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Welcome back everybody for another deep dive.

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This time we're gonna be taking a look

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at the first few weeks of 2025 in US politics.

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And I've got a ton of sources here,

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news articles, court documents,

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even some pretty wild social media threads

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and let me tell you, it's a lot to keep track of.

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We're gonna be trying to answer some big questions today.

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Like just how much power does the president actually have?

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Is Elon Musk some kind of puppet master?

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Or is he just another chaotic force in the government?

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And what does Taylor Swift's Super Bowl attendance have?

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Anything to do with this?

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So let's dive in.

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What's fascinating to watch Trump's second term unfold.

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You know, all the traditional rules of politics

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they seem to have been thrown out the window.

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Executive orders are flying out left and right

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and the legal challenges are coming in just as fast.

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There's this constant back and forth

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between all the branches of government.

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Yeah, it feels like everyone's playing

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political speed chess or something.

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But before we get too deep at all the legal stuff,

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let's start with something a little bit more fun, shall we?

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The Super Bowl, Super Bowl, LIX Eagles versus Chiefs.

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What a game, huh?

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The Eagles totally dominated.

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The Chiefs dynasty hopes, I think they're officially over.

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Oh, for sure.

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Saquon Barkley's performance was incredible.

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He broke the all-time single season rushing record.

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And get this, that record includes the playoffs.

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I think that's something people forget sometimes.

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He played consistently well the entire season.

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Yeah, that record's gonna stand for a long time, I think.

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But beyond just the game itself,

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there were some pretty interesting things

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happening off the field as well.

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Trump became the first sitting president

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to ever attend the Super Bowl.

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It really makes you wonder

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about how the lines between politics and entertainment

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are being blurred and how presidents

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are using their platform to try and connect

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with the American people in new ways.

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And then of course you have the Taylor Swift factor.

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She was there watching the game from a suite.

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It was the Chiefs' first loss in 10 games that she attended.

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I guess all good things must come to an end.

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But speaking of things that don't last,

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let's talk about Trump's flurry of executive orders.

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I mean, it's like he's trying to remake

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the whole government in his own image.

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And of course it's not surprising

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that the lawsuits are starting to pile up.

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Yeah, the number of legal challenges is just unprecedented.

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And it just really highlights

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how divided American society is right now.

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Take for example, that case involving Elon Musk's kids,

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the Muskrats, as the media is calling them.

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They allegedly got access to some very sensitive

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government data.

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Oh yeah, the whole DOGE cryptocurrency thing.

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Didn't they hack into the Treasury Department or something?

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That's what people are saying.

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The full details is still coming out.

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But basically they're accused of using their father's influence

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to manipulate the cryptocurrency market for their own game.

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Judge Engelmeyer actually issued a preliminary injunction

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blocking them from accessing any more government systems.

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He cited concerns about privacy violations and abuse of power.

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Yeah, that's a pretty major setback for the administration.

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And it raises some very serious questions

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about their oversight.

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And then you have the whole USA-died case.

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I mean, Musk was basically trying to gut the entire agency.

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He claimed it was full of corruption.

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Yeah, he put thousands of employees on administrative leave,

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including foreign service officers stationed overseas.

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Some of them were even undergoing medical treatment.

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And there was a lot of pushback,

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a lot of condemnation from lawmakers

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and humanitarian organizations.

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And then Judge Nichols stepped in, right?

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Yes.

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Judge Nichols, a Trump appointee himself,

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issued a temporary restraining order to stop Musk's actions.

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He said it was to protect the employees

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and the mission of the agency.

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He said there just wasn't enough evidence

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to back up those corruption allegations.

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So it seems like even judges that Trump appointed

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are pushing back a bit.

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It's interesting to see that the judiciary isn't just

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blindly rubber stamping all of the President's policies.

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But it's not just those high-profile cases either.

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You have all these lawsuits challenging things like,

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the government's buyout offers for homeowners in flood zones,

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the executive order on birthright citizenship,

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the funding freeze on sanctuary cities,

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the list goes on and on.

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It's like a total legal battle royale.

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And that's where Russell Vought comes in, you remember him,

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head of the Office of Management and Budget.

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The Senate confirmed him for another term.

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He's really quite a character.

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He's known for his very aggressive approach

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to shrinking the size of the federal government.

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He's very good at understanding the budget

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and all its intricacies.

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And he's a big believer on what's called impoundment,

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withholding funds that Congress has already approved.

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Yeah, he's basically like the architect of the burn it all

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down mentality in this administration.

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And we can't forget about his other job as well, can we?

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He's also running the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau,

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the CFPB.

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Oh, that's right.

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And he's pretty much put the whole agency on hold,

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saying he wants to prevent it from being weaponized

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against certain industries.

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Of course, this comes at a time when that whole Trump crypto

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coin scam is blowing up.

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You know the one where people were tricked

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into buying this digital currency?

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That was supposedly backed by Trump's business empire.

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It turned out to be a total fraud.

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And a lot of people lost a lot of money.

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You know, it's funny because if the CFPB was actually

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functioning, they could have been warning people

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about this kind of scam.

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The timing is definitely interesting.

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And speaking of things that make you go, hmm,

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remember how Vought is always talking about family values

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and being a good Christian?

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Well, he got divorced last summer.

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Oh, yeah, that's right.

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I almost forgot about that.

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It's definitely something to keep in mind

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when we're looking at his policies.

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But anyway, let's move on.

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I want to talk about the other major player

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in all of this, Elon Musk.

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He's gone from just posting provocative tweets

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to actually being involved in trying

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to reshape the government.

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It's really a fascinating change.

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It's very different from the traditional idea

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of a dictator who wants to control

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every aspect of government.

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Musk's approach is different.

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Yeah, it's less about building up

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a powerful centralized state and more about tearing down

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all the existing institutions so that he can step in

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and exert his influence.

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Exactly.

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And he's using some very unconventional tactics

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to get there, like demoralizing and firing career

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government workers, promoting artificial intelligence

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over human expertise, and constantly challenging

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the normal legal processes.

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Remember that diagram that the New York Times published?

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The one that showed all of Musk's conflicts of interest

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with different government agencies,

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considering how many billions of dollars his companies get

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in government contracts.

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It was a real tangled web of influence and power.

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And it seems like what he's doing

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aligns with that idea of zero-based government.

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Oh, yes.

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Zero-based government where you basically dismantle everything

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and try to rebuild it from scratch.

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I mean, it's a very bold approach.

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And some might even say reckless.

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And you know what?

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It looks like it might actually be backfiring.

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Public opinion polls are starting

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to show that Musk's approval rating is dropping,

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especially among independent voters.

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It makes you wonder, if Musk becomes too unpopular,

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will Trump just cut him loose?

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And what happens if these two giants of industry clash?

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I mean, could we be in for a major power struggle?

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This is just the beginning, folks.

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It certainly seems that way.

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And speaking of potential political shakeups,

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we need to talk about what's happening in New York and Virginia.

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Believe it or not, these local events

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could have major consequences on the national stage.

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Yeah, it's easy to get caught up in all the drama in Washington.

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But sometimes the most important political battles

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are happening in other places, like New York, for example.

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You see, Rep. Elise Stefanik, a rising star

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in the Republican Party.

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She's been nominated to be the US Ambassador to United Nations.

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Which means her seat in the House is going to be empty.

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And that means there's going to be a special election.

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Now, on the surface, that might seem like just routine procedure,

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but the devil's in the details.

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Oh, I'm sure there are some juicy details.

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So what's going on?

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Well, the Democrats have introduced a bill

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that would let the governor delay the special election

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until November.

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And why would they want to do that?

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Think about it.

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The Republicans have a very slim majority in the House right now.

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If the election is delayed, it means that seat stays empty for months.

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And that gives the Democrats a lot more power

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to potentially block legislation.

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All they need is a few no votes from some key Republicans.

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Ah, so they're playing a long game.

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So who are these key Republicans that could cause trouble?

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There are two in particular, Reps Roy and Norman.

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They've said publicly that they're willing to vote against the budget.

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If it doesn't include some major cuts,

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they're not exactly household names,

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but all of a sudden they have a surprising amount of power.

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It's like a political pressure cooker.

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Every single vote matters.

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That puts Speaker Johnson in a tough position.

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Absolutely.

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He has to decide what to do.

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Does he try to negotiate with the Democrats to get his budget passed

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and maybe make some concessions he doesn't want to make?

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Or does he just push forward without their support

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and risk a government shutdown?

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A government shutdown is pretty risky.

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Historically, it's usually the Republicans who are more willing to use that tactic.

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That's true.

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But things are different now.

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The Democrats might be willing to play heart ball,

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especially since control of the House is so close.

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Imagine what that would look like.

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The Republicans in chaos, unable to govern,

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forcing a shutdown that hurts ordinary Americans.

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That could be a powerful message going into the 2026 midterms.

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It's a high-stakes gamble, no doubt about it.

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And speaking of high-stakes political battles,

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let's talk about Virginia.

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The governor's race there could have major implications,

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not just for the state, but for the national political landscape.

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We've got Abigail Spanberger.

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She's a former CIA officer and congresswoman.

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Running against Winston Earlsier as the current lieutenant governor.

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It's going to be close.

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And you know what, this is where all those federal workers that Elon Musk fired

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could really come back to haunt the Republicans.

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How so?

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Virginia has a lot of federal employees.

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A lot of them are probably going to lose their jobs because of these cuts.

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I don't see them voting for the party that's taking with their livelihood,

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even if they usually vote Republican.

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That makes sense.

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So Earlsier isn't a tough spot.

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If she distances herself from Trump and Musk,

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she risks alienating her base.

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But if she supports them, she could alienate moderate voters.

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How do you think she's going to handle this?

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It's going to be a real balancing act.

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We'll have to see what she does.

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Virginia doesn't always follow national political trends exactly,

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but it's often a good indicator of the overall political climate.

265
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So if Spanberger wins, it could be a bad sign for the Republicans

266
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in the 2026 midterms.

267
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It's definitely a race to watch.

268
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But while all this is happening in New York and Virginia,

269
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the Senate isn't just sitting around waiting for the House to figure out its budget.

270
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Nope, they're not.

271
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Senator Graham is leading the budget reconciliation process.

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He's setting spending targets for different committees.

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This could either make things easier or it could create even more gridlock.

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We'll have to wait and see.

275
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It seems like there are a lot of potential roadblocks ahead.

276
00:10:39,560 --> 00:10:43,760
So what are the main differences between what the Senate is doing with the budget

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and what Speaker Johnson is trying to do in the House?

278
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The biggest difference is that the Senate is only focused on the budget.

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Speaker Johnson wants one giant bill that covers all of Trump's priorities,

280
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kind of like an everything but the kitchen sink approach.

281
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I see.

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It'll be interesting to see what happens when those two approaches clash.

283
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Do you think Johnson will have to give up on his big bill idea?

284
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And what about the debt ceiling?

285
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Is that going to be part of the Senate bill or is that going to be a whole separate fight?

286
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It's like a giant game of legislative Tetris.

287
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That's a good way to put it.

288
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Yeah.

289
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And to make things even more complicated, we have to factor in Trump's new tariffs.

290
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He's announced tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, mostly targeting Canada, Mexico and China.

291
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He says it's all about fairness, matching the tariffs those countries put on US products.

292
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But didn't he already try this during his first term and didn't it backfire?

293
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It did.

294
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Tariffs almost always end up raising prices for consumers.

295
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So Trump might think he's punishing other countries.

296
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But it's really American shoppers who are going to pay the price.

297
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And that might not be a good strategy with his base,

298
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especially the people who are already struggling to make ends meet.

299
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Right.

300
00:11:47,920 --> 00:11:50,240
And there's another issue here too, isn't there?

301
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Does the president even have the authority to just impose tariffs on his own?

302
00:11:54,960 --> 00:11:56,640
That's a good question.

303
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The Constitution gives that power to Congress.

304
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So this could easily turn into another legal battle.

305
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And it could end up in the Supreme Court.

306
00:12:04,320 --> 00:12:08,320
It seems like everything ends up in the Supreme Court these days.

307
00:12:08,320 --> 00:12:12,160
Speaking of legal battles, let's go back to Elon Musk and his muskrats.

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Remember that software engineer Marco Ales, the one who got rehired after posting those racist comments online?

309
00:12:17,840 --> 00:12:19,440
Yeah, that was a big story.

310
00:12:19,440 --> 00:12:21,760
And fortunately, it looks like he's not the only one.

311
00:12:21,760 --> 00:12:24,080
I know one of the muskrats, Gavin Cleiger.

312
00:12:24,080 --> 00:12:26,240
He's also posted white supremacist stuff online.

313
00:12:27,120 --> 00:12:29,920
And neither of them seem to be facing any consequences.

314
00:12:29,920 --> 00:12:31,040
That's really worrisome.

315
00:12:31,040 --> 00:12:35,600
It makes you question the kind of culture Musk is creating in these government agencies.

316
00:12:35,600 --> 00:12:40,560
And the fact that neither Trump nor Musk seem to care is really troubling.

317
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It sends a message that these kinds of views are OK.

318
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And that can have a ripple effect.

319
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It can contribute to a broader climate of intolerance and division.

320
00:12:48,960 --> 00:12:53,040
Man, it really does feel like we're living in some kind of crazy political pressure cooker.

321
00:12:53,040 --> 00:12:55,760
You know, you've got the president pushing the limits of his power,

322
00:12:55,760 --> 00:12:59,280
this tech mogul with some pretty radical ideas,

323
00:12:59,280 --> 00:13:05,840
trying to change the government from the inside, all this tension about race and the economy and just basic human decency.

324
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It's a lot to take in.

325
00:13:07,200 --> 00:13:08,480
So where does this all go?

326
00:13:08,480 --> 00:13:09,920
Well, that's the big question, isn't it?

327
00:13:10,560 --> 00:13:12,720
But if we step back and look at the bigger picture, I think,

328
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we can start to see some possible outcomes.

329
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One possibility is that the system holds.

330
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You know, that the checks and balances that we have in American democracy

331
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are strong enough to withstand all this pressure.

332
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We're already seeing judges push back against some of the things the president is trying to do.

333
00:13:27,760 --> 00:13:30,720
And there's growing opposition to Musk's tactics as well.

334
00:13:30,720 --> 00:13:32,000
OK, that's good.

335
00:13:32,000 --> 00:13:34,080
But what if those checks and balances are enough?

336
00:13:34,080 --> 00:13:38,080
What happens if the institutions that are supposed to protect our rights and freedoms,

337
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what if they get eroded?

338
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What then?

339
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That's a scary thought.

340
00:13:41,520 --> 00:13:43,600
It's the worst case scenario, really.

341
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You know, a slide towards authoritarianism,

342
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where all the power ends up in the hands of a few people.

343
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And anyone who disagrees is silenced.

344
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It's happened to other democracies before.

345
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We have to be careful.

346
00:13:55,440 --> 00:13:56,800
So what can we do?

347
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How do we make sure that American democracy survives all of this?

348
00:14:00,640 --> 00:14:01,840
Well, that's where you come in.

349
00:14:01,840 --> 00:14:06,960
We all have a responsibility as citizens to stay informed, to think critically,

350
00:14:07,520 --> 00:14:09,440
and to hold our leaders accountable.

351
00:14:09,440 --> 00:14:12,160
Don't accept easy answers or simple explanations.

352
00:14:12,160 --> 00:14:13,280
Question everything.

353
00:14:13,280 --> 00:14:14,880
Demand transparency.

354
00:14:14,880 --> 00:14:17,440
You always hear people say knowledge is power,

355
00:14:17,440 --> 00:14:19,920
but it's not enough to just have the knowledge.

356
00:14:19,920 --> 00:14:21,360
We have to actually use it.

357
00:14:21,360 --> 00:14:22,080
Exactly.

358
00:14:22,080 --> 00:14:23,920
Read more than just the headlines.

359
00:14:23,920 --> 00:14:25,600
Try to get different perspectives.

360
00:14:25,600 --> 00:14:27,440
Have real conversations with people.

361
00:14:28,000 --> 00:14:30,160
And most importantly, don't lose hope.

362
00:14:30,960 --> 00:14:34,320
The future of American democracy depends on all of us.

363
00:14:34,320 --> 00:14:36,960
I know all these sources that we've talked about today,

364
00:14:36,960 --> 00:14:38,640
they're really just a snapshot in time.

365
00:14:38,640 --> 00:14:40,080
The story is still going on.

366
00:14:40,080 --> 00:14:41,680
We don't know how it's going to end.

367
00:14:41,680 --> 00:14:45,920
The choices that we make now are going to determine the future of this country.

368
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So I want you to think about this.

369
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As you learn more about these issues,

370
00:14:49,040 --> 00:14:51,760
what role are you going to play in shaping American democracy?

371
00:14:51,760 --> 00:14:53,680
What kind of country do you want to live in?

372
00:14:53,680 --> 00:14:55,760
And what are you willing to do to make that happen?

373
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Those are really important questions,

374
00:14:57,760 --> 00:14:59,840
and the answers aren't just going to affect us.

375
00:14:59,840 --> 00:15:01,840
They're going to affect generations to come.

376
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Well, that's all the time we have for today's deep dive.

377
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Thanks for joining us.

378
00:15:05,600 --> 00:15:07,280
Keep asking those tough questions.

379
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Stay engaged.

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And we'll see you next time.

