This is a production of Channel 11 and Channel
22. Should the Supreme Leader in Iran be worried
right now? I would say he should be very worried,
yeah. He should be. As you know, they're negotiating
with us. Look, I settled eight wars. Of the eight
wars, at least six were settled because of tariffs.
In other words, I said, if you don't settle this
war, I'm going to charge you tariffs because
I don't want to see people getting killed. And
I've been the best friend to Israel, I think,
that they've ever had. A lot of people say beyond
precedence that they've ever had. We will continue.
Cuba is right now a failed nation. They don't
even have jet fuel to get for airplanes to take
off. They're clogging up their runway. We're
talking to Cuba right now. They have Marco Rubio
talking to Cuba right now. They should absolutely
make a deal because it's a humanitarian threat.
Now is the time for Iran to join us on a path
that will complete what we're doing. And if they
join us, that'll be great. If they don't join
us, that'll be great too. But it'll be a very
different path. They cannot continue to threaten
the stability of the entire region. And they
must make a deal. Or if that doesn't happen,
I maybe can understand. If it doesn't happen,
it doesn't happen. But bad things will happen.
I'm not looking to hurt Mexico. And I like Mexico.
And by the way, I think... The new president
is a terrific person, a fantastic woman. We've
had many conversations. She's a very elegant,
just a fantastic person. And on our public television,
Channel 11, Channel 22, we give you the most
cordial welcome. I am Claudia Villegas. And before
I tell you what topic we have tonight, I want
to say hello to my colleagues. Tonight we have
Donatío Martínez. How are you, economist? Good
evening, colleagues. Thank you very much. Good
evening. José Luis Granado Ceja, journalist and
political analyst. Hello, good evening. José
Luis, welcome to the table of economy and politics.
And of course, to Dr. Oscar Rojas, economist
and professor. Hello, how are you? Good evening.
Thank you very much for being here tonight. We
are going to talk about what is happening in
real time. At this moment, the speech of the
president of the United States, Donald Trump,
in the Capitol. You know, today is the state
of the nation. 400 days of the exercise of power
of President Donald Trump and that towards the
intermediate elections in the United States seeks
to mark the roadmap. He already said that it
will be a broad, long speech centered on economics
and politics. What can we expect from this speech
in the Capitol? Bueno, yo creo que aquí estaría
cumpliéndose un ciclo. Digamos que la estrategia
que desarrolló Donald Trump con la guerra arancelaria,
pues hoy va a tener como necesidad ver si Trump
puede establecer un convencimiento de que ha
sido una estrategia exitosa y si se puede continuar
en esa vía. Y bueno, yo creo que va a estar muy
complicado porque la realidad se ha estado imponiendo
en Estados Unidos. Es decir, no se ha podido
resolver su crisis interna. which is multidimensional
and, of course, the geopolitical crisis in which
it is. In other words, it is a discourse that
will be contextualized in a historical moment
where the United States will have to recognize
the limitations of these strategies and, therefore,
on the horizon. they will finally create another
type of models, another type of projections.
That's what will be interesting. It is also a
moment in the face of the elections that are
approaching. Let's say that this political sub
-cycle begins in that aspect and it will be interesting
to see, of course, always the symbols, the narrative
that is being built and, above all, that there
is a great weight that will be very interesting.
to see if there is any reference because it was
talked about the day of liberation with capital
letters and that conceptualization is in search
of its landing and we will see how they argue
it. We were saying that this is like the Super
Bowl of American politics. And I think Donald
Trump gets beaten. I think the Supreme Court's
decision against his budget, the arancel package,
affects him a lot. And not only on the subject
of tax issues, of fundraising, but also a lot
of his domestic policy. extranjera se basa con
esa política y ya no tiene esa herramienta tiene
otras opciones obviamente va a buscar recuperar
un poco del terreno que ha perdido hay que recordar
que este es su segundo discurso pero realmente
es solamente después de un año lo que vamos a
ver yo creo que esta noche va a ser un intento
de pues de empezar de nuevo no viendo sus niveles
de aprobación que están por los pisos nos bajísimos
y la casa blanca suele filtrar unos aspectos
de su discurso They have already started to come
out and apparently they are going to talk about
a new American revolution that is going to want
to say a transformation never seen before. But
I think that above all what he is going to seek
to do is distract. to point out enemies of his
political project, criticize the communities,
and apparently one of the communities that he
plans to criticize tonight is the Somali community,
using the old reliable of his politics, which
is racism. And in the context that this is given,
as Oscar and José Luis already mentioned, It's
a critical moment in terms of losing the last
elections in New York, New Jersey, Virginia,
recently a local election in Texas, also historically,
evidently the Republicans were the strong ones.
It also happens in the context where there are
two murders in Minneapolis. A housewife, a mother
of a family, a nurse who was protesting against
the situation and how ICE has behaved against
migrants. And also, in terms of the institutions
that, let's say, in one way or another, respond
to President Donald Trump, there are the central
banks, the banks that belong to the Federal Reserve,
and they show through studies and reports that,
in reality, the arancelary impact has not brought
a direct benefit like he did. the United States.
And in this moment we are seeing on the screen
the entry of President Donald Trump to the Capitol.
He will have as an answer to his speech, precisely,
to the governor of Virginia, to Virginia, to
Abigail Spanberg, who was the one who snatched
the Republicans from this region in Virginia.
Then we will also see that a group of Democrats
will be absent from this speech because they
will also have their accountability in an exercise
called the State of the Union of the People.
A little before he started this speech that we
are seeing, rather, that he is starting, he welcomed
his guests, a popular music singer in the United
States, rap, Nicki Minaj. He also welcomed the
widow of Charlie Kirk. It is an exercise that
some presidents of the United States have done,
as José Luis said, which is a Super Bowl of politics
and they have done it a real show, an exercise
in which political groups are sought to avenge
who are following the trajectory of the president
in turn, that as you commented Tonatiuh arrives
weak. con una aprobación muy baja. Incluso la
preferencia de los republicanos está bajando
y llega en enero con una generación de empleos,
de acuerdo con los últimos datos del Departamento
del Trabajo, de 130 ,000 empleos, pero que...
During 2025 it was very weak. This means that
the strategy of the aranceles is not working
at all. Yes, exactly. I mean, I think we can
already conclude it, not even analyze it, but
conclude that there were two essential elements.
One was to stop the evolution of China, it did
not achieve it. China continues in an evolution
that does not react to this type of poison. And
right now what we are also observing, that you
are rescuing well, Claudia, pues tiene que ver
con que sus indicadores macroeconómicos, la evolución
de la economía estadounidense ya es una sombra
de lo que fue en sus mejores momentos y a base
de discursos se antoja muy complicado la recuperación.
Sigue siendo de fondo la necesidad de Estados
Unidos de reindustrializarse. Recordemos que
la base maga viene de la herida de la desindustrialización
en términos de su ubicación geográfica y social.
Entonces estamos ante una crisis. Digamos que
este va a ser un discurso histórico en el sentido
de que quizá podamos enunciar que es el discurso
primero de Estados Unidos como ahora una fuerza
de carácter regional, ya no en su hegemonía global.
Ya habías mencionado los invitados. También los
demócratas tienen unos invitados presentes aquí.
Muchos de los sobrevivientes de la violencia
de género que sufrieron con Epstein y algunas
también de Trump están ahí. present in this speech.
I believe that there is a lot of symbolism in
this speech. Speaking of what we can expect,
I believe that what we are also going to see
is an attempt to blame the previous administration
for the economic problems that the country is
facing. I believe that without a doubt it has
been realized that its own base is in a certain
way disappointed. because they have not seen
that great advance that had promised the return
of the industry. It is not happening. And that
is why the White House spokeswoman today also
said no, because we are trying to recover because
everything that we inherited from the Biden administration.
But in the end it is his policies. He came promising
many things, especially to alleviate the situation
of the cost of living of the American working
class. He has not achieved it. Well, I think
we are already seeing Well, that discontent that
helps us understand why also their levels of
approval and particularly with the independents,
which are a very important factor in American
politics, because they are very low. Here I would
also like to bring to the collation that, let's
say, the effect of the aranceles has already
been demonstrated or the studies show, the recent
studies show that in effect the cost of goods
has increased. This is just a tool of political
exterior que lo utilizó. A lo mejor probablemente
la única herramienta de política exterior que
le utilizó esta herramienta económica para justo
primero tratar de ajustar la reindustrialización,
digamos, de Estados Unidos. Yo no diría que eso
no necesariamente puede ocurrir porque el efecto
a los países o contra los países a los que impuso
los aranceles, pues sí, digamos, frenó de una
u otra forma la inversión. Claro, encareció los
bienes en Estados Unidos, pero también desincentivó
la inversión en el resto de los países. países
del mundo. Europa desde mi punto de vista lo
tenía contra las cuerdas por estos motivos. China
es el gran ganador porque del 50 % que tenía
de aranceles ahora tiene que disminuir al 15
% por el nuevo... The Supreme Court of the United
States, in a vote of 5 against 3, put this series
of decrees back. And in a court that is also
composed of a conservative majority, or Republican,
if we want to see it that way. Some named by
Trump himself, who do not go or do not support.
digamos esta herramienta y también en el análisis
que hacen los integrantes de la suprema corte
no necesariamente se dicen que estaba mal el
presidente pero que utilizó un camino incorrecto
para poder implementar los aranceles entonces
digamos creo que todavía hay una puerta abierta
para que juegue en los siguientes meses y se
está introduciendo un nuevo elemento mencionábamos
que están las víctimas del caso Epstein Y las
primeras palabras del presidente Donald Trump
en el Capitolio, como pudimos ver en las imágenes,
le generan un aplauso a Melania Trump. Seguramente
le dedicó unas palabras. to try to balance this
social weight that he has. According to the international
press, specifically the newspaper El País, most
Americans already consider that Trump is becoming
erratic with age. It seems that there are elements,
there are factors that are observing that we
see a Trump who tries to strengthen himself geopolitically
to the outside, but who is becoming erratic,
as if trying to excuse his mistakes a little.
This is according to a Reuters -IPSO survey published
just a few hours before this presidential speech,
which even reflects that 30 % of Republicans
have this idea. present, which tells us a little
about how the career is going to be defined,
the direction in the intermediates. And I would
just like to comment that he promised America
is back. Really, at this moment, three years
later, we are going to see it because the roadmap
he is trying to mark. Well, it will be the one
of the next 30 years, when in the prelude and
when he thanked his guests, he thanked the Secretary
of the Treasury for all his support. He said,
we are doing it right. And it comes in the middle
of a confrontation with the Federal Reserve when
the Supreme Court of Justice gave a statement
that caused a fall and volatility in the markets.
I believe that Donald Trump is running out of
fuel, credibility around what he wanted. to build
around the possibility of redirecting the American
economy, which actually has structural problems.
And today the base of the American voters have
less money in their pockets, they have more inflationary
pressure, it is costing them more work to recover
their quality of life, and I would only leave
at the table that comes... without this element
that he gave in his first speech, Mexico, when
the migration steps fell, the drug decommissioning
also increased and today the triumph is for Mexico
with its security strategy and it will no longer
be able to tree it tonight unless something else
happens. If the North American market follows
in general as a macro region within the global
geopolitical restructuring, it is very interesting
because we are seeing these geological movements
even, that is, they are not like that on top.
We are facing a restructuring of all these elements.
I think that right now I would emphasize that
this decision of the court did give it a very
hard blow. I mean, I even see it as a little
bit not so thrown forward. because it really
was the main strategy. It was, in some way or
another, also the way in which he was explaining
how he understands the economy. And I think that
these blows, also with his own, the representatives
of the financial capital, also tells us that
the model is no longer being able to make a unity
of all those elements. Now, precisely with this
discourse of the Union, in the sense that its
historical elements, the United States, Keynesianism,
for example, is where the structure of economic
policy evolved in general, and now it is not
being able to have this coordination. So I think
it is another element that speaks of this structural
crisis. And we see that call to nostalgia. He
opens his speech, our nation is back, bigger,
richer, stronger than ever. That has always been
a very important part of his speech, which to
me, from my point of view, also seems like an
echo of fascism, to say that we were better before.
Beyond Donald Trump's narrative, we return. Con
hechos, no palabras, el PRI resuelve. Llevamos
canasta básica a bajo costo a 56 comunidades
de todo el país. Pri, el mejor partido de México.
Celso Soto, asesor en accesibilidad digital.
Todas esas tareas que para la mayoría de nosotros
son de lo más normal, para Celso Soto son algo
más complicadas y representan un triunfo personal
contra la exclusión y el aislamiento por la ceguera.
Un día con Guillermo Osorno. Episodio de estreno,
martes 22 .30 horas. El Canal de las Culturas
de México. Gracias por continuar en la barra
de análisis de los medios públicos. Seguimos
hablando del discurso del presidente de Estados
Unidos, Donald Trump, en el Capitolio. Ahora
veremos un fragmento del discurso en los primeros
minutos. Vamos con eso. Members of Congress and
my fellow Americans, our nation is back. Bigger,
better, richer, and stronger than ever before.
In less than five months from now, our country
will celebrate an epic milestone in American
history. The 250th anniversary of our glorious
American independence. This July 1 will mark
two and a half centuries of liberty and trust,
progress and freedom, the most incredible and
exceptional nation ever to exist on the face
of the Caribbean. Magnífica nación. Y no hemos
visto nada aún. Vamos a seguir mejorando. Y esta
es la edad de oro de Estados Unidos. And not
long ago, the Venezuelan resources were taken.
There was an incursion to take the president
to Venezuela. Now he's in prison in the United
States. And they are just administering the wealth
of one of the countries that has the largest
oil reserves in the world. And they just don't
conquer it, so to speak, they don't send more
troops, the US army doesn't invade the territory,
there is only one... of the president in the
role of President Maduro, but they will manage
just how much they are going to stay and how
much they are going to allow Venezuela with now
this DELSI. Chávez, Rodríguez, sorry, in power,
then exercise the resources. So, that on the
one hand, we have the issue of Cuba, that we
don't necessarily talk about natural resources,
but rather of a kind of ideology, and where maybe
they are talking to a part of the electorate
of Florida, or to the electorate of Florida.
But there is also the part of Iran, because it
seems that it is what follows in terms of geopolitics
and geopolitics worldwide. And it is dangerous
because just the aircraft carrier, this destroyer,
the Abraham Lincoln that arrived on the coasts
of Venezuela, is now in Oman and is already in
position in Iran, which for many specialists
could even unleash the Third World War. Well,
I think this number of 250, I think it could
be a route also to reflect around the historical
depth that is currently having all this that
we commented, that is, it is 250 years of existence
of this country, of this state, and coincidentally
it is also the 250 years of the wealth of the
nations of Adam Smith, who was seeing the global
market evolving at a time when it was dominated
precisamente el comercio y que ahora lo que nos
deja como lección toda esta fallida guerra arancelaria
pues es de que los problemas no los puede resolver
a base de medidas fiscales, que en última instancia
es una medida fiscal, sino que necesitas política
industrial, entonces a 250 años todavía hay remanentes
desde ese punto de vista, es decir, habría que
ver una reactualización de este pensamiento,
por supuesto, porque pues this golden age, this
announcement of the golden age, is already like
an announcement of a ghost, because the United
States had, of course, its golden age, especially
in the first years of the post -war period, but
since then there has been a series of crises,
that is, we do not believe that this is a critical
moment when the United States simply had an accident
on the way, but that this is also the end of
a whole cyclical crisis that is coming even since
the 70s. We are talking about a historical depth
in this type of discourse. Yes, I agree with
you. I believe that what we are seeing with this
president and all his decisions and his way of
governing is a sample of the weakness of the
political system of the United States, of an
empire in decline. And I think that's also why
we see that he gives so much emphasis to the
economic situation, trying to paint a situation
that does not reflect the reality of the American
working class, but he is going to insist a lot.
And in fact, I think that's going to be his main
message, to try to convince that the situation
is better for the working class, talking about
the fact that inflation is going down, etc.,
etc. It would be interesting to see. how he thinks
about international issues. Because this speech
is usually focused on the domestic situation,
the situation of the country, but we already
know that for him it is important to project
a global image. We will see what he tells us
there. And we are going to listen to what is
happening in the Capitol with Donald Trump and
what he is telling the Americans. Today our border
is secure, our security is restored, inflation
is plummeting, incomes are rising fast, the raw
economy is growing like never before, and our
enemies are scared, our military and police are
stacked, and America is respected again, perhaps
like never before. After four years in which
millions and millions of illegal aliens crossed
our borders, totally unfair and unchecked, we
now have the strongest and safest border in the
American history by far. better than ever. As
never before, police forces are respected in
the United States. And after four years, I would
say at the peak of extortion, they have the safest
border in the world. There are applause, but
not the applause so nourished that we saw in
the first year when he had catapulted all his
promises. y había respondido a sus grupos de
interés. Yo veo un aplauso mucho más delgado.
Yes, well, it is that they are measures, insist
on this part, they are measures that are working
in a strategy of being governing not with results,
but being governing with the reconformation of
subjectivities. That is to say, even if you do
not have a better economic reality, that through
the discourse that you accept it as a platform.
We see this very clearly, for example, in the
Argentine mirror. What is also in the background
is that in the current fracture of the United
States, there are also different groups of capitalists.
And there is also a discussion, an intimate fight,
I would say, because obviously, right now that
you are mentioning the issue of migration, we
know that it has been your resource par excellence
to be depositing the guilt of structural failures
always in the other, in the outside, in the enemy.
So all this discourse is there, is less and less.
I think that also within this year that we have
had with Donald Trump 2 .0, because also here
we have been doing a disarticulation, a deconstruction
of his speech, understanding when it is inside,
when it is outside and all this discursive, but
that, I insist, continues to involve that there
is no structural response, that is, it is expected
that there is a subjective response of perceptions,
but In reality, the hard data, the strong data,
do not speak of the fact that the American economy
is in a moment of gold, because what we also
observe is that migrants are a motor, that labor
force that is an original motor of the economic.
So the attack that it has had on this part has
also been an attack on the economy of the United
States itself. And we see the show. I just saw
that talking about the applause, it seems that
the strongest applause was for the hockey team
that just arrived at the venue. It is supposed
that this speech is something very solemn, where
the powers of the government come together, but
who applauded? The hockey team. I think that
is also a reflection of Trump's policy. And I
also think that there are some applause left,
because this year there was also a boycott. A
boycott of Democratic legislators who no longer
want to participate in this show. Let's go to
the next segment and we'll continue to analyze
what's going on there in Washington. Oh, we have
the audio. We're listening to what Donald Trump
is saying. That's exactly what you were saying.
A short time ago, we were a dead country. Now,
we are the hottest country anywhere in the world.
You have to remember that the presidents of the
United States, from the government of Ronald
Reagan, transformed this speech into a show.
He invited Lenny Stuknik, a common citizen who
weeks before had assaulted the cold waters of
the Potomac River. In Trump's first speech, he
also invited a soldier, this whole show. But
beyond the show and the paraphernalia, How can
Donald Trump say that today he respects the security
forces in the United States more when we have
seen them in the cameras, raping, murdering,
persecuting not only migrants, but also American
citizens? A while ago, Dr. Oscar commented that
there is no idea of industrial policy. Yo creo
que la idea justo se presenta en este documento
del 6 de noviembre del año pasado, en donde es
un documento de seguridad nacional, digamos,
pero donde traza justo esta hoja de ruta en general
para distintos aspectos de la economía que son
fundamentales para Estados Unidos. El tema de
la energía para ellos es vital y de ahí yo creo
que Venezuela juega una parte importante, como
ya mencioné anteriormente. Irán también lo va
a demostrar los siguientes meses, pero también
Estados Unidos sabe que perdió. the race, let's
say, in terms of technological innovation with
China. It is a race that I don't think in a second
phase is willing to leave it as it is. And in
that sense, it has to be done just from the rare
earths, from the minerals that are fundamental
for the construction of solar cells, of electric
motors, turbines, in short. I think it does have
an idea of what to do. The fact that the dollar
is is so low in relation to any other currency
in the world. It also speaks of the fact that
exports are much cheaper and the investments
that you just mentioned, except for verifying
the data coming out of the program and maybe
discussing it later, could be a fair reflection
that there is a lot of interest from some companies
to return to the United States and have their
Cierta parte de su industria, cierta parte de
su cadena productiva. Yo no descartaría una idea
de fondo de lo que tiene que hacer el hegemón.
Estados Unidos sigue siendo el mercado más grande
del mundo en términos de PIB per cápita, y eso
es fundamental. Fundamental también para México,
porque al final del día es nuestro principal
socio comercial. A nosotros no nos conviene,
digamos, que venga una debacle o una catástrofe
en términos económicos the most important partner,
right? And another thing is also... that has
a strategy for the elections, President Trump,
and it is this change in the tax return, where
he is going to return suddenly, let's say, several
thousand dollars per home, close to the elections,
just to have that, in tax return, to have that
benefit, let's say, direct in the pockets of
the families. Of course, Donald Trump says the
most popular, and this encloses the need to...
to see the perspective of what has also been
happening with its coercion measures, that is,
all those coercion measures that it has been
establishing and that it has been forcing many
countries to look for alternatives. What I mean
is that they have been the most popular, yes,
but promoting all those mechanisms of the different
countries that are currently living together
all this crisis of historical transition towards
establishing new connections. We are not talking
there. of the G7, right? As many of its members
say, for example, France, we need more Chinese
investment here. The British Prime Minister,
the one from Canada, went to present a new type
of understanding. The European Union with India,
with the Mercosur. Mexico is also going to establish
a renewal with the European Union. That is, while
he says in the self -deception, I would dare
to say, of the most popular, he is hiding. de
alguna u otra manera pues que estas mismas medidas
que se están tomando están fortaleciendo las
condiciones en las cuales Estados Unidos pudiera
realmente estar de regreso como un hegemón global.
Es decir, ya hay una contradicción en el discurso
mucho más amplia. Es decir, vemos ya una paradoja
estableciendo en que mientras más dice que brilla
es que ya no hay esas condiciones, ni siquiera
se asoman. Y vamos a seguir escuchando. Nobody
can believe what they're watching. The American
oil production is up more than 600 ,000 barrels
a day, and we've received more than 80 million
barrels of oil. Venezuelan ally. We have received
more than 600 ,000 barrels, they say. And will
it continue? I mean, it already has control,
let's say, of the market. This huge size. Now
what is missing is a strong investment by the
American industry. I understand that at first,
or at least the advances that have gone to different
oil companies, they say, well, things are not
so good. We would have to invest a lot to be
able to exploit the reserves, but it is essential
to have the reserves. I was saying in another
intervention that they lost the technological
career in terms of this green economy and this
technological development based on renewable
energies. But at the end of the day, the world
is still based on oil. The generation of energy
is based on hydrocarbons. And having strategic
control in America for them is very important.
And they are in some important positions. Russia
will have a part of Ukraine, because I think
it is also in the negotiation. I do not rule
out that he mentions the agreement, that also
at some point he announced that he was going
to start his mandate between... Putin and Zelensky,
but I think that is still fundamental. And what
he says about Venezuela, well, I don't know.
I don't know how to describe it. And we can't
forget that he kidnapped a leader. We can't forget
that this country, Venezuela... well, it was
agreed with certain right -wing groups and that
at this moment Donald Trump also drives an initiative,
what a paradox, that he wants to replace the
UN, he is asking them... a million dollars to
each member. We will continue to listen to what
the Americans have to say. Donald Trump here
in Economy and Politics on the table, in the
analysis of our public television. We are analyzing.
how Donald Trump is creating and strengthening
his narrative in the midst of applause, in the
midst of guests, but also in the midst of the
challenge of the Democrats there in Washington.
Please stay here, Economic and Political Table,
our public television. CINEMA 22 PRESENTS CINEMA
22 PRESENTS CINEMA 22 PRESENTS CINEMA 22 PRESENTS
CINEMA 22 PRESENTS Dia Internacional de la Lengua
Materna. Martes, 23 horas. Cinema 22 Mexicano
presents... Me da mucho gusto de anunciar que
tenemos acuerdo. Su destino ya estaba arreglado
por sus padres. Hago cuenta que me cambiaron
por la vaca. No hables así. Es el costumbre.
Pero en tiempos de lucha, amar también es resistencia.
Dia Internacional de la Lengua Materna. Jueves,
22 .30 horas. Sigue el contenido de Canal 11
y Canal 22. Sigue el contenido de Canal 11 y
Canal 22. Our country is winning. In fact, we're
winning so much that we really don't know what
to do about it. People are asking me, please,
please, Mr. President, we're winning so much
that we really don't know what to do about it.
Until you came, we were losing. But now we've
won too much. And now I tell them, no, no, you're
going to keep winning. You're going to win big,
bigger than ever. And to prove that point, we
have with us a group of winners who have just
made the nation proud, the men's gold medalists
of the male hockey team. He just presented Donald
Trump to medallists. He is in the midst of slander,
in the midst of vociferations. What does Donald
Trump really say, specifically, seriously? Well,
it's hard to know what he says seriously because
this speech is already a ridiculous spectacle.
It seems so incredible to me that today he speaks
of Venezuela as an ally When in 2020 I had invited
Juan Guaidó, a false president that the United
States decided was going to be the governor of
Venezuela, they assigned him resources and now
he is dealing with a chavista of El Cid Rodríguez
calling her an ally. It is very difficult, but
it also speaks of how sometimes it is difficult
to fit well into what is the ideology of Trump,
but that. I think it could be an opportunity
for all countries to try to take advantage of
the fact that it does not have that ideological
sense as rigid as other mandatories and that
maybe with that they can take advantage of some
opening with him. But there is always a risk.
You were talking about the fact that there are
different global configurations that are emerging.
I believe that many, for example, with what happened
with the aranceles, are wondering if it is really
worth agreeing with this. administration because
of the lack of stability. Precisely, some reached
an agreement about the aranceles and now it turns
out that because the Supreme Court knocked it
down, that it no longer makes much sense because
what they were going to charge them today is
less thanks to that decision of the court. I
mean, what's the point of reaching an agreement?
I was also reviewing some analysts from Canada.
Canada is in a very similar situation to Mexico
and many of them agree and say, well, we can
sign an agreement with Trump. but six days later
he will say, no, I'm not interested anymore and
I'm going to cancel it. That's how difficult
it is, that lack of stability. Well, you have
to be very astute to know how to deal with a
man like that. Yes, what I see is, above all,
remembering that the United States has its real
strength in the domain of the dollar, that is,
in the domain of the international financial
architecture circuit, and that when it is based
not on gold, for example, on metals, but on the
dollar, on a currency. Donald Trump had already
lost in his process, well, the United States
had already lost its capacity for cutting -edge
technological innovation, it has lost the ancillary
war and now it is also losing, it is already
showing slowdown. of the force that it can have
in the field of the financial, because let's
remember that what the court recently decided
has also been a blow to one of the serious macroeconomic
problems important to the American economy, which
is debt. They were going to have an opening,
a breath, and what we are observing is that that
mechanism is still there, latent, like a great
time bomb. Because, I insist, the only way that
this can be compensated is for the United States
to activate as a new pole within the multipolar
world, not as an old force within the tripolar.
In economic terms. In economic terms, in terms
of productive capacity, in terms of domination
of the strongest sectors. in the field of technology,
and of course there I agree with what you pointed
out. What the United States is very clear about
is that it cannot leave energy sovereignty in
the background. This is a matter of total survival,
but in contrast to Trump's own speech, it worries
me because the distance between what is happening
in reality and what he is proposing as a political
phenomenon is already too great. I don't agree
in terms of... For many, the Arancelaria War
was more of a currency war. In the end, the fund
was the dollar against the world, but not necessarily
that the dollar was strengthened, because to
the United States, in economic terms, it is not
convenient for the dollar to be strengthened
just to be able to export the greatest amount
of goods and attract the greatest level of investment
just to strengthen its productive chain. I would
not say that a year after his presidency, from
January 25 to this moment, a little over a year,
his plan did not work in terms of attracting
investment, as I said a while ago. I mean, it
seems to me that there is still a moment to be
analyzed. I would not say that it is over yet.
That project, let's say, of a country that seeks
reindustrialization, which many countries seek
at the end of the day. After neoliberalism, the
disorientation of the production chains and the
cost reduction occurred throughout the West,
let's say. It came out of the United States.
In Mexico, we also had a very bad time. We specialize
in the maquila and others. And the countries
just seek that reindustrialization. And in terms
of the economic analysis at the level of the...
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . does
not directly affect the United States because
the nominal wage is growing more than inflation.
Yes, in macroeconomic terms it seems that the
numbers are going well with 18 trillion dollars
in investment, relocation of some elements of
the production chains. But without a doubt, I
think that Donald Trump is weak in terms of moral
authority. The Epstein case has him very beaten.
Musk had to go out to remind him and refute his
loyalty. And a year ago, how did he get there
with Musk, with the threat of cutting jobs in
the bureaucracy sector in the United States?
He had to take a step back, Trump, and Musk left.
That is, how does Donald Trump get there after
his plans in Mar -a -Lago? I think he has had
to change many of his strategies. And today we
see him on the show, but we're going to continue
there in the Capitol with Donald Trump. All Democrats,
every single one of them, voted against these
really important and very necessary massive tax
cuts. They wanted large scale tax increases to
hurt the people instead. But we held strong and
with the great big beautiful bill, we gave you
no tax on tips, on overtime and no tax on social
security for our day and night. son pues más
subvenciones de impuestos para su grupo de interés.
Está ofreciendo incluso un fondo para los niños
que están naciendo durante los próximos tres
años para que nazcan ya ricos. Creo que está
haciendo promesas y promesas y promesas rumbo
a las intermedias. Esta nueva herramienta financiera,
digamos, que son cuentas individuales justo para
los recién nacidos, no es una promesa, sino algo
que hace. materializó digamos como herramienta
de política económica y por el interés compuesto
si esto sigue a lo largo de 20 años cuando los
que están haciendo hoy pues tengan esa edad 20
años pues digamos que no lo respaldo este tipo
de herramientas pero digamos que son populares
en ese sentido el recorte a las propinas no al
impuesto a las propinas pues justamente también
busca esa to reverse the 37 % of popularity that
just the acts of injustice with the state security
apparatus against its own citizens has generated
against migrants, as you already mentioned, and
against different groups throughout their first
year of this second term. Precisely that is economic
populism. That is, you are in a situation...
That is true populism. That is true populism,
where you are going to develop a series of measures
that in the very short term will have a feeling
of improvement with the objective of... as well
as passing the elections, because once again
there is no structural change in the American
economy. It is to remember once again that Trump
is there in the last instance because precisely
the world of American work has been degrading.
So in the sense in which his arancelary measures
that we pointed out that have been dominating
his own presence within the global market, well,
no. And also for an economy of the size of the
dimension of the United States. Right now I agree
that it is not that the United States is already
in the final crisis of disappearance. And how
good, because Mexico does not like it. Exactly,
of course. And that in reality in the multipolar
world... . . . . . . is clear and central. So
from this perspective, Trump could be able to
expand, to amplify a little to finish in better
conditions for his objectives passing these elections.
But in reality it's just a matter of time, because
he's not going to offer those answers. And well,
as Bob Marley's traditional says, you can fool
people sometimes, but not all the time. So I
think that from that point of view, there would
have to be a limitation in that strategy. We
have another insert of the speech and we return.
For decades before I came. trade, healthcare,
energy, immigration, everything was so great
about the reduction of our working people to
make our country great and make our country run.
Under Biden and his corrupt allies in Congress
and beyond, it reached a breaking point for the
British and open borders for everyone. from mental
insecurities. There were murders, 11 ,888 murders
that came into our country. You allowed that
to happen. And records of inflation, the typical
family made $4 ,000 in just a speckle gun. Now,
the same people in this same vote who voted for
those disasters suddenly used the word affordability
away from their society. They gave it to them.
going too well that they caused this increase
in prices that the citizens have had to deal
with. You caused that problem. They knew their
statements were a lie. They knew it. They knew
their statements were a dirty, rotten lie. Their
policies created the high prices. Our policies
are rapid in costs. And now our policies are
really, really well. The prices are going down.
to the internal sphere, it is seen that it has
its eyes set on the intermediaries. It says that
the Biden administration and its allies in Congress
gave the Americans the worst inflation. that
that country has had, but that in just 12 months
he achieved the lowest levels and bring inflation
to 1 .7 % in 2025. But hey, I would also have
to clarify that there was the pandemic, that
there were so many problems linked to the price
of energy, with grain issues derived from Ukraine.
I don't think Trump is being very objective.
No, not at all. I think the most important thing
to remember is that it is an electoral year,
we do not have the intermediate elections, we
have an electoral year, where all his achievements
are concentrated, he speaks lies about everything
that he has been able to improve in the lives
of the American people, but also He criticizes
his opponents directly. It seems that he is trying
to invite them to respond, and at least we have
seen that they do not respond as he perhaps wishes,
to paint himself as the great statist and the
others down there. But this is an electoral discourse.
He knows that he is trying to position his party,
because he does not present himself, but his
party for the elections of the Congress, in a
good way to try to continue having the... Indispensable
para su agenda. Pero lo que ya me llama la atención
es que su discurso es un discurso del republicano
como del pasado, antes de Trump, de recortes
a los impuestos, de reducir el tamaño del Estado,
de ayudar a los... And it seems that Mexico,
so far... Llevamos casi una hora del discurso
de Donald Trump y no tenemos noticias, pero seguramente
más adelante lo hará. Sí, lo que sí es interesante
es seguir viendo cómo se va separando el discurso
de Trump de la realidad y cómo además está insistiendo
ahorita que escuchábamos también lo del ganando
y no hemos ganado tanto y estamos cansados de
tanto ganar, que todo esto ya se ha constituido.
Primero pensaba en el discurso de la épica, pero
en realidad. this could be practically a comedy,
in theatrical terms, in scene terms, it is an
epic comedy that coincides, it has this electoral
objective, but it also reflects the ideological
crisis, that is, the banality of using different
cuts of the ideological history of the United
States to try to get pragmatic elements. After
the reports from the banks of the Federal Reserve,
the reverse that the Supreme Court gives you,
to lose the intermediaries would be catastrophic
for his project. As we know, he can't go for
a third term, but he certainly wants the Republican
Party to stay in power. The vice president, there
we see it in the image, J .D. Vance, is the pinnacle
within the Republicans. And this whole group
is very interested in going back to what is happening.
So I wouldn't rule out any other way more military
actions in the world. Thank you and stay on the
channel. Esto fue una producción de Canal 11
y Canal 29.