WEBVTT

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Welcome back. So today we're doing a really critical

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deep dive. Think of it as a post -mortem sequel

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on the recent elections. Right. But we're not

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really looking at the big national headlines

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you've already heard. No. We want to drill down

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into those micro signals. maybe the media missed.

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Things like unexpected local results, simmering

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cultural stuff. Exactly. Things pointing towards

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2026, maybe even deeper shifts. Yeah. And we've

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pulled together a really interesting mix of sources

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for you. It's got internal analysis on how the

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administration reacted privately to, well, taking

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a beating. OK. Surprising results. Georgia, Mississippi,

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a deep dive into that key Pennsylvania County,

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Bucks. The bellwether. And then this other Quite

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profound clash brewing between the administration's

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policies and, well, the Catholic Church. OK,

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so quite a rage. So for you, the listener, the

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mission today is connecting these seemingly scattered

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dots. Right. What does it all mean? What's the

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picture they paint about the political climate

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right now? And what are the practical signs that

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might actually matter going forward? Let's jump

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in. OK, let's start at the top. National noise,

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internal party stuff. Sounds good. So leading

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up to the vote, there was a lot of chatter. maybe

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even some fear about the DOJ sending election

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monitors, right? Oh, yeah, big story. So places

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like California, New Jersey, place you wouldn't

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necessarily expect. And the fear was, is this

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a trial run, a dry run for 2026 voter intimidation?

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It definitely dominated the pre -election coverage,

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but according to sources who were actually there,

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on the ground. It was, well, pretty much a non

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-event. Really? Yeah. Reporters were out looking

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for these monitors, couldn't find them. We heard,

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like, maybe two spotted in all of Fresno County,

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that kind of thing. Just two. Yeah. And when

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they were found, they weren't career folks. They

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were political appointees, some described as,

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you know, hardcore Mejia loyalists. OK. So what's

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the read on that? Our material seems to have

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two sort of competing theories on why it fizzled.

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Right. One idea is maybe the administration just

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couldn't find enough qualified people or maybe

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enough willing people to do it. this kind of

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overtly political thing. That makes sense. What's

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the other interpretation? Well, the other. And

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maybe more concerning analysis is that it wasn't

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really about immediate intimidation, not this

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time. It might have been more like an intelligence

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gathering operation. Sending high level political

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types lets them test the waters, see how the

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DOJ machinery reacts, how local officials push

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back. So collecting intel. Exactly. Gathering

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intel for a potentially bigger, maybe more legally

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focused or bureaucratic challenge in 2026. Less

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about boots on the ground, more about maneuvering

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behind the scenes. That's a more chilling thought

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than just not finding enough people. And related

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to that, some sources told us, watch out for

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post -election fraud claims being used as a pretext.

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But we haven't really seen a flood those either,

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have we? No, that's right. It seems like right

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now, anyway, it's harder to sell those big fraud

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narratives when the wins are pretty decisive.

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The margins matter. Yeah, the claims seem to

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get more traction when it's really close or when

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it's specifically about flipping a Trump loss

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into a supposed win. So that relative quiet may

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be a small positive sign for now. OK, let's shift

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to the president's private reactions. Yeah. Because

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whatever is being said publicly, our sources

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say he knows the GOP took a hit. Oh, he knows.

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Reports mention, let's say, significant temper

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tantrums aimed at fellow Republicans. Speaker

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Mike Johnson, Lindsey Graham specifically named.

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Yeah, the blame game is definitely on. And it's

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strategic, right? He's reportedly pointing the

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finger squarely at the shutdown debacle and,

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interestingly, at Senate Republicans. Saying

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they weren't loyal enough. Pretty much not loyal

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enough, didn't fight hard enough. And he apparently

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used this moment, the losses, as leverage. Tried

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to push Senate Republicans privately to just

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abolish the filibuster. Wow. How did that go

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over? Stony. Silence. That's the report. Stony

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silence. And that silence, that's the real tell

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here, I think. He's testing his influence, trying

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to tie the election losses to this long -standing

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Senate rule. And getting nothing back. Exactly.

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It suggests his power to just dictate procedure

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to Senate leadership. It's waning. That reduces

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his leverage quite a bit heading into the next

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cycle. Staying with Congress but moving to the

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House. Yeah. There's another fascinating little

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detail showing how election losses have immediate

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consequences. We're talking about the discharge

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petition math. Right. The magic number 218 signatures

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needed to force a vote on something the speaker

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doesn't want on the floor. Yeah. The timing here

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is just brutal for the Democrats trying to use

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it. You've got Rep Spanberger leaving by January

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17th, Rep Sheryl by the 20th. to be governors.

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So that's two signatures gone? Instantly drops

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the total. Now, rep -elect Adelita Grigialva

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comes in, but that only brings it back up one,

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still short of 218. Meaning that threat, that

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tool to bypass the speaker. It's off the table

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for months, probably, until those seats are filled

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in special elections. It gives the speaker a

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lot more breathing room, a small detail that's

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strategically huge. Absolutely huge. OK, let's

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pivot now. Yep. state level because some of the,

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maybe the most interesting signals for 2026 weren't

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in DC at all. Agreed. Let's start in Georgia.

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There was a special election for two seats on

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the Public Service Commission, the PSC. Not usually

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headline news. No, but this is a really big deal

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when totally under the radar for most people.

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The PSC, remember, sets utility rates, oversees

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energy projects, big climate policy implications

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now. Okay. And what happened? Democrats flipped

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two seats. Alicia Johnson and Peter Hubbard won.

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And get this, turnout was huge. Over 1 .4 million

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votes cast. Wow. So why is that, like, historic?

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Well, first, it's the first time a Democrat won

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any seat on the Georgia PSC in 25 years. A quarter

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century. Yeah. And bigger picture. It's the first

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time the Democrats have won any statewide constitutional

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office there since 2006. OK, that is significant.

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And Governor Kemp, the Republican governor, he

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put a lot of political muscle into this race

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for the Republicans who lost. So this wasn't

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just a fluke. It feels like a real message. When

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the party in power loses control over, you know,

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electricity bills and things like that. That's

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a loud canary. Exactly. A very loud canary in

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the coal mine. OK, let's head over to Mississippi.

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Democrats picked up three state Senate seats

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there. Sounds small, maybe. Doesn't sound like

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much, but the impact is big. It meant the GOP

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lost its supermajority in the state senate. Ah,

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okay, so that changes the dynamic. Immediately.

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Makes it much harder for the majority to just

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ram through, let's say, the more controversial,

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highly partisan stuff, that veto -proof edge,

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gone. And the reaction from the state GOP chair,

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Mike Hurst, was pretty defensive. Yeah, blaming

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gerrymandered districts drawn by an unelected

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court, blaming federal statutes weaponized by

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interest groups. You know, the usual suspects.

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But notably, not just blaming national politics.

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Right. He went straight for the map drawers and

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the courts, which kind of shows the pressure

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they're feeling right there at the state level.

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Interesting. And one more state note, Virginia.

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A historic win. Absolutely. First Muslim, first

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Asian American to hold statewide office in Virginia's

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history. Which is significant in itself. But

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zooming out even further, she's the first Muslim

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woman to win statewide office anywhere in the

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United States. Ever. Why? So this isn't just

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one election, right? It speaks to these larger

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demographic shifts, changing patterns of political

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engagement. It's reshaping the map, especially

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in places like Virginia that are growing and

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changing fast. All right. Let's really drill

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down now into one specific place. Bucks County,

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Pennsylvania. P .A. zero one. We keep calling

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a critical a bellwether. Why? Well, it's that

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classic suburban swing county. It was pretty

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reliably Democratic for a long time. Then Trump

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narrowly won it in 2024. Which was the first

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time a Republican presidential candidate had

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won bucks since, what, the 80s? Exactly. So it

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really is on that knife's edge. And then in these

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recent local elections, total reversal. What

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happened locally? Local Democrats just swept

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the board. Every single countywide office. And

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not by small margins, like around 10 points each.

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10 points, that's decisive. Yeah, the biggest

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margin they've had in a They flipped the DA's

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office, flipped the county sheriff role. That

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one went to an Army reservist named Danny Ciesler.

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And Ceasler's campaign, the strategy there, seems

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pretty instructive for Democrats trying to win

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in these kinds of places. Totally. He made a

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point of focusing on local stuff, like really

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local concerns, avoided the national shouting

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matches. And reined in his competence. Right.

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Making sure law enforcement was professional,

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not political. Exactly. The sense was voters

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felt the incumbent sheriff was letting national

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politics seep into local governing. Ceasler promised

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basically competent, non -extreme local leadership.

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And it worked. Even though Doesn't Bucks County

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still have more registered Republicans? Oh yeah,

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significantly. Like nearly 10 ,000 more registered

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Republicans than Democrats. It's a doubled advantage

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for the GOP on paper. So for Democrats to win

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by 10 points. It means a huge number of registered

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Republicans or maybe independents who lean Republican

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crossed over. They specifically chose candidates

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promising, you know, just common sense local

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governing over party label. That registration

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advantage just vanished. Which brings us to the

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guy who represents this district in Congress.

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Republican Brian Fitzpatrick, P -A -0 -1. He's

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like the Houdini of Republicans. He really is,

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often called Teflon Fitz. He just keeps outperforming

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the top of the ticket, survives these blue waves.

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He's the last Republican standing in the Philly

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suburbs, a true outlier. So Democrats see this

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local sweep, they see Governor Shapiro's popularity,

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and they think, okay, this is the year we finally

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get Fitzpatrick. That's the hope, yeah. They're

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confident, but the Republicans. They point to

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his track record. He won by 13 points in 2024,

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even as Trump barely won the county. And he raises

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a ton of money. A ton, like almost $900 ,000

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last quarter alone. They're not worried, or at

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least they say they're not. So his brand is key.

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He's ranked, what, the most bipartisan member

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of Congress, co -chairs the Problem Solvers Caucus.

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Right. And he makes sure people know about his

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breaks with Trump. You know, confirming Biden

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won in 2020, voting against that big domestic

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policy bill. He... cultivates that distance.

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And that helps him defy gravity, as they say.

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It seems to. But the Democratic strategy against

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him next year, it's shaping up to be about tying

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him to the National Party anyway. The agenda

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of chaos argument. Exactly. Saying, OK, maybe

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you vote against some things, but your party

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enables extremism and you're still part of that.

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And then hitting him on cost of living issues,

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trying to pin that on the GOP broadly. Arguing

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his moderate votes ultimately do nothing. for

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people's wallets. Right. It's gonna be fascinating.

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That district, PA -01, it's like a perfect microcosm

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of the whole national battleground for 2026.

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Okay, so we've talked local politics, state shifts,

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but now let's turn to something maybe deeper,

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more fundamental. This growing rift you mentioned

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between the Catholic Church and the administration,

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specifically over migration policy. Yeah, this

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isn't just about competing policies. It feels

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like a clash of, well, core moral frameworks.

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How so? Well, you have... We have the NGA -aligned

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view on migrants, which is often very harsh,

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very restrictionist. And that runs directly counter

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to fundamental Catholic teaching about the dignity

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of every single human being, the call to love

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foreigners, refugees. Basic tenets of the faith.

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Exactly. And this isn't just theoretical anymore.

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It's playing out very practically, very visibly.

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What are some of the really stark examples from

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the source material? The ones that stick with

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you. Well, there was that incident in Broadview,

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Illinois. ICE reportedly denied Catholic priests

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access to detainees. Denied access for what?

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To bring them the Eucharist communion, which,

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for Catholics, is profoundly important. They

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believe it's the actual body of Christ. Denying

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that? That's a serious escalation. Wow. OK. What

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else? We've seen reports of priests and nuns

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literally accompanying immigrants to their ICE

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check -ins. Standing with them as a physical

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presence, hoping to deter, you know, summary

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deportations right then and there. Using their

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presence as a shield, almost. In a way, yes.

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And maybe the most dramatic, the Diocese of San

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Bernardino out in California. They formally released

00:12:30.039 --> 00:12:32.179
Catholics from their Sunday mass obligation.

00:12:32.340 --> 00:12:35.159
Lifted the obligation to go to mass. Why? Specifically

00:12:35.159 --> 00:12:37.259
to protect them, because people were reportedly

00:12:37.259 --> 00:12:40.600
being targeted and picked up by ICE agents right

00:12:40.600 --> 00:12:42.460
as they were leaving church on Sunday morning.

00:12:42.580 --> 00:12:47.269
That is astonishing. leaving church. Yeah. So

00:12:47.269 --> 00:12:50.250
the diocese said essentially, your safety comes

00:12:50.250 --> 00:12:52.970
first. You don't have to risk capture to fulfill

00:12:52.970 --> 00:12:55.129
your religious duty this week. And this isn't

00:12:55.129 --> 00:12:58.230
just local priests acting alone. This goes higher

00:12:58.230 --> 00:13:01.129
up. Oh yeah. The late Pope Francis spoke out

00:13:01.129 --> 00:13:04.629
repeatedly. urging Catholics don't give in to

00:13:04.629 --> 00:13:06.730
narratives that discriminate, warning against

00:13:06.730 --> 00:13:09.409
building walls of ignominy. Strong language.

00:13:09.769 --> 00:13:12.809
Very. And the current pope, Leo IV, he's been

00:13:12.809 --> 00:13:15.129
just as forceful, maybe even more direct. He

00:13:15.129 --> 00:13:17.370
essentially questioned if you can even be pro

00:13:17.370 --> 00:13:20.450
-life if you support the inhuman treatment of

00:13:20.450 --> 00:13:22.649
immigrants. Drawing a direct line between those

00:13:22.649 --> 00:13:25.110
issues. He said, I don't know if that's pro -life.

00:13:25.490 --> 00:13:27.850
And he's warned that abusing vulnerable migrants,

00:13:27.870 --> 00:13:31.129
that constitutes grave crimes committed or tolerated

00:13:31.129 --> 00:13:33.830
by the state. Heavy stuff. So how's the administration

00:13:33.830 --> 00:13:37.029
responding to this moral pressure from the Vatican

00:13:37.029 --> 00:13:40.029
and the US bishops? Publicly. Dismissive. The

00:13:40.029 --> 00:13:42.350
White House reportedly told one journalist pretty

00:13:42.350 --> 00:13:44.409
bluntly, the pope doesn't know what he's talking

00:13:44.409 --> 00:13:46.840
about. Just outright dismissal. Yeah. And then

00:13:46.840 --> 00:13:49.480
you have political figures like Senator J .D.

00:13:49.620 --> 00:13:51.799
Vance trying to undermine the U .S. Bishop's

00:13:51.799 --> 00:13:54.200
credibility, accusing them of being motivated

00:13:54.200 --> 00:13:56.399
by money, pointing to the funds they receive

00:13:56.399 --> 00:13:59.759
for refugee resettlement over $100 million, trying

00:13:59.759 --> 00:14:03.259
to frame it as self -interest, not moral principle.

00:14:03.500 --> 00:14:06.000
And Vance also used a theological term, right?

00:14:06.120 --> 00:14:09.580
Bordo amoris. Yeah. the Order of Loves, he tried

00:14:09.580 --> 00:14:13.299
to use it to argue, it's okay, even right, to

00:14:13.299 --> 00:14:16.100
prioritize loving Americans over loving immigrants.

00:14:16.399 --> 00:14:19.059
Kind of a theological justification for nationalism.

00:14:19.500 --> 00:14:21.700
But didn't Pope Francis address that exact argument?

00:14:21.820 --> 00:14:24.899
He did, specifically push back on that interpretation

00:14:24.899 --> 00:14:27.440
using the parable of the Good Samaritan, which,

00:14:27.440 --> 00:14:29.320
you know, is pretty much the classic Christian

00:14:29.320 --> 00:14:32.500
teaching against prioritizing care based on nationality

00:14:32.500 --> 00:14:35.039
or group identity. It teaches universal care.

00:14:35.159 --> 00:14:36.679
So it really forces a choice for some people.

00:14:36.740 --> 00:14:38.960
It absolutely does. It brings up this fundamental

00:14:38.960 --> 00:14:41.360
question, especially for Catholic voters, officials,

00:14:41.779 --> 00:14:44.080
maybe even folks working in immigration enforcement,

00:14:44.639 --> 00:14:47.230
a question of dual loyalty. Faith versus state.

00:14:47.610 --> 00:14:50.690
Yeah. When your faith's demands about universal

00:14:50.690 --> 00:14:53.509
human dignity clash head -on with an America

00:14:53.509 --> 00:14:56.830
first ideology and with how state policy is actually

00:14:56.830 --> 00:15:00.129
being carried out, which one wins? Which duty

00:15:00.129 --> 00:15:03.450
comes first? It's a profound conflict. Hashtag

00:15:03.450 --> 00:15:07.289
tag tag outro. So pulling it all together, what

00:15:07.289 --> 00:15:10.179
we're seeing is I think pretty clear. On one

00:15:10.179 --> 00:15:12.139
level, the antidote to some of this national

00:15:12.139 --> 00:15:15.179
polarization seems to be really local, common

00:15:15.179 --> 00:15:17.440
sense stuff. Like in Georgia, Mississippi, Bucks

00:15:17.440 --> 00:15:20.750
County. Exactly. Those democratic wins suggest

00:15:20.750 --> 00:15:23.789
voters respond to focusing on community competence,

00:15:24.149 --> 00:15:26.350
steering clear the extremes. Those are political

00:15:26.350 --> 00:15:28.629
shifts, though, tactical wins. But underneath

00:15:28.629 --> 00:15:30.889
that? Underneath, there's this deeper, maybe

00:15:30.889 --> 00:15:33.529
more significant tremor, this macro level moral

00:15:33.529 --> 00:15:35.450
clash like the church versus the administration

00:15:35.450 --> 00:15:37.990
on migration. That represents a potentially much

00:15:37.990 --> 00:15:40.490
longer term, maybe more destabilizing kind of

00:15:40.490 --> 00:15:42.429
fault line. Which leads us to that final thought,

00:15:42.470 --> 00:15:44.129
something for you, the listener, to really chew

00:15:44.129 --> 00:15:47.309
on. Bishop Mark Sites of El Paso. He suggested

00:15:47.309 --> 00:15:49.269
Catholics working within the deportation system

00:15:49.269 --> 00:15:51.549
might soon face a really hard choice. Yeah, he

00:15:51.549 --> 00:15:53.529
said they might have to make that difficult moral

00:15:53.529 --> 00:15:56.009
choice to say, in conscience, I can no longer

00:15:56.009 --> 00:15:59.090
do this. So the question for all of us then is,

00:15:59.470 --> 00:16:01.990
what does it actually mean for American stability,

00:16:02.090 --> 00:16:05.129
for the fabric of society, when deeply held religious

00:16:05.129 --> 00:16:07.870
duties, moral imperatives, start lining up against

00:16:07.870 --> 00:16:10.830
these stated goals, the actual enforcement of

00:16:10.830 --> 00:16:13.049
the law and the land? When people feel forced

00:16:13.049 --> 00:16:15.350
to choose between their faith and their government?

00:16:15.939 --> 00:16:18.840
What happens next? A powerful question to end

00:16:18.840 --> 00:16:20.720
on. Thank you for joining us for this deep dive

00:16:20.720 --> 00:16:22.320
into the source material. We'll see you next

00:16:22.320 --> 00:16:22.519
time.
