WEBVTT

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Right now, the purchasing power of the cash in

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your wallet is actually being threatened by this

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tiny 21 -mile stretch of water on the exact opposite

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side of the world. Yeah. It's wild to think about.

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Right. Because we tend to think of global finance

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as, I don't know, something purely abstract,

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like algorithms running in a basement somewhere

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or just traders staring at red and green numbers

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on a screen. Oh, absolutely. But it is a stark

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reminder that the economy isn't weightless. All

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that data moving through fiber optic cables is

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ultimately tethered to physical commodities moving

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through very narrow, very physical bottlenecks.

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Exactly. And to understand how a geographic bottleneck

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actually changes the value of your money, we

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are doing a deep dive today into an April 2026

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market analysis report. This is by Doug Young,

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published in the Gold IRA Company's Bulletin.

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It's a fantastic report, really lays it all out.

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It really does. So our mission here is to connect

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the dots between a recent really intense geopolitical

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conflict, global shipping lanes, and a, well,

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a massive structural shift in the global currency

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market. Right, the macro and the micro colliding.

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Yeah. And just a quick note on the context here

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before we jump in. The catalyst for this economic

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chain reaction is a conflict involving a U .S.

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and Israeli attack on Iran that started on February

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28, 2026. Important to note, yeah. And we are

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not taking political sides on that conflict.

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Not at all. Our goal today is strictly to, you

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know, objectively unpack the data from Doug Young's

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report and explain the massive economic shockwaves

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this event triggered. Right, because the underlying

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political dynamics are incredibly complex. But

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the resulting economic data, well, that's highly

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measurable. The fallout from this specific military

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action has basically accelerated trends that

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financial analysts have been tracking for years.

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So let's start with the physical reality of this

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choke point. We are talking about the Strait

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of Hormuz. It is the only maritime outlet from

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the Persian Gulf to the Gulf of Oman. Now, I

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know it's a major energy corridor, but what is

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the actual scale of trade moving through there

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daily? The scale is honestly difficult to overstate.

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The Strait of Hormuz handles roughly 20 to 21

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million barrels of oil every single day. Wow,

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20 million. Yeah, which represents about one

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fifth of the entire world's petroleum liquids

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consumption. So like one in every five barrels

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of oil used globally has to squeeze through that

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specific waterway. That's insane. It is. And

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it also handles roughly 20 percent of the global

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trade in liquefied natural gas, or LNG, which

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is primarily originating from Qatar. And the

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vast majority of these energy resources, around

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67 % actually, are destined for Asian markets.

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So specifically China, India, Japan, and South

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Korea. And the real vulnerability here is just

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the geography, right? Because at its narrowest

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point, this strait is only 21 miles wide. Just

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21 miles, yeah. It is a massive volume of the

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world's most critical economic lifeblood being

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funneled through a tiny straw. Which brings us

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to the fallout from that February 2026 conflict.

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Following the attack on Iran, the Islamic Revolutionary

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Guard Corps, the IRGC, they retaliated in March.

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Right. But it wasn't a conventional military

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response, which is what surprised people. Exactly.

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They imposed a toll on ships transiting the strait.

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Yeah, they instituted this highly specific transit

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fee. The IRGC began demanding approximately two

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million dollars per vessel just to pass through.

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Two million a ship. But the critical detail and

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really the focus of Doug Young's analysis isn't

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the amount of the toll. It is the currency they're

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demanding. Iran is straight up refusing U .S.

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dollars. Wow. They are mandating that these tolls

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be paid exclusively in Chinese yuan. OK. So think

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about it like this. Imagine you're driving down

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the world's most critical highway. Suddenly,

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it funnels down to a single lane, and a brand

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new toll booth pops up. But the toll operator

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refuses the cash in your wallet and demands a

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foreign currency you don't even carry. That requirement

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is just a textbook example of financial weaponization.

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Because by mandating payment in Chinese Yuan,

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Tehran completely circumvents the international

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sanctions that normally freeze or block their

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access to US dollar transactions. Right, they

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just bypass the whole system. Exactly. And if

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this toll is fully implemented across the board,

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the report estimates it could generate up to

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$6 .4 billion annually for Tehran. And that is

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entirely outside the jurisdiction of Western

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financial regulators. $6 .4 billion. And it is

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already fracturing the logistics of global trade,

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right? Like the report points out that ships

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linked to China and India are receiving preferential

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treatment and smoother transit. Oh, absolutely.

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They just sail right through. Meanwhile, Western

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carriers are facing massive delays. They're being

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forced to reroute all the way around the continent

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of Africa or engaging in like intense diplomatic

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backchanneling just to get through. It's a logistical

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nightmare for Western shipping. But I want to

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pause on the currency aspect because Iran demanding

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yuan instead of dollars isn't just a random choice

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to annoy the West. To understand why this is

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such a seismic shift, we have to look back at

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the origins of the system they are attacking.

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We really need to talk about the petrodollar.

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Right, the petrodollar. So to understand this,

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we have to rewind to the early 1970s. In 1971,

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the U .S. decoupled the dollar from the gold

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standard. The Nixon shock. Exactly. So the dollar

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was suddenly a fiat currency. It was floating

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and honestly, vulnerable. To stabilize it, the

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Nixon administration struck a pivotal agreement

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with Saudi Arabia in 1974. Riyadh agreed to price

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all of its oil exports exclusively in U .S. dollars.

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Exclusively? Yes. And in exchange, the U .S.

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provided military protection, weapons, and economic

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support to the Saudi kingdom. So overnight, basically,

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if any country on earth wanted to buy oil to

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power their economy, they were forced to acquire

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U .S. dollars first. That is the core mechanism.

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Yeah, it created a permanent structural global

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demand for the U .S. dollar. Every single oil

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importing nation had to maintain massive stockpiles

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of dollars just to function. Wow. But the real

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geopolitical leverage came from what happened

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next. Countries like Saudi Arabia were suddenly

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sitting on mountains of cash and they needed

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a safe liquid place to store it. So they recycled

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those dollars back into the U .S. economy by

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purchasing U .S. Treasury bonds. Oh, man. So

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they were essentially taking the money they made

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from selling oil and lending it directly right

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back to the U .S. government. That is an incredible

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feedback loop. I mean, they sell oil for dollars,

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use the dollars to buy U .S. debt, which then

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finances U .S. government spending. And that

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just completely cements the dollar as the undisputed

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global reserve currency. It allowed the United

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States to run massive deficits for decades. without

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suffering the kind of hyperinflation that would

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destroy a normal economy. The rest of the world

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was basically forced to constantly absorb our

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debt just to keep their own lights on. Wait,

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hold on, though, because if I look on Twitter

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or financial blogs right now, there are a million

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posts saying the petrodollar officially died

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in June 2024. Ah, yes, the rumor mill. Yeah.

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People were posting as if a physical contract

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had literally expired and Saudi Arabia just walked

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away. Are you saying they are all just wrong?

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Well, the Internet dramatically oversimplified

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the reality of that situation. And Doug Young's

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report directly addresses this misconception.

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The 1974 pact was an informal understanding.

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It was a geopolitical handshake, not some legally

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binding time -limited contract. So there was

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no piece of paper that simply expired in June

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2024. So the dollar didn't just get globally

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canceled overnight? Not at all. Saudi Arabia

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continues to price the vast majority of its oil

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sales in US dollars today. What changed, and

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this is the really crucial nuance, is the exclusivity.

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Ah, the exclusivity. Right. Saudi Arabia began

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officially accepting other currencies for some

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of its oil exports. Most notably, they started

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accepting the yuan for certain strategic sales

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to China. So the monopoly ended, but the market

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dominance remained. Got it. And it isn't just

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Saudi Arabia dipping their toes in, right? The

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report shows that energy deals between China

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and Russia are now settled 90 percent in Yuan.

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Ninety percent. Yeah, it's massive. That means

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practically their entire bilateral trade is happening

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completely outside the U .S. dollar ecosystem.

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But OK. If two other countries decide to trade

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oil in Yuan, how does that actually impact the

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person listening to this right now? Why should

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an American consumer care if Russia and China

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swap currencies? It comes back to that feedback

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loop we discussed earlier. If countries aren't

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using dollars to buy oil, they don't need to

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hold as many dollars in reserve. And if they

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aren't holding massive dollar reserves, they

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are buying as many U .S. Treasury bonds. Oh,

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I see. Yeah. So when the U .S. government has

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fewer guaranteed foreign buyers for its debt,

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it has to offer higher interest rates just to

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attract investors. And those higher government

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bond yields eventually trickle down to the domestic

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economy. Right. Meaning it makes mortgage rates,

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car loans, and credit card debt way more expensive

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for the everyday consumer. Exactly. So a geopolitical

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handshake in Beijing eventually makes a 30 -year

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fixed mortgage in Ohio more expensive. That really

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connects the macro to the micro. But I'm curious

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about the actual mechanics of this, because if

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a country decides to stop using dollars for oil,

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how do they actually pull that off? The global

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banking system is practically hardwired for the

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dollar. Well, this is where we see the architecture

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of a brand new financial world being built. And

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it's largely led by the BRICS, block Brazil,

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Russia, India, China, South Africa and all their

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newly added members. Right. They are actively

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constructing alternative financial networks to

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completely bypass Western infrastructure. To

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understand this, you really have to understand

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SWIFT. SWIFT is the messaging network that banks

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use to send money across borders. Right. Everyone's

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heard of SWEST. Yeah. But SWIFT is just the messaging

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system. Because the transactions are in dollars,

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the actual settlement has to flow through a U

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.S. correspondent bank. So even if a bank in

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Brazil sends a message to a bank in India, If

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it's in dollars, an American bank is sitting

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right in the middle of that wire transfer. Yes.

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And because an American bank is involved, the

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entire transaction falls under U .S. jurisdiction.

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If the U .S. government decides to sanction a

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country, they simply order those correspondent

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banks to reject the transfers. Wow. That is how

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the U .S. weaponizes the dollar. To escape that,

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BRICS nations are building platforms like Enbridge

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and BRICS Pay. OK, so how does Enbridge actually

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avoid the U .S. correspondent bank? Like, what

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is the technological difference there? Well,

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Enbridge uses central bank digital currencies,

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or CBDCs, and they operate on a shared blockchain

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ledger. So instead of relying on a chain of commercial

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correspondent banks to clear a transaction, the

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central banks of the participating countries

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connect directly to each other. on this shared

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digital platform. Oh, that's huge. It is. A payment

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from the UAE to China can settle instantly in

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their local digital currencies. It entirely bypasses

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the U .S. banking system and by extension, U

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.S. sanctions. Wait, so building Enbridge is

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one thing, but getting people to actually use

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a brand new unproven financial network is another.

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Is that what the Strait of Hormuz toll is really

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about? Is Iran using a physical choke point as

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a forcing function to make the world adopt this

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alternative digital plumbing? That is exactly

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the escalation the report highlights. We have

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seen non -dollar transactions for the commodity

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itself, like buying the actual oil. But Iran

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demanding you on for transit tolls, that is a

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historic first. Right, because it's infrastructure.

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Exactly. It is the first major instance of a

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key global energy choke point demanding non -dollar

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transit fees. They are actively leveraging physical

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geography to force international shipping companies

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to interact with this new non -dollar financial

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architecture. And if these country are successfully

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trading oil and charging tolls in local currencies,

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bypassing SWISH, and avoiding U .S. dollars entirely,

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they run into a massive anchor problem. Because

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if they aren't hoarding U .S. Treasury bonds

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to store their national wealth anymore, they

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need a different kind of bedrock. What do central

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banks buy when they don't want to buy U .S. debt?

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Well, the data points very clearly to physical

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gold. We are witnessing a fundamental shift in

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how sovereign nations manage their balance sheets.

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The Doug Young Report details that central banks

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acquired over 1 ,000 tons of gold annually from

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2023 through 2025. A thousand tons a year? Yes.

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And projections for 2026 show continued massive

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accumulation, estimated between 750 and 850 tons.

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The report actually breaks down the 2025 leaders

00:12:39.860 --> 00:12:43.340
and the volumes are staggering. China bought

00:12:43.340 --> 00:12:47.620
225 tons in a single year. India bought 100 tons

00:12:47.620 --> 00:12:50.480
and Turkey bought 95 tons. I mean, this isn't

00:12:50.480 --> 00:12:53.600
passive investing. It is a coordinated massive

00:12:53.600 --> 00:12:56.139
accumulation of physical metal. Oh, for sure.

00:12:56.379 --> 00:12:58.679
To put that into historical context, these volumes

00:12:58.679 --> 00:13:01.820
represent the strongest, most sustained central

00:13:01.820 --> 00:13:04.899
bank buying spree of gold since the 1960s and

00:13:04.899 --> 00:13:08.029
1960s. Yeah. And the mechanism behind this shift

00:13:08.029 --> 00:13:11.250
is really all about risk. You see, U .S. treasuries

00:13:11.250 --> 00:13:13.850
are what we call a yielding asset. They pay you

00:13:13.850 --> 00:13:17.149
interest. Gold is a non -yielding asset. It literally

00:13:17.149 --> 00:13:18.950
just sits in a vault. It doesn't generate income.

00:13:19.350 --> 00:13:22.090
So why are the world's largest financial institutions

00:13:22.090 --> 00:13:24.690
trading an asset that pays them money for a heavy

00:13:24.690 --> 00:13:26.769
metal that just collects dust? The answer comes

00:13:26.769 --> 00:13:29.409
down to counterparty risk. When you hold a U

00:13:29.409 --> 00:13:31.909
.S. treasury bond, you basically hold an IOU

00:13:31.909 --> 00:13:34.519
from the United States government. you are completely

00:13:34.519 --> 00:13:36.559
relying on a counterparty to honor that debt.

00:13:36.740 --> 00:13:39.820
Right. It requires trust. Exactly. And as we

00:13:39.820 --> 00:13:42.379
saw when Western nations froze hundreds of billions

00:13:42.379 --> 00:13:45.460
of dollars in Russian central bank assets, that

00:13:45.460 --> 00:13:48.279
counterparty can simply erase your wealth with

00:13:48.279 --> 00:13:50.700
the stroke of a pen if you run afoul of their

00:13:50.700 --> 00:13:55.000
geopolitical interests. Ah, and the 2026 World

00:13:55.000 --> 00:13:57.519
Gold Council survey cited in the report backs

00:13:57.519 --> 00:13:59.919
that up perfectly, doesn't it? 29 % of central

00:13:59.919 --> 00:14:03.299
banks specifically listed geopolitical risks

00:14:03.299 --> 00:14:05.820
as their primary driver for buying gold over

00:14:05.820 --> 00:14:08.399
the last few years. Yep, because physical gold

00:14:08.399 --> 00:14:11.470
carries zero counterparty risk. If a central

00:14:11.470 --> 00:14:13.590
bank holds sovereign gold in its own domestic

00:14:13.590 --> 00:14:16.190
vault, no foreign government can freeze it. No

00:14:16.190 --> 00:14:19.029
one can sanction it. It is entirely outside the

00:14:19.029 --> 00:14:20.830
digital reach of the Western financial system.

00:14:20.850 --> 00:14:22.710
That makes total sense. They're willing to give

00:14:22.710 --> 00:14:25.509
up the yield of a U .S. Treasury bond in exchange

00:14:25.509 --> 00:14:27.450
for the ultimate geopolitical insurance policy.

00:14:27.669 --> 00:14:30.190
It's like sovereign financial prepping, you know.

00:14:30.289 --> 00:14:32.509
Instead of an individual stockpiling bottled

00:14:32.509 --> 00:14:34.590
water and generators in their basement to survive

00:14:34.590 --> 00:14:37.529
a grid failure, you have entire nations hoarding

00:14:37.529 --> 00:14:39.970
physical gold bars to prepare for a multipole

00:14:39.919 --> 00:14:42.940
economic reality where the US dollar is no longer

00:14:42.940 --> 00:14:45.279
a guaranteed safe haven. That's a great analogy.

00:14:45.740 --> 00:14:47.860
They are structurally hardening their national

00:14:47.860 --> 00:14:50.759
economies against the specific type of financial

00:14:50.759 --> 00:14:53.419
warfare the United States has relied on for decades.

00:14:53.690 --> 00:14:56.009
So we've covered a massive amount of ground here,

00:14:56.350 --> 00:15:00.210
from Iranian tolls to BRICS digital ledgers to

00:15:00.210 --> 00:15:02.809
central banks hoarding gold. Let's bring this

00:15:02.809 --> 00:15:05.190
back down to the immediate reality for you, the

00:15:05.190 --> 00:15:08.629
listener. How does a disruption in a 21 mile

00:15:08.629 --> 00:15:11.429
street physically alter your domestic economy?

00:15:12.169 --> 00:15:14.409
Well, the physical logistical disruption translates

00:15:14.409 --> 00:15:17.649
directly into consumer inflation. We noted earlier

00:15:17.649 --> 00:15:20.110
that 82 percent of the crude flows from the Strait

00:15:20.110 --> 00:15:23.039
of Hormuz head to Asia. Right. When those routes

00:15:23.039 --> 00:15:25.980
are delayed by complex toll negotiations, or

00:15:25.980 --> 00:15:28.399
when Western ships are forced to reroute entirely

00:15:28.399 --> 00:15:32.139
around Africa, it creates a massive supply bottleneck.

00:15:32.639 --> 00:15:34.600
The shipping companies do not absorb the cost

00:15:34.600 --> 00:15:36.539
of a two -week detour around the Cape of Good

00:15:36.539 --> 00:15:38.879
Hope. Of course not. They pay vastly higher fuel

00:15:38.879 --> 00:15:41.620
costs, they pay skyrocketing maritime insurance

00:15:41.620 --> 00:15:43.820
premiums, and they pass every single cent of

00:15:43.820 --> 00:15:46.799
that down the supply chain. So the manufacturer

00:15:46.799 --> 00:15:49.139
pays more for the energy to run their factory,

00:15:49.620 --> 00:15:52.200
the distributor pays more to fuel their delivery

00:15:52.200 --> 00:15:54.840
trucks, and the retailer passes all of those

00:15:54.840 --> 00:15:57.600
compounded costs straight to the consumer at

00:15:57.600 --> 00:16:01.200
the checkout counter. Exactly. And there is very

00:16:01.200 --> 00:16:04.080
recent historical precedent for this. The report

00:16:04.080 --> 00:16:06.440
notes that during periods of heightened tension

00:16:06.440 --> 00:16:10.299
in the region between 2022 and 2024, oil flows

00:16:10.299 --> 00:16:14.320
through the strait, dropped by roughly 1 .6 million

00:16:14.320 --> 00:16:17.090
barrels per day. Wow, just disappeared from the

00:16:17.090 --> 00:16:18.990
market. Yeah. And the market instantly prices

00:16:18.990 --> 00:16:21.990
in that scarcity, which inflates global oil premiums

00:16:21.990 --> 00:16:23.490
across the board, regardless of where you live.

00:16:23.629 --> 00:16:25.730
See, when you combine the physical supply chain

00:16:25.730 --> 00:16:28.210
inflation with this massive structural shift

00:16:28.210 --> 00:16:30.990
in global finance, it paints a pretty intimidating

00:16:30.990 --> 00:16:33.710
picture. I mean, you hear a term like de -dollarization

00:16:33.710 --> 00:16:36.129
thrown around online and it sounds apocalyptic.

00:16:36.570 --> 00:16:38.149
Are we looking at the imminent collapse of the

00:16:38.149 --> 00:16:40.409
U .S. dollar? Will the cash in our bank accounts

00:16:40.409 --> 00:16:42.529
become worthless in the next five years? Yeah,

00:16:42.529 --> 00:16:45.039
I hear that a lot. But the data in our source

00:16:45.039 --> 00:16:48.200
material acts as a vital reality check against

00:16:48.200 --> 00:16:50.700
that panic narrative. The U .S. dollar is not

00:16:50.700 --> 00:16:52.860
collapsing tomorrow. OK, but despite the rise

00:16:52.860 --> 00:16:55.200
of Embrace and the massive gold accumulation

00:16:55.200 --> 00:16:58.399
by BRICS nations, the U .S. dollar still dominates

00:16:58.399 --> 00:17:01.279
over 80 percent of all international trade transactions.

00:17:01.559 --> 00:17:04.339
Eighty percent is still massive. It is incredibly

00:17:04.339 --> 00:17:06.319
sticky. It's almost like a universally spoken

00:17:06.319 --> 00:17:09.599
language, like an air traffic controller in Tokyo

00:17:09.599 --> 00:17:12.519
is talking to a pilot from Brazil. They speak

00:17:12.519 --> 00:17:15.720
English. Yes, exactly. The entire global infrastructure

00:17:15.720 --> 00:17:18.980
is just wired to speak the dollar. And ripping

00:17:18.980 --> 00:17:22.420
out that wiring takes decades. That is an excellent

00:17:22.420 --> 00:17:24.779
way to frame it. The infrastructure is deeply

00:17:24.779 --> 00:17:27.740
entrenched. What financial analysts are observing

00:17:27.740 --> 00:17:30.789
is not an overnight cliff. It is a slow transition

00:17:30.789 --> 00:17:33.210
to a multipolar landscape. So the regional hubs

00:17:33.210 --> 00:17:35.630
are starting to develop their own local communication

00:17:35.630 --> 00:17:38.009
networks to bypass the English -speaking main

00:17:38.009 --> 00:17:40.329
tower, so to speak. Perfect analogy, yeah. The

00:17:40.329 --> 00:17:42.390
petrodollar system isn't imploding, but its influence

00:17:42.390 --> 00:17:45.710
is diluting. Over time, as fewer countries recycle

00:17:45.710 --> 00:17:48.009
their trade surpluses into U .S. treasuries,

00:17:48.630 --> 00:17:50.529
the U .S. will simply have to adapt to a world

00:17:50.529 --> 00:17:53.210
where it cannot finance its national debt as

00:17:53.210 --> 00:17:55.690
cheaply or as easily as it did back in the 1990s.

00:17:55.869 --> 00:17:58.509
Well, we started this deep dive looking at a

00:17:58.509 --> 00:18:02.490
tiny geographic bottleneck. We saw how a $2 million

00:18:02.490 --> 00:18:05.509
yuan -only toll imposed by Iran in the Strait

00:18:05.509 --> 00:18:08.849
of Hormuz is acting as a forcing function, really

00:18:08.849 --> 00:18:11.849
leveraging physical geography to accelerate a

00:18:11.849 --> 00:18:14.410
50 -year shift away from the petrodollar system.

00:18:14.470 --> 00:18:17.089
And it's moving fast. It really is. We traced

00:18:17.089 --> 00:18:19.670
how that is pushing a bloc of over 40 nations

00:18:19.670 --> 00:18:21.970
toward alternative digital payment networks like

00:18:21.970 --> 00:18:24.750
Enbridge and how it has triggered the most aggressive

00:18:24.750 --> 00:18:28.000
central gold rush the world has seen in 60 years.

00:18:28.180 --> 00:18:30.220
It clearly illustrates the profound vulnerability

00:18:30.220 --> 00:18:33.480
of a global financial system that still ultimately

00:18:33.480 --> 00:18:36.000
relies on moving fiscal commodities through easily

00:18:36.000 --> 00:18:38.380
disrupted geographic corridors. Which leaves

00:18:38.380 --> 00:18:40.339
me with the final thought for you to mull over.

00:18:40.839 --> 00:18:43.500
We've just explored how a single physical choke

00:18:43.500 --> 00:18:46.059
point in the ocean can be weaponized to force

00:18:46.059 --> 00:18:49.420
a massive shift in global currencies today. But

00:18:49.420 --> 00:18:52.319
what happens tomorrow? As central bank digital

00:18:52.319 --> 00:18:54.799
currencies and decentralized blockchain networks

00:18:54.799 --> 00:18:57.940
evolve to bypass physical borders entirely, what

00:18:57.940 --> 00:19:00.619
will anchor the value of money? Will the dominant

00:19:00.619 --> 00:19:02.839
global currency to the future still rely on its

00:19:02.839 --> 00:19:04.819
connection to physical resources like oil and

00:19:04.819 --> 00:19:07.640
gold, or will its power come entirely from the

00:19:07.640 --> 00:19:09.619
undeniable efficiency of the technology that

00:19:09.619 --> 00:19:11.759
moves it. Thanks for joining us on this deep

00:19:11.759 --> 00:19:13.759
dive. Keep asking questions, keep looking past

00:19:13.759 --> 00:19:15.359
the headlines, and we'll see you next time.
