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Hey everyone, welcome back.

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Today we're gonna try to understand

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what's behind the recent dip in Tesla sales in Europe.

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Yeah.

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You know, you've given us some pretty interesting material

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to dig into for this deep dive.

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Right.

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We've got a transcript from a video analysis

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by GROC3 and AI.

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Okay.

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And we've also got some insights

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from those automotive analysts at C-SCO UPS.

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There's a lot of chatter online

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about whether this is all down to Elon Musk.

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Yeah.

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I have a feeling there's more to this story.

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Oh, absolutely.

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Wouldn't you agree?

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Yeah, while Elon Musk's activities

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definitely get people talking,

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both the AI analysis and the industry experts seem to agree

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that the bigger issue is the transition

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to the redesigned Model Y.

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Okay, so let's dive into that Model Y refresh.

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Sure.

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GROC3, the AI, makes a pretty strong case

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for why this is causing such a stir.

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Yeah.

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Can you walk us through that a bit?

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Sure.

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GROC3 points out that the updated Model Y

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makes up a massive 60% of Tesla's global sales.

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So when they're shifting production over to the new model,

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that's gonna create a pretty significant impact

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on their sales numbers overall.

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That makes sense.

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Yeah.

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And GROC3 actually estimates that a 55 to 70% drop

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in sales of the older Model Y alone

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could explain almost all of that 45 to 50% decline

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we're seeing in Europe.

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That's huge.

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And it makes sense.

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Yeah.

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If everyone's holding out for the shiny new Model Y

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with all the bells and whistles,

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they're not gonna be rushing out to buy the older model.

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Exactly.

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But it's interesting that GROC3 didn't shy away

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from calling out Elon Musk either.

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Oh, yeah.

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They actually labeled him a major source of misinformation.

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They did.

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And I think that brings up a really important question.

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To what extent are Musk's actions

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and the controversy surrounding him truly affecting

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the Tesla brand, especially in a market like Europe?

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Right, because let's be honest.

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Some of his recent choices haven't exactly painted him

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in the most favorable light.

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Definitely.

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And that seems to be reflected in the analysis

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from C-SCOPE-PS, who specifically highlighted incidents

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like that infamous salute and his political stances.

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Oh, right.

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Particularly his vocal support

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of the far right AFD party in Germany.

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You have to wonder how those actions are landing

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with European consumers, especially when you consider

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the cultural and political landscape over there.

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Yeah.

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It doesn't seem like the kind of move

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that would win you a lot of fans.

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It's hard to put a precise number

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on how much those actions are hurting Tesla.

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But it's safe to say they're probably not helping

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their image in Europe.

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Especially when you consider that the European EV market

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overall is actually booming right now.

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Right.

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Our sources mention a 37% increase in sales

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just in January of 2025.

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Exactly.

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That's a stark contrast to what's happening with Tesla,

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which suggests that there are issues at play here

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that go beyond a general slowdown in the EV market.

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So what we're seeing is a bit of a perfect storm brewing

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for Tesla in Europe.

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This Model Y transition, the negative press around Elon

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Musk, and an increasingly competitive EV market.

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CCQPS even points to potential inventory shortages,

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perhaps stemming from those aggressive year-end sales

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they had back in 2024.

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I'm curious to get your take on how these different pieces

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of the puzzle fit together.

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Well, let's start by unpacking this Model Y refresh

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in a bit more detail.

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Grock III focused heavily on the numbers.

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But I think it's crucial to understand

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why this particular model is so central to Tesla's success,

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especially in Europe.

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That's a great point.

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What is it about the Model Y that

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makes it such a hot commodity?

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Well, for one, it hits that sweet spot

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in terms of size and practicality.

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OK.

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It's spacious enough for families,

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but it's also not too bulky for navigating European cities,

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which tend to have narrower streets and tighter parking

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spaces.

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So it caters to the European lifestyle,

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which makes a lot of sense.

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Exactly.

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And then you factor in Tesla's reputation

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for performance and technology.

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And it's easy to see why the Model Y has become so popular.

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Yeah.

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But that popularity also creates challenges

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when you're trying to roll out a major redesign.

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You have to manage expectations.

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You have to make sure the new model lives up to the hype.

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And you have to do it all while keeping your production lines

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running smoothly.

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It's like walking a tightrope.

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And the stakes are incredibly high,

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given how much of Tesla's sales are tied to this single model.

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Precisely.

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And that's where this transition becomes even more interesting.

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It's not just about swapping out one model for another.

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Right.

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It's about managing a complex supply chain,

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ensuring that you have the parts and the capacity

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to meet demand.

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And dealing with potential disruptions along the way,

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Cisco PS mentioned those possible inventory shortages,

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which suggests that Tesla might be grappling

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with some of those very challenges.

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So while customers are eagerly awaiting

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the arrival of the new Model Y, Tesla

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is having to juggle all of these logistical hurdles

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behind the scenes.

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I imagine that can't be easy.

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Not at all.

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And then you layer on the Elon Musk factor,

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and it becomes even more complicated.

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It's interesting because it sounds

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like there are two very distinct narratives playing out here.

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The internal challenges that Tesla's facing with this Model

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Y refresh, and then the external perception of the brand,

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which is being heavily influenced by Elon Musk's actions.

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You hit the nail on the head.

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And the question is, how much are those two narratives

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intertwined?

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Is the negativity surrounding Elon Musk actually driving

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people away from Tesla?

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Or is it just adding to an already challenging situation?

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It's like trying to untangle a knot.

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But every time you think you're making progress,

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you find another twist or snag.

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But let's shift gears for a moment

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and talk about the competition.

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We touched on the Toyota BZ4X earlier,

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but it'd be interesting to delve into how other EV makers

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are faring in this European market.

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Absolutely.

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While Tesla is grappling with these challenges,

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the rest of the EV market in Europe seems to be thriving.

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We see established automakers like Volkswagen,

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Hyundai, and Kia making significant inroads

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with their EV offerings.

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And then you have new players like BYD and Neo coming in

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from China and shaking things up even further.

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It's becoming quite a crowded playing field.

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And each of these companies is bringing its own strengths

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and strategies to the table.

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What do you think sets some of these competitors apart

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from Tesla, especially in the European context?

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One key difference is their approach to design and branding.

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Tesla has cultivated a very distinct image,

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sleek, minimalist, tech focused.

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But that aesthetic might not resonate

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with every European consumer.

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Some might prefer a more traditional look and feel,

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which is where brands like Volkswagen or Mercedes-Benz

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have an advantage.

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It's about understanding the cultural nuances of each market.

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What works in California might not necessarily work

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in Berlin or Paris.

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Exactly.

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And then there's the issue of practicality.

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Tesla's supercharger network is fantastic,

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but it's not as ubiquitous in Europe as it is in the US.

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Some of these European automakers are leveraging

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existing charging networks or collaborating

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to build out new ones, which could give them an edge

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in terms of convenience.

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So it's not just about the car itself,

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it's about the entire ecosystem that surrounds it.

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The charging infrastructure, the service network,

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the overall ownership experience.

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Right.

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And then you have the issue of price.

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Tesla has positioned itself more at the premium end

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of the market, while some of these other automakers

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are offering EVs at more competitive price points.

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That could be particularly attractive to European consumers

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who are already accustomed to smaller, more affordable

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vehicles.

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It's fascinating to see how the dynamics of the EV market

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are playing out differently across different regions.

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In the US, Tesla has been the undisputed leader for years,

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but in Europe, it seems like the competition is much more

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fierce.

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And that competition is only going to intensify

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as more EV models come online and as consumers become

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more comfortable with the idea of electric vehicles.

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It will be interesting to see how Tesla adapts

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to this evolving landscape.

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We talked earlier about the potential risks for Tesla,

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but I'm also curious about the opportunities.

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Could the sales dip actually be a catalyst for Tesla

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to reevaluate its strategies and come back even stronger?

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That's a great question.

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Sometimes, a bit of adversity can be the push a company needs

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to innovate and evolve.

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This could be an opportunity for Tesla

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to take a step back, analyze the market,

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and identify areas where it can improve.

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It's like a reset button, a chance

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to say, OK, what's working, what's not,

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and how can we do things better?

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Exactly.

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Maybe they'll double down on building customer loyalty,

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strengthening their supply chains,

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or exploring new partnerships to expand their reach,

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or perhaps they'll focus on developing even more

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innovative technologies that further differentiate them

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from the competition.

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And maybe, just maybe, Elon Musk will take a break

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from Twitter and focus on steering the company

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through these challenges.

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One can only hope.

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But jokes aside, I think the situation

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highlights a broader point about the EV market as a whole.

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It's still in its early stages, and there's

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a lot of fluidity and change happening.

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What seems like a setback today could be a stepping stone

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to even greater success tomorrow.

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It's a dynamic and unpredictable space,

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and that's what makes it so exciting to watch.

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We've talked a lot about the challenges Tesla is facing,

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but what about the flip side?

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What are some of the positive trends

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that are emerging in the European EV market?

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One encouraging trend is the growing awareness

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and acceptance of electric vehicles among consumers.

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People are becoming more educated about the benefits of EVs,

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not just in terms of environmental impact,

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but also in terms of performance, cost savings,

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and overall driving experience.

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And that shift in mindset is being driven

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by a number of factors, right?

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You have government incentives promoting EV adoption.

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You have improvements in battery technology

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that are extending range and reducing costs.

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And you have a growing charging infrastructure that's

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making EVs more convenient to use.

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Absolutely.

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And as those factors continue to improve,

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it's only going to accelerate the transition

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to electric mobility.

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We're seeing more and more people make the switch to EVs

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for their daily commutes, family trips,

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and even long-vistance journeys.

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It's no longer a niche market.

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EVs are becoming mainstream, and that's a really positive sign

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for the future.

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It is.

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And it's not just about individual consumers.

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We're seeing businesses, municipalities,

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and even entire countries embracing EVs

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as part of their sustainability goals and transportation

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strategies.

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It's becoming a global movement.

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And Europe seems to be at the forefront of that change.

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But as we discussed earlier, the popularity

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of certain EV models, like the Toyota BZ4X,

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raises some concerns.

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Right.

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While it's great to see more EVs on the road,

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it's important to ensure that those early experiences are

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positive.

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If people are buying EVs that don't meet their expectations

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in terms of range, charging speed, or overall performance,

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it could create a negative perception

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that hinders the long-term adoption of electric vehicles.

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It's like the old adage, you never get a second chance

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to make a first impression.

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The success of the EV revolution

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hinges on ensuring that those first impressions are

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overwhelmingly positive.

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Couldn't agree more.

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Automakers have a responsibility to deliver EVs

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that are not only functional, but also desirable and enjoyable

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to drive.

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And consumers have a role to play as well

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in doing their research and choosing EVs that

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meet their needs and expectations.

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It's a collaborative effort, and it's

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going to require a lot of communication and education

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to ensure that everyone is on board with this transition

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to electric mobility.

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Absolutely.

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And I think that's where platforms like this podcast

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come in.

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By having these conversations, by exploring the complexities

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of the EV market, and by sharing insights and perspectives,

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we can help to shape a future where electric vehicles are

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the norm, not the exception.

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I love that.

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We're not just reporting on the news.

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We're actively participating in the conversation

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and helping to drive the change we want to see in the world.

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Yeah.

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But before we get too carried away with our own importance,

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let's circle back to Tesla for a moment.

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We've covered a lot of ground, but I'd

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like to synthesize what we've learned

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and try to answer the question that brought us here

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in the first place.

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Why are Tesla sales slumping in Europe?

333
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Sure.

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I think we can boil it down to a confluence of factors.

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The Model I refresh is undoubtedly a major contributor.

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It's created a bit of a waiting game

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where customers are holding out for the new model, which

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has impacted sales of the current model.

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And that transition has been further complicated

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by potential supply chain issues and inventory shortages.

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So we have a situation where demand for the current Model

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Y is down, production of the new one is still ramping up,

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and there might not be enough inventory

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to meet even the reduced demand.

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Not an ideal scenario.

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Not at all.

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And then you have the Elon Musk factor, which

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is harder to quantify but no less significant.

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His actions and controversies have

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generated negative press, which could

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be eroding consumer confidence in the Tesla brand,

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especially in a market as sensitive to social and political

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issues as Europe.

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It's like trying to build a house on a foundation that's

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constantly shifting.

356
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You might have the best blueprints

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and the most skilled builders, but if the ground beneath you

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is unstable, it's going to be incredibly difficult

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to create something lasting.

360
00:12:42,200 --> 00:12:43,680
That's a great analogy.

361
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And to complicate matters further,

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Tesla is facing increased competition

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from both established automakers and new players

364
00:12:49,480 --> 00:12:52,360
who are eager to grab a share of the growing EV market.

365
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So it's a combination of internal challenges,

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external pressures, and a rapidly evolving

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competitive landscape.

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It's a lot for any company to handle,

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even one as innovative and disruptive as Tesla.

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It really paints a picture of just how complex the situation is

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for Tesla right now.

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But I think what's been most interesting about this deep dive

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is seeing how those external factors, especially Elon Musk's

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actions, are interacting with Tesla's own internal strategies

375
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and transitions.

376
00:13:22,800 --> 00:13:23,880
Absolutely.

377
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It's a reminder that even companies

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at the forefront of innovation aren't operating in a vacuum.

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They're subject to the same market forces,

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consumer perceptions, and yes, sometimes even

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the consequences of their CEO's decisions.

382
00:13:35,840 --> 00:13:37,240
Yeah, and I think it also underscores

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a point we made earlier about the importance of consumer

384
00:13:39,520 --> 00:13:40,440
experience.

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We were talking about the Toyota BZ4X

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and how a less than ideal EV can potentially sour people

387
00:13:46,200 --> 00:13:48,080
on the entire concept.

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It makes you wonder, what will it

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00:13:49,640 --> 00:13:52,280
take for electric vehicles to truly become the go-to choice

390
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for the average consumer?

391
00:13:53,440 --> 00:13:56,520
That's a question with a multifaceted answer.

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First and foremost, automakers need

393
00:13:58,400 --> 00:14:02,760
to deliver EVs that not only meet but exceed expectations.

394
00:14:02,760 --> 00:14:05,560
Range anxiety needs to become a thing of the past.

395
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Charging needs to be fast, convenient, and readily

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00:14:08,080 --> 00:14:08,800
available.

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00:14:08,800 --> 00:14:10,640
And the overall driving experience

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00:14:10,640 --> 00:14:13,200
needs to be compelling, from performance and handling

399
00:14:13,200 --> 00:14:15,960
to interior comfort and technology.

400
00:14:15,960 --> 00:14:17,720
So it's not just about being green anymore.

401
00:14:17,720 --> 00:14:20,320
It's about offering a superior product that

402
00:14:20,320 --> 00:14:21,720
happens to be electric.

403
00:14:21,720 --> 00:14:23,600
Precisely, consumers shouldn't feel

404
00:14:23,600 --> 00:14:26,200
like they're making a compromise by choosing an EV.

405
00:14:26,200 --> 00:14:28,680
They should feel like they're getting the best of both worlds,

406
00:14:28,680 --> 00:14:31,440
a car that's good for the planet and great to drive.

407
00:14:31,440 --> 00:14:33,320
And beyond the car itself, there needs

408
00:14:33,320 --> 00:14:37,840
to be a robust ecosystem in place to support EV adoption.

409
00:14:37,840 --> 00:14:40,160
We talked about the importance of a reliable charging

410
00:14:40,160 --> 00:14:43,760
infrastructure, but what about things like service and maintenance?

411
00:14:43,760 --> 00:14:45,480
Those are crucial aspects as well.

412
00:14:45,480 --> 00:14:48,120
Consumers need to feel confident that they can easily service

413
00:14:48,120 --> 00:14:50,920
their EVs and that any issues will be resolved quickly

414
00:14:50,920 --> 00:14:52,280
and efficiently.

415
00:14:52,280 --> 00:14:54,800
This is where traditional automakers with established service

416
00:14:54,800 --> 00:14:57,440
networks might have an advantage, at least initially.

417
00:14:57,440 --> 00:14:59,000
It seems like there are a lot of pieces

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00:14:59,000 --> 00:15:01,400
that need to fall into place for the EV revolution to truly

419
00:15:01,400 --> 00:15:02,200
take hold.

420
00:15:02,200 --> 00:15:04,440
There are, but I'm optimistic.

421
00:15:04,440 --> 00:15:07,040
We're seeing tremendous progress on all fronts,

422
00:15:07,040 --> 00:15:09,600
from battery technology to charging infrastructure

423
00:15:09,600 --> 00:15:11,440
to consumer awareness.

424
00:15:11,440 --> 00:15:14,360
And with each advancement, the barriers to EV adoption

425
00:15:14,360 --> 00:15:15,360
are lowered.

426
00:15:15,360 --> 00:15:18,560
So to wrap things up, it seems like Tesla's European sales

427
00:15:18,560 --> 00:15:21,240
dip is a snapshot of a company caught

428
00:15:21,240 --> 00:15:23,520
in the midst of multiple transitions internally

429
00:15:23,520 --> 00:15:26,120
with the Model Y refresh and externally

430
00:15:26,120 --> 00:15:28,800
with the evolving EV landscape and some self-inflicted

431
00:15:28,800 --> 00:15:29,600
challenges.

432
00:15:29,600 --> 00:15:31,840
Yes, and I think what we can learn from the situation

433
00:15:31,840 --> 00:15:33,960
is that even industry leaders are not

434
00:15:33,960 --> 00:15:36,160
immune to the forces of change.

435
00:15:36,160 --> 00:15:38,680
It's a reminder that adaptability, strategic decision

436
00:15:38,680 --> 00:15:41,520
making, and a focus on the customer experience

437
00:15:41,520 --> 00:15:44,560
are crucial for success in any market, especially one

438
00:15:44,560 --> 00:15:46,120
as dynamic as the EV space.

439
00:15:46,120 --> 00:15:48,200
And as we've seen, those forces of change

440
00:15:48,200 --> 00:15:51,640
can come from unexpected places, including the CEO's Twitter

441
00:15:51,640 --> 00:15:52,160
account.

442
00:15:52,160 --> 00:15:53,000
Indeed.

443
00:15:53,000 --> 00:15:55,920
It highlights the importance of considering all stakeholders

444
00:15:55,920 --> 00:15:57,880
and understanding the interconnectedness

445
00:15:57,880 --> 00:16:01,040
of internal decisions and external perceptions.

446
00:16:01,040 --> 00:16:02,840
Well, this has been a fascinating deep dive

447
00:16:02,840 --> 00:16:05,680
into the world of Tesla, European EV sales,

448
00:16:05,680 --> 00:16:08,880
and the many factors shaping the future of mobility.

449
00:16:08,880 --> 00:16:11,680
As always, a big thank you to you, our listener,

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00:16:11,680 --> 00:16:14,400
for providing such thought-provoking source material.

451
00:16:14,400 --> 00:16:15,920
We hope this discussion has provided you

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00:16:15,920 --> 00:16:18,240
with some valuable insights and maybe even sparked

453
00:16:18,240 --> 00:16:19,680
some new questions of your own.

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00:16:19,680 --> 00:16:47,240
Until next time, keep diving deep.

