WEBVTT

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Welcome to The Deep Dive. We take your sources,

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we unpack them, and we try to pull out the most

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vital nuggets of knowledge for you. Today we're

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peeling back the layers on the current political

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scene. We've got high stakes legal battles really

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shaking things up, and some surprising shifts

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in elections too, things that could signal big

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changes. Our mission, as always, is to cut through

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all that noise. connect some dots, and give you

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the essential insights, make you feel informed.

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Yeah, it's a really fascinating mix of material

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we have today. It really shows how things you

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wouldn't expect to be linked actually are. connecting

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threads between executive power, who gets appointed

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to courts, what the public is thinking, and even

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the real nitty -gritty of campaign strategy.

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What's striking, I think, is just the sheer breadth

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of challenges and power plays all happening at

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once. OK, let's dive right in then. Our sources

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kick off with this political firestorm brewing

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right at the top. The Epstein files fall out.

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It's intensifying. We're hearing POTS is, well,

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absolutely furious. What's the core issue the

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sources are pointing to here? Well, the central

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thing is this contradiction, right? Donald Trump

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ran promising to release all the Epstein files,

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every last one, but now. He's reportedly doing

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everything he possibly can to block their release.

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And this isn't just, you know, a minor policy

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shift. For his base, who were really expecting

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these files to nail top Democrats, It feels like

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a profound betrayal. A betrayal. Yeah, Sarah

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Longwell's focus groups really underline this.

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For a lot of Trump voters who distressed both

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parties, seeing Trump as this outsider, someone

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who wouldn't lie, that was crucial. So this perceived

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dishonesty on something so charged, it's kind

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of unforgivable for some of them. So he's scrambling

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to tamp this down then. What are the strategies?

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What are they trying to do to contain this? And

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is any of it actually working? Well, the tactics

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seem to be A lot of deflection, blaming staff.

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He's apparently showing real fury, even at allies

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like Steve Bannon, Laura Loomer, even Rupert

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Murdoch over that Wall Street Journal story about

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a birthday card to Epstein. Right, I remember

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that story. Yeah, so it's not just frustration.

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It seems like a desperate attempt to control

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a narrative that's just spiraling. It's actually

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eroding crust, even with his loyalists. It shows

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the limits of his power over information. Honestly,

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everything he tries just seems to throw more

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gasoline on the fire. But then this twist, this

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idea of bringing Ghislaine Maxwell into it, that

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really changes the game, doesn't it? What's the

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thinking there? Why her? Why now? What could

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they possibly hope to achieve? This is where

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it gets incredibly tricky. Deputy AG Todd Blanch,

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who used to be one of Trump's personal lawyers,

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he did a complete 180. Just two weeks ago, he's

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saying no reason to talk to Maxwell. Now, suddenly,

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he says there is a reason. So that immediately

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raises questions. First, why the sudden change?

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Why now? Maxwell's testified twice already in

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civil cases, denied a big sex trafficking operation,

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and the DOJ, they already have, like, thousands

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of documents. Over 100 ,000 pages. A thousand

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FBI agents apparently went through them to take

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Trump's name out before release. A thousand agents,

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just for that. Seems so. So it's really unclear

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what new bombshell she could possibly drop now.

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Second, what's in it for her? She's not going

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to cooperate without something huge in return.

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Makes sense. There's two main options, really.

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A Rule 35 motion, that's a sentence reduction

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if she cooperates, or a pardon or commutation.

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The Rule 35 thing needs a judge's approval. And

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getting that from Maxwell, politically that's

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a huge hurdle, especially from judges wary of

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just political optics. A pardon or commutation,

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that's political dynamite. especially for Republicans

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who find what she did despicable. It would send

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his base into paroxysms of rage, as one source

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put it. Wow, even if she named Democrats. Yeah,

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I mean, even then her testimony would probably

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lack corroboration to be truly damaging. And

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crucially, there's zero trust. Maxwell doesn't

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trust Crump. He definitely doesn't trust her.

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She'd almost certainly demand a signed pardon

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before saying anything, which makes the whole

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cooperation thing incredibly complex. That deep

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distress is a major block. So it's not just the

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White House scrambling. Congress is getting involved,

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too. Yeah. What's driving that and how does it

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mess things up for the administration? Exactly.

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Representative James Comer, Republican from Kentucky.

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He chairs the House Oversight Committee. He's

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issued a subpoena for Maxwell to testify. Now,

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this puts Comer's goal, which seems to be mostly

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political grandstanding, you know, getting headlines,

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in direct conflict with Blanche's goal, which

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seems to be putting out the fire, damage control.

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A federal judge has to approve Comer's subpoena.

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And it's really unclear if Blanche, the deputy

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AG, would support it or fight it. That's a fascinating

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internal clash right there. And besides Maxwell,

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are there other things Trump's trying? Other

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avenues? Yeah, he tried something else, tried

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to get grand jury transcripts released from back

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in the mid -2000s. But a Florida judge, Robin

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Rosenberg, shot that down pretty pointedly, too.

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She said, basically, making the president's base

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happy isn't one of the valid reasons under the

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rules for releasing secret grand jury stuff.

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Ouch. So that's a dead end. Completely. And then

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you have Jeffrey Epstein's own brother, Mark

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Epstein, telling CNN that Trump and Jeffrey were

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Very close, good friends, said Trump was often

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in Epstein's office. And a former model, Stacey

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Williams, echoed that, said they were best friends.

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These directly contradict Trump's whole I barely

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knew the guy line. Right. Undercuts his claims.

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Significantly. And maybe the most damaging thing.

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There's this 2016 deposition video that's gone

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viral now. It shows Epstein admitting, yeah,

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he and Trump were friends. But then crucially,

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when asked if they socialized together with underage

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females, he pleads the Fifth and the Sixth and

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Fourteenth Amendments too. He pleads the Fifth

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on that question. Yes. Which, you know, people

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often see that as a very strong sign someone

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fears their answer could incriminate them. So.

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While all this is swirling around the administration,

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what are the Democrats doing? How are they reacting?

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Well, Senator Ron Wyden, Democrat from Oregon,

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sent a letter. Apparently he sent it to the wrong

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place first. Should have gone to AG Merrick Garland,

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but yeah. Anyway, it had seven recommendations

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to follow the money on Epstein's finances. Things

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like investigating wire transfers, payments to

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people like Leon Black, any Russian bank ties,

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whether the big banks followed anti -money laundering

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laws. So focusing on the financial angles. OK.

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following the money trail and then this just

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came across our desk a really surprising late

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breaking thing the house oversight subcommittee

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on federal law enforcement they held a surprise

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vote to subpoena the epstein files themselves

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the actual files yes and it passed eight to two

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With three Republicans, Nancy Mays, Scott Perry,

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Brian Jack voting with the Democrats. Wow, three

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Republicans broke ranks on that. Yeah, which

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means the subpoena must be issued immediately.

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This could potentially set up a situation where

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Trump defies a Congress controlled by his own

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party. It's instantly drawing comparisons to,

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you know, Nixon's final days during Watergate.

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Okay, quite a development there. Let's shift

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gears slightly to the broader political stage.

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Democrats seem to be walking a bit of a tightrope

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with a potential government shut down looming.

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What's the struggle there? Right. So the government

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shuts down if there's no funding bill by October

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1st. That's the deadline. Republicans need Democratic

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votes in the Senate to get past a filibuster.

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So they need to make a deal. The dilemma for

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Democrats is, well, their base really wants them

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to fight to show Republicans can't govern. But

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Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, his instinct

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is always to avoid that Democrats in disarray

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headline. That narrative can hurt them. So it's

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a balancing act. What makes this funding fight

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particularly tough for Democrats this time? Is

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there something specific? A huge sticking point

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is this recent thing called the rescissions bill.

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Basically, it allows the White House to retroactively

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cancel money Congress already approved and allocated.

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Wait, they can just undo spending Congress voted

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for. That's the fear, yes. As Senator Angus King

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put it kind of colorfully, fool me once, shame

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on you. Fool me twice, shame on me. Democrats

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are really wary now. They don't want to agree

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to funding deals just to have the money pulled

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back later by the president, so they want a written

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promise against future rescissions and something

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called impoundment. That's when the executive

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just refuses to spend money Congress allocated.

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They're pushing hard for Congress, not the White

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House, to really control the purse strings, though

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there is apparently still some internal fuzziness

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among Democrats on exactly what policy duties,

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as they call them, they want in return for their

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votes. Okay. Now let's talk about this judicial

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nomination. Emile Boeuf. He's being called Trump's

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new hatchet man in that strong language. What's

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his story? Why is this nomination so significant?

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Emile Boeuf, yeah. He was Trump's number two

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lawyer in that New York case, the Cook in the

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Books one. Where Trump was convicted. Right,

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convicted on 34 counts. Now, Boeuf's been nominated

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to the U .S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit,

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a very important court. He's seen as an absolute

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loyalist. Sources say he already proved this

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by being the key player in a deal to reportedly

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pressure NYC Mayor Eric Adams about rounding

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up migrants. He even apparently swore the administration

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would just ignore court orders in a specific

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deportation case involving someone named Kilmar

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Abrego Garcia. Ignore court orders. That's the

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report. Our sources suggest his loyalty is purely

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to Trump, not really to the Constitution or the

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law itself. Chuck Schumer called him the extreme

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of the extreme of the extreme. Dick Durbin said

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above used his DOJ job to weaponize the Department

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of Justice against the president's enemies. Strong

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words from Senate leadership. Very strong. And

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it's not just them. Over 75 former judges plus

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900 former DOJ lawyers sent letters saying he's

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unfit for a judgeship. Despite all that, his

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nominations squeaked through the committee stage

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50 to 48. Only one Republican, Lisa Murkowski

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from Alaska, voted no. Susan Collins voted yes

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procedurally, but says she'll vote no on the

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final confirmation. That's remarkable party loyalty

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given that level of opposition. So what's the

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speculation? What does this mean for the Supreme

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Court? Well, it immediately raises the question,

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right? Is Muv being, physician, being groomed

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for a future Supreme Court spot? Speculation

00:10:08.700 --> 00:10:11.559
is focusing on justices Alito and Thomas possibly

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retiring. Alito, he's an extreme conservative.

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He'd likely want to retire while Trump is president

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and Republicans control the Senate. He might

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fear a Democratic Senate taking over in January

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2027 would block any conservative replacement

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he'd favor. OK, that makes sense strategically

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for Alito. What about Thomas? He also likely

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wants Trump to pick his successor, but he has

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another factor playing in. He wants to break

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the record for the longest serving justice held

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by William Douglas. He hit that record in May

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2028. So for Thomas, it's a complicated gamble.

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Loyalty to the party versus his own personal

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legacy. A real dilemma. Yeah. So Alito seems

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the more likely one to go first. which makes

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above a potential, albeit incredibly controversial,

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a nominee for that seat. It just highlights how

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even at the very top court, personal ambitions,

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party loyalty, timing, it's all this complex,

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almost theatrical dance. Speaking of legal fights,

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our sources point out this really interesting

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contrast. Big law caved, but little law didn't.

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What does that mean? What's it telling us about

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the current legal environment? It's a fascinating

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dynamic. What it means is over the last six months

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or so, many huge, well -known law firms, big

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law, they've chosen to do free legal work, pro

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bono work, for clients Trump basically picked

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for them. Right. Why? Often it was to avoid trouble,

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like getting their lawyers' security clearances

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pulled or being banned from federal property.

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So essentially pressure tactics worked on them.

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It seems so. They basically caved. They likely

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calculated that fighting these things, even if

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they knew they'd probably win in court eventually,

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would cost too much of money and risk their business.

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So they complied to protect their bottom line.

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OK, so if big law stepped back, who is stepping

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up? This is where it gets really interesting,

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right? It really is. It's the smaller firms,

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the solo lawyers. They're the ones who aren't

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intimidated, apparently. They've formed what

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some are calling a virtual army to challenge

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the administration, often working for free through

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groups like Lawyers for Good Government. We're

00:12:12.190 --> 00:12:15.940
seeing examples like Uh, over 80 lawyers volunteering

00:12:15.940 --> 00:12:19.600
20 hours a week, each, for just one case. 80

00:12:19.600 --> 00:12:22.679
lawyers, wow. Yeah, and individuals too. Michael

00:12:22.679 --> 00:12:24.960
Ansell, he's a solo lawyer in New Jersey. He's

00:12:24.960 --> 00:12:27.039
taking cases where Trump refused to pay government

00:12:27.039 --> 00:12:28.960
contracts that the previous Biden administration

00:12:28.960 --> 00:12:31.100
signed, focusing on, you know, due process being

00:12:31.100 --> 00:12:33.559
denied. There are over 400 suits like that pending.

00:12:33.600 --> 00:12:37.080
400, just on unpaid contracts. Seems so. Then

00:12:37.080 --> 00:12:39.440
there's the pro bono litigation corps, a smaller

00:12:39.440 --> 00:12:42.320
nonprofit. They're leading the charge on immigration

00:12:42.320 --> 00:12:45.279
cases. Their leader basically said, look, if

00:12:45.279 --> 00:12:47.740
every immigrant with a U .S. born baby has to

00:12:47.740 --> 00:12:50.460
sue for citizenship, we're happy to create an

00:12:50.460 --> 00:12:52.779
army of lawyers to do it. And the small firms

00:12:52.779 --> 00:12:55.179
are backing up the bigger ones, too. When a big

00:12:55.179 --> 00:12:59.960
firm, Perkins Koi, sued the DOJ, 504 small firms

00:12:59.960 --> 00:13:02.539
signed on to a friend of the court. Bruce supporting

00:13:02.539 --> 00:13:05.820
them. Compare that to only eight of the top 100

00:13:05.820 --> 00:13:07.740
biggest firms in the country. That's a stark

00:13:07.740 --> 00:13:09.559
difference. And there are some powerful personal

00:13:09.559 --> 00:13:11.940
stories behind this, too. Absolutely. Really

00:13:11.940 --> 00:13:14.360
inspiring ones. Karen Burgess, she's a commercial

00:13:14.360 --> 00:13:17.200
litigator. She volunteered to help her old university,

00:13:17.460 --> 00:13:20.299
Rice, after Trump attacked their DEI program,

00:13:20.320 --> 00:13:23.200
Diversity Equity Inclusion. Heidi Berkevich,

00:13:23.200 --> 00:13:25.710
she specializes in federal employment law. She's

00:13:25.710 --> 00:13:27.570
taking cases for government employees who were

00:13:27.570 --> 00:13:29.870
illegally fired. She said, I have three daughters.

00:13:30.190 --> 00:13:31.669
When this is all said and done, I need to look

00:13:31.669 --> 00:13:33.350
them in the face and know I did everything I

00:13:33.350 --> 00:13:36.159
could. Powerful motivation. It really is. These

00:13:36.159 --> 00:13:39.460
stories show it's often a deep moral professional

00:13:39.460 --> 00:13:41.519
commitment driving this. It's decentralized.

00:13:42.159 --> 00:13:43.759
And, you know, Abby Lowell, he's a pre -famous

00:13:43.759 --> 00:13:45.899
lawyer working with Norman Eisen's Democracy

00:13:45.899 --> 00:13:48.919
Defenders Fund. He put it nicely. He said the

00:13:48.919 --> 00:13:51.139
administration boasted about flooding the zone

00:13:51.139 --> 00:13:53.799
with their actions. But it turns out the legal

00:13:53.799 --> 00:13:56.019
community is flooding the zone and they're the

00:13:56.019 --> 00:13:59.659
ones that can't keep up. So this contrast, it

00:13:59.659 --> 00:14:02.360
shows this really powerful sort of grassroots

00:14:02.360 --> 00:14:05.440
legal resistance emerging outside those big corporate

00:14:05.440 --> 00:14:07.799
law structures. It shows how the current climate

00:14:07.799 --> 00:14:10.480
isn't just a political fight. It's actually reshaping

00:14:10.480 --> 00:14:13.580
how legal advocacy happens, often driven by individual

00:14:13.580 --> 00:14:16.019
conscience. OK, finally, let's turn to a key

00:14:16.019 --> 00:14:18.080
election we're watching closely, the Virginia

00:14:18.080 --> 00:14:20.539
governor's race, often seen as a big bellwether

00:14:20.539 --> 00:14:22.320
for national politics. What's the latest from

00:14:22.320 --> 00:14:24.539
there? Yeah, this is definitely the biggest bellwether

00:14:24.539 --> 00:14:26.759
race this year. You've got Abigail Spanberger,

00:14:27.259 --> 00:14:30.159
the Democrat facing Lieutenant Governor Winsome

00:14:30.159 --> 00:14:32.679
Earl Sears, the Republican. And frankly, for

00:14:32.679 --> 00:14:35.200
the Republicans, it's looking like a bit of a

00:14:35.200 --> 00:14:37.279
disaster right now. Earl Sears is getting crushed

00:14:37.279 --> 00:14:39.700
in the polls, trailing by 12 points in the latest

00:14:39.700 --> 00:14:42.620
one. And the trend has been consistently going

00:14:42.620 --> 00:14:45.600
Spanberger's way. 12 points is a big gap. And

00:14:45.600 --> 00:14:47.879
the campaign itself is struggling, too. It really

00:14:47.879 --> 00:14:50.580
seems to be. Fundraising tells a story. Spanberger's

00:14:50.580 --> 00:14:53.820
raised $27 million, still has $15 million cash

00:14:53.820 --> 00:14:57.620
on hand. Earl Sears raised $11 million, only

00:14:57.620 --> 00:15:00.100
has $4 million left in the bank. That's a huge

00:15:00.100 --> 00:15:02.399
disparity. And she's already fired her campaign

00:15:02.399 --> 00:15:04.980
manager. That's never a good sign. No, usually

00:15:04.980 --> 00:15:07.240
not. Republican strategists are getting really

00:15:07.240 --> 00:15:10.559
worried. They fear her, quote, lackluster campaign

00:15:10.559 --> 00:15:12.559
and just the whole narrative that she's going

00:15:12.559 --> 00:15:15.539
to lose badly. They worry it could actually depress

00:15:15.539 --> 00:15:17.960
Republican turnout across the board, which could

00:15:17.960 --> 00:15:19.879
then drag down their candidates for lieutenant

00:15:19.879 --> 00:15:22.039
governor and attorney general, too. The whole

00:15:22.039 --> 00:15:25.019
ticket suffers. So what does this mean for Governor

00:15:25.019 --> 00:15:28.360
Youngkin? He's got potential presidential ambitions

00:15:28.360 --> 00:15:31.580
for 2028, right? What are the implications for

00:15:31.580 --> 00:15:34.129
him? That's the big question for him, isn't it?

00:15:34.330 --> 00:15:36.509
Some Republican strategists are apparently urging

00:15:36.509 --> 00:15:40.450
him, take over her campaign, fix this. But he

00:15:40.450 --> 00:15:43.210
might actually prefer to stay out of it strategically,

00:15:43.629 --> 00:15:45.769
getting too closely tied to what's looking more

00:15:45.769 --> 00:15:48.289
and more like a sinking ship. That could really

00:15:48.289 --> 00:15:50.669
tarnish his own brand, his reputation for his

00:15:50.669 --> 00:15:52.899
future ambitions. Right. You don't want the headline,

00:15:53.320 --> 00:15:55.019
Young can take over his successor's campaign

00:15:55.019 --> 00:15:57.679
and she got crushed anyway. Exactly. That's not

00:15:57.679 --> 00:15:59.940
exactly a great recommendation for a presidential

00:15:59.940 --> 00:16:03.259
run. So if he does stay out, which seems possible,

00:16:03.639 --> 00:16:05.600
Earl Sears is increasingly looking like, well,

00:16:05.679 --> 00:16:07.659
a lost cause for the Republicans this cycle.

00:16:08.179 --> 00:16:10.000
You know, what we've really dug into today just

00:16:10.000 --> 00:16:12.279
demonstrates this incredibly intricate dance,

00:16:12.399 --> 00:16:14.379
doesn't it? Between the legal challenges, the

00:16:14.379 --> 00:16:17.179
political moves, public opinion from the very

00:16:17.179 --> 00:16:19.559
highest offices down to what individual lawyers

00:16:19.559 --> 00:16:22.340
or voters decide to do every single piece seems

00:16:22.340 --> 00:16:25.019
connected. It influences the next move in ways

00:16:25.019 --> 00:16:27.240
you don't always expect. Yeah, this deep dive,

00:16:27.279 --> 00:16:29.340
I think it's shown us not just the headlines,

00:16:29.500 --> 00:16:32.080
but those underlying currents, the flows of power,

00:16:32.179 --> 00:16:34.539
the points of resistance. It shows where this

00:16:34.539 --> 00:16:36.759
system is maybe bending and where it's actually

00:16:36.759 --> 00:16:39.399
holding firm. So maybe a final thought for you,

00:16:39.480 --> 00:16:41.840
the listener, to consider as you process all

00:16:41.840 --> 00:16:44.919
this. In a world where information and accusations

00:16:44.919 --> 00:16:49.139
just fly around so fast, How much do those individual

00:16:49.139 --> 00:16:50.980
commitments, whether it's to a legal principle,

00:16:51.159 --> 00:16:53.320
an ethical stand, or even a political promise,

00:16:54.080 --> 00:16:56.139
how much do those ultimately shape what happens?

00:16:56.220 --> 00:16:57.820
And what does that tell us about where power

00:16:57.820 --> 00:17:00.519
really lies? That's it for this deep dive. We

00:17:00.519 --> 00:17:02.440
really hope this exploration gives you some new

00:17:02.440 --> 00:17:04.240
perspective on these complex stories playing

00:17:04.240 --> 00:17:05.099
out all around us.
