WEBVTT

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Welcome back to the Deep Dive. Today we've got

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quite a stack of sources in front of me. I really

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do. And they seem to show these three sort of

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parallel conflicts that are just raging across

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the US right now. We're going to go from the

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literal lines being drawn on congressional maps

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to this massive corporate fight over media ownership.

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Right, a high stakes one. And then we're diving

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into a, let's say, a deep look at accountability.

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or maybe the lack of it at the very highest levels.

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Yeah, and this is really a moment of synthesis

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for you, the listener. We aren't just reading

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headlines here. Not at all. We're trying to find

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the operating system that connects all of them.

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Our mission is to figure out how... The fight

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for political power, so the maps, and the fight

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for narrative control, the media deals. And the

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huge gap between what people are feeling in their

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wallets and the official economic story. Exactly.

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How are all of those things pushing our institutions

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to what feels like a breaking point? We're looking

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for the patterns, the connections, and the ultimate

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so -what of it all. OK, so let's start with the

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political geography first. The fight for the

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map. Let's do it. The sources. They initially

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point to this small, maybe momentary cooling

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off in the redistricting wars. Little bit of

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a pause. Yeah. And this all comes from the news

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that Indiana's vote to draw a new house map actually

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failed. Right. Which means they're likely sticking

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with their old map for now. And that was the

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signal. Because Indiana hit pause, you had Democrats

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in Illinois saying, OK, maybe we'll cool our

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own plans. And Maryland, too. Maryland, too.

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We saw the state Senate presidents in Indiana

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and Maryland actually talking to each other,

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which suggests Maryland might not redraw their

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map either. For a second there, it looked like

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a de -escalation. But is it really? I mean, doesn't

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a temporary pause like that just give the other

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side negotiating leverage? It doesn't sound like

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a real truce. Well, that's the thing. When you

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look at the rest of the country, the fight is

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just intensifying. It's pushing the whole system

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towards this dangerous winner -take -all model.

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So a truce only really works if both sides want

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to stop. And that is not happening here. The

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fascinating part is just how aggressive the fight

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is everywhere else. It's speeding up this move

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to an all or nothing system, you know, kind of

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like the electoral college works for the presidency.

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OK, so let's run through the scorecard then.

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Where's the action happening? This whole round

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of aggressive redistricting really kicked off

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in Texas, didn't it? It did. Texas started it

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by passing a law that was designed to hand Republicans

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five new seats. Five? Yeah, using a baseline

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of R plus 10 in the new districts. But and this

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is a big but. The data from recent special elections

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is complicating that math. How so? Democrats

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have been outperforming 2024 results by about

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13 points on average in those contests, which

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could mean the Republican Hall might be a bit

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smaller than they planned. And that Texas move

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immediately set off a reaction. A huge reaction.

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The most direct one came from California. Right.

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Where voters approved a new map, this is probably

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going to flip about five Republican seats. Potentially

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canceling out the Texas games. At least on paper,

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it's a direct counter move. Meanwhile, Ohio was

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forced to draw a new map. The old one was just

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too partisan, according to their own state constitution.

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And a new Ohio map. It's projected to give Republicans

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another two or three seats. Have Virginia. Oh,

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Virginia, the Democratic controlled legislature

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there is, let's just say they are dead set on

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grabbing Republican seats. They're aiming for

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VA01 and VO2 pretty easily and maybe even VA06.

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So even with a pause in one or two states, the

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war just continues everywhere else. But the sources

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say the entire political map, especially in the

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South, really just hinges on one. one big thing.

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It all comes down to the Supreme Court. Specifically,

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they're ruling on the Louisiana redistricting

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case. Okay. If that ruling gusts the Voting Rights

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Act, you can expect Republicans in Alabama and

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Louisiana to try and dismantle the two Democratic

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-held racial gerrymandered districts in each

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state. So that's four seats total. Two in Alabama,

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two in Louisiana. Four seats that are absolutely

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critical to the balance of power in Congress.

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So nothing happens until that ruling comes down,

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but everyone is ready to act the second it does.

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So if you connect all these dots, what's the

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big picture? The big picture is that... This

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rapid shift to winner take all map drawing is

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basically turning house elections into a mini

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electoral college. Where whoever controls the

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state legislature just gets all the seats. Exactly.

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And that makes state level elections just incredibly

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important for federal power, which is definitely

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not what the founders had in mind. OK, so let's

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pivot from the physical fight for districts to

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the corporate fight for content. We're talking

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about Warner Brothers Discovery or WBD. It's

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for sale. And it's carrying a $35 billion debt

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load. A massive debt load. Yeah. And this has

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set up a battle between two enormous corporate

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bidders. And believe me, this is way more than

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just a business deal. So on one side, you have

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WBD management. They seem to favor an $83 billion

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bid from Netflix. Right. And it's pretty clear

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what Netflix wants. They want that enormous film

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and TV library. It gives them a content moat

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nobody can cross. And the implication there?

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If they own everything, they could just kill

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the movie theater business by putting it all

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on streaming immediately. That's the unspoken

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threat, yes. But then there's a hostile bid,

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which complicates things. A very hostile bid,

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from David Ellison's Paramount, and he's backed

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by some serious money. Larry Ellison, his father,

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second richest person in the world. Jared Kushner,

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a group of Arab sheiks, and they're offering

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$108 billion in cash. Wow. They want the movies.

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But they've been very clear. They have zero interest

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in the news assets. And that right there is the

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political angle. That they're the connection.

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Because WBD owns CNN. Exactly. And financially,

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you know, CNN is a microscopic spec in a deal

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this size. But politically, it's immense. And

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Larry Ellison is a huge political donor. The

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source material gets pretty specific here. It

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does. It alleges that he lobbied the former president

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and even discussed a plan to fire specific CNN

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anchors. He named names. Aaron Burnett and Brianna

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Keelar first on the list. As a way to, you know,

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grease the skids for the deal. The sources are

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not subtle about this. They frame it as an alignment

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of, well, oligarchs and authoritarian interests.

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It looks that way. The Ellisons want the movies

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for business reasons, but the other parties involved

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seem to want control of a major media outlet

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run by cronies. Which raises this huge question

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about what our media environment is turning into.

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I mean, we're seeing a pattern here. It's a clear

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trend of oligarchs consolidating media. Larry

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Ellison already owns CBS. He's being floated

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as a likely buyer for TikTok. Elon Musk bought

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Twitter, now X. It's a pattern where media success

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is tied to being politically favorable to a specific

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leader. Right. And that brings us to this little

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quiz, the source post. I saw that. Which of these

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is different? Pravda, Xinhua, CNN and CBS News.

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And the answer, at least for now, is CNN. It's

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the only one not widely considered to be state

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-run media, but that could change very, very

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quickly under a paramount ownership that's already

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talking about targeting journalists. The stakes

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here for, you know, the public conversation,

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they couldn't be higher. They really couldn't.

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The source basically says if paramount wins,

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you risk state -run media and democracy gets

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damaged, but... Hey, maybe movie theaters live.

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And if Netflix wins, movie theaters die. But

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democracy in this specific context is preserved.

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It puts an enormous decision in the hands of

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WBD stockholders. OK, let's shift gears now to

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the economy. and the public mood. We keep hearing

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official assurances that the economy is strong,

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but a new APNRRC poll shows that voters are really

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struggling. The numbers are pretty stark. The

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former president's approval on the economy is

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just 31 percent. That's his lowest ever. And

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it's not just one party, 68 percent of all voters,

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including 44 percent of Republicans. The economy

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is in poor shape. Affordability is the real pain

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point here. Half of Americans are cutting back

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on non -essentials, even holiday gifts. And while

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you hear administration officials blaming the

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media or a Biden economy hangover, polls show

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voters are actually blaming something else. The

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terrorists. The terrorists from the prior administration.

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They're connecting them directly to higher prices.

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And all this economic pain is lighting a fire

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under Washington. A legislative scramble, you

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could call it. Republicans are trying to do something

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about rising health care premiums before the

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midterms, but their own hardliners are blocking

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the extension of ACA subsidies. Those are the

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subsidies that keep insurance affordable for

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millions of people. Crucial subsidies. So to

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counter that narrative of inaction, House Republicans

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have put forward a bill, the Lower Health Care

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Premiums for All Americans Act. And what does

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it do? Well, It focuses on expanding health savings

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accounts, HSAs, and it tries to lower drug costs

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by going after middlemen, the pharmacy benefit

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managers. But the key here is what the bill doesn't

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do. Exactly. It's not likely to pass anyway,

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but it deliberately leaves out an extension of

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the ACA subsidies. So those aren't extended.

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People who use the ACA exchanges will see their

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monthly payments just spike dramatically. And

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that's a huge political liability that Democrats

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are already getting ready to use as a, quote,

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cudgel. in the midterms. And this theme of a

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lack of accountability, it seems to go from the

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legislature right to the executive branch. Let's

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pivot to this case of, well, outright defiance

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of the judiciary. That's the pattern we need

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to track. You have U .S. District Judge James

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Boesberg confirmed unanimously, mind you. He

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issues an order. He demands that officials turn

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around planes carrying 130 immigrants who were

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deported to Central America. amid claims the

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destination was basically a place of torture.

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Right. And the Department of Homeland Security

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just defied the order. So Judge Boasberg schedules

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a hearing to find out who specifically violated

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his order, and the DOJ steps in. The DOJ asks

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the D .C. Court of Appeals to block that hearing.

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A divided three -judge panel with two Trump appointees

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paused it. But the judge is pushing back. He

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is. He's insisting this isn't, in his words,

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some academic exercise, given the very serious

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allegations of abuse. It's a stunning example

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of the executive just openly ignoring a direct

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judicial command. This disrespect for the judiciary

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is happening at the same time as what our sources

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are calling the greatest griffs. Monetizing the

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presidency on a scale that just dwarfs historical

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scandals. You look at Teapot Dome, the huge scandal

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of the 1920s. In today's money, that was about

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$7 million. A drop in the bucket compared to

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today. The scale is just incomparable. A primary

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example is the former first family's involvement

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with World Liberty Financial. They sell cryptocurrencies.

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Including a mean coin, dollar sign Trump. and

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a stablecoin called USD1. And it basically operates

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as a system for selling influence and access.

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The examples are staggering. Let's hear them.

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A UAE state -backed firm bought $2 billion worth

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of that USD1 stablecoin. This happened to coincide

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perfectly with the end of a major SEC investigation

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into the crypto exchange Binance. That timing

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is interesting. And then there's Justin Sun,

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a crypto entrepreneur. He bought 95 million in

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Trump crypto. And what happened next? He gets

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an invite to dinner with the former president

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and suddenly his own SEC fraud case gets delayed.

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The source says this is basically making the

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price of a get out of jail card public. It's

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not just crypto either. You have the foreign

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emoluments. The so -called Golden Airplane, a

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$400 million $747 allegedly gifted by Qatar.

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Rumored to be filled with so much gold, it might

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not even be airworthy. And the 23 Trump -branded

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real estate projects around the globe in places

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like Oman and Saudi Arabia. And you can't forget

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the White House ballroom. The $300 million ballroom

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that the National Trust for Historic Preservation

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is suing over. Which 56 % of Americans oppose.

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And the money was collected from corporations,

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14 of which were facing federal enforcement actions

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at the same time. And to top it all off, we have

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new material related to Jeffrey Epstein. His

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estate just released 95 ,000 photos to the House

00:12:28.580 --> 00:12:30.299
Oversight Committee. And the polling on this

00:12:30.299 --> 00:12:32.980
is pretty clear. 70 % of people think the government

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is hiding information and 60 % believe the former

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president knew about Epstein's crimes. The sources

00:12:38.840 --> 00:12:41.919
say these photos give, quote, lie to any attempt

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by him to claim they were just business friends.

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Our final thread today is a literal public health

00:12:47.679 --> 00:12:50.360
emergency. The comeback of measles. The U .S.

00:12:50.360 --> 00:12:53.340
was declared measles free back in 2000. A major

00:12:53.340 --> 00:12:56.000
public health achievement. But we're set to lose

00:12:56.000 --> 00:13:00.240
that status on January 20th, 2026, because we've

00:13:00.240 --> 00:13:03.080
had 12 straight months of transmission. And we

00:13:03.080 --> 00:13:06.480
need to be clear. Measles is serious. This isn't

00:13:06.480 --> 00:13:09.120
just a childhood rash. For every thousand people

00:13:09.120 --> 00:13:12.139
who get it, 200 end up in the hospital. With

00:13:12.139 --> 00:13:14.899
severe complications like pneumonia or brain

00:13:14.899 --> 00:13:18.340
swelling. And three will die. This year alone,

00:13:18.500 --> 00:13:22.600
we've seen 47 outbreaks, over 1 ,900 cases, and

00:13:22.600 --> 00:13:24.960
at least one child has died. And this is happening

00:13:24.960 --> 00:13:27.059
because vaccination rates have dropped? Dropped

00:13:27.059 --> 00:13:29.399
significantly. And it's linked directly to high

00:13:29.399 --> 00:13:31.639
-profile anti -vaccine rhetoric that has just

00:13:31.639 --> 00:13:33.980
eroded public trust in basic medical science.

00:13:34.100 --> 00:13:36.139
You can see the results on the ground. Absolutely.

00:13:36.440 --> 00:13:38.759
In Spartanburg County, South Carolina, for example,

00:13:38.940 --> 00:13:42.120
the vaccination rate is below the 95 % threshold

00:13:42.120 --> 00:13:44.220
needed for herd immunity. Which means the virus

00:13:44.220 --> 00:13:47.340
can spread easily. And it has. It led to quarantines

00:13:47.340 --> 00:13:51.860
for 354 people in South Carolina alone. It's

00:13:51.860 --> 00:13:54.720
causing widespread panic among parents of unvaccinated

00:13:54.720 --> 00:13:57.940
kids. And what's so wild about this is the contrast.

00:13:58.620 --> 00:14:01.320
We have a safe, effective, cheap vaccine that's

00:14:01.320 --> 00:14:04.120
been around for 60 years. This isn't like when

00:14:04.120 --> 00:14:06.820
COVID first hit and we had nothing. This is purely

00:14:06.820 --> 00:14:09.200
a failure of collective action, not a failure

00:14:09.200 --> 00:14:12.440
of science. So after all that, what does this

00:14:12.440 --> 00:14:15.139
whole stack of sources mean for you, the listener?

00:14:15.399 --> 00:14:17.679
I mean, in short, what we've tracked today is

00:14:17.679 --> 00:14:20.139
an incredible consolidation of power. Political

00:14:20.139 --> 00:14:22.419
power through gerrymandering. Corporate media

00:14:22.419 --> 00:14:26.000
power through the WBD sale. And it's just a...

00:14:25.759 --> 00:14:28.840
brazen disregard for constitutional process,

00:14:28.899 --> 00:14:32.580
both with the judicial defiance and the staggering

00:14:32.580 --> 00:14:34.899
monetization of the presidency. And all of this

00:14:34.899 --> 00:14:37.039
is happening while most Americans are struggling

00:14:37.039 --> 00:14:39.899
with real economic pain. And we're seeing the

00:14:39.899 --> 00:14:42.460
literal return of preventable diseases because

00:14:42.460 --> 00:14:44.820
we can't act together anymore. It points to a

00:14:44.820 --> 00:14:47.399
deep instability across all our major institutions.

00:14:47.440 --> 00:14:49.840
It really does. Yeah. We talked about that minimum

00:14:49.840 --> 00:14:52.759
95 percent vaccination rate needed to stop measles.

00:14:52.860 --> 00:14:54.480
I want to leave you with this thought to mull

00:14:54.480 --> 00:14:59.759
over. What are the minimum thresholds in civility

00:14:59.759 --> 00:15:02.159
and accountability and just adhering to basic

00:15:02.159 --> 00:15:04.759
norms that are protecting our political system

00:15:04.759 --> 00:15:06.740
right now? And which of those fundamental minimums

00:15:06.740 --> 00:15:08.899
are showing signs of a dangerous, maybe even

00:15:08.899 --> 00:15:11.500
an accelerated collapse? Something to think about

00:15:11.500 --> 00:15:12.700
until our next deep dive.
