WEBVTT

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Welcome to The Debate. Today we're turning our

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attention to something that consumes the vast

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majority of our waking lives, yet remains surprisingly

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difficult to pin down. The career. It's the engine

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of modern existence, but nobody seems to agree

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on how to tune it, or even where it's supposed

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to take us. Well, it's the thing everyone wants,

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but half the time it feels like it's trying to

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kill us. A cheerful start as always, but I want

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to anchor us in the history of the word because

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I think it tells a story we've forgotten. Career

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ultimately derives from the Latin carus, which

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means a chariot. Later, in Middle French, it

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became carrière, referring to a race course.

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Implicit in that origin story is a structure,

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a defined track, a vehicle you control, and forward

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momentum toward a finish line. The question we're

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wrestling with today is whether that race course

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even exists anymore. Is a career a calculated

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climb that can be navigated with precision, or

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has the track itself just crumbled beneath our

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wheels? It's a beautiful metaphor. I love the

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image of the chariot. But if we're being honest,

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I think that metaphor belongs to a different

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century. For most people today, the chariot is

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missing a wheel, the forces are spooked, and

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the race course is actually a demolition derby.

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I come at it from a different way. We have these

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conflicting definitions right in front of us

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in the material. On one hand, you have the traditional

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view. A career is a profession requiring specific

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training, a life work. On the other hand, organizational

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behavior researchers now define it simply as

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a unique pattern of experiences, both inside

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and outside organizations over a lifespan. Right.

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A pattern. Exactly. And I think we're seeing

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the death of the life work and the messy reality

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of the pattern. Whether the world is chaotic,

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it always has been, but whether it's possible

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to manage one's trajectory through it. I argue

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that the concept of career management is more

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vital than ever. We're not just drifting leaves.

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We are capable of utilizing models like the Blueprint

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model used across the U .S., Canada, Australia,

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or the seven C's of digital career literacy.

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Those sound like wonderful seminar titles. They

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aren't just buzzwords, they're systems. They

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suggest that a career is a construct we can build,

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maintain, and direct. When you look at the blueprint

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model, it's all about mapping your competencies

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to market needs. It's engineering your own life.

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I'm sorry, but I just don't buy that we have

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that much control. You're describing a world

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where planning is the primary variable. You're

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sounding like the rational planner. But the evidence

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suggests that external forces, scarcity, downsizing,

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huge economic shifts, are the real authors of

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our resumes. The idea of a job for life which

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allowed for that kind of long -term strategic

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planning is a relic. It actually hinders our

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understanding of what work is today. Then let's

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lay out our positions clearly. I stand on the

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side of the rational planner. I believe that

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despite all the economic noise, a career remains

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a distinct manageable journey. When we look at

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theories like the objective factor theory, we

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see that applicants are rational actors. They

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assess tangible benefits, salary, location, opportunities

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for advancement, and they make choices. It's

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a logical process. Furthermore, with the accumulation

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of human capital, your demonstratable abilities,

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your qualifications, one can still achieve that

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traditional linear career stage model that Donald

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Super described. We move up hierarchies. We seek

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extrinsic rewards. The latter is still there

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if you have the skills to climb it. And I'll

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take the position of the adaptive realist. What

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you're describing is the 1950s and 60s. That

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model where you worked for one or two firms and

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success was measured by promotions inside that

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stable structure is, well, it's obsolete. Donald

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Super's linear model assumes a stable organizational

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structure that just doesn't exist for the modern

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worker. Today, professional identities are hyphenated

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or hybridized. Hyphenated? Yes. We're not just

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teachers or engineers anymore. We're consultants

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slash developers or writers slash drivers. We're

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shifting entities, adapting to a fluid market.

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Look at the data from the U .S. Bureau of Labor

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Statistics. It shows individuals hold, what is

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it, over 10 jobs between the ages of 18 and 38.

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That's not a climb. That is a series of jumps.

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often sideways or even backwards. Planning isn't

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an illusion because our choices are severely

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skewed by job scarcity. People don't choose careers.

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They accept what's available to survive. I think

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that's a grim and overly deterministic view.

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10 jobs by 38 could just as easily prove high

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ambition and rapid upward mobility as it could

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instability. But let's get into the core of the

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debate. You mentioned choice, or the lack thereof.

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I want to challenge this idea that workers are

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merely victims of circumstance. Go ahead. Prove

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to me we have a choice when the market crashes.

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When we analyze career choice, we have these

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robust theoretical frameworks that explain how

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and why people make decisions. I mentioned objective

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factor theory, the rational assessment of benefits.

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If job A pays more than job B, I take job A.

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But we also have subjective factor theory, which

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accounts for social and psychological factors

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like status and reputation. And there's critical

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contact theory, which I find particularly interesting.

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Ah, I've heard of this. This is the first date

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theory. In a way, yes. Critical contact theory

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suggests that a candidate's observations while

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interacting with the organization during the

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hiring process play a vital role. How prompt

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is the recruiter? Do they treat you with respect?

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The theory posits that candidates project these

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small interactions onto the entire company culture.

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If the recruiter is rude, The candidate assumes

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the company is toxic and walks away. This proves

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active selection. The worker is evaluating the

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employer just as much as the other way around.

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That is a compelling argument. If, and it's a

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massive if, you assume a balanced market. These

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theories, objective, subjective, critical contact,

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they all rely on a fundamental assumption that

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candidates have the luxury of saying no. In reality,

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strong competition for desirable jobs severely

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skews that whole process. You can have all the

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subjective factors you want, but if there's only

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one offer on the table, you take it. Critical

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contact theory falls apart when you have bills

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to pay and only one callback. But is there only

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one offer? Or is that a narrative of helplessness

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we tell ourselves to excuse a lack of preparation?

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Let's look at why people actually move. You talk

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about rational choice. I'm looking at the right

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management survey regarding reasons for career

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changing. Do you know what the number one reason

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was? It wasn't a rational assessment of benefits.

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It wasn't because the recruiter was rude. It

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was the downsizing or the restructuring of an

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organization. 54 % of respondents cited that.

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Over half. Over half. That is not a choice. That's

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an eviction. The chariot driver didn't decide

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to turn left. The road fell into the ocean. Okay.

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I am familiar with that survey, but you are cherry

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-picking the data a little bit to suit the narrative

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of chaos. Yes, 54 % cited downsizing. But look

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at the next line. The second highest reason at

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30 % was new challenges or opportunities that

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arise. That is literally the definition of upward

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mobility and ambition. Furthermore, 21 % move

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for the improvement of work -life balance, and

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17 % for better alignment with personal values.

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These are deeply intentional moves. Even if a

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transition is forced by downsizing, the subsequent

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move is often an exercise in resilience and strategic

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realignment. Strategic realignment is a very

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polite way of saying scrambling for safety. But

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let's pivot to what we're actually scrambling

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toward. You mentioned the linear model earlier

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where success is verifiable. I think that definition

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of success is another area where the old maps

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fail us. You seem to think success is just a

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number. I disagree. Success needs to be measurable

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or it's meaningless. We have objective criteria

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of success. Earnings, for example. Status. These

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are factually verifiable. They're not matters

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of opinion. and there's a direct correlation

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between investment in oneself and these objective

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outcomes. Research shows that adding one year

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of schooling beyond high school increases wages

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by 17 .8 % per worker. That's a hard number.

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It proves that human capital, your qualifications,

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directly converts into economic capital. The

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system works if you feed it the right inputs.

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I see why you think that. But let me give you

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a different perspective on those numbers. Relying

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on objective metrics like salary creates a trap.

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Early career success, especially when it's tied

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to earnings or rapid promotion, can breed disappointment

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later. If a person's self -worth is all tied

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up in their career or achievements, what happens

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when the curve flattens? And it always flattens.

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Which is why one continues to manage the career.

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You reskill, you pivot. But the definition of

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success itself is shifting away from your objective

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metrics. Because the job for life is gone. The

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responsibility has fallen on the individual,

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yes. But that has led to an emphasis on subjective

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criteria. Job satisfaction. A sense of personal

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achievement. Work -life balance. These are the

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new currencies. And they are highly relative.

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Relative implies they aren't real. They are very

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real to the person feeling them. A person's assessment

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of their success is now influenced by social

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comparisons. How well are my friends doing? How's

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my cousin doing? It is not just about the paycheck

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anymore. The economist Richard Florida talks

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about the creative class. Their professional

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identities are far more hybridized and fluid

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than the rigid structures you're defending. They

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value autonomy and creativity over the mere climb.

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But even the creative class needs to eat. You

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cannot pay rent with hybridized identity. You

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can't tell the bank I have high subjective success

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when the mortgage is due. No, but you can endure

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a lower salary if the subjective rewards, the

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autonomy, the lack of a toxic boss, are higher.

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Let's talk about that preparation then. Because

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if we're to accept your view that the world is

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complex and fluid, surely that argues for more

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rigorous preparation, not less. I champion career

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education and career counseling. The DOTS framework

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is a brilliant example of how we can structure

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this. I always hear about DOTS. Break it down

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for me. Sure. It stands for decision learning,

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opportunity awareness, transition learning, and

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self -awareness. It's a comprehensive method

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taught in schools to help individuals understand

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themselves and the market. Self -awareness helps

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you know what you're good at. Opportunity awareness

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helps you see where the jobs are. It is a logical

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sequence to prepare a student for the race course.

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DOTS is a nice acronym, but does it actually

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deliver a return on investment? You cited that

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17 .8 % wage increase for the first year of schooling

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beyond high school. That's a great statistic

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for a university brochure. But you conveniently

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left out the other part of that data. Additional

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years of schooling, specifically beyond 9 or

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10 years, have little effect on workers' wages.

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There's a point of diminishing returns. Well,

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that depends entirely on the field and the quality

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of the education. It also depends on the relevance

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of the education. Higher education is often criticized

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for being too narrow or too research -based.

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It lacks the deep understanding needed for actual

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careers. So we have a system where people take

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on massive debt. The cost of education has to

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be weighed against the career's ability to pay

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it off. To enter a market that might not even

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value the degree they just bought, that's not

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a calculated climb. That is a bad gamble. It

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is an investment, not a gamble. And like any

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investment, it requires due diligence. This is

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where career information comes in. Labor market

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information, or LMI. Salaries, employment rates,

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current openings. We have the data. If a student

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chooses a degree with no ROI, that's a failure

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of research, not a failure of the concept of

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career management. You're placing a lot of blame

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on the individual for systemic opacity. But let's

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look at what happens when they're actually in

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the workforce. We talked about downsizing, but

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let's talk about the daily reality of just holding

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a job. The reality is that people are constantly

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looking for better, and I view that as a positive.

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A survey from Time .com back in 2008 noted that

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one out of three people currently employed spends

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about an hour per day searching for another position.

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Think about that. One hour a day. Every single

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day. I don't see that as disloyalty or chaos.

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I see that as career management in real time.

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That's proactive ambition. They're scanning the

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horizon for the next leg of the race. They are

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optimizing. I'm not convinced by that line of

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reasoning because it ignores the emotional driver

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behind the search. People aren't spending an

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hour a day on job boards because they're ambitious

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managers of their destiny. They're doing it because

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they're miserable. That's an assumption. It's

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supported by the data. Go back to the right management

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survey. Look at the other reasons people leave.

00:13:56.159 --> 00:13:59.519
Poor or ineffective leadership was 25 percent.

00:13:59.740 --> 00:14:02.600
Having a poor relationship with a manager, 22

00:14:02.600 --> 00:14:06.419
percent. Lack of recognition, 21 percent. These

00:14:06.419 --> 00:14:09.879
aren't strategic moves. These are escape attempts.

00:14:10.220 --> 00:14:13.539
People are fleeing toxic environments. But they're

00:14:13.539 --> 00:14:16.320
fleeing to something. They are fleeing to anything.

00:14:16.679 --> 00:14:20.919
And this constant churn, this instability. is

00:14:20.919 --> 00:14:23.980
why I argue the race course metaphor is broken.

00:14:24.480 --> 00:14:26.779
If you're constantly jumping off the chariot

00:14:26.779 --> 00:14:28.899
because the driver next to you is trying to run

00:14:28.899 --> 00:14:31.179
you off the road, or because your wheel just

00:14:31.179 --> 00:14:33.799
fell off, you aren't racing, you're surviving.

00:14:34.519 --> 00:14:38.080
I think we need to synthesize this. You see survival,

00:14:38.320 --> 00:14:41.539
I see the accumulation of career capital. Whether

00:14:41.539 --> 00:14:44.320
a move is forced by a bad boss or chosen for

00:14:44.320 --> 00:14:46.840
a higher salary, the individual takes something

00:14:46.840 --> 00:14:49.659
with them. What do they take other than stress?

00:14:50.279 --> 00:14:53.539
They take four specific things. We call it career

00:14:53.539 --> 00:14:56.659
capital. First, social capital, their personal

00:14:56.659 --> 00:14:59.720
contacts and networks. Second, human capital,

00:14:59.899 --> 00:15:03.240
their skills and experiences. Third, economic

00:15:03.240 --> 00:15:07.159
capital, money and resources. And fourth, cultural

00:15:07.159 --> 00:15:09.700
capital, the know -how to operate in a social

00:15:09.700 --> 00:15:12.899
context. This is the safety net. This is the

00:15:12.899 --> 00:15:16.019
engine. Even in your chaotic world, the person

00:15:16.019 --> 00:15:19.220
with the most career capital wins. Wins what?

00:15:19.850 --> 00:15:22.549
That's the question. If the prize is just another

00:15:22.549 --> 00:15:25.629
job that might be downsized in two years, is

00:15:25.629 --> 00:15:29.009
that winning? The prize is sustainability. The

00:15:29.009 --> 00:15:32.269
prize is options. Let's bring this to a close,

00:15:32.429 --> 00:15:34.610
because I think we're circling the core philosophical

00:15:34.610 --> 00:15:37.429
difference here. I maintain that while the race

00:15:37.429 --> 00:15:40.389
course has undoubtedly become more complex, more

00:15:40.389 --> 00:15:43.409
hazardous, and perhaps less clearly marked, the

00:15:43.409 --> 00:15:45.929
principles of career management remain the most

00:15:45.929 --> 00:15:48.870
reliable way to navigate it. Developing skills,

00:15:49.419 --> 00:15:51.899
researching the labor market, accumulating capital,

00:15:52.019 --> 00:15:54.899
these are the levers of control. The chariot

00:15:54.899 --> 00:15:57.620
still requires a driver. If you take your hands

00:15:57.620 --> 00:15:59.759
off the reins because you believe the track is

00:15:59.759 --> 00:16:02.980
chaotic, you will crash. And I conclude that

00:16:02.980 --> 00:16:06.460
we must abandon the linear view of success entirely.

00:16:06.980 --> 00:16:10.240
The modern career is less about climbing a ladder,

00:16:10.399 --> 00:16:12.940
where you're always looking up at the next rung,

00:16:12.940 --> 00:16:16.519
and more about navigating a landscape. Downsizing

00:16:16.519 --> 00:16:18.960
is more common than promotion for many demographics.

00:16:19.399 --> 00:16:22.639
Success is now defined internally, not by the

00:16:22.639 --> 00:16:25.500
organization. We need to focus on subjective

00:16:25.500 --> 00:16:28.299
fulfillment and hybrid identities because the

00:16:28.299 --> 00:16:31.740
external structures, the corporations, the ladders,

00:16:31.840 --> 00:16:34.860
they just don't care about us. A somber thought,

00:16:35.000 --> 00:16:38.639
but perhaps a liberating one for some. Indeed.

00:16:39.200 --> 00:16:41.580
Ultimately, both of us can agree that the definition

00:16:41.580 --> 00:16:44.820
of career has irrevocably expanded. It's no longer

00:16:44.820 --> 00:16:48.340
just a single life work. It is a unique pattern

00:16:48.340 --> 00:16:51.620
of experiences. A pattern we weave, even if we

00:16:51.620 --> 00:16:54.159
don't always get to pick the colors. Precisely.

00:16:54.159 --> 00:16:56.779
So we leave you, the listener, to consider. Are

00:16:56.779 --> 00:16:59.120
you driving the chariot or are you just holding

00:16:59.120 --> 00:17:01.940
on while the track changes beneath you? And is

00:17:01.940 --> 00:17:04.900
it time to stop racing and start exploring? Thank

00:17:04.900 --> 00:17:07.000
you for joining us on The Debate.
