WEBVTT

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All right, if you are stepping out the door in

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the Florida panhandle right now, the wind chill

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isn't just uncomfortable. Oh, not at all. It

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is sitting in the single digits. If you're in

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Tampa, you are waking up to a freeze watch that

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threatens to wipe out the winter guarding you

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just planted. And if you are in Miami, you're

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about to realize that that light denim jacket

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you keep for emergencies. Yeah, that one. It

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is not going to cut it today. This isn't just

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a cold front. It's a wake up call. Welcome to

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Meteorology Matters, the podcast that dives deep

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into the science, chaos, and stories behind the

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weather that shapes our world. This show was

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created by meteorologist Rob Jones. Now, let's

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get into today's episode of Meteorology Matters.

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So here we are. It is Monday, January 26th, 2026.

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And I know a lot of you listening are probably

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huddled around a space heater right now, maybe

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scratching your heads because let's be honest.

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Oh, absolutely. Just 48 hours ago, we were talking

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about record breaking heat. We were looking at

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beach days. Yeah. And now the entire atmospheric

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script has just completely flipped. It is a classic

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meteorological whiplash. Yeah. I mean, it's the

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kind of thing that really defines Florida winters,

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but. but this specific event has some teeth to

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it that we really haven't seen in a little while.

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Great. This isn't just the standard, you know,

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put on a sweater for the morning commute situation.

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No. This is a setup that demands some respect.

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Whiplash is exactly the right word. We went from

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like, let's go to the beach to cover the plants

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in the blink of an eye. So, before we get into

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the history books... And folks, we have some

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incredible history to cover today. Oh, we do.

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From snow in Miami to the freeze that literally

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changed the map of Florida. Let's talk about

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right now what is happening outside our windows

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this morning. Because to the average person,

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it just looks sunny. That is the deception, isn't

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it? The mechanics of this are their textbook,

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but they're aggressive. Early this morning, a

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very, very strong cold front pushed through the

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entire peninsula. The whole thing. The whole

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thing. It's sweeping off the southeast coast

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as we speak, and it's just clearing out all the

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humidity and the clouds. And when we say cold

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front, We're not just talking about a little

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wind shift or a slight drop in the dew point.

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This is something else entirely. No, no. This

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is a total air mass change. You are literally

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replacing a maritime tropical air mass, you know,

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that warm, sticky stuff we love. Right. Our standard

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Florida air. With a continental polar air mass.

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Yeah. And behind this front, we have this dense,

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heavy layer of Arctic air that's just filtering

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in. the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration,

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or NOAA as we call it, they've been tracking

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this high pressure system settling in right behind

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the front. Okay, let's unpack that because I

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think high pressure is one of those terms we

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hear on the evening news all the time. All the

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time. But we rarely stop to think about the physics

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of it. Usually when we see that big blue H on

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the weather map, we think nice weather, we think

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picnics. Exactly, and that is the trap in winter.

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In the summer, High pressure is absolutely your

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friend. It suppresses hurricanes. It keeps the

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rain away. But in January, that high pressure

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system is essentially a massive sinking column

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of air. And as that air sinks, it warms slightly

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and it dries out, which is what wipes out the

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cloud cover. It just scrubs the sky completely

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clean. So we lose our blanket. That's really

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the best way I can visualize it. We lose our

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insulation. Yeah. Think of clouds as a thick

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down duvet cover for the earth. During the day,

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the sun heats the ground, that's shortwave radiation

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coming in, the concrete, the grass, the ocean,

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it all absorbs that heat. But at night, the ground

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tries to send that heat back out into space as

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longwave radiation. And water vapor clouds, they're

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really, really good at trapping that long wave

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radiation. They act like a ceiling. They are

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excellent at it. They bounce that heat right

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back down to us. And that's why a cloudy night

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in winter can feel relatively mild, you know?

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Sure. But this week, that Arctic air mass is

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bone dry. the dew points are crashing down into

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the teens. There's no water vapor, there are

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no clouds, there's nothing to stop that heat

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from just escaping. It's essentially an open

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door to outer space. So the moment the sun sets,

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the temperature isn't just dropping gradually,

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it's literally free -falling. We call it ideal

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radiational cooling. And because the air is so

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dry, there's no floor to stop that drop until

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you hit that dew point, which like I said is

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way down in the 20s. That dryness is something

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I saw in the discussion from the National Weather

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Service in Tampa. They mentioned humidity dropping

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below critical levels. And this brings up a secondary

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hazard that I don't think people associate with

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freezing cold. That's right. We are actually

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looking at a fire weather context here, too.

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In the middle of a freeze. In the middle of a

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freeze. When the air gets this dry, and we're

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talking relative humidity plummeting into the

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20, 30 % range, it acts like a sponge. It just

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sucks the moisture right out of all the vegetation.

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The dead grass, the pine needles, the scrub.

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It all becomes tinder. Instant tinder. So even

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though it's freezing, the fire risk actually

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goes up. I mean, that's just a cruel irony, isn't

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it? You're shivering, but you have to worry about

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wildfires. It is. And it feels colder on your

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skin, too. We always talk about dry heat, right?

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Sure. But dry cold is its own kind of beast.

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your body moisture evaporates much faster in

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this dry air, which cools your skin very rapidly.

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That's why 40 degrees in a dry air mass feels

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so much sharper and more biting than 40 degrees

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in a damp one. Now, the other thing that really

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stands out to me about this particular setup

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for January 2026 is the duration. Yes. Usually,

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Florida cold snaps are like bad house guests.

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They show up, make you uncomfortable for a day,

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drink all your coffee, and then they leave. Right.

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A hit and run cold front. This is not that. Now,

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looking at the extended forecast, this looks

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more like a siege. It's a prolonged event. The

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National Weather Service is being very explicit

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about this, that this isn't a one and done scenario.

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at a synoptic pattern, a really large scale atmospheric

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setup that is going to lock in this cold air

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all week long. All week. We're talking about

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hard freeze chances every single night through

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Wednesday or even Thursday for the northern parts

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of the state. And freezing temperatures are going

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to persist well into the week, even for central

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areas. So do not put the plants back out tomorrow

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morning. I feel like that is the classic mistake

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people make. The biggest mistake. They uncover

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everything on Tuesday thinking the worst is over

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and then Wednesday morning hits them even harder.

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Absolutely not. Keep them covered. This is a

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multi -day grind. The atmosphere is just sluggish

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right now that high pressure isn't going anywhere

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fast. Okay, let's take a virtual tour of the

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state because Florida is such a long peninsula

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and the experience is going to vary wildly depending

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on your latitude. I want to make sure everyone

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listening knows exactly what they are facing

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in their own backyard. Let's start up in the

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Panhandle the Freezer, as I'm calling it today.

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Tallahassee, Panama City. Chuckles. That's a

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good name for it. I mean, driving along I -10

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right now must feel like driving through the

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Midwest. It is brutal. And dangerous is the word

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we really need to use. We aren't just talking

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about discomfort up there. The National Weather

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Service in Tallahassee has issued an extreme

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cold warning and a hard freeze warning. And the

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numbers absolutely back that up. I was looking

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at the data points for Tallahassee for tonight,

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Monday night. We are dropping to 24 degrees Fahrenheit.

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24 degrees. And you have to remember, that is

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the air temperature measured at five feet off

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the ground in a sheltered box. Right. That's

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the official number. When you factor in the wind,

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which is coming in from the Northwest, it's advecting

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or transporting that cold air in the wind chills

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are ranging from nine degrees to 20 degrees.

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Single digit wind chills in Florida. That is

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physically painful. It really is. I want to talk

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about wind chill for a second, because some people

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think it's kind of a made up metric. But there's

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real physics there, isn't there? It is very real

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thermodynamics. Your body generates heat, right?

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And it creates this thin little layer of warm

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air right next to your skin. It's like an invisible

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force field of warmth. When the wind blows, it

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just strips that layer away. It's gone. So your

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body has to work overtime to generate new heat

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to replace it. And the faster the wind, the faster

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that heat loss happens. So when they say the

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wind chill is nine degrees. It means your body

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is losing heat. at the same rate it would if

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it were actually nine degrees outside with no

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wind. Which means hypothermia isn't just a risk,

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it's a probability if you aren't prepared. It

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is life -threatening for those without shelter.

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Yeah. Absolutely. And the NWS Kalahasi office

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put out a very specific reminder about the four

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P's. I love a good mnemonic device. It helps

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the information stick when you're panicked, you

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know. Let's hear it. People, pets, plants, and

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pipes. Okay. You need to check on... people,

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especially elderly or anyone without adequate

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heating. Bring the pets inside. If you're cold,

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they're cold. It's that simple. Right. Cover

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or bring in your sensitive plants. Right. And

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the last one, pipes, is the one that causes the

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most expensive damage. Let's drill down on the

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pipes for a second. Why do pipes actually burst?

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I think people assume the ice just blocks the

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pipe and cracks it from the inside, but it's

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more about pressure, isn't it? Exactly. As the

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water freezes inside the pipe, it expands. We

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all know that. But the burst usually doesn't

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happen right where the ice is. The ice creates

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a blockage and the water pressure builds up between

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that ice blockage and the closed faucet. Ah,

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it's trapped. It's trapped. That pressure has

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nowhere to go and eventually it just ruptures

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the pipe. That's why letting a faucet drip is

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so effective. It relieves that pressure. It gives

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it an escape valve. It relieves that pressure

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buildup. It's such a good reminder. We often

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forget about pipes in Florida because we just

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don't deal with this duration of cold very often.

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A few hours of freezing. The pipes are usually

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insulated enough by the ground warmth, but 24

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degrees for eight hours straight. That penetrates

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the walls. Yeah. The duration allows the cold

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to soak deep into the infrastructure. Now, let's

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slide down I -75 into central Florida and the

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Tampa Bay area. This is what I'm calling the

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danger zone, and mainly because people here are

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even less prepared than the folks in the panhandle.

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That's a fair assessment. Up north, they at least

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have fireplaces. In Tampa, we have Linnae. Ah,

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it chuckles. That's right. The architecture changes

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as you go south, doesn't it? We build our homes

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to release heat, not to trap it. and the data

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shows exactly why they need to be on alert. We

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have freeze watches and warnings extending deep

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into the peninsula. I saw Brooksville is forecast

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to plummet to 25 degrees. I mean, that is a hard

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freeze. Yes, and even Tampa proper is looking

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at 36 degrees, with inline areas of Pasco and

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Hillsborough counties facing those hard freezing

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conditions. And this is where topography really,

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really matters. If you live in a low -lying area,

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Cold air is dense. It sinks. It flows like water.

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It flows like water into the valleys and depressions.

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So while the airport might officially read 36,

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your backyard in Little Valley could easily be

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30. And it's interesting, the forecast discussion

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from Tampa mentioned that the showers are ending

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early this morning, Monday. So the story transitions

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so rapidly from, is it going to rain, to just

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pure cold? Correct. The rain is the leading edge.

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But the real story is the air mass behind it.

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The one saving grace for Central Florida, according

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to that forecast discussion, is that the winds

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are expected to stay below 15 mph. So not quite

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the howling gales of a blizzard, but still. Still,

00:11:34.299 --> 00:11:37.840
10 to 15 miles per hour at 30 degrees cuts right

00:11:37.840 --> 00:11:40.679
through you. Oh, yeah. And for agriculture, for

00:11:40.679 --> 00:11:43.100
the strawberry farmers in Plant City, for the

00:11:43.100 --> 00:11:45.720
remaining citrus groves, these temperatures are

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absolutely critical. Let's talk about the strawberries

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for just a second. If you drive past those fields

00:11:49.620 --> 00:11:51.519
tonight, you might see them spraying water on

00:11:51.519 --> 00:11:54.299
the plants, which seems completely insane. You're

00:11:54.299 --> 00:11:56.299
spraying water and freezing temperatures, but

00:11:56.299 --> 00:11:58.539
there's some incredible science there, too. It

00:11:58.539 --> 00:12:01.120
is a brilliant application of physics. It's called

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the heat of fusion. As water turns from a liquid

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to solid ice, it actually releases latent heat

00:12:07.620 --> 00:12:10.700
energy. It releases heat. It does. So farmers

00:12:10.700 --> 00:12:12.899
spray the plants to encase the berries in a layer

00:12:12.899 --> 00:12:15.559
of ice. As long as that water is continuously

00:12:15.559 --> 00:12:18.039
freezing, the temperature inside that little

00:12:18.039 --> 00:12:21.700
ice cocoon stays right at 32 degrees. Wow. It

00:12:21.700 --> 00:12:24.580
won't drop below that. So the ice acts as a heater.

00:12:24.909 --> 00:12:28.210
In a way, yes, it acts as a shield against the

00:12:28.210 --> 00:12:31.429
much colder sub -freezing air, keeping the plant

00:12:31.429 --> 00:12:33.789
tissue just warm enough to survive. But you have

00:12:33.789 --> 00:12:36.409
to keep the water on. But it requires constant

00:12:36.409 --> 00:12:39.409
water. If the water stops, the evaporative cooling

00:12:39.409 --> 00:12:42.009
takes over and the crop is lost in minutes. It's

00:12:42.009 --> 00:12:44.669
a high stakes game. And even moving further south,

00:12:44.870 --> 00:12:46.490
you know, usually we say South Florida, you're

00:12:46.490 --> 00:12:49.190
fine. But looking at Miami and Naples, you are

00:12:49.190 --> 00:12:51.610
not escaping this pattern. No, the chill goes

00:12:51.610 --> 00:12:54.690
all the way to the Keys. Miami will see some

00:12:54.690 --> 00:12:56.830
light rain lingering through Monday afternoon,

00:12:57.169 --> 00:12:59.350
which will keep the temperature suppressed. And

00:12:59.350 --> 00:13:02.409
then that dry air takes over. Now, we aren't

00:13:02.409 --> 00:13:04.909
seeing a freeze in downtown Miami. The urban

00:13:04.909 --> 00:13:07.590
heat island effect and the proximity to the warm

00:13:07.590 --> 00:13:09.769
ocean helps there. Right. But we are looking

00:13:09.769 --> 00:13:11.509
at temperatures dropping into the 40s. Which

00:13:11.509 --> 00:13:13.529
for a Miami resident requires breaking out the

00:13:13.529 --> 00:13:16.009
heavy goat. That's true winter. It's definitively

00:13:16.009 --> 00:13:18.710
heater weather compared to the norm. And similar

00:13:18.710 --> 00:13:20.850
to the north, the duration matters. It's going

00:13:20.850 --> 00:13:22.929
to be chilly for days, not just for a few hours.

00:13:23.190 --> 00:13:25.389
You know, when we talk about cold in Florida,

00:13:25.649 --> 00:13:28.419
there is always this sense of... Has this happened

00:13:28.419 --> 00:13:31.740
before? We have such short memories. We do. We

00:13:31.740 --> 00:13:34.539
only remember the beach days. But looking at

00:13:34.539 --> 00:13:37.539
the history books, Florida has a really, really

00:13:37.539 --> 00:13:40.139
wild relationship with cold weather. And there's

00:13:40.139 --> 00:13:43.159
one date that I think every Floridian either

00:13:43.159 --> 00:13:45.379
remembers or has heard their grandparents talk

00:13:45.379 --> 00:13:49.799
about. January 19, 1977. the day it snowed in

00:13:49.799 --> 00:13:52.440
Miami. It is the headline event of Florida weather

00:13:52.440 --> 00:13:54.940
history. It's legendary. It sounds like a myth,

00:13:54.940 --> 00:13:56.620
doesn't it? If you didn't see the photos, you

00:13:56.620 --> 00:13:58.580
wouldn't believe it actually happened. But let's

00:13:58.580 --> 00:14:01.919
unpack the meteorological story of 1977 because

00:14:01.919 --> 00:14:04.779
there are some eerie similarities to what we

00:14:04.779 --> 00:14:07.259
are seeing this week, even if the result isn't

00:14:07.259 --> 00:14:09.539
quite as extreme. There are similarities in the

00:14:09.539 --> 00:14:12.320
broad strokes for sure. In 1977, just like today,

00:14:12.320 --> 00:14:15.120
we had a strong Arctic front move through. But

00:14:15.120 --> 00:14:18.110
the setup then was just It was perfectly aligned

00:14:18.110 --> 00:14:19.950
to funnel air straight from the deep Arctic.

00:14:20.330 --> 00:14:22.789
There was a massive, incredibly strong, high

00:14:22.789 --> 00:14:25.190
pressure system situated right over the Mississippi

00:14:25.190 --> 00:14:26.850
River Valley. So it acted like a giant pump.

00:14:27.289 --> 00:14:29.710
Exactly. We call it meridional flow. Instead

00:14:29.710 --> 00:14:32.149
of the jet stream moving west to east, it took

00:14:32.149 --> 00:14:35.470
this massive dive south. It pumped that frigid

00:14:35.470 --> 00:14:37.409
air all the way down the spine of the continent.

00:14:37.409 --> 00:14:41.649
Yeah. And what made 1977 so unique was that there

00:14:41.649 --> 00:14:45.259
was an upper level trough a dip in the atmosphere's

00:14:45.259 --> 00:14:47.980
pressure high up in the sky that brought a band

00:14:47.980 --> 00:14:51.080
of clouds and precipitation right along with

00:14:51.080 --> 00:14:53.820
that cold air. Which is the opposite of what's

00:14:53.820 --> 00:14:56.659
happening now. The exact opposite. Usually, like

00:14:56.659 --> 00:14:58.639
we just discussed, the cold air brings clear

00:14:58.639 --> 00:15:01.820
skies. In 77, the moisture and the cold arrived

00:15:01.820 --> 00:15:05.019
together. And that collision created. Well, it

00:15:05.019 --> 00:15:07.059
created magic. I've read the accounts of people

00:15:07.059 --> 00:15:10.850
stopping their cars on I -95. It was chaos. Beautiful

00:15:10.850 --> 00:15:13.730
chaos, but chaos. People were stopping on the

00:15:13.730 --> 00:15:15.289
highway, getting out of their cars just to look

00:15:15.289 --> 00:15:17.429
up at the sky. I mean, you have to remember,

00:15:17.769 --> 00:15:19.649
many of these people had never seen snow in their

00:15:19.649 --> 00:15:21.590
entire lives. They didn't know what it was. They

00:15:21.590 --> 00:15:24.370
didn't. In fact, initial reports show that people

00:15:24.370 --> 00:15:26.049
were calling the police thinking there was a

00:15:26.049 --> 00:15:27.929
chemical fire nearby and ash was falling from

00:15:27.929 --> 00:15:30.350
the sky. Wow. They couldn't process that it was

00:15:30.350 --> 00:15:32.750
snow. The visuals are just incredible. I saw

00:15:32.750 --> 00:15:35.429
a picture from the Miami Herald archives showing

00:15:35.429 --> 00:15:38.649
a headline that just said snow in Miami in these

00:15:38.649 --> 00:15:41.429
giant letters. It was a souvenir edition. And

00:15:41.429 --> 00:15:44.549
for good reason, we are talking about snow flurries

00:15:44.549 --> 00:15:47.769
being reported as far south as Homestead. Homestead.

00:15:48.029 --> 00:15:50.049
That is practically the tropics. I mean, that's

00:15:50.049 --> 00:15:52.850
as far south as you can get. It is the southernmost

00:15:52.850 --> 00:15:55.970
snow record in the contiguous United States.

00:15:55.970 --> 00:15:57.889
It happened at the Homestead Air Force Base.

00:15:58.669 --> 00:16:01.269
And here is a fact that always, always blows

00:16:01.269 --> 00:16:04.870
my mind. Go on. Freeport, Bahamas, reported mixed

00:16:04.870 --> 00:16:07.549
rain and snow. The Bahamas? You're kidding me.

00:16:07.590 --> 00:16:10.590
The Bahamas. It is the only known snowfall in

00:16:10.590 --> 00:16:14.009
their 358 -year recorded history. That is insane.

00:16:14.230 --> 00:16:17.690
That is how powerful and how deep that 1977 cold

00:16:17.690 --> 00:16:19.909
wave was. It pushed the temperature zone deep

00:16:19.909 --> 00:16:22.049
into the subtropics. And the temperature in Miami

00:16:22.049 --> 00:16:24.289
that day, what was the high? The high temperature,

00:16:24.409 --> 00:16:27.009
the high for the day was only 47 degrees Fahrenheit.

00:16:27.309 --> 00:16:29.529
That is just miserable. But of course, while

00:16:29.529 --> 00:16:31.350
we look back on it with a sense of nostalgia

00:16:31.350 --> 00:16:33.970
and wonder, oh, the day the palm trees turned

00:16:33.970 --> 00:16:36.549
white. At the time, it wasn't just fun flakes.

00:16:36.690 --> 00:16:38.629
It was an absolute disaster. It was an economic

00:16:38.629 --> 00:16:40.909
catastrophe. We have to remember Florida is the

00:16:40.909 --> 00:16:43.029
winter salad bowl for the entire East Coast.

00:16:43.470 --> 00:16:46.429
When you drop temperatures that low, things die.

00:16:46.590 --> 00:16:49.789
The numbers are just spaggering. In 1977 currency,

00:16:49.970 --> 00:16:52.750
the damage was estimated at two billion dollars.

00:16:52.929 --> 00:16:55.429
Two billion. If you adjust that for inflation

00:16:55.429 --> 00:16:58.490
today, it's astronomical. They lost 35 percent

00:16:58.490 --> 00:17:01.269
of the citrus crop. They lost 95 percent of the

00:17:01.269 --> 00:17:03.830
vegetables. 95 percent. That means if you were

00:17:03.830 --> 00:17:06.430
a vegetable farmer in Dade County, you were wiped

00:17:06.430 --> 00:17:08.950
out. Your entire year was gone. Completely wiped

00:17:08.950 --> 00:17:11.769
out. And the political context of this is fascinating,

00:17:11.950 --> 00:17:14.849
too. This happened on January 19th. The very

00:17:14.849 --> 00:17:18.690
next day, January 20th, 1977, Jimmy Carter was

00:17:18.690 --> 00:17:20.869
inaugurated as president. So his first day on

00:17:20.869 --> 00:17:23.069
the gop. One of his first actions was declaring

00:17:23.069 --> 00:17:26.849
a disaster area for 35 Florida counties. Wow.

00:17:27.390 --> 00:17:29.190
Imagine that being your introduction to the Oval

00:17:29.190 --> 00:17:31.349
Office. But he was a peanut farmer from Georgia.

00:17:31.869 --> 00:17:34.450
He understood agriculture. He knew exactly what

00:17:34.450 --> 00:17:36.869
that freeze meant for the livelihoods of thousands

00:17:36.869 --> 00:17:39.130
of people. It really highlights how vulnerable

00:17:39.130 --> 00:17:41.589
the state is, doesn't it? We build our lives

00:17:41.589 --> 00:17:44.349
here assuming a tropical climate and then nature

00:17:44.349 --> 00:17:46.670
just reminds us that the continent is right there

00:17:46.670 --> 00:17:49.430
to the north, waiting to spill over. We aren't

00:17:49.430 --> 00:17:51.609
an island, no matter how much we sometimes feel

00:17:51.609 --> 00:17:53.890
like one. That connects perfectly to the why

00:17:53.890 --> 00:17:56.990
of this week's weather. We are attached to North

00:17:56.990 --> 00:18:00.420
America. When the gates open up north, when that

00:18:00.420 --> 00:18:03.619
Arctic oscillation goes negative, there is nothing

00:18:03.619 --> 00:18:06.099
geographically to stop that air from sliding

00:18:06.099 --> 00:18:07.920
down the plains and hitting us. There are no

00:18:07.920 --> 00:18:10.240
mountains. No mountain ranges running east -west

00:18:10.240 --> 00:18:12.779
to block it. It's a straight shot. Now, 1977

00:18:12.779 --> 00:18:15.910
was the snow event. But if we want to talk about

00:18:15.910 --> 00:18:18.789
the grind, that feeling of coal that just won't

00:18:18.789 --> 00:18:20.690
go away, which is what we are forecasting for

00:18:20.690 --> 00:18:23.430
this week in 2026, we really need to look at

00:18:23.430 --> 00:18:26.549
January 2010. January 2010 is the best modern

00:18:26.549 --> 00:18:30.710
comparison for duration. 1977 was a sharp, violent

00:18:30.710 --> 00:18:33.640
shock. 2010 was a marathon. I remember that winter.

00:18:33.700 --> 00:18:35.740
It felt like it lasted forever. I distinctly

00:18:35.740 --> 00:18:37.599
remember seeing iguanas falling out of trees

00:18:37.599 --> 00:18:39.460
on the news. That became a global news story,

00:18:39.599 --> 00:18:42.240
the frozen iguanas. But biologically, that happens

00:18:42.240 --> 00:18:44.740
because they are cold blooded. When the temps

00:18:44.740 --> 00:18:47.640
drop into the 40s, their bodies just shut down,

00:18:47.680 --> 00:18:50.619
they lose their grip and they fall. But beyond

00:18:50.619 --> 00:18:54.880
the reptiles, 2010 was a 12 -day cold snap. For

00:18:54.880 --> 00:18:57.799
us meteorologists, the consistency was the story.

00:18:57.920 --> 00:19:00.420
We saw this blocking pattern in the atmosphere,

00:19:00.779 --> 00:19:03.400
likely a Greenland block, that just kept the

00:19:03.400 --> 00:19:05.599
cold air flowing. I was looking at the data for

00:19:05.599 --> 00:19:08.099
West Palm Beach from that event. It is unbelievable.

00:19:08.380 --> 00:19:10.619
It really is. West Palm Beach had 12 straight

00:19:10.619 --> 00:19:13.680
days with low temperatures at or below 45 degrees.

00:19:13.880 --> 00:19:16.400
12 straight days. That broke records going all

00:19:16.400 --> 00:19:18.900
the way back to 1940. That means for nearly two

00:19:18.900 --> 00:19:21.079
weeks you could not go outside without a coat

00:19:21.079 --> 00:19:24.119
in West Palm Beach. That's just... That's not

00:19:24.119 --> 00:19:25.980
Florida. And it wasn't just the nights. The days

00:19:25.980 --> 00:19:28.539
were cold. There were days where the highs barely

00:19:28.539 --> 00:19:31.160
got out of the 40s or low 50s. And the consequences

00:19:31.160 --> 00:19:33.319
of that, again, we go right back to agriculture.

00:19:33.579 --> 00:19:36.259
Yes, 500 million dollars in crop losses in 2010.

00:19:36.660 --> 00:19:39.079
But there's also a human toll that we absolutely

00:19:39.079 --> 00:19:42.140
need to acknowledge. In 2010, there were fatalities

00:19:42.140 --> 00:19:45.319
due to exposure. Right. I remember reading about

00:19:45.319 --> 00:19:47.619
a homeless individual in Hollywood, Florida who

00:19:47.619 --> 00:19:49.970
passed away. And it's just a tragic reminder.

00:19:50.109 --> 00:19:52.069
When we talk about checking your neighbors or

00:19:52.069 --> 00:19:55.130
the four P's, it's not just a slogan. In Florida,

00:19:55.589 --> 00:19:57.849
people are not equipped for 12 days of cold.

00:19:58.349 --> 00:20:00.369
Our homes aren't insulated for it. Like we said,

00:20:00.509 --> 00:20:02.930
we build homes to breathe, to let heat out. People

00:20:02.930 --> 00:20:04.549
don't own the right clothes. They don't have

00:20:04.549 --> 00:20:06.809
the heavy clothing for it. And the homeless population

00:20:06.809 --> 00:20:09.809
is extremely vulnerable to that prolonged exposure.

00:20:10.000 --> 00:20:12.920
It really reinforces why this week's forecast

00:20:12.920 --> 00:20:17.079
for 2026 is so critical. If this drags on, the

00:20:17.079 --> 00:20:19.460
risk just accumulates. It's not about surviving

00:20:19.460 --> 00:20:22.299
one night. No. It's about the cumulative stress

00:20:22.299 --> 00:20:24.819
on the body and on the infrastructure. Precisely.

00:20:25.049 --> 00:20:27.849
And just to add one more detail to 2010, it proved

00:20:27.849 --> 00:20:30.470
that 1977 wasn't entirely unique when it comes

00:20:30.470 --> 00:20:33.289
to precipitation. In January 2010, there were

00:20:33.289 --> 00:20:35.930
actually reports of sleet and snow in Orlando

00:20:35.930 --> 00:20:37.890
and Melbourne. That's right. I totally forgot

00:20:37.890 --> 00:20:40.269
about the Space Coast getting sleet. It happens.

00:20:40.890 --> 00:20:43.230
It's rare. But when you have that much cold air

00:20:43.230 --> 00:20:45.950
in place for that long, all it takes is a tiny

00:20:45.950 --> 00:20:48.029
little bit of moisture to wring out and produce

00:20:48.029 --> 00:20:50.450
something wintry. Okay, so we've done the nostalgia

00:20:50.450 --> 00:20:53.210
trip to the 70s. We've relived the grind of 2010.

00:20:54.009 --> 00:20:56.329
But if we really want to understand why Florida

00:20:56.329 --> 00:20:58.549
looks the way it does today, I mean why the oranges

00:20:58.549 --> 00:21:01.130
are where they are, we have to go way back. Way

00:21:01.130 --> 00:21:03.329
back. We have to go to the 19th century. The

00:21:03.329 --> 00:21:07.089
great freeze of 1894 and 1895. This is the event

00:21:07.089 --> 00:21:09.170
that changed everything. It was a landscape change.

00:21:09.210 --> 00:21:11.859
Yeah. Literally. Yeah. Before this winter, the

00:21:11.859 --> 00:21:14.599
heart of the Florida citrus industry wasn't in

00:21:14.599 --> 00:21:16.900
central or south Florida. No way. It was in north

00:21:16.900 --> 00:21:19.700
Florida, around Jacksonville, St. Augustine,

00:21:20.000 --> 00:21:22.660
all along the St. Johns River. That seems unimaginable

00:21:22.660 --> 00:21:25.640
now. Growing oranges in Jacksonville, that's

00:21:25.640 --> 00:21:28.519
almost Georgia. It was thriving. They were producing

00:21:28.519 --> 00:21:30.960
millions of boxes of fruit. The railroads were

00:21:30.960 --> 00:21:33.240
built specifically to haul this fruit north.

00:21:33.779 --> 00:21:37.789
But then came the winter of 1894 -95. And it

00:21:37.789 --> 00:21:40.210
wasn't just one freeze. It was the one -two punch

00:21:40.210 --> 00:21:43.190
that made it so deadly. Explain that mechanism,

00:21:43.250 --> 00:21:45.490
because this is fascinating biology. It wasn't

00:21:45.490 --> 00:21:47.170
just the cold. It was the timing of it all. It

00:21:47.170 --> 00:21:50.490
was a biological trap. So punch one comes in

00:21:50.490 --> 00:21:54.779
December of 1894. A severe freeze hits. It damages

00:21:54.779 --> 00:21:57.559
the trees, it defoliates them, strips all the

00:21:57.559 --> 00:22:00.119
leaves off, but it doesn't kill the mature trees

00:22:00.119 --> 00:22:02.779
outright. OK, so the trees are hurt, but they're

00:22:02.779 --> 00:22:05.200
alive. They go into a sort of triage mode. Right.

00:22:05.619 --> 00:22:08.019
But then, in typical Florida weather fashion,

00:22:08.220 --> 00:22:10.519
it warms up. January comes around. It's warm

00:22:10.519 --> 00:22:12.819
and pleasant. The trees think, OK, the danger

00:22:12.819 --> 00:22:15.500
has passed. Time for survival mode. They start

00:22:15.500 --> 00:22:17.140
pushing out new growth. They flush with sap.

00:22:17.200 --> 00:22:19.480
They let their guard down. Completely. To grow

00:22:19.480 --> 00:22:21.900
those new, tender leaves, the tree has to fill

00:22:21.900 --> 00:22:24.359
its vascular system, the cambium layer, right

00:22:24.359 --> 00:22:26.839
under the bark with fluid, with water and sugars.

00:22:27.440 --> 00:22:29.440
So the tree is literally completely full of liquid.

00:22:29.599 --> 00:22:32.180
It is gorged with sap. And then punch two arrives.

00:22:32.299 --> 00:22:36.319
February 1895. A massive killer freeze. And because

00:22:36.319 --> 00:22:38.839
the trees were active and full of sap, the freezing

00:22:38.839 --> 00:22:40.920
temperatures literally split the bark from top

00:22:40.920 --> 00:22:43.759
to bottom. It just exploded the trees. Essentially.

00:22:43.980 --> 00:22:47.059
The sap froze, expanded, as water does when it

00:22:47.059 --> 00:22:49.960
turns to ice, and it ruptured the trees. The

00:22:49.960 --> 00:22:52.980
result was total devastation. Citrus production

00:22:52.980 --> 00:22:55.339
in the state dropped from 6 million boxes to

00:22:55.339 --> 00:22:59.319
just 100 ,000. From 6 million to 100 ,000, that

00:22:59.319 --> 00:23:01.599
isn't a loss. That is an extinction event for

00:23:01.599 --> 00:23:04.339
an entire industry in that region. That is why

00:23:04.339 --> 00:23:06.920
the growers moved south. They realized North

00:23:06.920 --> 00:23:09.440
Florida was just too risky. They packed up and

00:23:09.440 --> 00:23:12.460
they moved to central and south Florida. The

00:23:12.460 --> 00:23:14.799
reason you drink orange juice from Groves and

00:23:14.799 --> 00:23:17.579
Polk or DeSoto counties today is because of that

00:23:17.579 --> 00:23:21.319
specific winter in 1895. It shifted the economic

00:23:21.319 --> 00:23:23.539
center of gravity of the entire state. And the

00:23:23.539 --> 00:23:25.480
records from that time, they still stand, don't

00:23:25.480 --> 00:23:28.259
they? They do. Orlando set its all -time record

00:23:28.259 --> 00:23:31.779
low of 18 degrees Fahrenheit in December 1894.

00:23:32.099 --> 00:23:34.299
We have not beaten that since. 18 degrees in

00:23:34.299 --> 00:23:36.180
Orlando, I can't even process that number. It

00:23:36.180 --> 00:23:38.519
puts this week's 30 degree weather into perspective,

00:23:38.680 --> 00:23:41.220
doesn't it? It's cold, but it's not 1895 gold.

00:23:41.579 --> 00:23:43.160
Thank goodness for that. But, you know, we don't

00:23:43.160 --> 00:23:45.279
always have to look back to black and white photos

00:23:45.279 --> 00:23:48.079
to find extreme weather. We have some very recent

00:23:48.079 --> 00:23:49.500
memories that I think are going to be triggered

00:23:49.500 --> 00:23:51.539
for our listeners this week. Absolutely. The

00:23:51.539 --> 00:23:53.319
climate is always active. There's always something.

00:23:53.599 --> 00:23:56.859
I'm thinking specifically about Christmas 2022.

00:23:57.359 --> 00:24:00.099
Oh, yes. The cold Christmas. Everyone remembers

00:24:00.099 --> 00:24:02.319
that. You were probably bundled up just opening

00:24:02.319 --> 00:24:04.759
presents in your living room. that was officially

00:24:04.759 --> 00:24:08.920
categorized as a significant Florida impact freeze.

00:24:09.539 --> 00:24:11.599
It was one of the coldest holidays on record

00:24:11.599 --> 00:24:14.539
for much of the state. And it's fresh in people's

00:24:14.539 --> 00:24:17.279
minds. It reminds us that these Arctic outbreaks

00:24:17.279 --> 00:24:20.200
are still very much a part of our modern climate.

00:24:20.759 --> 00:24:22.339
It wasn't that long ago we were shivering around

00:24:22.339 --> 00:24:25.289
the Christmas tree. And even more recently, and

00:24:25.289 --> 00:24:27.349
this one is truly wild, we have to talk about

00:24:27.349 --> 00:24:30.890
just last year, January 2025. Just one year ago,

00:24:31.150 --> 00:24:35.970
January 21st and 22nd, 2025. If 1977 was the

00:24:35.970 --> 00:24:38.789
snow in Miami headline, 2025 was the panhandle

00:24:38.789 --> 00:24:41.839
blizzard. It really was. We saw a historic winter

00:24:41.839 --> 00:24:44.420
storm track right along the Gulf of Mexico coast.

00:24:44.980 --> 00:24:47.680
But unlike the dry cold we were seeing this week

00:24:47.680 --> 00:24:51.680
in 2026, that 2025 storm had moisture wrapped

00:24:51.680 --> 00:24:53.680
into it. It tapped into the Gulf. It tapped into

00:24:53.680 --> 00:24:56.259
the Gulf of Mexico, yes. And the snowfall totals

00:24:56.259 --> 00:24:58.640
were, they were legitimate. This wasn't just

00:24:58.640 --> 00:25:01.150
flurries. They were significant. Tinscola Airport

00:25:01.150 --> 00:25:04.369
officially recorded 8 .9 inches of snow. Nearly

00:25:04.369 --> 00:25:06.829
9 inches of snow in Pensacola. That is a good

00:25:06.829 --> 00:25:09.829
winter storm in Chicago. Exactly. Escambia County

00:25:09.829 --> 00:25:13.069
saw up to 10 inches in some spots. And even Tallahassee,

00:25:13.130 --> 00:25:15.269
the state capital, got nearly 2 inches of snow.

00:25:15.549 --> 00:25:18.109
And that contrast is so important for understanding

00:25:18.109 --> 00:25:20.509
meteorology, isn't it? Last year, we had the

00:25:20.509 --> 00:25:22.950
cold and the moisture. This week, 2026, we had

00:25:22.950 --> 00:25:26.130
the cold. But the air is bone dry. That is the

00:25:26.130 --> 00:25:28.759
difference between a winter wonderland at a hard

00:25:28.759 --> 00:25:32.380
damaging freeze. Yeah. The snow in 2025 actually

00:25:32.380 --> 00:25:34.299
insulated some things. Oh, that's interesting.

00:25:34.599 --> 00:25:37.160
Snow is a great insulator because of all the

00:25:37.160 --> 00:25:40.440
air trapped between the flakes. The dry cold

00:25:40.440 --> 00:25:42.839
this week, it just desiccates everything. It

00:25:42.839 --> 00:25:45.380
zaps the life right out of the plant. So in some

00:25:45.380 --> 00:25:48.900
ways, this dry polled can be sneakier and more

00:25:48.900 --> 00:25:51.440
damaging to agriculture than a flashy snowstorm.

00:25:51.680 --> 00:25:53.720
It's the silent killer of the garden. It is.

00:25:53.779 --> 00:25:55.960
Absolutely. Before we wrap up, I want to zoom

00:25:55.960 --> 00:25:59.000
out for a minute. Because we Floridians can get

00:25:59.000 --> 00:26:01.980
a little self -centered with our weather. Chuckles.

00:26:02.380 --> 00:26:04.880
Just a little bit. We think 40 degrees is the

00:26:04.880 --> 00:26:07.279
apocalypse. But if we look at the national map

00:26:07.279 --> 00:26:09.559
right now, the context is really important. This

00:26:09.559 --> 00:26:11.680
is the be glad you were here section of the show.

00:26:11.880 --> 00:26:13.880
It really is. If you look at the weather prediction

00:26:13.880 --> 00:26:16.059
center outlook for this week, the rest of the

00:26:16.059 --> 00:26:19.059
country is dealing with some serious winter ferocity.

00:26:19.279 --> 00:26:21.319
So what are we seeing up north? The Northeast

00:26:21.319 --> 00:26:23.880
is currently getting hammered. There is a major

00:26:23.880 --> 00:26:26.420
winter storm exiting the region that is dropping

00:26:26.420 --> 00:26:30.819
heavy wet snow. We are talking 20 plus inches

00:26:30.819 --> 00:26:33.940
in parts of New England. 20 inches. So shoveling

00:26:33.940 --> 00:26:37.019
out your car for hours, power outages, travel

00:26:37.019 --> 00:26:39.900
nightmares, all of it. And then on the other

00:26:39.900 --> 00:26:42.140
side of the country, the Pacific Northwest is

00:26:42.140 --> 00:26:44.440
dealing with an atmospheric river. That sounds

00:26:44.440 --> 00:26:47.180
intense. It's a fire hose of moisture from the

00:26:47.180 --> 00:26:49.559
Pacific, and it's targeting Washington state

00:26:49.559 --> 00:26:52.180
with heavy rain and major flooding potential.

00:26:52.380 --> 00:26:54.680
And the middle of the country, the heartland.

00:26:54.940 --> 00:26:58.460
The interior, sub -zero temperatures. We are

00:26:58.460 --> 00:27:00.779
seeing actual air temperature readings below

00:27:00.779 --> 00:27:03.279
zero in the Ohio Valley and the Northern Plains.

00:27:03.500 --> 00:27:06.319
Not Windchill. Actual temperature. Actual air

00:27:06.319 --> 00:27:08.900
temperature. So when we are complaining about

00:27:08.900 --> 00:27:12.259
it being 36 degrees in Tampa... We are escaping

00:27:12.259 --> 00:27:15.599
the ice accumulations. We are escaping the shovels.

00:27:15.660 --> 00:27:17.819
We are escaping the sub -zero wind chills that

00:27:17.819 --> 00:27:21.039
cause frostbite in minutes. Florida is freezing

00:27:21.039 --> 00:27:23.160
by its own standards, but compared to the Mid

00:27:23.160 --> 00:27:25.240
-Atlantic and the Northeast, this week we're

00:27:25.240 --> 00:27:27.279
getting off easy. It is all about perspective,

00:27:27.400 --> 00:27:29.740
isn't it? I'll take a sweater over a snow shovel

00:27:29.740 --> 00:27:31.660
any day of the week. I agree with you there.

00:27:31.740 --> 00:27:33.660
So what does this all mean for you listening

00:27:33.660 --> 00:27:36.539
right now? It means we are in for a week that

00:27:36.539 --> 00:27:39.200
is going to test our patience and our preparation.

00:27:39.859 --> 00:27:42.579
This is not a drill. The cold is here, and it

00:27:42.579 --> 00:27:45.339
is staying for dinner all week long. It is a

00:27:45.339 --> 00:27:48.619
time to be vigilant. Watch the fire danger with

00:27:48.619 --> 00:27:51.680
this dry air. Protect your pipes. Go out and

00:27:51.680 --> 00:27:53.819
wrap them up. Check on your neighbors, especially

00:27:53.819 --> 00:27:57.079
the elderly. And really respect the duration

00:27:57.079 --> 00:27:59.380
of this event. Don't let your guard down on Wednesday

00:27:59.380 --> 00:28:02.259
just because you survived Monday night. And hey,

00:28:02.519 --> 00:28:04.359
document it. I want to know what your backyard

00:28:04.359 --> 00:28:06.599
thermometer says. Take a picture, screenshot

00:28:06.599 --> 00:28:08.539
your weather app. This is weather history in

00:28:08.539 --> 00:28:10.599
the making, even if it's just a really cold week

00:28:10.599 --> 00:28:13.480
for us. It's data. Yeah. And we love data. We

00:28:13.480 --> 00:28:15.420
do love data. And if you want to keep up with

00:28:15.420 --> 00:28:17.440
the play -by -play of this cold snap, you can

00:28:17.440 --> 00:28:19.980
follow meteorologist Rob Jones on Instagram at

00:28:20.470 --> 00:28:22.769
Meteorologist. That's simple, easy to remember.

00:28:22.930 --> 00:28:26.549
Very. On TikTok, it's TV Meteorologist. And for

00:28:26.549 --> 00:28:28.970
more deep dives just like this one, you can check

00:28:28.970 --> 00:28:31.589
out the Meteorology Matters playlist on the Rob

00:28:31.589 --> 00:28:34.869
Jones Hurricane YouTube channel. And please like,

00:28:34.930 --> 00:28:36.970
follow and rate the show wherever you're listening.

00:28:37.170 --> 00:28:38.990
It really helps us keep bringing you these stories.

00:28:39.210 --> 00:28:41.569
And it helps us justify geeking out over 19th

00:28:41.569 --> 00:28:44.509
century citrus farming biology. Exactly. We need

00:28:44.509 --> 00:28:48.079
you to validate our obsession. You've been listening

00:28:48.079 --> 00:28:50.299
to Meteorology Matters, created by meteorologist

00:28:50.299 --> 00:28:53.279
Rob Jones. Thanks for listening, and remember,

00:28:53.759 --> 00:28:54.960
meteorology always matters.
