WEBVTT

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Welcome to The Debate. Today, we are dissecting

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a concept that is, well, it's simultaneously

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the holy grail of the business world and an absolute

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minefield in academia. Leadership. It is the

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ultimate buzzword, isn't it? I mean, it's an

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industry worth billions in books and seminars

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and coaching. Yet, if you ask five experts to

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define it, you'll probably get six different

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answers. It's slippery. It is slippery, but it's

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also fundamental. And that ambiguity brings us

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right to the central tension we're unpacking

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today. The question isn't just, what is good

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leadership? The question is, where does it come

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from? Is leadership a coherent set of, you know,

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innate traits, the great man theory, where specific

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individuals are genetically or psychologically

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wired to lead? Or is that just a romantic myth?

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Is leadership actually a social process defined

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entirely by the situation, by the followers,

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and by the environment? In other words, does

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the person make the times, or do the times make

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the person? I'm going to take the position that

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the person matters, fundamentally. I'll be arguing

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for the trait and attribute perspective. My stance

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is that leadership is rooted in stable, individual

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characteristics. History is shaped by people

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who possess a specific constellation of traits.

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intelligence, charisma, grit that allow them

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to step forward when others step back. And I'll

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be taking the situational and constructivist

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side. I'm going to argue that what we call leadership

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is often a projection. It's a fluid process that

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is entirely dependent on context. I believe that

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the leader is a story we tell ourselves to make

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sense of complex dynamics and that the environment

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is what actually dictates who rises, not some

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innate virtue. Then let's get into it. And I

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want to start with history. Because for centuries,

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this wasn't even a debate. If you look at Thomas

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Carlyle's work from 1841, Heroes and Hero Worship,

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the logic was crystal clear. Carlyle argued that

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the history of the world is essentially the biography

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of great men. Which is a very 19th century romantic

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way of looking at things. It feels a bit like

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reading a mythological text rather than, you

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know, science. It is poetic, certainly. But it's

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also observational. Carlyle identified that certain

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individuals possessed specific talents, physical

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characteristics, and skills that allowed them

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to bend the arc of history. He wasn't just talking

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about kings, he was talking about prophets and

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poets and commanders. And while the language

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of divine right has faded, the data supporting

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the individual has actually gotten stronger in

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the modern era. Has it? Because I recall trait

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theory taking a massive beating in the mid -20th

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century. Academics essentially threw it in the

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trash bin. They did for a while, but it made

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a massive comeback. In the 1980s, modern meta

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-analyses re -established it with empirical rigor.

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We aren't talking about divine sparks anymore.

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We're talking about the big five personality

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factors. We now have statistical evidence that

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traits like extroversion, conscientiousness,

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and openness to experience are reliable predictors

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of leadership emergence. Emergence being the

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key word there. Getting the job, not necessarily

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doing it well. Well, we'll get to effectiveness,

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but you can't ignore the pattern. When you look

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at a Steve Jobs, you see a measurable level of

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determination and adaptability that exceeds the

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norm. When you look at Mother Teresa, you see

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high integrity and diplomacy. This is the leader

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attribute pattern approach. It's not just one

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trait. It's an integrated totality. Some people

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are simply built with the hardware to process

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social complexity and drive outcomes. It's a

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constellation of attributes that you can't just

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manufacture out of thin air. See, I hear that,

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and I hear a desire to simplify the world. You're

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quoting Carlyle, but I'd point you to Herbert

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Spencer or even Karl Marx. Their counter -argument

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was that the times produced the person, not the

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other way around. If Steve Jobs had been born

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in an agrarian society in the 1600s, He wouldn't

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be a tech visionary. He'd probably just be a

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difficult farmer who argued about how to stack

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hay. But he would still be the one leading the

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other farmers. The context changes. The drive

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doesn't. That drive is internal. I disagree.

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In the late 1940s, Stogdell and Mann conducted

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massive reviews of the literature, and they found

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something that contradicts your innate hardware

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theory. They found that people who are leaders

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in one situation are not necessarily leaders

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in others. You take a brilliant military general,

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someone decisive, authoritarian, tactical, and

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you drop them into a creative design agency where

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the goal is abstract thinking and collaboration,

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and they often flail. If leadership were a stable

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trait like height or eye color, it should transfer

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anywhere. It often doesn't. I'd argue that's

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a skills gap or perhaps a domain knowledge gap,

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not a lack of leadership potential. I think it's

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deeper than that. I think we suffer from what

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Meindl calls the romance of leadership. As humans,

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we're terrified of randomness. We hate the idea

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that organizational success is often luck or

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market forces or timing. So to make the world

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feel manageable, we attribute massive control

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to the person at the top. We invent the great

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man because the alternative, that chaos rules

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and nobody is really driving the bus, is just

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too scary. That's a cynical take. You don't think

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individual competence drives results? You think

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it's all just people projecting their hopes onto

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a figurehead? I think we confuse competence with

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visibility. Have you heard of the Babel hypothesis?

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I have, but refresh our listeners. It's one of

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those studies that makes you question everything.

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It's a fascinating, albeit depressing, finding

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in social psychology. Studies show that leader

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emergence, who gets picked a leader group, is

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highly correlated with the sheer quantity of

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speaking time, not the quality, not the intelligence,

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just the amount of words spoken. If you talk

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a lot, people perceive you as leader -like. That

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doesn't sound like innate virtue to me. That

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sounds like we promote whoever likes the sound

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of their own voice. That might explain some bad

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metal management, I'll grant you that. But you're

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ignoring the biological imperative. You can't

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talk about leadership without talking about evolution.

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It's not just about who talks the most. It's

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about survival. Go on. Van Vugt and Ahuja define

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this clearly. Humans are social species, just

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like ants, bees, or chimpanzees. We naturally

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select leaders because it solves coordination

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problems. We need a focal point to survive threats.

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But we aren't ants. I mean, ants are genetically

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programmed drones. Humans have agency. We can

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choose not to follow. We are primates, though.

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Wrangham and Peterson wrote a book called Demonic

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Males that links human leadership directly to

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chimpanzee behavior. It's ugly, but it's real.

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It's about violence. territoriality, and competition

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for the chief male spot, there is a biological

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drive for hierarchy. We are hardwired to look

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for the alpha who can protect the tribe. That's

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not a social construct. That's DNA. When the

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group is threatened, we look for the strongest

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protector. Okay, but you are cherry -picking

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your primates to fit a specific narrative. How

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so? You're focusing on chimps because they fit

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the dominance and violence model. But look at

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the bonobo. There are second closest genetic

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relatives sharing almost the same amount of DNA

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with us as chimps do. But noble society is matriarchal,

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it's peaceful, and they unite behind an alpha

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female who leads through coalition building,

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not through violence. It's a valid counterexample,

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but chimps are generally considered the closer

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proxy for historical human aggression and warfare.

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But it proves that biology isn't destiny, that

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dominance equals leadership model isn't the only

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biological path. And speaking of biology, look

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at the hormones. You mentioned the alpha. Van

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Voo found that while testosterone correlates

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with dominance, it does not correlate with effective

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leadership. Is there a functional difference

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in a crisis? Sometimes you need dominance to

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get things moving. There is a massive difference.

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Dominance is forcing people to do things through

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fear or coercion. Leadership is influencing them

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to want to do things. If biology were the sole

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driver, the highest testosterone individual would

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always be the best leader. The data says they

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are usually just the most aggressive person in

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the room. Those are two very different things.

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Fair point. I'll pivot then. Let's move away

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from the brute force biology and look at the

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psychology of perception. Because you're right,

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it's not just about muscles, it's about the mind.

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This leads to implicit leadership theories. These

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are the prototypes we carry in our heads? Exactly.

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We all have a cognitive template of what a leader

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looks like. Intelligence, trustworthiness, assertiveness.

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When an individual displays these traits, specifically

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authenticity, they are granted influence by the

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group. It's not just babble. It's emotional intelligence.

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Which is a trait. Ideally, yes. Leaders manage

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moods. They transmit positive affect through

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what's called emotional contagion. If a leader

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is optimistic and resilient, the group performs

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better because that energy is psychologically

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contagious. You cannot fake that over the long

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term. You have to have that emotional capacity.

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A depressed or erratic leader crashes the group's

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performance purely through that psychological

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transmission. I'm going to challenge the idea

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that you can't fake it. Have you looked at neo

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-emergent theory? Lay it on me. Neo -emergent

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theories suggest that leadership is often an

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impression formed by information management.

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Essentially, it's PR. It's not about what you

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are. It's about what you project. You think it's

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all smoke and mirrors? Let's look at a classic

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great man, Lord Nelson. British naval hero, won

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the Battle of Trafalgar. Historians know that

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Nelson was obsessed with his image. He would

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often write his own versions of battles and send

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them back to England before he even arrived,

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just to ensure the newspapers printed the story

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he wanted told. That's savvy marketing, but he

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still had to win the battle first. He still had

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to command the fleet. True, but the heroism was

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a construct he actively built. And this obsession

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with emergence, with who looks and sounds like

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a leader, is dangerous. It creates what researchers

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call absentee leaders. I've heard this term.

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These are the empty suits? Exactly. These are

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people who have the traits to get promoted. Maybe

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they are extroverted, tall, and confident. But

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once they're in the role, they psychologically

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check out. And here's the kicker. Research shows

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absentee leaders are actually worse for an organization

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than toxic leaders. Worse than toxic? That seems

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like a stretch. A toxic boss ruins your life.

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A toxic boss ruins your life, but you identify

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the problem immediately. You can bond with your

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coworkers against them. With an absentee leader,

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someone who emerged based on traits but doesn't

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engage, the incompetence is silent. It destroys

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role clarity and creates ambiguity. It proves

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that having the traits to get the job tells us

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nothing about your ability to actually do the

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work. I think that's a failure of selection,

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not a failure of trait theory. But let's look

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at that work. You claim it's all situational.

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But I would argue that specific behaviors yield

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results regardless of the situation. There are

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universal tools that work. Such as? Reinforcement

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theory. This is behavioral science 101, BF Skinner

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stuff. Empirical research covering the last 20

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years suggests that leaders who effectively use

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positive reinforcement can boost performance

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by 17%. That is a measurable, universal outcome.

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It doesn't matter if you're running a coffee

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shop or a Fortune 500 company. If you reward

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good behavior, you get more of it. That is a

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skill the leader possesses. Incentives work.

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I grant you that. But that's management, not

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necessarily leadership. Then let's talk about

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transformational leadership. This is the gold

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standard, pioneered by Bayes and Riggio. We're

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talking about leaders who provide vision, intellectual

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stimulation, and individualized consideration.

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They don't just manage transactions. They move

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followers beyond self -interest. You cannot tell

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me that a leader who inspires a team to achieve

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the impossible is just a product of the situation.

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They are the catalyst for the situation. I'm

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not denying that inspiration happens. I'm denying

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that one style works everywhere. I would comment

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with the Fiedler contingency model. This is the

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idea of fit over virtue. Precisely. Fiedler argued

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that there is no ideal leader. It depends entirely

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on the favorability of the situation. If you

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are in a burning building, an extreme, unfavorable

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situation, you don't want a transformational

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leader asking you about your feelings or trying

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to intellectually stimulate you. You want a task

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-oriented authoritarian to scream exit left now.

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Agreed. In a crisis, command and control works.

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But if you use that same authoritarian style

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in a creative marketing meeting, an intermediate

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situation, you destroy morale. You need a relationship

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-oriented leader. The person is just a variable.

00:13:22.360 --> 00:13:24.860
They only work if the equation around them is

00:13:24.860 --> 00:13:27.259
right. So you view the leader as a puzzle piece.

00:13:27.639 --> 00:13:31.799
Yes. And leader -member exchange theory, or LMX,

00:13:32.200 --> 00:13:35.740
takes it even further. LMX proves that leadership

00:13:35.740 --> 00:13:38.960
isn't a broadcast from a great man to the masses.

00:13:39.419 --> 00:13:42.559
It's a series of specific one -on -one relationships.

00:13:43.100 --> 00:13:47.059
The dyad. Right. Leaders naturally create in

00:13:47.059 --> 00:13:49.259
-groups, the people they trust, the teacher's

00:13:49.259 --> 00:13:51.840
pets, and out -groups, the people they manage

00:13:51.840 --> 00:13:54.919
by formal authority. If you are in the in -group,

00:13:55.080 --> 00:13:57.779
that leader looks amazing to you. If you're in

00:13:57.779 --> 00:14:01.240
the out -group, that same leader looks incompetent.

00:14:01.679 --> 00:14:04.320
So who is the real leader? It depends entirely

00:14:04.320 --> 00:14:07.940
on who you ask. It's a social transaction, not

00:14:07.940 --> 00:14:11.919
a personal characteristic. But even in LMX, the

00:14:11.919 --> 00:14:14.360
leader is the one initiating that structure.

00:14:14.559 --> 00:14:17.639
The leader decides who is in the in -group. That

00:14:17.639 --> 00:14:20.539
implies agency. The leader is still the architect

00:14:20.539 --> 00:14:23.779
of those relationships. Or the follower grants

00:14:23.779 --> 00:14:26.659
the legitimacy. Which brings me to the ultimate

00:14:26.659 --> 00:14:29.679
variable you were underestimating, culture. I

00:14:29.679 --> 00:14:31.789
don't ignore culture. But I believe leadership

00:14:31.789 --> 00:14:35.450
traits transcend. Competence is competence. I

00:14:35.450 --> 00:14:39.029
strongly disagree. The very concept of what a

00:14:39.029 --> 00:14:43.049
leader is is culturally bound. In Confucian societies,

00:14:43.370 --> 00:14:46.490
the ideal is the scholar leader, based on filial

00:14:46.490 --> 00:14:49.710
piety and benevolence. In other cultures, it's

00:14:49.710 --> 00:14:52.389
paternalistic, a father figure who literally

00:14:52.389 --> 00:14:55.250
controls the personal lives of the workers. Those

00:14:55.250 --> 00:14:57.169
are just different flavors of the same dish.

00:14:57.350 --> 00:14:59.549
They're still figures of authority and direction.

00:15:00.059 --> 00:15:02.740
They are fundamentally different dishes. Look

00:15:02.740 --> 00:15:05.039
at gender perception. There was a fascinating

00:15:05.039 --> 00:15:07.679
study where they asked women to envision a leader.

00:15:08.059 --> 00:15:11.120
German women almost exclusively imagined a male

00:15:11.120 --> 00:15:14.299
executive. Indian women, however, were much more

00:15:14.299 --> 00:15:17.080
likely to imagine both men and women. That speaks

00:15:17.080 --> 00:15:19.879
to societal bias, not the essence of what leadership

00:15:19.879 --> 00:15:22.970
is. It speaks to the fact that the trait of leadership

00:15:22.970 --> 00:15:25.889
is actually just a reflection of the follower's

00:15:25.889 --> 00:15:28.190
bias. If you don't fit the follower's cultural

00:15:28.190 --> 00:15:31.490
mold, you cannot lead them. If you walk into

00:15:31.490 --> 00:15:34.490
a culture that values humility with your extroversion

00:15:34.490 --> 00:15:37.210
and charisma traits you say are universal, you

00:15:37.210 --> 00:15:40.029
might be seen as rude and arrogant. The power

00:15:40.029 --> 00:15:43.029
lies with the follower's perception, not the

00:15:43.029 --> 00:15:45.740
leader's personality. I see the logic, but I

00:15:45.740 --> 00:15:48.159
have to push back on the idea that it's all relative.

00:15:48.460 --> 00:15:51.500
There is significant research into global leadership

00:15:51.500 --> 00:15:54.399
competencies. In a globalized economy, things

00:15:54.399 --> 00:15:56.860
like cognitive complexity and global business

00:15:56.860 --> 00:15:59.039
savvy are required whether you are in Berlin,

00:15:59.279 --> 00:16:02.299
Bangalore, or Boston. The problems are universal,

00:16:02.519 --> 00:16:05.899
so the skills to solve them must be too. Required,

00:16:05.899 --> 00:16:09.419
perhaps. But are they sufficient? I would argue

00:16:09.419 --> 00:16:13.039
they are essential. And consider the alternative.

00:16:13.659 --> 00:16:16.340
You talk about situational leadership as if the

00:16:16.340 --> 00:16:19.480
group can just handle itself. But look at laissez

00:16:19.480 --> 00:16:22.860
-faire leadership, the hands -off approach. Research

00:16:22.860 --> 00:16:25.340
consistently shows that in leaderless groups,

00:16:25.559 --> 00:16:28.919
performance suffers, satisfaction suffers. Because

00:16:28.919 --> 00:16:32.899
people hate ambiguity. Exactly. Most people prefer

00:16:32.899 --> 00:16:35.840
to be led. They need direction to reduce uncertainty.

00:16:36.299 --> 00:16:39.279
If the situation were all that mattered, groups

00:16:39.279 --> 00:16:42.039
would self -organize perfectly every time. They

00:16:42.039 --> 00:16:44.799
don't. They wait. They wait for a leader to step

00:16:44.799 --> 00:16:47.519
up. Or they wait for someone to take the blame.

00:16:47.700 --> 00:16:50.179
No, they wait for vision. They wait for someone

00:16:50.179 --> 00:16:52.419
with the grit and the intelligence to cut through

00:16:52.419 --> 00:16:55.159
the noise. Or they wait for the person who talks

00:16:55.159 --> 00:16:57.899
the most, the Babel effect, to tell them what

00:16:57.899 --> 00:17:00.320
to do. We are circling back to the start, which

00:17:00.320 --> 00:17:02.379
suggests we're reaching the limits of the debate.

00:17:02.700 --> 00:17:04.660
But I think we've highlighted the complexity

00:17:04.660 --> 00:17:07.099
here. It's not a simple black and white issue.

00:17:07.380 --> 00:17:11.529
We have. And here's my closing thought. We have

00:17:11.529 --> 00:17:14.710
spent centuries looking for the great man, and

00:17:14.710 --> 00:17:17.950
I think it is a dangerous pursuit. It ignores

00:17:17.950 --> 00:17:20.230
the role of luck, it ignores the Babel effect,

00:17:20.450 --> 00:17:22.950
and it ignores the overwhelming power of the

00:17:22.950 --> 00:17:26.430
situation. When we romanticize leadership, we

00:17:26.430 --> 00:17:28.950
give individuals credit for outcomes they didn't

00:17:28.950 --> 00:17:32.130
control. A leader is often just a surfer riding

00:17:32.130 --> 00:17:34.859
a wave they didn't create. And I will maintain

00:17:34.859 --> 00:17:37.180
that while the wave matters, some people drown

00:17:37.180 --> 00:17:40.079
and others surf. You cannot ignore that individual

00:17:40.079 --> 00:17:42.759
differences, intelligence, emotional stability,

00:17:43.079 --> 00:17:45.859
drive, consistently predict who stays on the

00:17:45.859 --> 00:17:49.099
board. Leadership is, as Earhart and Jensen described

00:17:49.099 --> 00:17:52.500
it, an exercise in language that creates a future

00:17:52.500 --> 00:17:54.779
that wouldn't have happened otherwise. It is

00:17:54.779 --> 00:17:57.079
an act of individual will. Perhaps the middle

00:17:57.079 --> 00:17:59.779
ground lies in the modern integrated psychological

00:17:59.779 --> 00:18:02.769
theory. The move toward personal leadership.

00:18:03.269 --> 00:18:06.430
Exactly. The idea is that before you can manage

00:18:06.430 --> 00:18:10.109
a situation or lead the followers, you must understand

00:18:10.109 --> 00:18:13.170
your own psychology. You have to know your traits

00:18:13.170 --> 00:18:16.289
to adapt to the context. I can agree with that.

00:18:16.390 --> 00:18:19.509
Whether born or made, the effective leader is

00:18:19.509 --> 00:18:22.190
one who is conscious of both their own wiring

00:18:22.190 --> 00:18:24.789
and the environment they are operating in. Indeed.

00:18:25.009 --> 00:18:27.930
So, to our listeners, we leave you with this

00:18:27.930 --> 00:18:30.450
question. Are you following a person because

00:18:30.450 --> 00:18:33.410
of who they are? Or are you just responding to

00:18:33.410 --> 00:18:35.710
the situation you find yourself in? Something

00:18:35.710 --> 00:18:37.369
to think about next time you're in a meeting.

00:18:37.690 --> 00:18:39.710
Thanks for listening to The Debate.
