Welcome to today's custom tailored deep dive.
We are well, we are absolutely thrilled to have
you with us today. Truly thrilled. Yeah. Whether
you are prepping for a major financial strategy
meeting or maybe you're just trying to make sense
of a highly chaotic global news cycle. Which
it is very chaotic right now. Oh, incredibly.
Or, you know, maybe you are just insanely curious
about how the world economic gears actually turn
behind the scenes. Either way, you are in the
right place. We really are. Today, we have a
fascinating stack of sources to go through. And
the overarching theme is, well, it's something
that has undoubtedly crossed your mind if you
have been watching the geopolitical landscape
shift over the past week. Right. It's been front
and center for everyone. Exactly. So we are pulling
heavily from a hot off the press market analysis
article. This is dated March 8, 2026. Fresh data.
Super fresh. And this piece was written by veteran
financial researcher Doug Young. He's great.
Doug is a, he's a former financial director.
He's got over 20 years of experience navigating
the absolute trenches of complex financial markets.
20 years. So he knows his stuff and we are pairing
his analysis with a really comprehensive snapshot
of global financial bulletins. These were pulled
directly from the gold IRA company's Bulletin
platform. It is a, um, It's a phenomenal combination
of materials. Having that seasoned, deeply experienced
analytical perspective right alongside a real
-time global look at the shifting headlines,
it gives us a true 360 -degree view of what the
markets are doing. And frankly, what they're
doing right now is leaving a vast majority of
retail investors completely baffled. Baffled
is the right word. Which brings us directly to
the core mission of today's deep dive. Here is
the big question we are setting out to answer
for you today. The big mystery. Right. When the
U .S. ran war escalated last weekend, conventional
market wisdom dictated that safe haven assets
specifically precious metals like gold and silver,
they should absolutely skyrocket. That is the
textbook, historical reaction. Right. Geopolitical
crisis hits, uncertainty spikes, and capital
rushes to gold. Right. But instead, they dipped.
They actively retreated. Yeah. Today, we are
going to figure out exactly why that counterintuitive
move happened, what it means for your own portfolio
strategy, and most importantly, how to read the
hidden signals buried in all this chaos. OK,
let's unpack this. To really understand this
anomaly, we have to look closely at market psychology
and timing. The general public expects an immediate
linear reaction to breaking news. News happens,
line goes up. Exactly. But the markets rarely
behave that way. We have to examine the mechanical
realities of how institutional capital positions
itself right before a widely anticipated geopolitical
event actually crosses the wire. OK, I want to
look at the specific data drop from the week
ending March 6th, 2026, because the numbers themselves
paint a very stark picture of this volatility.
They really do. Looking at the analysis, the
physical metals started incredibly strong. We
saw gold briefly touch near $5 ,500 on Sunday
evening. Right as the initial headlines of the
strikes were breaking. Yes. But instead of a
establishing a new floor at that high or climbing
further on the panic. It reversed course. It
ultimately dropped about 3 % over the course
of the week to settle around $5 ,170. A significant
pullback. Yeah. And that was despite logging
a really robust $90 daily gain at one specific
point during the week. And I think it's crucial
to note that it never dipped below the $5 ,000
support level. Which indicates a hard floor.
Right. And we saw a similar slide in silver,
correct? We did. Silver fell about 5 % over the
week to close near $84. And that decline held
even after it experienced a sudden $2 intraday
rebound. Wow. So you have precious metals sliding
backward across the board. But simultaneously,
oil behaved exactly as one would anticipate during
a major Middle East escalation. And through the
roof. Oil surged a massive 35 % to hit $91 per
barrel. The sources explicitly note that this
is oil's largest weekly advance in decades. Decades.
OK, so oil is behaving predictably, but gold
and silver are pulling back. It reminds me of
the dynamic you see leading up to a massive tech
company's earnings call. Oh, that's a good comparison.
Right. Everyone on Wall Street knows the company
is going to post record shattering profits. So
they buy the stock heavily all quarter long.
Right. Then the actual earnings report drops.
The numbers are exactly as fantastic as everyone
expected. And the stock immediately tanks. Yep.
The smart money is simply dumping their shares
to lock in profits. usually leaving the retail
investors, the people who waited for the official
news holding the bag. What's fascinating here
is that you are describing the classic buy the
rumor sell the fact dynamic. The escalation between
the US and Iran wasn't a sudden, out of the blue,
black swan event. No, everyone's high coming.
Exactly. Why? The broader markets had been anticipating
this specific conflict for weeks. Speculators
and institutional traders utilizing leveraged
bets built up massive preemptive positions in
gold and silver before a single strike actually
occurred. So they drove the price up on the anticipation
of panic. They did. But wait. If the macroeconomic
picture suggests that a prolonged war practically
guarantees inflation through deficit spending,
which we know drives gold higher, why wouldn't
those professional traders just hold onto their
positions? That's the logical question. Right.
Why sell at $5 ,500 if the underlying fundamentals
suggest it could go much higher over the next
year? Because institutional trading desks are
graded on quarterly, sometimes monthly, performance
metrics, not decade -long holding patterns. Ah.
short -term goals. Exactly. When the professional
traders who bought gold weeks ago saw the headlines
hit on Sunday evening and watched the price spike
to near $5 ,500, they realized the anticipated
event had peaked. The news was fully priced in.
Yes. They faced a choice. Hold a highly volatile
asset through the unpredictable fog of war or
take guaranteed massive profits right now. And
they chose the cash. They chose to cash out and
rapidly unround their leveraged positions. When
that volume of simultaneous selling hits the
market, it creates immense downward pressure.
That's what caused that 3 % dip in gold and the
5 % dip in silver. They sold the news. But oil
rallied because it's different. Right. Oil rallied
because the conflict physically threatens the
actual supply chain of crude. It creates genuine
sustained panic about physical shortages rather
than just speculative positioning. That distinction
between speculative trading and physical supply
threats clarifies the divergence perfectly. But
moving past the immediate day trading reactions,
there are massive fundamental macroeconomic forces
being set into motion here. Huge forces. Let's
talk about how a conflict of this magnitude is
actually financed. Because the sources bring
up some absolutely staggering fiscal pressure.
Staggering is putting it mildly. Conceptually,
we know wars are expensive. But what is the actual
scale of the financial burden we are looking
at right now? The raw numbers provided in the
analysis are incredibly sobering. As of early
March, the U .S. national debt had already hit
$38 .86 trillion. $38 .86 trillion. Yes. And
against that backdrop, think tank estimates cited
in the sources place the initial operating costs
of this U .S.-Iran escalation at $891 million
a day. Wow. Wait, $891 million a day. A day.
So we are talking about $3 .7 billion in just
the first 100 hours of the conflict. Precisely.
That is $3 .7 billion added to an already historically
unprecedented national debt load in a matter
of days. If we connect this to the bigger picture,
this is exactly where the bond market begins
to signal distress. OK. The analysis notes that
the 10 -year US Treasury yield climbed to roughly
4 .15 percent. Let's pause on that yield for
a second, because that's a critical metric for
you listening. When we talk about the 10 -year
Treasury yield hitting 4 .15 percent, we are
looking at a real -time barometer of anxiety.
Absolutely. It essentially reflects how much
compensation investors are demanding to lend
money to the U .S. government. When it climbs
that high, it signals genuine bond market panic
over escalating borrowing costs. Right. Because
the government has to borrow that $891 million
every single day to keep the military machinery
moving. Every single day. And historical precedent
shows us that major unexpected wars almost universally
lead to explosive deficit growth. Why? Because
sitting governments are highly reluctant to implement
sweeping immediate tax hikes on the general public
to pay for a new conflict. because it is politically
toxic. Exactly. It's political suicide. So if
they aren't raising your taxes to generate that
$3 .7 billion every 100 hours, they are forced
to lean on the Federal Reserve to essentially
plint the money required to finance these massive
obligations. So what does this all mean? When
you take a step back and look at the whole board,
the sources paint a very specific economic reality
for your portfolio. We recently had weak jobs
data. Which indicates an underlying softening
in the broader economy. Add to that a sustained
massive 35 percent surge in oil prices, which
makes manufacturing and transporting goods instantly
more expensive. Instantly. Then combine both
of those factors with massive new government
borrowing and the inevitable money printing required
to fund a multi -billion dollar war effort. You
have just created a textbook recipe for high
sticky inflation. The perfect storm. And historically
this specific environment. characterized by expanding
deficits and rapidly weakening purchasing power
is exactly what supports and drives the price
of precious metals over the long term. Making
that short -term 3 % dip? look like a blip on
the radar. That is the crucial takeaway. The
short -term dip was a mechanical trading anomaly.
The long -term fundamentals pointing towards
sustained inflation are the true underlying signals.
And we are already seeing this tension play out
vividly in how different sectors of the stock
market are reacting. There is a massive sector
rotation underway as institutional money repositions
itself for a wartime economy. Let's break down
those sector rotations. On the winning side of
the ledger, defense contractors obviously saw
an immediate bump. Lockheed Martin, for example,
saw quick gains of three to four percent as the
market priced in a wave of new government defense
contracts. And the broad energy sector rallied
hard on the back of those crude supply disruption
fears. But then you look at the losing side,
and it's fascinating. Gold mining ETFs took an
absolute beating. The sources highlight that
broad minor funds and junior minor funds, specifically
ETFs like GDX and GDXJ, declined over 11%. Over
11%. That is a massive drop compared to the physical
metal, which, as we established, only fell 3%.
Why the severe divergence? It comes down to operational
vulnerability. Mining stocks act as leveraged
plays on the price of the physical metal. So
their price movements, both up and down, are
inherently more volatile. OK, that makes sense.
But more importantly, extracting gold from the
earth requires vast amounts of energy. Heavy
machinery, transportation, refining. It all runs
on diesel and crude. Oh, right. So when oil prices
surge 35 % in a single week, it fundamentally
threatens the profit margins of these mining
operations. It causes investors to dump the mining
equities even if they still believe in the physical
metal. crucial distinction. Interestingly, the
sources note that despite the severe volatility
in the equities, the underlying gold -silver
price ratio remains surprisingly stable. They
move down in tandem. Right. Keeping their historical
pricing relationship intact. And a temporarily
strong U .S. dollar is currently acting as a
headwind, holding back immediate investment inflows
into precious metals. Which is entirely normal
in the initial shockwave of a geopolitical crisis.
Foreign capital seeks the perceived safety of
U .S. currency. Flight to safety. Exactly. But
this is exactly where looking at historical market
precedents becomes so eliminating. The analysis
by Doug Young explicitly draws parallels between
our current macroeconomic setup and two highly
specific historical eras. I know you love diving
into the historical data, but the parallels here
are really hard to ignore. Which eras are we
looking at? First, the 1970s Vietnam era. During
that period, the US engaged in massive prolonged
monetary expansion specifically to fund the war
effort. Just printing money. Right. That unchecked
expansion directly fueled huge sustained rallies
and real tangible assets like gold and silver
as inflation ravaged the dollar. The second era.
which is perhaps a closer parallel to today's
mechanics, is the period immediately following
the 2001 attacks. In the decade following those
events, driven largely by sustained compounding
deficit spending from multiple Middle East engagements,
the price of gold rose over 570%. Over 570%.
That is a staggering number. But it wasn't an
overnight spike. It was a slow, grinding climb.
I assume that's because the market slowly realizes
that war debt doesn't vanish when a peace treaty
is signed. The key insight that research provides
is that shorter initial military engagements
heavily favor equities. Capital flows into defense
stocks and energy producers. But extended fiscal
strain always reverses that trend. Governments
consistently and historically underestimate reconstruction
expenses. The sheer cost of rebuilding infrastructure
after the destruction is monumental, meaning
the debt incurred won't just taper off. that
structural debt and the inflation required to
manage it sticks around in compounds for decades.
Here's where it gets really interesting. To be
truly well informed, you cannot just look at
the U .S.-Iran conflict in a vacuum. No, you
can't. The global financial ecosystem is highly
interconnected and constantly moving. The sources
we pulled from the GOL IRA company's bulletin
platform provided a fascinating scan of the global
headlines this week. And we need to look closely
at these developments. They show just how rapidly
the alternative asset space is evolving while
everyone else is distracted by the war. It's
vital context. The structural shifts in global
wealth storage don't pause for geopolitical conflicts.
If anything, they accelerate. Let's look at Asia
first. The bulletins note that Singapore is launching
a completely new gold investment asset. That's
a big move. This isn't just a minor update. It
shows that major international financial hubs
in the East are actively innovating and creating
new vehicles to hold physical wealth. likely
anticipating a global shift toward tangible assets.
And we are seeing massive physical movements
of that wealth closer to home as well? Yes. The
reports indicate that U .S. refineries are set
to receive $100 million in Venezuelan gold. 100
million. That is a massive influx of physical
metal entering the North American supply chain.
And it's a deeply complex geopolitical pivot
in its own right, considering historical trade
tensions. Furthermore, the capital flow into
exploration hasn't stopped, despite the ETF sell
-offs we discussed earlier. Right, the junior
miners. The bulletins highlight that Newfound
Gold just announced a U .S. $75 million term
sheet to advance their Queensway development.
Which tells us that smart institutional capital
is still aggressively funding long term gold
exploration and development. They are looking
past the short term ETF volatility and focusing
on securing future supply. Exactly. And we also
have to look at the digital side of the alternative
asset spectrum. The sources note a major headline
regarding institutional crypto adoption. This
one is huge. The state of Indiana is officially
adding crypto to its retirement plans. This isn't
just a tech startup experimenting. This is state
level institutional adoption, integrating digital
assets into traditional long term civic retirement
infrastructure. That is a massive leap in mainstream
financial normalization. It absolutely is. Now,
as we review these global bulletins, it is important
to address a couple of highly specific politically
centered headlines that were included in the
provided source material. Right. The bulletins
captured two notable political headlines circulating
this week. One reporting that a UAE firm quietly
took a stake in the Trump family's crypto company,
and another headline claiming that Trump triggered
a gold rush as investors flee the U .S. Right.
Now, when looking at politically charged headlines
like these, whether we are discussing the business
ventures of conservative political figures or
left -wing fiscal policies, It is imperative
to state clearly that our role here is not to
validate the politics of the left or the right.
Absolutely not. We are strictly looking at the
raw data being reported in these global bulletins
to give you an unfiltered view of the global
media landscape. We aren't endorsing any political
viewpoint, nor are we taking sides. We are simply
conveying the ideas and headlines exactly as
they appeared in the original source material.
That's the facts. Ensuring you have the complete
objective picture of what is currently driving
conversations in the financial news. ecosystem.
And that objectivity is exactly what allows you
to cut through the noise and build a resilient
strategy. So, bringing it all home. How do you
navigate this landscape? What specific metrics
should you be tracking moving forward? Good question.
According to Doug Young's analysis, Wall Street
analysts are currently split on gold immediate
trajectory. Some are heavily focused on the short
-term technicals and profit -taking, while others
are looking entirely at the looming structural
inflation. To filter out that daily noise, the
sources recommend monitoring three critical indicators.
First, watch the Treasury yield trends. If that
10 -year yield sustains a climb above 4 .15 percent,
it means the bond markets are screaming that
unchecked inflation is imminent. That's the panic
barometer. Exactly. Second, pay close attention
to the rhetoric surrounding any upcoming debt
ceiling discussions. The political friction over
raising the borrowing limit will sharply highlight
the reality of this new war debt. Third, track
the oil trends. If crude oil stays elevated above
$91 a barrel, those increased energy costs will
inevitably bleed into the manufacturing and transportation
of every single good in the consumer economy.
It's an incredibly complex interconnected web.
But understanding the mechanics of how these
pieces influence each other is exactly what gives
you a strategic advantage It really does to dive
even deeper into how these macroeconomic shifts
might impact your own wealth strategy We recommend
heading over to the gold IRA companies bulletin
website at gold IRA companies compared calm for
a wealth of related research and information
Highly recommend it. That's gold IRA companies
compared calm And for your convenience, there's
a link to this information right down in the
description below. The sheer volume of data we've
covered today reveals a very clear historical
pattern regarding how sovereign nations handle
the immense financial burden of sudden conflict.
And this raises an important question, one that
builds on these mechanics but looks slightly
further down the road. I'm intrigued. What is
the final thought you want to leave the listener
with today? We established that the government
is essentially forced to print money to fund
this massive $891 million daily war expenditure,
creating an invisible inflation tax on domestic
savings. Right. But the US dollar is also the
world's reserve currency, which means we aren't
just inflating our own economy. We are actively
exporting that inflation to every allied nation
that holds our debt or uses dollars for global
trade. Wow. OK. So if this invisible tax continues
to aggressively erode the purchasing power of
the dollar, at what point do the those allied
nations decide the cost is simply too high, stop
accepting our exported inflation, and begin fundamentally
restructuring the global financial hierarchy
to bypass the dollar entirely. That is a brilliant,
entirely different level of consequence. It's
not just about domestic inflation. It's about
the potential weaponization of our own currency
against our allies' reserves. That is a profound
macroeconomic concept to chew on. And it proves
exactly why understanding the deeper mechanics
of these global events is so critical. Thank
you so much for joining us on this deep dive
today. We hope this breakdown brought some much
needed clarity to a highly chaotic week in the
markets. Keep a close eye on those bond yields.
Always question the surface level narratives
and the headlines. And most importantly, stay
insanely curious. We will see you next time.