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Welcome back everyone for another deep dive.

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Always fun to dive back in.

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You guys have been digging into AI.

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Yeah.

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Especially from some excerpts of an interview

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with Ilya Sutskiver.

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Right.

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The co-founder of OpenAI.

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And he's making some pretty bold predictions.

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Yeah, he is.

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About where AI is headed.

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And we're here to kind of help make sense of all that.

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Yeah, unpack it all.

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Extract some of those interesting nuggets.

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What I think is so interesting about what Sutskiver's saying

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is that he's not just some tech pundit kind of throwing out

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wild theories.

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Right.

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You know, he's at OpenAI.

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He's building this future.

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Exactly, yeah.

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So I think his predictions are particularly thought provoking.

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He gets right to the point.

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He does.

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He doesn't waste any time.

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Nope.

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Right out of the gate, he says, pre-training as we know it

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will unquestionably end.

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Wow.

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And that's a pretty big statement.

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Huge.

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For anyone who's been following AI at all.

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Yeah.

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Because pre-training is really the bedrock

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of so much of what we're seeing.

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For sure.

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Explain pre-training, though, for someone who maybe

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is just kind of getting into this.

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So think of pre-training as building a foundation.

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OK.

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You're feeding the AI massive amounts of data

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so it can learn the basics of language and code almost

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like a crash course in worldly knowledge.

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OK.

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But Sutskiver's argument is that we're

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hitting a wall with this approach.

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Makes sense.

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There's only so much data out there.

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Right.

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So this method has an inherent limit.

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Yeah.

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If pre-training is on its way out, then what comes next?

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Right.

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What replaces it?

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What replaces it, yeah.

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Well, Sutskiver believes one answer

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lies in the development of agentic AI.

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Oh, that's fascinating to me.

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It is, isn't it?

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Agentic AI, yeah.

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So right now, something like ChatGPT is impressive,

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but it's still a tool.

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You give it input, it gives you output.

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Agentic AI is completely different.

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OK.

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Imagine an AI that sets its own goals.

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Oh, wow.

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Can reason about its environment and takes action

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without needing constant human guidance.

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So instead of me saying, OK, write me a poem,

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I guess I manage this whole project.

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Exactly.

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Do the research, figure out the execution.

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It's not just about asking and answering.

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It's about collaboration and partnership.

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Wow.

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Almost like having a truly intelligent colleague.

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Yeah, that's a totally different relationship.

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For sure.

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With AI.

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Absolutely.

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You know, earlier you were talking about data limitations.

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Yeah.

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Sutskiver also talks about synthetic data

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as a potential solution.

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He does.

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Which has its own pros and cons, right?

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Definitely.

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Yeah, he sees it as a way to break free from relying solely

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on existing data.

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OK.

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With synthetic data, we could create entirely new data

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sets that mimic real world information.

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Oh, interesting.

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So allowing us to train AI on scenarios that are rare or even

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impossible to capture in real life.

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I see the benefit of that.

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Yeah.

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But could that create AI that's out of touch with reality?

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That's the challenge, right?

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Yeah.

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Creating synthetic data that accurately reflects

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the nuances of the real world is a huge undertaking.

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If we get it wrong, we could end up

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with AI that's brilliant in theory, but fails in practice.

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You want AI that is creative and adaptable,

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but also grounded in the real world.

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He uses a really interesting analogy

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to explain another challenge.

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And that is the brain body size ratio in human evolution.

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Yeah, the brain body size ratio.

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It's a brilliant comparison.

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It is.

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In humans, our brain size increased at a rate far beyond.

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Much faster.

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What would be expected based on our body size.

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Right.

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He's suggesting we might need to find a similar leap for AI.

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I see.

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We can't just keep throwing more data and bigger

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networks at the problem.

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Right.

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Just getting bigger.

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We need to find new ways to scale intelligence itself.

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To make it smarter, not just bigger.

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Exactly.

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And that leads us to one of the most mind blowing

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aspects of his predictions.

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OK.

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This future of AI reasoning.

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OK.

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And the implications of that.

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Yeah, what separates future AI from what we have now

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is this ability to go beyond pattern matching.

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OK.

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To genuine reasoning.

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Think about it.

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If AI starts reasoning like we do,

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it becomes inherently less predictable.

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Oh, OK.

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Because it's no longer just following a set of rules.

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Right.

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Right.

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OK.

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So we have AI that can think for itself.

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Yeah.

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Set its own goals, act independently.

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Uh-huh.

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This is where things start to feel a little sci-fi.

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Right.

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It does get a little.

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What happens when AI starts to solve problems in ways

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we didn't anticipate?

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Right.

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Or even understand?

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It's a great question.

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Yeah.

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And one of the most fascinating and potentially challenging

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aspects of what Sitzgever is describing.

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Right.

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He believes future AI will be able to reason through problems,

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consider different options, and make decisions

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based on an actual understanding of the situation.

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So it's not just about giving it more information.

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Right.

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It's about giving it the ability to think critically

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and creatively about that information.

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Exactly.

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How do we ensure that that reasoning

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aligns with our own values and goals?

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It's a key question.

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Especially as it becomes more autonomous.

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A big.

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Yeah.

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It's a balancing act, isn't it?

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Huge.

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We want AI that can think for itself

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and help us solve complex problems.

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Yeah.

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But we also need to ensure that its actions

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align with human values and goals.

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Yeah.

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We've got to be careful about what we ask it to do.

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And this is just the tip of the iceberg

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when it comes to the future of AI as Sitzgever sees it.

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Oh, there's so much more to unpack.

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So much more.

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We've got to keep going.

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Let's do it.

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So much more.

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Yeah.

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And we haven't even touched on the hallucination problem,

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which has been a major hurdle in AI development.

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As impressive as current AI is.

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Yeah.

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It still has that tendency to just make stuff up.

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Totally.

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You know, generate incorrect or even nonsensical information.

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Yeah.

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And that's a big problem if we want to rely on AI

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for things like scientific research.

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Or medical diagnoses.

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Exactly.

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High stakes situations.

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Exactly.

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Sitzgever believes that as AI becomes more sophisticated

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in its reasoning abilities, it will actually

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be able to identify and correct these solutions on its own.

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So almost like a built-in fact checker.

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Yeah.

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Like a self-correcting mechanism.

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So AI that can not only generate information,

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but also critically evaluate its own output

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and make adjustments.

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Yeah, make adjustments.

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Yeah.

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Based on reasoning and logic.

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It ties back to his point about generalization.

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OK.

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He believes that AI will eventually

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be able to solve problems that hasn't been specifically

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trained on.

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OK.

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Much like humans can apply knowledge

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from one domain to another.

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I'm thinking like when we learn to drive,

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we might practice in a limited area.

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Right.

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But then we can navigate new environments

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in unexpected situations.

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Exactly.

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So he seems to think AI will achieve

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a similar level of adaptability.

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He does.

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Although he acknowledges that it might not

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be quite as seamless as human generalization.

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Right.

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But even approaching that level of adaptability

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would have massive implications for AI's ability

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to function in the real world.

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Yeah.

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It feels like we're talking about AI that's not just a tool,

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but like a partner.

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Yeah.

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That can help us navigate complex and unpredictable

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situations.

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I like that a partner.

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And all of these predictions.

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Yeah.

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Agentic AI, synthetic data, advanced reasoning,

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generalization.

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All pointing towards.

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They all seem to point towards this idea

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of superintelligence.

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Yeah, ultimate goal.

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Right.

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Yeah.

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And that's where things get really interesting.

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Things get really interesting because superintelligence,

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as he describes it, isn't just about being really smart.

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It's about surpassing human intelligence

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in virtually every aspect.

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So not just AI that can beat us at chess.

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Right.

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But AI that can solve problems that we can't even comprehend.

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Solve problems we don't even know exist.

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It might have insights and perspectives

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that are completely alien to us.

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Yeah.

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It really challenges our current understanding

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of what intelligence means.

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It's both exhilarating and a little daunting.

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It is both of those things.

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I think a lot of people hear superintelligence

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and they immediately think of.

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Hollywood as a country.

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Yeah, the Terminator machines taking over the world.

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Right.

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But Sootskiver doesn't really seem to see it that way.

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He doesn't.

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He actually emphasizes the potential for collaboration

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between humans and superintelligent AI.

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OK.

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He talks about AI helping us solve some of the world's most

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pressing problems, augmenting our creativity,

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00:08:26,600 --> 00:08:28,960
and pushing the boundaries of human potential.

287
00:08:28,960 --> 00:08:30,720
That sounds incredibly optimistic.

288
00:08:30,720 --> 00:08:31,440
It does.

289
00:08:31,440 --> 00:08:33,760
But it also raises the question of control.

290
00:08:33,760 --> 00:08:34,240
Right.

291
00:08:34,240 --> 00:08:37,920
How do we ensure that superintelligent AI with its

292
00:08:37,920 --> 00:08:40,920
potentially vast capabilities remains

293
00:08:40,920 --> 00:08:43,080
aligned with human values and goals?

294
00:08:43,080 --> 00:08:44,680
That's the million dollar question.

295
00:08:44,680 --> 00:08:46,960
And it's one that Sootskiver doesn't shy away from.

296
00:08:46,960 --> 00:08:47,640
OK.

297
00:08:47,640 --> 00:08:51,080
He acknowledges that we need to develop robust frameworks

298
00:08:51,080 --> 00:08:54,120
and safeguards to guide the development and deployment

299
00:08:54,120 --> 00:08:57,240
of superintelligent AI, ensuring that it remains

300
00:08:57,240 --> 00:08:58,760
beneficial to humanity.

301
00:08:58,760 --> 00:09:00,840
It's not just about building smarter AI.

302
00:09:00,840 --> 00:09:01,040
Right.

303
00:09:01,040 --> 00:09:03,360
It's about building AI that's aligned with our values

304
00:09:03,360 --> 00:09:03,960
and goals.

305
00:09:03,960 --> 00:09:05,280
Aligning it with our value.

306
00:09:05,280 --> 00:09:07,960
It's about shaping a future where AI and humanity

307
00:09:07,960 --> 00:09:10,040
can coexist and thrive together.

308
00:09:10,040 --> 00:09:12,360
And that requires careful consideration

309
00:09:12,360 --> 00:09:14,280
of the ethical implications.

310
00:09:14,280 --> 00:09:15,760
Of such powerful technology.

311
00:09:15,760 --> 00:09:16,400
Absolutely.

312
00:09:16,400 --> 00:09:18,800
We need to start having those conversations now

313
00:09:18,800 --> 00:09:21,240
before we reach a point where superintelligence becomes

314
00:09:21,240 --> 00:09:22,160
a reality.

315
00:09:22,160 --> 00:09:23,720
Can't just wait until it's too late.

316
00:09:23,720 --> 00:09:24,520
No.

317
00:09:24,520 --> 00:09:28,400
We need to think about the potential consequences,

318
00:09:28,400 --> 00:09:31,880
the ethical dilemmas, the societal impacts

319
00:09:31,880 --> 00:09:35,600
of such a profound technological advancement.

320
00:09:35,600 --> 00:09:36,960
We need to make sure we're not just

321
00:09:36,960 --> 00:09:38,400
building superintelligence.

322
00:09:38,400 --> 00:09:38,880
Right.

323
00:09:38,880 --> 00:09:40,280
We're building it responsibly.

324
00:09:40,280 --> 00:09:41,640
Responsibly, yeah.

325
00:09:41,640 --> 00:09:43,680
We need to ensure that the benefits of AI

326
00:09:43,680 --> 00:09:45,320
are shared equitably.

327
00:09:45,320 --> 00:09:46,160
Oh, sure.

328
00:09:46,160 --> 00:09:49,480
That we don't create new forms of inequality or injustice

329
00:09:49,480 --> 00:09:50,360
in the process.

330
00:09:50,360 --> 00:09:51,920
It's a huge responsibility.

331
00:09:51,920 --> 00:09:52,400
It is.

332
00:09:52,400 --> 00:09:54,760
But it's one we can't afford to ignore.

333
00:09:54,760 --> 00:09:56,720
It feels like a fundamental shift.

334
00:09:56,720 --> 00:09:57,120
It is.

335
00:09:57,120 --> 00:09:58,680
In our relationship with technology.

336
00:09:58,680 --> 00:09:59,160
Absolutely.

337
00:09:59,160 --> 00:10:02,600
Moving beyond simply using it to actively shaping

338
00:10:02,600 --> 00:10:03,640
its evolution.

339
00:10:03,640 --> 00:10:05,800
Yeah, we're not just passive users anymore.

340
00:10:05,800 --> 00:10:09,280
Especially when it comes to something as potentially

341
00:10:09,280 --> 00:10:11,040
transformative as superintelligence.

342
00:10:11,040 --> 00:10:11,440
Yeah.

343
00:10:11,440 --> 00:10:13,360
Yeah, it is a massive undertaking.

344
00:10:13,360 --> 00:10:15,000
But it's also an incredible opportunity.

345
00:10:15,000 --> 00:10:15,600
I agree.

346
00:10:15,600 --> 00:10:18,200
I mean, Setscaver's vision of the future of AI.

347
00:10:18,200 --> 00:10:20,080
Yeah.

348
00:10:20,080 --> 00:10:22,560
Isn't just about technological advancement.

349
00:10:22,560 --> 00:10:25,560
It's about reimagining what's possible for humanity.

350
00:10:25,560 --> 00:10:26,160
It's exact.

351
00:10:26,160 --> 00:10:29,920
Using this incredible tool to solve problems,

352
00:10:29,920 --> 00:10:33,800
enhance creativity, and ultimately create a better future.

353
00:10:33,800 --> 00:10:36,360
That's what I find so inspiring about his perspective.

354
00:10:36,360 --> 00:10:40,480
He's not just predicting a future where AI is more powerful.

355
00:10:40,480 --> 00:10:43,440
He's envisioning a future where AI helps

356
00:10:43,440 --> 00:10:48,680
us unlock human potential in ways we can't even imagine yet.

357
00:10:48,680 --> 00:10:51,520
But with all this talk of superintelligence and AI

358
00:10:51,520 --> 00:10:54,000
that can reason, act independently,

359
00:10:54,000 --> 00:10:56,040
and even solve its own errors.

360
00:10:56,040 --> 00:10:57,760
There's a question that lingers in my mind.

361
00:10:57,760 --> 00:10:58,880
OK.

362
00:10:58,880 --> 00:11:01,920
What happens to humans in this future?

363
00:11:01,920 --> 00:11:03,440
Do we become obsolete?

364
00:11:03,440 --> 00:11:05,040
That's a valid concern.

365
00:11:05,040 --> 00:11:08,560
And one that's been explored in science fiction for decades.

366
00:11:08,560 --> 00:11:11,800
But I think Setscaver offers a more nuanced view.

367
00:11:11,800 --> 00:11:14,040
He doesn't see superintelligence as replacing

368
00:11:14,040 --> 00:11:15,400
human intelligence.

369
00:11:15,400 --> 00:11:17,240
He sees it as complimenting it.

370
00:11:17,240 --> 00:11:20,000
So instead of a scenario where AI takes over,

371
00:11:20,000 --> 00:11:22,200
it's more about collaboration and partnership.

372
00:11:22,200 --> 00:11:23,400
More like a partnership.

373
00:11:23,400 --> 00:11:26,680
Humans and AI working together to achieve common goals.

374
00:11:26,680 --> 00:11:28,280
Exactly.

375
00:11:28,280 --> 00:11:32,000
Imagine a world where we have AI partners that

376
00:11:32,000 --> 00:11:34,280
can help us tackle climate change,

377
00:11:34,280 --> 00:11:37,520
develop new medical treatments, or even explore

378
00:11:37,520 --> 00:11:39,280
the depths of space.

379
00:11:39,280 --> 00:11:39,960
Wow.

380
00:11:39,960 --> 00:11:44,480
AI that can augment our creativity, expand our knowledge,

381
00:11:44,480 --> 00:11:46,640
and help us understand the universe in ways

382
00:11:46,640 --> 00:11:48,400
we never could alone.

383
00:11:48,400 --> 00:11:50,120
That's a powerful image.

384
00:11:50,120 --> 00:11:53,360
But how do we ensure that this collaboration is

385
00:11:53,360 --> 00:11:55,480
truly beneficial to all of humanity?

386
00:11:55,480 --> 00:11:55,760
Yeah.

387
00:11:55,760 --> 00:11:58,520
How do we prevent the concentration of power

388
00:11:58,520 --> 00:12:00,880
and resources in the hands of those who control

389
00:12:00,880 --> 00:12:02,760
these advanced AI systems?

390
00:12:02,760 --> 00:12:04,760
That's where the ethical considerations we've

391
00:12:04,760 --> 00:12:06,120
been discussing come into play.

392
00:12:06,120 --> 00:12:06,760
OK.

393
00:12:06,760 --> 00:12:09,920
We need to establish clear guidelines and frameworks

394
00:12:09,920 --> 00:12:12,920
to ensure that the development and deployment of superintelligence

395
00:12:12,920 --> 00:12:15,080
is guided by principles of fairness, equity,

396
00:12:15,080 --> 00:12:16,040
and accessibility.

397
00:12:16,040 --> 00:12:18,120
So it's not just about building advanced AI.

398
00:12:18,120 --> 00:12:18,520
Right.

399
00:12:18,520 --> 00:12:20,200
It's about building it responsibly.

400
00:12:20,200 --> 00:12:21,040
Responsibly.

401
00:12:21,040 --> 00:12:23,200
Ensuring that its benefits are shared widely.

402
00:12:23,200 --> 00:12:23,480
Right.

403
00:12:23,480 --> 00:12:25,600
And that it doesn't exacerbate existing inequality.

404
00:12:25,600 --> 00:12:26,160
That's excellent.

405
00:12:26,160 --> 00:12:27,280
Or create new ones.

406
00:12:27,280 --> 00:12:29,120
We need to be very careful about that.

407
00:12:29,120 --> 00:12:31,280
It seems like navigating this future

408
00:12:31,280 --> 00:12:34,720
will require a deep understanding of not only

409
00:12:34,720 --> 00:12:37,800
the technological aspects of AI, but also

410
00:12:37,800 --> 00:12:40,600
the ethical, social, and economic implications.

411
00:12:40,600 --> 00:12:41,160
All of it.

412
00:12:41,160 --> 00:12:44,120
We'll need to rethink our education systems,

413
00:12:44,120 --> 00:12:47,240
our labor markets, even our political institutions

414
00:12:47,240 --> 00:12:48,920
to adapt to this new reality.

415
00:12:48,920 --> 00:12:50,440
It's a huge shift.

416
00:12:50,440 --> 00:12:50,840
It is.

417
00:12:50,840 --> 00:12:54,240
The future of AI isn't just a technological challenge.

418
00:12:54,240 --> 00:12:56,160
It's a societal challenge.

419
00:12:56,160 --> 00:12:59,880
It will require collaboration across disciplines,

420
00:12:59,880 --> 00:13:02,600
thoughtful dialogue, and a willingness

421
00:13:02,600 --> 00:13:05,600
to adapt to a world where the boundaries between human

422
00:13:05,600 --> 00:13:09,320
and artificial intelligence are becoming increasingly blurred.

423
00:13:09,320 --> 00:13:12,840
Sutskiver paints a picture of a future

424
00:13:12,840 --> 00:13:15,200
that is both exciting and daunting.

425
00:13:15,200 --> 00:13:15,920
He does.

426
00:13:15,920 --> 00:13:18,120
Full of potential, but also fraught with challenges.

427
00:13:18,120 --> 00:13:19,520
So many challenges.

428
00:13:19,520 --> 00:13:22,440
It's clear that the choices we make today

429
00:13:22,440 --> 00:13:25,600
will have a profound impact on how this future unfolds.

430
00:13:25,600 --> 00:13:26,160
Absolutely.

431
00:13:26,160 --> 00:13:28,320
And that's what makes this conversation so crucial.

432
00:13:28,320 --> 00:13:30,160
We're not just passive observers.

433
00:13:30,160 --> 00:13:30,720
Right.

434
00:13:30,720 --> 00:13:33,640
We're active participants in shaping the future of AI.

435
00:13:33,640 --> 00:13:34,320
We have a voice.

436
00:13:34,320 --> 00:13:35,120
We have a choice.

437
00:13:35,120 --> 00:13:37,800
We do by engaging in informed discussions,

438
00:13:37,800 --> 00:13:40,920
demanding ethical development, and embracing

439
00:13:40,920 --> 00:13:42,720
the potential for collaboration.

440
00:13:42,720 --> 00:13:45,520
We can help guide AI towards a future that

441
00:13:45,520 --> 00:13:48,600
benefits all of humanity.

442
00:13:48,600 --> 00:13:53,840
So as you continue your own exploration of AI,

443
00:13:53,840 --> 00:13:56,880
remember that you're not just learning about a technology.

444
00:13:56,880 --> 00:13:59,800
You're engaging with a force that has the potential

445
00:13:59,800 --> 00:14:01,120
to reshape our world.

446
00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:02,480
A very powerful force.

447
00:14:02,480 --> 00:14:04,480
What excites you most about this potential?

448
00:14:04,480 --> 00:14:05,440
It's a big question.

449
00:14:05,440 --> 00:14:07,200
What concerns you and what role do you

450
00:14:07,200 --> 00:14:09,240
want to play in shaping this future?

451
00:14:09,240 --> 00:14:10,920
Those are questions worth pondering.

452
00:14:10,920 --> 00:14:13,960
As we stand at the cusp of this new era of intelligence.

453
00:14:13,960 --> 00:14:15,360
It's a new era.

454
00:14:15,360 --> 00:14:18,200
It is the future of AI is not predetermined.

455
00:14:18,200 --> 00:14:18,560
Right.

456
00:14:18,560 --> 00:14:20,080
It's being written right now.

457
00:14:20,080 --> 00:14:23,360
And we all have a part to play in shaping its direction.

458
00:14:23,360 --> 00:14:26,200
Well, that's about all the time we have for today's deep dive.

459
00:14:26,200 --> 00:14:27,200
Time flies.

460
00:14:27,200 --> 00:14:29,560
It's been an incredible journey into the world of AI.

461
00:14:29,560 --> 00:14:30,240
It has.

462
00:14:30,240 --> 00:14:33,200
And the mind-blowing possibilities that lie ahead.

463
00:14:33,200 --> 00:14:35,720
We hope this conversation has sparked your curiosity.

464
00:14:35,720 --> 00:14:36,200
Yes.

465
00:14:36,200 --> 00:14:38,600
And inspired you to think deeply about the future

466
00:14:38,600 --> 00:14:39,880
we're creating together.

467
00:14:39,880 --> 00:14:40,880
It's up to us.

468
00:14:40,880 --> 00:14:43,840
Until next time, keep exploring.

469
00:14:43,840 --> 00:14:45,000
Keep questioning.

470
00:14:45,000 --> 00:14:45,800
Keep learning.

471
00:14:45,800 --> 00:14:48,920
And keep imagining the incredible potential of AI

472
00:14:48,920 --> 00:14:50,840
to shape a better future for all.

473
00:14:50,840 --> 00:14:52,840
A better future for all.

474
00:14:52,840 --> 00:14:54,920
Thanks for joining us on this deep dive.

475
00:14:54,920 --> 00:14:55,960
It's been a pleasure.

476
00:14:55,960 --> 00:15:16,120
We'll see you next time.

