WEBVTT

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So if you picture the modern political battlefield

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for a second, what comes to mind? It's loud.

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Right. It is incredibly loud. It's performative.

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Very performative. Attention is really the currency

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of the realm right now. Exactly. It's all about

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who can get the most engagement on X or who can

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deliver the sickest burn on a primetime cable

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news hit. Yeah. The conventional wisdom today

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says that if you aren't making noise, you aren't

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making policy. Which brings us to today's deep

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dive. Because we are looking at a stack of sources

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that tell a completely different story. A very

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different story. We're digging into the career

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of what you might call a workhorse. And I don't

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mean that as just a cliché. Right. We have this

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fascinating case study in front of us. A guy

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who has seemingly crapped the code on how to

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be a detail -obsessed policy nerd. A technocrat,

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really. Yeah, a technocrat conservative in an

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era of high -octane populism. And somehow, he

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is winning his elections by these massive, almost

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North Korean margins in a deep red state. It

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is a statistical anomaly when you look at the

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data. I mean, in a time where being labeled a

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moderate or an institutionalist usually means

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you're about to lose your primary. You mean you're

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dead in the water. Exactly. But this figure totally

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stands out. So we're talking about Dusty Johnson.

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For you listening, he is the U .S. representative

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for South Dakota's at -large congressional district.

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The whole state. The whole state, yeah. And the

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big news... The reason we are doing this deep

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dive right now is that as of June 30th, 2025,

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so last year, he officially announced his run

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for governor. South Dakota for the 2026 election.

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Right. And our mission today isn't just to talk

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about a guy running for governor. No, definitely

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not. If you look at the voting records and the

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biographical data and just the sheer length of

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the resume we've been reviewing, Johnson represents

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a real test case. He really does. He is testing

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whether a politician who cares more about, say,

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the price of ethanol transport than the latest

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culture war outrage, whether that guy can actually

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inherit the Magier coalition without actually

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being Magier. And that's the tension right there.

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Because when we tear into his voting record later

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in the show and we have the actual roll call

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votes here, he has done things that, by all conventional

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metrics, should have ended his career. Oh, absolutely.

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I mean, he voted for the January 6th commission.

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Yep. He voted against President Trump's border

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emergency declaration. In almost any other district,

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that is an automatic primary loss. It's game

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over. Right. Just ask Liz Cheney. Or Peter Meijer.

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Exactly. The political graveyard is full of Republicans

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who took those exact same votes. It is a kill

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zone. But Dusty Johnson didn't just survive those

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votes, he actually thrived. So that is the central

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question for you today. How do you walk through

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the fire of the post -2020 Republican Party,

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vote against the leader of your party on these

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major institutional issues, and then come out

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the other side with an endorsement from that

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very same leader? It requires a very specific

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toolkit. And to understand it, you really can't

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just look at his time in Washington. No, you

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have to go back. You have to go back to 1998.

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To a kid in Pierre, South Dakota, who wasn't

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dreaming of being a TV star. He was dreaming

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of being a bureaucrat. So let's open the dossier.

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Second one, the Wendekind. Let's get into it.

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So Johnson is born in Pierre in 1976. And right

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off the bat, the local product branding is very

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strong here. Very strong. He graduates from T

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.F. Riggs High School in 1995. And that matters

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a lot in a state like South Dakota, because Pierre

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is the capital, but it's also a small town. Right.

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It's not a massive metropolis. No. So being from

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Pierre means you intimately understand the specific

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rhythm of the state government. It's the factory

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town industry of your hometown. That makes total

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sense. The government is the local business.

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And clearly, he was the kid in class who actually

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did the reading. Unquestionably. We're looking

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at his time at the University of South Dakota,

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political science degree in 1999. He's in the

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Phi Delta Theta fraternity. He gets Omicron Delta

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Kappa honors. But there is one specific accolade

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in this early biography that really signals who

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he's going to become. The Truman scholarship.

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Yes. In 1998, he was named a Truman Scholar.

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And we should pause there, because Truman Scholar

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is one of those terms that gets thrown around

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in political bios, but the implications of it

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are profound for understanding his psychology.

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Yeah, break that down for us. What does being

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a Truman Scholar actually tell us about a college

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student? Because it's not just making the Dean's

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List. Not at all. The Harry S. Truman Scholarship

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isn't just an academic award for getting straight

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A's. It is a highly competitive, federally funded

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scholarship granted specifically to U .S. college

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juniors who demonstrate leadership potential

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and a firm commitment to public service. So it's

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a very specific track. It is essentially a recruiting

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tool for the future leaders of the government

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bureaucracy. So this isn't for the person who

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wants to go to Wall Street and make a billion

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dollars. No. If you see Truman Scholar on a resume,

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it usually means this person is a serious policy

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wonk who intends to spend their entire life inside

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the machinery of government. It signals a belief

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that government can actually work. Exactly. It

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shows a belief that government can work if you

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just have the right smart people pulling the

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levers. Which is such an interesting contrast

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to the modern populist vibe of, you know, burn

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the whole system down. Completely. He starts

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his career with a credential that essentially

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says, I believe in the system. And the sources

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show he did exactly that. As a Truman scholar,

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he went out to D .C. to work for the U .S. Department

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of Agriculture. Getting that federal experience

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early. Right. And then he gets his master of

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public administration from the University of

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Kansas. He is literally stacking up these credentials

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that scream competent administrator. And he puts

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those administrative credentials to use. Almost

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immediately. In 2003, he works as a senior policy

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advisor for then Governor Mike Rounds. But the

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real leap, the moment he stops being just a staffer

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and becomes an actual player, is in 2004. The

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Public Utilities Commission? Did you see? Now

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I know what you listening are probably thinking.

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You were promised a fascinating political deep

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dive, and now we are talking about utility rates.

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I know it sounds like the absolute driest, most

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sedate job in all of government. But stick with

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us here, because the sources suggest this was

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actually a political masterstroke. This is really

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where the Dusty Johnson brand is born. Absolutely.

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He gets elected to the PUC in 2004. And we have

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to highlight the key stat here. He was the youngest

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utilities commissioner in the entire nation at

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that time. The youngest in the nation. That is

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such a bold move. You're in your late 20s and

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you are regulating electricity and telephone

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rates. Right. Why would a 28 -year -old political

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upstart want to be a utilities commissioner?

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Why not run for the state legislature where you

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can give big speeches? You really have to look

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at the power dynamics of a rural state like South

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Dakota to understand it. Okay. In a major city,

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you might not think about your utility regulator

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unless the power goes out. But in South Dakota,

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This is an agricultural economy. Right. Farming

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is everything. Exactly. So who regulates the

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rates for grain drying? The PUC. Who regulates

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the cost of electricity to pump water for heavy

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irrigation? The PUC. So by taking this boring

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job, he is actually inserting himself directly

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into the balance sheet of every single farm in

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the state. Precisely. Who is responsible for

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whether or not a farmer can get broadband internet

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to run their modern precision agriculture equipment?

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It's the PUC. Wow. So Dusty Johnson wasn't out

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there debating flag burning or school prayer.

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He was debating how much it costs to run a family

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farm. That is a crucial distinction. It's kitchen

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table politics, but even more specific than that,

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it's barn politics. Barn politics, I like that.

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And he excelled at it. He became the chairman

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of the PUC by 2007. And he wasn't just sitting

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there keeping the lights on. He was highly active.

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Right. I saw that in the notes. In 2010, he leads

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this delegation to meet with the FCC commissioners

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regarding the national broadband plan. He's down

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in D .C. arguing with federal regulators about

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the definition of broadband for rural providers.

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Which, again, sounds highly technical. But if

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you are living in a town of 400 people and Netflix

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is buffering constantly. Or, more importantly,

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you can't upload your crop yield data to the

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futures market. Exactly. The guy who is fighting

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to fix that infrastructure is a hero to you.

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And he did it without ever having to take a stance

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on a polarizing social issue. This is the absolute

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foundation of his problem -solver brand. It's

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almost a shelter from the political storm. You

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can't really get primaried from the right. on

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electricity rates in the same way you can on

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immigration or taxes. Precisely. It insulated

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him completely. The lights either turn on or

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they don't. The internet works or it doesn't.

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It is a binary metric of success that everyone

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agrees on. And that transition from youngest

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commissioner to a serious policy heavyweight

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sets him up perfectly for his next role. Because

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in 2011, he resigns from the PUC. But he doesn't

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quit public service. No, he goes deeper inside.

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Which brings us to segment two, the operator.

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In 2011, Governor Dennis Daughert takes office

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and he taps Dusty Johnson to be his chief of

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staff. Now, chief of staff is a title that can

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mean a lot of different things depending on the

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specific administration. Right. Sometimes it's

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just a glorified scheduler. Sometimes it's a

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political hatchet man who just handles the dirty

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work. But the description of his role during

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the Daughert administration in our sources is

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really telling. The material refers to him as

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the, quote, chief operating officer for much

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of state government. The COO. Exactly. A COO

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model implies he was actually running the machinery

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day to day. He was supervising cabinet secretaries,

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overseeing policy advisors, and managing the

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governor's core initiatives. So he's not just

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the guy guarding the door to the Oval Office,

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so to speak. He's the guy making sure the gears

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are actually turning. Think about the level of

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detail that requires. You have to know the budget

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constraints of the Department of Transportation.

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You have to know the personnel issues in the

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Department of Social Services. You have to know

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how to negotiate with the legislature to get

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the governor's agenda passed. Right. So if you

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are a voter in South Dakota looking at him right

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now in 2026 for governor, you are looking at

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a guy who has technically already run the government.

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That is the argument he is undoubtedly making

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on the campaign trail. He has seen the job from

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the inside. He knows where the bodies are buried

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or at least where the files are stored. And he

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did that operational work for four solid years

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until 2014. And then comes the pivot. Yeah. He

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leaves the Dugard administration. And his successor

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there is Tony Van Hoosen, by the way. But Johnson

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doesn't go straight to running for office himself

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yet. No, he goes into the private sector. He

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joins Vantage Point Solutions in Mitchell, South

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Dakota as vice president. Which, again, fits

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the broader narrative perfectly. Tell us about

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Vantage Point Solutions, because this isn't just

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a situation where he goes to a white shoe law

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firm to cash out. No, not at all. Vantage Point

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Solutions is an engineering and consulting firm

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heavily involved in broadband and telecommunications.

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Interesting. So think about the thread here.

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He regulates broadband at the PUC. He oversees

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the state's infrastructure as chief of staff.

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And now he goes directly to the private sector

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to actually help build out that rural infrastructure.

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It really does feel like he was systematically

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checking boxes on a perfect candidate bingo card.

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It does. Public service. Check. Executive management.

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Check. Private sector business experience. Check.

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It completely rounds out the resume. It insulates

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him from the standard criticism that he's a career

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politician who has never signed the front of

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a paycheck. His career up to that point had been

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overwhelmingly public facing. Right. But it gives

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him that businessman credential that conservative

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voters value so highly. So by 2018, he is completely

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ready. The seat opens up. Kristi Noem, who was

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the U .S. representative at the time, decides

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to run for governor. A path Dusty is now replicating

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almost step for step, by the way. Exactly. And

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Dusty throws his hat in the ring for Congress.

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Which brings us to segment three. The Congressman.

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The 2018 election was his real introduction to

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the national stage, but it was also a major test

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of his local strength. He had a competitive primary.

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He had to beat Chantel Krebs, who was the secretary

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of state, and Neil Tapio, a state senator. And

00:12:17.169 --> 00:12:19.549
he won that primary with nearly 47 percent of

00:12:19.549 --> 00:12:21.850
the vote in a three way race. Which is very strong.

00:12:22.110 --> 00:12:24.029
And then he cruises through the general election

00:12:24.029 --> 00:12:26.590
against the Democrat Tim Yorkman with over 60

00:12:26.590 --> 00:12:28.970
percent. Once he gets to Washington in 2019,

00:12:29.169 --> 00:12:32.070
he does not waste any time defining his political

00:12:32.070 --> 00:12:35.100
identity. And this is crucial for you to understand

00:12:35.100 --> 00:12:37.799
his trajectory. He didn't join the Freedom Caucus.

00:12:38.120 --> 00:12:40.200
He didn't join the bomb throwers or the cable

00:12:40.200 --> 00:12:42.519
news regulars. He joined the Problem Solvers

00:12:42.519 --> 00:12:46.039
Caucus. Yes. Immediately upon arrival. For anyone

00:12:46.039 --> 00:12:47.580
listening who might hear that name and think

00:12:47.580 --> 00:12:50.080
it's just a generic campaign slogan. What does

00:12:50.080 --> 00:12:52.799
the Problem Solvers Caucus actually signify in

00:12:52.799 --> 00:12:55.720
D .C.? The Problem Solvers Caucus is a formal

00:12:55.720 --> 00:12:59.039
bipartisan group. It's composed of roughly equal

00:12:59.039 --> 00:13:01.159
numbers of Democrats and Republicans committed

00:13:01.159 --> 00:13:03.720
to finding common ground on legislation. So it's

00:13:03.720 --> 00:13:07.080
a structured voting block. Exactly. By joining

00:13:07.080 --> 00:13:10.019
it, and by also becoming the chair of the Republican

00:13:10.019 --> 00:13:12.559
Main Street Partnership, Johnson was planting

00:13:12.559 --> 00:13:15.299
a very specific flag. What was the message? He

00:13:15.299 --> 00:13:18.019
was saying, I am a pragmatist. I am here to govern,

00:13:18.179 --> 00:13:20.480
not to agitate. It's the brand of the adult in

00:13:20.480 --> 00:13:23.539
the room. Precisely. And often, in media shorthand,

00:13:23.659 --> 00:13:25.860
that brand is viewed as moderate or centrist.

00:13:26.159 --> 00:13:29.019
And in today's GOP, moderate can sometimes be

00:13:29.019 --> 00:13:32.740
a very dirty word. It can get you labeled a rhino.

00:13:32.919 --> 00:13:35.600
Republican in name only. But here's the fascinating

00:13:35.600 --> 00:13:38.139
thing about Dusty Johnson. His voting record

00:13:38.139 --> 00:13:41.440
isn't necessarily liberal at all. It's just procedural.

00:13:42.120 --> 00:13:45.639
And despite that moderate branding look at his

00:13:45.639 --> 00:13:47.240
electoral dominance. Oh, the numbers we have

00:13:47.240 --> 00:13:50.779
here are wild. Let's look at 2020. He has a primary

00:13:50.779 --> 00:13:54.840
challenger, Liz Marty May. He beats her 77 percent

00:13:54.840 --> 00:13:57.960
to 23 percent. A blowout. And then in the general

00:13:57.960 --> 00:14:01.159
election, he gets 81 percent of the vote. 81%.

00:14:01.159 --> 00:14:03.139
That is a staggering number. You just don't see

00:14:03.139 --> 00:14:05.580
that in contested federal elections. And then

00:14:05.580 --> 00:14:08.919
2022 comes along. Now this is post -January 6th.

00:14:09.200 --> 00:14:11.779
The political climate has shifted dramatically.

00:14:11.940 --> 00:14:13.960
Very much so. He gets a primary challenge from

00:14:13.960 --> 00:14:17.220
his right, Taffy Howard, and she is coming at

00:14:17.220 --> 00:14:19.440
him specifically on his voting record, which

00:14:19.440 --> 00:14:21.440
we will get to in a minute. This really should

00:14:21.440 --> 00:14:23.659
have been his vulnerable moment. But it was closer,

00:14:23.840 --> 00:14:26.549
relatively speaking. But he still won 59 percent

00:14:26.549 --> 00:14:29.129
to 40 percent. In a primary, a nearly 20 point

00:14:29.129 --> 00:14:31.490
win is still highly decisive. It's a mandate.

00:14:31.769 --> 00:14:34.470
And then he turns around in 2024 and wins the

00:14:34.470 --> 00:14:37.350
general with 72 percent. So he is essentially

00:14:37.350 --> 00:14:41.570
bulletproof electorally. But why? Because when

00:14:41.570 --> 00:14:44.649
we look at segment four, the tightrope walk.

00:14:45.250 --> 00:14:47.710
His voting record is not what you would expect

00:14:47.710 --> 00:14:49.789
from someone with that level of support in a

00:14:49.789 --> 00:14:51.990
deep red state. No, it certainly isn't. And this

00:14:51.990 --> 00:14:53.570
is where we really have to give you the nuance

00:14:53.570 --> 00:14:56.669
of the situation. Right. Dusty Johnson has established

00:14:56.669 --> 00:14:59.710
a record of what I would call independent institutionalism.

00:15:00.230 --> 00:15:03.090
He has taken votes that directly defied President

00:15:03.090 --> 00:15:05.590
Trump and the Madge movement specifically on

00:15:05.590 --> 00:15:08.110
issues of executive power and the democratic

00:15:08.110 --> 00:15:10.169
process. We have to talk about the elephant in

00:15:10.169 --> 00:15:12.779
the room. or rather the elephant that trampled

00:15:12.779 --> 00:15:14.940
the room, the Trump years. This is where the

00:15:14.940 --> 00:15:18.019
case study of Dusty Johnson gets incredibly complicated.

00:15:18.519 --> 00:15:20.879
Because up until 2019, you could argue he's just

00:15:20.879 --> 00:15:22.539
a standard chamber of commerce conservative.

00:15:23.279 --> 00:15:25.539
But then he gets to Congress and almost immediately

00:15:25.539 --> 00:15:28.139
he starts taking votes that seem designed to

00:15:28.139 --> 00:15:30.379
antagonize the leader of his party. Let's look

00:15:30.379 --> 00:15:32.980
at the timeline from the sources. March 2019,

00:15:33.399 --> 00:15:35.600
he has been in Congress for maybe eight weeks.

00:15:35.740 --> 00:15:38.600
He is fresh off the boat. President Trump declares

00:15:38.600 --> 00:15:41.559
a national emergency to fund the border wall

00:15:41.559 --> 00:15:44.019
because Congress wouldn't appropriate the cash

00:15:44.019 --> 00:15:47.919
he wanted. Now, to be clear here, Johnson supports

00:15:47.919 --> 00:15:51.039
the wall. The sources note he has an A rating

00:15:51.039 --> 00:15:53.860
from strict immigration groups. He's not a fan

00:15:53.860 --> 00:15:56.440
of open borders. Correct. He absolutely wants

00:15:56.440 --> 00:15:59.179
the wall built, but he votes with the Democrats

00:15:59.179 --> 00:16:02.139
to override President Trump's veto of the measure

00:16:02.139 --> 00:16:04.440
that would have revoked that emergency declaration.

00:16:04.639 --> 00:16:08.230
Whoa. So he voted to stop Trump from using emergency

00:16:08.230 --> 00:16:11.350
powers to build the wall. Why? If you want the

00:16:11.350 --> 00:16:14.129
wall, why vote to stop the guy building it? Because

00:16:14.129 --> 00:16:17.399
Johnson is an institutionalist first. The source

00:16:17.399 --> 00:16:20.200
material highlights his core argument here. The

00:16:20.200 --> 00:16:22.779
Constitution says Congress holds the purse strings,

00:16:23.159 --> 00:16:25.679
Article 1. The power of the purse. Exactly. If

00:16:25.679 --> 00:16:27.940
the president can just declare an emergency to

00:16:27.940 --> 00:16:30.480
spend money that Congress specifically did not

00:16:30.480 --> 00:16:32.240
approve, the executive branch essentially becomes

00:16:32.240 --> 00:16:34.559
a king. Right. Johnson was arguing essentially,

00:16:34.639 --> 00:16:36.840
I want the wall, but I don't want a king. That

00:16:36.840 --> 00:16:39.580
is a very nuanced law school classroom type of

00:16:39.580 --> 00:16:42.039
argument. It is. It is a process over outcome

00:16:42.039 --> 00:16:45.269
argument, which is rare today. And usually those

00:16:45.269 --> 00:16:47.710
nuanced process arguments get you absolutely

00:16:47.710 --> 00:16:50.149
shredded in Republican primary. They get you

00:16:50.149 --> 00:16:52.629
labeled a rhino immediately. Your opponents just

00:16:52.629 --> 00:16:54.629
say, oh, he cares more about process than securing

00:16:54.629 --> 00:16:57.230
the border. And he was one of only 14 Republicans

00:16:57.230 --> 00:17:00.409
to take that vote. That is a very lonely island

00:17:00.409 --> 00:17:03.110
to be on. He stayed against the vast majority

00:17:03.110 --> 00:17:05.329
of his own conference. So how did he survive

00:17:05.329 --> 00:17:08.099
that? I think it comes down to his communication

00:17:08.099 --> 00:17:10.579
style back home. What did he do? He didn't go

00:17:10.579 --> 00:17:12.660
on a liberal cable network and say Trump is a

00:17:12.660 --> 00:17:15.480
danger to democracy. He went back to South Dakota

00:17:15.480 --> 00:17:18.079
and held town halls and said, look folks, if

00:17:18.079 --> 00:17:19.819
we let a Republican president do this today,

00:17:20.160 --> 00:17:22.440
a Democratic president is going to do it tomorrow

00:17:22.440 --> 00:17:25.200
for gun control or climate change. We have to

00:17:25.200 --> 00:17:27.950
protect the checkbook. Ah, he made it about the

00:17:27.950 --> 00:17:30.430
future threat of Democrats. That is incredibly

00:17:30.430 --> 00:17:32.970
smart politics. It is highly disciplined. He

00:17:32.970 --> 00:17:35.490
framed it as a conservative defense of the Constitution,

00:17:35.750 --> 00:17:38.250
not a personal attack on Trump. But then the

00:17:38.250 --> 00:17:40.950
difficulty ramped up significantly. The 2020

00:17:40.950 --> 00:17:43.609
election aftermath. The ultimate litmus test

00:17:43.609 --> 00:17:47.569
for the modern GOP. The certification. When the

00:17:47.569 --> 00:17:50.650
lawsuit, Texas versus Pennsylvania, was filed

00:17:50.650 --> 00:17:53.250
at the Supreme Court to contest the election

00:17:53.250 --> 00:17:55.950
results, a majority of Republican members of

00:17:55.950 --> 00:17:59.190
Congress signed an amicus brief supporting it.

00:17:59.509 --> 00:18:01.190
They formally put their names on the document

00:18:01.190 --> 00:18:03.569
saying throw out these votes. But Dusty Johnson

00:18:03.569 --> 00:18:06.930
did not. He sat it out. He did not sign the brief.

00:18:07.109 --> 00:18:09.829
And then on January 6th, when it came time to

00:18:09.829 --> 00:18:12.789
certify the Electoral College votes, he voted

00:18:12.789 --> 00:18:15.529
to certify the results in both Arizona and Pennsylvania.

00:18:16.440 --> 00:18:18.940
He formally accepted the election outcome. And

00:18:18.940 --> 00:18:20.779
that alone was enough to end careers for some

00:18:20.779 --> 00:18:23.240
Republicans. Just acknowledging Biden won was

00:18:23.240 --> 00:18:25.160
considered a massive betrayal in some circles.

00:18:25.339 --> 00:18:28.200
But he went even further. May 2021, the January

00:18:28.200 --> 00:18:31.019
6th commission. This is perhaps his most striking

00:18:31.019 --> 00:18:33.640
vote. There was a bill to establish an independent

00:18:33.640 --> 00:18:36.000
bipartisan commission to investigate the storming

00:18:36.000 --> 00:18:38.259
of the Capitol. And just to be clear, this is

00:18:38.259 --> 00:18:40.579
not the select committee that Nancy Pelosi eventually

00:18:40.579 --> 00:18:43.339
set up. This was the original bipartisan proposal.

00:18:43.720 --> 00:18:46.039
Right. And most of the GOP leadership had turned

00:18:46.039 --> 00:18:48.319
against it by the time the vote actually happened.

00:18:48.539 --> 00:18:50.480
Kevin McCarthy was actively whipping against

00:18:50.480 --> 00:18:54.180
it. But Dusty Johnson was one of only 35 Republicans

00:18:54.180 --> 00:18:57.119
who joined all the Democrats to vote yes. He

00:18:57.119 --> 00:18:59.480
voted for the commission. He wanted the investigation.

00:18:59.640 --> 00:19:02.640
I stopped cold when I saw this in the data. Why

00:19:02.640 --> 00:19:05.720
would he take that risk? He argued that the country

00:19:05.720 --> 00:19:07.940
needed to know the truth. He called it a dark

00:19:07.940 --> 00:19:09.619
day and said we shouldn't just sweep it under

00:19:09.619 --> 00:19:11.819
the rug. And he also voted to keep Liz Cheney

00:19:11.819 --> 00:19:14.740
in leadership. He did. During the second vote

00:19:14.740 --> 00:19:17.980
to oust her as Republican conference chair, he

00:19:17.980 --> 00:19:20.740
voted to keep her in her post. OK, so let's stack

00:19:20.740 --> 00:19:24.220
this all up. He denied Trump his emergency wall

00:19:24.220 --> 00:19:27.460
funding. He validated the 2020 election results.

00:19:27.859 --> 00:19:30.339
He voted to investigate the Capitol riot. And

00:19:30.339 --> 00:19:32.420
he supported the woman who became Trump's arch

00:19:32.420 --> 00:19:35.480
nemesis, Liz Cheney. By all conventional political

00:19:35.480 --> 00:19:38.119
physics, Dusty Johnson should be a former congressman

00:19:38.119 --> 00:19:40.019
right now. He should be working at a think tank

00:19:40.019 --> 00:19:42.480
or a lobbying firm. But then we look at the timeline

00:19:42.480 --> 00:19:46.779
again. June 2020. Donald Trump formally endorses

00:19:46.779 --> 00:19:49.319
him. He calls him, quote, a phenomenal advocate

00:19:49.319 --> 00:19:52.259
for the people of South Dakota. How does that

00:19:52.259 --> 00:19:54.420
happen? How do you vote against the leader of

00:19:54.420 --> 00:19:56.619
the party on the most sensitive loyalty issues

00:19:56.619 --> 00:19:59.660
and still get the phenomenal advocate stamp of

00:19:59.660 --> 00:20:02.339
approval? I think it comes down to how Johnson

00:20:02.339 --> 00:20:05.000
frames these votes and perhaps more importantly

00:20:05.000 --> 00:20:07.480
his sheer utility to the party. Utility in what

00:20:07.480 --> 00:20:10.319
way? Johnson doesn't make it personal. He never

00:20:10.319 --> 00:20:12.599
attacked Trump's character in the press. He attacked

00:20:12.599 --> 00:20:15.740
the procedure. And simultaneous to that, he is

00:20:15.740 --> 00:20:18.380
working incredibly hard on the things that actually

00:20:18.380 --> 00:20:21.619
matter to South Dakota voters and to the administration's

00:20:21.619 --> 00:20:23.869
policy goals. Like agriculture infrastructure

00:20:23.869 --> 00:20:26.470
trade? Essentially, yes. When Trump needed a

00:20:26.470 --> 00:20:29.369
vote on the USMCA trade deal, Johnson was there

00:20:29.369 --> 00:20:31.650
whipping for it. When the administration needed

00:20:31.650 --> 00:20:34.230
help drafting complicated ag policy, Johnson

00:20:34.230 --> 00:20:36.309
was the expert, they called. So in politics,

00:20:36.609 --> 00:20:38.849
utility often trumps purity. It really does.

00:20:38.890 --> 00:20:41.549
He was simply too useful to purge. That is a

00:20:41.549 --> 00:20:43.710
fascinating insight. He made himself completely

00:20:43.710 --> 00:20:45.890
indispensable on the boring stuff so he could

00:20:45.890 --> 00:20:48.630
afford to have a conscience on the constitutional

00:20:48.630 --> 00:20:50.799
stuff. That is a perfect way to put it. And that

00:20:50.799 --> 00:20:53.880
brings us perfectly to segment five, policy nuance.

00:20:54.160 --> 00:20:56.000
Because if you only look at those specific Trump

00:20:56.000 --> 00:20:57.420
votes, you might think, oh, he's just a secret

00:20:57.420 --> 00:21:00.119
Democrat. Right. But when you look at his actual

00:21:00.119 --> 00:21:03.460
policy work from the sources, that theory falls

00:21:03.460 --> 00:21:06.599
apart completely. He's not a liberal. Let's look

00:21:06.599 --> 00:21:09.619
at the Respect for Marriage Act in 2022. This

00:21:09.619 --> 00:21:13.000
was the bill to codify same -sex marriage into

00:21:13.000 --> 00:21:15.400
federal law and Johnson voted against it. He

00:21:15.400 --> 00:21:18.940
voted no Along with South Dakota senators Thunen

00:21:18.940 --> 00:21:22.039
rounds This is a key data point for you to consider

00:21:22.039 --> 00:21:25.539
if he were a squish or a liberal in disguise

00:21:25.539 --> 00:21:28.140
This would be the exact vote to flip on it was

00:21:28.140 --> 00:21:31.160
a popular bill nationally But his rationale was

00:21:31.160 --> 00:21:34.099
very specific and very conservative was the argument

00:21:34.099 --> 00:21:36.700
he made He argued that the bill didn't provide

00:21:36.700 --> 00:21:38.720
sufficient protections for religious beliefs.

00:21:39.380 --> 00:21:41.480
He explicitly stated, if Congress is going to

00:21:41.480 --> 00:21:43.880
codify the Supreme Court's gay marriage decision,

00:21:44.400 --> 00:21:46.299
the religious protections need to be airtight.

00:21:46.400 --> 00:21:49.079
And they weren't. He also made a federalism argument,

00:21:49.240 --> 00:21:51.380
right? He basically said this isn't Congress's

00:21:51.380 --> 00:21:54.109
business to begin with. Exactly. During his twenty

00:21:54.109 --> 00:21:56.230
twenty two campaign, he argued that marriage

00:21:56.230 --> 00:21:58.170
is fundamentally the business of the states.

00:21:58.390 --> 00:22:00.309
He pointed to the full faith and credit provision

00:22:00.309 --> 00:22:02.750
of the Constitution. Right. Arguing that states

00:22:02.750 --> 00:22:04.930
already have to recognize legal acts from other

00:22:04.930 --> 00:22:07.230
states. So federal law simply wasn't necessary.

00:22:07.829 --> 00:22:10.430
He dismissed it as a political show bill orchestrated

00:22:10.430 --> 00:22:13.789
by Nancy Pelosi. So on social issues, he sticks

00:22:13.789 --> 00:22:16.809
to a pretty traditional conservative line. Religious

00:22:16.809 --> 00:22:19.640
liberty and states rights. He is not crossing

00:22:19.640 --> 00:22:21.980
the aisle on culture war issues in the same way

00:22:21.980 --> 00:22:24.779
he does on institutional ones. Correct. He is

00:22:24.779 --> 00:22:27.299
highly reliable where the base expects him to

00:22:27.299 --> 00:22:30.400
be reliable on core social values. But then look

00:22:30.400 --> 00:22:32.859
at his economic policy. Yeah. This is where the

00:22:32.859 --> 00:22:34.700
problem solvers populist side really comes out.

00:22:34.859 --> 00:22:38.240
Yes, the antitrust legislation. In 2022, he voted

00:22:38.240 --> 00:22:40.799
for the Merger Filing Fee Modernization Act.

00:22:41.200 --> 00:22:43.640
That is a mouthful. What does it actually do?

00:22:43.779 --> 00:22:45.839
It's essentially an antitrust package. It was

00:22:45.839 --> 00:22:48.059
designed to crack down on massive corporations

00:22:48.059 --> 00:22:51.079
for anti -competitive behavior. Wait, a Republican

00:22:51.079 --> 00:22:53.220
voting to crack down on corporations? That sounds

00:22:53.220 --> 00:22:55.839
pretty unusual. It used to be highly unusual,

00:22:56.140 --> 00:22:58.779
but the party is shifting on economics. And he

00:22:58.779 --> 00:23:01.920
was one of only 39 Republicans to vote for it.

00:23:02.000 --> 00:23:04.400
So he's willing to go after big business when

00:23:04.400 --> 00:23:07.019
he thinks they're monopolistic. Which perfectly

00:23:07.019 --> 00:23:10.059
fits the Main Street branding. He's pro -business,

00:23:10.299 --> 00:23:13.839
but he's pro -competition. It's a nuanced position

00:23:13.839 --> 00:23:16.640
that separates him from the old -school laissez

00:23:16.640 --> 00:23:18.980
-faire corporate Republicans. He is acknowledging

00:23:18.980 --> 00:23:21.559
that sometimes big companies get too big and

00:23:21.559 --> 00:23:24.039
actually hurt the little guy, the farmer, the

00:23:24.039 --> 00:23:26.140
small business owner in Pierre. It's a prairie

00:23:26.140 --> 00:23:28.500
populism almost. Prairie populism. I love that.

00:23:28.660 --> 00:23:30.140
And we can't ignore his committee of scientists.

00:23:30.200 --> 00:23:32.500
They tell the whole story of his priorities in

00:23:32.500 --> 00:23:35.200
D .C. Agriculture is the obvious one. Subcommittees

00:23:35.200 --> 00:23:38.200
on nutrition oversight commodity exchanges. Crucial

00:23:38.200 --> 00:23:40.960
for South Dakota. Absolutely. And transportation

00:23:40.960 --> 00:23:44.039
and infrastructure. Aviation highways, railroads.

00:23:44.480 --> 00:23:47.660
That directly matches his old PUC background.

00:23:47.880 --> 00:23:49.339
And the select committee on the Chinese Communist

00:23:49.339 --> 00:23:51.640
Party. That's a massive one. Tell us about that

00:23:51.640 --> 00:23:53.660
committee because it sounds intense. That is

00:23:53.660 --> 00:23:56.519
a very high profile, highly strategic assignment.

00:23:56.740 --> 00:23:59.420
It was set up to investigate the economic and

00:23:59.420 --> 00:24:02.059
security threat posed by the CCP. So it's not

00:24:02.059 --> 00:24:04.750
a joke assignment. Not at all. Being put on that

00:24:04.750 --> 00:24:07.210
committee shows that House leadership fundamentally

00:24:07.210 --> 00:24:10.609
trusts him with sensitive, high -level geopolitical

00:24:10.609 --> 00:24:13.789
work. It's a serious committee for serious members.

00:24:14.130 --> 00:24:17.009
It is not a place for showboating. And then on

00:24:17.009 --> 00:24:18.670
the lighter side, we absolutely have to mention

00:24:18.670 --> 00:24:21.089
the Congressional Motorcycle Caucus. Oh yes,

00:24:21.150 --> 00:24:23.049
you have to have the Motorcycle Caucus. Does

00:24:23.049 --> 00:24:25.230
he actually ride? The source material notes he's

00:24:25.230 --> 00:24:28.049
a member. And it certainly helps the image, you

00:24:28.049 --> 00:24:30.990
know, the policy nerd with the glasses who can

00:24:30.990 --> 00:24:33.269
also hop on a Harley on the weekends. It adds

00:24:33.269 --> 00:24:36.470
a layer of relatability that shouldn't be underestimated

00:24:36.470 --> 00:24:38.849
in a rural state like South Dakota. It really

00:24:38.849 --> 00:24:41.829
humanizes him. It says, I might read 400 page

00:24:41.829 --> 00:24:44.950
legislative bills for fun, but I also enjoy the

00:24:44.950 --> 00:24:47.109
open road. So that brings us to the present,

00:24:47.849 --> 00:24:51.990
or rather the near past. Segment six, the future.

00:24:52.210 --> 00:24:54.150
The culmination of everything we've analyzed

00:24:54.150 --> 00:24:58.779
today. June 30th, 2025, Dusty Johnson officially

00:24:58.779 --> 00:25:00.759
announces he is running for governor of South

00:25:00.759 --> 00:25:03.880
Dakota for the 2026 election. It really feels

00:25:03.880 --> 00:25:06.140
like the closing of a loop, doesn't it? It does.

00:25:06.400 --> 00:25:08.759
He started as the COO of the state under Dogard.

00:25:09.299 --> 00:25:11.980
He went to Washington, built a massive legislative

00:25:11.980 --> 00:25:15.059
network, survived the wildest parts of the Trump

00:25:15.059 --> 00:25:18.099
years, kept his approval ratings sky high. And

00:25:18.099 --> 00:25:19.859
now he wants to come home and actually run the

00:25:19.859 --> 00:25:21.980
show as the executive. And if you look at the

00:25:21.980 --> 00:25:26.099
trajectory. It makes perfect logical sense. He's

00:25:26.099 --> 00:25:28.519
effectively applying for a promotion to a job

00:25:28.519 --> 00:25:30.859
he arguably already did as chief of staff 10

00:25:30.859 --> 00:25:32.700
years ago. But now he's coming back with federal

00:25:32.700 --> 00:25:35.799
experience, a national profile, and a massive

00:25:35.799 --> 00:25:38.220
war chest. And let's be honest, he's also offering

00:25:38.220 --> 00:25:40.460
a pretty stark contrast to the current administration

00:25:40.460 --> 00:25:42.920
in South Dakota. Yeah. Kristi Noem has been a

00:25:42.920 --> 00:25:45.940
very high profile national media figure. Dusty

00:25:45.940 --> 00:25:48.059
Johnson seems to be offering a return to well

00:25:48.059 --> 00:25:50.789
boredom. I think competence is the word his campaign

00:25:50.789 --> 00:25:53.230
would prefer to use. Fair enough. If we had to

00:25:53.230 --> 00:25:55.690
speculate based strictly on the data and the

00:25:55.690 --> 00:25:58.329
history we've reviewed today, what kind of governor

00:25:58.329 --> 00:26:01.410
would he actually be? Based on the PUC era and

00:26:01.410 --> 00:26:03.910
his time as chief of staff. Exactly. The source

00:26:03.910 --> 00:26:08.049
material points to a governor who would be extremely

00:26:08.049 --> 00:26:10.650
detail oriented. He is not going to be a governor

00:26:10.650 --> 00:26:12.730
who just signs bills for the photo op and cuts

00:26:12.730 --> 00:26:14.549
ribbons. He's going to be in the weeds. Very

00:26:14.549 --> 00:26:16.150
much in the weeds. He's going to be looking at

00:26:16.150 --> 00:26:18.670
the operational efficiency of state agencies.

00:26:19.170 --> 00:26:21.869
He's going to be obsessed with broadband maps

00:26:21.869 --> 00:26:24.869
and rural utility rates. A manager in chief.

00:26:25.289 --> 00:26:28.569
Yes, a true technocrat executive and politically.

00:26:28.720 --> 00:26:30.900
I think we can expect him to be quite independent

00:26:30.900 --> 00:26:32.819
minded. He's proven that already. He has proven

00:26:32.819 --> 00:26:35.259
he isn't afraid to buck the National Party trends

00:26:35.259 --> 00:26:37.960
if he genuinely thinks it's right for South Dakota

00:26:37.960 --> 00:26:40.839
or right for his reading of the Constitution.

00:26:41.160 --> 00:26:43.440
But as we saw with the marriage vote, he will

00:26:43.440 --> 00:26:46.039
likely remain staunchly conservative on social

00:26:46.039 --> 00:26:48.819
issues and religious liberty. It's a very powerful

00:26:48.819 --> 00:26:51.819
combination. Competence plus conservatism plus

00:26:51.819 --> 00:26:54.119
independence. It's a formidable platform in a

00:26:54.119 --> 00:26:56.299
state like South Dakota. Yeah. And frankly, it's

00:26:56.299 --> 00:26:58.299
a platform that is very hard for an opponent

00:26:58.299 --> 00:27:00.819
to attack. Yeah. How do you run negative ads

00:27:00.819 --> 00:27:03.440
attacking a guy for being too competent? Or for

00:27:03.440 --> 00:27:06.339
reading the bills too closely. You really can't.

00:27:06.359 --> 00:27:08.559
So what does this all mean for you, the listener?

00:27:08.759 --> 00:27:11.039
Let's wrap this up. We started by calling him

00:27:11.039 --> 00:27:13.400
a pragmatic maverick. And I think that title

00:27:13.400 --> 00:27:15.599
holds up entirely after going through the evidence.

00:27:15.759 --> 00:27:19.460
Dusty Johnson is a study in contrasts. He's a

00:27:19.460 --> 00:27:21.759
Phi Delta Theta fraternity member who became

00:27:21.759 --> 00:27:24.259
a Truman scholar. He's a guy who rides with the

00:27:24.259 --> 00:27:27.259
motorcycle caucus, but nerds out on antitrust

00:27:27.259 --> 00:27:30.200
filing fees. He's a Republican who survived the

00:27:30.200 --> 00:27:33.200
Trump era while voting for the January 6th commission,

00:27:33.380 --> 00:27:36.519
but then votes against federal marriage codification

00:27:36.519 --> 00:27:39.759
on strict federalist grounds. It's a highly complex

00:27:39.759 --> 00:27:42.059
picture. And maybe that is exactly the point.

00:27:42.200 --> 00:27:45.200
We get so used to politicians being flat, two

00:27:45.200 --> 00:27:47.680
-dimensional caricature. E -cable news talking

00:27:47.680 --> 00:27:50.559
points. Right. But Dusty Johnson feels three

00:27:50.559 --> 00:27:53.059
-dimensional. He does. And as he moves toward

00:27:53.059 --> 00:27:56.339
the governorship in 2026, it raises a really

00:27:56.339 --> 00:27:58.299
provocative question for the rest of the country.

00:27:58.339 --> 00:28:00.660
What's the question? In an era of performative

00:28:00.660 --> 00:28:03.039
politics where it often feels like the loudest,

00:28:03.039 --> 00:28:06.319
most outrageous voice always wins, Johnson is

00:28:06.319 --> 00:28:09.619
betting his entire career on boring competence

00:28:09.619 --> 00:28:12.559
and specific nuanced constitutional stances.

00:28:12.740 --> 00:28:15.039
He is betting that voters actually do want nuance.

00:28:15.119 --> 00:28:17.279
Exactly. He's betting that the exhausted majority

00:28:17.279 --> 00:28:19.619
we always hear about is real and actually votes.

00:28:19.640 --> 00:28:21.740
So does he? Did this success prove that voters

00:28:21.740 --> 00:28:24.119
are genuinely hungry for this kind of leadership?

00:28:24.440 --> 00:28:27.619
Or is Dusty Johnson's specific brand of popularity

00:28:27.619 --> 00:28:30.240
just a unique quirk of South Dakota politics

00:28:30.240 --> 00:28:32.359
that simply can't be replicated anywhere else?

00:28:32.900 --> 00:28:36.180
That is the big question to mull over as 2026

00:28:36.180 --> 00:28:38.740
approaches. It really is. If you want to dive

00:28:38.740 --> 00:28:40.960
deeper into this specific brand of politics,

00:28:41.039 --> 00:28:42.700
I'd encourage you to look up the Problem Solvers

00:28:42.700 --> 00:28:45.079
Caucus Roll Calls and see who else is trying

00:28:45.079 --> 00:28:47.779
to make that institutionalist brand work in today's

00:28:47.779 --> 00:28:50.299
climate. It's a fascinating group to watch. Absolutely.

00:28:50.740 --> 00:28:52.660
Well, that is the story of Dusty Johnson. Thanks

00:28:52.660 --> 00:28:54.119
for joining us on this deep dive. We'll catch

00:28:54.119 --> 00:28:54.539
you next time.
