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welcome to money is freedom

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a podcast

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exploring how finance and freedom connect in our lives

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created from thoughtful research

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and narrated by Notebook LM AI

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this series brings you clear

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meaningful insights into finance and beyond

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welcome to episode 17 Today

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we dive into the intersection of macroeconomics

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and cryptocurrency

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as we explore Bitcoin's 100,000 dollar milestone

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and the latest unemployment data

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what does the US labor market tell us about

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the Federal Reserve's next move

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and how is it shaping the crypto market's future

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join us as we unpack these pivotal trends

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and what they mean for investors

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navigating 2025 and beyond

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hey everyone and welcome back

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I am so excited for today's deep dive

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because we are gonna be talking about something

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that is well

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let's just say it's pretty mind blowing

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I agree this one is definitely a fascinating topic yeah

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so remember when you wrote that blog post about Bitcoin

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and you called it a what was it

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a a global digital asset yeah

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the global digital asset well guess what

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bitcoin just blasted through

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the hundred thousand dollar Mark

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and get this

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it happened right as the December jobs report came out

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wow so

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maybe there is a connection between

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the macroeconomic climate

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and the cryptoworld after all

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that is exactly

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what we're gonna try to figure out today

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now I know what you're thinking what am I thinking

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haha okay

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maybe not but a lot of people are wondering

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is this just a coincidence

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or are these two seemingly unrelated events

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bitcoin hitting this huge milestone in this jobs report

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are they actually connected somehow

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and if so what does it mean for all of us

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well one thing's for sure

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that hundred thousand dollar price tag

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it's a big deal okay

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so Bitcoin hits $100,000

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that's huge

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but is it just hype or is there something more to it

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you know something actually driving this surge

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well to understand that

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we have to look at the bigger picture

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and that's where the jobs report comes in

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and it's a bit of a mixed bag

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on the one hand we see strong job growth

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227,000 new jobs added that's fantastic

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but then

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the unemployment rate actually ticked up a bit to 4.2%

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so it is a little confusing

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yeah that is a bit of a head scratcher

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strong job growth A&D

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rising unemployment what's the deal with that

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well to really understand what's going on

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we need to dig into the details of the report

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for example the construction and tech sectors

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are absolutely booming really

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oh yeah

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but on the other hand retail is taking a hit

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which kind of suggests that maybe

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we're seeing the impact of

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you know shifts in consumer behavior

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and all those advancements

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and technology that are happening

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okay so how does this all tie back to Bitcoin

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it feels like we're talking about

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two completely different things

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not necessarily see

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the market reacts to what it

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thinks is gonna happen in the future

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and right now everyone's watching the Federal Reserve

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basically

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holding their breath to see what they're gonna do

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wait the Fed

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what do they have to do with bitcoin

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and why is everyone so obsessed with them

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well it all boils down to interest rates

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when the Fed cuts rates

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it basically makes borrowing money cheaper

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businesses can invest more

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things start moving faster

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it's like giving the economy a shot of adrenaline

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and historically bitcoin has tended to do

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really well in those kinds of environments

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hold on you said cutting rates

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but didn't the jobs report show a rise in unemployment

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doesn't that usually mean that rates go up

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usually yes

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but this time things are a little different

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most experts think

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the Fed is much more worried about keeping the

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economy going strong

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than they are about that little uptick

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and unemployment

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they are actually predicting a rate cut

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maybe even as much as 25 basis points

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at their next meeting in December

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and that's sending a really

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strong signal to the markets

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okay so a rate cut could be good news for Bitcoin

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but how do we know

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that's what's actually causing the price to surge

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is it just a coincidence that it hit $100,000

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right after this job's report came out

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it's more than just a coincidence

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right after that job's data was released

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Bitcoin's price jumped even higher

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before kind of settling back down a bit

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the

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market definitely saw that report as making a rate cut

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a lot more likely and people probably started thinking

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okay if the feds about to make money cheaper

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then bitcoin could be the place to be

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that's pretty interesting

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so it's not just about the numbers in the jobs report

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itself it's about what those numbers tell us

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about what might happen next with the Fed

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exactly and there's another piece to this puzzle too

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there is okay

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I am all ears what is it

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it's the institutional investors

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they are getting into Bitcoin like never before

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we're seeing all these new bitcoin etfs popping up

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and even some really big corporations

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are starting to add bitcoin

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to their list of assets

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it is not this fringe thing anymore

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it is going totally mainstream

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okay so

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we've got a potential rate cut

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that could make Bitcoin even more appealing

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plus

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you've got all these big players jumping into the game

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no wonder things are getting exciting

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but I think the big question on everyone's mind is

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can this last is this sustainable

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that is the million dollar question

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isn't it to understand what's next for bitcoin

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we actually need to look back

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and see

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how it's performed in similar situations in the past

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think of it like

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checking the historical weather patterns

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before you plan a trip so

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you're saying

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we need to look at those past economic cycles

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let's rewind for a second

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you mentioned something earlier called

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post having cycles I have heard that term thrown around

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but honestly I have no idea what it means

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can you break that down for us

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and how do these cycles relate to Bitcoin

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okay so imagine the total supply of Bitcoin as a pie

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every four years something called a having happens

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which basically

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cuts the rate at which new Bitcoin is created in half

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it's like someone is

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slicing that pie into smaller and smaller pieces

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so less Bitcoin is being created over time

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right and historically

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after these having events

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we've seen some pretty

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significant price increases for Bitcoin

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that makes sense less bitcoin available

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plus more and more people wanting a piece of that pie

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exactly classic supply and demand

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and right now what's happening in the market

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is starting to look a lot like what we saw

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in some of those previous

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post having cycles

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we've got more liquidity in the system

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and potentially

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a pretty loose monetary policy coming from the Fed

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it's a combination that has

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at least in the past LED to some big gains for Bitcoin

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but you know

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history doesn't always repeat itself perfectly

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and there are a lot of other factors that could

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you know shake things up for Bitcoin in the future

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I mean think about

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all the crazy stuff happening around the world

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right now ah yes

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Geo politics always a wildcard

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ah

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so what kind of global events are we talking about here

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what could really impact bitcoin in say 2025

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well imagine this

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trade tensions

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escalate between a couple of major economies

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or there's some political instability

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and region that's really involved in bitcoin mining

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suddenly the traditional markets get spooked

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and investors are scrambling

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for a safe place to put their money

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and they might turn to bitcoin

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exactly because bitcoin

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with its decentralized nature and limited supply

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it starts to look like a pretty attractive option

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in times of uncertainty it's like a digital safe haven

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okay so

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it sounds like

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keeping an eye on those news headlines is just as

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important as watching what's happening in the economy

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right absolutely

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geopolitical events can send these huge shockwaves

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through the entire global economy

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and those shockwaves

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they definitely reached the crypto market too

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but Bitcoin's not this isolated thing anymore

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it's all connected so to sum it up

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we've got this potential rate cut from the Fed

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growing interest from these huge institutions

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Andy the untradictable nature of global events

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all of that could impact Bitcoin's price

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it's a lot to think about

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it is and it's why

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just looking at past price trends isn't enough

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you really have to consider the bigger picture

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all those forces at play

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both inside the crypto world and out in the real world

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okay so if we're looking ahead to say 2025

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what are the things you're really gonna be watching

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to kind of get a sense of where bitcoin might be headed

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what are the big indicators

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well for one

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I'll be keeping a close eye on inflation

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if inflation keeps going up

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people might start turning to Bitcoin

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as a hedge against that

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kinda like they do with gold sometimes

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and then of course there's the Fed

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every single word they say about interest rates

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will be analyzed by like

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a million people so

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definitely pay attention to what they're saying

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and what they're doing okay

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so 2025 could be a wild ride for bitcoin investors

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volatility is definitely part of the game

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when it comes to crypto

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but that doesn't mean you just have to

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you know

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sit back and cross your fingers and hope for the best

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there are some things you can do to navigate this

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let's call it a dynamic environment

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alright so let's talk strategy

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what advice would you give to someone

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who's really excited about Bitcoin

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but also wants to be smart about managing the risk

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well first of all

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diversification is key

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don't put all your eggs in one basket

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you know

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spread your investments across different asset classes

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and the other thing is

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don't get caught up in the day to day price swings

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zoom out a little bit focus on the long term

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remember Bitcoin's story is still being written

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and we haven't even seen its full potential yet

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I like that focus on the long term

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we've talked a lot about economic indicators

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about these big institutions getting involved

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about global events and even a little bit of history

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but I feel like there's one piece of the puzzle

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we haven't really talked about yet

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and that's technology

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how could those advancements in tech shape

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Bitcoin's future

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could those new innovations like disrupt everything

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or could they actually make bitcoin even more valuable

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that's a great question and honestly

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it's one that deserves a whole deep dive of its own

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I mean think about the impact of things like AI

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or quantum computing or even

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the development of entirely new blockchain networks

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the world of technology changes so fast

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and the crypto space is right there

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at the forefront of that change

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it makes you wonder

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how all those emerging technologies might impact

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Bitcoin and really the entire crypto ecosystem right

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absolutely will they be competitors

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collaborators or something else entirely

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I think that question how those things interact

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is gonna continue to shape the financial landscape

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for a long long time

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it's both really exciting and a little bit overwhelming

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to be honest yeah

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it's definitely both

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but that's part of what makes the space so captivating

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it's like a constant learning curve

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there's always something new to discover

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okay so we've covered a lot of ground here

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from Bitcoin's record breaking price

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to the latest jobs report

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to Geo politics even

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touched on some of those

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emerging technologies that are out there

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but before we wrap up

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I wanna leave you with one last thought

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to kinda chew on okay

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let's hear it what's the final takeaway

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well we've been talking a lot about

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all these external forces

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that could impact bitcoin

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but what about the internal dynamics

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you know

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what's happening within the Bitcoin community itself

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I mean remember

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bitcoin is decentralized

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it's powered by a global network of viewers

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and developers that's such a good point

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the decisions made by that community

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the direction they choose to take the technology

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that could have the biggest impact of all

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on Bitcoin's future exactly

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things like figuring out how to scale the network

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or enhancing privacy

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or even those debates about the role of miners

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all of those internal factors are gonna shape

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Bitcoin's evolution yeah

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it's a good reminder that

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bitcoin isn't just some digital currency

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it's a whole ecosystem

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and it's constantly adapting and changing

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and that's what makes it so fascinating okay

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so on that note

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I think we've reached the end of our deep die for today

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I hope you've enjoyed exploring

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all these intricate connections between Bitcoin

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the economy and everything else

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that

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shaping the future of finance has been quite a journey

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it really has been

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it's amazing to see how far Bitcoin has come

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you know when you first started writing about Bitcoin

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on your blog it felt like such a kind of a niche thing

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but after today's deep dive

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I mean wow

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it's clear that Bitcoin is a

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major player on the world stage now

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it's definitely not on the sidelines anymore

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and I think that's why it's so important for everyone

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whether you're a hardcore investor

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or just curious about crypto

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to understand these connections

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it's bigger than just oh

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what's the price of Bitcoin today

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it's about understanding how

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the whole financial system is changing really

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so for our listeners out there

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what's

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the one thing they should take away from all of this

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what should they be thinking about as they try to

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you know navigate this crazy exciting world of crypto

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honestly

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I think the most important thing is to remember

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that Bitcoin story is still being written

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we are so early in this whole thing

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so yeah

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things change fast and it can be a little overwhelming

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but just stay curious keep learning

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and don't be afraid to ask questions

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that's great advice and you know

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you don't have to figure it all out on your own

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there's a whole community out there

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people who are really passionate about bitcoin

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find them exactly

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connect with other people

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join the conversation and just keep exploring

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the more you learn

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the better decisions you'll be able to make

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you know for your own financial future

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well

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I think that about wraps it up for our deep dive today

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hopefully you found this conversation helpful

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it was a lot of fun and to everyone listening

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thanks for joining us keep your eyes open

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stay informed and keep on exploring until next time