WEBVTT

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Welcome back to the deep dive. So we're looking

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at a stack of sources today that at first glance

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just looks like a mistake. It's a strange mix.

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It really is. You've got a chemical attack on

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a congresswoman, a 40 million dollar check from

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Amazon to the first lady and a dispute over what

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soccer. It feels disjointed. It does sound like

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a mess, but I think the mission today is to show

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that these aren't actually random, isolated events.

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They're all symptoms of a very specific political

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ecosystem we're living in. An ecosystem where

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violence, corporate tribute payments, and legal

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technicalities are all just... leverage points

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in the same game. Exactly. It feels like we're

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watching a split -screen movie. On one side,

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you have Minneapolis, which is looking more and

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more like a paramilitary zone. With federal agents

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and tear gas, yeah. And on the other, you have,

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what, champagne toasts at the White House with

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Jeff Bezos' lieutenants? And the thread connecting

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them is transaction. Everything is a deal, whether

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it's trading voter rolls for peace or trading

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a documentary deal for space funding. So we need

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to connect those dots for you to see the bigger

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picture of the 2026 landscape. Honestly, we have

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to start with the deal that went wrong, the escalation

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in Minneapolis. Yeah, we have to start there.

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It feels like the temperature just broke the

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thermometer. The headline that really grabbed

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everyone was the attack on Representative Ilhan

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Omar. She was at a town hall, you know, just

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doing a standard event. And this guy rushes her.

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Anthony James Kizmirsak. He rushed the stage

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with a chemical spray. Thankfully, her security

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was on it and she wasn't physically harmed, but

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the intent was pretty clear. It's terrifying.

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But what stuck out to me in the reading wasn't

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just the attack itself. It was the immediate

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reaction. Right. You'd expect, regardless of

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party, a simple, this is bad, we condemn this.

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But that's not what happened. President Trump's

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reaction was to call Omar a fraud. And then he

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actually floated the theory that she paid the

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guy herself. Paid him to attack her to generate

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sympathy. Which is, I mean, that's a heavy accusation

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to just throw out there. It is, but it fits a

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pattern we analyzed. It's this mirror image dismissal

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of reality. When there's a right -wing protest

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or attack, the narrative from one side is, these

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are paid actors. And then when there are left

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-wing protests in Minneapolis or Portland, the

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opposing side claims those are paid actors. funded

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by George Soros. Exactly. It's like nobody is

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allowed to actually be angry on their own anymore.

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Everyone has to be on a payroll. It just delegitimizes

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the event itself. So you don't have to talk about

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why it happened. If it's fake, you don't have

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to address the root cause. Precisely. But while

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the rhetoric is heating up, the actual actions

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on the ground are getting legally very precarious.

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We have to talk about the Ecuadorian consulate.

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This one stopped me in my tracks. Federal ICE

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agents trying to force their way into the Ecuadorian

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consulate. in Minneapolis. First of all, why

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is this such a red line? I know diplomatic community

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is a thing in movies, but can you break down

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the actual rules? Sure. It comes down to the

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Vienna Convention. You have to think of a consulate

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not as just a building in Minneapolis, but as

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a sovereign island of Ecuadorian soil. So U .S.

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law enforcement has no jurisdiction inside those

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walls? None. Not without explicit permission.

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So by trying to force their way in, they weren't

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just serving a warrant, they were... Well, they

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were essentially committing an act of aggression

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against a foreign country. Wow. And that suggests

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they're willing to risk a major international

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incident to get at whatever or whoever is inside.

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It seems like they're willing to break a lot

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of China to get what they want in Minnesota.

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Which brings us to this quid pro quo story. Right.

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So we have reports of Attorney General Pam Bondi

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telling the Minnesota Secretary of State Steve

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Simon basically Give us the voter rolls and the

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chaos stops. It was reportedly that stark. That

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sounds less like politics and more like a protection

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racket. Nice city you got here. Shame if something

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happened to it. Yeah, yeah. But what they're

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looking for in those rolls, it's about data mining.

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The reports suggest they want to cross -reference

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state voter data with federal immigration databases.

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So they can find names on both lists, allege

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non -citizens voting, and then launch a purge

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before the 2026 midterms. That's the goal. So

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they manufacture chaos, or at least they refuse

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to de -escalate it to force the state to hand

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over data, which they then use to shrink the

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electorate. And Steve Simon refused. He did.

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But in the middle of all this high -level maneuvering,

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you've got the human cost, the Alex Priddy case.

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The shooting that set this all off. And there's

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new video. That's right. CNN and the AP released

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it. It shows about six minutes of footage right

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before the shooting, and it really contradicts

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the official narrative. How so? The scene was

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calm. Pretty was effectively just standing there.

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Wait, I saw people online talking about him having

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a broken rib from a fight with cops a week earlier.

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That was everywhere. And that's the counter -narrative.

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It turns out he did have a confrontation with

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federal officers the week before where he was

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tackled and injured. Supporters of the administration

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are using that to paint him as a habitual agitator.

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But what happened a week ago is irrelevant to

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whether lethal force was justified in that moment.

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From a legal and moral standpoint, yes. And the

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new video suggests he wasn't violent when the

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shooting started? So you have a calm scene turning

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deadly, a diplomatic incident, and an extortion

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attempt. It sounds like a total mess. Mess is

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the key word, and that chaos is causing fractures

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inside the White House. We're seeing a classic

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shark tank scenario. OK. Stephen Miller, who's

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been a primary architect of this hardline strategy,

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is apparently being frozen out of the Minneapolis

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discussions. Miller, frozen out? I thought he

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was the guy behind the curtain for all this.

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He was. But when things go wrong, you know, the

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president tends to look for someone to blame.

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So Miller, seeing the writing on the wall, tried

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to pivot. And blame who? He's now blaming DHS

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Secretary Kristi Noem. claiming her department

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didn't follow proper protocol. The classic, I

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didn't do it. She did it. Exactly. But no one

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isn't taking it lying down. She's saying she

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was just following direct orders from Miller

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and Trump. So now she's in the hot seat. A very

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hot seat. She just had a two hour meeting with

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the president. And while he says she's doing

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a good job, Democrats want to impeach her. And

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even some GOP senators like Tillerson Murkowski

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want her gone. It's fascinating how quickly they

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turn on each other. But OK, I want to pivot now.

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We're going from the streets of Minneapolis to

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Hollywood. Hey yes, let's talk about Melania,

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the documentary. This story blew my mind. Amazon

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pays 40 million dollars for a documentary about

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the First Lady, directed by Brett Ratner, of

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all people. It is a staggering sum. That's the

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highest figure ever paid for a dock distribution

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deal. And get this. Twenty eight million of that

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goes directly to Melania Trump. Forty million.

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And this is a movie directed by a guy who was

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basically canceled years ago and his last Trump

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documentary. Totally flawed. It did. And by all

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accounts, this new film is playing to empty theaters

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in the UK. Amazon has even embargoed reviews

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in the U .S. Which is never a good sign. It's

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a sign they know it's not a masterpiece. So if

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the movie's a dud and they overpaid. Why? Amazon

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doesn't like throwing money away. This is where

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you have to put on your lobbyist hat. If you

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view this as a movie deal, you're right. It's

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a disaster. But think about Amazon's vulnerabilities.

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They're terrified of two things, antitrust regulation

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and heavy handed AI regulation. Because the administration

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could regulate their data centers into unprofitability.

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Exactly. They need the administration to look

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the other way. But even more specifically, look

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at Jeff Bezos's other big venture, Blue Origin.

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The space company. Right. There's about $20 billion

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in annual space funding that the government hands

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out. And Blue Origin wants a big slice of that

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pie. I see where this is going. If you pay $40

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million for a documentary, which is basically

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a direct transfer of wealth to the first family,

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and in return, you secure favorable AI regulation

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and, say, a $2 billion contract for Blue Origin.

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And that $40 million isn't a loss. It's the best

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investment you've ever made. It's just the rapper.

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It's lobbying disguised as content acquisition.

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Tribute might be the word for it. I think so.

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And the premiere was held at the White House.

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Who is there? Amazon CEO Andy Jassy. Tim Cook

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from Apple. Tim Cook. Apple usually tries to

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stay out of this stuff. Well, Apple is terrified

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of tariffs. They need to stay in the president's

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good graces to keep their supply chain moving.

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So they show up. They applaud. And. The timing

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this premiere happened just hours after Alex

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Brady was killed in Minneapolis. That's the dystopian

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part. Champagne popping at the White House with

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tech billionaires while a city is literally on

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fire over a police shooting. It just highlights

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the deep integration. It's not just about movies.

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Amazon hosts the web servers for the ICE. databases.

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And the DHS biometric system that holds data

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on 270 million Americans. This is a fusion of

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big tech infrastructure and federal law enforcement.

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Which puts that quid pro quo voter roll demand

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in a whole new light. If they get that data,

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it's probably going right onto an Amazon server.

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That's a very likely connection. It's a lot to

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process. Usually this is where we say, at least

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there's the game on Sunday. We look to sports

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for an escape. I'm guessing we can't even do

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that today. Unfortunately, yeah. The politics

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are bleeding into the stadiums. The Super Bowl

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is coming up. Seahawks versus Patriots in San

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Francisco. And usually the president shows up,

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right? Tries to look like a regular guy. But

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Trump is skipping it. His official excuse is

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that it's too far away. Too far? He has Air Force

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One. San Francisco isn't that far. It's a weak

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excuse. The speculation, and I think this is

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solid, is that he knows he would be booed. Massively.

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A stadium full of 70 ,000 people booing him on

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live TV is an optic he can't afford. Especially

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with the Minneapolis situation, it's a tough

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look. But looking further out, to the World Cup.

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We're hearing rumors of European boycotts. Is

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that real? Or just noise? It's mostly noise.

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We looked back at the history and countries almost

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never skipped the World Cup over politics. Really?

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Even with everything going on? Listen to this

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list. 1934 World Cup. Fascist Italy under Mussolini.

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1978. Argentina under a military junta that was

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disappearing its own citizens. 2018 in Putin's

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Russia. 2022 in Qatar. So the moral bar for FIFA

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is basically underground. It seems so. Nations

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rarely boycott over politics. They boycott over

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logistics or direct war. So unless the US withdraws

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from NATO and starts a war in Europe, the European

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teams are going to show up. So the games will

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go on. But the rules of the political game are

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changing. We have to touch on the elections.

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2026 is coming fast. And it sounds like the Democrats

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just tripped over their own shoelaces in Virginia.

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That's a charitable way to put it. It was a massive

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unforced error. Democrats wanted to redraw the

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district maps there to pick up about three congressional

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seats. Right get rid of the old gerrymander.

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But they messed up the timing. A judge blocked

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the new maps because the law says you have to

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vote on the changes before an election cycle

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starts. They didn't vote until October after

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early voting had already begun. Oops. Oops. Because

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of that timing error, the current maps stay for

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2026. That easy path to three seats is gone.

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Such a waste. Check the calendar, guys. But Florida

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seems a bit more hopeful for Democrats. Surprisingly,

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yes. Florida's been trending red, but there's

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an opening. The Senate seat held by Ashley Moody,

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who was appointed, not elected. And appointees

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are usually more vulnerable, right? Exactly.

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And the Democrats have a new challenger who just

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entered the race, Alexander Vindman. Vindman.

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Wait, the whistleblower? The lieutenant colonel.

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The very same. Retired lieutenant colonel, Iraq

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war vet, central figure in the first Trump impeachment.

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That is a fascinating choice. It is. Florida

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is tough. But Vindman brings huge name recognition.

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And more importantly, running him gives voters

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a very specific chance to poke Trump in the eye.

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It turns the election into a referendum. It makes

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it personal. It does. And with the unrest over

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ICE and Moody not being part of the powerful

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Cuban voting bloc, there's a path. Analysts now

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rate Florida as the eighth most likely Senate

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seat to flip. That's significant. So let's pull

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all this together. We've got a White House that

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is chaotic and aggressive, but at the same time,

00:12:21.350 --> 00:12:23.409
it's completely open for business. Exactly. If

00:12:23.409 --> 00:12:25.129
you're Amazon, if you have 40 million dollars

00:12:25.129 --> 00:12:28.690
for a documentary, you can buy. access and protection.

00:12:28.809 --> 00:12:32.490
It's this weird mix of authoritarianism and transactional

00:12:32.490 --> 00:12:34.970
capitalism. And meanwhile, the machinery of normalcy

00:12:34.970 --> 00:12:37.149
just keep chugging along. Super Bowl happens.

00:12:37.269 --> 00:12:39.590
The World Cup planning continues. The elections

00:12:39.590 --> 00:12:41.850
proceed. Determined by procedural mistakes in

00:12:41.850 --> 00:12:43.870
Virginia or celebrity candidates in Florida?

00:12:44.129 --> 00:12:46.769
It's jarring. It feels like we're waiting for

00:12:46.769 --> 00:12:49.070
the other shoe to drop, but maybe the shoes just

00:12:49.070 --> 00:12:50.889
keep dropping one by one and we're just getting

00:12:50.889 --> 00:12:53.129
used to the noise. Well, what's the one signal

00:12:53.129 --> 00:12:55.129
you should really be watching next week beyond

00:12:55.129 --> 00:12:57.899
all the noise? What's that? Watch the silence.

00:12:58.120 --> 00:13:00.639
The silence. Look at who isn't speaking out.

00:13:00.639 --> 00:13:03.360
We saw Tim Cook at the White House. We see Amazon

00:13:03.360 --> 00:13:06.559
cutting checks. The silence of the corporate

00:13:06.559 --> 00:13:09.000
class in the face of this institutional breakdown

00:13:09.000 --> 00:13:11.860
is the loudest signal. It tells us they've decided

00:13:11.860 --> 00:13:14.100
the chaos is profitable, or at least manageable.

00:13:14.279 --> 00:13:16.720
That seems to be the bet they're making. They

00:13:16.720 --> 00:13:18.559
are betting that the system won't break. It'll

00:13:18.559 --> 00:13:20.820
just stretch to accommodate them. Which really

00:13:20.820 --> 00:13:22.679
makes you wonder. We always ask, at what point

00:13:22.679 --> 00:13:25.960
does the system break? But listening to this...

00:13:26.190 --> 00:13:28.590
Maybe the system doesn't break. Maybe it just

00:13:28.590 --> 00:13:32.190
adapts to a new, much uglier shape. And the question

00:13:32.190 --> 00:13:35.809
for you is, if history shows the world will still

00:13:35.809 --> 00:13:38.370
play soccer in a dictatorship and corporations

00:13:38.370 --> 00:13:42.250
will pay millions to appease a leader, what is

00:13:42.250 --> 00:13:45.129
the line that actually can't be crossed? Is there

00:13:45.129 --> 00:13:47.570
one left? That is a heavy thought to leave you

00:13:47.570 --> 00:13:50.830
with, but I think it's the right one. As you

00:13:50.830 --> 00:13:54.190
watch the news this week, ask yourself, is this

00:13:54.190 --> 00:13:57.700
the new normal? And are we okay with that? Indeed.

00:13:58.080 --> 00:14:00.340
Thanks for diving deep with us today. Stay safe,

00:14:00.620 --> 00:14:02.080
keep your eyes open, and we'll catch you on the

00:14:02.080 --> 00:14:02.379
next one.
