WEBVTT

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Welcome back to The Deep Dive. It is Wednesday,

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February 4th, 2026. And I have to say, looking

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at the stack of research we have for today, I

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feel like I need a flow chart, a stiff drink,

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and maybe a world map just to keep track of it

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all. It is definitely one of those weeks. We

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are spanning the globe today. We really are.

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We're going from the terrifyingly quiet streets

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of suburban Minnesota straight into the gridlock

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of Washington. And then pivoting to high stakes

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crypto deals. In the UAE, no less, and then just

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to really top it off, we're ending with a bombshell

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report linking the Kremlin to Jeffrey Epstein.

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It really sounds like a conspiracy board when

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you say it all out loud like that. It does. But

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our job is to connect these dots. We want to

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see how a roof not getting fixed in St. Paul

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connects to a deal made in a palace in the Middle

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East. Because weirdly enough, They are connected.

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They are. And I think the common thread here

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is this disconnect between the massive global

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maneuvering of money and power and the very real,

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very local consequences that are hitting regular

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people. So let's start on the ground. We've been

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following the news out of Minnesota, these intense

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ICE crackdowns. And I want to start with a correction

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or maybe a clarification from one of our listeners.

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Right. We had a listener, JS, write in. The national

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media keeps splashing Minneapolis across the

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headlines. Right, as the epicenter. Exactly.

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But JS points out that it's actually Columbia

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Heights. Which is a suburb, right? It is. And

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the distinction really matters. You know, Minneapolis

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has resources. Columbia Heights is a smaller

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working class suburb. It doesn't have the same

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safety nets. And the community there is a specific

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target. It seems so. JS notes it has a large

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Ecuadorian population. Right. And they appear

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to be the focus of this whole enforcement wave.

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And the details are just... Just. They're intense.

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We're talking about ICE agents allegedly targeting

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the Ecuadorian consulate and even local schools

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facing bomb threats. But the thing that struck

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me most in the research was the description of

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the atmosphere. It's chilling. Yeah, a reader

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made this comparison to 2020, the aftermath of

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George Floyd. And we all remember those images,

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right? The fires, the helicopters, the sirens.

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It was loud chaos. Constant noise. But this reader

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points out that what's happening now is the complete

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inverse. It's a terrifying silence. That's the

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phrase that really sticks with you. Terrifying

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silence. It's businesses just not opening. Streets

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that should be gridlock at rush hour are empty.

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We have a report of a mental health professional,

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a U .S. citizen born and raised, who is now carrying

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his passport to the grocery store. Just in case.

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Because he's afraid of being picked up by mistake.

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Because the margin for error seems to have vanished.

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And that fear, it isn't unfounded. Did you see

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the report about the teenager at Target? I did.

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And I had to reread it three times to believe

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it. So a kid is working his shift. I see agents

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grab him, throw him in a van, drive him up the

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road, and then, oops, realize he's a US citizen.

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And instead of taking him back or, you know,

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apologizing, they just dumped him in a Walmart

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parking lot and drove off. It's efficient, I

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guess. Yeah. In the absolute worst way possible.

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But then right next to that horror, you have

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something that feels like a hallucination. Please

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tell me the giraffe incident is real. Oh, it's

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in the police reports. A man wearing a full giraffe

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costume was violently arrested. Why? Was he hiding

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someone or something? No, he was just making

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fun of the agents, mocking the operation. And

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the response was immediate physical force. It

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just illustrates how high the tension is. But

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let's get to the so what of this. For the average

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listener who might be thinking, well, I'm not

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in Columbia Heights and I'm not undocumented,

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the economic ripple effect is fascinating and

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scary. This is where it hits your wallet. Yeah.

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We have a source from the building materials

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industry and he is sounding the alarm for the

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rest of 2026. The roofing crisis. Exactly. You

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know, in the Midwest, summer brings hailstorms.

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It's inevitable. Usually armies of crews mobilize

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to fix thousands of roofs. Right. The source

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is saying that with these raids, that labor force

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has just evaporated. So if a hailstorm hits St.

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Paul in July... There is literally no one to

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fix your roof. Your insurance might cut the check.

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But if there are no hands to hold the hammer,

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your house just sits there leaking. It's a direct

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line from immigration policy to property value

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destruction. And this isn't just Minnesota, right?

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We're seeing similar reports out of Maine. Maine

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is seeing the same tactics. Smashed windows,

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people dragged out of cars. But there's a specific

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case in Maine that shows how wide this net is

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being cast. They detained a recruit for the Cumberland

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County Sheriff's Department. Wait, a recruit?

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As in someone trying to become a cop? A fully

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vetted recruit. The sheriff actually had to hold

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a press conference to explain that, yes, this

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person was legal. Yes, they were vetted. But

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the damage is done. The public just sees detained.

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assumes criminal. So it completely complicates

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the essential narrative that this is just about

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criminals and politically this seems to be backfiring.

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Massively. The sources indicate that Senate races,

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governorships in Minnesota and Maine places that

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were considered toss -ups are now moving toward

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solid Democrat. The local backlash to the disruption

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of daily life is actually shifting the polls.

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Which brings us to Washington. Because while

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the states are dealing with a fallout, DC is

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dealing with a budget fight. We're approaching

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the DHS cliff. Right, so the government is technically

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funded, but the Department of Homeland Security

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is the big exception. Their funding runs out

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in two weeks. It's always a cliffhanger. What's

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the standoff about this time? Well, Democrats

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want to put shackles on icy, restricting funds

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to stop exactly the kind of raids we just talked

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about. Republicans are countering with the Save

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Act. OK, the Save Act. We hear about this a lot.

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It requires proof of citizenship to vote. And

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I think a lot of listeners might wonder, what's

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the controversy? Don't you already have to be

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a citizen to vote? You do. It is already illegal

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for non -citizens to vote. The controversy is

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about the paperwork. The Save Act would require

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you to provide specific documentary proof, like

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a passport or a birth certificate, just to register.

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And not everyone has their birth certificate

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handy. Exactly. Millions of Americans, often

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poor, elderly or rural, don't have easy access

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to those specific documents. So Democrats argue

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it's just a way to suppress legal voters. But

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here's the twist. The polling suggests Republicans

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might be miscalculating the public mood on this.

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The polling is really surprising here. It is.

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Aggregates from the New York Times, Fox, CBS

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all show that about 60 % of Americans think ICE

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is too aggressive or has gone too far. 60 % in

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this political climate. That's practically a

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consensus. That's huge. It suggests that the

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law and order message is losing to the this is

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too chaotic reality that people are seeing. And

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speaking of law and order. We have to talk about

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Don Lemon. I did not have Don Lemon arrested

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on my 2026 bingo card. No one did. He was covering

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an in -church protest against an ICE agent who's

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also a pastor. Which is a whole drama in itself.

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But the charge, the charge is what's really important

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here. They got him on the FACE Act. And this

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is where it gets really interesting legally.

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The FACE Act, Freedom of Access to Clinic Entrances,

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was passed in 1994 to protect abortion clinics

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from being blockaded. So a law designed to protect

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healthcare access. Why use it on a journalist

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at a church? The source analysis calls it a bank

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shot. The current administration hates the FACE

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Act because it protects abortion providers. So

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by applying it to a journalist, Don Lemon, they

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are trying to force a court case. Wait, let me

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see if I have this right. They are using a law

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they hate against a person they dislike in the

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hope that the Supreme Court will look at this

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bizarre application and say, this law is unconstitutional,

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thereby killing the very law that protects abortion

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clinics. That is the 4D chess move described

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by the sources. It's a way to kill the law without

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Congress having to act while also intimidating

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the press. It's a two for one. That is diabolically

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clever, if that's what's happening. It's high

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risk. But it's a definite strategy. OK, before

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we leave the domestic front, we have to touch

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on the history lesson we got this week. Donald

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Trump issued a proclamation about the Mexican

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-American War. He did. On the 178th anniversary,

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he praised the reassertion of American sovereignty.

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Reassertion. That implies we owned it before,

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lost it, and got it back. Which is factually

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creative. Our historian source basically went

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through this with a red pen. First, the US had

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zero prior claim to that land. You can't reassert

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something you never had. OK. Second, Trump claimed

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battles happened in California and New Mexico.

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They didn't. Almost all the fighting was deep

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inside Mexico. And finally, he glossed over the

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purchase. We paid $15 million, which the historian

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calls a pittance meant to dress up a conquest

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as a real estate deal. So why does this matter

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now? Is it just bad history trivia? No, because

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words have diplomatic consequences. This rhetoric

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is reportedly straining relations with Mexico

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right now, affecting trade, border cooperation,

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everything. You don't insult a neighbor you need

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help from by rewriting the history of how you

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took their land. Fair point. OK, let's follow

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the money. Because if the history is murky, the

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finances are. Well, they're massive. We're seeing

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reports of the Trump family making billions.

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The scale is staggering. The journalist David

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Kirkpatrick estimates the family has made at

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least $4 .05 billion in the last year alone.

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But let's start with a lawsuit. Because this

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one sounds like a joke. Trump is suing the government

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that he leads. He's reportedly suing the IRS

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for $10 billion and the DOJ for $230 million

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over past investigations. $10 billion. And when

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he was asked how that would work, since he's

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the boss of the defendant, he suggested he might

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work out a settlement with himself. and donate

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it to charity. Work out a settlement with himself.

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I mean, wow. But the real money isn't in lawsuits.

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It's in crypto. Specifically, a company called

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World Liberty Financial. It's a stablecoin company,

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partially owned by the Trump family. Can we pause

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there for a second? I think a lot of people hear

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stablecoin and their eyes glaze over. What is

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it, simply? Think of it like a digital casino

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chip that's always worth exactly one dollar.

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It's a cryptocurrency that's pegged to the U

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.S. dollar, so it doesn't fluctuate like Bitcoin.

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It's used to move money around very quickly.

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OK, so if it's pegged to the dollar and the president

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appoints the person who controls the dollar.

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You see the conflict of interest. Yeah. A huge

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one. But it gets much messier. Remember Changpeng

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Zhao? CZ, the crypto king. The former crypto

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king and a convicted felon. Yeah. He struck a

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deal involving World Liberty Financial that sent

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its value skyrocketing to over $2 .1 billion.

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Then, in October 2025, Zao got a presidential

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pardon. So, deal, stock goes up, pardon. A very

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clean, very convenient timeline. But then, the

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UAE gets involved. Sheikh Tanoon, the spy sheikh,

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reportedly took a secret $500 million stake in

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the company just before the inauguration. Half

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a billion dollars. And right after that investment,

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the U .S. approved the sale of advanced AI chips

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to the UAE. Now, this is important. This isn't

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just selling them laptops. Why were those chips

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blocked before? Because of China. The Pentagon

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was terrified that if we sold these high -end

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chips to the UAE, they'd end up in Beijing's

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hands. It was a hard no for national security

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reasons. But after the $500 million investment,

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the no became a yes. I mean, that's the literal

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definition of pay to play, isn't it? It certainly

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fits the pattern. And don't forget the envoy,

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Steve Witkoff. He reportedly got a $31 million

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cut just for setting up the deal. A $31 million

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finders fee. OK, but we have one more layer here.

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And this one. Look, we need to be careful, but

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the Daily Mail has dropped a report that if it's

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true, it rewrites the last decade of American

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history. This is the Russian Connection. The

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Daily Mail has an investigative report alleging

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that Jeffrey Epstein wasn't just a predator.

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They claimed he was running a honey trap operation

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for the KGB and Vladimir Putin. A honey trap,

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meaning gathering blackmail on powerful people.

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Exactly. Compromising them to give the Kremlin

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leverage. And the report alleges that Donald

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Trump was a primary target of this operation.

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And again, we're reporting on what the Delhi

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Mail and these alleged documents claim. What

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exactly are they saying is in there? The documents

00:12:15.399 --> 00:12:17.500
suggest Epstein claimed he could give the Kremlin

00:12:17.500 --> 00:12:20.440
valuable insight into Trump. There's a quote

00:12:20.440 --> 00:12:22.779
where Epstein says the Russian ambassador, Vitaly

00:12:22.779 --> 00:12:26.269
Cherkin, understood Trump. after their conversations.

00:12:26.549 --> 00:12:28.330
And this pairs with the financial reliance that

00:12:28.330 --> 00:12:30.690
we've heard about for years. Right. We have those

00:12:30.690 --> 00:12:33.190
old quotes from Don Jr. in 2008 about Russian

00:12:33.190 --> 00:12:35.610
money pouring into their assets. But the report

00:12:35.610 --> 00:12:38.750
argues this leverage had real tangible consequences

00:12:38.750 --> 00:12:40.789
during the first term. This is the burning spies

00:12:40.789 --> 00:12:43.429
part. This part is genuinely horrifying. It's

00:12:43.429 --> 00:12:45.110
the most serious allegation in the whole piece.

00:12:45.889 --> 00:12:48.409
The source recounts an incident where Trump apparently

00:12:48.409 --> 00:12:51.129
revealed an Israeli spy to Russian officials.

00:12:51.370 --> 00:12:53.830
right in the Oval Office. And the CIA's reaction?

00:12:54.110 --> 00:12:57.029
Total panic. The report says the CIA had to pull

00:12:57.029 --> 00:12:59.690
a top -level source out of the Kremlin in 2017,

00:13:00.330 --> 00:13:03.389
a spy who had access to Putin's desk because

00:13:03.389 --> 00:13:05.330
they were terrified Trump would expose him. Just

00:13:05.330 --> 00:13:07.769
think about that. We burned our own highest -level

00:13:07.769 --> 00:13:09.549
asset because we couldn't trust our own president.

00:13:09.769 --> 00:13:12.190
It's a total collapse of the intelligence hierarchy.

00:13:12.649 --> 00:13:15.289
And we saw it publicly in Helsinki in 2018 when

00:13:15.289 --> 00:13:17.669
Trump met Putin and then physically destroyed

00:13:17.669 --> 00:13:19.590
the translator's notes. And what about Rand Paul's

00:13:19.590 --> 00:13:22.570
trip? Senator Rand Paul hand -delivered a private

00:13:22.570 --> 00:13:25.470
letter from Trump to Putin in Moscow in 2018.

00:13:26.370 --> 00:13:28.350
The report says that shortly after that letter

00:13:28.350 --> 00:13:32.590
arrived, CIA sources in Moscow just went silent.

00:13:32.789 --> 00:13:35.090
They went silent. Which usually means they were

00:13:35.090 --> 00:13:38.409
caught. Or worse. Correct. So does this leverage

00:13:38.409 --> 00:13:41.490
still exist today? The report offers a recent

00:13:41.490 --> 00:13:44.149
anecdote to suggest it does. Trump apparently

00:13:44.149 --> 00:13:46.950
asked Putin to pause the bombing of Ukraine for

00:13:46.950 --> 00:13:50.529
one week. And did he listen? He reportedly laughed.

00:13:51.070 --> 00:13:53.549
But he did pause a tax on key for a few days

00:13:53.549 --> 00:13:56.450
while ignoring the rest of the country. It shows

00:13:56.450 --> 00:13:59.429
this dynamic where the U .S. president asks for

00:13:59.429 --> 00:14:02.149
a favor and the Russian president grants a token

00:14:02.149 --> 00:14:05.230
gesture while laughing it off. Okay, that is...

00:14:05.200 --> 00:14:07.299
That is incredibly heavy. We're talking about

00:14:07.299 --> 00:14:10.000
global treason and billions of dollars. But I

00:14:10.000 --> 00:14:11.720
want to do a hard pivot here. I want to switch

00:14:11.720 --> 00:14:14.500
from this macro level nightmare to the micro

00:14:14.500 --> 00:14:16.500
level because the way people actually get into

00:14:16.500 --> 00:14:19.320
power is changing. We're entering what the sources

00:14:19.320 --> 00:14:21.840
are calling skeleton season. Skeleton season.

00:14:21.919 --> 00:14:24.139
Usually that means opposition research. But now

00:14:24.139 --> 00:14:27.259
it's about social media 2 .0. It is. We're seeing

00:14:27.259 --> 00:14:30.659
this new reality where digital paper trails from,

00:14:30.659 --> 00:14:32.700
you know, a decade ago are deciding elections

00:14:32.700 --> 00:14:35.220
today. Look at the Texas Senate race. The TikTok

00:14:35.220 --> 00:14:38.879
drama. The TikTok drama. A user dug up a video

00:14:38.879 --> 00:14:42.019
alleging Democrat James Tolerico made disparaging

00:14:42.019 --> 00:14:44.200
remarks about his opponent, Jasmine Crockett.

00:14:44.580 --> 00:14:48.220
He allegedly called her not a formidable, intelligent

00:14:48.220 --> 00:14:51.299
black woman. Oof. That is not a good look. He

00:14:51.299 --> 00:14:53.120
says it was taken out of context, that he was

00:14:53.120 --> 00:14:55.299
talking about campaign style, but the clip is

00:14:55.299 --> 00:14:57.960
out there. It's viral. Context rarely survives

00:14:57.960 --> 00:15:00.080
the algorithm. And then there's the Tiano singer

00:15:00.080 --> 00:15:02.879
Bobby Pulido. Running for Texas District 15,

00:15:03.179 --> 00:15:05.919
a music legend. But he's getting hammered for

00:15:05.919 --> 00:15:09.340
an old, very vulgar social media post about Hillary

00:15:09.340 --> 00:15:12.320
Clinton and the actress Chloe Grace Moretz. You

00:15:12.320 --> 00:15:14.019
know, the thing that strikes me is that in the

00:15:14.019 --> 00:15:16.639
past, a youthful indiscretion was something you

00:15:16.639 --> 00:15:19.009
said at a bar. Maybe one person heard it. It

00:15:19.009 --> 00:15:21.529
was your word against theirs. Now it's a time

00:15:21.529 --> 00:15:24.389
stamp screenshot. It's a 4K video. Exactly. So

00:15:24.389 --> 00:15:27.429
the question becomes who can even run for office

00:15:27.429 --> 00:15:30.429
in 10 years. If you grew up on social media you

00:15:30.429 --> 00:15:33.210
have a public permanent searchable dossier on

00:15:33.210 --> 00:15:35.570
yourself. It might mean we end up with politicians

00:15:35.570 --> 00:15:38.509
who are either incredibly boring because they

00:15:38.509 --> 00:15:41.269
never posted anything or completely shameless

00:15:41.269 --> 00:15:43.590
because they just don't care. I think we're already

00:15:43.590 --> 00:15:46.289
seeing the shameless model taking the lead. I

00:15:46.289 --> 00:15:48.559
think you're right about that. So, look, we have

00:15:48.559 --> 00:15:50.639
covered a massive amount of ground today. We've

00:15:50.639 --> 00:15:53.360
gone from a giraffe suit arrest in Minnesota

00:15:53.360 --> 00:15:57.779
to a Supreme Court bank shot to UAE ship deals

00:15:57.779 --> 00:16:01.620
to Russian spies and finally to TikTok scandals.

00:16:01.919 --> 00:16:04.850
It's a lot to process. But I keep coming back

00:16:04.850 --> 00:16:07.429
to that roofer in St. Paul. Me too. Because when

00:16:07.429 --> 00:16:09.190
you look at this whole stack of sources, there

00:16:09.190 --> 00:16:12.649
is just this profound disconnect. You have billions

00:16:12.649 --> 00:16:15.190
of dollars flashing across borders in nanoseconds,

00:16:15.389 --> 00:16:18.590
crypto, influence peddling, spy games. The people

00:16:18.590 --> 00:16:21.750
at the very top are playing a game of risk. with

00:16:21.750 --> 00:16:23.529
the entire planet. And meanwhile, the people

00:16:23.529 --> 00:16:25.289
on the ground are just trying to keep water out

00:16:25.289 --> 00:16:27.470
of their living rooms. Exactly. The enforcement

00:16:27.470 --> 00:16:30.789
is happening down here. Intense, physical, face

00:16:30.789 --> 00:16:33.610
to face like the ICE raids. But the rule breaking,

00:16:33.970 --> 00:16:36.470
the massive consequential rule break, that's

00:16:36.470 --> 00:16:38.570
happening up there completely out of reach. It

00:16:38.570 --> 00:16:40.610
raises a really provocative question for everyone

00:16:40.610 --> 00:16:43.110
listening. We always say all politics is local.

00:16:43.549 --> 00:16:47.230
But in this era of social media 2 .0 and billion

00:16:47.230 --> 00:16:50.470
dollar transnational graft, does that still hold

00:16:50.470 --> 00:16:53.559
true? Or have we entered a reality where the

00:16:53.559 --> 00:16:56.799
scale of corruption is simply too big, too complex

00:16:56.799 --> 00:16:59.279
and too distant for the average voter to even

00:16:59.279 --> 00:17:02.679
process? Are we so busy worrying about the skeletons

00:17:02.679 --> 00:17:05.579
in a candidate's TikTok history that we miss

00:17:05.579 --> 00:17:07.940
the four billion dollar crypto deal happening

00:17:07.940 --> 00:17:10.640
in plain sight? Are we distracted by the local

00:17:10.640 --> 00:17:12.900
while the global game is being rigged against

00:17:12.900 --> 00:17:14.579
us? That is the question we're going to leave

00:17:14.579 --> 00:17:16.819
you with today. It's a scary thought. It is.

00:17:17.059 --> 00:17:19.099
But that's why we do the deep dive to try and

00:17:19.099 --> 00:17:21.309
see the whole board. Thanks for listening everyone.

00:17:21.529 --> 00:17:23.829
We'll see you next time. Stay curious and check

00:17:23.829 --> 00:17:24.329
your sources.
