WEBVTT

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Welcome back to the deep dive. If you feel like

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you blinked during the holidays and woke up to

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just the stack of critical high stakes news you

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totally missed, you're in the right place. Yeah,

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that happened. We're about to tear through the

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information that was, well, maybe strategically

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or perhaps just clumsily dumped while everyone

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was focused on other things. And that's exactly

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why we do this. For you, the learner, when information

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is released in these huge dumps, be it. legal

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rulings or election results, it's often designed

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to overwhelm. To kind of obfuscate things. Exactly.

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So our mission is pretty simple. Cut through

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that noise, find the key insights, and give you

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the full context and do it quickly. Okay. Let's

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unpack this enormous stack of sources. We're

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diving into three main areas today. First, the

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political pulse. We have a tiny election sending

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some really big signals. Second, some major legal

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and accountability dumps, including the latest

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and frankly very troubling Epstein file release.

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Yeah, that was a mess. And finally, some. Let's

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call it controversial policy and culture spending,

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highlighted by a naval fantasy and a highly unpopular

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renaming controversy. A lot to get through. Let's

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start with politics. We have to talk about South

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Carolina, HD88, a special election, an election

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held two days before Christmas. I mean, that's

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the definition of low turnout. Absolutely. Only

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about 2 ,000 voters even showed up. But you have

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to look at the context of why the seat was even

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vacant. OK, what happened? The seat was held

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by a Republican, RJ May. who is, well, he's leaving

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the state house because of a child pornography

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conviction. Oh, wow. OK. So the Republican John

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Lassener, he won 62 .3 percent to 37 .7 percent.

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Seems like a comfortable GOP hold on the surface.

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It does. But this is where the sources reveal

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that buried insight. What do those numbers actually

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tell us about the political mood? It's about

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the enthusiasm gap. It's all about the enthusiasm

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gap. This specific district, it went for Donald

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Trump by watching 35 points last year. Lassner,

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though, he only won by 25 points. So that's a

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10 point shift toward the Democrats in a deep

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red district. A 10 point shift. And it gets even

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starker if you look back to the 2022 race. OK.

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Then the Republican won by 41 points. So compared

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to that, the shift is actually 16 points. That's

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huge. It is. And the analysis suggests this isn't

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because Democrats suddenly showed up for a hopeless

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election right before Christmas. It's because

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Republicans chose not to vote. They just stayed

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home. So what's the big takeaway from that? for

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the bigger picture. Well, if that lack of enthusiasm

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is widespread, if the GOP base continues to just

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sit out elections like this, the sources suggest

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that could signal a potential catastrophe for

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the party in 2026. So that tiny forgotten pre

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-Christmas election might be the canary in the

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coal mine. It just might be. OK, from a tiny

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shift in South Carolina, let's look at a much

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bigger fight shaping up. Wyoming, the Senate

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race, to fill that recently vacated seat. Right.

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And this is turning into a classic money versus

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experience conflict. So on the experience side,

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you have Representative Harriet Hagman. She's

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got a proven track record, statewide wins, and

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maybe most importantly, Donald Trump's endorsement.

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All big advantages. But then there's the challenger,

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the billionaire Reid Rasner. He ran for the other

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Senate seat in 2024. His wealth is it's in the

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billions. Hageman is guaranteed to lose the money

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race. Oh, big time. And while Wyomingites do

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historically favor experience, you know, for

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over 50 years, pretty much every new senator

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has had prior legislative service, which really

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favors Hageman. But she had a misstep. She did

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a notable one. Back in March, Hagen was booed

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at a town hall. She criticized her constituents'

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hysteria over federal issues like tariffs. And

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that kind of comment plays right into the hands

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of an outsider promising change. Absolutely.

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But, you know, if voters are truly looking for

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a candidate who is both experienced and maybe

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a little distant from all the DC drama, there's

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a dark horse. The sources suggest keeping an

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eye on Governor Mark Gordon. He's a Republican.

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He has that combination of statewide experience

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and a genuine Washington outsider status. He

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could be a real threat if he decides to get in

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the race. OK, so that's the political pulse.

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Now, if the theme of that segment was political

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maneuvering, the theme for our next segment is

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accountability or the lack of it. Let's turn

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to those massive legal information dumps. starting

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with the Epstein files. Yeah, so the DOJ released

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a second huge tranche of documents. Over 11 ,000

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files, something like 30 ,000 pages. That's a

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lot to sift through. It is. But the immediate

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takeaway, really, is this highly unusual display

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of, well, administrative failure in the release

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itself. Which, of course, fueled immediate public

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suspicion. We're talking about unforced errors

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here, right? Totally unforced. The DOJ made at

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least two just... Utterly embarrassing screw

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-ups. First, victim names were not properly redacted.

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Which violates a congressional law. Violates

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the law, yes. And seconds of redactions they

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did make were done so poorly that the text could

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be recovered, including mentions of Donald Trump.

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So this kind of hacky release, the poorly organized

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website, it looks less like transparency and

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more like they're deliberately trying to hide

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something. It certainly raises questions. It

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looks like deliberate obfuscation. So let's talk

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specifics. What's new about the names involved?

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Well, Trump's name appears much more frequently

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in this batch. There's an email that confirms

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he traveled on Epstein's plane a lot more than

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was previously known. And often with Ghislaine

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Maxwell. Often with Ghislaine Maxwell, yes. And

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furthermore, law enforcement communications,

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they explicitly refer to a somewhat lengthy list.

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of at least 10 co -conspirators. Which contradicts

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what officials have said before, suggesting it

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was only Epstein and Maxwell. Exactly. It contradicts

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those claims. And we should also note, multiple

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documents refer to a member of the British royal

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family whose name begins with an A. Prince Andrew.

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Almost certainly Prince Andrew. But maybe the

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most concerning part is how the DJ handled the

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inevitable conspiracy theories that popped up.

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The fake letter. The fake letter, yeah. A letter

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linking Epstein and Larry Nassar. It was clearly

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fake. It was postmarked three days after Epstein

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died in New York. But after that, the Duo J posted

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this note on X. On X, formerly Twitter. Right.

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Claiming that sensational claims against Trump

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in the documents were unfounded and false. Why

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is that move so significant? Because it suggests

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the administration is trying to cast this general

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doubt over the entire release. They're trying

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to imply that any of these records, no matter

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the source, could be phony. Which just strengthens

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the belief that they're trying to protect someone.

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It really does. And despite their efforts to

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muddy the waters, there are credible, previously

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reported claims that are now resurfacing. Like

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the FBI report from 2020. Yes, the report from

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October 2020. It involved a limo driver who overheard

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a passenger in 1999 claiming both Trump and Epstein

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had raped her. The woman involved later died,

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ruled a suicide. And Mark Epstein's claims. And

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of course, Mark Epstein continues to claim his

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brother was killed to silence him. The whole

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release process from the bad redactions to the

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administrative spin just leaves that one central

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question hanging in the air. Who are they protecting?

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That lack of accountability leads us right to

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the Supreme Court. We saw a rare 6 -3 loss on

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the shadow docket for the former president. This

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was about National Guard deployment in Illinois.

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Right. And the denial of his emergency application

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was notable just because the court... basically

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reverted to its normal process. It wasn't giving

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any special favor just because a former president

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asked. But the real legal meat of it centered

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on that phrase, regular forces. Exactly. The

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law says the president can only federalize the

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guard if he is unable with the regular forces

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to execute the laws. And the court used this

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as an opportunity to define regular forces very

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narrowly. As the regular military. As a regular

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military. The actual standing army, Navy, Air

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Force. not civilian police, not even National

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Guard members acting as civilian law enforcement.

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So if a president wants to use federalized guard

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troops on US soil, he runs into a very old, very

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big legal hurdle. He does. Because the military

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is largely restricted from executing laws on

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American soil by the Posse Comitatus Act. Can

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you just quickly define that for our listeners?

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Sure. The Posse Comitatus Act is a long -standing

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law that restricts using the US military the

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actual regular forces for domestic law enforcement.

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OK. So because the court defined the law here

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as requiring the military, the president must

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first identify the source of authority that gives

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him a statutory exception to Posse Comitatus.

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And Trump hadn't done that. He had not. And this

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really suggests the court is keen on setting

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a very high legal bar against using the military

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domestically, even if a governor like in Louisiana

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might agree to it. That's a powerful precedent

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on executive overreach. OK, let's shift gears

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now pretty dramatically from legal hurdles to

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fantastical spending. We need to talk about the

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proposed Trump -class battleship. Oh boy, yes.

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The concept drawing alone made headlines, didn't

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it? With that stylized image referencing the

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assassination attempt on the ship. Beyond the

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optics, though, the financial and logistical

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problems here are just staggering. The cost is

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estimated at 15 to 20 billion dollars, maybe

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more. And given all the other promises already

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made, the funding sources seem... Completely

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theoretical. And logistically it seems like a

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non -starter. Totally. Only one U .S. shipyard,

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Newport News in Virginia, can even build a ship

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this size. And it's already years behind schedule

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on aircraft carriers. And staffing it would be

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an issue, too. A huge issue. The ship would need

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about 500 sailors. That's 200 more than the suits

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it would replace. And this is at a time when

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military recruitment is already a major challenge.

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And then there's the technical complexity, which

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is just through the roof, especially with the

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weapons. Right. The plan is to put nuclear -tipped

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missiles on board, which is highly problematic.

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The U .S. stopped putting nukes on Navy ships

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back in 1991 under George H .W. Bush. Why was

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that? Largely due to procedural complexity and

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international treaty limitations. Trying to introduce

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a brand new ship design and a new weapon system

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at the same time is historically a recipe for

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disaster for the Navy. Like the Zumwalt class

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destroyer. Exactly like the Zumwalt. A total

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failure and this new ship is even more ambitious.

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So what's the professional naval critique here?

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Is this even really a battleship? Not according

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to the experts in our sources. No. At around

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35 ,000 tons, it's more like a scaled up LCS,

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a literal combat ship, not a true battleship.

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And vulnerable. Exquisitely vulnerable. Given

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its size and shallow draft, experts suggest it

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would just get eaten alive by modern threats

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like drone saturation. And the timeline they

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gave was 2 .5 years. Which is described as utterly

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unrealistic. Experts say the actual timeline

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for something like this is more like 10 to 20

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years. So it's a proposal designed for political

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spectacle, not military reality. That's what

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it looks like. Which takes us to our culture

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segment. The Kennedy Center honors controversy.

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There was subtle change here, but one that signaled

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a big political shift. The group photo. Yes.

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The longstanding tradition was for honorees to

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wear rainbow ribbons, a symbol of diversity,

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of unity. And this year, replaced by blue ribbons.

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And blue, of course, is the color associated

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with the Democratic Party, which is a very curious

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choice for the administration hosting the event.

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The ceremony itself honored Sylvester Stallone,

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Michael Crawford, Kiss, George Strait, Gloria

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Gaynor. But the biggest culture bomb was the

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proposal to rename the institution itself. That's

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right. And the Economist YouGov poll found that

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renaming the Kennedy Center to the Trump Kennedy

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Center is probably the single most unpopular

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action of his second term. What were the numbers

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on that? Only 18 % approval against a massive

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66 % disapproval. It's just incredibly unpopular.

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Why do you think that specific move is so uniquely

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unpopular? I think it just crosses a line for

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a lot of voters. Stepping on JFK's legacy is

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just seen as being in poor taste. But more importantly,

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it's a non -consequential cultural issue. It

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doesn't affect taxes or foreign policy. Right.

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So it allows even the most ardent MAGGA voters

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to express their disapproval without feeling

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like they're undermining a core policy goals,

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kind of a safe place for them to vent. Okay,

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finally, we have two quick but important follow

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-ups. First, that spiked 60 Minutes story. Right,

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this is the piece that Barry Weiss stomped just

00:12:30.419 --> 00:12:33.379
hours before it was supposed to air. The story

00:12:33.379 --> 00:12:35.639
was investigating the Center for Economic Crisis

00:12:35.639 --> 00:12:39.139
and Opportunity Task Force, or CECOD. And the

00:12:39.139 --> 00:12:41.759
key takeaway here was the administration's attempted

00:12:41.759 --> 00:12:45.100
interference. Yes. The administration did provide

00:12:45.100 --> 00:12:47.480
a comment to 60 minutes, but the show excluded

00:12:47.480 --> 00:12:49.500
it because it was completely off topic. What

00:12:49.500 --> 00:12:51.740
did it say? The comment demanded the show pivot

00:12:51.740 --> 00:12:55.000
its focus to angel parents, a term the White

00:12:55.000 --> 00:12:57.700
House uses for victims of crimes by undocumented

00:12:57.700 --> 00:13:00.500
immigrants instead of the actual story about

00:13:00.500 --> 00:13:03.279
Seegicott. So an attempt to hijack the segment

00:13:03.279 --> 00:13:05.039
for a political ad. That's how the journalists

00:13:05.039 --> 00:13:07.879
saw it. Yes. Unrelated to the Coppica hand. And

00:13:07.879 --> 00:13:10.320
lastly, let's revisit that geopolitical nugget

00:13:10.320 --> 00:13:13.179
about the DJT -TE fusion merger. Our sources

00:13:13.179 --> 00:13:16.059
suggest this is a merger between two badly overhyped

00:13:16.059 --> 00:13:18.139
entities. Yeah, fusion power is still a very

00:13:18.139 --> 00:13:20.179
long way off. But the key insight here is the

00:13:20.179 --> 00:13:23.480
money trail. TAE has existed since 1998 without

00:13:23.480 --> 00:13:25.240
generating any revenue. So who's been keeping

00:13:25.240 --> 00:13:27.559
it afloat? A major investor has been a company

00:13:27.559 --> 00:13:30.379
called Rusnano. And Rusnano is. It is a Russian

00:13:30.379 --> 00:13:32.820
state -funded investment company. So the sources

00:13:32.820 --> 00:13:37.620
suggest this entire merger has a very clear geopolitical

00:13:37.620 --> 00:13:40.840
undercurrent linking a highly speculative American

00:13:40.840 --> 00:13:43.580
venture directly to state -backed Russian funding.

00:13:43.779 --> 00:13:46.340
We have covered a massive amount of ground today.

00:13:46.590 --> 00:13:49.090
From just a handful of voters in South Carolina

00:13:49.090 --> 00:13:53.389
signaling a potential GOP crisis to legal dumps

00:13:53.389 --> 00:13:55.850
that raise more questions than they answer. To

00:13:55.850 --> 00:13:58.269
policy proposals that just completely strain

00:13:58.269 --> 00:14:00.570
credulity. And the common thread here really

00:14:00.570 --> 00:14:03.470
is high stakes political maneuvering, all disguised

00:14:03.470 --> 00:14:05.789
by that holiday information overload. And, you

00:14:05.789 --> 00:14:07.549
know, going back to the Epstein files for a second,

00:14:07.590 --> 00:14:09.730
that question of who are they protecting just

00:14:09.730 --> 00:14:13.350
remains so potent. The DOJ's very visible yet

00:14:13.350 --> 00:14:16.919
poorly executed release strategy. It really suggests

00:14:16.919 --> 00:14:19.220
a clear interest in controlling the narrative,

00:14:19.460 --> 00:14:21.879
if not the information itself. And we noted that

00:14:21.879 --> 00:14:23.799
the Supreme Court ruling on the National Guard

00:14:23.799 --> 00:14:27.240
added a very specific high legal hurdle that

00:14:27.240 --> 00:14:30.340
the president failed to clear. Now considering

00:14:30.340 --> 00:14:32.740
the lawfulness of using the military on American

00:14:32.740 --> 00:14:35.100
soil is rarely discussed when federalizing the

00:14:35.100 --> 00:14:37.980
Guard. What are the full implications of this

00:14:37.980 --> 00:14:40.700
narrow definition of regular forces for executive

00:14:40.700 --> 00:14:43.850
power moving forward? Does this ruling significantly

00:14:43.850 --> 00:14:45.889
limit a future president's ability to deploy

00:14:45.889 --> 00:14:48.409
troops domestically in a crisis? That's something

00:14:48.409 --> 00:14:50.450
for you to continue exploring as you process

00:14:50.450 --> 00:14:52.850
this deep dive. Until next time. Thanks for diving

00:14:52.850 --> 00:14:53.470
deep with us.
