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Ready for a deep dive.

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Always.

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Well, today we're diving into the world of AI

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and specifically is potential

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to like revolutionize scientific discovery.

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Sounds ambitious.

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Yeah, and to help us kind of navigate

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this complex landscape,

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we're turning to the insights of Demis Hasabis.

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Oh, yes.

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The co-founder of DeepMind.

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Exactly.

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And we're pulling from a fascinating conversation

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that he had with Chris Anderson from TED.

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I'm familiar with that one.

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It's a good one.

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Lots of interesting insights.

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Yeah.

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So our mission for today, I guess you could say,

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is to kind of explore Hasabis' journey,

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how he got started,

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what led him to these groundbreaking AI breakthroughs.

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And maybe, just maybe, we'll uncover some clues

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about unlocking the secrets of the universe along the way.

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You never know, right?

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You never know.

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So Hasabis' background, it's really fascinating.

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Kind of all seems to stem from this childhood obsession he had.

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Oh, you mean chess.

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Yeah.

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Yeah.

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Chess.

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The guy was basically a prodigy.

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I'm captaining England's under-11 chess team

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at just nine years old.

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Nine years old?

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Nine years old.

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I mean, that's insane.

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Most kids at that age are just figuring out

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how the pieces move.

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Yeah.

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You know?

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Totally.

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But he's already leading a national team.

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Like, wow.

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Right.

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That early fascination, I think, with strategy, you know,

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with the intelligence that's programmed

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into those early chess computers.

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It's like, that's what really, I think,

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ignited this lifelong passion.

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Understand intelligence.

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Yeah, I understand intelligence.

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And ultimately, to recreate it.

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It looks like his brain was kind of wired for strategy

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from the get-go.

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It seems that way.

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So speaking of strategy, this kind of strategic thinking

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led DeepMind to some really interesting early work

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using games.

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Oh, you're talking about the Atari stuff.

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Yeah, like breakout.

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Ah, breakout of classic.

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Classic, right?

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So they trained in AI to play it.

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And the results were, well, they were surprising,

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to say the least.

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OK, I'm intrigued.

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What happened?

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Did the AI just become super fast at bouncing the ball?

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Well, yeah, it won.

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But the way it won, that's what was unexpected.

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So the AI actually discovered this strategy.

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Well, this is a strategy.

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This strategy that most human players wouldn't even think of,

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it learned to tunnel behind the wall.

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Wow.

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Creating this kind of shortcut to victory.

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So it wasn't just following pre-programmed rules.

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No, it was coming up with its own solution.

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It's learning.

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It was adapting.

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Wow.

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And it was coming up with solutions

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that even its creators hadn't considered.

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OK, so that's one of those aha moments.

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I love in AI research.

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It's like, wait a minute.

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The machine is outsmarting us already.

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Right.

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And this was just a glimpse of what was to come.

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A glimpse.

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Yeah.

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So they took these learnings from breakout,

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and they developed AlphaGo, which then

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went head to head with the world champion, Lisa Doll,

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in the game of Go.

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OK, now Go.

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This is where it gets really interesting.

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Go is incredibly complex.

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It is.

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I mean, there are more possible moves in Go

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than there are atoms in the universe.

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That's what they say.

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It's just mind-boggling.

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It really is.

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And I've heard it said that Go is a game of intuition

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as much as it is strategy.

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So when AlphaGo was first announced,

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I remember there was a lot of debate

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about whether an AI could truly grasp those nuances,

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those subtle aspects of the game.

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Yeah.

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I mean, Go was considered this grand challenge in AI,

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something that experts thought was decades away,

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before a machine could even come close.

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But AlphaGo didn't just win.

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It does.

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No, it didn't just win.

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It invented entirely new strategies.

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Really?

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Yeah, revealing weaknesses in traditional Go thinking

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that had gone unnoticed for centuries.

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For centuries.

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So it's not just playing the game.

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It's pushing the boundaries of the game itself.

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Right.

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It's like it made people realize that AI wasn't just

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about brute force calculation.

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It was showing signs of creativity.

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Yeah, creativity, strategic thinking.

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It was exhibiting a level of, I don't know,

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it seemed almost human.

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OK, so if you can master something as complex as Go,

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what else can AI achieve?

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Well, they didn't stop there.

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They created AlphaZero.

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Oh, AlphaZero, OK.

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Which took this whole concept of self-learning

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to a whole new level.

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OK, so if AlphaGo was like a prodigy,

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AlphaZero was like the ultimate grandmaster.

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Pretty much, yeah.

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AlphaZero learned to play not just Go, but also chess

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and shokie.

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All from scratch.

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Entirely from scratch.

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No pre-programmed strategies.

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No, no human guidance.

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Just pure learning.

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From the ground up, and here's the kicker,

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it reached superhuman level play in these games

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within just a few hours.

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A few hours?

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I mean, come on.

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These are skills that take humans years, decades to achieve.

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And it did it in hours.

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That's the power of AI learning.

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That's the power.

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It makes you reconsider the limitations we put on learning

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and skill development.

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It's like, what else could we crack

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with this kind of learning power?

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What other seemingly insurmountable problem?

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Well, one of those insurmountable problems

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might just be next on Deep Mind's list.

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What's that?

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Protein folding.

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Yes.

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This is where Deep Mind's work takes a giant leap,

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from the world of games into real-world scientific breakthroughs.

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Yeah, because proteins, those tiny building blocks of life,

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have been a bit of a mystery.

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Oh, for a long time.

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Yeah.

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We know their 3D shape determines their function.

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But predicting that shape from its amino acid sequence.

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That's been a challenge, a challenge for decades.

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Yeah, for over 50 years, researchers

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have been painstakingly unraveling protein structures one by one.

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And this process could take years for a single protein.

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Years.

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Yeah.

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Incredibly time-consuming, resource-intensive.

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And that's where Deep Mind's alpha fold comes in.

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The AI specifically designed to crack the protein folding code.

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And crack it, it did.

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It did.

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OK, I have to ask, how did alpha fold change the game?

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It'll imagine a billion years.

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A billion.

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A billion years of PhD research time,

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compressed into a single year.

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That's essentially what alpha fold achieved.

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That's essentially what alpha fold achieved.

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It predicted the structure of all 200 million.

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200 million.

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200 million known proteins.

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In a year.

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In a year.

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That's just mind-blowing.

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It is.

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It is.

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But we're talking about tiny, complex structures here.

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How do we even know if those predictions are accurate?

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That's a good question.

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They compared alpha fold's predictions

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to experimentally determined structures.

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And?

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The results.

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Astonishingly accurate, matching experimental data

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down to the atomic level.

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So alpha fold isn't just spitting out random shapes.

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Nope.

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It's generating these really precise models

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that reflect reality.

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Exactly.

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And to really grasp the magnitude of this,

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we need to visualize it.

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We've got some images of these protein structures,

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both as predicted by alpha fold and as determined

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through experiments.

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OK, I'm looking at these images now.

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And wow, they're beautiful.

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Like intricate works of art.

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I can see why it would take a billion years to figure this out

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using traditional methods.

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The complexity is breathtaking.

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And the fact that alpha fold can predict these structures

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so accurately, well, it's a game changer.

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For biology.

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For biology.

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And medicine.

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Yeah.

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I mean, this has to have huge implications for drug

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discovery through understanding diseases,

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and maybe even curing diseases that have plagued us

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for centuries.

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Absolutely.

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It's the perfect example of how AI

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can accelerate scientific progress in ways

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we never thought possible.

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And the crazy thing is this might just be the beginning.

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Yeah.

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Alpha fold could just be one example

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of what AI can unlock in the scientific world.

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So if you take a step back and look at the big picture,

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alpha fold is just one piece of the puzzle

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when it comes to AI's potential to solve what

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Hasabah calls root node problems.

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Root node problems.

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He uses this really interesting analogy

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of a tree of knowledge.

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I like that analogy.

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Yeah.

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So how does this tree of knowledge work?

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OK.

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So imagine all the knowledge in the universe

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represented as this vast sprawling tree.

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OK.

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With branches reaching out in countless directions,

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representing different fields of knowledge,

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the knowledge we have today, just a tiny fraction

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of this vast tree.

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So we've only explored a few branches,

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and it's a whole mass of trees still waiting to be discovered.

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Exactly.

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OK.

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And Hasabah sees AI as the tool that

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can help us explore that entire tree,

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uncovering branches of knowledge.

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That we haven't even imagined yet.

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That we haven't even imagined yet.

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And root node problems are the keys

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to unlocking those new branches.

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Exactly.

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Solving a root node problem opens up

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a whole new branch of that tree, leading

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to vast new areas of research and discovery.

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So like the protein folding problem, right?

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By solving that, AlphaFold essentially unlocked

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00:08:49,280 --> 00:08:51,800
a whole new branch of biology and medicine.

283
00:08:51,800 --> 00:08:52,920
Precisely.

284
00:08:52,920 --> 00:08:55,880
And Hasabah believes there are countless other root node

285
00:08:55,880 --> 00:08:58,120
problems out there waiting to be solved.

286
00:08:58,120 --> 00:08:59,120
In all sorts of fields.

287
00:08:59,120 --> 00:09:02,560
In all sorts of fields, physics, cosmology, energy,

288
00:09:02,560 --> 00:09:03,720
materials, science.

289
00:09:03,720 --> 00:09:06,400
I mean, who knows what breakthroughs await us.

290
00:09:06,400 --> 00:09:08,880
This is getting me really excited about the possibilities.

291
00:09:08,880 --> 00:09:12,320
AI could revolutionize the way we approach scientific discovery.

292
00:09:12,320 --> 00:09:12,880
It could.

293
00:09:12,880 --> 00:09:15,840
But you know, with great power comes great responsibility,

294
00:09:15,840 --> 00:09:16,080
right?

295
00:09:16,080 --> 00:09:17,400
Of course, yeah.

296
00:09:17,400 --> 00:09:21,200
As we delve deeper into this world of AI-driven science,

297
00:09:21,200 --> 00:09:24,240
there are some ethical considerations we can't ignore.

298
00:09:24,240 --> 00:09:25,160
That's a good point.

299
00:09:25,160 --> 00:09:27,640
We can't just get caught up in the excitement of all this

300
00:09:27,640 --> 00:09:30,720
discovery and forget about the potential downsides.

301
00:09:30,720 --> 00:09:31,600
Exactly.

302
00:09:31,600 --> 00:09:35,040
And Hasabah himself highlights one of these concerns,

303
00:09:35,040 --> 00:09:37,040
something he calls the Mollok trap.

304
00:09:37,040 --> 00:09:38,760
The Mollok trap.

305
00:09:38,760 --> 00:09:40,320
OK, that sounds a little ominous.

306
00:09:40,320 --> 00:09:41,160
What is that?

307
00:09:41,160 --> 00:09:45,360
Well, it refers to the risk that companies driven

308
00:09:45,360 --> 00:09:49,200
by intense competition may be pushed to develop AI

309
00:09:49,200 --> 00:09:51,080
in potentially harmful ways.

310
00:09:51,080 --> 00:09:53,240
Even if it goes against their better judgment.

311
00:09:53,240 --> 00:09:55,560
Even if those actions go against the better judgment

312
00:09:55,560 --> 00:09:57,240
of the individuals involved.

313
00:09:57,240 --> 00:10:00,360
So it's like a runaway train where everyone is on board,

314
00:10:00,360 --> 00:10:03,680
but no one's quite sure how to apply the brakes.

315
00:10:03,680 --> 00:10:04,800
That's a great analogy.

316
00:10:04,800 --> 00:10:05,280
Thanks.

317
00:10:05,280 --> 00:10:09,080
And this is precisely why Hasabah emphasizes the need

318
00:10:09,080 --> 00:10:12,800
for collaboration, thoughtful development, ethical frameworks.

319
00:10:12,800 --> 00:10:16,560
To ensure that AI is developed and used safely for all of humanity.

320
00:10:16,560 --> 00:10:17,840
For all of humanity.

321
00:10:17,840 --> 00:10:19,200
Yeah, that makes a lot of sense.

322
00:10:19,200 --> 00:10:21,680
But there's another factor that worries me.

323
00:10:21,680 --> 00:10:26,000
The sheer scale of resources being poured into AI development,

324
00:10:26,000 --> 00:10:28,080
particularly by those tech giants we were talking about,

325
00:10:28,080 --> 00:10:30,760
we're talking billions, even hundreds of billions of dollars.

326
00:10:30,760 --> 00:10:31,040
I know.

327
00:10:31,040 --> 00:10:33,760
Massive data centers, supercomputers.

328
00:10:33,760 --> 00:10:35,520
It's just staggering.

329
00:10:35,520 --> 00:10:40,400
And I wonder if this intense competition might lead to someone

330
00:10:40,400 --> 00:10:42,080
taking a shortcut.

331
00:10:42,080 --> 00:10:44,840
Pushing an AI system too far, too fast,

332
00:10:44,840 --> 00:10:46,480
in an attempt to gain an edge.

333
00:10:46,480 --> 00:10:48,360
It's like a high stakes poker game,

334
00:10:48,360 --> 00:10:50,680
where the players are tempted to go all in,

335
00:10:50,680 --> 00:10:53,720
even if they're not sure what cards the other players are holding.

336
00:10:53,720 --> 00:10:54,960
That's a good analogy.

337
00:10:54,960 --> 00:10:57,120
And Hasabah recognizes this risk.

338
00:10:57,120 --> 00:10:57,720
He does.

339
00:10:57,720 --> 00:10:59,240
He does, yeah.

340
00:10:59,240 --> 00:11:02,360
He suggests we need to be proactive in establishing safeguards

341
00:11:02,360 --> 00:11:04,120
to prevent those kinds of scenarios.

342
00:11:04,120 --> 00:11:05,360
OK, so how do we do that?

343
00:11:05,360 --> 00:11:09,280
He proposes that instead of trying to bolt on safety measures

344
00:11:09,280 --> 00:11:13,920
after the fact, we should focus on developing safe and robust AI

345
00:11:13,920 --> 00:11:15,640
architectures from the outset.

346
00:11:15,640 --> 00:11:17,600
So building in safety from the ground up?

347
00:11:17,600 --> 00:11:18,680
From the ground up.

348
00:11:18,680 --> 00:11:20,800
Ensuring that these systems are inherently designed

349
00:11:20,800 --> 00:11:25,000
to operate within certain ethical and safety parameters.

350
00:11:25,000 --> 00:11:27,920
He even suggests it might be possible to develop AI

351
00:11:27,920 --> 00:11:30,920
architectures with mathematical or practical guarantees

352
00:11:30,920 --> 00:11:32,160
around their behavior.

353
00:11:32,160 --> 00:11:35,120
So almost like a guarantee that they'll operate as intended.

354
00:11:35,120 --> 00:11:35,720
Right.

355
00:11:35,720 --> 00:11:37,720
Providing a higher level of assurance?

356
00:11:37,720 --> 00:11:39,800
That would certainly alleviate some of the fears

357
00:11:39,800 --> 00:11:42,640
about AI going rogue or something like that.

358
00:11:42,640 --> 00:11:43,480
Right.

359
00:11:43,480 --> 00:11:45,120
It's a complex challenge, but one

360
00:11:45,120 --> 00:11:47,400
that Hasabah believes we can overcome.

361
00:11:47,400 --> 00:11:48,400
Through collaboration.

362
00:11:48,400 --> 00:11:50,960
Through collaboration, careful planning,

363
00:11:50,960 --> 00:11:55,280
and a constant focus on those ethical considerations.

364
00:11:55,280 --> 00:11:56,080
Yeah.

365
00:11:56,080 --> 00:11:59,080
He remains optimistic about the future of AI.

366
00:11:59,080 --> 00:12:01,560
Seeing it as this powerful tool that

367
00:12:01,560 --> 00:12:04,560
can help us unlock extraordinary possibilities.

368
00:12:04,560 --> 00:12:06,240
So what are some of those possibilities?

369
00:12:06,240 --> 00:12:09,760
What's the big picture vision that fuels his optimism?

370
00:12:09,760 --> 00:12:12,160
Well, remember that Tree of Knowledge analogy we talked about?

371
00:12:12,160 --> 00:12:12,660
Yeah.

372
00:12:12,660 --> 00:12:15,440
He sees AI as the ultimate explorer,

373
00:12:15,440 --> 00:12:18,240
charting these uncharted territories of knowledge,

374
00:12:18,240 --> 00:12:20,080
pushing the boundaries of human understanding.

375
00:12:20,080 --> 00:12:20,580
Right.

376
00:12:20,580 --> 00:12:24,240
The idea that AI can help us discover whole new branches

377
00:12:24,240 --> 00:12:26,000
of knowledge that we haven't even imagined yet.

378
00:12:26,000 --> 00:12:26,640
Exactly.

379
00:12:26,640 --> 00:12:29,920
And he believes AI can help us tackle those root node

380
00:12:29,920 --> 00:12:33,600
problems, those fundamental challenges that once solved

381
00:12:33,600 --> 00:12:36,800
open up whole new fields of research and discovery,

382
00:12:36,800 --> 00:12:39,400
like alpha fold solving the protein folding problem.

383
00:12:39,400 --> 00:12:41,960
Which has the potential to revolutionize medicine.

384
00:12:41,960 --> 00:12:43,080
Exactly.

385
00:12:43,080 --> 00:12:46,280
And Hasabah believes there are countless other root node

386
00:12:46,280 --> 00:12:49,200
problems out there in fields ranging from physics

387
00:12:49,200 --> 00:12:52,440
and cosmology to energy and material science.

388
00:12:52,440 --> 00:12:54,560
He even talks about using AI to tackle

389
00:12:54,560 --> 00:12:58,000
some of the biggest questions humanity has ever pondered.

390
00:12:58,000 --> 00:12:58,960
Like what kinds of questions?

391
00:12:58,960 --> 00:13:01,440
Questions about the fundamental nature of reality.

392
00:13:01,440 --> 00:13:01,920
Whoa.

393
00:13:01,920 --> 00:13:03,640
The origins of the universe.

394
00:13:03,640 --> 00:13:05,760
Maybe even the meaning of life itself.

395
00:13:05,760 --> 00:13:06,260
Wow.

396
00:13:06,260 --> 00:13:08,200
Those are some truly grand aspirations.

397
00:13:08,200 --> 00:13:09,720
It's inspiring.

398
00:13:09,720 --> 00:13:13,040
But also a little daunting to think about the scale

399
00:13:13,040 --> 00:13:14,040
of what he's envisioning.

400
00:13:14,040 --> 00:13:15,120
It is.

401
00:13:15,120 --> 00:13:18,240
But Hasabah truly believes that AI, if developed and used

402
00:13:18,240 --> 00:13:21,000
responsibly, can be the key to unlocking answers

403
00:13:21,000 --> 00:13:22,920
to these profound questions.

404
00:13:22,920 --> 00:13:24,960
He talks about a future of radical abundance,

405
00:13:24,960 --> 00:13:27,320
a future where disease is eradicated,

406
00:13:27,320 --> 00:13:29,560
consciousness expands beyond Earth,

407
00:13:29,560 --> 00:13:31,800
and human potential reaches new heights.

408
00:13:31,800 --> 00:13:34,800
That's a vision that sparks both awe and, I have to admit,

409
00:13:34,800 --> 00:13:36,280
a bit of healthy skepticism.

410
00:13:36,280 --> 00:13:36,880
Of course.

411
00:13:36,880 --> 00:13:39,520
It's important to be excited about the possibilities,

412
00:13:39,520 --> 00:13:41,640
but also to remain grounded and aware

413
00:13:41,640 --> 00:13:43,040
of the potential risks.

414
00:13:43,040 --> 00:13:46,960
So as we stand at this crossroads,

415
00:13:46,960 --> 00:13:50,520
with AI rapidly advancing and its potential impact

416
00:13:50,520 --> 00:13:53,600
on humanity becoming increasingly clear,

417
00:13:53,600 --> 00:13:55,200
what's the takeaway for our listeners?

418
00:13:55,200 --> 00:13:58,560
What should they be thinking about as they navigate

419
00:13:58,560 --> 00:14:01,200
this complex and ever-evolving landscape?

420
00:14:01,200 --> 00:14:02,480
That's a great question.

421
00:14:02,480 --> 00:14:05,320
I think the key is to approach AI with a sense

422
00:14:05,320 --> 00:14:07,000
of informed optimism.

423
00:14:07,000 --> 00:14:08,080
Informed optimism.

424
00:14:08,080 --> 00:14:08,580
Yeah.

425
00:14:08,580 --> 00:14:11,320
We need to be aware of the potential risks,

426
00:14:11,320 --> 00:14:14,640
but also open to the extraordinary possibilities

427
00:14:14,640 --> 00:14:15,560
that AI offers.

428
00:14:15,560 --> 00:14:18,320
So embrace the potential while also advocating

429
00:14:18,320 --> 00:14:21,480
for responsible development and those ethical considerations.

430
00:14:21,480 --> 00:14:22,040
Exactly.

431
00:14:22,040 --> 00:14:23,320
It's a balancing act.

432
00:14:23,320 --> 00:14:26,240
But a crucial one if we want to harness the power of AI

433
00:14:26,240 --> 00:14:28,120
for the benefit of all humankind.

434
00:14:28,120 --> 00:14:28,560
Yeah.

435
00:14:28,560 --> 00:14:31,480
It's like finding that balance between pushing

436
00:14:31,480 --> 00:14:34,520
the boundaries of AI, but also ensuring it's

437
00:14:34,520 --> 00:14:35,520
developed responsibly.

438
00:14:35,520 --> 00:14:37,360
That seems like it's going to be one of the big challenges

439
00:14:37,360 --> 00:14:37,920
moving forward.

440
00:14:37,920 --> 00:14:39,560
Oh, it's a tight rope walk, for sure.

441
00:14:39,560 --> 00:14:42,640
And the rapid release of these powerful AI models

442
00:14:42,640 --> 00:14:45,520
like ChatGPT, that really brought this whole tension

443
00:14:45,520 --> 00:14:46,800
into focus, I think.

444
00:14:46,800 --> 00:14:47,120
Yeah.

445
00:14:47,120 --> 00:14:48,920
It felt like it came out of nowhere.

446
00:14:48,920 --> 00:14:51,320
And all of a sudden, everyone's talking about AI,

447
00:14:51,320 --> 00:14:52,920
experimenting with it.

448
00:14:52,920 --> 00:14:55,160
Realizing its potential in a whole new way.

449
00:14:55,160 --> 00:14:57,000
It was a turning point, for sure.

450
00:14:57,000 --> 00:14:59,800
I mean, AI went from this kind of niche topic

451
00:14:59,800 --> 00:15:03,200
to a mainstream phenomenon almost overnight.

452
00:15:03,200 --> 00:15:05,360
And it definitely shook things up in the tech world.

453
00:15:05,360 --> 00:15:08,680
Like Microsoft, with its backing of open AI,

454
00:15:08,680 --> 00:15:11,760
was looking to, I don't know, challenge

455
00:15:11,760 --> 00:15:13,480
Google's dominance in search.

456
00:15:13,480 --> 00:15:13,960
Oh, yeah.

457
00:15:13,960 --> 00:15:16,000
And they certainly made Google scramble to catch up.

458
00:15:16,000 --> 00:15:20,360
Google definitely danced as Microsoft's CEO put it.

459
00:15:20,360 --> 00:15:20,600
Yeah.

460
00:15:20,600 --> 00:15:23,120
Suddenly, they're rushing to release their own AI products

461
00:15:23,120 --> 00:15:24,000
like Gemini.

462
00:15:24,000 --> 00:15:27,280
It felt like that MoLok trap in action.

463
00:15:27,280 --> 00:15:29,720
With these tech giants being driven by competition

464
00:15:29,720 --> 00:15:32,560
to push the boundaries of AI development,

465
00:15:32,560 --> 00:15:34,160
maybe faster than they would have otherwise.

466
00:15:34,160 --> 00:15:35,840
Yeah, it's an interesting dilemma, isn't it?

467
00:15:35,840 --> 00:15:38,200
This rapid progress, it's exciting.

468
00:15:38,200 --> 00:15:40,800
But it also raises some valid concerns.

469
00:15:40,800 --> 00:15:43,560
Even Hasada acknowledges that these systems,

470
00:15:43,560 --> 00:15:46,360
as impressive as they are, still have flaws.

471
00:15:46,360 --> 00:15:46,840
Like what?

472
00:15:46,840 --> 00:15:50,760
Like generating incorrect or misleading information,

473
00:15:50,760 --> 00:15:52,800
those what people call hallucinations.

474
00:15:52,800 --> 00:15:53,400
Right.

475
00:15:53,400 --> 00:15:55,600
And those hallucinations can be a real problem,

476
00:15:55,600 --> 00:15:57,840
especially if people start relying on these AI

477
00:15:57,840 --> 00:16:02,160
systems for critical information without understanding

478
00:16:02,160 --> 00:16:03,080
their limitations.

479
00:16:03,080 --> 00:16:04,200
Exactly.

480
00:16:04,200 --> 00:16:06,200
And then there's the whole open source debate,

481
00:16:06,200 --> 00:16:09,480
like Meta, for example, released its own large language model

482
00:16:09,480 --> 00:16:12,640
as open source, making the technology freely available

483
00:16:12,640 --> 00:16:14,560
for anyone to use and modify.

484
00:16:14,560 --> 00:16:17,880
That sounds both incredibly democratizing

485
00:16:17,880 --> 00:16:20,440
and potentially terrifying, all at the same time.

486
00:16:20,440 --> 00:16:23,080
Yeah, it's a double-edged sword, for sure.

487
00:16:23,080 --> 00:16:25,200
On one hand, you have the potential

488
00:16:25,200 --> 00:16:28,400
to accelerate innovation, make this powerful technology

489
00:16:28,400 --> 00:16:30,680
accessible to a wider range of people.

490
00:16:30,680 --> 00:16:34,160
But on the other hand, you have concerns about safety,

491
00:16:34,160 --> 00:16:36,760
control, the potential for misuse.

492
00:16:36,760 --> 00:16:38,160
It's a lot to grapple with.

493
00:16:38,160 --> 00:16:40,480
So given all these complexities, like how do we move forward?

494
00:16:40,480 --> 00:16:43,200
How do we ensure that AI is developed and used responsibly

495
00:16:43,200 --> 00:16:47,560
as we enter this new era of increasingly powerful systems?

496
00:16:47,560 --> 00:16:49,840
Well, Hussabus believes that collaboration is key.

497
00:16:49,840 --> 00:16:50,640
Collaboration.

498
00:16:50,640 --> 00:16:53,160
Especially as we get closer to developing

499
00:16:53,160 --> 00:16:55,720
artificial general intelligence, or AGI.

500
00:16:55,720 --> 00:16:59,000
AGI, that's the idea of AI that can perform

501
00:16:59,000 --> 00:17:01,560
any intellectual task a human can.

502
00:17:01,560 --> 00:17:04,520
So essentially, AI that's as smart as or even smarter

503
00:17:04,520 --> 00:17:05,560
than humans.

504
00:17:05,560 --> 00:17:06,640
Exactly.

505
00:17:06,640 --> 00:17:09,600
And Hussabus argues that as we get closer to that point,

506
00:17:09,600 --> 00:17:12,640
we need to shift our mindset from competition

507
00:17:12,640 --> 00:17:14,280
to cooperation.

508
00:17:14,280 --> 00:17:16,120
I could see why that would be important.

509
00:17:16,120 --> 00:17:17,680
But is it realistic?

510
00:17:17,680 --> 00:17:20,600
In a world that's so driven by technological advancement

511
00:17:20,600 --> 00:17:22,880
and economic competition, can we really

512
00:17:22,880 --> 00:17:25,960
expect companies, countries even, to just put aside

513
00:17:25,960 --> 00:17:27,440
their rivalries and work together?

514
00:17:27,440 --> 00:17:30,000
Well, Hussabus believes it's not just idealistic,

515
00:17:30,000 --> 00:17:34,360
it's essential for the safe and beneficial development of AGI.

516
00:17:34,360 --> 00:17:36,960
He points out that many of the leading AI scientists

517
00:17:36,960 --> 00:17:38,720
around the world, they already know each other.

518
00:17:38,720 --> 00:17:39,480
They communicate.

519
00:17:39,480 --> 00:17:41,160
They collaborate to some extent.

520
00:17:41,160 --> 00:17:43,320
So there's already a foundation of trust and shared

521
00:17:43,320 --> 00:17:44,360
understanding in place.

522
00:17:44,360 --> 00:17:45,080
Right.

523
00:17:45,080 --> 00:17:47,480
And Hussabus argues that that foundation needs

524
00:17:47,480 --> 00:17:50,600
to be strengthened and expanded to include governments,

525
00:17:50,600 --> 00:17:52,400
civil society, academia.

526
00:17:52,400 --> 00:17:53,120
On the stakeholders.

527
00:17:53,120 --> 00:17:54,360
All the stakeholders.

528
00:17:54,360 --> 00:17:57,600
He sees this as a crucial step towards establishing

529
00:17:57,600 --> 00:18:01,320
those ethical frameworks, guidelines for AI development.

530
00:18:01,320 --> 00:18:05,280
So it's like creating a global set of rules of the road for AI,

531
00:18:05,280 --> 00:18:08,400
ensuring that everyone's driving on the same side,

532
00:18:08,400 --> 00:18:10,000
following the same traffic signals.

533
00:18:10,000 --> 00:18:11,120
Exactly.

534
00:18:11,120 --> 00:18:13,560
We need to ensure that the development and deployment

535
00:18:13,560 --> 00:18:17,560
of these powerful AI systems align with human values

536
00:18:17,560 --> 00:18:20,720
and prioritize safety and well-being.

537
00:18:20,720 --> 00:18:21,720
That makes a lot of sense.

538
00:18:21,720 --> 00:18:24,720
But there's another factor that worries me.

539
00:18:24,720 --> 00:18:29,040
The sheer scale of resources being poured into AI development,

540
00:18:29,040 --> 00:18:31,160
particularly by those tech giants we were talking about.

541
00:18:31,160 --> 00:18:34,920
We're talking billions, even hundreds of billions of dollars

542
00:18:34,920 --> 00:18:38,840
being invested in massive data centers and supercomputers.

543
00:18:38,840 --> 00:18:41,120
Yeah, the scale of investment is staggering.

544
00:18:41,120 --> 00:18:42,560
And it's understandable to wonder

545
00:18:42,560 --> 00:18:45,360
if all this intense competition might lead to someone

546
00:18:45,360 --> 00:18:49,520
taking a shortcut, pushing an AI system too far too fast

547
00:18:49,520 --> 00:18:51,320
in an attempt to gain an edge.

548
00:18:51,320 --> 00:18:52,760
It's like a high stakes poker game

549
00:18:52,760 --> 00:18:54,880
where the players are tempted to go all in,

550
00:18:54,880 --> 00:18:56,960
even if they're not sure what cards the other players are

551
00:18:56,960 --> 00:18:57,640
holding.

552
00:18:57,640 --> 00:18:58,920
That's a good analogy.

553
00:18:58,920 --> 00:19:01,000
And Hussabus recognizes this risk.

554
00:19:01,000 --> 00:19:01,760
He does.

555
00:19:01,760 --> 00:19:04,600
He suggests that we need to be proactive in establishing

556
00:19:04,600 --> 00:19:07,680
safeguards to prevent those kinds of scenarios.

557
00:19:07,680 --> 00:19:09,160
Like what kinds of safeguards?

558
00:19:09,160 --> 00:19:11,440
Well, he proposes that instead of trying

559
00:19:11,440 --> 00:19:15,240
to bolt on saty measures after the fact,

560
00:19:15,240 --> 00:19:18,440
we should focus on developing safe and robust AI

561
00:19:18,440 --> 00:19:20,960
architectures from the outset.

562
00:19:20,960 --> 00:19:22,760
So building in safety from the ground up?

563
00:19:22,760 --> 00:19:23,840
From the ground up.

564
00:19:23,840 --> 00:19:26,160
Ensuring that these systems are inherently designed

565
00:19:26,160 --> 00:19:30,280
to operate within certain ethical and safety parameters.

566
00:19:30,280 --> 00:19:32,840
He even suggests that it might be possible to develop

567
00:19:32,840 --> 00:19:36,560
AI architectures with mathematical or practical

568
00:19:36,560 --> 00:19:38,000
guarantees around their behavior.

569
00:19:38,000 --> 00:19:39,480
So almost like a guarantee that they'll

570
00:19:39,480 --> 00:19:40,560
operate as intended.

571
00:19:40,560 --> 00:19:42,800
Providing a higher level of assurance.

572
00:19:42,800 --> 00:19:44,720
That would certainly alleviate some of the fears

573
00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:47,640
about AI going rogue or something like that.

574
00:19:47,640 --> 00:19:49,640
It's a complex challenge, but one

575
00:19:49,640 --> 00:19:52,720
that Hussabus believes we can overcome

576
00:19:52,720 --> 00:19:57,720
through collaboration, through careful planning,

577
00:19:57,720 --> 00:20:01,080
and a constant focus on those ethical considerations.

578
00:20:01,080 --> 00:20:04,040
He remains optimistic about the future of AI,

579
00:20:04,040 --> 00:20:06,840
seeing it as this powerful tool that can help us unlock

580
00:20:06,840 --> 00:20:08,640
these extraordinary possibilities.

581
00:20:08,640 --> 00:20:10,080
So what are some of those possibilities?

582
00:20:10,080 --> 00:20:12,880
What's the big picture vision that fuels his optimism?

583
00:20:12,880 --> 00:20:15,840
Well, remember that Tree of Knowledge analogy.

584
00:20:15,840 --> 00:20:19,080
He sees AI as the ultimate explorer,

585
00:20:19,080 --> 00:20:22,520
charting these uncharted territories of knowledge,

586
00:20:22,520 --> 00:20:24,800
pushing the boundaries of human understanding.

587
00:20:24,800 --> 00:20:25,300
Right.

588
00:20:25,300 --> 00:20:28,520
The idea that AI can help us discover whole new branches

589
00:20:28,520 --> 00:20:30,520
of knowledge that we haven't even imagined yet.

590
00:20:30,520 --> 00:20:31,840
Exactly.

591
00:20:31,840 --> 00:20:35,160
And he believes that AI can help us tackle those root node

592
00:20:35,160 --> 00:20:39,160
problems, those fundamental challenges that, once solved,

593
00:20:39,160 --> 00:20:42,400
open up whole new fields of research and discovery,

594
00:20:42,400 --> 00:20:45,440
like alpha fold, solving the protein folding problem.

595
00:20:45,440 --> 00:20:48,160
Which has the potential to revolutionize medicine.

596
00:20:48,160 --> 00:20:49,120
Precisely.

597
00:20:49,120 --> 00:20:52,400
And Hussabus believes there are countless other root node

598
00:20:52,400 --> 00:20:56,040
problems out there and feels ranging from physics and cosmology

599
00:20:56,040 --> 00:20:58,480
to energy and material science.

600
00:20:58,480 --> 00:21:00,320
He even talks about using AI to tackle

601
00:21:00,320 --> 00:21:03,240
some of the biggest questions humanity has ever pondered.

602
00:21:03,240 --> 00:21:04,520
Like what kinds of questions?

603
00:21:04,520 --> 00:21:06,920
Questions about the fundamental nature of reality,

604
00:21:06,920 --> 00:21:08,720
the origins of the universe, maybe even

605
00:21:08,720 --> 00:21:10,080
the meaning of life itself.

606
00:21:10,080 --> 00:21:12,400
Wow, those are some truly grand aspirations.

607
00:21:12,400 --> 00:21:14,400
It's inspiring, but also a little daunting

608
00:21:14,400 --> 00:21:16,760
to think about the scale of what he's envisioning.

609
00:21:16,760 --> 00:21:17,840
It is.

610
00:21:17,840 --> 00:21:21,520
But Hussabus truly believes that AI, if developed and used

611
00:21:21,520 --> 00:21:24,640
responsibly, can be the key to unlocking answers

612
00:21:24,640 --> 00:21:26,520
to these profound questions.

613
00:21:26,520 --> 00:21:29,720
He talks about a future of radical abundance,

614
00:21:29,720 --> 00:21:32,160
a future where disease is eradicated,

615
00:21:32,160 --> 00:21:34,360
consciousness expands beyond Earth,

616
00:21:34,360 --> 00:21:36,760
and human potential reaches new heights.

617
00:21:36,760 --> 00:21:38,800
It's a vision that sparks both awe

618
00:21:38,800 --> 00:21:40,880
and I have to admit a bit of healthy skepticism.

619
00:21:40,880 --> 00:21:41,720
Of course.

620
00:21:41,720 --> 00:21:43,840
It's important to be excited about the possibilities,

621
00:21:43,840 --> 00:21:46,040
but also to remain grounded and aware

622
00:21:46,040 --> 00:21:47,200
of the potential risks.

623
00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:49,360
So as we stand at this crossroads,

624
00:21:49,360 --> 00:21:52,160
with AI rapidly advancing and its potential impact

625
00:21:52,160 --> 00:21:54,520
on humanity becoming increasingly clear,

626
00:21:54,520 --> 00:21:56,160
what's the takeaway for our listeners?

627
00:21:56,160 --> 00:21:58,200
What should they be thinking about as they navigate

628
00:21:58,200 --> 00:22:01,160
this complex and ever-evolving landscape?

629
00:22:01,160 --> 00:22:02,080
That's a great question.

630
00:22:02,080 --> 00:22:04,080
I think the key is to approach AI

631
00:22:04,080 --> 00:22:06,280
with a sense of informed optimism.

632
00:22:06,280 --> 00:22:07,240
Informed optimism.

633
00:22:07,240 --> 00:22:08,080
Yeah.

634
00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:09,800
We need to be aware of the potential risks,

635
00:22:09,800 --> 00:22:12,160
but also open to the extraordinary possibilities

636
00:22:12,160 --> 00:22:13,240
that AI offers.

637
00:22:13,240 --> 00:22:16,040
So embrace the potential while also advocating

638
00:22:16,040 --> 00:22:19,840
for responsible development and those ethical considerations.

639
00:22:19,840 --> 00:22:20,680
Exactly.

640
00:22:20,680 --> 00:22:23,000
It's a balancing act, but a crucial one

641
00:22:23,000 --> 00:22:25,600
if we want to harness the power of AI

642
00:22:25,600 --> 00:22:27,600
for the benefit of all humankind.

643
00:22:27,600 --> 00:22:30,840
It's like we're standing on the edge of a whole new era

644
00:22:30,840 --> 00:22:32,600
of exploration.

645
00:22:32,600 --> 00:22:34,960
And AI is the ship that's going to take us there.

646
00:22:34,960 --> 00:22:35,480
I like that.

647
00:22:35,480 --> 00:22:36,920
It's a powerful image.

648
00:22:36,920 --> 00:22:40,600
But as we embark on this journey, it's important to remember,

649
00:22:40,600 --> 00:22:44,120
we all have a role to play in shaping the future of AI.

650
00:22:44,120 --> 00:22:44,440
Right.

651
00:22:44,440 --> 00:22:47,320
It's not just about the big tech companies or research labs.

652
00:22:47,320 --> 00:22:48,720
It's about all of us.

653
00:22:48,720 --> 00:22:50,360
You're engaging in this conversation,

654
00:22:50,360 --> 00:22:52,200
thinking critically about the implications.

655
00:22:52,200 --> 00:22:54,120
It's not just about passively observing.

656
00:22:54,120 --> 00:22:57,560
It's about actively shaping the direction that this all takes.

657
00:22:57,560 --> 00:23:00,720
We need to ask questions, challenge assumptions,

658
00:23:00,720 --> 00:23:02,600
demand transparency and accountability

659
00:23:02,600 --> 00:23:06,080
from those who are developing and deploying these systems.

660
00:23:06,080 --> 00:23:09,680
It's about being informed citizens, not just bystanders.

661
00:23:09,680 --> 00:23:11,400
In this technological revolution that's

662
00:23:11,400 --> 00:23:12,760
happening all around us.

663
00:23:12,760 --> 00:23:15,160
And I think sometimes it's easy to forget

664
00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:19,520
that AI isn't some far-off futuristic concept.

665
00:23:19,520 --> 00:23:20,240
It's already here.

666
00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:22,960
It's already woven into our lives in so many ways.

667
00:23:22,960 --> 00:23:24,920
From the recommendations we see online

668
00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:27,200
to the medical diagnosis we receive,

669
00:23:27,200 --> 00:23:29,960
it's shaping our world whether we realize it or not.

670
00:23:29,960 --> 00:23:34,120
And its influence, it's only going to grow in the years to come.

671
00:23:34,120 --> 00:23:35,600
So we better start paying attention.

672
00:23:35,600 --> 00:23:37,320
We better start paying attention.

673
00:23:37,320 --> 00:23:42,200
We need to ensure that AI is used to enhance human well-being,

674
00:23:42,200 --> 00:23:45,240
to promote fairness, justice, to create a more

675
00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:47,560
sustainable and equitable world.

676
00:23:47,560 --> 00:23:50,880
Those are some pretty lofty goals, but they're essential ones.

677
00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:53,680
If we want to create a future where AI benefits everyone.

678
00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:54,200
They are.

679
00:23:54,200 --> 00:23:56,480
And you know, Sasabas, despite all the challenges

680
00:23:56,480 --> 00:23:59,000
and all the complexities, he remains optimistic.

681
00:23:59,000 --> 00:24:01,800
He really believes that AI, if developed and used wisely,

682
00:24:01,800 --> 00:24:04,800
can be the key to solving some of humanity's greatest

683
00:24:04,800 --> 00:24:08,640
challenges and unlocking this future of extraordinary

684
00:24:08,640 --> 00:24:09,600
possibilities.

685
00:24:09,600 --> 00:24:12,000
So as we wrap up this deep dive into Dimus'

686
00:24:12,000 --> 00:24:14,600
Sasabas' world, his vision for the future of AI,

687
00:24:14,600 --> 00:24:16,600
I'm left with a question for our listeners.

688
00:24:16,600 --> 00:24:19,280
If AI has the potential to be this incredible tool

689
00:24:19,280 --> 00:24:22,320
for exploration and discovery, what root node problems

690
00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:23,320
might it help you solve?

691
00:24:23,320 --> 00:24:26,160
What breakthroughs are waiting to be unlocked in your field,

692
00:24:26,160 --> 00:24:27,960
in your life, in the world around you?

693
00:24:27,960 --> 00:24:30,000
Keep your eyes open because the future of AI

694
00:24:30,000 --> 00:24:31,720
is unfolding right now.

695
00:24:31,720 --> 00:24:57,680
And it's going to be an incredible journey.

