WEBVTT 00:00:00.000 --> 00:00:03.020 Welcome to the Deep Dive. Today we're cutting 00:00:03.020 --> 00:00:06.040 straight to the heart of, well, some pretty significant 00:00:06.040 --> 00:00:08.460 political upheaval. We are. Our source material 00:00:08.460 --> 00:00:11.960 is a really concentrated stack of political analyses. 00:00:12.279 --> 00:00:14.240 And it's not just about who's up or down in the 00:00:14.240 --> 00:00:16.800 polls. We're looking at the actual levers of 00:00:16.800 --> 00:00:19.920 power, things like how information is being manipulated, 00:00:20.120 --> 00:00:24.179 where political loyalties are shifting, and how 00:00:24.179 --> 00:00:26.839 major institutions are being deliberately restructured 00:00:26.839 --> 00:00:29.719 as we speak. That's absolutely right. Our mission 00:00:29.719 --> 00:00:31.859 today is to give you a shortcut to being well 00:00:31.859 --> 00:00:35.000 informed. We're going to extract the critical 00:00:35.000 --> 00:00:37.479 nuggets of knowledge by organizing these, you 00:00:37.479 --> 00:00:39.539 know, pretty complex stories around a few key 00:00:39.539 --> 00:00:42.179 themes. So things like power manipulation, the 00:00:42.179 --> 00:00:44.259 fragmentation of political movements, and some 00:00:44.259 --> 00:00:46.659 really profound shifts in voter demographics. 00:00:46.939 --> 00:00:48.579 Exactly. We're jumping straight into the thick 00:00:48.579 --> 00:00:51.140 of it. OK, so let's start with a story that really 00:00:51.140 --> 00:00:54.200 screams for institutional transparency. It's 00:00:54.200 --> 00:00:56.060 this recent development with the Jeffrey Epstein 00:00:56.060 --> 00:01:00.679 files. Congress just passed H .R. 405. It orders 00:01:00.679 --> 00:01:03.000 the Department of Justice, the BoJ, to release 00:01:03.000 --> 00:01:05.939 these files. Now, on the surface, that sounds 00:01:05.939 --> 00:01:09.599 great. A victory for accountability. Right. But 00:01:09.599 --> 00:01:11.540 analysts immediately flagged the bill saying 00:01:11.540 --> 00:01:14.459 it has Giant holes. Giant holes. Yeah. And the 00:01:14.459 --> 00:01:16.760 speed with which this story moved from, you know, 00:01:16.939 --> 00:01:20.040 total resistance to sudden compliance is in itself 00:01:20.040 --> 00:01:22.620 really fascinating. So what's the core suspicion 00:01:22.620 --> 00:01:25.799 here? What are people worried about? Well, the 00:01:25.799 --> 00:01:28.140 theory that's being discussed by insider sources 00:01:28.140 --> 00:01:30.400 has a name. They're calling it the great scrubbing. 00:01:30.579 --> 00:01:33.359 The great scrubbing. Yes. The idea is that it's 00:01:33.359 --> 00:01:35.719 a calculated effort to control the political 00:01:35.719 --> 00:01:39.480 fallout. that the files will be meticulously 00:01:39.480 --> 00:01:42.159 purged of any mention of Republican figures or 00:01:42.159 --> 00:01:44.340 major donors. And just leave the dirt on Democrats. 00:01:44.819 --> 00:01:47.099 Exactly. Ensuring only damaging information on 00:01:47.099 --> 00:01:49.840 Democrats, their donors, various hangers -on, 00:01:50.219 --> 00:01:52.000 ever sees the light of day. And this isn't just 00:01:52.000 --> 00:01:53.739 a random conspiracy theory, right? There's some 00:01:53.739 --> 00:01:56.140 backstory. No, not at all. You have to go back 00:01:56.140 --> 00:01:59.280 to July. Senator Dick Durbin alleged that the 00:01:59.280 --> 00:02:01.819 former Attorney General, Pam Bondi, assigned 00:02:01.819 --> 00:02:04.079 something like a thousand FBI agents to review 00:02:04.079 --> 00:02:06.760 a hundred thousand documents. A thousand agents? 00:02:07.180 --> 00:02:10.919 For what? Specifically to flag any material that 00:02:10.919 --> 00:02:15.219 mentioned Trump for destruction. Wow. And how 00:02:15.219 --> 00:02:17.680 credible was that source? It gained immediate 00:02:17.680 --> 00:02:20.039 credibility because Durbin's source mentioned 00:02:20.039 --> 00:02:23.620 a very specific kind of weird detail. A crude 00:02:23.620 --> 00:02:26.439 or bawdy birthday card Trump had sent to Epstein. 00:02:26.569 --> 00:02:32.810 And that turned out to be true. pouring fuel 00:02:32.810 --> 00:02:35.409 on this fire. Right. He's been very public. Very. 00:02:35.569 --> 00:02:37.409 He's on record saying his brother definitely 00:02:37.409 --> 00:02:39.509 had dirt on Trump, that everything Trump says 00:02:39.509 --> 00:02:42.949 is a lie. And this is key, that he's heard directly 00:02:42.949 --> 00:02:45.169 that these files are being actively sabotaged 00:02:45.169 --> 00:02:48.110 in advance. So if this first release is compromised, 00:02:48.289 --> 00:02:50.530 is that it? Is the whole investigation dead in 00:02:50.530 --> 00:02:52.449 the water? Well, that's the big question of future 00:02:52.449 --> 00:02:54.509 political leverage, isn't it? I mean, if Democrats 00:02:54.509 --> 00:02:56.810 manage to get subpoena power back in Congress 00:02:56.810 --> 00:03:00.639 after, say, the 2026 midterms. Then the door 00:03:00.639 --> 00:03:03.400 swings wide open again. It does. They could go 00:03:03.400 --> 00:03:06.879 after the 4 ,700 suspicious transactions JPMorgan 00:03:06.879 --> 00:03:09.360 Chase flagged. They could subpoena the lawyers 00:03:09.360 --> 00:03:11.560 for Epstein's estate. You could even potentially 00:03:11.560 --> 00:03:14.659 offer Ghislaine Maxwell a deal. A deal for testimony, 00:03:14.879 --> 00:03:18.639 yes. And let's not forget, the FBI confiscated 00:03:18.639 --> 00:03:22.000 hundreds of physical DVDs. Plus, there are victims 00:03:22.000 --> 00:03:24.379 who are still willing to name names directly 00:03:24.379 --> 00:03:27.199 to the House Oversight Committee. It all just 00:03:27.199 --> 00:03:30.150 errants. It hinges on who holds power. That's 00:03:30.150 --> 00:03:32.229 a great point. And actually, the whole Epstein 00:03:32.229 --> 00:03:35.050 controversy is one of the factors that analysts 00:03:35.050 --> 00:03:37.270 are pointing to as a cause for fractures and 00:03:37.270 --> 00:03:39.110 them actually a coalition. It's one of several, 00:03:39.169 --> 00:03:41.360 for sure. The analysis we're looking at notes 00:03:41.360 --> 00:03:43.319 that as the former president's approval rating 00:03:43.319 --> 00:03:46.159 declines and this kind of lame duckishness sets 00:03:46.159 --> 00:03:48.479 in, other Republicans are starting to realize 00:03:48.479 --> 00:03:50.520 that, you know, maybe they won't be punished 00:03:50.520 --> 00:03:52.699 forever for disagreeing. The internal cracks 00:03:52.699 --> 00:03:54.840 are becoming chasms. And what's so fascinating 00:03:54.840 --> 00:03:56.599 is that these fissures aren't just ideological. 00:03:56.759 --> 00:04:00.159 They span like six key areas. It shows how broad 00:04:00.159 --> 00:04:02.360 the discontent is getting. OK, so where do we 00:04:02.360 --> 00:04:05.020 start? Well, you just mentioned Epstein. In a 00:04:05.020 --> 00:04:08.419 recent poll, only 45 % of Republicans approve 00:04:08.419 --> 00:04:11.620 of Trump's conduct around that whole issue. That's 00:04:11.620 --> 00:04:14.259 a huge internal weakness right there. Only 45%, 00:04:14.259 --> 00:04:17.160 wow. Then you had these deep sort of sophisticated 00:04:17.160 --> 00:04:19.860 ideological differences playing out. Our sources 00:04:19.860 --> 00:04:22.339 contrast someone like Marjorie Taylor Greene, 00:04:22.660 --> 00:04:26.300 who the analysis calls A wacko. A firebrand, 00:04:26.439 --> 00:04:28.360 right. With the profile of someone like Thomas 00:04:28.360 --> 00:04:30.120 Massey. Who is a completely different animal. 00:04:30.279 --> 00:04:32.779 A whole different animal. Yeah. He's an MIT educated 00:04:32.779 --> 00:04:36.160 engineer, a tech founder with 24 patents, a deeply 00:04:36.160 --> 00:04:38.519 committed libertarian. But they're both described 00:04:38.519 --> 00:04:41.399 as pit bulls. Yes, because they both refuse to 00:04:41.399 --> 00:04:44.000 concede ground. But one is driven by grassroots 00:04:44.000 --> 00:04:47.139 populism and the other by these deeply held philosophical 00:04:47.139 --> 00:04:49.240 principles. Their divergence really shows the 00:04:49.240 --> 00:04:51.920 Maggian coalition isn't one idea. It's a temporary 00:04:51.920 --> 00:04:55.060 alliance. And we saw a very public blow up recently 00:04:55.060 --> 00:04:57.540 over the anti -Semitism divide. A massive one. 00:04:57.819 --> 00:05:00.439 You had Tucker Carlson and Candice Owens defending 00:05:00.439 --> 00:05:02.839 the anti -Semite Nick Fuentes. And the Heritage 00:05:02.839 --> 00:05:04.560 Foundation actually backed them on it. Which 00:05:04.560 --> 00:05:06.959 is what prompted Ted Cruz to step in. Right. 00:05:07.160 --> 00:05:09.629 And that was a huge rupture. For Senator Ted 00:05:09.629 --> 00:05:11.910 Cruz to come out and call this a cancer in the 00:05:11.910 --> 00:05:13.949 party. I mean, when he has to be the moral center, 00:05:14.149 --> 00:05:17.129 it just shows you how far into the fringes some 00:05:17.129 --> 00:05:19.230 elements have gone. Then you have straight -up 00:05:19.230 --> 00:05:23.069 economic conflict. The tariff paradox. The base 00:05:23.069 --> 00:05:25.790 loves tariffs in theory. It's America first. 00:05:26.470 --> 00:05:28.870 But they're furious about the high cost of living 00:05:28.870 --> 00:05:31.370 that those very tariffs help create. You can't 00:05:31.370 --> 00:05:33.689 have it both ways. You can't. And you see the 00:05:33.689 --> 00:05:37.019 same split with H -1B visas. Big business desperately 00:05:37.019 --> 00:05:40.000 needs skilled foreign labor, but the anti -immigrant 00:05:40.000 --> 00:05:42.720 base wants to cut the program. Even Trump disagreed 00:05:42.720 --> 00:05:44.939 with Laura Ingraham on that one. It shows the 00:05:44.939 --> 00:05:46.759 tension. And finally, there's the Gwift. Yes. 00:05:47.199 --> 00:05:49.980 The growing realization that opposing the personal 00:05:49.980 --> 00:05:52.240 corruption could actually be a winning strategy 00:05:52.240 --> 00:05:55.389 for someone in 2028. The analysis points to things 00:05:55.389 --> 00:05:58.189 like the $350 million collected for a gilded 00:05:58.189 --> 00:06:00.629 palace, the Jared Kushner fund. The $2 billion 00:06:00.629 --> 00:06:03.509 from MBS, yeah. Republicans are realizing that 00:06:03.509 --> 00:06:05.810 voters who are maybe struggling, who lost their 00:06:05.810 --> 00:06:09.170 SNAP benefits, are starting to ask why so much 00:06:09.170 --> 00:06:11.889 wealth is being consolidated personally. Opposing 00:06:11.889 --> 00:06:14.870 that is becoming a real platform. So Bill Kristol's 00:06:14.870 --> 00:06:18.189 observation really makes sense here. that encouraging 00:06:18.189 --> 00:06:20.449 these fractures might be more effective for the 00:06:20.449 --> 00:06:23.029 opposition than waiting for a moderate to... 00:06:23.029 --> 00:06:25.889 To find their spines, yeah. It shifts the strategy 00:06:25.889 --> 00:06:29.790 from hoping for conversion to actively encouraging 00:06:29.790 --> 00:06:32.430 an explosion. Let's move our focus from party 00:06:32.430 --> 00:06:36.430 dynamics to institutional restructuring. We need 00:06:36.430 --> 00:06:38.709 to look at the current administration's efforts 00:06:38.709 --> 00:06:41.389 to dismantle the Department of Education. Right. 00:06:41.670 --> 00:06:43.709 He can't just abolish it by executive order, 00:06:43.709 --> 00:06:46.920 so what's the method being used? an administrative 00:06:46.920 --> 00:06:49.240 end run. He's essentially gutting the agency 00:06:49.240 --> 00:06:52.100 by moving its money and its programs somewhere 00:06:52.100 --> 00:06:55.560 else. For example. For example, $28 billion for 00:06:55.560 --> 00:06:58.139 K to 12 schools is being shuffled over to the 00:06:58.139 --> 00:07:00.839 Department of Labor. Indian education programs 00:07:00.839 --> 00:07:02.720 are now going to the Department of the Interior. 00:07:03.000 --> 00:07:05.680 It just drains the doughhead of its purpose without 00:07:05.680 --> 00:07:08.019 formally killing it. And it's so important to 00:07:08.019 --> 00:07:10.100 clarify what the Department of Education actually 00:07:10.100 --> 00:07:12.680 does, because it is widely misunderstood. So 00:07:12.680 --> 00:07:14.779 misunderstood. It does not set curriculum. It 00:07:14.779 --> 00:07:16.920 doesn't hire teachers. teachers, that's all local. 00:07:17.079 --> 00:07:19.579 Its main function is financial. Purely financial. 00:07:19.800 --> 00:07:22.240 It's about leveling the playing field. School 00:07:22.240 --> 00:07:24.600 funding is based on local property taxes, right? 00:07:24.860 --> 00:07:27.339 So you get this massive disparity. Compare Scarsdale, 00:07:27.360 --> 00:07:30.939 New York, where the median income is $238 ,000. 00:07:31.100 --> 00:07:33.160 Just somewhere like Perry County, Alabama, where 00:07:33.160 --> 00:07:37.079 it's just $36 ,000? Exactly. Without the DO -ED 00:07:37.079 --> 00:07:39.839 funneling federal money to those poorer districts, 00:07:40.360 --> 00:07:42.459 the quality of your education is just totally 00:07:42.459 --> 00:07:45.589 dependent on where you were born. The inequality 00:07:45.589 --> 00:07:48.389 gap widens dramatically. And there's a philosophical 00:07:48.389 --> 00:07:50.850 conflict here, too. A huge one. The education 00:07:50.850 --> 00:07:53.870 secretary, Linda McMahon, sees education solely 00:07:53.870 --> 00:07:56.949 as a way to prepare kids for the workforce. versus 00:07:56.949 --> 00:08:00.329 the idea that its function is to create an informed 00:08:00.329 --> 00:08:03.569 citizenry for a democracy. Right. And that disagreement 00:08:03.569 --> 00:08:06.490 is why critics like Senator Patty Murray call 00:08:06.490 --> 00:08:08.730 these efforts outright illegal. She's warning 00:08:08.730 --> 00:08:11.089 that if you move these complex education programs 00:08:11.089 --> 00:08:13.029 to, you know, the Department of Labor. Which 00:08:13.029 --> 00:08:15.509 has no expertise in teaching. None. No expertise 00:08:15.509 --> 00:08:17.810 in pedagogy or specialized student needs. Yeah. 00:08:18.009 --> 00:08:19.889 You'll just see a collapse of necessary services. 00:08:20.110 --> 00:08:22.829 OK, on that same topic of institutional integrity, 00:08:22.829 --> 00:08:25.250 we have a major update on Dominion voting systems. 00:08:25.709 --> 00:08:30.389 quiet one, but yes. After that massive $787 million 00:08:30.389 --> 00:08:33.490 settlement from Fox News, the company has been 00:08:33.490 --> 00:08:35.909 sold. It was acquired by a company called Liberty 00:08:35.909 --> 00:08:38.230 Vote, which is owned by a man named Scott Leindecker. 00:08:38.440 --> 00:08:40.620 And he is a former Republican election official 00:08:40.620 --> 00:08:42.980 from Missouri? He is. And what's immediately 00:08:42.980 --> 00:08:45.460 raising alarms is the total lack of transparency. 00:08:46.179 --> 00:08:48.779 The deal was privately financed. The price was 00:08:48.779 --> 00:08:52.320 undisclosed. No IPO. And his plans for the company 00:08:52.320 --> 00:08:55.860 are also pretty significant. Absolutely. He is. 00:08:56.000 --> 00:08:59.340 openly embraced these election integrity concepts 00:08:59.340 --> 00:09:01.799 that are favored by Trump, like paper ballots. 00:09:02.440 --> 00:09:04.379 And he said Liberty Vote would comply with the 00:09:04.379 --> 00:09:06.460 former president's executive order on voting. 00:09:06.899 --> 00:09:09.000 Including the part that was blocked by a judge. 00:09:09.159 --> 00:09:11.139 Yes, the part requiring proof of citizenship 00:09:11.139 --> 00:09:14.620 to vote a federal judge already called unconstitutional 00:09:14.620 --> 00:09:16.500 because the president can't just tell states 00:09:16.500 --> 00:09:18.440 how to run their own elections. This has to be 00:09:18.440 --> 00:09:21.259 generating some serious distrust. Oh, immediate 00:09:21.259 --> 00:09:24.960 distrust. You have Rep. Jasmine Crockett calling 00:09:24.960 --> 00:09:27.779 for states to just drop the machines entirely. 00:09:28.539 --> 00:09:31.220 Local election clerks are furious about the lack 00:09:31.220 --> 00:09:33.799 of transparency around who now owns the machines 00:09:33.799 --> 00:09:36.019 that, you know, a third of all Americans use 00:09:36.019 --> 00:09:38.120 to vote. It seems like if the goal is just a 00:09:38.120 --> 00:09:41.019 clean sale, you do an IPO. Of course. That's 00:09:41.019 --> 00:09:43.940 the transparent path. It would require auditing, 00:09:44.279 --> 00:09:46.779 selling it secretly to a former partisan official 00:09:46.779 --> 00:09:49.720 who plans to embrace legally questionable maneuvers. 00:09:50.330 --> 00:09:52.610 It just raises serious questions about the real 00:09:52.610 --> 00:09:54.429 motivation here. All right. Let's shift gears 00:09:54.429 --> 00:09:57.370 now to campaign dynamics and the electoral forecast, 00:09:57.389 --> 00:09:59.690 starting with some polling. OK. The new Marist 00:09:59.690 --> 00:10:01.970 poll on the generic House ballot shows a pretty 00:10:01.970 --> 00:10:05.889 significant lead for Democrats. D plus 14. That's 00:10:05.889 --> 00:10:07.769 a jump from plus seven just a little while ago. 00:10:07.789 --> 00:10:09.590 That is a staggering margin. Now, of course, 00:10:09.710 --> 00:10:11.769 one poll is just a snapshot. Politics is volatile. 00:10:11.929 --> 00:10:13.909 Of course. But if a margin like that were to 00:10:13.909 --> 00:10:16.559 hold. It would signal a massive blue wave. It 00:10:16.559 --> 00:10:19.500 would put 131 Republicans, basically any district 00:10:19.500 --> 00:10:22.220 that's R plus 13 or less into play. That kind 00:10:22.220 --> 00:10:24.820 of margin suggests deep systemic discontent. 00:10:25.200 --> 00:10:27.320 But the real revelations are in the scene and 00:10:27.320 --> 00:10:29.620 analysis that looks at demographic shifts across 00:10:29.620 --> 00:10:31.820 the last few cycles. What's the big takeaway? 00:10:32.240 --> 00:10:34.279 Well, first, there are some pretty significant 00:10:34.279 --> 00:10:36.759 minority shifts. Latino men are described as 00:10:36.759 --> 00:10:40.059 a disaster for Democrats. Kamala Harris underperformed 00:10:40.059 --> 00:10:42.740 Joe Biden by 33 points with them. And Hillary 00:10:42.740 --> 00:10:46.179 Clinton by 41 points. That's huge. It's an astonishing 00:10:46.179 --> 00:10:49.480 number. Conversely, the analysis calls Black 00:10:49.480 --> 00:10:52.080 women hugely faithful to the Democratic Party. 00:10:52.320 --> 00:10:55.039 That remains a very solid block. And the education 00:10:55.039 --> 00:10:56.879 divide is still there. Still there and still 00:10:56.879 --> 00:10:59.850 very stubborn. White non -college voters are 00:10:59.850 --> 00:11:01.929 a solidly committed group for Trump, no matter 00:11:01.929 --> 00:11:04.629 who he runs against. It's a persistent structural 00:11:04.629 --> 00:11:06.789 problem for Democrats. They just haven't found 00:11:06.789 --> 00:11:09.070 a way to speak effectively to that group. But 00:11:09.070 --> 00:11:12.250 the single biggest aha moment, the one data point 00:11:12.250 --> 00:11:15.110 that really shifts the tectonic plates, is the 00:11:15.110 --> 00:11:17.309 movement among first -time voters. This is truly 00:11:17.309 --> 00:11:19.879 astonishing. And it speaks directly to the power 00:11:19.879 --> 00:11:22.980 of personalized appeal. We saw a 43 point shift. 00:11:23.220 --> 00:11:26.259 A 43 point shift. Let's break that down. In 2020, 00:11:26.759 --> 00:11:29.700 Biden won first time voters by 32 points. In 00:11:29.700 --> 00:11:33.419 2024, Trump won them by 11 points. That swing 00:11:33.419 --> 00:11:36.240 is unbelievable. It means he's reaching low propensity, 00:11:36.539 --> 00:11:38.580 first time voters in a way that other Republicans 00:11:38.580 --> 00:11:41.500 just Can't. It's proof that his appeal is highly 00:11:41.500 --> 00:11:43.940 individualized. It's not a shift to republicanism 00:11:43.940 --> 00:11:46.500 as a party. It's a personal affection for him, 00:11:46.799 --> 00:11:48.980 which creates a ton of energy on Election Day, 00:11:49.340 --> 00:11:52.500 but is, analysts suggest, completely non -transferrable. 00:11:52.620 --> 00:11:54.779 And just quickly, a note on the California governor's 00:11:54.779 --> 00:11:58.240 race. Xavier Becerra's campaign is in crisis. 00:11:58.559 --> 00:12:01.519 Yes. Two of his top aides were indicted for stealing 00:12:01.519 --> 00:12:05.740 $225 ,000 from his campaign. Now, he wasn't implicated 00:12:05.740 --> 00:12:08.039 in the fraud. But the critical issue is that 00:12:08.039 --> 00:12:10.600 he didn't notice it. Exactly. His entire pitch 00:12:10.600 --> 00:12:12.779 for governor is that he's a great manager. Yeah. 00:12:12.899 --> 00:12:15.179 It's a job overseeing a quarter of a million 00:12:15.179 --> 00:12:17.539 employees. If you can't notice that much money 00:12:17.539 --> 00:12:19.720 disappearing from your own campaign. It completely 00:12:19.720 --> 00:12:22.799 undercuts the very basis of your candidacy. Severely. 00:12:23.100 --> 00:12:25.129 So to wrap this up. Let's summarize what we've 00:12:25.129 --> 00:12:28.649 learned. We navigated the deliberate manipulation 00:12:28.649 --> 00:12:31.330 of information with the suspected great scrubbing 00:12:31.330 --> 00:12:33.889 of the Epstein files. We identified the deep 00:12:33.889 --> 00:12:37.129 structural fragmentation of the Manjia base across 00:12:37.129 --> 00:12:40.090 six major fault lines. We looked at the decay 00:12:40.090 --> 00:12:43.029 of institutional power with the quiet dismantling 00:12:43.029 --> 00:12:45.990 of the Department of Education. And we observed 00:12:45.990 --> 00:12:49.590 these dramatic, massive shifts in voter allegiance, 00:12:49.870 --> 00:12:52.269 especially among Latino men. And that shocking 00:12:52.269 --> 00:12:55.190 43 point swing. with first -time voters. I mean, 00:12:55.389 --> 00:12:57.789 these stories really show that political power 00:12:57.789 --> 00:13:01.009 is being defined by two forces right now, consolidation 00:13:01.009 --> 00:13:04.629 and decay. Power is consolidating in secret, 00:13:04.809 --> 00:13:07.210 like with the Dominion sale, while institutions 00:13:07.210 --> 00:13:09.669 are decaying from the inside, like the DOED. 00:13:09.850 --> 00:13:11.889 And the coalition supporting these structures 00:13:11.889 --> 00:13:14.509 are just fracturing. From internal dissent and 00:13:14.509 --> 00:13:16.649 economic pressure, exactly. We ended on that 00:13:16.649 --> 00:13:19.190 extraordinary data point, the 43 -point swing 00:13:19.190 --> 00:13:21.710 among first -time voters. It shows the strong, 00:13:22.029 --> 00:13:24.129 unique personal affection for Donald Trump that 00:13:24.129 --> 00:13:26.230 just does not translate to other Republicans. 00:13:26.330 --> 00:13:28.370 It really doesn't. So here's the thought to leave 00:13:28.370 --> 00:13:31.070 you with. If the core of electoral success relies 00:13:31.070 --> 00:13:33.909 more and more on a singular, highly personalized 00:13:33.909 --> 00:13:35.950 appeal one that's divorced from the traditional 00:13:35.950 --> 00:13:38.710 party infrastructure, what are the long -term 00:13:38.710 --> 00:13:40.769 non -transferable risks that structure poses 00:13:40.769 --> 00:13:43.529 to a party that wants to maintain power after 00:13:43.529 --> 00:13:45.370 that individual eventually leaves the stage? 00:13:45.629 --> 00:13:47.809 That's a fundamental question to consider as 00:13:47.809 --> 00:13:49.970 the 2028 campaigns really start to heat up.