WEBVTT

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OK, let's unpack this. Let's do it. Today we

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are diving into, well, a pretty intense stack

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of political sources. Yeah, high stakes stuff.

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Absolutely. We're looking at the raw power plays

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behind some major conflicts. Think a potential

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government shutdown that's maybe about more than

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just funding. And attempts to literally rewrite

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recent history like Jan six. Exactly. And then

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we'll pivot. and contrast all that domestic chaos

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with how some other democracies seem to run things

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maybe a bit smoother, especially elections. Right.

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Our mission, really, is to understand the why

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behind the immediate leverage plays here. And

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gain some perspective. See what's structural

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versus just, you know, the daily drama. Precisely.

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Moving beyond the spectacle to look at systemic

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health, or maybe the lack of it, compared to

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places with different frameworks. Okay, so let's

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start with that present danger. We are... right

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on the brink potentially of another government

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shutdown this week. Classic game of chicken,

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Washington style. And pressure is already on.

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Yeah. Right. The Democratic base is telling Senator

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Schumer, don't cave this time. Yeah, the messaging

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is loud. And look, the early polling seems pretty

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clear on blame. Who's likely to get it? Republicans.

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I mean, the Democrats have a simple line here.

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The GOP controls the White House, the Senate,

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the House. All three. All three. And yet... They,

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quote, can't even fund the government. It's a

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straightforward argument about basic governing

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competence. OK, but here's where it gets, I think,

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really interesting based on the sources. This

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isn't just about budget numbers for everyone

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involved. No, for some, it's seen as a moment,

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an opportunity. Let's talk about Russell Vaught.

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He's the main author of Project 2025, right?

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That's him. And it's important we quickly explain

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Project 2025 for listeners. It's this huge, comprehensive,

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conservative plan aimed at radically reshaping

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the federal government, the executive branch,

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if there's a transition. So Vaught isn't just

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thinking about political strategy here. The source

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describes him more as a policy wonk. And he's

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apparently quite open about seeing a shutdown

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as, and this is a quote, a wonderful opportunity

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to decimate the government. Decimate. That's

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a strong word. What does that mean in practice?

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It means permanent damage. He's pushing for permanent

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reductions in force RIF. OK, so RIFs, that's

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different from the usual furloughs, right? Furloughs

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are temporary layoffs. Exactly. Furloughs mean

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people eventually come back when the funding

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is sorted. RIF means you're permanently firing

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federal workers. The job itself is eliminated.

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The job ceases to exist. The person is gone.

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The position is gone. And critically, all that

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institutional knowledge just evaporates. Wow.

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So who or what? is being targeted. The sources

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point directly at programs that help low and

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middle income Americans. Like what specifically?

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Think about the administration for children,

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families, aid for low income heating and cooling

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LIHEAP and those vital preschool development

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grants. So basic support systems. Yeah, the source

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uses pretty stark language. These would be chopped

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to mincemeat. The goal seems to be shrinking

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government. by crippling its ability to provide

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that kind of aid. OK, so Team Schumer obviously

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gets the stakes here. They've set up what's described

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as a private war room. Right. Coordinating with

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outside allies unions, progressive groups like

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the PCCC, which focuses a lot on economic issues.

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And their strategy is. Treat it like a campaign.

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They're crafting talking points, the main one

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being Democrats do not want to shut down and

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actively looking for what they call storytellers.

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People who can explain the real world impact.

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Exactly. Put a human face on potential Medicaid

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cuts, for instance. Make it concrete for people.

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And there's a personal political angle for Schumer,

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too, isn't there? Absolutely. If he's seen as

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giving in again, you immediately hear louder

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talk about a primary challenge in 2028, perhaps

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from someone like AOC. The pressure is definitely

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on him internally. OK, let's shift gears from

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this immediate conflict to something maybe even

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more fundamental. controlling the narrative of

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the past. Ah, the Orwell quote comes to mind,

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doesn't it? It really does. Who controls the

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past controls the future. Who controls the present

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controls the past. And that perfectly frames

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what House Republicans are doing now with January

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6th. They're setting up a new committee on Jan

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6th. Yes. Explicitly to redo the investigation.

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The stated aim is, well, to rewrite history.

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Rewrite it how? What's the new story supposed

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to be? Basically, shift the blame away from former

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President Trump. point the finger anywhere else.

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Democrats, the FBI, maybe Antifa, Speaker Emerita

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Pelosi. Anyone but him. And Speaker Johnson is

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on board with this. Reportedly pleased, yeah.

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He's quoted saying the previous committee's work

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was rigged. So key members are already signaling

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they want to overturn the central finding of

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the original committee. Absolutely. Folks like

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Loudermilk, Higgins, they seem focused on hitting,

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like you said, the UNDO button on the conclusion

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that Trump's rhetoric was a cause of the riot.

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Could this backfire? Does bringing it all up

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again actually help them? Well, that's the potential

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scray sand effect. mentions right yeah meaning

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by trying to suppress or change the narrative

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you actually draw more attention to the original

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event it reminds people especially independence

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in the middle who didn't like what they saw on

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TV that day all right remind some of the actual

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images yeah violence exactly it might not play

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out the way they hope with the broader electorate

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and it sets up some internal drama too doesn't

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it with Representative Raskin? Yeah, Jamie Raskin.

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He was on the original Jan 6 committee, and he's

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going to be on this new one, too. So he gets

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a front row seat. And he's already asking, basically,

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OK, which conspiracy theory are you guys actually

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going to land on? Is it NT for this week, the

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FBI next week? They kind of need to pick one

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story and stick to it, right? I think it'd be

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fascinating to watch that unfold. OK, let's turn

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now to a different kind of power play. Retribution

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aimed at The corporate world. Ah, yes, the Microsoft

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situation. Trump demanding Microsoft fire Lisa

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Monaco. Yes, the former deputy AG who supervised

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the prosecution in his classified documents case.

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The source presents it as pretty straightforward

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retribution. And the leverage being used is stark.

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Extremely direct. It's basically hint -hint Microsoft.

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You have many government contracts that could

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be canceled on a whim if you do not obey me.

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Using those contracts as a weapon. It really

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does sound like corporate blackmail, plain and

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simple. But the question is, how credible is

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that threat, really? Could the government realistically

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just switch off Microsoft? Well, that's where

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it gets nuanced. It depends on the type of contract.

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OK. Contracts for, say, new software projects,

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maybe those could be shifted perhaps to a competitor

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like Oracle. It would be disruptive, but doable.

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But what about the core stuff, like Windows?

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Uh, now that would be, as the source puts it,

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an extreme disruption. Imagine the federal government

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trying to migrate tens of thousands, maybe hundreds

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of thousands of computers off Windows and Office

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overnight. Yeah, switching to Linux or something

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else across the board. Yeah. That's a massive

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undertaking. months, maybe years of effort. Exactly.

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So while maybe not impossible, it's disruptive

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enough to be a very potent threat, especially

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against a big publicly traded company like Microsoft

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that cares about stability and, you know, public

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perception, boycotts, shareholder reaction. It

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just creates this incredible contradiction around

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free speech, doesn't it? Oh, absolutely. The

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same person who expressed outrage over being

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banned from Ake's Twitter for inciting violence

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is now actively trying to pressure a private

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company to fire someone, and even going after

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critics like comedians. But how does the public

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feel about this kind of pressure? Well, there's

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a new poll, the Economist YouGov, that sheds

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some light. It shows a really large majority.

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68 % of Americans find it unacceptable for the

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government to pressure broadcasters or publishers

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to remove content or shows. So broad opposition

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to government censorship. Very broad. Interestingly,

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even among Republicans, a majority opposes it.

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There may be a bit more ambivalent if it's their

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guy doing the pressuring, but still the baseline

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principle against government interference holds

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strong for most people. the immediate focus,

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the daily headlines, are driven by these threats,

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personal fights, shut down deadlines. Yeah, immediate

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conflicts, retribution, attempts to rewrite history.

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But does focusing only on that obscure the bigger

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picture, the underlying rules. And that's the

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perfect pivot. Let's talk about those rules.

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Our sources frame the U .S. election system as,

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quote, American exceptionalism and not in a good

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way. Ouch. but may be accurate when you look

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globally. So we've got five potential reforms,

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things actually used successfully in other democracies,

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that would be completely revolutionary here.

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Let's tick through them. First one. Ban all corporate

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campaign donations. Just get big corporate money

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out entirely. Is that common elsewhere? Very.

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It's illegal in many established democracies.

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Canada, France, Japan, just to name a few. In

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Canada, zero corporate contributions allowed.

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Zip. And individual limits are really low, too.

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Around $7 ,750 Canadian. Wow. Okay, second point.

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Limit the length of campaigns. Our perpetual

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cycle is a huge driver of cost. How short are

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we talking elsewhere? Well, get this. Japan,

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the official campaign, is 12 days. France, 14

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days for presidential runs. The UK, usually five

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to six weeks. Weeks, not years. So the proposal

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here is simple. Pretty much. Ban campaign spending

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before, say, January 1st of the actual election

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year. Drastically shortens the paid campaign

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season. All right, third idea. Spending caps.

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Put actual limits on how much can be spent. Again,

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very common. Canada, France, the UK all have

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caps. Canada's limit for national parties in

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2021 was roughly 30 million U .S. dollars. Compare

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that to U .S. presidential spending. It's orders

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of magnitude different. But we have the Supreme

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Court issue here, right? Citizens United and

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all that. Spending money equals speech. That's

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the huge barrier in the U .S. But the source

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points out a potential... constitutional workaround.

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Which is? Congress actually has the power under

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Article 3, Section 2, Paragraph 2 of the Constitution,

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to strip the Supreme Court of jurisdiction in

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certain types of cases. Wait, Congress can tell

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the Supreme Court you can't rule on this? In

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specific areas, yes. It's called jurisdiction

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stripping. So Congress could theoretically pass

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campaign finance reform laws and include a provision

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saying the Supreme Court can't review those specific

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laws. Effectively making the law immune to being

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overturned by SCOTUS on free speech grounds.

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That's the theory. It's legally complex, politically

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explosive, but constitutionally permissible,

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according to this analysis. Fascinating. Okay,

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fourth reform idea. Public funding of campaigns.

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Taking the reliance off private donors. How does

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that work in practice? Different models. Sweden

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provides something like 80 -90 % of party funding

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through public grants. Germany uses a matching

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system for smaller individual donations. The

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point is to reduce the influence of big money.

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Makes sense. And the fifth one. This one feels

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really different for the US. Mandatory voting.

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Making it illegal not to vote. Essentially, yes.

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Where? Requiring eligible citizens to participate.

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Around 27 countries do this. Australia is probably

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the best known example. How do they enforce it?

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Usually with small fines for not voting without

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a valid excuse. It's not about jail time. It's

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about establishing a civic duty. Wow. That seems

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so counter to the American idea of voting as

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a right you can choose not to exercise. What's

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the claimed benefit? It's a potential game changer

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for who participates. It typically boosts turnout

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for maybe 60 percent in voluntary systems like

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ours up to 90 percent or more. 90 percent. Yeah.

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And critically, that extra 30 percent or so often

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represents less intensely partisan voters, people

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who are busy, maybe less engaged daily, more

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moderate. So it brings in the middle. Exactly.

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It potentially increases the electorate by half

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with people who aren't diehard partisans. Politicians

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then arguably have to appeal. more to that center

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ground rather than just playing to their base.

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But there's a patch, right? You can't just mandate

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voting if it's hard to vote. Absolutely crucial

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condition. Mandatory voting has to be paired

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with making voting incredibly easy. Think long

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voting periods like 30 days, maybe vote by mail

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standard, plenty of locations. Accessibility

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is key. Is there proof this linkage matters?

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Yeah, Venezuela provides a sort of reverse case

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study. They used to have mandatory voting and

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turnout was around 83 percent. They got rid of

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it and participation dropped to 61 percent. Make

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it optional and hard and people drop out. Okay,

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let's quickly touch on a couple of other political

00:12:37.509 --> 00:12:40.049
maneuvers mentioned. NYC Mayor Eric Adams dropping

00:12:40.049 --> 00:12:43.080
out. Yes, quite abruptly. And the source suggests

00:12:43.080 --> 00:12:46.179
Trump is now trying to maneuver things by getting

00:12:46.179 --> 00:12:49.080
the official Republican candidate, Curtis Sliwa,

00:12:49.419 --> 00:12:51.940
to also drop out. Why would he do that? To try

00:12:51.940 --> 00:12:53.860
and create a clear head -to -head race between

00:12:53.860 --> 00:12:56.580
the progressive candidate Zoran Omdani and Andrew

00:12:56.580 --> 00:12:59.539
Cuomo, perhaps seeing Cuomo as easier to beat

00:12:59.539 --> 00:13:02.039
or work with down the line. Any suggestion of

00:13:02.039 --> 00:13:05.320
what Sliwa might get in return? Speculation mentioned.

00:13:05.480 --> 00:13:07.360
Head of the Voice of America has a potential

00:13:07.360 --> 00:13:09.480
carrot. Pure speculation at this point, though.

00:13:09.679 --> 00:13:12.559
And quickly. Maryland gerrymandering. Governor

00:13:12.559 --> 00:13:14.940
Wes Moore. Yeah, the Democratic governor there

00:13:14.940 --> 00:13:17.460
apparently has a chance to redraw the map and

00:13:17.460 --> 00:13:20.000
potentially eliminate the state's only Republican

00:13:20.000 --> 00:13:23.000
House seat held by Freedom Caucus chair Andy

00:13:23.000 --> 00:13:25.940
Harris. But he's hesitating. Doddling, as the

00:13:25.940 --> 00:13:28.019
source puts it, possibly concerned about the

00:13:28.019 --> 00:13:30.159
state constitution's requirement for districts

00:13:30.159 --> 00:13:32.620
to be compact and form, which could invite legal

00:13:32.620 --> 00:13:35.259
challenges. And finally, Rudy Giuliani settling

00:13:35.259 --> 00:13:38.960
with Dominion. Yes, settling that huge $1 .3

00:13:38.960 --> 00:13:41.440
billion dollar defamation lawsuit. The terms

00:13:41.440 --> 00:13:43.860
aren't clear. especially given his other massive

00:13:43.860 --> 00:13:47.120
judgment, the $148 million to the Georgia election

00:13:47.120 --> 00:13:50.059
workers and apparent financial issues. Right.

00:13:50.460 --> 00:13:52.899
So speculation is either Dominion wanted to avoid

00:13:52.899 --> 00:13:56.299
further legal costs or maybe a wealthy ally helped

00:13:56.299 --> 00:13:58.259
bail him out. We don't know the details. OK,

00:13:58.360 --> 00:14:01.039
so wrapping this all up. We've looked at these

00:14:01.039 --> 00:14:04.919
immediate, intense conflicts, the shutdown fight,

00:14:05.240 --> 00:14:08.059
the pressure on Microsoft. The Jan 6th rewrite.

00:14:08.159 --> 00:14:10.600
Often driven by very personal motives, retribution

00:14:10.600 --> 00:14:13.840
or specific ideological goals like Vought's desire

00:14:13.840 --> 00:14:16.279
to decimate government functions. Then you contrast

00:14:16.279 --> 00:14:19.200
that with the structural discussion. These fundamental

00:14:19.200 --> 00:14:22.279
reforms used elsewhere campaign finance limits,

00:14:22.720 --> 00:14:25.759
shorter campaigns, public funding, even mandatory

00:14:25.759 --> 00:14:28.179
voting. Things that change the actual rules of

00:14:28.179 --> 00:14:30.759
the political game aiming for broader participation

00:14:30.759 --> 00:14:33.120
and less influence from concentrated money or

00:14:33.120 --> 00:14:36.259
power. So here's the final provocative thought

00:14:36.259 --> 00:14:38.549
maybe. for you listening, what does it really

00:14:38.549 --> 00:14:40.909
say about the U .S. political system right now?

00:14:40.929 --> 00:14:42.870
Yeah, that we're so caught up in the immediate

00:14:42.870 --> 00:14:45.250
drama. Who gets blamed for the shutdown this

00:14:45.250 --> 00:14:47.789
week? Who's attacking who? Well, these fundamental

00:14:47.789 --> 00:14:50.409
structural rules of the game, how campaigns are

00:14:50.409 --> 00:14:52.990
funded, who gets to vote easily, even how much

00:14:52.990 --> 00:14:55.789
power the courts have over political questions

00:14:55.789 --> 00:14:58.690
seem almost untouchable, almost off the table

00:14:58.690 --> 00:15:01.470
for serious discussion. Is maybe the biggest

00:15:01.470 --> 00:15:04.190
knowledge gap in American politics simply not

00:15:04.190 --> 00:15:06.129
realizing what's actually possible? What other

00:15:06.129 --> 00:15:08.269
successful democracies are already doing differently?

00:15:08.690 --> 00:15:09.210
Food for thought.
