WEBVTT

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Welcome to another deep dive. Today, we've got

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a pretty fascinating mix of stuff to unpack for

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you. We do. It's St. Patrick's Day as we're recording

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this, so we've got some fun facts about that.

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Yes. But also, we're going to dig into the economy,

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politics, even some international relations stuff.

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I think you're really going to find this one

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interesting. Yeah, there's some some really surprising

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stuff that we've uncovered in our deep dive research

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So let's kick things off with a little bit of

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festive spirit since it is st. Patrick's Day.

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I gotta ask Do you have any idea how long it

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takes to pour the perfect Guinness? I do not

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I do enjoy a good Guinness from time to time

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same here, but I've never actually timed the

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pour So apparently and this is this very precise.

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Okay, the ideal Guinness pour takes exactly 119

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and a half seconds. Oh wow. Yeah and it's a two

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-stage process. Okay. 92 and a half seconds for

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the initial pour and settling. Yeah. And then

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you top it off and that takes the rest of the

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time to get to that 119 .5 seconds. Pretty interesting

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huh? There's a real science to it. Yeah it's

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fascinating how much tradition and ritual goes

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into something, like even just pouring a drink,

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it speaks volumes about the cultural importance

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that we attach to those things. Totally. And

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speaking of St. Patrick's Day, you know, there

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are actually a few things that most people get

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wrong about the holiday itself, even about St.

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Patrick. Yeah, like for example, a lot of folks

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might be surprised to learn that St. Patrick

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was an Irish. What? Yeah. Really? Yeah. He was

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actually born in Roman Britain. Wow. And he was

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kidnapped by Irish raiders when he was, like,

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16 years old. Oh, wow. That's crazy. Yeah. Pretty

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wild story. And you know those big St. Patrick's

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Day parades we see? Oh, yeah. Well, the first

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one wasn't even in Ireland. Oh, really? It was

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held in Boston way back in 1737. So America's

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got, like, the original St. Patrick's Day parade.

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It seems that way. Wow. OK. Yeah. All right.

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So what about... What were the whole snakes thing?

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Right, the legend of St. Patrick banishing all

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the snakes from Ireland. It's a great story,

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but turns out Ireland just never had snakes.

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Oh. It's an eye lake. The last ice age pretty

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much isolated it, and snakes never really made

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it over there. So no need for St. Patrick to

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banish them. While we're on the subject of things

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people often get wrong, there's the color most

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associated with St. Patrick's Day. Green. It's

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gotta be green. Right, everyone thinks green.

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But the original color, the one most closely

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associated with St. Patrick, was blue. Oh, interesting.

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How did it change over to green? Well, green

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came later, probably around the 18th century.

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And it was because of the shamrock and the beautiful

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green landscape of Ireland. But it's interesting

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how these national identities, they get formed

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from this mix of actual history and popular story.

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Makes you wonder what other things we just assume

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are true that might not be. Yeah, I like that.

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So the shamrock itself, the three leaf clover,

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it had a specific meaning, right? It did. St.

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Patrick used it to explain the Holy Trinity.

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The three leaves representing the Father, Son,

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and Holy Spirit. Oh, I see. So not just about

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luck. The four -leaf clover is about luck. The

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shamrock is more about religious symbolism. OK,

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got it. And before we leave St. Patrick's Day

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behind, what about that toast? Ah, yes, slant.

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Slant. OK, well, let's shift gears now from the

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festive to something a bit more current events.

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And it looks like we narrowly avoided a government

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shutdown recently. Yeah, just barely. They passed

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a continuing resolution or a CR. A CR, right?

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Which basically keeps the government running.

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Right. President Trump signed it, but the Senate

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vote was particularly interesting. It sounds

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like it wasn't exactly smooth sailing. Not really.

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The first vote was on cloture, which means 60

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votes to stop a filibuster and move the bill

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forward. Right. Senator Rand Paul, he was the

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only Republican against it, but get this. Ten

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Democrats actually sided with the Republicans?

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Ten Democrats. Wow, that's definitely suggest

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something's going on there, right? Definitely

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some tension or strategy at play. The final vote

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was 62 -38. Okay, so they cleared that hurdle,

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but then there was the actual vote on the bill.

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Right, and that's where it gets even more interesting.

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The final vote on the CR was 54 -46. Senator

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Paul still against it, but now two Republicans,

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King and Shaheen, voted for the bill. Interesting.

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And here's the thing, eight of the Democrats

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who voted for cloture, they actually voted against

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the bill. OK, so a lot of back and forth, different

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positions. Yeah. Seems like there were three

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main viewpoints among the Democrats. What were

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they? Well, first you had the group that seemed

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to want a shutdown. Let's call them position

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37. These were the 37 Democrats and independents

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who voted against the bill. Their thinking seems

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to be that it didn't do enough to challenge Republican

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priorities, maybe not tough enough on Elon Musk.

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OK. a shutdown, even though it's risky, would

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be a stronger message. So they were willing to

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risk it? They were. And the fact that so many

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were willing to go that far, that could mean

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we're in for some really tough budget battles

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in the future. Yeah, like drawing a line in the

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sand. Exactly. Then you have position eight,

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those who voted against the shutdown in the bill.

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They probably agree with the first group on some

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things, but they think a shutdown would do more

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harm than good. Right. Weighing the risks. Exactly.

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So what about the last two? Position two, they

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voted for the bill. One was Senator Shaheen,

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who's retiring soon. Right. They might have thought

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the budget changes were OK. Or maybe Shaheen,

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without having to worry about reelection, felt

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she had more freedom to vote how she wanted.

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Yeah, that makes sense. It's interesting to see

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how, like, you know, it's not just a simple Democrats

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versus Republicans. No, it's much more nuanced

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than that. It shows there's real debate and different

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strategic approaches within the parties. Absolutely.

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And in the middle of all this, it seems like

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Chuck Schumer's leadership is being questioned.

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It is. Some Democrats think letting the CR pass

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was the wrong move. They think he could have

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stopped it if he'd opposed cloture. And then

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there was that next question, comment. from Hakeem

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Jeffries. Oh, yeah. When asked about Schumer's

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leadership. Yeah, that spoke volumes. It did.

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Do you think Schumer could actually be replaced

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mid -session? That's really rare. It's only happened

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twice before and both times because the leader

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died. Oh, wow. It's hard to remove a leader.

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But whether Schumer stays in charge after this

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Congress, that's definitely up in the air. Yeah,

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it'll be interesting to see how that plays out.

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So beyond this immediate budget deal, what does

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it all mean? Well, one thing to consider is if

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the economy goes south, Like if the stock market

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pangs or inflation goes way up, then Trump and

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the Republicans will be the ones to blame. It'll

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be hard to point fingers elsewhere. Exactly.

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OK, let's move on to something else pretty concerning,

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and that's President Trump targeting law firms.

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Yeah, it's a direct challenge to the rule of

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law trying to punish anyone who represents people

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he doesn't like. Can you give us some examples?

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Well, first there was Covington and Burling.

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They defended Jack Smith. Trump went after their

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security clearances, making it impossible for

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them to work on national security cases. So they

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were first to back down? Pretty much. Then came

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Perkins and Coy. They fought back, hired Williams

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and Connolly, and a judge actually ruled against

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Trump in that case. But now he's targeting Paul

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Weiss. And what's he doing? Signed an executive

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order to revoke the security clearances of their

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lawyers. Specifically targeting Mark Pomerantz,

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who had investigated him. before. So basically

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trying to cripple these firms. Right. Taking

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away security clearances stops them from working

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on sensitive cases and restricting access to

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federal property could stop them from representing

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clients in federal court. What's the reason behind

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all this? I think it's a few things. First, it

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shows he doesn't care about the law. OK. Second,

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it's revenge against anyone who opposes him.

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But the scariest thing is what it does to other

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lawyers. You mean like it'll scare them off?

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Yeah, they might not want to take on politically

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sensitive cases because they're afraid of what

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Trump might do. That's a pretty chilling thought.

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So you're saying people might not be able to

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get legal representation. That's the worry. The

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Sixth Amendment guarantees everyone a lawyer.

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But what if there are no lawyers willing to take

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the case? That's a scary thought. Will there

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be legal challenges to this? Almost certainly.

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These cases could end up before judges like Beryl

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Howell, who already rule against Trump, or Tonya

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Chutkin. And this might be something even Republican

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-appointed judges have a problem with. Because

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it's attacking the legal system itself. Right.

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It'll be interesting to see how that develops.

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Now let's talk about voters. Seems like some

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people who voted for Trump... might be changing

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their minds. Yeah, recent polls from Quinnipiac

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show his approval rating going down from plus

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three in January to minus 11 in March. That's

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a big drop. What's causing that? A lot of it

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seems to be the economy. People aren't happy

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with how things are going. So despite his promises,

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the economy isn't doing so well for everyone.

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That's the sense we're getting. What else are

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people concerned about? Trade with Mexico and

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Canada, the war in Ukraine, even Elon Musk's

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image is hurting him. Interesting. On a side

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note, the poll also shows Marco Rubio is doing

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pretty well. Yeah, he's got decent approval ratings.

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OK, let's switch gears again and talk about the

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impact of Trump's policies on farmers. This is

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a big one. Farmers are really struggling. What

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are some of the specific challenges they're facing?

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Well, we heard from a farmer in West Virginia

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who lost school lunch sales because of cuts to

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the USDA budget. So real, tangible impact. Exactly.

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And it's not just domestic sales. Terrace have

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caused a loss of export markets. Oh, right, because

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other countries are stepping in. Exactly. Chuck

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Conner from the National Council of Farmer Cooperatives

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put it well. What does he say? He said food exports

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are easy targets in trade wars, and once you

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lose those markets, it's hard to get them back.

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Yeah, makes sense. Especially for new sp— products

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that don't have a big domestic demand, like certain

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animal parts. So beyond trade, what else is going

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on? Well, there are staffing shortages in the

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USDA, which means delays in grants and loans.

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Which farmers rely on. Exactly. We heard from

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a blueberry farmer in Maine who waited months

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for a $50 ,000 grant, but by then it was too

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late to use it for planting. Wow, that's tough.

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And there's John Boyd, a farmer from Virginia,

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who puts the blame squarely on Trump. He does.

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Yeah, he says Trump is the reason farmers are

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in such a tough spot. It seems like this could

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have a real political impact. Definitely. If

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the Democrats can capitalize on this in 2026

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and really connect these policies to the struggles

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farmers are facing. Right. Speak to their economic

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concerns. Exactly. They could win back some of

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those rural votes. Makes sense. Now, speaking

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of democratic strategies, there's this think

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tank, Third Way. They're proposing a pretty interesting

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approach to engage voters. Yeah, their signal

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project is an 18 -month plan to focus on issues

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that really matter to people. Like what? Things

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like rising prices, food safety, nuclear security,

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protecting children, air safety, veterans' health

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care. Those are pretty big concerns. They are.

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OK, so what's their strategy? To connect those

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concerns directly to Trump's policies. Instead

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of just focusing on his rhetoric. Right. They

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want to make it about things that affect people's

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daily lives. OK. Can you give us an example?

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Sure. So instead of just talking about January

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6th, they might focus on how tariffs could lead

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to higher prices. Right. Something people feel

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in their wallets. Exactly. Or they might talk

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about how staffing cuts at the FDA could mean

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less food safety oversight. OK. So connecting

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the dots for voters. Yeah. Making it very real.

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Makes sense. All right. Let's talk about Michigan

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now. There are some reports that voters who switch

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to Trump might be having second thoughts. Yeah,

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focus groups with Michigan voters who flip from

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Biden to Trump show a lot of regret and disappointment.

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Why is that? They feel like their expectations

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haven't been met and they're worried about the

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economy. So they're not seeing the improvements

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they were hoping for? Not really. And the way

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they talk about Trump now is pretty telling.

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They use words like erratic, frightening, even

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dictator. Wow, strong words. Yeah, one woman,

00:12:25.409 --> 00:12:27.769
Cheryl, said she's scared to watch the news now.

00:12:27.850 --> 00:12:31.070
Oh, wow. Another guy, Phil, questioned why there

00:12:31.070 --> 00:12:33.750
were problems with Canada. Right, a close ally

00:12:33.750 --> 00:12:35.889
and trading partner. And Theresa straight up

00:12:35.889 --> 00:12:38.429
said Trump's acting like a dictator. Oh, OK.

00:12:38.610 --> 00:12:40.210
So they're pretty disillusioned. Does that mean

00:12:40.210 --> 00:12:42.169
they're ready to vote for Kamala Harris? Not

00:12:42.169 --> 00:12:44.889
necessarily. Only one person in the focus group

00:12:44.889 --> 00:12:46.990
said they'd vote for her. So it's more like a

00:12:46.990 --> 00:12:49.730
general dissatisfaction. It seems that way. People

00:12:49.730 --> 00:12:52.409
are unhappy with Trump, but they don't see a

00:12:52.409 --> 00:12:54.399
clear alternative either. It'll be interesting

00:12:54.399 --> 00:12:57.139
to see how that plays out. Speaking of potential

00:12:57.139 --> 00:13:00.320
candidates, what about Pete Bucketgig? He's made

00:13:00.320 --> 00:13:02.720
an interesting decision. He's not going to run

00:13:02.720 --> 00:13:05.440
for the Senate or governor in Michigan in 2026.

00:13:05.940 --> 00:13:08.000
He just moved there, so it might be too soon

00:13:08.000 --> 00:13:11.139
for a statewide campaign. But the bigger reason

00:13:11.139 --> 00:13:14.580
is probably his presidential ambitions. In 2028.

00:13:14.960 --> 00:13:18.419
Exactly. But there's a potential problem. Governor

00:13:18.419 --> 00:13:20.929
Whitmer. Right. She's popular in Michigan. Yeah,

00:13:20.970 --> 00:13:23.289
she's got great name recognition and she's very

00:13:23.289 --> 00:13:26.389
popular with black voters, which is a key democratic

00:13:26.389 --> 00:13:28.769
demographic. And that's something Buddy Geeks

00:13:28.769 --> 00:13:32.049
struggled with in 2020. He did. He needs to improve

00:13:32.049 --> 00:13:34.309
his standing with black voters if he wants to

00:13:34.309 --> 00:13:36.509
win the nomination. Especially in states like

00:13:36.509 --> 00:13:39.649
South Carolina, which votes early. Exactly. He'll

00:13:39.649 --> 00:13:42.389
need to show that he can build a broad coalition.

00:13:42.549 --> 00:13:45.889
It's a long game he's playing. Okay, let's finish

00:13:45.889 --> 00:13:47.850
up by talking about Europe and their concerns

00:13:47.850 --> 00:13:51.490
about relying on U .S. weapons. Yeah, there's

00:13:51.490 --> 00:13:53.649
a lot of anxiety over there about their defense

00:13:53.649 --> 00:13:56.029
capabilities. Especially with Trump potentially

00:13:56.029 --> 00:13:58.190
back in the picture. Exactly. There have even

00:13:58.190 --> 00:14:01.070
been rumors about a kill switch on the F -35.

00:14:01.529 --> 00:14:03.389
Like the U .S. could just shut down their jets?

00:14:03.690 --> 00:14:05.850
It's probably not that simple, but the worry

00:14:05.850 --> 00:14:08.009
is real. Because they're so reliant on U .S.

00:14:08.370 --> 00:14:11.389
technology. Exactly. The F -35 needs constant

00:14:11.389 --> 00:14:13.730
software updates from the U .S. And if those

00:14:13.730 --> 00:14:16.529
stop, the planes become much less effective.

00:14:16.570 --> 00:14:18.730
Plus, the parts and maintenance all come from

00:14:18.730 --> 00:14:21.129
the U .S. So it makes them vulnerable. Exactly.

00:14:21.429 --> 00:14:23.529
And with Trump's unpredictability, they don't

00:14:23.529 --> 00:14:25.409
know what to expect. So are they looking for

00:14:25.409 --> 00:14:28.570
alternatives? They are. Portugal is already hesitant

00:14:28.570 --> 00:14:32.240
about buying F -35s. OK, and others might follow

00:14:32.240 --> 00:14:35.580
suit. They're looking at European -made jets

00:14:35.580 --> 00:14:38.440
like the Typhoon, the Gripen, and the Rafale.

00:14:38.639 --> 00:14:40.879
Are those as good as the F -35? They don't have

00:14:40.879 --> 00:14:43.639
the same stealth capabilities, but they're still

00:14:43.639 --> 00:14:47.200
very good. And against most Russian jets, they'd

00:14:47.200 --> 00:14:49.740
be more than a match. Plus, they wouldn't be

00:14:49.740 --> 00:14:52.019
reliant on the US. That's a big factor. It is.

00:14:52.220 --> 00:14:54.659
This whole situation with Trump is really pushing

00:14:54.659 --> 00:14:57.580
Europe to think about its own defense and maybe

00:14:57.580 --> 00:15:00.120
move away from American weapons in the long run.

00:15:00.360 --> 00:15:02.919
That's a huge shift. It is. OK, one last thing

00:15:02.919 --> 00:15:06.649
before we wrap up. The brain drain and how abortion

00:15:06.649 --> 00:15:08.830
policies are playing a part. This is a really

00:15:08.830 --> 00:15:11.970
interesting trend Yeah, we're seeing highly educated

00:15:11.970 --> 00:15:14.990
people especially young professionals Okay moving

00:15:14.990 --> 00:15:17.649
from states with abortion bans to states with

00:15:17.649 --> 00:15:20.350
more liberal laws and this is happening in significant

00:15:20.350 --> 00:15:22.970
numbers Yeah estimates suggest around a hundred

00:15:22.970 --> 00:15:25.289
and fifty thousand people a year are making this

00:15:25.289 --> 00:15:27.870
move Wow, and these are often the people states

00:15:27.870 --> 00:15:30.029
need to thrive. They're losing their best and

00:15:30.029 --> 00:15:32.820
brightest Exactly. And it's not just any profession.

00:15:33.139 --> 00:15:35.159
We're seeing a lot of doctors leave, especially

00:15:35.159 --> 00:15:38.320
OB -GYNs. Makes sense, given the climate. Right.

00:15:38.399 --> 00:15:40.980
This is leading to health care shortages in those

00:15:40.980 --> 00:15:44.059
states. Women are finding it harder to access

00:15:44.059 --> 00:15:47.720
even basic care, including prenatal care. That's

00:15:47.720 --> 00:15:50.639
a problem. It is. And some experts are even worried

00:15:50.639 --> 00:15:53.220
about an increase in remote assisted birth during

00:15:53.220 --> 00:15:55.879
emergencies. Because there aren't enough. Doctors.

00:15:56.419 --> 00:15:58.360
Exactly. Wow, that's a pretty dire picture. It

00:15:58.360 --> 00:16:00.580
is. This could have a really negative impact

00:16:00.580 --> 00:16:02.940
on these states in the long run. Yeah, something

00:16:02.940 --> 00:16:05.940
to keep an eye on. Well, as we wrap up this deep

00:16:05.940 --> 00:16:09.179
dive, I'm struck by how interconnected everything

00:16:09.179 --> 00:16:12.620
is. Me too. We've covered politics, the economy,

00:16:13.059 --> 00:16:15.759
international relations and social issues. And

00:16:15.759 --> 00:16:17.919
it all seems to be pointing to a lot of uncertainty

00:16:17.919 --> 00:16:20.080
and change. Yeah, there's a lot going on and

00:16:20.080 --> 00:16:22.019
it's not clear where it's all headed. From government

00:16:22.019 --> 00:16:26.570
funding to voter sentiment to international alliances.

00:16:27.129 --> 00:16:30.149
It's a really complex landscape. It is. So as

00:16:30.149 --> 00:16:32.190
you go about your day, we hope you keep these

00:16:32.190 --> 00:16:34.990
things in mind. Yeah, think about how these trends

00:16:34.990 --> 00:16:38.429
might affect you, your community, and the world.

00:16:38.850 --> 00:16:41.529
And we'll be back soon with another deep dive

00:16:41.529 --> 00:16:43.490
into something fascinating. Sounds good. See

00:16:43.490 --> 00:16:44.649
you next time. See you later.
