WEBVTT

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Welcome to the deep dive. Today we're setting

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aside the usual talking points, the outrage cycles.

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Our mission here is really to cut straight through

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all that political chatter. We want to identify

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the core ideological fault lines and well, the

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institutional ones too, that are actually shaping

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what's going on. We've got a stack of sources

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here that Honestly, they tell a pretty cohesive

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story. It's not just about conflict, but maybe

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about institutional and ideological collapse.

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That's absolutely right. The material we have

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really give you a roadmap. It helps you understand

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not just who's winning elections, but what kind

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of political identity is actually gaining ground.

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on both sides. And crucially, we're pairing that

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with some frankly striking examples of institutional

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dysfunction, showing how these long -held norms,

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things like transparency, basic competence, how

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they're eroding fast and at the highest levels

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of government too. Okay, let's try and unpack

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this. Maybe start with the internal battles.

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The ideological struggle for the soul of the

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Democratic Party. Politico highlighted several

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primary races that seem to be testing the Democrats'

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future, and we've zeroed in on three that seem

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to reveal these, well, deep fissures between

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generations and ideologies. Right. Let's begin

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in Maine, the U .S. Senate primary there. Our

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sources read this one highly instructive, a five

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out of five, actually, because it just perfectly

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illustrates this conflict. You've got entrenched

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power versus progressive energy. On one side,

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there's Governor Janet Mills. She's the party

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establishment's pick. A moderate 77 years old,

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a known quantity, right? Four statewide wins

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under her belt. And the thinking from the establishment

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is pretty clear, isn't it? Her profile makes

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the general election simpler. It becomes a straightforward

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referendum on the moderate Republican incumbent,

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Susan Collins. They want stability, no surprises.

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Exactly. But then there's the disruptor, Graham

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Plattner. He's an oysterman. an outsider, decades

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younger, and the sources describe him as much

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leftier. He introduces what they call wild cards.

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And the party machine, well, it absolutely hates

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wild cards. What's fascinating here, though,

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is what the sources note. Nationally, this might

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look like just another rerun of the, you know,

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Hillary versus Bernie dynamic. But the real insight

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here isn't just about youth versus age, is it?

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It's more about whether this national progressive

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energy can actually overcome some deeply entrenched

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local demographic facts. Like Maine has the oldest

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median age in the whole country, 35 .1 years.

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That reality might just, you know, temper the

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fire of this progressive insurgency when people

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actually go to vote. Okay, moving south then.

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The Tennessee 9th congressional district primary

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rated a 3 on the instructive scale. It shows

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that that same generational tension, but in a

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really different context. Here, the entrenched

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power is represented as Steve Cohen, white, 76

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years old, going for his 11th term. And he's

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up against Justin Pearson. Pearson is black,

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half a century younger, and, well, significantly

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more liberal. If that name sounds familiar to

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you, it probably should. He was one of those

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Tennessee State House members who got expelled,

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remember, for speaking out, causing good trouble,

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as they say. And then he was quickly re -elected

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by his constituents. He's really the ultimate

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activist candidate, isn't he? He is. And the

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factors working in Pearson's favor are pretty

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significant. The district itself is 60 .2 % black,

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so identity politics definitely plays a major

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role. Plus... Cohen is Jewish. The sources suggest

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that depending on how things unfold, particularly

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regarding Israel, this could create some political

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fallout that he's quite vulnerable to. So if

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we try to connect the dots here, whether it's

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that sort of quieter conflict up in aging Maine

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or the really fiery activism down in Memphis,

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these races seem to reflect this fundamental

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conflict. Moderation versus the demand for activist

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candidates, younger candidates, more ideologically

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liberal ones. Yeah, what really stands out is

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the Democratic base seems angry. And in Pearson's

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case, they're actively rewarding that visible

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activism. But doesn't the success or potential

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success of a good trouble candidate like Pearson

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maybe suggest something? Like this demand for

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activist politicians might actually be a better

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measure of party health than just sticking to

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moderation. It certainly suggests a higher tolerance

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for risk, maybe. Yeah. Before we move on, we

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should probably just quickly touch on the California

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gubernatorial race. Our sources rate it as minimally

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instructive, a one, even with that crowded field.

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The reason they rate California so low is basically

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because their primary system, that nonpartisan

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top two system, it often produces outcomes. driven

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more by local stuff, personalities, rather than

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being a clear signal of national ideological

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trends. You know, what happens in California

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often stays in California, politically speaking.

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Precisely. OK, so let's leave the primaries for

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now and pivot. Let's look at this idea of systemic

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breakdown in established institutions. We really

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need to examine two areas where these norms,

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transparency, basic competence seem to be, well,

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breaking down. the Pentagon and Department of

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Justice. Yeah, the Pentagon situation, it's particularly

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alarming, I think, because it hits right at the

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freedom of the press. You had the entire press

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pool, except for one reporter from OANN, which

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is a conservative outlet. They all declined to

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sign this pledge that the Secretary of Defense,

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Pete Hegseth, demanded. And the policy itself

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is, well, radical. This pledge would grant Hegseth

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and his staff, and I'm quoting here, complete

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control over the information reporters could

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use. And if you broke the rules, you faced being

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deemed a security threat. President Trump, maybe

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unsurprisingly, supports the policy. He said

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Hegseth finds the press to be very disruptive

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in terms of world peace. OK, but why? Why now?

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After decades of standard operating procedures,

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why would the DOD suddenly push for such an extreme

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policy? That's really the core question, isn't

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it? And here we have to lean on the analysis

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from Tom Bowman, the former military correspondent,

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and also retired General Mark Hurtling. Bowman

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reminds us about Thomas Jefferson, right? Establishing

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the critical role of the press, Jefferson said,

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our liberty depends on its freedom, and that

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cannot be limited without being lost. Right.

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And this is where the Hurtling analysis becomes

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really important. Hurtling highlights the real

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danger. He says, this policy collapses a vital

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distinction. The difference between essential

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operational security, which, you know, genuinely

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protects missions and personnel, and what he

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calls poisonous institutional protection. Institutional

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protection. Yeah, basically shielding the organization

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itself from scrutiny or embarrassment. Hurtling

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argues this is toxic to public trust and actually

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runs against the interests of the DOD itself.

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That distinction, security versus just self -protection,

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that feels absolutely crucial. OK, now let's

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turn to the Justice Department. A different kind

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of institutional failure seemed to be on display

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there, more like sheer unpreparedness maybe,

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especially during the prosecution of former FBI

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Director James Comey. Oh, the arraignment was

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chaotic, to put it mildly. The prosecutors, Gabriel

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Diaz and Nathaniel Tyler Lemons, they were apparently

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clearly caught off guard when the judge, Michael

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Nockmanoff, just set a trial date. January 5th.

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And they actually admitted it to the judge that

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they were quote only just starting to get their

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hands around the case. I mean why why would the

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prosecution bring an indictment on a case that's

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five years old if they weren't even ready to

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lay out the core charges? Is this source suggesting

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this was just like political theater? Well the

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sources strongly suggest something more than

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just simple incompetence. It points towards a

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system that's maybe more focused on the spectacle

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of the indictment itself rather than the actual

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rigor of the prosecution. And the judge was clearly

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incredulous and irritated, according to the reports,

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refused to delay the trial, even when they brought

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up classified material issues. It showed his

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frustration with the prosecution just being completely

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unprepared. And the defense attorney, Pat Fitzgerald,

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he's obviously jumping all over this, right?

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Demanding extensive discovery, pointing out the

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indictment doesn't even specify the exact false

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statement Comey supposedly made. The defense

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team is basically saying they're in the dark

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about what they're even defending against. Which,

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yeah, that speaks volumes about how hastily this

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case might have been brought. It really paints

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a picture, doesn't it? A justice department may

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be under pressure. Where the institutional norms,

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requiring competence, due diligence before an

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indictment, maybe those got significantly neglected

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here. Okay, so if institutions that are designed

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for accountability, for transparency, are showing

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this level of breakdown, maybe we shouldn't be

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too surprised that political identity itself

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seems to be collapsing, or at least getting very

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weird. Which brings us to what our source is

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called Freaky Tuesday. Politicians adopting these

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completely unexpected ideological personas. Yeah,

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this phenomenon really shows the instability,

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maybe, of modern political philosophy. Just look

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at Speaker Mike Johnson. He used to be known

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for kind of mixing the statesman persona with

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the partisan, splitting the difference between

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the GOP factions. Now, though, the sources say

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he is fully channeling his inner Donald Trump,

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just trying to maintain power. And you can see

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the shift in specific things he said and done,

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right? Like calling the COVID era Obamacare subsidies

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a boondoggle and claiming incorrectly, according

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to the sources analysis, that they actually increase

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insurance costs for everyone, which isn't true.

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He also declared that a Marxist ideology is taking

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over the Democrat Party. And for the first time

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ever as speaker, he actually went and participated

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in a Freedom Caucus meeting. Right. And this

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rightward populist turn. Our sources interpret

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it not as some kind of philosophical awakening,

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no. They see it as purely transactional. A commitment

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to kissing Major Magier posterior because he

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fears a rebellion from the hard right more than

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he fears losing any moderates. It's a calculation.

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Okay, but then the plot really thickens when

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you look at Marjorie Taylor Greene because she

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seems to have simultaneously adopted this startlingly

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left -wing populist persona. It's quite something.

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She's been all over the map. calling for Obamacare

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subsidies to be extended, declaring the Gaza

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situation a genocide. She's lambasted ICE raids,

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calling for a smarter plan than just mass deportations.

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And she's even calling for an end to the Senate

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filibuster, blaming weak Republican men for the

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gridlock. I mean, that's a list of positions.

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You could genuinely hear that from a progressive

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Democrat running on an economic copulous platform.

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It's wild. Yeah. And the source analysis concludes

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this ideological fluidity. It isn't a sign the

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Magier coalition is cracking, not really. Instead,

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Green, much like Trump perhaps, seems to lack

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a really coherent, grounded philosophy. Her actions

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seem driven by emotion, maybe, and immediate

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tactical advantage. So the real identity swap,

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the sources argue, is this kind of freaky threesome,

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where Johnson starts sounding like the hard right

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Green and Green starts sounding like a left -wing

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populist, all driven by different pressures of

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power. Okay, finally, let's try and connect this

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theme of institutional instability back to the

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actual mechanics of democracy. There is a significant

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legal development affecting voting in Pennsylvania.

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Right. This involves the federal court of appeals.

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They denied a GOP effort to revive a challenge

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to Pennsylvania's rule about dates on mail -in

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ballots, the date instruction rule. This rule

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basically said counties couldn't tally ballots

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if the outer envelope was undated or had the

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wrong date, even if the ballot itself arrived

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on time. And the original judge, who was actually

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a Trump appointee, ruled that this requirement

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violated the First and Fourteenth Amendments,

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called it an undue burden on the right to vote.

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Essentially saying a technical error, one that's

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unrelated to whether the ballot was submitted

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on time, shouldn't disenfranchise a voter. Exactly.

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The appeals court ultimately upheld that initial

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ruling, but the vote was close, an eight to six

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decision against rehearing the case on bank.

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And that dissent is revealing. The six dissenting

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judges argued that a brand new Pennsylvania Supreme

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Court ruling had kind of eliminated the need

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for federal intervention anymore. How so? How

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did the state ruling change things? Well, the

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new state ruling requires county officials to

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actually notify voters if there's a defect, like

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a missing date, and give them a chance to fix

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it, to cure the defect. So because the state

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now provides this fix, the dissenting federal

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judges argued that the undue burden the federal

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district judge originally cited... Well, it's

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been fixed at the state level now, making the

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federal injunction unnecessary. It's a really

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nuanced legal fight over who gets to set the

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rules for fixing ballot mechanics. Wow. OK, so

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today we've covered quite a bit. The fierce struggle

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for the ideological soul of the Democratic Party,

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the decay, maybe, of institutional competence

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shown by the Pentagon transparency issue and

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the DOJ's, well, haphazard prosecution and the

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surprising fluidity of political identity. with

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Johnson and Green doing their freaky Tuesday

00:12:42.539 --> 00:12:45.019
swap. Yeah and what really stands out I think

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across all these different stories is this recurring

00:12:47.940 --> 00:12:50.929
theme, boundary pushing. And critically, maybe

00:12:50.929 --> 00:12:53.169
a lack of immediate accountability. Remember,

00:12:53.289 --> 00:12:55.470
our sources also discuss that scandal involving

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those thousands of vile text messages, racist,

00:12:58.669 --> 00:13:00.490
anti -Semitic sent by young Republican leaders.

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And the source predicted pretty bluntly that

00:13:02.789 --> 00:13:05.090
these individuals will suffer no real consequences.

00:13:05.190 --> 00:13:07.649
They'll surely be allowed to continue as young

00:13:07.649 --> 00:13:09.750
Republican influencers. That prediction, that

00:13:09.750 --> 00:13:11.610
feeling of impunity, it connects strictly back,

00:13:11.610 --> 00:13:13.669
doesn't it? To the Pentagon policy trying to

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shield itself, the DOJ bringing a case maybe

00:13:16.289 --> 00:13:20.450
without full preparation. It does. So, if the

00:13:20.450 --> 00:13:22.129
sources are suggesting across these different

00:13:22.129 --> 00:13:25.490
contexts that there are effectively no real consequences

00:13:25.490 --> 00:13:29.330
for people engaging in really vile rhetoric or

00:13:29.330 --> 00:13:31.409
actively pushing the boundaries of institutional

00:13:31.409 --> 00:13:33.409
behavior, what does that tell you? What does

00:13:33.409 --> 00:13:36.009
it tell you about the future standard for political

00:13:36.009 --> 00:13:38.450
accountability, for leadership in America? What

00:13:38.450 --> 00:13:41.730
norms, if any, are left that seem universally

00:13:41.730 --> 00:13:43.710
enforceable? Something definitely for you to

00:13:43.710 --> 00:13:45.830
mull over as you navigate the news this week.

00:13:46.129 --> 00:13:47.909
Thank you for diving deep with us today.
