WEBVTT

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You know, there's this phrase in finance that

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always just it always cracks me up. Accounting

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irregularities. Sounds so polite, doesn't it?

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Sort of harmless. Like maybe someone forgot to

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carry the one or they lost a receipt for a client

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lunch. It's the ultimate euphemism. It is. It's

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like calling a Category 5 hurricane a breezy

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afternoon because usually, I mean, let's be honest,

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when we hear accounting irregularities in the

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news, it's not a simple math error. It's a smoke

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signal. A huge smoke signal. Yeah. For something

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much, much darker. Exactly. And today we are

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doing a deep dive into what might be the mother.

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Of all irregularities. We're talking about a

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situation where the irregularity wasn't a missing

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receipt, but a missing 1 .9 billion euros. Billion.

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With a B. It's a number that's hard to even comprehend.

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I know. Try to picture it. Well, just to visualize

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that for a second, if you stacked 1 .9 billion

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euros in, say, 100 euro notes, you're looking

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at a stack that would literally reach into the

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stratosphere. That's insane. It is a colossal,

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colossal amount of money. And for a very long

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time. The entire world, the entire financial

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market thought that money was sitting safely

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in a couple of bank accounts in the Philippines.

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Right. Bolstering the balance sheet of Wirecard,

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which was at the time the absolute pride of the

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German tech sector, a titan. But then in June

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of 2020, we all learned that the money wasn't

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just missing. It likely never existed in the

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first place. It's the story of Wirecard. And

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frankly, even now, even though it's been nearly

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six years since the collapse, it still feels

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like a fever dream. It really does. I mean, if

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you pitch this as a movie script, you've got

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hackers for hire, fugitive executives who are

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suspected of being Russian spies, regulators

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hunting journalists instead of criminals, Hollywood

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would probably reject it. They'd say it's too

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unbelievable. Exactly. Tone it down a bit. It

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really is the German Enron, but... Honestly,

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with way more spycraft. It's wild. And the reason

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we are revisiting this whole saga today here

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in February 2026 is that we finally have a new

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and very concrete chapter of closure. That's

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right. We've had speculation for years, but just

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last month in January, the courts in Singapore

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handed down some really significant sentences

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that I think. They close the loop on the actual

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mechanics of the fraud. They absolutely do. For

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the longest time, the big question was always

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how. Right. How do you fake 1 .9 billion euros?

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You can't just write a number on a napkin and

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show it to an auditor. Right. You need a system.

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You need infrastructure. And the sentencing of

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these two individuals are Sean McGrath and James

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Henry O'Sullivan in Singapore gives us the judicial

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stamp. It confirms exactly how that machinery

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of deception worked. We're definitely going to

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get into those sentences later because they are.

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so key to unlocking this whole mystery. But to

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really understand how we got to a courtroom in

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Singapore in 2026, we have to go back. Way back.

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Way, way back. And I was digging into the origins

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of Wirecard this week. And I have to say, for

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a company that ended up replacing, you know,

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Commerzbank and the DAX index, their beginnings

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were, well, let's call them colorful. Colorful

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is being very, very generous. Seedy might be

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the more accurate term. OK, fair enough. So let's

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rewind. The year is 1999. We're in Aschheim,

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which is a quiet suburb near Munich. Wirecard

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is founded. And usually when we think of fintech

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startups, you know, we think of sleek apps, people

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in coffee shops, solving problems for millennials.

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But Wirecord's initial client base wasn't exactly

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selling artisan coffee. Not at all. They were

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processing payments for pornography and online

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gambling websites. Right. And we really need

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to pause here for a second because this isn't

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just some like salacious detail to get people

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interested. It is actually the cornerstone of

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their entire business philosophy. OK, explain

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that, because in what, 1999, 2000, processing

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credit card payments for a porn site? wasn't

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something a respectable bank wanted to get anywhere

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near. Exactly. In the banking world, this is

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what's classified as high risk. And it's high

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risk for a few reasons. First, you got the obvious

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reputational risk. You know, Deutsche Bank doesn't

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want hotbabes .com showing up on their official

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client list. Of course not. But maybe even more

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importantly, the financial risk is all about

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chargebacks. Chargebacks. So that's when a customer,

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you know, calls their credit card company and

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says, hey, I didn't make this charge. Correct.

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And in the world of online porn and gambling,

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that happens constantly, all the time. People

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gamble, they lose money, they regret it, and

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then they claim their card was stolen. Or they

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subscribe to a site, get caught by their spouse,

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and then claim fraud to cover their tracks. It's

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a messy, high churn, complicated business. So

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because the big respectable banks wouldn't touch

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it with a 10 -foot pole. Wirecard just stepped

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right in. And I'm guessing they weren't doing

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it out of the kindness of their hearts. Oh, absolutely

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not. They did it because they could charge exorbitant

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fees. If you are the lender of last resort or

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the processor of last resort, you can dictate

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the terms. Wirecard was making margins that standard

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payment processors could only dream of. But I

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think more importantly than the money, it taught

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the company a very, very dangerous lesson. And

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what was that lesson? The lesson was you can

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get really rich by operating in the shadows.

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You can build a massive business by processing

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payments that other people won't. And crucially,

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by not asking too many questions about where

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the money is coming from or where it's going.

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So it baked this kind of opacity right into their

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corporate DNA from day one. It did. It's almost

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like they started out as a black ops payment

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processor. So when they eventually try to pivot

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to more legitimate. businesses you know airlines

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and retail they just kept that same don't look

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too closely at the books mentality precisely

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they normalized secrecy in a normal healthy company

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complexity is a bug it's something you try to

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eliminate yeah you want things to be simple in

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wire card complexity was a feature it was how

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they hid everything it was how they hid the bodies

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so to speak So, OK, they're chugging along with

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the gambling and porn money. But then the dotcom

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bubble bursts in the early 2000s. Right. And

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Wirecard nearly goes under. I mean, they were

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right on the brink of bankruptcy in 2002. And

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this is where the central antagonist of our story

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makes his grand entrance. Marcus Braun. Enter

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Marcus Braun. He's this Austrian consultant and

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his background is actually from KPMG. Oh, interesting.

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He comes in, he injects capital, saves the company

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from total insolvency and takes over as the CEO.

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He's the one who really consolidated the business

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model. He had this grand vision of Wirecard as

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a technology powerhouse, not just a back office

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payment plumber. But he also had a very, very

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aggressive approach to growth. And this leads

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us to 2005. Wirecard wants to go public. Now,

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I've been around markets long enough to know

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that an IPO, an initial public offering. is a

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huge deal. It's like a, well, it's a financial

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colonoscopy. That's a great way to put it. You've

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got bankers, lawyers, auditors, regulators, just

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everyone tearing through your documents for months

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on end. It is an absolutely grueling process.

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You have to publish a prospectus that details

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every single risk, every debt, every lawsuit.

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You have to go on a roadshow and convince these

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really skeptical investors that your business

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is real. It's the gatekeeper of the public markets.

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But Wirecard looked at that gate and said, nah,

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we'll just hop the fence. They did. They did

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what's called a reverse IPO. And I really want

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to unpack this because the mechanism they used

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is just, it's both hilarious and terrifying at

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the same time. They bought a company called InfoGenie

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AG. InfoGenie, you really, you just can't make

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this stuff up. So for our listeners who might

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not know. What on earth was InfoGenie? So InfoGenie

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was a penny stock. It was listed in Berlin, and

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they had absolutely nothing to do with payments

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or fintech. Their business was operating telephone

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advice hotlines. You mean like 1 -900 numbers?

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Exactly. We're talking tech support, horoscopes,

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relationship advice, and probably some of the

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more adult conversations that we were alluding

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to earlier. I see. By 2004, Info Genie was basically

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a zombie company. The stock exchange actually

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wanted to delist them because their share price

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was effectively zero. So Wirecard, instead of

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doing its own proper, heavily scrutinized IPO,

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decides to just buy this dying hotline company.

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Correct. In December of 2004, the shareholders

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of Info Genie agreed to a capital increase in

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exchange for acquiring Wirecard. So mechanically,

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InfoGenie bought Wirecard. But in reality, Wirecard

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took over InfoGenie. And then what? They changed

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the name from InfoGenie to Wirecard and voila.

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On January 1st, 2005, Wirecard was a publicly

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traded corporation. That is just wild. They literally

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wore the skin of a dead company to sneak onto

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the stock exchange. That is a very vivid and

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I think a very accurate way to put it. And here's

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why that matters so much. By doing a reverse

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IPO, they skipped all the scrutiny. No roadshow.

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No roadshow. No deep audit by skeptical investment

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banks. No detailed prospectus for investors to

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pick apart. They just sort of appeared on the

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market. I mean, that feels like such a massive

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red flag. If a company is actively avoiding scrutiny

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on day one, shouldn't investors be incredibly

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wary? They should be. Of course they should.

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And to be fair, some were. But you have to remember

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the context of the time. This was 2005. The tech

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market was recovering from the dot -com bust.

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People were hungry, especially in Germany, for

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a German tech success story. very, very good

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at selling the vision. He talked about the cashless

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society, the digitization of money. He sounded

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like a true visionary. And the growth chart seemed

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to back him up. I mean, they rocketed into the

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tech tax in 2006. They were growing faster than

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anyone else. They were. And then the real crowning

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achievement came in September of 2018. Wirecard.

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joins the DAX 30. This was a massive cultural

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moment in Germany. The DAX 30 is the elite club.

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It's the German equivalent of the Dow Jones Industrial

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Average. You're talking BMW, Siemens, Adidas,

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Volkswagen. The absolute titans of German industry.

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And Wirecard joined the club. And you have to

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look at who they replaced. They kicked out Commerzbank.

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The symbolism there was intoxicating. It was

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just perfect for their narrative. Cumbers Bank

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was founded in 1870. It was the establishment.

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It was old money, traditional banking. Right.

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And here comes Wirecard, founded in a Munich

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suburb in 1999, kicking the old guard out the

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door. It looked like the future defeating the

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past. It's the perfect story. Old banking is

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dead. FinTech is king. And I mean, investors

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just ate it up. At its peak, Wirecard was valued

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at over 24 billion euros. It was worth more than

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Deutsche Bank at one point. That's staggering.

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Just let that sink in for a minute. A payment

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processor that started out with porn and gambling

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sites was worth more than the biggest, most systemically

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important bank in Germany. So let's talk about

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what they claimed they were actually doing to

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justify that 24 billion euro valuation. Because

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you can't just say we process payments and be

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worth that much. You need to have a special sauce,

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some kind of magic. Right, they claim to have

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a financial ecosystem. Their business, on paper,

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had three main pillars. First, the bread and

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butter. payment processing, and risk management.

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Okay. This is just acting as the middleman between

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a merchant, like an airline or a shop, and the

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credit card network, like Visa or MasterCard.

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They take a tiny little cut of every single transaction.

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Okay, that's standard stuff. I mean, PayPal does

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that, ADN does that, nothing special there. Second

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pillar was card issuing. So they would issue

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physical or virtual debit cards for other companies.

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So if a new startup wanted to launch a cool new

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banking app, Wirecard would provide the actual

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card infrastructure in the background. Right.

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I remember they worked with companies like Revolut

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in the early days and a bunch of other smaller

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fintech apps. They did. And they had big names

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in their client list. I remember seeing their

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client deck, Allands, KLM, Qatar Airways, Transport

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for London. I mean, if you saw that list, you'd

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think, OK, this is a legitimate blue chip operation.

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And they did have real clients. That's what makes

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the fraud so tricky. The business wasn't completely

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fake. The European part of the business was real.

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It was actually losing money for the most part.

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But it was real. They were processing real payments

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for real companies like Aldi and Lidl. But the

00:12:19.789 --> 00:12:22.210
real growth story, the thing that was driving

00:12:22.210 --> 00:12:25.129
the stock price, wasn't Aldi or Lidl. It was

00:12:25.129 --> 00:12:27.409
all the innovation stuff. I remember the Boone

00:12:27.409 --> 00:12:29.950
app. Boone, yes. It was their mobile payment

00:12:29.950 --> 00:12:32.470
app that gave... you a virtual MasterCard on

00:12:32.470 --> 00:12:36.169
your phone. It was Apple Pay and Google Pay compatible.

00:12:36.350 --> 00:12:38.230
And it was a decent product, wasn't it? It was

00:12:38.230 --> 00:12:40.269
actually a pretty good product, but it wasn't

00:12:40.269 --> 00:12:43.289
making them billions of euros in profit. Not

00:12:43.289 --> 00:12:45.350
even close. And then there was the China connection.

00:12:45.590 --> 00:12:48.450
I feel like this was the narrative that really,

00:12:48.529 --> 00:12:51.190
really drove the stock price into the stratosphere.

00:12:51.330 --> 00:12:55.269
The Alipay narrative. This was pure genius from

00:12:55.269 --> 00:12:58.600
a storytelling perspective. Wirecard claimed

00:12:58.600 --> 00:13:01.000
to be the indispensable bridge between China

00:13:01.000 --> 00:13:03.600
and Europe. They partnered with Alipay and WeChat

00:13:03.600 --> 00:13:06.279
Pay, which are, you know, the completely dominant

00:13:06.279 --> 00:13:09.399
payment apps in China. And the pitch was simple.

00:13:09.970 --> 00:13:12.870
When millions of Chinese tourists come to Paris

00:13:12.870 --> 00:13:15.330
or Munich to buy luxury handbags and watches

00:13:15.330 --> 00:13:17.789
they want to pay with their phones. Wirecard

00:13:17.789 --> 00:13:20.070
is the company that makes that happen. It sounded

00:13:20.070 --> 00:13:22.629
like a license to print money. You have millions

00:13:22.629 --> 00:13:25.610
of wealthy tourists billions in potential transactions.

00:13:25.990 --> 00:13:28.210
It was an incredibly compelling story. They announced

00:13:28.210 --> 00:13:30.830
these huge partnerships with Printem the big

00:13:30.830 --> 00:13:33.169
department store in Paris the body shop Munich

00:13:33.169 --> 00:13:36.350
Airport. It positioned Wirecard as the only player

00:13:36.350 --> 00:13:38.789
who could unlock this massive, massive revenue

00:13:38.789 --> 00:13:41.870
stream. So on the surface, you've got real clients,

00:13:41.929 --> 00:13:44.090
you've got cool apps, this massive Chinese expansion,

00:13:44.289 --> 00:13:46.789
and the financials looked absolutely incredible.

00:13:46.970 --> 00:13:49.929
A hockey stick graph. Totally. In 2013, their

00:13:49.929 --> 00:13:54.610
revenue was, what, 482 million euros? By 2018,

00:13:54.769 --> 00:13:57.649
it was over 2 billion. Assets just quadrupled

00:13:57.649 --> 00:14:00.070
in that same period. And then in 2019, they got

00:14:00.070 --> 00:14:02.970
what seemed like the ultimate validation. SoftBank,

00:14:03.029 --> 00:14:05.570
you know, Masayoshi -san's massive Japanese investment

00:14:05.570 --> 00:14:08.169
fund invested. And that's a huge stamp of approval.

00:14:08.409 --> 00:14:10.889
It's the biggest. When SoftBank puts money in,

00:14:10.990 --> 00:14:13.629
the market takes that as a sign that you have

00:14:13.629 --> 00:14:16.610
officially made it to the global big leagues.

00:14:16.830 --> 00:14:19.769
And there is always a but in these deep dives.

00:14:19.929 --> 00:14:22.070
While the stock price was climbing and while

00:14:22.070 --> 00:14:24.169
the German public was celebrating their new tech

00:14:24.169 --> 00:14:26.190
champion, there were people. people, smart people

00:14:26.190 --> 00:14:27.990
scratching their heads. There were. Because the

00:14:27.990 --> 00:14:30.230
math just wasn't adding up. No, it wasn't. And

00:14:30.230 --> 00:14:32.049
this is where we need to introduce a concept

00:14:32.049 --> 00:14:34.129
that is absolutely critical to understanding

00:14:34.129 --> 00:14:36.769
the entire fraud. We have to talk about third

00:14:36.769 --> 00:14:39.950
party acquirers or TPAs. OK, let's slow down

00:14:39.950 --> 00:14:41.750
and really explain this, because I'll be honest,

00:14:41.870 --> 00:14:43.509
when I first started reading about the scandal

00:14:43.509 --> 00:14:45.870
years ago, this was the part that confused me

00:14:45.870 --> 00:14:48.759
the most. What is a third party acquirer? So

00:14:48.759 --> 00:14:51.940
imagine Wirecard wants to do business in a country

00:14:51.940 --> 00:14:54.539
where it doesn't have a financial license. Let's

00:14:54.539 --> 00:14:59.480
say the Philippines or Malaysia or Dubai. OK.

00:14:59.600 --> 00:15:02.139
They can't legally process the credit card swipe

00:15:02.139 --> 00:15:05.220
themselves because they aren't a licensed bank

00:15:05.220 --> 00:15:07.460
or financial institution in that jurisdiction.

00:15:07.639 --> 00:15:09.759
So they're blocked. They can't operate there.

00:15:09.860 --> 00:15:12.559
Theoretically, yes. But instead of giving up.

00:15:12.860 --> 00:15:14.639
or going through the long process of getting

00:15:14.639 --> 00:15:17.559
a license, they just hire a local partner. This

00:15:17.559 --> 00:15:20.539
local partner is the third -party acquirer. And

00:15:20.539 --> 00:15:22.740
that partner has the license. Exactly. The TPA

00:15:22.740 --> 00:15:25.580
has the license. So the TPA processes the transaction

00:15:25.580 --> 00:15:28.120
for the merchant in that country. They take the

00:15:28.120 --> 00:15:30.480
customer's money, they hold it, and then in theory,

00:15:30.500 --> 00:15:33.039
they pass it on to Wirecard, minus a commission.

00:15:33.299 --> 00:15:35.139
So it's basically like outsourcing the actual

00:15:35.139 --> 00:15:37.470
work. It's exactly like outsourcing. It's like

00:15:37.470 --> 00:15:39.629
being an Uber driver, but you don't have a car

00:15:39.629 --> 00:15:42.009
or a driver's license. So you hire a guy who

00:15:42.009 --> 00:15:44.509
does have a car to drive people around. And then

00:15:44.509 --> 00:15:46.049
you tell everyone that you're the one running

00:15:46.049 --> 00:15:48.570
the successful taxi business. And Wirecard claimed

00:15:48.570 --> 00:15:51.690
that this TPA business was huge. This is the

00:15:51.690 --> 00:15:55.419
absolute key to the entire fraud. Wirecard claimed

00:15:55.419 --> 00:15:58.000
that roughly half of their entire transaction

00:15:58.000 --> 00:16:01.679
volume and the vast, vast majority of their operating

00:16:01.679 --> 00:16:05.059
profit came from these obscure TPA partners in

00:16:05.059 --> 00:16:07.600
Asia and the Middle East. Wait, wait. Half their

00:16:07.600 --> 00:16:09.379
business was coming from these outsourced partners

00:16:09.379 --> 00:16:11.379
that no one had ever heard of? Yes. And because

00:16:11.379 --> 00:16:13.940
it was outsourced, Wirecard didn't have any of

00:16:13.940 --> 00:16:16.419
the associated costs. They didn't have to pay

00:16:16.419 --> 00:16:19.039
for servers or staff or office space in those

00:16:19.039 --> 00:16:21.700
countries. They just booked the revenue. So that's

00:16:21.700 --> 00:16:23.539
why their profit margins look so much better

00:16:23.539 --> 00:16:25.610
than... their competitors. Exactly. They claim

00:16:25.610 --> 00:16:28.289
to be making these massive profits with basically

00:16:28.289 --> 00:16:30.690
zero cost. I mean, that sounds way too good to

00:16:30.690 --> 00:16:33.809
be true. We have billions in revenue, but it's

00:16:33.809 --> 00:16:35.490
all happening over there in that other company's

00:16:35.490 --> 00:16:38.090
books. Don't worry about it. And that is exactly

00:16:38.090 --> 00:16:40.389
what the skeptics started to notice. As far back

00:16:40.389 --> 00:16:43.690
as 2008 and certainly by 2015, people were looking

00:16:43.690 --> 00:16:45.909
at this TPA structure and saying, this doesn't

00:16:45.909 --> 00:16:48.429
make any sense. This smells wrong. And this brings

00:16:48.429 --> 00:16:51.529
us to the heroes of this story. Yeah. The people

00:16:51.529 --> 00:16:54.080
who didn't buy the hype. We have to talk about

00:16:54.080 --> 00:16:56.080
the Financial Times and the short sellers. The

00:16:56.080 --> 00:16:58.799
FT, and specifically a journalist there named

00:16:58.799 --> 00:17:01.820
Dan McCrum, they deserve a Pulitzer and a half

00:17:01.820 --> 00:17:05.200
for what they did. Absolutely. In 2015, the FT's

00:17:05.200 --> 00:17:08.299
blog, it's called FT Alphaville, started a series

00:17:08.299 --> 00:17:11.019
called The House of Wirecard. And they just started

00:17:11.019 --> 00:17:13.720
methodically picking apart the accounting. They

00:17:13.720 --> 00:17:15.359
were asking the simple questions. Like what?

00:17:15.440 --> 00:17:20.269
Like, where are these assets really? Why is a

00:17:20.269 --> 00:17:22.309
company that claims to be making so much profit

00:17:22.309 --> 00:17:24.890
constantly asking for more cash from investors?

00:17:25.309 --> 00:17:26.809
That's a classic tell, isn't it? If you're so

00:17:26.809 --> 00:17:28.309
profitable, why do you always need to borrow

00:17:28.309 --> 00:17:31.049
more money? Exactly. Cash flow should be strong.

00:17:31.250 --> 00:17:33.809
And then in 2016, things got really, really spicy.

00:17:34.069 --> 00:17:36.950
We got the Zatara report. Zatara. It honestly

00:17:36.950 --> 00:17:38.769
sounds like a villain in a James Bond movie.

00:17:38.930 --> 00:17:41.150
It does, doesn't it? It was actually a pseudonym

00:17:41.150 --> 00:17:44.549
used by Fraser Puring of Viceroy Research and

00:17:44.549 --> 00:17:47.400
Matthew Earl of Shadowfall. Now, these guys are

00:17:47.400 --> 00:17:49.640
short sellers. So investors who are betting that

00:17:49.640 --> 00:17:52.339
a stock price will go down. Correct. And they

00:17:52.339 --> 00:17:56.180
released this bombshell 101 page report accusing

00:17:56.180 --> 00:17:59.920
Wirecard of, well, everything. Fraud and money

00:17:59.920 --> 00:18:01.940
laundering. I read parts of the Zatara report

00:18:01.940 --> 00:18:04.200
recently. It wasn't subtle at all. They basically

00:18:04.200 --> 00:18:07.180
just said this is a crime scene. They did. They

00:18:07.180 --> 00:18:10.900
alleged that the TPA business in Asia was. largely,

00:18:11.000 --> 00:18:13.920
if not entirely, fake. They claimed Wirecard

00:18:13.920 --> 00:18:16.420
was laundering money for illegal offshore gambling

00:18:16.420 --> 00:18:19.839
rings. It was a dossier of just nuclear accusations.

00:18:20.259 --> 00:18:22.579
Now, in a normal functioning market, if someone

00:18:22.579 --> 00:18:24.980
drops a 100 -page report alleging massive fraud

00:18:24.980 --> 00:18:27.480
and money laundering, the regulator, in this

00:18:27.480 --> 00:18:29.940
case Bafin, the German regulator, would kick

00:18:29.940 --> 00:18:31.819
down the doors of the company and start seizing

00:18:31.819 --> 00:18:33.660
hard drives. You would think. You would absolutely

00:18:33.660 --> 00:18:35.539
think. But this is where the story becomes a

00:18:35.539 --> 00:18:38.670
true tragedy of German institutional pride. Bafin

00:18:38.670 --> 00:18:41.309
didn't investigate Wirecard. Unbelievable. They

00:18:41.309 --> 00:18:43.410
investigated the short sellers. That is just

00:18:43.410 --> 00:18:45.490
mind -blowing to me even now. The guys pointing

00:18:45.490 --> 00:18:48.029
out the fire get arrested for arson. Effectively,

00:18:48.029 --> 00:18:51.490
yes. Bafin and the prosecutors in Bavaria bought

00:18:51.490 --> 00:18:54.579
into Wirecard's narrative completely. And Wirecard's

00:18:54.579 --> 00:18:56.960
narrative was that these Anglo -Saxon speculators

00:18:56.960 --> 00:18:59.539
were trying to manipulate the market to destroy

00:18:59.539 --> 00:19:02.339
a great German champion. So it became a nationalist

00:19:02.339 --> 00:19:04.680
issue. It became a nationalist issue. They are

00:19:04.680 --> 00:19:07.819
attacking our success story. This is an attack

00:19:07.819 --> 00:19:10.859
on Germany. So the Bavarian prosecutors actually

00:19:10.859 --> 00:19:13.519
opened criminal investigations against Fraser

00:19:13.519 --> 00:19:15.740
Paring and the others. They did. They threatened

00:19:15.740 --> 00:19:18.119
them with jail time. Yeah. And it created this

00:19:18.119 --> 00:19:21.059
circle the wagons mentality in the German establishment.

00:19:21.400 --> 00:19:23.849
If you criticized Wirecard. You weren't just

00:19:23.849 --> 00:19:25.930
a skeptic. You were attacking Germany itself.

00:19:26.109 --> 00:19:28.430
But the Financial Times didn't stop. In January

00:19:28.430 --> 00:19:31.950
2019, Dan McCrum published what really should

00:19:31.950 --> 00:19:34.559
have been the kill shot. January 30th, 2019,

00:19:35.059 --> 00:19:37.980
the FT reports that a senior executive in Wirecard's

00:19:37.980 --> 00:19:40.720
Asia -Pacific operations, a guy by the name of

00:19:40.720 --> 00:19:44.480
Ido Kurniawan, was suspected internally of falsification

00:19:44.480 --> 00:19:47.000
of accounts and round -tripping. Okay, round

00:19:47.000 --> 00:19:49.039
-tripping. We need to define this because this

00:19:49.039 --> 00:19:51.319
is the core of how they kept the balloon inflated

00:19:51.319 --> 00:19:54.819
for so long. So imagine I have a company. I want

00:19:54.819 --> 00:19:57.200
to look successful. I want to show growing revenue.

00:19:57.440 --> 00:20:00.420
I take, say, 100 euros out of my company's left

00:20:00.420 --> 00:20:03.079
pocket. I transfer it to a sub... subsidiary

00:20:03.079 --> 00:20:06.160
I control in Hong Kong. That subsidiary then

00:20:06.160 --> 00:20:08.539
transfers it to a so -called partner company

00:20:08.539 --> 00:20:12.059
in India. That partner then pays me back the

00:20:12.059 --> 00:20:14.119
hundred euros for some fake software services.

00:20:14.380 --> 00:20:15.819
The money just comes right back into your right

00:20:15.819 --> 00:20:18.400
pocket. Exactly. And I record that hundred euros

00:20:18.400 --> 00:20:21.380
coming in as revenue. My stock price goes up

00:20:21.380 --> 00:20:23.160
because look at all this amazing revenue growth.

00:20:23.240 --> 00:20:25.819
But I haven't actually made a single dime. I've

00:20:25.819 --> 00:20:28.180
just moved my own money in a circle. It's financial

00:20:28.180 --> 00:20:30.460
illusionism. You're just creating the appearance

00:20:30.460 --> 00:20:33.059
of activity where there is none. And the FT had

00:20:33.059 --> 00:20:35.400
the documents. They had internal spreadsheets.

00:20:35.400 --> 00:20:37.480
They had emails. They had proof that this was

00:20:37.480 --> 00:20:39.160
happening in the Singapore office. And what did

00:20:39.160 --> 00:20:41.500
Wirecard do? Did they finally apologize? Did

00:20:41.500 --> 00:20:43.799
they launch a real internal investigation? No.

00:20:43.940 --> 00:20:47.240
They went nuclear. They sued the Financial Times

00:20:47.240 --> 00:20:50.579
for unethical reporting. They claimed the documents

00:20:50.579 --> 00:20:53.579
were fake, part of the conspiracy. And Baffin.

00:20:53.740 --> 00:20:55.859
Baffin did something absolutely unprecedented.

00:20:56.700 --> 00:20:58.480
This is the part of the story that still shocks

00:20:58.480 --> 00:21:01.920
me the most. In February of 2019, Bayfin, the

00:21:01.920 --> 00:21:04.200
German financial regulator, banned the short

00:21:04.200 --> 00:21:06.400
selling of Wirecard shares. They made it illegal

00:21:06.400 --> 00:21:08.380
to bet against the company. They made it illegal.

00:21:08.779 --> 00:21:11.279
It was a massive intervention in the free market

00:21:11.279 --> 00:21:15.079
to protect a single company. And to top it all

00:21:15.079 --> 00:21:17.519
off, they filed a criminal complaint against

00:21:17.519 --> 00:21:20.359
Dan McCrum and his colleague for market manipulation.

00:21:20.819 --> 00:21:23.359
I just I try to imagine being Dan McCrum in that

00:21:23.359 --> 00:21:26.480
moment. You have the truth. You have the evidence

00:21:26.480 --> 00:21:28.859
in your hands. And the government of Germany

00:21:28.859 --> 00:21:31.420
is actively trying to put you in jail while the

00:21:31.420 --> 00:21:33.700
actual fraudsters are ringing the opening bell

00:21:33.700 --> 00:21:35.940
at the stock exchange. It's terrifying. It's

00:21:35.940 --> 00:21:38.619
the stuff of nightmares for a journalist. But

00:21:38.619 --> 00:21:40.599
it wasn't just legal threats. And this is where

00:21:40.599 --> 00:21:43.019
the deep dive gets really dark. We have to talk

00:21:43.019 --> 00:21:45.019
about Dark Basin. This sounds like something

00:21:45.019 --> 00:21:46.740
out of a science fiction movie, but it's completely

00:21:46.740 --> 00:21:50.160
real. It is very real. In June of 2020, just

00:21:50.160 --> 00:21:52.279
as everything was collapsing, a group called

00:21:52.279 --> 00:21:54.859
Citizen Lab at the University of Toronto released

00:21:54.859 --> 00:21:57.720
a stunning report. They had uncovered a sophisticated

00:21:57.720 --> 00:22:00.380
hackers for hire group operating out of India.

00:22:00.579 --> 00:22:03.539
A company called Beltrats Infotech. Link to that

00:22:03.539 --> 00:22:08.339
company, yes. And the group was codenamed Dark

00:22:08.339 --> 00:22:11.420
Basin. And who is hiring these hackers? Well,

00:22:11.500 --> 00:22:13.619
the client list is officially confidential, but

00:22:13.619 --> 00:22:15.579
the targets of the hacking campaigns tell the

00:22:15.579 --> 00:22:17.859
story. The people being relentlessly targeted

00:22:17.859 --> 00:22:20.180
were hedge funds, short sellers, investigators,

00:22:20.599 --> 00:22:22.960
and journalists. All of whom were critical of

00:22:22.960 --> 00:22:26.000
Wirecard. Every single one. So if you were asking

00:22:26.000 --> 00:22:28.019
tough questions about Wirecard's balance sheet,

00:22:28.079 --> 00:22:30.640
suddenly your email inbox is getting bombarded

00:22:30.640 --> 00:22:34.039
day after day. With what? Sophisticated phishing

00:22:34.039 --> 00:22:36.900
attacks, attempts to steal your passwords, attempts

00:22:36.900 --> 00:22:39.400
to gain access to your private communications,

00:22:39.640 --> 00:22:42.599
your sources. Dan McCrum was targeted. Fraser

00:22:42.599 --> 00:22:45.339
Paring was targeted. It was a coordinated campaign

00:22:45.339 --> 00:22:48.339
of digital espionage designed to silence the

00:22:48.339 --> 00:22:50.400
critics. It just shows the lengths they were

00:22:50.400 --> 00:22:52.039
willing to go to. This wasn't just, you know,

00:22:52.039 --> 00:22:53.700
cooking the books. This was an active intelligence

00:22:53.700 --> 00:22:56.779
operation to suppress the truth. It was warfare.

00:22:57.319 --> 00:22:59.099
But here's the thing about accounting fraud,

00:22:59.319 --> 00:23:03.609
and it's always true. You can fake revenue. You

00:23:03.609 --> 00:23:06.809
can fake profit, but you cannot fake cash forever.

00:23:07.130 --> 00:23:09.150
Eventually, you have to pay the bills. You have

00:23:09.150 --> 00:23:11.730
to pay back the loans. Gravity always wins. Gravity

00:23:11.730 --> 00:23:15.430
always wins. By late 2019, the pressure was mounting.

00:23:15.589 --> 00:23:17.589
The FT reports were damaging the stock price

00:23:17.589 --> 00:23:19.789
no matter how much they denied them. Investors

00:23:19.789 --> 00:23:22.130
were getting nervous. So Wirecard made a very

00:23:22.130 --> 00:23:24.869
desperate move. What did they do? They hired

00:23:24.869 --> 00:23:28.509
KPMG, one of the big four global auditors, to

00:23:28.509 --> 00:23:31.339
conduct a special independent audit. Okay, so

00:23:31.339 --> 00:23:34.039
the idea was KPMG will come in, check everything,

00:23:34.160 --> 00:23:35.660
they'll give us a clean bill of health, a gold

00:23:35.660 --> 00:23:38.079
star, and then all these critics will have to

00:23:38.079 --> 00:23:40.680
shut up forever. That was the plan. But it was

00:23:40.680 --> 00:23:43.519
a massive, massive gamble. Because unlike EY,

00:23:43.799 --> 00:23:45.720
Ernst &amp; Young, who had been auditing Wirecard

00:23:45.720 --> 00:23:47.539
for years and had apparently been sleeping at

00:23:47.539 --> 00:23:50.940
the wheel, KPMG came in fresh with a skeptical

00:23:50.940 --> 00:23:53.630
eye. And they started asking for the documents.

00:23:53.950 --> 00:23:56.750
Specifically, they asked for the documents related

00:23:56.750 --> 00:23:59.589
to those third -party acquirers in Asia, the

00:23:59.589 --> 00:24:02.430
source of all the profit. Exactly. Show us the

00:24:02.430 --> 00:24:04.390
bank statements. Show us the original transaction

00:24:04.390 --> 00:24:06.690
logs from your partners. And Wirecard couldn't

00:24:06.690 --> 00:24:08.769
produce them. They couldn't. They kept delaying.

00:24:08.769 --> 00:24:11.049
They made excuse after excuse. Oh, the server

00:24:11.049 --> 00:24:14.349
is down today. Oh, you know, privacy laws in

00:24:14.349 --> 00:24:16.309
Singapore prevent us from sharing that information

00:24:16.309 --> 00:24:19.809
directly. The classic dog ate my homework defense.

00:24:20.940 --> 00:24:24.220
Basically, in March of 2020, Wirecard tried to

00:24:24.220 --> 00:24:26.460
bluff their way through it. They put out a press

00:24:26.460 --> 00:24:29.799
release claiming that KPMG had found no discrepancies.

00:24:29.920 --> 00:24:32.339
But that wasn't true. It was a lie. The truth

00:24:32.339 --> 00:24:36.279
came out on April 28, 2020. KPMG officially released

00:24:36.279 --> 00:24:38.740
their report and was absolutely devastating.

00:24:39.019 --> 00:24:41.039
Now, they didn't explicitly say it's a fraud,

00:24:41.220 --> 00:24:43.839
but they said something that for an auditor is

00:24:43.839 --> 00:24:46.660
almost worse. They said. We cannot verify that

00:24:46.660 --> 00:24:48.920
this money exists. Which in the world of auditing,

00:24:48.980 --> 00:24:51.480
that's the polite way of screaming fire at the

00:24:51.480 --> 00:24:54.220
top of your lungs. It is. The stock tanked 26

00:24:54.220 --> 00:24:57.559
% that day. The hedge fund TCI filed new criminal

00:24:57.559 --> 00:24:59.859
complaints. The facade was just cracking wide

00:24:59.859 --> 00:25:04.079
open. And then we get to June 2020. The final

00:25:04.079 --> 00:25:06.900
spectacular explosion. It all came down to the

00:25:06.900 --> 00:25:09.599
2019 annual report. It was supposed to be released

00:25:09.599 --> 00:25:12.619
on June 18th. If they didn't release it, their

00:25:12.619 --> 00:25:15.500
loans, billions in loans, would be called in

00:25:15.500 --> 00:25:17.700
by the banks. And they needed their longtime

00:25:17.700 --> 00:25:21.839
auditor, EY, to sign off on it. But EY, finally

00:25:21.839 --> 00:25:24.319
feeling the intense heat from the KPMG report

00:25:24.319 --> 00:25:27.240
and the media, decided to actually for the first

00:25:27.240 --> 00:25:30.339
time properly check the bank accounts in the

00:25:30.339 --> 00:25:32.200
Philippines where this money was supposed to

00:25:32.200 --> 00:25:35.190
be. Better late than never, I guess. I suppose.

00:25:35.349 --> 00:25:38.769
So Wirecard had claimed for years that 1 .9 billion

00:25:38.769 --> 00:25:41.430
euros, which was effectively all of their profit

00:25:41.430 --> 00:25:44.470
from the last decade, was sitting in escrow accounts

00:25:44.470 --> 00:25:47.829
at two banks in the Philippines, BDO Unibank

00:25:47.829 --> 00:25:50.190
and the Bank of the Philippine Islands. And what

00:25:50.190 --> 00:25:52.609
happened when EY finally called them? The bank

00:25:52.609 --> 00:25:54.950
said, we have no idea who you are. These account

00:25:54.950 --> 00:25:57.109
numbers you're giving us don't exist. These documents

00:25:57.109 --> 00:25:58.869
you have, these confirmation letters, they are

00:25:58.869 --> 00:26:01.549
forgeries. Boom. The Central Bank of the Philippines

00:26:01.549 --> 00:26:03.569
then jumped in and made an official statement

00:26:03.569 --> 00:26:06.529
saying, quote, the money never entered the Philippine

00:26:06.529 --> 00:26:10.549
financial system. So on June 18th, 2020, instead

00:26:10.549 --> 00:26:13.390
of announcing a huge profit, Wirecard had to

00:26:13.390 --> 00:26:16.930
issue a statement saying that 1 .9 billion euros

00:26:16.930 --> 00:26:19.849
was missing. Marcus Braun resigned the very next

00:26:19.849 --> 00:26:22.769
day, June 19th. And here's a fantastic piece

00:26:22.769 --> 00:26:25.289
of corporate trivia. They appointed an interim

00:26:25.289 --> 00:26:28.130
CEO, an American guy named James Fries. He had

00:26:28.130 --> 00:26:30.269
joined the company, get this, the evening before.

00:26:30.490 --> 00:26:32.670
Now, can you imagine? It's your first day on

00:26:32.670 --> 00:26:34.349
the job. You get hired as the new compliance

00:26:34.349 --> 00:26:36.490
guy. You walk in on a Thursday and on Friday,

00:26:36.490 --> 00:26:38.890
the CEO quits and the company announces it's

00:26:38.890 --> 00:26:40.829
missing two billion euros. Here are the keys

00:26:40.829 --> 00:26:43.680
to the castle. Good luck. Unbelievable. He apparently

00:26:43.680 --> 00:26:45.480
looked at the books over the weekend, realized

00:26:45.480 --> 00:26:47.640
it wasn't just a liquidity issue, but a total

00:26:47.640 --> 00:26:50.859
catastrophic fraud. And he was the one who ultimately

00:26:50.859 --> 00:26:53.759
had to file for insolvency. His tenure as CEO

00:26:53.759 --> 00:26:57.240
lasted just 85 days. So Marcus Braun was arrested

00:26:57.240 --> 00:27:01.059
on June 22nd. While he was being processed and

00:27:01.059 --> 00:27:03.420
sitting in a Munich jail cell, the other key

00:27:03.420 --> 00:27:06.460
figure in this whole drama decided to execute

00:27:06.460 --> 00:27:09.339
his own exit strategy. Jan Marsalek. Jan Marsalek.

00:27:10.319 --> 00:27:12.519
The chief operating officer, the man who's in

00:27:12.519 --> 00:27:15.500
charge of all the Asia operations, the man who

00:27:15.500 --> 00:27:18.839
managed the TPA relationships. The man who is

00:27:18.839 --> 00:27:21.259
currently one of Europe's most wanted fugitives.

00:27:21.460 --> 00:27:24.140
He just vanished. He vanished. He told his colleagues

00:27:24.140 --> 00:27:26.019
he was flying to the Philippines to personally

00:27:26.019 --> 00:27:28.700
find the missing money. He even had immigration

00:27:28.700 --> 00:27:31.319
records faked to show that he had entered the

00:27:31.319 --> 00:27:34.609
Philippines, but he didn't go to Manila. So where

00:27:34.609 --> 00:27:36.930
did he go? According to incredible investigations

00:27:36.930 --> 00:27:40.069
by Bellingcat and the German newspaper Der Spiegel,

00:27:40.210 --> 00:27:44.289
he took a private jet to Belarus, and from there

00:27:44.289 --> 00:27:47.470
he was spirited away to Russia. And the strong

00:27:47.470 --> 00:27:49.690
suspicion is that he's living in Moscow now.

00:27:49.869 --> 00:27:52.789
Yes. Possibly under the protection of the Russian

00:27:52.789 --> 00:27:55.210
intelligence services, the FSB. Which brings

00:27:55.210 --> 00:27:57.230
us right back to the spy thriller aspect of this

00:27:57.230 --> 00:27:59.390
whole thing. It turns out Marsalek might have

00:27:59.390 --> 00:28:01.049
been feeding information to various intelligence

00:28:01.049 --> 00:28:03.930
agencies for years. He was living a double life.

00:28:04.089 --> 00:28:07.210
It adds a whole other layer of shadow and intrigue.

00:28:07.210 --> 00:28:09.529
I mean, was Wirecard just a massive accounting

00:28:09.529 --> 00:28:12.089
fraud or was it also a money laundering operation

00:28:12.089 --> 00:28:14.769
for intelligence services and their various activities?

00:28:14.970 --> 00:28:17.190
We may never know the full extent of it. So the

00:28:17.190 --> 00:28:20.109
company completely collapses. Insolvency is filed

00:28:20.109 --> 00:28:23.970
on June 25th, 2020. The stock, which had been

00:28:23.970 --> 00:28:27.369
in the DAX 30, goes to pennies. Thousands of

00:28:27.369 --> 00:28:29.710
people lose their jobs. It was a total bloodbath.

00:28:30.170 --> 00:28:32.589
The insolvency administrator came in and immediately

00:28:32.589 --> 00:28:36.069
cut 730 staff. The company was just chopped up

00:28:36.069 --> 00:28:38.470
and sold for parts. Right. Santander bought the

00:28:38.470 --> 00:28:42.450
core European tech for a measly 100 million euros.

00:28:42.650 --> 00:28:45.009
100 million. For a company that was valued at

00:28:45.009 --> 00:28:48.089
24 billion just two years earlier, Rails Bank

00:28:48.089 --> 00:28:50.509
bought the UK arm. The empire that Marcus Braun

00:28:50.509 --> 00:28:53.089
had built was just sold for scrap metal. So that

00:28:53.089 --> 00:28:55.809
was the crash. An absolute spectacular implosion.

00:28:56.419 --> 00:28:58.839
But legal justice, as we know, moves a lot slower

00:28:58.839 --> 00:29:00.799
than the stock market. Much slower. And that

00:29:00.799 --> 00:29:02.720
brings us to the core reason we are doing this

00:29:02.720 --> 00:29:04.519
deep drive today. We need to talk about what

00:29:04.519 --> 00:29:06.759
happened just last month, in January of 2026,

00:29:06.980 --> 00:29:09.299
in a courtroom in Singapore. This is the closure

00:29:09.299 --> 00:29:12.140
we've been waiting for, for years. We knew the

00:29:12.140 --> 00:29:14.200
money was missing. We knew the documents were

00:29:14.200 --> 00:29:16.900
forged. But we needed the courts to officially

00:29:16.900 --> 00:29:19.599
establish exactly who did it and how they did

00:29:19.599 --> 00:29:22.259
it. We saw some of the initial convictions back

00:29:22.259 --> 00:29:25.980
in 2023. James Ward -Hanna and Chai Ai Lim, they

00:29:25.980 --> 00:29:28.359
got relatively short sentences for their roles.

00:29:28.599 --> 00:29:31.380
But the big fish in the Singapore operation were

00:29:31.380 --> 00:29:34.000
sentenced just a few weeks ago. Aat Shanmugaratnam

00:29:34.000 --> 00:29:37.039
and James Henry O'Sullivan. Let's start with

00:29:37.039 --> 00:29:39.220
Shanmugaratnam. He ran a small trustee company

00:29:39.220 --> 00:29:41.839
called Citadel Corporate Services. He was sentenced

00:29:41.839 --> 00:29:44.700
to 10 years in prison. What was his role in all

00:29:44.700 --> 00:29:47.339
this? He was the guy with the stamp. It's as

00:29:47.339 --> 00:29:49.920
simple as that. He was a trustee. His job on

00:29:49.920 --> 00:29:52.259
paper was to hold money in escrow accounts for

00:29:52.259 --> 00:29:55.299
third parties. Okay. Wirecard needed to prove

00:29:55.299 --> 00:29:57.880
to their auditors, to EY, that the money from

00:29:57.880 --> 00:30:00.420
the TPA business actually existed. So they would

00:30:00.420 --> 00:30:03.240
ask Sean McGrathnam to issue an official confirmation

00:30:03.240 --> 00:30:05.279
letter. A letter that would say something like,

00:30:05.400 --> 00:30:08.079
yes, I can confirm my company Citadel is holding

00:30:08.079 --> 00:30:10.779
500 million euros in an escrow account on behalf

00:30:10.779 --> 00:30:13.660
of Wirecard. Exactly that. And he wrote those

00:30:13.660 --> 00:30:16.660
letters. Year after year. He signed documents

00:30:16.660 --> 00:30:19.839
claiming Citadel held huge sums of money. At

00:30:19.839 --> 00:30:24.359
one point, up to 1 .1 billion euros. But the

00:30:24.359 --> 00:30:26.460
accounts were empty. The accounts were empty.

00:30:26.599 --> 00:30:29.220
Or they contained a tiny fraction of what was

00:30:29.220 --> 00:30:31.579
claimed. He was simply lying on official letterhead

00:30:31.579 --> 00:30:34.019
to fool the auditors. And for that service, I'm

00:30:34.019 --> 00:30:36.460
assuming he was paid handsomely. He wasn't doing

00:30:36.460 --> 00:30:39.329
for free, no. But compared to the billions that

00:30:39.329 --> 00:30:41.849
were at stake, the bribes were probably relatively

00:30:41.849 --> 00:30:45.390
small. He got 10 years for falsification of accounts.

00:30:45.650 --> 00:30:48.049
That is a very heavy sentence in Singapore. And

00:30:48.049 --> 00:30:50.650
then there's the other guy, James Henry O'Sullivan.

00:30:50.730 --> 00:30:53.250
He got six and a half years. O'Sullivan was the

00:30:53.250 --> 00:30:56.250
coordinator. He was the link man. He was the

00:30:56.250 --> 00:30:58.910
bridge between Wirecard's top management, like

00:30:58.910 --> 00:31:01.329
Jan Marsalek, and the local guys on the ground,

00:31:01.369 --> 00:31:04.069
like Sean McGrathnam. He facilitated the arrangements.

00:31:04.390 --> 00:31:07.130
The court found that he was instrumental in setting

00:31:07.130 --> 00:31:09.490
up and maintaining this entire structure of lies.

00:31:09.809 --> 00:31:11.529
I mean, this is the smoking gun, isn't it? This

00:31:11.529 --> 00:31:13.960
is the final nail in the coffin. It absolutely

00:31:13.960 --> 00:31:17.559
is. It's judicial confirmation. It proves beyond

00:31:17.559 --> 00:31:21.319
any doubt that the missing 1 .9 billion euros

00:31:21.319 --> 00:31:24.859
wasn't stolen by some rogue hacker. It wasn't

00:31:24.859 --> 00:31:27.160
lost in a bad investment. It was a complete fabrication

00:31:27.160 --> 00:31:29.440
from the start. It was a fabrication. These men

00:31:29.440 --> 00:31:32.339
went to prison for long sentences because they

00:31:32.339 --> 00:31:34.980
signed pieces of paper saying money existed when

00:31:34.980 --> 00:31:37.400
they knew for a fact that it didn't. It effectively

00:31:37.400 --> 00:31:40.569
closes the loop on the entire mechanism. Wirecard

00:31:40.569 --> 00:31:43.190
used the TPA structure to create fake revenue

00:31:43.190 --> 00:31:46.289
out of thin air. They used trustees like Shem

00:31:46.289 --> 00:31:49.029
Mugaratnam to create fake verification for that

00:31:49.029 --> 00:31:51.289
fake revenue. And they used the complexity of

00:31:51.289 --> 00:31:53.230
international banking with all its different

00:31:53.230 --> 00:31:55.910
jurisdictions to hide it all from the auditors

00:31:55.910 --> 00:31:58.130
sitting back in Germany. And it worked. For over

00:31:58.130 --> 00:32:00.130
a decade, it worked. That is the really scary

00:32:00.130 --> 00:32:02.970
part. If the Financial Times hadn't been so dogged,

00:32:03.029 --> 00:32:05.509
so persistent, or if the pandemic hadn't caused

00:32:05.509 --> 00:32:07.869
market jitters that ultimately led to that special

00:32:07.869 --> 00:32:11.289
KPMG audit. They might still be doing it today.

00:32:11.509 --> 00:32:12.970
It's a chilling thought, isn't it? It really

00:32:12.970 --> 00:32:14.970
is. It makes you realize just how much of our

00:32:14.970 --> 00:32:17.690
global financial system runs on, well, on blind

00:32:17.690 --> 00:32:20.690
trust. It's the trust economy. We trust the bank

00:32:20.690 --> 00:32:22.609
statement is real. We trust the auditor stamp

00:32:22.609 --> 00:32:25.109
means something. We trust that a company in the

00:32:25.109 --> 00:32:28.329
DAX 30 must be legitimate because, well, it's

00:32:28.329 --> 00:32:31.349
in the DAX. Right. Wirecard weaponized that trust.

00:32:31.670 --> 00:32:34.009
They knew that people wanted to believe in them.

00:32:34.410 --> 00:32:37.490
Germany wanted a tech champion to rival the giants

00:32:37.490 --> 00:32:40.750
in Silicon Valley. Investors wanted those incredible

00:32:40.750 --> 00:32:43.690
returns. Exactly. Confirmation bias is a hell

00:32:43.690 --> 00:32:46.289
of a drug. When you looked at Wirecard, if you

00:32:46.289 --> 00:32:48.549
wanted to see a spectacular success, you saw

00:32:48.549 --> 00:32:50.690
a spectacular success. If you looked closely,

00:32:50.869 --> 00:32:53.769
you saw a crime scene. But most people, including

00:32:53.769 --> 00:32:56.329
the regulator, didn't want to look closely. And

00:32:56.329 --> 00:32:58.849
the regulators, Bafin, they were the worst offenders

00:32:58.849 --> 00:33:01.309
of all. They were so protective of the home team

00:33:01.309 --> 00:33:03.349
that they completely forgot their job was to

00:33:03.349 --> 00:33:06.009
be the impartial referee. It is the Enron of

00:33:06.009 --> 00:33:07.849
Germany, but you're right, in some ways it's

00:33:07.849 --> 00:33:10.430
worse. Because with Enron, the regulators and

00:33:10.430 --> 00:33:12.890
the authorities eventually caught on and prosecuted

00:33:12.890 --> 00:33:15.990
them. With Wirecard, the regulators were actively

00:33:15.990 --> 00:33:18.049
fighting against the people who were trying to

00:33:18.049 --> 00:33:21.069
expose the fraud. It's a stain on Germany's financial

00:33:21.069 --> 00:33:23.069
reputation that I think will take a generation

00:33:23.069 --> 00:33:26.970
to wash out. I agree. So, sitting here now...

00:33:27.400 --> 00:33:30.799
In early 2026, looking at the 10 -year sentence

00:33:30.799 --> 00:33:33.779
for Shannon Bogaratnam, looking at the ruins

00:33:33.779 --> 00:33:38.680
of what was once a 24 billion euro giant. What

00:33:38.680 --> 00:33:41.259
is the big takeaway from all this? For me, it

00:33:41.259 --> 00:33:44.140
comes down to one word. Complexity. Whenever

00:33:44.140 --> 00:33:46.400
a company tells you, oh, our business model is

00:33:46.400 --> 00:33:48.539
too complicated for you to understand, or we

00:33:48.539 --> 00:33:51.059
make money in these very complex ways in faraway

00:33:51.059 --> 00:33:54.059
places, run. Complexity is camouflage. Always.

00:33:54.640 --> 00:33:57.619
Wirecard used a web of subsidiaries, TPAs, trustees

00:33:57.619 --> 00:33:59.920
in Singapore, and endless excuses about privacy

00:33:59.920 --> 00:34:02.650
laws to hide a very, very simple truth. They

00:34:02.650 --> 00:34:04.589
weren't actually making any money. Right. Genuine,

00:34:04.589 --> 00:34:06.569
healthy businesses can usually explain how they

00:34:06.569 --> 00:34:08.489
make money in two sentences. We sell phones.

00:34:08.510 --> 00:34:11.190
We fly planes. We sell coffee. When the answer

00:34:11.190 --> 00:34:13.030
becomes a flowchart involving three continents

00:34:13.030 --> 00:34:16.369
and an obscure trustee in Singapore, you should

00:34:16.369 --> 00:34:18.590
be very, very worried. And I keep thinking about

00:34:18.590 --> 00:34:20.909
the whistleblowers. Pei Viel, the senior legal

00:34:20.909 --> 00:34:22.710
counsel in Singapore who leaks those initial

00:34:22.710 --> 00:34:25.489
documents to the FT. He risked his entire career,

00:34:25.590 --> 00:34:28.719
his personal safety. He's a hero, a genuine hero

00:34:28.719 --> 00:34:31.460
in a world of dark base and hackers and state

00:34:31.460 --> 00:34:34.420
level intimidation and legal threats to stand

00:34:34.420 --> 00:34:38.199
up and say this is a lie is an act of incredible

00:34:38.199 --> 00:34:41.960
bravery. It really is. So we have form of closure.

00:34:42.219 --> 00:34:44.840
The fraudsters are either in jail or they're

00:34:44.840 --> 00:34:47.119
in Russia. The company is gone. But it still

00:34:47.119 --> 00:34:48.880
leaves you with this really nagging question.

00:34:49.079 --> 00:34:51.579
And what's that? If a DAX 30 company, a national

00:34:51.579 --> 00:34:54.900
champion audited by a big four firm like EY.

00:34:55.639 --> 00:34:58.840
regulated by Bafin, could successfully fake 1

00:34:58.840 --> 00:35:03.059
.9 billion euros in cash for a decade? Where

00:35:03.059 --> 00:35:04.940
else is this happening right now? That is the

00:35:04.940 --> 00:35:06.619
question that should keep all of us up at night.

00:35:06.719 --> 00:35:08.699
There is almost certainly another wire card out

00:35:08.699 --> 00:35:10.320
there. Maybe it's not as big. Maybe it's not

00:35:10.320 --> 00:35:12.940
German. But somewhere right now, there is a company

00:35:12.940 --> 00:35:15.159
posting record profits based on a spreadsheet

00:35:15.159 --> 00:35:17.139
that is nothing but pure fiction. And on that

00:35:17.139 --> 00:35:19.400
absolutely terrifying note, I think we're going

00:35:19.400 --> 00:35:21.260
to wrap it up. Sleep tight, everyone. Check your

00:35:21.260 --> 00:35:23.260
sources. Be skeptical of those hockey stick growth

00:35:23.260 --> 00:35:25.829
charts. And maybe, just maybe. Double check if

00:35:25.829 --> 00:35:28.130
your favorite fintech darling used to run a telephone

00:35:28.130 --> 00:35:31.230
psychic hotline. Thanks for listening to The

00:35:31.230 --> 00:35:33.710
Deep Dive. Stay curious. We'll see you next time.
