WEBVTT

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This is a production of Channel 11 and Channel

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22. Should the Supreme Leader in Iran be worried

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right now? I would say he should be very worried,

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yeah. He should be. As you know, they're negotiating

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with us. Look, I settled eight wars. Of the eight

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wars, at least six were settled because of tariffs.

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In other words, I said, if you don't settle this

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war, I'm going to charge you tariffs because

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I don't want to see people getting killed. And

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I've been the best friend to Israel, I think,

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that they've ever had. A lot of people say beyond

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precedence that they've ever had. We will continue.

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Cuba is right now a failed nation. They don't

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even have jet fuel to get for airplanes to take

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off. They're clogging up their runway. We're

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talking to Cuba right now. They have Marco Rubio

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talking to Cuba right now. They should absolutely

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make a deal because it's a humanitarian threat.

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Now is the time for Iran to join us on a path

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that will complete what we're doing. And if they

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join us, that'll be great. If they don't join

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us, that'll be great too. But it'll be a very

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different path. They cannot continue to threaten

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the stability of the entire region. And they

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must make a deal. Or if that doesn't happen,

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I maybe can understand. If it doesn't happen,

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it doesn't happen. But bad things will happen.

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I'm not looking to hurt Mexico. And I like Mexico.

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And by the way, I think... The new president

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is a terrific person, a fantastic woman. We've

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had many conversations. She's a very elegant,

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just a fantastic person. And on our public television,

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Channel 11, Channel 22, we give you the most

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cordial welcome. I am Claudia Villegas. And before

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I tell you what topic we have tonight, I want

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to say hello to my colleagues. Tonight we have

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Donatío Martínez. How are you, economist? Good

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evening, colleagues. Thank you very much. Good

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evening. José Luis Granado Ceja, journalist and

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political analyst. Hello, good evening. José

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Luis, welcome to the table of economy and politics.

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And of course, to Dr. Oscar Rojas, economist

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and professor. Hello, how are you? Good evening.

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Thank you very much for being here tonight. We

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are going to talk about what is happening in

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real time. At this moment, the speech of the

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president of the United States, Donald Trump,

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in the Capitol. You know, today is the state

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of the nation. 400 days of the exercise of power

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of President Donald Trump and that towards the

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intermediate elections in the United States seeks

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to mark the roadmap. He already said that it

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will be a broad, long speech centered on economics

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and politics. What can we expect from this speech

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in the Capitol? Bueno, yo creo que aquí estaría

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cumpliéndose un ciclo. Digamos que la estrategia

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que desarrolló Donald Trump con la guerra arancelaria,

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pues hoy va a tener como necesidad ver si Trump

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puede establecer un convencimiento de que ha

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sido una estrategia exitosa y si se puede continuar

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en esa vía. Y bueno, yo creo que va a estar muy

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complicado porque la realidad se ha estado imponiendo

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en Estados Unidos. Es decir, no se ha podido

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resolver su crisis interna. which is multidimensional

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and, of course, the geopolitical crisis in which

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it is. In other words, it is a discourse that

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will be contextualized in a historical moment

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where the United States will have to recognize

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the limitations of these strategies and, therefore,

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on the horizon. they will finally create another

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type of models, another type of projections.

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That's what will be interesting. It is also a

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moment in the face of the elections that are

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approaching. Let's say that this political sub

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-cycle begins in that aspect and it will be interesting

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to see, of course, always the symbols, the narrative

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that is being built and, above all, that there

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is a great weight that will be very interesting.

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to see if there is any reference because it was

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talked about the day of liberation with capital

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letters and that conceptualization is in search

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of its landing and we will see how they argue

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it. We were saying that this is like the Super

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Bowl of American politics. And I think Donald

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Trump gets beaten. I think the Supreme Court's

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decision against his budget, the arancel package,

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affects him a lot. And not only on the subject

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of tax issues, of fundraising, but also a lot

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of his domestic policy. extranjera se basa con

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esa política y ya no tiene esa herramienta tiene

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otras opciones obviamente va a buscar recuperar

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un poco del terreno que ha perdido hay que recordar

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que este es su segundo discurso pero realmente

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es solamente después de un año lo que vamos a

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ver yo creo que esta noche va a ser un intento

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de pues de empezar de nuevo no viendo sus niveles

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de aprobación que están por los pisos nos bajísimos

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y la casa blanca suele filtrar unos aspectos

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de su discurso They have already started to come

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out and apparently they are going to talk about

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a new American revolution that is going to want

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to say a transformation never seen before. But

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I think that above all what he is going to seek

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to do is distract. to point out enemies of his

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political project, criticize the communities,

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and apparently one of the communities that he

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plans to criticize tonight is the Somali community,

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using the old reliable of his politics, which

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is racism. And in the context that this is given,

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as Oscar and José Luis already mentioned, It's

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a critical moment in terms of losing the last

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elections in New York, New Jersey, Virginia,

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recently a local election in Texas, also historically,

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evidently the Republicans were the strong ones.

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It also happens in the context where there are

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two murders in Minneapolis. A housewife, a mother

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of a family, a nurse who was protesting against

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the situation and how ICE has behaved against

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migrants. And also, in terms of the institutions

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that, let's say, in one way or another, respond

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to President Donald Trump, there are the central

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banks, the banks that belong to the Federal Reserve,

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and they show through studies and reports that,

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in reality, the arancelary impact has not brought

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a direct benefit like he did. the United States.

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And in this moment we are seeing on the screen

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the entry of President Donald Trump to the Capitol.

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He will have as an answer to his speech, precisely,

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to the governor of Virginia, to Virginia, to

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Abigail Spanberg, who was the one who snatched

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the Republicans from this region in Virginia.

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Then we will also see that a group of Democrats

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will be absent from this speech because they

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will also have their accountability in an exercise

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called the State of the Union of the People.

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A little before he started this speech that we

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are seeing, rather, that he is starting, he welcomed

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his guests, a popular music singer in the United

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States, rap, Nicki Minaj. He also welcomed the

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widow of Charlie Kirk. It is an exercise that

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some presidents of the United States have done,

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as José Luis said, which is a Super Bowl of politics

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and they have done it a real show, an exercise

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in which political groups are sought to avenge

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who are following the trajectory of the president

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in turn, that as you commented Tonatiuh arrives

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weak. con una aprobación muy baja. Incluso la

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preferencia de los republicanos está bajando

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y llega en enero con una generación de empleos,

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de acuerdo con los últimos datos del Departamento

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del Trabajo, de 130 ,000 empleos, pero que...

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During 2025 it was very weak. This means that

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the strategy of the aranceles is not working

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at all. Yes, exactly. I mean, I think we can

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already conclude it, not even analyze it, but

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conclude that there were two essential elements.

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One was to stop the evolution of China, it did

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not achieve it. China continues in an evolution

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that does not react to this type of poison. And

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right now what we are also observing, that you

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are rescuing well, Claudia, pues tiene que ver

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con que sus indicadores macroeconómicos, la evolución

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de la economía estadounidense ya es una sombra

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de lo que fue en sus mejores momentos y a base

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de discursos se antoja muy complicado la recuperación.

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Sigue siendo de fondo la necesidad de Estados

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Unidos de reindustrializarse. Recordemos que

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la base maga viene de la herida de la desindustrialización

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en términos de su ubicación geográfica y social.

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Entonces estamos ante una crisis. Digamos que

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este va a ser un discurso histórico en el sentido

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de que quizá podamos enunciar que es el discurso

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primero de Estados Unidos como ahora una fuerza

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de carácter regional, ya no en su hegemonía global.

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Ya habías mencionado los invitados. También los

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demócratas tienen unos invitados presentes aquí.

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Muchos de los sobrevivientes de la violencia

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de género que sufrieron con Epstein y algunas

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también de Trump están ahí. present in this speech.

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I believe that there is a lot of symbolism in

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this speech. Speaking of what we can expect,

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I believe that what we are also going to see

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is an attempt to blame the previous administration

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for the economic problems that the country is

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facing. I believe that without a doubt it has

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been realized that its own base is in a certain

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way disappointed. because they have not seen

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that great advance that had promised the return

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of the industry. It is not happening. And that

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is why the White House spokeswoman today also

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said no, because we are trying to recover because

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everything that we inherited from the Biden administration.

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But in the end it is his policies. He came promising

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many things, especially to alleviate the situation

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of the cost of living of the American working

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class. He has not achieved it. Well, I think

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we are already seeing Well, that discontent that

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helps us understand why also their levels of

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approval and particularly with the independents,

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which are a very important factor in American

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politics, because they are very low. Here I would

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also like to bring to the collation that, let's

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say, the effect of the aranceles has already

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been demonstrated or the studies show, the recent

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studies show that in effect the cost of goods

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has increased. This is just a tool of political

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exterior que lo utilizó. A lo mejor probablemente

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la única herramienta de política exterior que

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le utilizó esta herramienta económica para justo

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primero tratar de ajustar la reindustrialización,

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digamos, de Estados Unidos. Yo no diría que eso

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no necesariamente puede ocurrir porque el efecto

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a los países o contra los países a los que impuso

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los aranceles, pues sí, digamos, frenó de una

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u otra forma la inversión. Claro, encareció los

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bienes en Estados Unidos, pero también desincentivó

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la inversión en el resto de los países. países

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del mundo. Europa desde mi punto de vista lo

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tenía contra las cuerdas por estos motivos. China

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es el gran ganador porque del 50 % que tenía

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de aranceles ahora tiene que disminuir al 15

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% por el nuevo... The Supreme Court of the United

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States, in a vote of 5 against 3, put this series

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of decrees back. And in a court that is also

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composed of a conservative majority, or Republican,

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if we want to see it that way. Some named by

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Trump himself, who do not go or do not support.

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digamos esta herramienta y también en el análisis

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que hacen los integrantes de la suprema corte

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no necesariamente se dicen que estaba mal el

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presidente pero que utilizó un camino incorrecto

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para poder implementar los aranceles entonces

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digamos creo que todavía hay una puerta abierta

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para que juegue en los siguientes meses y se

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está introduciendo un nuevo elemento mencionábamos

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que están las víctimas del caso Epstein Y las

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primeras palabras del presidente Donald Trump

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en el Capitolio, como pudimos ver en las imágenes,

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le generan un aplauso a Melania Trump. Seguramente

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le dedicó unas palabras. to try to balance this

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social weight that he has. According to the international

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press, specifically the newspaper El País, most

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Americans already consider that Trump is becoming

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erratic with age. It seems that there are elements,

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there are factors that are observing that we

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see a Trump who tries to strengthen himself geopolitically

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to the outside, but who is becoming erratic,

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as if trying to excuse his mistakes a little.

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This is according to a Reuters -IPSO survey published

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just a few hours before this presidential speech,

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which even reflects that 30 % of Republicans

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have this idea. present, which tells us a little

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about how the career is going to be defined,

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the direction in the intermediates. And I would

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just like to comment that he promised America

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is back. Really, at this moment, three years

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later, we are going to see it because the roadmap

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he is trying to mark. Well, it will be the one

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of the next 30 years, when in the prelude and

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when he thanked his guests, he thanked the Secretary

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of the Treasury for all his support. He said,

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we are doing it right. And it comes in the middle

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of a confrontation with the Federal Reserve when

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the Supreme Court of Justice gave a statement

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that caused a fall and volatility in the markets.

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I believe that Donald Trump is running out of

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fuel, credibility around what he wanted. to build

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around the possibility of redirecting the American

00:16:26.429 --> 00:16:30.070
economy, which actually has structural problems.

00:16:30.070 --> 00:16:33.389
And today the base of the American voters have

00:16:33.389 --> 00:16:38.710
less money in their pockets, they have more inflationary

00:16:38.710 --> 00:16:40.730
pressure, it is costing them more work to recover

00:16:40.730 --> 00:16:43.610
their quality of life, and I would only leave

00:16:43.610 --> 00:16:47.710
at the table that comes... without this element

00:16:47.710 --> 00:16:50.950
that he gave in his first speech, Mexico, when

00:16:50.950 --> 00:16:56.289
the migration steps fell, the drug decommissioning

00:16:56.289 --> 00:16:59.250
also increased and today the triumph is for Mexico

00:16:59.250 --> 00:17:02.169
with its security strategy and it will no longer

00:17:02.169 --> 00:17:05.950
be able to tree it tonight unless something else

00:17:05.950 --> 00:17:09.130
happens. If the North American market follows

00:17:09.130 --> 00:17:12.869
in general as a macro region within the global

00:17:12.869 --> 00:17:15.569
geopolitical restructuring, it is very interesting

00:17:15.569 --> 00:17:19.309
because we are seeing these geological movements

00:17:19.309 --> 00:17:21.230
even, that is, they are not like that on top.

00:17:21.529 --> 00:17:25.069
We are facing a restructuring of all these elements.

00:17:25.349 --> 00:17:27.549
I think that right now I would emphasize that

00:17:27.549 --> 00:17:29.869
this decision of the court did give it a very

00:17:29.869 --> 00:17:32.490
hard blow. I mean, I even see it as a little

00:17:32.490 --> 00:17:36.460
bit not so thrown forward. because it really

00:17:36.460 --> 00:17:40.140
was the main strategy. It was, in some way or

00:17:40.140 --> 00:17:42.180
another, also the way in which he was explaining

00:17:42.180 --> 00:17:45.799
how he understands the economy. And I think that

00:17:45.799 --> 00:17:49.339
these blows, also with his own, the representatives

00:17:49.339 --> 00:17:52.740
of the financial capital, also tells us that

00:17:52.740 --> 00:17:56.119
the model is no longer being able to make a unity

00:17:56.119 --> 00:17:59.859
of all those elements. Now, precisely with this

00:17:59.859 --> 00:18:02.420
discourse of the Union, in the sense that its

00:18:02.420 --> 00:18:05.779
historical elements, the United States, Keynesianism,

00:18:05.779 --> 00:18:09.240
for example, is where the structure of economic

00:18:09.240 --> 00:18:12.440
policy evolved in general, and now it is not

00:18:12.440 --> 00:18:16.279
being able to have this coordination. So I think

00:18:16.279 --> 00:18:19.160
it is another element that speaks of this structural

00:18:19.160 --> 00:18:24.119
crisis. And we see that call to nostalgia. He

00:18:24.119 --> 00:18:28.180
opens his speech, our nation is back, bigger,

00:18:28.660 --> 00:18:31.660
richer, stronger than ever. That has always been

00:18:31.660 --> 00:18:34.579
a very important part of his speech, which to

00:18:34.579 --> 00:18:37.200
me, from my point of view, also seems like an

00:18:37.200 --> 00:18:39.920
echo of fascism, to say that we were better before.

00:18:40.240 --> 00:18:58.970
Beyond Donald Trump's narrative, we return. Con

00:18:58.970 --> 00:19:02.450
hechos, no palabras, el PRI resuelve. Llevamos

00:19:02.450 --> 00:19:05.369
canasta básica a bajo costo a 56 comunidades

00:19:05.369 --> 00:19:27.470
de todo el país. Pri, el mejor partido de México.

00:19:29.890 --> 00:19:33.230
Celso Soto, asesor en accesibilidad digital.

00:19:35.470 --> 00:19:37.970
Todas esas tareas que para la mayoría de nosotros

00:19:37.970 --> 00:19:41.130
son de lo más normal, para Celso Soto son algo

00:19:41.130 --> 00:19:44.009
más complicadas y representan un triunfo personal

00:19:44.009 --> 00:19:47.049
contra la exclusión y el aislamiento por la ceguera.

00:19:47.230 --> 00:19:51.609
Un día con Guillermo Osorno. Episodio de estreno,

00:19:51.809 --> 00:19:56.589
martes 22 .30 horas. El Canal de las Culturas

00:19:56.589 --> 00:20:11.670
de México. Gracias por continuar en la barra

00:20:11.670 --> 00:20:13.769
de análisis de los medios públicos. Seguimos

00:20:13.769 --> 00:20:16.309
hablando del discurso del presidente de Estados

00:20:16.309 --> 00:20:19.710
Unidos, Donald Trump, en el Capitolio. Ahora

00:20:19.710 --> 00:20:22.950
veremos un fragmento del discurso en los primeros

00:20:22.950 --> 00:20:28.740
minutos. Vamos con eso. Members of Congress and

00:20:28.740 --> 00:20:33.839
my fellow Americans, our nation is back. Bigger,

00:20:33.839 --> 00:20:40.000
better, richer, and stronger than ever before.

00:20:50.190 --> 00:20:52.450
In less than five months from now, our country

00:20:52.450 --> 00:20:55.009
will celebrate an epic milestone in American

00:20:55.009 --> 00:20:59.650
history. The 250th anniversary of our glorious

00:20:59.650 --> 00:21:05.509
American independence. This July 1 will mark

00:21:05.509 --> 00:21:07.329
two and a half centuries of liberty and trust,

00:21:07.910 --> 00:21:10.910
progress and freedom, the most incredible and

00:21:10.910 --> 00:21:13.549
exceptional nation ever to exist on the face

00:21:13.549 --> 00:21:17.759
of the Caribbean. Magnífica nación. Y no hemos

00:21:17.759 --> 00:21:20.839
visto nada aún. Vamos a seguir mejorando. Y esta

00:21:20.839 --> 00:21:45.789
es la edad de oro de Estados Unidos. And not

00:21:45.789 --> 00:21:48.569
long ago, the Venezuelan resources were taken.

00:21:49.369 --> 00:21:55.069
There was an incursion to take the president

00:21:55.069 --> 00:21:57.490
to Venezuela. Now he's in prison in the United

00:21:57.490 --> 00:22:00.700
States. And they are just administering the wealth

00:22:00.700 --> 00:22:04.599
of one of the countries that has the largest

00:22:04.599 --> 00:22:10.259
oil reserves in the world. And they just don't

00:22:10.259 --> 00:22:12.559
conquer it, so to speak, they don't send more

00:22:12.559 --> 00:22:17.619
troops, the US army doesn't invade the territory,

00:22:17.900 --> 00:22:21.099
there is only one... of the president in the

00:22:21.099 --> 00:22:23.720
role of President Maduro, but they will manage

00:22:23.720 --> 00:22:27.619
just how much they are going to stay and how

00:22:27.619 --> 00:22:29.880
much they are going to allow Venezuela with now

00:22:29.880 --> 00:22:36.250
this DELSI. Chávez, Rodríguez, sorry, in power,

00:22:36.490 --> 00:22:40.250
then exercise the resources. So, that on the

00:22:40.250 --> 00:22:41.930
one hand, we have the issue of Cuba, that we

00:22:41.930 --> 00:22:43.849
don't necessarily talk about natural resources,

00:22:43.849 --> 00:22:47.750
but rather of a kind of ideology, and where maybe

00:22:47.750 --> 00:22:50.170
they are talking to a part of the electorate

00:22:50.170 --> 00:22:51.990
of Florida, or to the electorate of Florida.

00:22:52.960 --> 00:22:55.680
But there is also the part of Iran, because it

00:22:55.680 --> 00:22:58.880
seems that it is what follows in terms of geopolitics

00:22:58.880 --> 00:23:02.319
and geopolitics worldwide. And it is dangerous

00:23:02.319 --> 00:23:05.359
because just the aircraft carrier, this destroyer,

00:23:05.400 --> 00:23:06.940
the Abraham Lincoln that arrived on the coasts

00:23:06.940 --> 00:23:10.779
of Venezuela, is now in Oman and is already in

00:23:10.779 --> 00:23:14.119
position in Iran, which for many specialists

00:23:14.119 --> 00:23:18.839
could even unleash the Third World War. Well,

00:23:19.000 --> 00:23:23.980
I think this number of 250, I think it could

00:23:23.980 --> 00:23:27.519
be a route also to reflect around the historical

00:23:27.519 --> 00:23:30.079
depth that is currently having all this that

00:23:30.079 --> 00:23:33.319
we commented, that is, it is 250 years of existence

00:23:33.319 --> 00:23:37.980
of this country, of this state, and coincidentally

00:23:37.980 --> 00:23:41.420
it is also the 250 years of the wealth of the

00:23:41.420 --> 00:23:45.400
nations of Adam Smith, who was seeing the global

00:23:45.400 --> 00:23:47.920
market evolving at a time when it was dominated

00:23:48.039 --> 00:23:52.059
precisamente el comercio y que ahora lo que nos

00:23:52.059 --> 00:23:56.019
deja como lección toda esta fallida guerra arancelaria

00:23:56.019 --> 00:23:58.019
pues es de que los problemas no los puede resolver

00:23:58.019 --> 00:24:02.200
a base de medidas fiscales, que en última instancia

00:24:02.200 --> 00:24:05.079
es una medida fiscal, sino que necesitas política

00:24:05.079 --> 00:24:09.539
industrial, entonces a 250 años todavía hay remanentes

00:24:09.539 --> 00:24:12.259
desde ese punto de vista, es decir, habría que

00:24:12.259 --> 00:24:15.700
ver una reactualización de este pensamiento,

00:24:15.779 --> 00:24:18.079
por supuesto, porque pues this golden age, this

00:24:18.079 --> 00:24:20.400
announcement of the golden age, is already like

00:24:20.400 --> 00:24:22.720
an announcement of a ghost, because the United

00:24:22.720 --> 00:24:25.819
States had, of course, its golden age, especially

00:24:25.819 --> 00:24:30.079
in the first years of the post -war period, but

00:24:30.079 --> 00:24:32.960
since then there has been a series of crises,

00:24:33.119 --> 00:24:36.180
that is, we do not believe that this is a critical

00:24:36.180 --> 00:24:39.579
moment when the United States simply had an accident

00:24:39.579 --> 00:24:43.380
on the way, but that this is also the end of

00:24:43.380 --> 00:24:47.079
a whole cyclical crisis that is coming even since

00:24:47.079 --> 00:24:51.079
the 70s. We are talking about a historical depth

00:24:51.079 --> 00:24:55.380
in this type of discourse. Yes, I agree with

00:24:55.380 --> 00:24:57.640
you. I believe that what we are seeing with this

00:24:57.640 --> 00:25:00.420
president and all his decisions and his way of

00:25:00.420 --> 00:25:03.660
governing is a sample of the weakness of the

00:25:03.660 --> 00:25:05.500
political system of the United States, of an

00:25:05.500 --> 00:25:08.220
empire in decline. And I think that's also why

00:25:08.220 --> 00:25:11.039
we see that he gives so much emphasis to the

00:25:11.039 --> 00:25:13.579
economic situation, trying to paint a situation

00:25:13.579 --> 00:25:16.299
that does not reflect the reality of the American

00:25:16.299 --> 00:25:19.019
working class, but he is going to insist a lot.

00:25:19.220 --> 00:25:23.000
And in fact, I think that's going to be his main

00:25:23.000 --> 00:25:26.700
message, to try to convince that the situation

00:25:26.700 --> 00:25:29.819
is better for the working class, talking about

00:25:29.819 --> 00:25:31.759
the fact that inflation is going down, etc.,

00:25:31.759 --> 00:25:34.420
etc. It would be interesting to see. how he thinks

00:25:34.420 --> 00:25:37.339
about international issues. Because this speech

00:25:37.339 --> 00:25:40.500
is usually focused on the domestic situation,

00:25:40.500 --> 00:25:42.420
the situation of the country, but we already

00:25:42.420 --> 00:25:44.460
know that for him it is important to project

00:25:44.460 --> 00:25:47.299
a global image. We will see what he tells us

00:25:47.299 --> 00:25:51.000
there. And we are going to listen to what is

00:25:51.000 --> 00:25:54.380
happening in the Capitol with Donald Trump and

00:25:54.380 --> 00:26:00.119
what he is telling the Americans. Today our border

00:26:00.119 --> 00:26:04.420
is secure, our security is restored, inflation

00:26:04.420 --> 00:26:09.799
is plummeting, incomes are rising fast, the raw

00:26:09.799 --> 00:26:13.799
economy is growing like never before, and our

00:26:13.799 --> 00:26:16.980
enemies are scared, our military and police are

00:26:16.980 --> 00:26:21.019
stacked, and America is respected again, perhaps

00:26:21.019 --> 00:26:39.220
like never before. After four years in which

00:26:39.220 --> 00:26:44.240
millions and millions of illegal aliens crossed

00:26:44.240 --> 00:26:45.559
our borders, totally unfair and unchecked, we

00:26:45.559 --> 00:26:48.440
now have the strongest and safest border in the

00:26:48.440 --> 00:27:08.720
American history by far. better than ever. As

00:27:08.720 --> 00:27:13.039
never before, police forces are respected in

00:27:13.039 --> 00:27:16.259
the United States. And after four years, I would

00:27:16.259 --> 00:27:20.240
say at the peak of extortion, they have the safest

00:27:20.240 --> 00:27:24.019
border in the world. There are applause, but

00:27:24.019 --> 00:27:27.299
not the applause so nourished that we saw in

00:27:27.299 --> 00:27:32.859
the first year when he had catapulted all his

00:27:32.859 --> 00:27:36.859
promises. y había respondido a sus grupos de

00:27:36.859 --> 00:27:39.859
interés. Yo veo un aplauso mucho más delgado.

00:27:40.250 --> 00:27:43.150
Yes, well, it is that they are measures, insist

00:27:43.150 --> 00:27:46.349
on this part, they are measures that are working

00:27:46.349 --> 00:27:50.309
in a strategy of being governing not with results,

00:27:50.569 --> 00:27:53.890
but being governing with the reconformation of

00:27:53.890 --> 00:27:56.009
subjectivities. That is to say, even if you do

00:27:56.009 --> 00:28:00.150
not have a better economic reality, that through

00:28:00.150 --> 00:28:03.529
the discourse that you accept it as a platform.

00:28:03.970 --> 00:28:05.809
We see this very clearly, for example, in the

00:28:05.809 --> 00:28:10.170
Argentine mirror. What is also in the background

00:28:10.170 --> 00:28:13.069
is that in the current fracture of the United

00:28:13.069 --> 00:28:16.849
States, there are also different groups of capitalists.

00:28:16.950 --> 00:28:21.089
And there is also a discussion, an intimate fight,

00:28:21.089 --> 00:28:23.990
I would say, because obviously, right now that

00:28:23.990 --> 00:28:25.950
you are mentioning the issue of migration, we

00:28:25.950 --> 00:28:28.609
know that it has been your resource par excellence

00:28:28.609 --> 00:28:32.390
to be depositing the guilt of structural failures

00:28:32.390 --> 00:28:35.589
always in the other, in the outside, in the enemy.

00:28:35.950 --> 00:28:40.099
So all this discourse is there, is less and less.

00:28:40.099 --> 00:28:44.900
I think that also within this year that we have

00:28:44.900 --> 00:28:48.220
had with Donald Trump 2 .0, because also here

00:28:48.220 --> 00:28:51.900
we have been doing a disarticulation, a deconstruction

00:28:51.900 --> 00:28:54.359
of his speech, understanding when it is inside,

00:28:54.700 --> 00:28:57.420
when it is outside and all this discursive, but

00:28:57.420 --> 00:29:00.460
that, I insist, continues to involve that there

00:29:00.460 --> 00:29:03.559
is no structural response, that is, it is expected

00:29:03.559 --> 00:29:06.720
that there is a subjective response of perceptions,

00:29:07.119 --> 00:29:11.799
but In reality, the hard data, the strong data,

00:29:11.799 --> 00:29:14.440
do not speak of the fact that the American economy

00:29:14.440 --> 00:29:21.200
is in a moment of gold, because what we also

00:29:21.200 --> 00:29:24.500
observe is that migrants are a motor, that labor

00:29:24.500 --> 00:29:27.599
force that is an original motor of the economic.

00:29:27.799 --> 00:29:30.880
So the attack that it has had on this part has

00:29:30.880 --> 00:29:33.400
also been an attack on the economy of the United

00:29:33.400 --> 00:29:37.799
States itself. And we see the show. I just saw

00:29:37.799 --> 00:29:40.740
that talking about the applause, it seems that

00:29:40.740 --> 00:29:43.519
the strongest applause was for the hockey team

00:29:43.519 --> 00:29:45.940
that just arrived at the venue. It is supposed

00:29:45.940 --> 00:29:48.819
that this speech is something very solemn, where

00:29:48.819 --> 00:29:51.440
the powers of the government come together, but

00:29:51.440 --> 00:29:54.640
who applauded? The hockey team. I think that

00:29:54.640 --> 00:29:57.359
is also a reflection of Trump's policy. And I

00:29:57.359 --> 00:29:58.819
also think that there are some applause left,

00:29:58.819 --> 00:30:01.529
because this year there was also a boycott. A

00:30:01.529 --> 00:30:04.910
boycott of Democratic legislators who no longer

00:30:04.910 --> 00:30:10.450
want to participate in this show. Let's go to

00:30:10.450 --> 00:30:12.849
the next segment and we'll continue to analyze

00:30:12.849 --> 00:30:18.250
what's going on there in Washington. Oh, we have

00:30:18.250 --> 00:30:21.890
the audio. We're listening to what Donald Trump

00:30:21.890 --> 00:30:27.609
is saying. That's exactly what you were saying.

00:30:32.089 --> 00:30:35.390
A short time ago, we were a dead country. Now,

00:30:35.710 --> 00:30:38.569
we are the hottest country anywhere in the world.

00:30:58.859 --> 00:31:00.660
You have to remember that the presidents of the

00:31:00.660 --> 00:31:03.000
United States, from the government of Ronald

00:31:03.000 --> 00:31:07.180
Reagan, transformed this speech into a show.

00:31:07.339 --> 00:31:11.059
He invited Lenny Stuknik, a common citizen who

00:31:11.059 --> 00:31:14.279
weeks before had assaulted the cold waters of

00:31:14.279 --> 00:31:17.940
the Potomac River. In Trump's first speech, he

00:31:17.940 --> 00:31:21.420
also invited a soldier, this whole show. But

00:31:21.420 --> 00:31:25.599
beyond the show and the paraphernalia, How can

00:31:25.599 --> 00:31:29.279
Donald Trump say that today he respects the security

00:31:29.279 --> 00:31:31.720
forces in the United States more when we have

00:31:31.720 --> 00:31:36.880
seen them in the cameras, raping, murdering,

00:31:36.880 --> 00:31:41.039
persecuting not only migrants, but also American

00:31:41.039 --> 00:31:46.599
citizens? A while ago, Dr. Oscar commented that

00:31:46.599 --> 00:31:50.250
there is no idea of industrial policy. Yo creo

00:31:50.250 --> 00:31:53.950
que la idea justo se presenta en este documento

00:31:53.950 --> 00:31:56.309
del 6 de noviembre del año pasado, en donde es

00:31:56.309 --> 00:31:58.130
un documento de seguridad nacional, digamos,

00:31:58.250 --> 00:32:01.289
pero donde traza justo esta hoja de ruta en general

00:32:01.289 --> 00:32:04.730
para distintos aspectos de la economía que son

00:32:04.730 --> 00:32:06.950
fundamentales para Estados Unidos. El tema de

00:32:06.950 --> 00:32:09.630
la energía para ellos es vital y de ahí yo creo

00:32:09.630 --> 00:32:11.650
que Venezuela juega una parte importante, como

00:32:11.650 --> 00:32:14.230
ya mencioné anteriormente. Irán también lo va

00:32:14.230 --> 00:32:17.490
a demostrar los siguientes meses, pero también

00:32:17.490 --> 00:32:19.900
Estados Unidos sabe que perdió. the race, let's

00:32:19.900 --> 00:32:22.440
say, in terms of technological innovation with

00:32:22.440 --> 00:32:26.700
China. It is a race that I don't think in a second

00:32:26.700 --> 00:32:29.940
phase is willing to leave it as it is. And in

00:32:29.940 --> 00:32:32.400
that sense, it has to be done just from the rare

00:32:32.400 --> 00:32:36.059
earths, from the minerals that are fundamental

00:32:36.059 --> 00:32:40.019
for the construction of solar cells, of electric

00:32:40.019 --> 00:32:45.480
motors, turbines, in short. I think it does have

00:32:45.480 --> 00:32:47.680
an idea of what to do. The fact that the dollar

00:32:47.680 --> 00:32:52.859
is is so low in relation to any other currency

00:32:52.859 --> 00:32:54.960
in the world. It also speaks of the fact that

00:32:54.960 --> 00:32:59.440
exports are much cheaper and the investments

00:32:59.440 --> 00:33:01.819
that you just mentioned, except for verifying

00:33:01.819 --> 00:33:04.920
the data coming out of the program and maybe

00:33:04.920 --> 00:33:07.799
discussing it later, could be a fair reflection

00:33:07.799 --> 00:33:12.140
that there is a lot of interest from some companies

00:33:12.140 --> 00:33:16.019
to return to the United States and have their

00:33:16.920 --> 00:33:19.599
Cierta parte de su industria, cierta parte de

00:33:19.599 --> 00:33:22.339
su cadena productiva. Yo no descartaría una idea

00:33:22.339 --> 00:33:25.759
de fondo de lo que tiene que hacer el hegemón.

00:33:26.500 --> 00:33:29.180
Estados Unidos sigue siendo el mercado más grande

00:33:29.180 --> 00:33:33.099
del mundo en términos de PIB per cápita, y eso

00:33:33.099 --> 00:33:34.859
es fundamental. Fundamental también para México,

00:33:35.039 --> 00:33:36.740
porque al final del día es nuestro principal

00:33:36.740 --> 00:33:40.099
socio comercial. A nosotros no nos conviene,

00:33:40.119 --> 00:33:43.059
digamos, que venga una debacle o una catástrofe

00:33:43.059 --> 00:33:47.880
en términos económicos the most important partner,

00:33:47.880 --> 00:33:51.230
right? And another thing is also... that has

00:33:51.230 --> 00:33:54.230
a strategy for the elections, President Trump,

00:33:54.369 --> 00:33:57.269
and it is this change in the tax return, where

00:33:57.269 --> 00:34:00.309
he is going to return suddenly, let's say, several

00:34:00.309 --> 00:34:03.410
thousand dollars per home, close to the elections,

00:34:03.710 --> 00:34:07.250
just to have that, in tax return, to have that

00:34:07.250 --> 00:34:09.769
benefit, let's say, direct in the pockets of

00:34:09.769 --> 00:34:13.349
the families. Of course, Donald Trump says the

00:34:13.349 --> 00:34:19.289
most popular, and this encloses the need to...

00:34:19.500 --> 00:34:21.699
to see the perspective of what has also been

00:34:21.699 --> 00:34:24.619
happening with its coercion measures, that is,

00:34:24.800 --> 00:34:26.320
all those coercion measures that it has been

00:34:26.320 --> 00:34:28.460
establishing and that it has been forcing many

00:34:28.460 --> 00:34:31.320
countries to look for alternatives. What I mean

00:34:31.320 --> 00:34:33.760
is that they have been the most popular, yes,

00:34:33.900 --> 00:34:39.519
but promoting all those mechanisms of the different

00:34:39.519 --> 00:34:42.400
countries that are currently living together

00:34:42.400 --> 00:34:45.019
all this crisis of historical transition towards

00:34:45.019 --> 00:34:47.840
establishing new connections. We are not talking

00:34:47.840 --> 00:34:51.389
there. of the G7, right? As many of its members

00:34:51.389 --> 00:34:54.369
say, for example, France, we need more Chinese

00:34:54.369 --> 00:34:57.329
investment here. The British Prime Minister,

00:34:57.670 --> 00:35:01.090
the one from Canada, went to present a new type

00:35:01.090 --> 00:35:06.630
of understanding. The European Union with India,

00:35:07.030 --> 00:35:09.389
with the Mercosur. Mexico is also going to establish

00:35:09.389 --> 00:35:12.150
a renewal with the European Union. That is, while

00:35:12.150 --> 00:35:14.929
he says in the self -deception, I would dare

00:35:14.929 --> 00:35:17.929
to say, of the most popular, he is hiding. de

00:35:17.929 --> 00:35:22.610
alguna u otra manera pues que estas mismas medidas

00:35:22.610 --> 00:35:25.309
que se están tomando están fortaleciendo las

00:35:25.309 --> 00:35:27.769
condiciones en las cuales Estados Unidos pudiera

00:35:27.769 --> 00:35:30.190
realmente estar de regreso como un hegemón global.

00:35:30.510 --> 00:35:33.650
Es decir, ya hay una contradicción en el discurso

00:35:33.650 --> 00:35:37.030
mucho más amplia. Es decir, vemos ya una paradoja

00:35:37.030 --> 00:35:40.710
estableciendo en que mientras más dice que brilla

00:35:40.710 --> 00:35:43.989
es que ya no hay esas condiciones, ni siquiera

00:35:43.989 --> 00:35:57.410
se asoman. Y vamos a seguir escuchando. Nobody

00:35:57.410 --> 00:35:59.789
can believe what they're watching. The American

00:35:59.789 --> 00:36:07.269
oil production is up more than 600 ,000 barrels

00:36:07.269 --> 00:36:11.570
a day, and we've received more than 80 million

00:36:11.570 --> 00:36:20.010
barrels of oil. Venezuelan ally. We have received

00:36:20.010 --> 00:36:23.309
more than 600 ,000 barrels, they say. And will

00:36:23.309 --> 00:36:25.289
it continue? I mean, it already has control,

00:36:25.550 --> 00:36:31.489
let's say, of the market. This huge size. Now

00:36:31.489 --> 00:36:33.909
what is missing is a strong investment by the

00:36:33.909 --> 00:36:37.590
American industry. I understand that at first,

00:36:38.010 --> 00:36:40.829
or at least the advances that have gone to different

00:36:40.829 --> 00:36:42.269
oil companies, they say, well, things are not

00:36:42.269 --> 00:36:44.789
so good. We would have to invest a lot to be

00:36:44.789 --> 00:36:46.829
able to exploit the reserves, but it is essential

00:36:46.829 --> 00:36:49.289
to have the reserves. I was saying in another

00:36:49.289 --> 00:36:51.630
intervention that they lost the technological

00:36:51.630 --> 00:36:54.710
career in terms of this green economy and this

00:36:54.710 --> 00:36:57.269
technological development based on renewable

00:36:57.269 --> 00:36:59.719
energies. But at the end of the day, the world

00:36:59.719 --> 00:37:02.519
is still based on oil. The generation of energy

00:37:02.519 --> 00:37:05.300
is based on hydrocarbons. And having strategic

00:37:05.300 --> 00:37:08.420
control in America for them is very important.

00:37:09.059 --> 00:37:13.099
And they are in some important positions. Russia

00:37:13.099 --> 00:37:16.199
will have a part of Ukraine, because I think

00:37:16.199 --> 00:37:19.360
it is also in the negotiation. I do not rule

00:37:19.360 --> 00:37:21.659
out that he mentions the agreement, that also

00:37:21.659 --> 00:37:24.719
at some point he announced that he was going

00:37:24.719 --> 00:37:29.190
to start his mandate between... Putin and Zelensky,

00:37:29.329 --> 00:37:33.469
but I think that is still fundamental. And what

00:37:33.469 --> 00:37:36.289
he says about Venezuela, well, I don't know.

00:37:36.349 --> 00:37:38.570
I don't know how to describe it. And we can't

00:37:38.570 --> 00:37:44.250
forget that he kidnapped a leader. We can't forget

00:37:44.250 --> 00:37:48.920
that this country, Venezuela... well, it was

00:37:48.920 --> 00:37:52.599
agreed with certain right -wing groups and that

00:37:52.599 --> 00:37:55.460
at this moment Donald Trump also drives an initiative,

00:37:55.800 --> 00:37:58.219
what a paradox, that he wants to replace the

00:37:58.219 --> 00:38:02.239
UN, he is asking them... a million dollars to

00:38:02.239 --> 00:38:05.900
each member. We will continue to listen to what

00:38:05.900 --> 00:38:09.599
the Americans have to say. Donald Trump here

00:38:09.599 --> 00:38:12.800
in Economy and Politics on the table, in the

00:38:12.800 --> 00:38:17.199
analysis of our public television. We are analyzing.

00:38:18.280 --> 00:38:21.480
how Donald Trump is creating and strengthening

00:38:21.480 --> 00:38:24.860
his narrative in the midst of applause, in the

00:38:24.860 --> 00:38:27.559
midst of guests, but also in the midst of the

00:38:27.559 --> 00:38:32.380
challenge of the Democrats there in Washington.

00:38:32.840 --> 00:38:37.159
Please stay here, Economic and Political Table,

00:38:37.159 --> 00:38:51.690
our public television. CINEMA 22 PRESENTS CINEMA

00:38:51.690 --> 00:38:54.190
22 PRESENTS CINEMA 22 PRESENTS CINEMA 22 PRESENTS

00:38:54.190 --> 00:39:14.900
CINEMA 22 PRESENTS Dia Internacional de la Lengua

00:39:14.900 --> 00:39:21.119
Materna. Martes, 23 horas. Cinema 22 Mexicano

00:39:21.119 --> 00:39:25.780
presents... Me da mucho gusto de anunciar que

00:39:25.780 --> 00:39:28.860
tenemos acuerdo. Su destino ya estaba arreglado

00:39:28.860 --> 00:39:31.199
por sus padres. Hago cuenta que me cambiaron

00:39:31.199 --> 00:39:34.239
por la vaca. No hables así. Es el costumbre.

00:39:34.460 --> 00:39:38.559
Pero en tiempos de lucha, amar también es resistencia.

00:39:42.829 --> 00:39:46.289
Dia Internacional de la Lengua Materna. Jueves,

00:39:46.309 --> 00:39:54.710
22 .30 horas. Sigue el contenido de Canal 11

00:39:54.710 --> 00:40:07.210
y Canal 22. Sigue el contenido de Canal 11 y

00:40:07.210 --> 00:40:20.840
Canal 22. Our country is winning. In fact, we're

00:40:20.840 --> 00:40:24.440
winning so much that we really don't know what

00:40:24.440 --> 00:40:29.019
to do about it. People are asking me, please,

00:40:29.019 --> 00:40:32.880
please, Mr. President, we're winning so much

00:40:32.880 --> 00:40:37.679
that we really don't know what to do about it.

00:40:38.380 --> 00:40:41.679
Until you came, we were losing. But now we've

00:40:41.679 --> 00:40:44.119
won too much. And now I tell them, no, no, you're

00:40:44.119 --> 00:40:46.460
going to keep winning. You're going to win big,

00:40:46.980 --> 00:40:51.000
bigger than ever. And to prove that point, we

00:40:51.000 --> 00:40:55.880
have with us a group of winners who have just

00:40:55.880 --> 00:40:59.940
made the nation proud, the men's gold medalists

00:40:59.940 --> 00:41:21.360
of the male hockey team. He just presented Donald

00:41:21.360 --> 00:41:25.739
Trump to medallists. He is in the midst of slander,

00:41:26.340 --> 00:41:31.219
in the midst of vociferations. What does Donald

00:41:31.219 --> 00:41:36.039
Trump really say, specifically, seriously? Well,

00:41:36.039 --> 00:41:38.440
it's hard to know what he says seriously because

00:41:38.440 --> 00:41:41.679
this speech is already a ridiculous spectacle.

00:41:42.059 --> 00:41:45.679
It seems so incredible to me that today he speaks

00:41:45.679 --> 00:41:50.449
of Venezuela as an ally When in 2020 I had invited

00:41:50.449 --> 00:41:54.309
Juan Guaidó, a false president that the United

00:41:54.309 --> 00:41:56.769
States decided was going to be the governor of

00:41:56.769 --> 00:41:59.170
Venezuela, they assigned him resources and now

00:41:59.170 --> 00:42:02.329
he is dealing with a chavista of El Cid Rodríguez

00:42:02.329 --> 00:42:05.090
calling her an ally. It is very difficult, but

00:42:05.090 --> 00:42:07.670
it also speaks of how sometimes it is difficult

00:42:07.670 --> 00:42:11.349
to fit well into what is the ideology of Trump,

00:42:11.449 --> 00:42:13.739
but that. I think it could be an opportunity

00:42:13.739 --> 00:42:17.179
for all countries to try to take advantage of

00:42:17.179 --> 00:42:19.099
the fact that it does not have that ideological

00:42:19.099 --> 00:42:22.559
sense as rigid as other mandatories and that

00:42:22.559 --> 00:42:24.820
maybe with that they can take advantage of some

00:42:24.820 --> 00:42:28.019
opening with him. But there is always a risk.

00:42:28.340 --> 00:42:30.380
You were talking about the fact that there are

00:42:30.380 --> 00:42:33.739
different global configurations that are emerging.

00:42:34.260 --> 00:42:36.460
I believe that many, for example, with what happened

00:42:36.460 --> 00:42:39.159
with the aranceles, are wondering if it is really

00:42:39.159 --> 00:42:42.469
worth agreeing with this. administration because

00:42:42.469 --> 00:42:45.210
of the lack of stability. Precisely, some reached

00:42:45.210 --> 00:42:47.889
an agreement about the aranceles and now it turns

00:42:47.889 --> 00:42:50.090
out that because the Supreme Court knocked it

00:42:50.090 --> 00:42:53.349
down, that it no longer makes much sense because

00:42:53.349 --> 00:42:56.289
what they were going to charge them today is

00:42:56.289 --> 00:42:59.130
less thanks to that decision of the court. I

00:42:59.130 --> 00:43:00.610
mean, what's the point of reaching an agreement?

00:43:00.730 --> 00:43:03.909
I was also reviewing some analysts from Canada.

00:43:04.070 --> 00:43:06.309
Canada is in a very similar situation to Mexico

00:43:06.309 --> 00:43:09.050
and many of them agree and say, well, we can

00:43:09.050 --> 00:43:12.119
sign an agreement with Trump. but six days later

00:43:12.119 --> 00:43:13.440
he will say, no, I'm not interested anymore and

00:43:13.440 --> 00:43:15.179
I'm going to cancel it. That's how difficult

00:43:15.179 --> 00:43:17.139
it is, that lack of stability. Well, you have

00:43:17.139 --> 00:43:19.639
to be very astute to know how to deal with a

00:43:19.639 --> 00:43:23.460
man like that. Yes, what I see is, above all,

00:43:23.480 --> 00:43:27.320
remembering that the United States has its real

00:43:27.320 --> 00:43:29.840
strength in the domain of the dollar, that is,

00:43:30.079 --> 00:43:32.139
in the domain of the international financial

00:43:32.139 --> 00:43:35.559
architecture circuit, and that when it is based

00:43:35.559 --> 00:43:38.780
not on gold, for example, on metals, but on the

00:43:38.780 --> 00:43:55.340
dollar, on a currency. Donald Trump had already

00:43:55.340 --> 00:43:58.179
lost in his process, well, the United States

00:43:58.179 --> 00:44:00.739
had already lost its capacity for cutting -edge

00:44:00.739 --> 00:44:04.280
technological innovation, it has lost the ancillary

00:44:04.280 --> 00:44:07.659
war and now it is also losing, it is already

00:44:07.659 --> 00:44:10.980
showing slowdown. of the force that it can have

00:44:10.980 --> 00:44:13.139
in the field of the financial, because let's

00:44:13.139 --> 00:44:16.280
remember that what the court recently decided

00:44:16.280 --> 00:44:20.360
has also been a blow to one of the serious macroeconomic

00:44:20.360 --> 00:44:23.179
problems important to the American economy, which

00:44:23.179 --> 00:44:29.289
is debt. They were going to have an opening,

00:44:29.710 --> 00:44:32.369
a breath, and what we are observing is that that

00:44:32.369 --> 00:44:34.210
mechanism is still there, latent, like a great

00:44:34.210 --> 00:44:37.710
time bomb. Because, I insist, the only way that

00:44:37.710 --> 00:44:41.610
this can be compensated is for the United States

00:44:41.610 --> 00:44:44.389
to activate as a new pole within the multipolar

00:44:44.389 --> 00:44:47.030
world, not as an old force within the tripolar.

00:44:47.369 --> 00:44:50.489
In economic terms. In economic terms, in terms

00:44:50.489 --> 00:44:52.429
of productive capacity, in terms of domination

00:44:52.429 --> 00:44:56.590
of the strongest sectors. in the field of technology,

00:44:56.969 --> 00:44:59.050
and of course there I agree with what you pointed

00:44:59.050 --> 00:45:02.070
out. What the United States is very clear about

00:45:02.070 --> 00:45:07.630
is that it cannot leave energy sovereignty in

00:45:07.630 --> 00:45:09.750
the background. This is a matter of total survival,

00:45:10.150 --> 00:45:15.230
but in contrast to Trump's own speech, it worries

00:45:15.230 --> 00:45:18.929
me because the distance between what is happening

00:45:18.929 --> 00:45:21.989
in reality and what he is proposing as a political

00:45:21.989 --> 00:45:25.500
phenomenon is already too great. I don't agree

00:45:25.500 --> 00:45:28.260
in terms of... For many, the Arancelaria War

00:45:28.260 --> 00:45:33.820
was more of a currency war. In the end, the fund

00:45:33.820 --> 00:45:36.940
was the dollar against the world, but not necessarily

00:45:36.940 --> 00:45:38.880
that the dollar was strengthened, because to

00:45:38.880 --> 00:45:41.039
the United States, in economic terms, it is not

00:45:41.039 --> 00:45:42.940
convenient for the dollar to be strengthened

00:45:42.940 --> 00:45:46.300
just to be able to export the greatest amount

00:45:46.300 --> 00:45:49.800
of goods and attract the greatest level of investment

00:45:49.800 --> 00:45:53.780
just to strengthen its productive chain. I would

00:45:53.780 --> 00:45:56.219
not say that a year after his presidency, from

00:45:56.219 --> 00:46:01.360
January 25 to this moment, a little over a year,

00:46:01.460 --> 00:46:05.219
his plan did not work in terms of attracting

00:46:05.219 --> 00:46:07.980
investment, as I said a while ago. I mean, it

00:46:07.980 --> 00:46:11.719
seems to me that there is still a moment to be

00:46:11.719 --> 00:46:14.679
analyzed. I would not say that it is over yet.

00:46:15.610 --> 00:46:18.150
That project, let's say, of a country that seeks

00:46:18.150 --> 00:46:20.530
reindustrialization, which many countries seek

00:46:20.530 --> 00:46:23.530
at the end of the day. After neoliberalism, the

00:46:23.530 --> 00:46:26.289
disorientation of the production chains and the

00:46:26.289 --> 00:46:28.989
cost reduction occurred throughout the West,

00:46:29.150 --> 00:46:31.289
let's say. It came out of the United States.

00:46:31.349 --> 00:46:34.829
In Mexico, we also had a very bad time. We specialize

00:46:34.829 --> 00:46:38.550
in the maquila and others. And the countries

00:46:38.550 --> 00:46:41.989
just seek that reindustrialization. And in terms

00:46:41.989 --> 00:46:44.889
of the economic analysis at the level of the...

00:46:44.909 --> 00:47:03.849
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . does

00:47:03.849 --> 00:47:05.929
not directly affect the United States because

00:47:05.929 --> 00:47:07.789
the nominal wage is growing more than inflation.

00:47:08.170 --> 00:47:10.989
Yes, in macroeconomic terms it seems that the

00:47:10.989 --> 00:47:14.210
numbers are going well with 18 trillion dollars

00:47:14.210 --> 00:47:19.389
in investment, relocation of some elements of

00:47:19.389 --> 00:47:22.559
the production chains. But without a doubt, I

00:47:22.559 --> 00:47:26.480
think that Donald Trump is weak in terms of moral

00:47:26.480 --> 00:47:30.940
authority. The Epstein case has him very beaten.

00:47:31.480 --> 00:47:35.179
Musk had to go out to remind him and refute his

00:47:35.179 --> 00:47:38.760
loyalty. And a year ago, how did he get there

00:47:38.760 --> 00:47:43.800
with Musk, with the threat of cutting jobs in

00:47:43.800 --> 00:47:47.659
the bureaucracy sector in the United States?

00:47:47.719 --> 00:47:51.460
He had to take a step back, Trump, and Musk left.

00:47:51.719 --> 00:47:54.460
That is, how does Donald Trump get there after

00:47:54.460 --> 00:47:57.360
his plans in Mar -a -Lago? I think he has had

00:47:57.360 --> 00:48:00.820
to change many of his strategies. And today we

00:48:00.820 --> 00:48:03.260
see him on the show, but we're going to continue

00:48:03.260 --> 00:48:07.239
there in the Capitol with Donald Trump. All Democrats,

00:48:07.639 --> 00:48:10.900
every single one of them, voted against these

00:48:10.900 --> 00:48:17.139
really important and very necessary massive tax

00:48:17.139 --> 00:48:24.519
cuts. They wanted large scale tax increases to

00:48:24.519 --> 00:48:29.320
hurt the people instead. But we held strong and

00:48:29.320 --> 00:48:33.380
with the great big beautiful bill, we gave you

00:48:33.380 --> 00:48:40.000
no tax on tips, on overtime and no tax on social

00:48:40.000 --> 00:49:00.530
security for our day and night. son pues más

00:49:00.530 --> 00:49:05.190
subvenciones de impuestos para su grupo de interés.

00:49:05.230 --> 00:49:08.809
Está ofreciendo incluso un fondo para los niños

00:49:08.809 --> 00:49:11.849
que están naciendo durante los próximos tres

00:49:11.849 --> 00:49:15.349
años para que nazcan ya ricos. Creo que está

00:49:15.349 --> 00:49:18.989
haciendo promesas y promesas y promesas rumbo

00:49:18.989 --> 00:49:22.989
a las intermedias. Esta nueva herramienta financiera,

00:49:23.030 --> 00:49:25.670
digamos, que son cuentas individuales justo para

00:49:25.670 --> 00:49:28.530
los recién nacidos, no es una promesa, sino algo

00:49:28.530 --> 00:49:31.349
que hace. materializó digamos como herramienta

00:49:31.349 --> 00:49:34.230
de política económica y por el interés compuesto

00:49:34.230 --> 00:49:37.570
si esto sigue a lo largo de 20 años cuando los

00:49:37.570 --> 00:49:41.250
que están haciendo hoy pues tengan esa edad 20

00:49:41.250 --> 00:49:46.170
años pues digamos que no lo respaldo este tipo

00:49:46.170 --> 00:49:49.190
de herramientas pero digamos que son populares

00:49:49.190 --> 00:49:52.389
en ese sentido el recorte a las propinas no al

00:49:52.389 --> 00:49:54.630
impuesto a las propinas pues justamente también

00:49:54.630 --> 00:49:58.579
busca esa to reverse the 37 % of popularity that

00:49:58.579 --> 00:50:03.219
just the acts of injustice with the state security

00:50:03.219 --> 00:50:04.980
apparatus against its own citizens has generated

00:50:04.980 --> 00:50:07.420
against migrants, as you already mentioned, and

00:50:07.420 --> 00:50:09.760
against different groups throughout their first

00:50:09.760 --> 00:50:12.960
year of this second term. Precisely that is economic

00:50:12.960 --> 00:50:16.119
populism. That is, you are in a situation...

00:50:16.119 --> 00:50:18.500
That is true populism. That is true populism,

00:50:18.500 --> 00:50:21.019
where you are going to develop a series of measures

00:50:21.019 --> 00:50:23.760
that in the very short term will have a feeling

00:50:23.760 --> 00:50:25.860
of improvement with the objective of... as well

00:50:25.860 --> 00:50:28.840
as passing the elections, because once again

00:50:28.840 --> 00:50:32.159
there is no structural change in the American

00:50:32.159 --> 00:50:36.119
economy. It is to remember once again that Trump

00:50:36.119 --> 00:50:38.920
is there in the last instance because precisely

00:50:38.920 --> 00:50:42.760
the world of American work has been degrading.

00:50:43.000 --> 00:50:47.019
So in the sense in which his arancelary measures

00:50:47.019 --> 00:50:49.320
that we pointed out that have been dominating

00:50:49.320 --> 00:50:52.300
his own presence within the global market, well,

00:50:52.340 --> 00:50:57.099
no. And also for an economy of the size of the

00:50:57.099 --> 00:51:00.360
dimension of the United States. Right now I agree

00:51:00.360 --> 00:51:02.239
that it is not that the United States is already

00:51:02.239 --> 00:51:04.579
in the final crisis of disappearance. And how

00:51:04.579 --> 00:51:06.559
good, because Mexico does not like it. Exactly,

00:51:06.599 --> 00:51:09.539
of course. And that in reality in the multipolar

00:51:09.539 --> 00:51:41.139
world... . . . . . . is clear and central. So

00:51:41.139 --> 00:51:44.840
from this perspective, Trump could be able to

00:51:44.840 --> 00:51:51.199
expand, to amplify a little to finish in better

00:51:51.199 --> 00:51:55.400
conditions for his objectives passing these elections.

00:51:55.940 --> 00:52:00.239
But in reality it's just a matter of time, because

00:52:00.239 --> 00:52:02.440
he's not going to offer those answers. And well,

00:52:02.599 --> 00:52:05.239
as Bob Marley's traditional says, you can fool

00:52:05.239 --> 00:52:09.079
people sometimes, but not all the time. So I

00:52:09.079 --> 00:52:11.300
think that from that point of view, there would

00:52:11.300 --> 00:52:14.980
have to be a limitation in that strategy. We

00:52:14.980 --> 00:52:19.340
have another insert of the speech and we return.

00:52:19.820 --> 00:52:25.960
For decades before I came. trade, healthcare,

00:52:26.179 --> 00:52:30.119
energy, immigration, everything was so great

00:52:30.119 --> 00:52:34.739
about the reduction of our working people to

00:52:34.739 --> 00:52:37.340
make our country great and make our country run.

00:52:37.780 --> 00:52:41.500
Under Biden and his corrupt allies in Congress

00:52:41.500 --> 00:52:44.219
and beyond, it reached a breaking point for the

00:52:44.219 --> 00:52:52.670
British and open borders for everyone. from mental

00:52:52.670 --> 00:52:57.289
insecurities. There were murders, 11 ,888 murders

00:52:57.289 --> 00:52:59.690
that came into our country. You allowed that

00:52:59.690 --> 00:53:03.429
to happen. And records of inflation, the typical

00:53:03.429 --> 00:53:10.989
family made $4 ,000 in just a speckle gun. Now,

00:53:11.130 --> 00:53:14.269
the same people in this same vote who voted for

00:53:14.269 --> 00:53:19.030
those disasters suddenly used the word affordability

00:53:19.030 --> 00:53:20.250
away from their society. They gave it to them.

00:53:20.539 --> 00:53:27.960
going too well that they caused this increase

00:53:27.960 --> 00:53:32.400
in prices that the citizens have had to deal

00:53:32.400 --> 00:53:49.559
with. You caused that problem. They knew their

00:53:49.559 --> 00:53:51.940
statements were a lie. They knew it. They knew

00:53:51.940 --> 00:53:55.880
their statements were a dirty, rotten lie. Their

00:53:55.880 --> 00:53:59.920
policies created the high prices. Our policies

00:53:59.920 --> 00:54:04.260
are rapid in costs. And now our policies are

00:54:04.260 --> 00:54:08.739
really, really well. The prices are going down.

00:54:14.039 --> 00:54:16.820
to the internal sphere, it is seen that it has

00:54:16.820 --> 00:54:20.539
its eyes set on the intermediaries. It says that

00:54:20.539 --> 00:54:23.420
the Biden administration and its allies in Congress

00:54:23.420 --> 00:54:28.369
gave the Americans the worst inflation. that

00:54:28.369 --> 00:54:30.949
that country has had, but that in just 12 months

00:54:30.949 --> 00:54:36.510
he achieved the lowest levels and bring inflation

00:54:36.510 --> 00:54:41.610
to 1 .7 % in 2025. But hey, I would also have

00:54:41.610 --> 00:54:43.949
to clarify that there was the pandemic, that

00:54:43.949 --> 00:54:46.530
there were so many problems linked to the price

00:54:46.530 --> 00:54:50.550
of energy, with grain issues derived from Ukraine.

00:54:50.809 --> 00:54:52.550
I don't think Trump is being very objective.

00:54:53.050 --> 00:54:56.329
No, not at all. I think the most important thing

00:54:56.639 --> 00:54:58.719
to remember is that it is an electoral year,

00:54:58.719 --> 00:55:00.900
we do not have the intermediate elections, we

00:55:00.900 --> 00:55:06.639
have an electoral year, where all his achievements

00:55:06.639 --> 00:55:08.960
are concentrated, he speaks lies about everything

00:55:08.960 --> 00:55:11.559
that he has been able to improve in the lives

00:55:11.559 --> 00:55:14.769
of the American people, but also He criticizes

00:55:14.769 --> 00:55:18.010
his opponents directly. It seems that he is trying

00:55:18.010 --> 00:55:21.329
to invite them to respond, and at least we have

00:55:21.329 --> 00:55:24.030
seen that they do not respond as he perhaps wishes,

00:55:24.269 --> 00:55:26.590
to paint himself as the great statist and the

00:55:26.590 --> 00:55:29.690
others down there. But this is an electoral discourse.

00:55:29.789 --> 00:55:32.690
He knows that he is trying to position his party,

00:55:32.889 --> 00:55:34.849
because he does not present himself, but his

00:55:34.849 --> 00:55:38.130
party for the elections of the Congress, in a

00:55:38.130 --> 00:55:43.820
good way to try to continue having the... Indispensable

00:55:43.820 --> 00:55:46.059
para su agenda. Pero lo que ya me llama la atención

00:55:46.059 --> 00:55:49.360
es que su discurso es un discurso del republicano

00:55:49.360 --> 00:55:52.400
como del pasado, antes de Trump, de recortes

00:55:52.400 --> 00:55:55.960
a los impuestos, de reducir el tamaño del Estado,

00:55:56.099 --> 00:56:17.099
de ayudar a los... And it seems that Mexico,

00:56:17.360 --> 00:56:25.840
so far... Llevamos casi una hora del discurso

00:56:25.840 --> 00:56:29.199
de Donald Trump y no tenemos noticias, pero seguramente

00:56:29.199 --> 00:56:31.880
más adelante lo hará. Sí, lo que sí es interesante

00:56:31.880 --> 00:56:35.019
es seguir viendo cómo se va separando el discurso

00:56:35.019 --> 00:56:38.599
de Trump de la realidad y cómo además está insistiendo

00:56:38.599 --> 00:56:41.599
ahorita que escuchábamos también lo del ganando

00:56:41.599 --> 00:56:44.940
y no hemos ganado tanto y estamos cansados de

00:56:44.940 --> 00:56:47.699
tanto ganar, que todo esto ya se ha constituido.

00:56:47.739 --> 00:56:51.119
Primero pensaba en el discurso de la épica, pero

00:56:51.119 --> 00:56:54.630
en realidad. this could be practically a comedy,

00:56:54.889 --> 00:56:57.949
in theatrical terms, in scene terms, it is an

00:56:57.949 --> 00:57:01.650
epic comedy that coincides, it has this electoral

00:57:01.650 --> 00:57:05.269
objective, but it also reflects the ideological

00:57:05.269 --> 00:57:09.969
crisis, that is, the banality of using different

00:57:09.969 --> 00:57:12.409
cuts of the ideological history of the United

00:57:12.409 --> 00:57:16.570
States to try to get pragmatic elements. After

00:57:16.570 --> 00:57:19.010
the reports from the banks of the Federal Reserve,

00:57:19.010 --> 00:57:21.730
the reverse that the Supreme Court gives you,

00:57:21.000 --> 00:57:23.039
to lose the intermediaries would be catastrophic

00:57:23.039 --> 00:57:27.659
for his project. As we know, he can't go for

00:57:27.659 --> 00:57:31.139
a third term, but he certainly wants the Republican

00:57:31.139 --> 00:57:33.400
Party to stay in power. The vice president, there

00:57:33.400 --> 00:57:38.940
we see it in the image, J .D. Vance, is the pinnacle

00:57:38.940 --> 00:57:42.699
within the Republicans. And this whole group

00:57:42.699 --> 00:57:45.760
is very interested in going back to what is happening.

00:57:45.900 --> 00:57:48.800
So I wouldn't rule out any other way more military

00:57:48.800 --> 00:58:06.139
actions in the world. Thank you and stay on the

00:58:06.139 --> 00:58:19.480
channel. Esto fue una producción de Canal 11

00:58:19.480 --> 00:58:20.519
y Canal 29.
