WEBVTT

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Welcome back to the Deep Dive. Today we're doing

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something a little different. We're firing up

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the time machine, but we aren't going to a battlefield

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or a royal court. We're going to a living room.

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It's October 27, 1964. You've got your TV dinner,

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you turn on the set, maybe looking for a sitcom

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or the evening news, and instead you find a Hollywood

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actor staring right down the barrel of the camera

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lens. And he's not selling soap. And he's definitely

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not promoting a movie. He's pleading. He's talking

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about ant heaps and a rendezvous with destiny.

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Yeah. And by the time he finishes 30 minutes

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later, the political trajectory of the United

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States has just, you know, fundamentally shifted.

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Even if nobody in that living room has any idea.

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It really is cinematic, isn't it? Yeah. We're

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talking, of course, about Ronald Reagan. And

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the speech is formally titled A Time for Choosing.

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In political circles, nobody really calls it

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that. No, they don't. They just call it the speech.

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The speech. Right. Capital T, capital S. As if

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it's the only one that ever really mattered.

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Which, you know, that gives you a sense of the

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weight this thing carries. It's not just some

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campaign stop. It's a foundational document for

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modern American conservatism. Right. But our

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mission today isn't just to look at the rhetoric.

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We need to unpack this massive head -scratching

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paradox. I love a good paradox. Lay it on me.

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Okay. So we have this speech. It's delivered

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for a specific candidate, Barry Goldwater, who

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then proceeds to lose the election in one of

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the biggest landslides in American history. A

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total wipeout. And yet the guy giving the speech,

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Reagan, arguably ends up winning the presidency

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16 years later because of this specific failure.

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That is the part that just blows my mind. It's

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like the opening act stole the show so hard that

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the headliner flopped, but the opening act got

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a record deal a decade later. That's a great

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way to put it. We've got a stack of sources here,

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historical accounts, biographies, the speech

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text itself from the archives. And I have to

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say, looking at these notes, almost everything

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I thought I knew about where this speech happened

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was wrong. You are not alone in that. There is

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so much mythology surrounding a time for choosing.

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The legend has sort of overwritten the facts.

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OK, so let's unpack that mythology first, because

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I had this mental image and I think a lot of

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our listeners might, too, of Reagan standing

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at a podium at the Republican National Convention

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in San Francisco. The big stage. Yeah. The crowd

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is going wild. Balloons are dropping. Confetti

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is everywhere. And he's nominating Barry Goldwater.

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That's the movie scene in my head. And that is

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the classic example of the Mandela effect in

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politics. If you look at the historical record,

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that is simply not what happened. Really? Yeah.

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Reagan wasn't the keynote speaker at the convention.

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He didn't even nominate Goldwater. So he wasn't

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even the hype man. Nope. That honor actually

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went to Everett Dirksen. And it was Richard Nixon

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who introduced Goldwater before his acceptance

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speech. Reagan wasn't really a central player

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in the convention hall itself. So if he wasn't

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at the convention, where was he? He was on your

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television set. But in a much more intimate context,

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A Time for Choosing was actually a pre -recorded

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television program. It aired on NBC just days

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before the election. Pre -recorded. OK, that

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changes the vibe entirely. Yeah. It wasn't him

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feeding off a live crowd of thousands in an arena.

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Yeah. It was him in a studio. Exactly. And that

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distinction is crucial. Critics at the time,

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they often dismissed Reagan as just an actor.

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But that training was exactly why this worked.

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He understood the intimacy of the medium. He

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wasn't shouting to the back row of a stadium.

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He was making eye contact with you. He knew how

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to work the camera to make it feel like a one

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-on -one conversation. That's a skill set that

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career politicians in 1964 didn't necessarily

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have. They were used to stump speeches. Reagan

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was used to close -ups. Precisely. And here is

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a nugget of irony for you. The program was titled...

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Rendezvous with Destiny. Rendezvous with Destiny.

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That sounds incredibly dramatic, almost Shakespearean.

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It is. But what's fascinating is that title,

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that specific phrase, was originally used by

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Franklin D. Roosevelt in his 1936 acceptance

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speech. Wait, FDR. The Democrat. The very same.

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So Reagan, the future icon of conservatism, is

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lifting his title from FDR, the architect of

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the New Deal. Wow. You have to remember, Reagan

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was a Democrat for a huge chunk of his life,

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right? He voted for FDR. Four times. He did.

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So here he is repurposing his former liberal

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hero's language to dismantle the very state machinery

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that FDR built. He's flipping the script, quite

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literally. That is bold. It's like using the

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other team's playbook to beat them. But despite

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the grand title and the eventual legendary status

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of the speech, the sources say Reagan himself

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was not feeling very confident at the time. Far

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from it. In his autobiography, An American Life,

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he really opens up about that night. He didn't

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go to bed thinking, nailed it, I'm the great

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communicator. He recalled going to bed literally

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thinking, I hope I haven't let Barry down. It

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really humanizes him, doesn't it? We see the

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statue now, but back then, he was just a guy

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stepping into a very serious arena, hoping he

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hadn't messed up the gig. He was insecure about

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it. And honestly, the stakes were incredibly

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high. We need to set the scene for 1964 because

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it was a heavy time in America. Yeah, let's not

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shout about that. This isn't a peaceful era.

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Not at all. I mean the country is still reeling

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from the Kennedy assassination less than a year

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prior. The civil rights movement is in full swing.

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The Cold War is absolutely raging. There is a

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lot of fear in the air. And there's a growing

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conversation about the size of government, too,

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with LBJ's Great Society ramping up. Exactly.

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The welfare state is expanding. And Reagan's

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core argument in the speech was a direct response

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to that. It was a clear call for smaller government.

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But, and this is key, he doesn't just say taxes

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are too high. He goes much deeper. He gets philosophical.

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He appeals to the philosophy of the founding

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fathers. His whole argument was structured around

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the idea that a government cannot control the

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economy without well without controlling people.

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That's a strong linkage. He's saying economic

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freedom and personal freedom are basically the

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same thing. Right. He asserted that when a government

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sets out to control the economy it must inevitably

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use force and coercion to achieve its purpose.

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Force and coercion. He was not mincing words.

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No. And this brings us to the most famous metaphor

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of the speech. This is the part that I think

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really redefined the political map for a lot

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of people. Oh, absolutely. Usually when we talk

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politics, we talk left versus right. That's the

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spectrum. You're on one side or the other. But

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Reagan gets up there and says, yeah, you're looking

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at it wrong. He rejects the premise entirely.

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He says, and I'm quoting here, you and I are

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told we must choose between a left or right,

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but I suggest there is no such thing as a left

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or right. There is only an up or down. Up or

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down. It's so simple, but it totally reframes

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the argument. So how does he define up? Up is

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defined as man's age -old dream, the maximum

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of individual freedom consistent with law and

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order. Okay. And down. This is where his rhetorical

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flair really kicks in and where you see that

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Cold War anxiety surfacing. He describes down

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as the ant heap of totalitarianism. The ant heap.

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That is such a visceral image. It's not just

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bad government. It's dehumanizing. It makes you

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think of mindless drones working for the collective.

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Exactly. It strips away individuality. And that's

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what makes the up versus down framing so powerful.

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It changes the debate from, you know, what should

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the budget be to do you want to be a free human

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being or an ant in a heap? It raises the stakes

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to a moral level. It's brilliant branding, whatever

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you think of the politics. And if we connect

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this to his rhetoric, you see a lot of what's

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called antithesis. Contrasting ideas placed side

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by side. Freedom versus totalitarianism. Up versus

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down. Man versus the ant. Right. And the sources

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note his tone was notably serious. He wasn't

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cracking a lot of jokes here, which is interesting

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because we remember him later for the one liners.

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The grandfatherly vibe. But here he sounds grave.

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He was using rhetorical questions to convey gravity.

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He was signaling to the audience, I know I'm

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an actor from Hollywood, but I take this deadly

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seriously. So the speech airs. He talks about

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the ant heap. What happens immediately? The cash

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register certainly started ringing. The speech

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was a fundraising juggernaut. It raised $1 million

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for the Goldwater campaign. Okay, we need to

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pause on that. A million dollars in 1964. Give

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us some context. It's a staggering amount of

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money. We're talking something in the neighborhood

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of $10 million in today's purchasing power. Wow.

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Generated from a single TV spot. And most of

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it was small donations. It proved that Reagan

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could move the needle in a way the establishment

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politicians couldn't. So he proved he had the

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magic touch. But here's the electoral irony.

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Despite that flood of cash, Barry Goldwater lost.

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And he didn't just lose. He got crushed. It was

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a demolition. LBJ won in a landslide. Goldwater

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carried only six states. So if you judge the

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speech by its stated Goldwater elected, it was

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a catastrophic failure. Right. And usually if

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you're the face of a campaign that loses by historical

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margins, you're done. Your career is over. But

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for Reagan, it was the opposite. The speech cleared

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the deck for him. The Republican establishment

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was in ruins lying in the rubble of that landslide.

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And standing there, pretty much alone and unscathed,

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was Ronald Reagan. Because the donors and the

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voters remembered the speech, not just the candidate.

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Exactly. Almost immediately after this, he was

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asked to run for governor of California. And

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he wins that one, doesn't he? He does. He wins

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the 1966 election. You can draw a direct line

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from that TV broadcast in October 64 to the governor's

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mansion in 66. And eventually to the White House

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in 1980. Yes. And this is where we have to talk

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about that observation by George Will, the columnist.

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It really explains this whole paradox. I love

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this quote. It's such a mic drop moment for history.

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George Will said. Goldwater won the election

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of 1964. It just took 16 years to count the votes.

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It just took 16 years to count the votes. That

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gives me chills. So he's saying the ideas that

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Reagan planted in 64, they didn't win the day

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right then, but they started a slow burn. Exactly.

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It suggests that political victories aren't always

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immediate. Sometimes you're winning the argument

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long before you win the election. Reagan planted

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a flag. He defined what modern conservatism would

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look like. The country wasn't ready by 1964.

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No, but the seed was planted, and it grew slowly

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through the chaos of the late 60s and the 70s

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until it finally bloomed in 1980. Well, why wasn't

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the country ready then? If the speech was so

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good, why did voters reject the message so hard?

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That's a great question. You have to look at

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the critical reception. Stephen F. Hayward, a

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Reagan biographer, noted that at the time, many

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critics found the speech Too emotional. Some

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thought I was too alarmist. Too emotional. That's

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interesting. Usually politicians are criticized

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for being too stiff. Right. But remember the

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era. This was the era of the technocrat. You

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had the best and the brightest in Washington

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who believed you could solve problems with spreadsheets.

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Reagan coming in with this passionate, almost

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apocalyptic rhetoric. For some moderates, it

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just felt unhinged. So his greatest strength,

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his emotion, was also his weakness in that specific

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moment. At the time, yes. But Hayward argues

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that even if critics rolled their eyes, the ideas

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eventually proved irresistible to enough voters.

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The country just needed to catch up to the anxiety

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Reagan was articulating. And the vacuum he was

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filling matters, too. The country was looking

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for strong leadership. The world felt unstable.

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And he was validating the fear some people had

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about the growing welfare state. He was articulating

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a clear alternative. And the press noticed. It

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wasn't just donors. No, the political observers

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saw it, too. David Broder from The Washington

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Post. And Broder was a titan of political journalism.

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He compared the debut to William Jennings Bryan's

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cross of gold speech. And the cross of gold speech

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is legendary. It's the gold standard pun intended

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for convention speeches. It instantly made Bryan

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the nominee. So comparing Reagan to Bryan was

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saying this guy just electrified the political

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landscape. He's a generational talent. And that

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leads right to the nickname. This speech is credited

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with earning Reagan the moniker, the great communicator.

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Which stuck with him for the rest of his life.

00:12:17.139 --> 00:12:19.860
And among his admirers, the speech became so

00:12:19.860 --> 00:12:22.679
iconic that they just, they dropped the title.

00:12:22.700 --> 00:12:24.820
They just started calling it the speech. Like

00:12:24.820 --> 00:12:28.539
the Godfather or the Beatles. No qualifiers needed.

00:12:28.639 --> 00:12:31.679
If you know, you know. Precisely. You know. What

00:12:31.679 --> 00:12:33.480
strikes me about this whole story is the resilience

00:12:33.480 --> 00:12:36.059
of it. Reagan goes to bed thinking he let Barry

00:12:36.059 --> 00:12:38.740
Goldwater down. Goldwater gets crushed. By all

00:12:38.740 --> 00:12:40.580
metrics, that should be a failure. But instead,

00:12:40.659 --> 00:12:42.500
it's the origin story of a two -term president.

00:12:42.840 --> 00:12:45.740
It shows that in politics, authenticity, and

00:12:45.740 --> 00:12:49.059
clarity, that up versus down clarity can outlast

00:12:49.059 --> 00:12:52.299
a bad news cycle or even a lost election. It's

00:12:52.299 --> 00:12:55.139
about the long game. The very long game. 16 years,

00:12:55.279 --> 00:12:57.399
as George Will noted. I want to throw something

00:12:57.399 --> 00:12:59.620
out there for you to chew on regarding this long

00:12:59.620 --> 00:13:02.850
game. Because we live in an era of viral clips

00:13:02.850 --> 00:13:05.990
and 30 -second sound bites. We check social media

00:13:05.990 --> 00:13:08.490
to see who's winning the day. Right. We live

00:13:08.490 --> 00:13:10.690
in the economy of attention measured in seconds.

00:13:11.110 --> 00:13:14.269
This was a 30 -minute pre -recorded speech of

00:13:14.269 --> 00:13:16.830
pure policy and philosophy. And if you look at

00:13:16.830 --> 00:13:20.730
the metrics of 1964, it failed. Goldwater lost.

00:13:21.149 --> 00:13:24.230
Today, if a consultant put out a 30 -minute video

00:13:24.230 --> 00:13:26.870
and the candidate lost by 20 points, that consultant

00:13:26.870 --> 00:13:28.970
would be fired. They'd never work in this town

00:13:28.970 --> 00:13:31.820
again. You're absolutely right. But Reagan wasn't

00:13:31.820 --> 00:13:34.039
playing for the news cycle. Consciously or not,

00:13:34.139 --> 00:13:36.220
he was building a movement. He was laying a foundation.

00:13:36.620 --> 00:13:38.200
It reminds me of a metaphor I've heard about

00:13:38.200 --> 00:13:40.779
cathedrals versus tents. A tent goes up fast.

00:13:40.899 --> 00:13:42.980
It's useful for the night, but it comes down

00:13:42.980 --> 00:13:45.500
just as fast. A cathedral takes a lifetime to

00:13:45.500 --> 00:13:48.240
build, but it stands for centuries. That is a

00:13:48.240 --> 00:13:51.190
perfect analogy. Reagan's rhetoric in this speech

00:13:51.190 --> 00:13:54.850
was cathedral building. He was defining the up

00:13:54.850 --> 00:13:57.389
and down for a generation. And that definition

00:13:57.389 --> 00:13:59.950
held. I mean, you can hear echoes of the speech

00:13:59.950 --> 00:14:02.769
in political arguments happening right now, 60

00:14:02.769 --> 00:14:05.049
years later. The ant heap argument hasn't gone

00:14:05.049 --> 00:14:07.970
away. No, it hasn't. The tension between individual

00:14:07.970 --> 00:14:10.389
liberty and collective security is the eternal

00:14:10.389 --> 00:14:13.710
debate. So we've gone from a nervous actor to

00:14:13.710 --> 00:14:15.909
a fundraising record breaker to the governor's

00:14:15.909 --> 00:14:18.450
mansion. It really is a time for choosing. that

00:14:18.450 --> 00:14:20.750
ended up choosing him. That's a poetic way to

00:14:20.750 --> 00:14:22.649
put it. Before we wrap up, I want to leave the

00:14:22.649 --> 00:14:24.350
listener with the final provocative thought.

00:14:25.309 --> 00:14:27.529
We've talked about how this speech failed to

00:14:27.529 --> 00:14:29.929
win the election but won the era. The delayed

00:14:29.929 --> 00:14:33.149
victory. Right. So ask yourself this. In our

00:14:33.149 --> 00:14:36.629
world of instant gratification, are we even capable

00:14:36.629 --> 00:14:38.830
of recognizing this kind of success anymore?

00:14:39.289 --> 00:14:41.669
If a leader today gave a speech that wouldn't

00:14:41.669 --> 00:14:44.379
pay off for 16 years, would we even have the

00:14:44.379 --> 00:14:47.100
attention span to notice? Or would we just scroll

00:14:47.100 --> 00:14:49.179
past it because it didn't trend immediately?

00:14:49.500 --> 00:14:52.659
That is a question worth pondering. Does true

00:14:52.659 --> 00:14:55.299
influence operate on a timeline that we just

00:14:55.299 --> 00:14:58.279
aren't patient enough to see anymore? Are we

00:14:58.279 --> 00:15:00.980
too busy looking for tents to notice the cathedrals

00:15:00.980 --> 00:15:02.759
being built? Something to think about next time

00:15:02.759 --> 00:15:05.019
you're scrolling. A huge thank you to our listeners

00:15:05.019 --> 00:15:07.419
for joining us on this deep dive into political

00:15:07.419 --> 00:15:09.559
history. It's been a pleasure. We'll see you

00:15:09.559 --> 00:15:10.539
on this one. Keep diving.
