WEBVTT

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If I see the phrase basket of deplorables, I

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am willing to bet you have an immediate, almost

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visceral reaction. Absolutely. It doesn't matter

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who you voted for or even if you follow politics.

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Those words, they just, they take you right back

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to 2016. It's arguably the phrase that defined

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that entire election, maybe that whole era of

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politics. It's definitely in the Hall of Fame.

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But the thing is, and this is what we need to

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get into, for most people, the memory just stops

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there. It stops at the headline, at the insult

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itself. And that's a huge missed opportunity

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to understand what was really going on. It is.

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Which is exactly why we're here. For this deep

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dive, we've gone through the speech transcripts,

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campaign memos, post -election analyses, all

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of it. Right. And look, we're not here to relitigate

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2016. No, that's been done to death. Our mission

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today is really to dissect this as a phenomenon.

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We want to understand how a strategy that's designed

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to divide your opposition actually ends up unifying

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them. How does an insult, something meant to

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shame people, become a badge of honor? Right.

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Usually you insult someone, they get mad. In

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this case, they went out and bought T -shirts.

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It's fascinating. Exactly. So let's get into

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it. The scene, the context. It's everything here.

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It's September 9th, 2016. Where is Hillary Clinton?

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She's in New York City. And the venue is really

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crucial. She's at an LGBT campaign fundraiser

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at Cipriani Wall Street. Cipriani Wall Street.

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So an opulent place. Oh, yeah. It's a former

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bank building, you know, massive marble columns,

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very high society, very wealthy and crucially,

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very friendly room for her. Barbra Streisand

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had just performed. OK, so that's key. This is

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not a rally in Ohio with a mixed crowd. This

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is a private event with donors. Precisely. And

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that dictates the tone. Right. Politicians tend

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to speak a little more loosely in those settings.

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They feel safe, like they're among friends. The

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filter comes off. And she gets up on stage, starts

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talking about Trump supporters and decides to

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categorize them. This is the moment. But what's

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so interesting is how she starts the sentence,

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something nobody ever remembers. She almost gives

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herself a legal out. She says, and this is a

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direct quote. to just be grossly generalistic.

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She's literally flagging, hey, I'm about to paint

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with a really broad brush here. And then she

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drops the line. And she drops it. You could put

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half of Trump supporters into what I call the

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basket of deplorables. The word half. Every time

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I read that, it's the word half that just stops

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you in your tracks. It's the dynamite in the

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sentence. It really is. It's a mathematical claim.

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It's not some. It's not a few. If Trump gets

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60 million votes, she is literally talking about

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30 million people. That specific number half

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is what made it sound like a clinical diagnosis,

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not just some off -the -cuff observation. And

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she didn't stop there. She defined what she meant.

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She gives a list. A whole list, she says. racist,

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sexist, homophobic, xenophobic, Islamophobic.

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Wow. And she makes this really interesting point

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about the Internet, which, looking back, is so

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prescient. She said Trump had lifted them up,

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that he'd given a platform to websites that used

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to have maybe 11 ,000 readers and now had 11

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million. She was trying to draw a direct line

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between the darker corners of the Internet, the

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alt -right, and the mainstream Republican ticket.

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Exactly. She calls them irredeemable. Says they

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are not. And that's the soundbite that played

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on a loop for the next two months. But, and this

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is the part that I think will surprise a lot

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of people, there was a second basket. The forgotten

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basket. I honestly don't think I'd retain this

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part at all until we started prepping for this.

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It's almost completely written out of the story.

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Immediately after the deplorables part, she pivots

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to the other half of his supporters. And the

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tone just completely shifts, doesn't it? A complete

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180. She stops talking about racism and starts

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talking about, you know, economics, about people

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who feel the government and the economy have

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left them behind. She gets surprisingly specific

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and empathetic. Very. She mentions people seeing

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their jobs disappear. And then she uses this

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incredibly specific, tragic image. Losing a child

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to the heroin epidemic. Yeah, that's not an insult.

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That's trying to connect. It really is. And she

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concludes by saying these people are desperate

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for change and that, quote, those are people

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we have to understand and empathize with. OK,

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so if she has this whole nuanced theory, basket

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A is the fringe, basket B is the economically

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anxious. Why did it blow up so badly? Was the

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deplorables line just a slip of the tongue? No,

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all the evidence suggests this was not an accident,

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not a gaffe in the traditional sense. She'd actually

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been road testing this idea for weeks. Really?

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This is a planned strategy. It seems so. Just

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a few weeks earlier in a speech in Reno, she

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talked about Trump helping a radical fringe take

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over the GOP, and she explicitly mentioned the

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alt -right. The day before this fundraiser, she

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did an interview on Israel's Channel 2 and used

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the exact same two big baskets metaphor. So it

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was a deliberate strategy. What was the goal

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then? Why would you want to insult millions of

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potential voters? It's a classic divide and conquer

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play. You have to remember, in 2016, there were

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a lot of moderate establishment Republicans who

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were deeply uncomfortable with Trump. The never

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Trumpers. The Never Trumpers, exactly. The campaign

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strategy was to try and peel them away, to separate

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those everyday Republicans from the alt -right.

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So force them to look at the people in that first

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basket and say, I'm not with them. Right. She

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was trying to shame them out of that coalition.

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And she was bringing proof, too. In her speeches,

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she was talking about Steve Bannon running the

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campaign, his ties to Breitbart News. She was

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even reading Breitbart headlines from the stage.

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What kind of headlines? I mean, things like,

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would you rather your child had feminism or cancer?

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Wow. OK. Yeah. So she's holding that up and basically

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saying, see, this isn't your grandfather's Republican

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Party. This is something else, something darker.

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But the whole strategy depends on the audience

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actually accepting your categories. And that's

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where it all fell apart. Because of that one

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word. Half. Half. The very next day, the backlash

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is huge. She has to issue a statement. She does.

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But let's be precise about what she regretted.

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She said she regretted saying half. She admitted

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that was wrong. But she stood by the core sentiment.

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She doubled down on condemning Trump for amplifying

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hateful views and voices. But it was too late.

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The horse wasn't just out of the barn. It was

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leading the parade. The GOP pounced. It was the

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perfect gift. It was the rallying cry they'd

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been waiting for. Trump's reaction was smart.

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He didn't just attack her back. He positioned

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himself as a defender. A brilliant populist move.

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He said, you know, while my opponent slanders

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you, I call you hardworking American patriots.

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It led him pivot from being the aggressor to

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being the protector of the common person against

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this coastal elite. And Mike Pence, his running

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mate, took it even further. Pence said that showing

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that kind of disdain from millions of Americans

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disqualifies her from being president. It just

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fed perfectly into the narrative they were building,

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that the establishment doesn't just disagree

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with you, they actively despise you. Right. Kellyanne

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Conway was all over it, saying Clinton had insulted

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the very people she promised to uplift. It confirmed

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every suspicion they wanted voters to have about

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her. But here's the twist. This is what makes

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this story so unique. Usually when a politician

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insults a group, that group gets defensive. They

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deny it. They say, how dare you? Exactly. That's

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not me. But Trump supporters, they didn't run

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from it. They embraced it. This is that idea

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of reappropriation, right? Taking back a slur.

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A perfect example, a stigma reversal. Yeah. You

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know, like activists reclaiming the word queer

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or even what happened with nasty woman later

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in that same election. They took deplorables,

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a word meant to cast them out, and they wore

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it like armor. And that moment in Miami, I remember

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watching that live on TV and just thinking, this

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is political theater on a whole other level.

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The Les Miserables parody. Yes. Trump walks on

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stage and the music playing is, do you hear the

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people sing? From Limby. Which is, you know,

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a song about French peasants rising up against

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the monarchy. The irony of a billionaire using

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it. It's thick, yeah. But the giant screen behind

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him, it doesn't say, make America great again.

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It says in that font, le déploie. It was genius.

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It turned an insult from an elite into a banner

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of rebellion. Suddenly, they weren't deplorables.

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They were revolutionaries. And the internet,

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the very place she was criticizing, just exploded.

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Oh, the memes were everywhere. Roger Stone, Donald

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Trump Jr., they shared that parody movie poster,

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styled after the action movie The Expendables.

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But it was called The Deplorables. And it had

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Pepe the Frog on it. Yeah, which was a direct

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nod to the alt -right. It was. They were basically

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saying to Clinton, You think we're trolls? You

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think we're fringe? Fine. We are. And we're proud

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of it. It completely neutralized the shame she

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was trying to create. So instead of shaming them

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away from the alt -right, she pushed them right

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into its arms, metaphorically speaking. The campaign

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started selling official merchandise. Proud to

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be deplorable, it became an identity. And it

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all culminated in the deplorable. The deplorable.

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Right before the inauguration. January 2017.

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a black tie victory lap at the National Press

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Building of all places. Named after the insult

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that was supposed to destroy them, they were

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toasting with champagne to being deplorable.

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So let's analyze this. Did it actually cost her

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the election? I mean, that feels too simple,

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but it's the question everyone asks. It's the

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million -dollar question, and analysts are still

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fighting about it. The most obvious parallel

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everyone draws is with Mitt Romney in 2012. The

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47 % gaffe. Exactly. Romney had a private fundraiser

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saying 47 percent of Americans are dependent

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on government and see themselves as victims.

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And it just fed this narrative that he was an

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out of touch rich guy. It confirmed a suspicion

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people already had. Political attacks really

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stick when they do that. And the argument is

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that basket or deplorables did the exact same

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thing to Clinton. It confirmed the suspicion

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that she was an elitist who looked down on working

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class people. You also mentioned a historical

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parallel I'd never heard of, the vermin comment

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in Britain. Right. The columnist Charles Moore

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pointed this out. Back in 1948, a very famous

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labor politician, Nye Bevan, called the Conservative

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Party lower than vermin. That's pretty harsh,

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yeah. Caused a huge scandal. And what did the

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conservatives do? They formed a vermin club.

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They made little lapel pins with rats on them.

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It's the same human impulse. You insult us. We

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form a club. But what about the actual data from

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2016? Did this comment move votes? Well, Diane

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Hessen was tracking undecided voters for the

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Clinton campaign. She was in focus groups with

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them every single day. And she said that after

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that comment, quote, All hell broke loose. All

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hell broke loose. Yeah. For her, that was the

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moment she saw the largest single shift of undecided

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voters away from Clinton and toward Trump. So

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it wasn't just about firing up his base. It was

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about pushing the undecideds away from her. That's

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her argument. And even her own campaign manager,

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Robbie Mook, later admitted it definitely could

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have alienated people. Clinton herself, in her

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book What Happened, basically called it a political

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gift to Trump. That's a huge admission. It is.

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But... To be fair, there is a counter view. Courtney

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Weaver at the Financial Times argued it's foolish

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to pin an entire election loss on one phrase.

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There was the Comey letter, the emails, the economy.

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A million things. Sure. But even she said, well,

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it certainly didn't help. There's that one take

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from the political scientist Charles Murray.

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He goes really big with his analysis. Who does?

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He suggested that one comment might have changed

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the history of the world. That feels a little

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dramatic. It sounds it. But his argument is interesting.

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He says it wasn't just about the votes. It was

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about crystallizing the entire narrative of the

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culture war. The idea of the new upper class

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looking down on everyone else. It drew a line

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in the sand. You were either in the basket or

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you were the one sneering at the basket. She

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wanted to separate people, to isolate a fringe

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group. But by using that word half, she ended

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up compressing her two baskets into one. That's

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the perfect way to put it. The people she described

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in the second basket, the ones who were desperate

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for change. They didn't hear the empathy. They

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just heard the insult directed at their neighbor

00:12:16.490 --> 00:12:19.769
or maybe even at them. They heard deplorable

00:12:19.769 --> 00:12:22.309
and thought, well, I guess that's me then. And

00:12:22.309 --> 00:12:24.669
the part where she said, we need to understand

00:12:24.669 --> 00:12:28.830
and empathize, totally lost. It evaporated. Yeah.

00:12:28.929 --> 00:12:31.370
Because nuance doesn't go viral, but insults

00:12:31.370 --> 00:12:33.950
do. That's the danger of communication in this

00:12:33.950 --> 00:12:36.710
era. She ended up amplifying the very polarization

00:12:36.710 --> 00:12:39.250
she was trying to condemn. It's the ultimate

00:12:39.250 --> 00:12:41.950
law of unintended consequences. You try to put

00:12:41.950 --> 00:12:44.110
a label on your opponent to weaken them, and

00:12:44.110 --> 00:12:46.730
you end up giving them a team jersey. And a battle

00:12:46.730 --> 00:12:48.830
cry. I mean, think about it. If you tell a group

00:12:48.830 --> 00:12:51.429
of people that they are irredeemable, you're

00:12:51.429 --> 00:12:53.570
not leaving them any room to negotiate. You're

00:12:53.570 --> 00:12:55.570
telling them they have no place in your America.

00:12:56.169 --> 00:12:59.389
So what choice do they have but to fight to make

00:12:59.389 --> 00:13:01.830
sure your America never comes to be? So looking

00:13:01.830 --> 00:13:04.070
back on all this, what's the big takeaway? Why

00:13:04.070 --> 00:13:06.330
does the story still matter so much? Because

00:13:06.330 --> 00:13:09.029
it's a profound lesson in the power of language

00:13:09.029 --> 00:13:12.309
to create reality, not just describe it. When

00:13:12.309 --> 00:13:15.490
you paint huge swaths of the country with one

00:13:15.490 --> 00:13:19.190
brush, you create tribes. You solidify identities.

00:13:19.649 --> 00:13:22.070
From one night at a fundraiser in New York to

00:13:22.070 --> 00:13:25.740
a global symbol of the populist revolt. basket

00:13:25.740 --> 00:13:28.200
of deplorables was so much more than a gaffe.

00:13:28.299 --> 00:13:30.620
It's a masterclass in how political identity

00:13:30.620 --> 00:13:33.539
is forged in the 21st century, and it taught

00:13:33.539 --> 00:13:37.100
every campaign a lesson. You can insult the candidate,

00:13:37.240 --> 00:13:39.740
you can insult their policies, but you can never...

00:13:39.950 --> 00:13:42.909
ever insult the voters themselves. It is a lot

00:13:42.909 --> 00:13:44.649
to think about. We've gone from the specific

00:13:44.649 --> 00:13:47.789
words in a speech to a Broadway themed rally

00:13:47.789 --> 00:13:50.950
in Miami to the entire sociology of an election.

00:13:51.149 --> 00:13:53.110
It's quite a journey. It certainly is. And I

00:13:53.110 --> 00:13:54.509
think that's a good place to leave it for this

00:13:54.509 --> 00:13:56.549
deep dive. We've seen how a political strategy

00:13:56.549 --> 00:13:58.870
of division can backfire and become a tool for

00:13:58.870 --> 00:14:01.149
unity and empowerment for the other side. And

00:14:01.149 --> 00:14:03.370
how a single phrase can echo through our politics

00:14:03.370 --> 00:14:06.809
for years and years. Absolutely. So the question

00:14:06.809 --> 00:14:09.460
we want to leave you with is this. We think of

00:14:09.460 --> 00:14:12.259
political labels as weapons to push people out,

00:14:12.320 --> 00:14:14.940
to ostracize them. But as we saw here, sometimes

00:14:14.940 --> 00:14:16.639
that weapon gets caught and thrown right back.

00:14:16.740 --> 00:14:19.139
So ask yourself, in our world today, when does

00:14:19.139 --> 00:14:21.259
a label intended to shame a group actually become

00:14:21.259 --> 00:14:23.200
the very thing that gives them their power? Thanks

00:14:23.200 --> 00:14:24.299
for listening and stay curious.
