33.409
impossible Sinbad voyage across the ocean on

00:39:33.409 --> 00:39:36.269
a tangle of roots, a literal miracle of survival

00:39:36.269 --> 00:39:39.590
at sea. It washes ashore, a cast away. It conquers

00:39:39.590 --> 00:39:42.750
an entirely new alien landscape. It fundamentally

00:39:42.750 --> 00:39:45.949
changes its own biology. It reshapes its skull,

00:39:46.289 --> 00:39:48.750
alters its teeth, and blows up its body size

00:39:48.750 --> 00:39:51.170
to completely master that limestone terrain.

00:39:51.510 --> 00:39:54.489
It survives massive Caribbean hurricanes. It

00:39:54.489 --> 00:39:56.809
survives the rising sea levels at the end of

00:39:56.809 --> 00:39:59.349
the global ice age when the islands shrink. It

00:39:59.349 --> 00:40:01.869
even survives the arrival of the first spear

00:40:01.869 --> 00:40:04.170
-wielding human hunters living alongside them

00:40:04.170 --> 00:40:06.789
for thousands of years. It survives all of that.

00:40:07.099 --> 00:40:10.480
But it could not survive the year 1500 AD. It

00:40:10.480 --> 00:40:12.820
could not survive the globalization of the common

00:40:12.820 --> 00:40:15.980
rat. And now, the final, most bitter irony of

00:40:15.980 --> 00:40:19.420
all? It can't even survive the rigid bureaucracy

00:40:19.420 --> 00:40:22.079
of human science. It sits quietly in a museum

00:40:22.079 --> 00:40:24.800
drawer, permanently unnamed. A literal ghost

00:40:24.800 --> 00:40:27.159
species. It really is a poignant reminder that

00:40:27.159 --> 00:40:29.460
extinction doesn't just physically erase the

00:40:29.460 --> 00:40:31.900
living animal from the earth. Sometimes, it eventually

00:40:31.900 --> 00:40:34.380
erases the very memory of the animal from our

00:40:34.380 --> 00:40:36.599
records. Which is terrifying. Think about it.

00:40:36.969 --> 00:40:39.969
If Clayton Ray hadn't been incredibly diligent

00:40:39.969 --> 00:40:43.469
in the 1960s, if he hadn't written that specific

00:40:43.469 --> 00:40:46.389
brilliant thesis, we wouldn't even know enough

00:40:46.389 --> 00:40:49.130
today to call it undescribed species B. It would

00:40:49.130 --> 00:40:51.909
just be a box of weird oversized bones gathering

00:40:51.909 --> 00:40:55.170
dust on a shelf. Just a geological anomaly nobody

00:40:55.170 --> 00:40:57.269
bothered to look at closely. And that is the

00:40:57.269 --> 00:40:59.489
one thought that I really cannot shake as we

00:40:59.489 --> 00:41:02.289
wrap this up. We only know about this specific

00:41:02.289 --> 00:41:05.599
ghost because Ray was diligent, but How many

00:41:05.599 --> 00:41:07.800
other drawers are out there? Oh, that is the

00:41:07.800 --> 00:41:10.519
big open question in paleontology. I mean, every

00:41:10.519 --> 00:41:13.840
major natural history museum in the world, London,

00:41:14.119 --> 00:41:16.679
Paris, New York, Washington, D .C., they all

00:41:16.679 --> 00:41:19.960
have massive labyrinthine basements full of what

00:41:19.960 --> 00:41:23.159
they call unprocessed material. Millions of specimens,

00:41:23.480 --> 00:41:25.940
boxes of bones collected hastily by explorers

00:41:25.940 --> 00:41:28.960
in the 1800s, fragile fossils dug out of quarries

00:41:28.960 --> 00:41:31.199
in the 1920s that got packed away during a war

00:41:31.199 --> 00:41:33.000
and never opened again. They're all just sitting

00:41:33.000 --> 00:41:37.349
there in the dark. waiting for a story. Exactly.

00:41:37.710 --> 00:41:41.050
How many other forgotten ghost species are currently

00:41:41.050 --> 00:41:44.250
hiding in plain sight? How many other impossible

00:41:44.250 --> 00:41:47.130
Sinbad voyages are locked away in a steel cabinet

00:41:47.130 --> 00:41:49.630
right now, just waiting for a curious grad student

00:41:49.630 --> 00:41:51.989
to pull open the drawer, take the millimeter

00:41:51.989 --> 00:41:54.590
measurements, and finally write the right paper?

00:41:55.170 --> 00:41:58.460
We tend to romanticize exploration. We think

00:41:58.460 --> 00:42:01.159
it means going out into the unmapped jungle with

00:42:01.159 --> 00:42:03.219
a machete and a pith helmet. But sometimes the

00:42:03.219 --> 00:42:05.460
most important exploration is just going down

00:42:05.460 --> 00:42:07.559
into the climate -controlled basement with a

00:42:07.559 --> 00:42:10.239
pair of digital calipers and a strong cup of

00:42:10.239 --> 00:42:13.139
coffee. The history of life on Earth is far from

00:42:13.139 --> 00:42:16.320
finished. It is still being written, and a huge

00:42:16.320 --> 00:42:18.780
chunk of it is going to be found quietly waiting

00:42:18.780 --> 00:42:21.079
in the archives. I couldn't agree more. Well,

00:42:21.500 --> 00:42:24.929
here is to epitomies. The cast -up mouse. May

00:42:24.929 --> 00:42:27.190
it one day finally get its official name on the

00:42:27.190 --> 00:42:29.989
deed. Here, here, I hope so too. Thanks for taking

00:42:29.989 --> 00:42:32.110
this deep dive with us today. It was my absolute

00:42:32.110 --> 00:42:33.889
pleasure. And we will catch you all on the next

00:42:33.889 --> 00:42:34.050
one.
