WEBVTT

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All right, so welcome everyone to our deep dive

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today. And you guys have obviously been keeping

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up with all the news about Trump's second term.

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Yeah, it's a lot to keep up with. It is. It is.

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I mean, we've got all these articles here about

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the political and economic landscape of early

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2025. Yeah. And well, like I said, it's a lot.

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It's unpredictable. It is. And you might want

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to hold on to your wallets. You might want to

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hold on to everything, actually. Everything feels

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a little shaky right now. Yeah, speaking of shaky

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my 401k is Feeling a little lighter these days.

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I don't know about yours, but yeah a 9 % drop

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in the S &P 500 in just a month. Yeah, that'll

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make you sweat. That's a lot, right? Yeah, it

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is. That's not normal. No, that's not normal.

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I mean, we're talking potential recession territory

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here. Oh, wow. Yeah, when businesses are uncertain

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about the future, you know, with all this talk

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about trade wars and tariffs and things like

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that, they don't really want to invest or hire.

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Makes sense. And when businesses aren't growing,

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well, the economy isn't either. So it's not just

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that the numbers are down. It's that the whole

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system is kind of like frozen. Yeah, it's like

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everyone's waiting to see what happens next.

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Exactly, a wait and see kind of thing. And it's

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not just an American problem, is it? I mean,

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the EU is pushing back against these tariffs.

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Oh yeah, they're definitely not happy. And they're

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getting pretty creative. Yeah, instead of those

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broad tariffs, they're going after specific products.

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Oh really? Yeah. Like chewing gum. Chewing gum.

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Chewing gum, communion wafers, even women's negliges.

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What is going on? Well, it's all very strategic,

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actually, these products. They're largely manufactured

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in districts that heavily support Trump. Oh,

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so they're thinking about this. Yeah, they did

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their research. It's a way to put pressure on

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those Republican lawmakers, you know, maybe get

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them to question the president's approach. So

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they're not just so it's not just economic, it's

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political. Exactly. It's hitting. it hurts. Oh,

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so while we're all nervously checking our retirement

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funds, the EU is out there playing 4D chess.

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Well, they're thinking ahead, that's for sure.

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Yeah, and if the economy actually does take a

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nosedive, somebody's got to take the blame right.

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Right. I mean... Well, you know, it seems like

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the administration might already have a scapegoat

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lined up. Oh, really? Commerce Secretary Howard

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Lutnick? Oh, yeah, that guy. What's his... What's

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the deal again? Well, let's just say his grasp

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of global trade policy seems a bit shaky. He's

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the one who said, what are tariffs? OK, maybe

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he didn't actually say that, but he has contradicted

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Trump publicly on occasion. Oh, that's not good.

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No, not in this administration. Loyalty is key.

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Right. Well, let's shift gears a little bit and

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talk about Congress. They just passed a continuing

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resolution, which basically just keeps the government

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funded, right? Yeah, that's the main gist of

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it. Like keeping the lights on. But there's more

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to it than that. House Republicans, they kind

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of slipped in some language that actually limits

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Congress's own power to check Trump's use of

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national emergencies, you know, the ones he likes

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to declare all the time. Oh, so basically they're

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giving him even more power to do whatever he

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wants, even if it hurts American businesses and

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consumers. That's one way to look at it. So even

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if these tariffs are a bad idea, they can't really

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do anything to stop him. Well, it makes it a

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lot harder. And is that even like, is that constitutional?

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That's a good question, because the power to

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impose tariffs, that's supposed to be with Congress,

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not the president. So this could end up in court.

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Easily. OK, so Congress is basically handing

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him a blank check. Seems that way. And hoping

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for the best. OK. Speaking of handing things

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out, did you hear about this self -deportation

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app? What? Apparently, the Trump administration

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just released this app. for free to help people

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leave the country. You're kidding. No, I'm serious.

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Seriously. Yeah. Like, is this real? That's wild.

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It's like, I mean, you'd think they'd charge

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for that, at least. Right. But this is just part

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of their whole immigration thing, right? Yeah,

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it's all part of their strategy. You know, they're

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also running that $200 million ad campaign. Oh,

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the one with the DHS secretary. What's her name?

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Noam? Yeah, Kristi Noam. Where she's basically,

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like, praising Trump and then threatening people.

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Yeah, it's pretty intense. I mean, chilling is

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a good word for it. But it's effective. Oh, it's

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effective. Immigration lawyers are telling their

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clients to stay away from that act. Really? Yeah,

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they're concerned that ICE could use the data

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to track down and arrest undocumented immigrants.

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Wow, so it's like a trap. Pretty much. So and

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it's the opposite of what Biden was doing. Oh,

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yeah, completely. I mean, the Biden administration

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had an app to help people apply for asylum. And

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now we have a deportation app. Yeah. And they've

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also cut funding for immigration courts. So the

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backlog is just going to get worse. It's already

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enormous. Wow. So yeah, this is just going to

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make it harder for people to navigate the system.

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It's clear that the priority is deterring and

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deporting. immigrants. Yeah. And not processing

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applications. Definitely not. OK, but here's

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where it gets interesting. Remember how Trump

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used to say, I love the poorly educated? Yeah.

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Well, it seems like that wasn't just a campaign

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trail gaffe. What do you mean? Well, he's ordered

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the firing of half the staff at the Department

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of Education. Oh, wow. And he's even hinted at

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dismantling the whole department. Seriously?

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Yeah. And this actually aligns with some recommendations

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from that conservative group, Project 2025. Oh,

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the group that wants to dismantle huge chunks

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of the federal government? Yeah. Wow. They have

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this whole blueprint for getting rid of the Department

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of Education entirely. It's like their vision

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is becoming reality. It's a little too convenient,

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don't you think? Yeah. And I mean, think about

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everything the Department of Education does,

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student loans, civil rights in schools. teacher

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support. And can they even function with half

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the staff? Let alone no staff. That's a good

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question. Yeah. And the Civil Rights Division,

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which investigates discrimination in schools,

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they've been hit especially hard. Oh, wow. So

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is this really about efficiency? Or is it something

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else? It makes you wonder. This isn't the only

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group that Trump's targeting, though. No. He's

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also set his sights on the legal profession.

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Really? What happened? Well, he issued an executive

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order blacklifting the law firm Perkins Coy.

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Perkins Coy? Why them? You know, the firm that

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represented the Clinton campaign. Oh, right.

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And the Steele dossier? Yeah. Wow. So basically,

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he's going after anyone who's ever crossed him.

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It seems that way. He's barring the government

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from hiring them, banning their employees from

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federal buildings. Whoa. Even revoking their

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security clearances. That's pretty extreme. I

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know. It's like he's holding a grudge. Well,

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a judge did block some of those penalties. Oh,

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she did. Yeah, federal judge. She called it an

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attack on the rule of law. She even said that

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Trump's actions sent chills down her spine. That's

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scary. Yeah. So it seems like he's trying to

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silence anyone who opposes him. It's a dangerous

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trend. And it's not an isolated incident. Really?

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He's targeted other law firms and individuals

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for defending people he doesn't like. It's like,

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what happens when lawyers are too afraid to represent

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people who are critical of the government? It's

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a slippery slope. A healthy democracy needs a

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strong and independent legal profession. This

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is starting to feel like a dystopian novel. Yeah,

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that's a little unsettling. OK, so we've got

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a shaky economy, a Congress that seems happy

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to give up its power. attacks on education, and

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now this attack on the legal profession. What

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could possibly be next? Well, if you listen to

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Trump and his new buddy Elon Musk, our retirement

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safety net might be next. You mean social security?

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That's the one. But nobody touches social security.

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Well, they might be trying to. Trump and Musk

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have been talking about all the waste, fraud,

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and abuse in the system. Oh, I've heard that

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one before. Yeah, it's usually what they say

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before they try to cut funding. Right. And Musk

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seems to think that AI can solve every problem.

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Is he suggesting we replace human oversight of

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social security with robots? He hasn't said that

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outright, but he has made some pretty outrageous

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claims. Like the one about there being 20 million

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people over the age of 100 collecting benefits.

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I know. That's statistically impossible. It is.

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But he's trying to paint this picture of social

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security as this program riddled with fraud.

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And you know what comes after that? Yeah, cuts.

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And with Musk's whole AI obsession, it makes

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you wonder if he's going to push for using it

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to evaluate claims, which could make it even

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harder for people to get the benefits they deserve.

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Right. So we've got a potential recession, a

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power hungry president, and a tech billionaire

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who wants to automate our social safety net.

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It's a lot. It's a lot to take in, and we're

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just getting started. So stay tuned for part

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two, where we'll explore how all of this is playing

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out in the lead up to the 2026 midterm elections.

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It's going to be interesting. It is. That's for

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sure. OK, well, we'll be back. See you then.

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OK. So welcome back to our deep dive into early

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2025. It's a wild ride. It is, isn't it? I mean,

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we've already uncovered so much, and it seems

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like Trump's second term is. Well, even more

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tumultuous than his first. Oh, yeah, the stakes

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are definitely higher. They are and The potential

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consequences. I mean for everyone they seem so

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much bigger this time around. Oh, yeah for sure

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This isn't just political theater anymore. This

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stuff has real impact Yeah, exactly and while

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that whole Greenland thing is super interesting

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It's out there. It is it is but let's maybe bring

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it back down to earth for a minute and talk about

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something that affects all of us, the economy.

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We talked about the stock market jitters and

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that possibility of a recession, but what does

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that actually mean for people? I mean, like,

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for the average person listening right now. Well,

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a recession, it isn't just about numbers on a

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screen. It's about people losing their jobs.

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Wages not growing. That sense of security, yeah,

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that starts to disappear. You know, it affects

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your ability to just live your life, you know?

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Put food on the table, pay your bills. Plan for

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the future. Yeah, that's scary. It is. And the

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thing is, a lot of this uncertainty right now,

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it's because of these trade wars. Yeah, because

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nobody knows what's going to happen next. Right.

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It's impossible to plan when the rules are constantly

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changing. Exactly. And it's not just American

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businesses that are feeling this, right? Yeah.

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I mean, the EU, they're pushing back with their

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own tariffs. Oh, yeah. They are not messing around.

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They're being very strategic about it, too. Yeah,

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with those, uh... those products they're targeting,

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like the communion wafers and the negliges. Exactly.

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This isn't random. They're going after products

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made in districts that heavily support Trump.

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So they're thinking about the politics, too.

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Oh, absolutely. They're trying to put pressure

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on those Republican lawmakers, you know, maybe

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make them rethink their support for the president's

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policies. OK, so it's not just about the economics.

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It's about the politics. It's both. It's a multi

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-layered strategy. So while we're all worried

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about our 401k, the EU is out there playing 40

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chess. Pretty much. They're thinking long term.

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And if the economy really does tank, someone's

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going to take the blame for it. Oh, for sure.

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Somebody always does. And it seems like they

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might already have their scapegoat. Howard Lutnick.

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Yeah, the Commerce Secretary. The guy who doesn't

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seem to understand basic economics. Yeah, he's

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an easy target. He's the one who contradicted

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Trump on tariffs. Yeah, multiple times. Not a

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good look. Not in this administration. Okay,

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but this whole situation with the economy, it

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makes me wonder. Shouldn't Congress be doing

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more? You would think so, right. There's supposed

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to be a check on the president's power. Right,

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oversight and all that. But that's the thing

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about this. It's not just about economic policy.

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It's about power itself. Yeah. And it seems like

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they're more than happy to just hand over their

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power to the president. Yeah. You know, like,

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with that provision, they snuck into the continuing

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resolution. The one about national emergencies.

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Exactly. They basically gave Trump a free pass

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to impose tariffs whenever he wants. So even

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if it hurts American businesses and consumers,

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they tied their own hands. It's like they're

00:12:11.269 --> 00:12:14.509
saying, go ahead, break it. We don't care. Well,

00:12:14.529 --> 00:12:16.409
they're definitely not doing much to stop him.

00:12:16.610 --> 00:12:19.299
OK. And this whole thing with immigration. It's

00:12:19.299 --> 00:12:22.360
getting worse. Oh, yeah, for sure. The app, the

00:12:22.360 --> 00:12:26.399
ads, the cuts to the courts. It's like they're

00:12:26.399 --> 00:12:28.960
trying to create a hostile environment for anyone

00:12:28.960 --> 00:12:31.519
who's not already here. It's about sending a

00:12:31.519 --> 00:12:33.740
message. You know, don't even think about coming

00:12:33.740 --> 00:12:35.840
here. And it's working, right? Yeah. I mean,

00:12:35.860 --> 00:12:38.220
people are scared. Oh, yeah, absolutely. Especially

00:12:38.220 --> 00:12:40.399
with those ads. They're terrifying. And they're

00:12:40.399 --> 00:12:42.500
effective. Oh, very effective. I mean, they're

00:12:42.500 --> 00:12:45.340
basically telling people to self -deport or face

00:12:45.340 --> 00:12:47.100
the consequences. And they're making it harder

00:12:47.100 --> 00:12:49.690
to seek asylum. with the cuts to the courts.

00:12:49.789 --> 00:12:51.730
Yeah, the backlog is only going to get worse.

00:12:51.990 --> 00:12:54.529
It's a humanitarian crisis in the making. It

00:12:54.529 --> 00:12:57.470
feels like a deliberate attempt to dismantle

00:12:57.470 --> 00:13:00.049
any kind of support system for immigrants. Yeah,

00:13:00.070 --> 00:13:01.830
like they're trying to make it as difficult as

00:13:01.830 --> 00:13:04.450
possible for people to come here legally. And

00:13:04.450 --> 00:13:07.950
if you connect this to the bigger picture with

00:13:07.950 --> 00:13:10.690
the Department of Education and the attacks on

00:13:10.690 --> 00:13:12.389
the legal profession. Right, it's a pattern.

00:13:12.600 --> 00:13:15.379
It seems like a concerted effort to weaken these

00:13:15.379 --> 00:13:17.399
institutions. Yeah, the institutions that are

00:13:17.399 --> 00:13:19.899
supposed to protect us. And it's not just Trump,

00:13:20.039 --> 00:13:22.980
is it? No, it's bigger than him. Remember Project

00:13:22.980 --> 00:13:26.159
2025, that conservative group? Yeah, the ones

00:13:26.159 --> 00:13:28.759
who want to shrink the government. Right. They

00:13:28.759 --> 00:13:32.220
have this whole plan for dismantling these agencies,

00:13:32.220 --> 00:13:35.460
and it seems like their vision is becoming reality.

00:13:35.500 --> 00:13:38.000
It is terrifying. It is. But there is some hope.

00:13:38.200 --> 00:13:41.419
Well, the 2026 midterms are coming up. Yeah.

00:13:41.600 --> 00:13:45.299
And historically, midterm elections tend to favor

00:13:45.299 --> 00:13:48.159
the party that's not in the White House. So there's

00:13:48.159 --> 00:13:50.019
a chance for things to change. There's always

00:13:50.019 --> 00:13:52.799
a chance. But it's going to be a fight. Republicans

00:13:52.799 --> 00:13:55.320
aren't going to give up their power easily. And

00:13:55.320 --> 00:13:58.240
with Senator Shaheen retiring. Yeah, that's a

00:13:58.240 --> 00:14:00.700
tough one for Democrats. New Hampshire could

00:14:00.700 --> 00:14:03.139
go either way. So control of the Senate could

00:14:03.139 --> 00:14:05.639
come down to just a handful of races. It's going

00:14:05.639 --> 00:14:08.080
to be close. It's a lot to think about. It is.

00:14:08.100 --> 00:14:09.919
And we're only a few months into this. It's going

00:14:09.919 --> 00:14:12.340
to be a long couple of years. Well, before we

00:14:12.340 --> 00:14:14.740
get too overwhelmed, let's take a break. We'll

00:14:14.740 --> 00:14:16.820
be back with the final part of our deep dive,

00:14:17.080 --> 00:14:18.820
where we'll talk about some potential scenarios

00:14:18.820 --> 00:14:20.919
for the future. And what we can do about all

00:14:20.919 --> 00:14:22.980
of this. Exactly. Because it's not all doom and

00:14:22.980 --> 00:14:25.139
gloom. There's always something we can do. Right.

00:14:25.139 --> 00:14:27.799
We have to stay hopeful. OK. We'll be right back.

00:14:28.419 --> 00:14:30.899
All right. So welcome back to the final part

00:14:30.899 --> 00:14:34.440
of our deep dive into early 2025. It's been a

00:14:34.440 --> 00:14:37.200
journey. It has. It's been a lot. I'm kind of

00:14:37.200 --> 00:14:39.490
exhausted, to be honest. I hear that. It's a

00:14:39.490 --> 00:14:41.750
lot to process, for sure. Yeah, but before we

00:14:41.750 --> 00:14:44.090
all go take a nap, we got to talk about what

00:14:44.090 --> 00:14:46.190
this all means. Like, what are the long -term

00:14:46.190 --> 00:14:48.029
consequences of all this stuff we've been talking

00:14:48.029 --> 00:14:50.169
about? Well, one thing that's really concerning

00:14:50.169 --> 00:14:53.529
is this growing divide between people. You mean,

00:14:53.549 --> 00:14:56.750
like, politically? Yeah, the polarization and

00:14:56.750 --> 00:15:00.429
the erosion of trust in institutions. It's like

00:15:00.429 --> 00:15:02.289
everyone's picking sides and nobody's willing

00:15:02.289 --> 00:15:04.750
to listen to each other anymore. Yeah, and that

00:15:04.750 --> 00:15:07.269
makes it impossible to solve problems, doesn't

00:15:07.269 --> 00:15:11.419
it? Exactly. How can you address things like

00:15:11.419 --> 00:15:13.960
the economy or climate change when everyone's

00:15:13.960 --> 00:15:17.539
too busy fighting? And it's not just disagreeing

00:15:17.539 --> 00:15:20.080
about policy. It's deeper than that. It's like

00:15:20.080 --> 00:15:23.179
people are questioning the very legitimacy of

00:15:23.179 --> 00:15:26.700
our institutions, the media, the courts, even

00:15:26.700 --> 00:15:30.080
elections. So like the foundation of our democracy

00:15:30.080 --> 00:15:32.580
is cracking. Yeah, it's like the ground is shifting

00:15:32.580 --> 00:15:34.879
beneath our feet. And this goes back to what

00:15:34.879 --> 00:15:37.610
we were talking about with Congress, right? If

00:15:37.610 --> 00:15:40.710
they're so willing to give up their power, what's

00:15:40.710 --> 00:15:43.009
stopping future presidents from doing the same?

00:15:43.669 --> 00:15:47.129
Or even worse? It's a scary thought. What happens

00:15:47.129 --> 00:15:49.570
when the people in power are the ones trying

00:15:49.570 --> 00:15:52.350
to dismantle the guardrails? It's like, OK, so

00:15:52.350 --> 00:15:55.090
we're all kind of freaked out now. What can we

00:15:55.090 --> 00:15:57.669
actually do about this? Besides yelling at the

00:15:57.669 --> 00:15:59.509
TV. Well, the first step is to stay informed.

00:15:59.610 --> 00:16:01.549
OK. And I don't just mean reading headlines.

00:16:01.750 --> 00:16:04.929
Right. It's about digging deeper, you know, finding

00:16:04.929 --> 00:16:07.269
different perspectives, actually evaluating the

00:16:07.269 --> 00:16:09.590
information you're getting. So like fact checking

00:16:09.590 --> 00:16:12.210
everything. Pretty much. We all have to be more

00:16:12.210 --> 00:16:13.990
critical, especially with all the misinformation

00:16:13.990 --> 00:16:15.950
out there. Right. Don't just believe everything

00:16:15.950 --> 00:16:19.080
you read. OK, so we're informed. Now what? Then

00:16:19.080 --> 00:16:22.059
we have to act. Knowledge without action is useless.

00:16:22.220 --> 00:16:24.460
OK. We have to engage in the political process,

00:16:24.799 --> 00:16:27.480
contact our representatives, support organizations

00:16:27.480 --> 00:16:31.259
that align with our values, especially vote in

00:16:31.259 --> 00:16:33.639
every election, not just the presidential ones.

00:16:33.820 --> 00:16:36.559
So those 2026 midterms are going to be huge.

00:16:36.659 --> 00:16:39.480
It could be a turning point. Midterms are often

00:16:39.480 --> 00:16:41.799
a way for voters to send a message to the party

00:16:41.799 --> 00:16:45.259
in power. Right. And if people are unhappy, they

00:16:45.259 --> 00:16:47.700
can change the balance of power. So every vote

00:16:47.700 --> 00:16:50.460
matters. Absolutely. But voting isn't the only

00:16:50.460 --> 00:16:53.299
thing we can do. We can also get involved in

00:16:53.299 --> 00:16:56.039
our communities, volunteer, organize, speak out

00:16:56.039 --> 00:16:59.710
against injustice. Find our people. Exactly.

00:17:00.129 --> 00:17:02.909
Find your tribe. Connect with like -minded folks.

00:17:03.450 --> 00:17:05.849
Build coalitions. Because collective action,

00:17:06.049 --> 00:17:07.970
that's how we create real change. It's about

00:17:07.970 --> 00:17:10.970
reclaiming our power. Exactly. Not just as individuals,

00:17:11.089 --> 00:17:13.450
but as a society. It's easy to feel powerless

00:17:13.450 --> 00:17:15.349
when you see all this stuff happening. It is.

00:17:15.390 --> 00:17:17.450
But we're not powerless. We have a voice. We

00:17:17.450 --> 00:17:20.349
have a choice. Right. We can't give in to fear.

00:17:20.750 --> 00:17:22.970
We have to believe that things can get better.

00:17:23.279 --> 00:17:25.900
Well, that's about it for our deep dive into

00:17:25.900 --> 00:17:29.740
early 2025. It's been a wild ride. It has. But

00:17:29.740 --> 00:17:31.440
hopefully you've learned something. Yeah. And

00:17:31.440 --> 00:17:33.619
maybe even feel a little bit empowered. Remember,

00:17:34.000 --> 00:17:37.420
knowledge is power. Stay informed, stay engaged,

00:17:37.660 --> 00:17:40.140
and stay hopeful. Yeah. Don't let the bastards

00:17:40.140 --> 00:17:42.339
grind you down. Thanks for joining us on the

00:17:42.339 --> 00:17:43.599
deep dive. We'll see you next time.
