WEBVTT

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It feels like every time you check the news,

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there's a whole new wave of stuff happening,

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especially with the economy and politics. It

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can be so overwhelming trying to keep up with

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everything. Totally. That's exactly what we're

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doing here on The Deep Dive. We take all those

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huge news dumps and break down the stuff that

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matters to you. Exactly. We've got a ton of news

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and analysis today. Yeah. Really focusing on

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the big stuff that's been happening with politics

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and the economy. Yeah. We're going to help you

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understand what's going on without getting lost

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in the weeds. And we've gone through all sorts

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of sources this week, government stuff, court

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decisions, political maneuvering. And we even

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have a really interesting take on a new world

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leader. Oh, yeah. But first, let's talk about

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what's happening with government funding. Okay.

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So the Senate's about to vote on something called

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a continuing resolution. A CR. A CR. Yeah. And,

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you know, it sounds like it's just going to keep

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things running as usual. Keeping the lights on.

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Yeah. But that's not the whole story. Not even

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close. From what we're seeing, the CR is actually

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a pretty big deal. There are some big funding

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changes and it looks like it's giving even more

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power to Elon Musk and Donald Trump. Yeah. That's

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where things get really interesting and complicated.

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Yeah. So where do things stand in the Senate?

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Okay, so there are 53 Republicans in the Senate,

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but Senator Paul's probably gonna vote against

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this thing. So that leaves them with 52. Okay.

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And then there are the Democrats. They've been

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talking about a filibuster. Right, for a while

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there on Wednesday, it seemed like Schumer was

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ready to go for it. Yeah, but then things changed.

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A lot changed. There was a pretty intense caucus

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meeting on Thursday, and... Gillibrand really

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push back against the filibuster. Yeah, it sounds

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like Schumer's not really going for it anymore

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and probably won't vote for it himself So what's

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gonna happen then? Well, we're starting to see

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who's probably gonna vote for cloture, you know,

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that's the vote to end debate, right? So who's

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looking like they'll vote for cloture from what

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we're seeing it's looking like Schumer Gillibrand

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Federman Kelly and Hickenlooper they'll probably

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get a vote for cloture. And, you know, almost

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all the Republicans are going to vote for it,

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too, so they only need a couple more votes to

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end any filibuster. So why are the Democrats

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backing down from a fight? I mean, this seems

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like a big deal. Well, Schumer and the other

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Democrats are saying they're worried about a

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government shutdown. They're saying that a shutdown

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would be even worse than the CR and that it would

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give Musk and Trump even more power. In fact,

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Schumer said that the CR is bad, but a shutdown

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would be much, much worse. So they're trying

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to avoid what they see as the bigger problem.

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Right. But there are definitely people who disagree

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with that approach. Yeah, for sure. Some people

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are saying this was the Democrats' best chance

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to push back against Musk no matter what. And

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others are pointing out that keeping the government

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running doesn't actually stop Musk and Trump

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from doing what they want. Right. And a lot of

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people who don't like Musk and Trump want to

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see the Democrats put up a fight. So it sounds

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like no matter what the Democrats do... Someone's

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going to be upset. That's the thing. Our sources

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are saying that the Democrats were stuck between

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a rock and a hard place. No matter what they

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chose, it was going to be bad. Yeah, I can see

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that. But even if it's the least bad option,

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I imagine there are still a lot of Democrats

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who are not happy about this. Oh, yeah. There's

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a lot of anger and disappointment out there,

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especially among the more progressive Democrats.

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A lot of the House Democrats are upset, too,

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especially the ones who are in swing districts

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and have been voting with the party leadership.

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Right. They're the ones who are taking the biggest

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risks with these votes. Exactly. They feel like

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they're putting their necks on the line, and

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the CR doesn't really show that the party appreciates

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that. So what does the CR actually mean for people?

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What are the consequences? Well, there's one

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big consequence that's going to hit Washington,

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D .C. pretty hard. Oh, yeah. Tell me about that.

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OK, so usually when Congress passes one of these

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short term funding bills, they include this little

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clause that says the D .C. council can spend

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the money it budgeted. But that clause is missing

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from the CR. And the reason it's missing is because

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the Republican leadership in the House doesn't

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really care about D .C. residents who are mostly

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black and Democrats. So what does that mean for

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D .C.? Basically, D .C. is going to have to operate

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under its old budget, which means they can't

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spend the one point one billion dollars they

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were planning to. So where does that money go?

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It basically gets put on hold because DC can't

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spend money that Congress hasn't approved. And

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here's the thing. This doesn't actually save

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the federal government any money because this

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is money that DC raised from its own residents.

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So it's not about saving money. It just sounds

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like they're trying to punish DC. Yeah, it really

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does. Our sources are saying that the Republicans

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are trying to be cruel and punitive towards DC,

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maybe because of things like Black Lives Matter

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Plaza. So they're trying to use this CR to score

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political points. Yeah, but you know what? What?

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This actually gives the people in DC another

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reason to push for statehood. That's a good point.

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So looking ahead, what's next for Congress? Well,

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the next big thing is going to be the debt ceiling

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debate. That's always a mess. Yeah, it is. And.

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because the Democrats are probably going to let

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this CR pass, it might look like they're not

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willing to fight over the debt ceiling either.

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Which could make it harder for them to get what

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they want. Exactly. That's why some people are

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saying that the Democrats need to come out strong

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right now and say that they won't raise the debt

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ceiling unless there are limits on Elon Musk's

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power. So basically they're saying the Democrats

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need to draw a line in the sand. Exactly. They

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need to make it very clear what they will and

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will not accept. They need to be proactive and

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send a strong message. Otherwise, they're going

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to be stuck reacting to whatever the Republicans

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do. OK, so we've talked about the legislative

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branch, but what about the judicial branch? Are

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they doing anything to check the executive branch?

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Oh, they are definitely stepping up. In fact,

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just yesterday, two different judges on opposite

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sides of the country ruled against the Trump

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administration. Wow. So tell me about these rulings.

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What did the judges say? OK, so the first ruling

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came from Judge Alsop in California, and the

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second one came from Judge Bradar in Maryland.

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They both basically said that the Trump administration

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can't just fire federal employees without a good

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reason and that the employees who were fired

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have to be rehired right away. That's pretty

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clear. Did the judges have anything to say about

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how the administration was acting? Yeah, Judge

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Alsop was really upset. He ordered the acting

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director of the Office of Personnel Management

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to come to court. And when he didn't show up,

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Alsop got rid of his deposition and demanded

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that someone else come instead. He even said

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that the firings were a sham and that the Department

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of Justice was lying to the court. Judge Bradar

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wasn't quite as outspoken, but his ruling actually

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affects more people. It applies to 18 federal

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departments, while Alsop's only applies to six.

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So what was the reasoning behind these rulings?

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Why did the judges decide that the firings were

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wrong? Both judges used almost the exact same

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language to say that the administration's excuse

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for firing these people, which was performance,

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just wasn't believable. One of the judges even

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called it a load of bull cookies. They both said

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that the firing seemed totally unjustified. And

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other judges, in similar cases, have been saying

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the same thing. So it sounds like the courts

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are not buying what the administration's selling.

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Nope. So does this mean that all those fired

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employees are getting their jobs back? Well,

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not so fast. These rulings are called preliminary

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injunctions, which means they're temporary. They'll

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be in place until the judges can make a final

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decision. Judge Alsop's injunction doesn't have

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an end date, but Judge Bredar's expires in 14

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days, though he could extend it. And the administration's

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probably going to appeal no matter what the judges

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decide. But even if they're temporary, these

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rulings are still a big deal, right? Huge. Our

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sources are saying that this is a major loss

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for Trump and Musk. All the rulings so far have

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been totally in favor of the employees and the

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judges haven't been holding back in their criticism

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of the administration. So what can the administration

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do now? Well, their best hope might be that the

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Supreme Court will weaken a law called the Pendleton

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Civil Service Reform Act. It's from 1883 and

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it basically protects federal employees from

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being fired for political reasons. So if the

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Supreme Court changes that law, it would be easier

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for the administration to fire people they don't

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like. Exactly. But for now, it looks like they're

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facing a tough battle in the lower courts. It's

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been a rough week for the Trump administration

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so far. Yeah, it has. Shifting gears a bit, there's

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been some sad news in Congress recently. Two

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House Democrats passed away. Yeah, that's right.

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Representatives Raul Grialva from Arizona and

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Sylvester Turner from Texas. Yeah, Grialva had

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been in Congress for a long time and was a really

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important voice for progressive causes. He was

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even the chair of the House Natural Resources

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Committee. And Turner was just elected this year

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to replace Sheila Jackson Lee. So what does this

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mean for the balance of power in the House? Well,

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for now, it means that the Republicans have a

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bigger majority. They had 218 seats, and now

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they have 220. And once a couple of vacant seats

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in Florida are filled, they'll have 222. Then

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Representative Stefanik's expected to resign,

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so it'll probably go back down to 221. But either

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way, it's a bigger majority than they had before.

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Does that mean they'll be able to pass more of

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their agenda now? It's hard to say. Our sources

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are saying that even when the Republicans had

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complete control of the government a few years

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ago, they still had a hard time passing major

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legislation. Yeah, getting everyone on the same

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page is hard. It is. And without that sense of

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urgency, it's going to be even harder to pass

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anything. So what happens to those empty seats

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now? Well, both of those districts are very likely

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to elect Democrats again. Grijalva's district

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in Arizona leans Democratic by 15 points and

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Turner's district in Texas leans Democratic by

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23 points. So it's pretty much guaranteed that

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Democrats will win those seats. But it'll take

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some time to actually hold the elections and

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get those new members sworn in, right? Right.

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And it's interesting because Arizona and Texas

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have different rules for special elections. Arizona

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announces them quickly, but the elections themselves

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take longer. Texas is the opposite. They take

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a while to announce the election, but then they

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happen pretty quickly. But in both cases, it'll

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probably be summer before the new members are

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in Congress. OK, so let's go international for

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a minute. There's a new prime minister in Canada.

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and we have a British take on him. Yeah, a reader

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from the UK sent us a really interesting perspective

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on Mark Carney, the new Canadian PM. You might

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remember him as the governor of the Bank of England.

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Oh, yeah, he was a big name in UK economics.

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What does this British reader have to say about

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him? Well, first of all, the reader pointed out

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that Carney was the first non -British person

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to lead the Bank of England since it was founded

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in 1694. It's pretty amazing when you think about

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it. Wow, that's a long time. It is. And it also

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took him a while to become a British citizen.

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It didn't actually happen until 2018 after a

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lot of public debate. Interesting. Did his time

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as governor coincide with any big events that

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our listeners might remember? Oh yeah, big time.

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He was in charge during some of the most important

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economic events in recent UK history. like the

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recovery after the 2008 financial crisis, the

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Brexit vote in 2016, and the very beginning of

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the COVID pandemic. So yeah, he was definitely

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in the hot seat during some really tough times.

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So what did people think of him? It was kind

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of a mixed bag. Some politicians really liked

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him, especially during those crises. But the

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people who supported Brexit didn't like him very

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much because he kept warning them about the economic

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risks. In fact, they even gave him a nickname,

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Project Fear. Oh, wow. Yeah. And the public was

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split, too. Some people thought he was a really

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competent guy who kept things stable, but others

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thought he was too focused on helping banks and

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financial institutions. So what do you think

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his legacy will be in the UK? Well, it seems

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like he's known for a few things. He strengthened

00:11:30.269 --> 00:11:32.990
the UK's financial system after the 2008 crisis.

00:11:33.250 --> 00:11:35.450
He was a big advocate for taking climate change

00:11:35.450 --> 00:11:37.710
seriously in the financial world, and he's still

00:11:37.710 --> 00:11:40.330
a major figure in global economics and politics.

00:11:40.509 --> 00:11:42.330
And there was one more thing about his nationality

00:11:42.330 --> 00:11:44.159
that you mentioned. Oh, yeah. He also used to

00:11:44.159 --> 00:11:46.139
be an Irish citizen, but he gave up that citizenship

00:11:46.139 --> 00:11:48.480
recently. So by the time you're hearing this,

00:11:48.580 --> 00:11:51.019
he might not be a British citizen anymore, which

00:11:51.019 --> 00:11:52.840
is kind of funny considering he's now the prime

00:11:52.840 --> 00:11:56.379
minister of Canada. Very interesting. OK, last

00:11:56.379 --> 00:11:58.179
but not least, let's talk about JD Vance and

00:11:58.179 --> 00:12:01.500
Ron DeSantis. There was a really interesting

00:12:01.500 --> 00:12:03.860
word used to describe JD Vance. Yeah, the word

00:12:03.860 --> 00:12:07.340
was creepy. Creaky. Creepy. Our source said that

00:12:07.340 --> 00:12:09.679
JD Vance just gives off a creepy vibe, and that

00:12:09.679 --> 00:12:11.620
could be a problem if he ever wants to run for

00:12:11.620 --> 00:12:13.559
president. So why do they think he's creepy?

00:12:14.639 --> 00:12:16.879
Well it seems like it started after he met with

00:12:16.879 --> 00:12:19.860
Zelensky in the Oval Office. There's been a ton

00:12:19.860 --> 00:12:22.259
of memes about it online making fun of how weird

00:12:22.259 --> 00:12:25.039
he acted. The internet is ruthless. It is and

00:12:25.039 --> 00:12:27.860
apparently these memes are pretty surreal and

00:12:27.860 --> 00:12:30.340
kind of unsettling. So are Vance's supporters

00:12:30.340 --> 00:12:33.419
trying to spin this in a positive way? Some of

00:12:33.419 --> 00:12:35.419
them are saying that these memes might actually

00:12:35.419 --> 00:12:38.399
help him by making him seem more relatable. Nor

00:12:38.399 --> 00:12:40.539
relatable. Yeah and others are saying that by

00:12:40.539 --> 00:12:42.490
the time he runs for president everyone will

00:12:42.490 --> 00:12:44.190
have forgotten about these memes. But your source

00:12:44.190 --> 00:12:47.289
doesn't buy that? Nope. They're pretty skeptical.

00:12:48.070 --> 00:12:49.850
They don't think Vance likes being the butt of

00:12:49.850 --> 00:12:53.090
the joke any more than any other politician would.

00:12:53.649 --> 00:12:55.690
And they don't think creepy memes are going to

00:12:55.690 --> 00:12:58.049
make him seem more relatable. Plus the internet

00:12:58.049 --> 00:13:00.509
never really forgets. Exactly. And when you give

00:13:00.509 --> 00:13:03.419
them material like Vance did with Zelensky, They're

00:13:03.419 --> 00:13:05.360
never going to let it go. OK, so let's move on

00:13:05.360 --> 00:13:07.960
to Ron DeSantis. He's a climate change denier.

00:13:08.200 --> 00:13:10.299
Right. Yeah, he is, though. Our source thinks

00:13:10.299 --> 00:13:13.360
he might just be saying that because it's what

00:13:13.360 --> 00:13:15.120
Republicans are supposed to say. It's definitely

00:13:15.120 --> 00:13:17.620
good politics for him in Florida. Right. But

00:13:17.620 --> 00:13:20.399
here's the interesting thing. Florida is actually

00:13:20.399 --> 00:13:22.299
way ahead of the curve when it comes to solar

00:13:22.299 --> 00:13:24.879
energy. Really? Yeah. They're second in the country

00:13:24.879 --> 00:13:27.940
for big solar farms and first for residential

00:13:27.940 --> 00:13:31.539
solar. And right now, 8 % of Florida's electricity

00:13:31.539 --> 00:13:35.200
comes from solar. Wow, that's a lot. So why is

00:13:35.200 --> 00:13:37.960
Florida going so big on solar if their governor

00:13:37.960 --> 00:13:39.919
doesn't believe in climate change? Well, there

00:13:39.919 --> 00:13:41.519
are a few reasons. First of all, Florida gets

00:13:41.519 --> 00:13:44.179
a ton of sunshine. A sunshine state. Exactly.

00:13:44.399 --> 00:13:46.740
And second, Florida gets hit with a lot of hurricanes

00:13:46.740 --> 00:13:49.460
and other bad weather. So having solar panels

00:13:49.460 --> 00:13:51.639
on your roof can be really helpful when the power

00:13:51.639 --> 00:13:54.279
goes out. That makes sense. Plus, the federal

00:13:54.279 --> 00:13:56.360
government gives tax breaks for people who install

00:13:56.360 --> 00:13:59.250
solar panels. And this is the big one. Most of

00:13:59.250 --> 00:14:01.269
the decisions about power generation in Florida

00:14:01.269 --> 00:14:04.289
are made at the local level. So even if DeSantis

00:14:04.289 --> 00:14:07.110
wanted to stop solar, he probably couldn't. So

00:14:07.110 --> 00:14:09.190
DeSantis talks a big game about climate change,

00:14:09.370 --> 00:14:12.250
but he's not really doing much to stop the growth

00:14:12.250 --> 00:14:15.149
of solar in his state. Exactly. He recently signed

00:14:15.149 --> 00:14:17.470
a bill that says Florida can't mention climate

00:14:17.470 --> 00:14:19.929
change in its policies. Wow, really? Yeah, he

00:14:19.929 --> 00:14:22.750
called it restoring sanity and said it was about

00:14:22.750 --> 00:14:25.730
pushing back against radical green zealots. So

00:14:25.730 --> 00:14:28.289
that's his public image. But behind the scenes,

00:14:28.450 --> 00:14:30.929
he's not really fighting solar that hard. Nope.

00:14:31.470 --> 00:14:33.610
In fact, he quietly vetoed a bill that would

00:14:33.610 --> 00:14:35.610
have made it harder to install solar panels.

00:14:35.889 --> 00:14:38.049
Interesting. So maybe he's not as anti -solar

00:14:38.049 --> 00:14:40.250
as he seems. Maybe not. Our source is hoping

00:14:40.250 --> 00:14:42.330
that the economics of solar will win out in the

00:14:42.330 --> 00:14:44.470
end, no matter what the politicians say. Makes

00:14:44.470 --> 00:14:47.549
sense. Well, we've covered a lot of ground today.

00:14:47.649 --> 00:14:49.970
We talked about the government funding, fight

00:14:49.970 --> 00:14:52.169
the courts pushing back against the executive

00:14:52.169 --> 00:14:55.830
branch, the changes in Congress, a British perspective

00:14:55.830 --> 00:14:59.429
on Canada's new prime minister, and the curious

00:14:59.429 --> 00:15:02.669
cases of JD Vance and Ron DeSantis. Yeah, we've

00:15:02.669 --> 00:15:04.850
been all over the place today. We try to give

00:15:04.850 --> 00:15:06.850
you the information you need to understand what's

00:15:06.850 --> 00:15:08.389
going on in the world without getting bogged

00:15:08.389 --> 00:15:09.970
down in all the details. We just want to make

00:15:09.970 --> 00:15:12.210
things a little bit clearer. Exactly. So here's

00:15:12.210 --> 00:15:14.379
a question for you to think about. We've talked

00:15:14.379 --> 00:15:16.000
about all these different things happening in

00:15:16.000 --> 00:15:18.899
politics and the economy, and they're all connected

00:15:18.899 --> 00:15:22.019
in some way. What do you think is going to be

00:15:22.019 --> 00:15:25.139
the biggest factor that shapes things going forward?

00:15:26.059 --> 00:15:27.659
How do you think all these events are going to

00:15:27.659 --> 00:15:30.879
play out? That's something to think about. Thanks

00:15:30.879 --> 00:15:32.759
for listening to The Deep Dive. See you next

00:15:32.759 --> 00:15:32.919
time.
