WEBVTT

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So a major shockwave has just hit the atmospheric

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science community this week. I mean, a genuine

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earthquake. A huge one, yeah. The White House

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announced plans to, well, to dismantle the National

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Center for Atmospheric Research. NCAR, as most

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people in the field call it. This news came late

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Tuesday night, December 16th, 2025. And it has

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sent ripples not just through Boulder, Colorado,

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where NCAR is based, but... really across the

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entire global scientific community. It's a move

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that many, many leading experts are calling a

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catastrophic step back for American science.

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We're talking decades of progress at risk. It's

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a profound moment. So today we're going to unpack

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what's happening, what NCAR actually does, and

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why this is so much more than just a budget cut.

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Welcome to Meteorology Matters, the podcast that

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dives deep into the science, chaos, and stories

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behind the weather that shapes our world. This

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show was created by meteorologist Rob Jones.

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Now let's get into today's episode of Meteorology

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Matters. So this all centers on a very specific

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directive coming from the highest levels of government.

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Let's start right there. Who exactly announced

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the plan to break up NCAR? And more importantly,

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what was the official reason they gave? The announcement

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came from Russell Vought. He's the director of

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the Office of Management and Budget, the OMB.

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Okay. And he didn't mince words. He declared

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the intent to functionally break up the National

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Center for Atmospheric Research. And the justification.

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It was. Well, it was explicitly political. Vought

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labeled NCAR as, and this is a direct quote,

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one of the largest sources of climate alarmism

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in the country. Climate alarmism. Wow, so that

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phrase right there, that tells you a lot about

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the motivation, doesn't it? It really does. It

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frames the research not as objective science,

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but as some kind of politically motivated advocacy.

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And this fits into a broader pattern we've seen

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of targeting research that deals with climate

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change. Exactly. But here's the interesting little

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caveat he offered, almost like an attempt to

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soften the blow. What was that? Vought promised

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that any vital activities, such as weather research,

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will be moved to another entity or location.

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So they're suggesting they can perform this kind

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of surgical extraction. Keep the good science,

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the daily weather forecasts, and just get rid

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of the bad science, the long -term climate stuff.

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That's the idea they're putting forward. It sounds,

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you know, maybe reasonable on the surface if

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you don't know the science behind it. But is

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that even possible? I mean, can you actually

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draw a clean line between weather research and

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climate research? No, absolutely not. OK. It's

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a fundamental misunderstanding of the science.

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Right. As basically every climate and weather

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expert has pointed out since this announcement,

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there is just no clean separation. It's the same

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atmosphere. It's the same atmosphere, the same

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physics, the same fluid dynamics. It's just a

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matter of timescale. You know, weather is what

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you're getting today, this hour. Climate is the

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average of that weather over, say, 30 years.

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Precisely. So the tools you use to understand

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one, the supercomputers, the models, the observational

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data, are the exact same tools you need to understand

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the other. So if you start taking a sledgehammer

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to the infrastructure that supports climate modeling,

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you are by definition damaging the infrastructure

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that supports weather forecasting. You can't

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degrade one without degrading the other. It's

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that simple. The whole premise is flawed from

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the get -go. And the reaction from the scientific

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community was immediate. Right. Especially at

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the annual American Geophysical Union meeting,

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the AGU, which was happening in New Orleans when

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the news broke. Oh, the timing was just devastating.

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The mood there was described as profoundly somber,

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almost like a funeral. I can imagine. That's

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the biggest gathering of Earth scientists in

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the world. It is. And this wasn't just, you know,

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professional concern. For many, it felt deeply

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personal. We heard from graduate students, early

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career researchers. They felt the sadness instantly.

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It's their future. It is. There was a graduate

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student, Mohammed Shizaybali, who put it perfectly.

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He said atmospheric science is fundamentally

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built on collaboration, and NCIR is the pathway

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through which we collaborate. It's the central

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hub. It's the hub, the meeting place, the shared

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library of tools that everyone depends on. And

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this announcement came after a really tough year

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for American science in general. Right. This

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wasn't an isolated event. There have been major

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federal funding cuts, scientists being fired

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or pushed into early retirement. Thousands of

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them. So this felt like the culmination of a

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long term erosion of the systems that let science

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function in this country. And you could actually

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see the statistical proof of that instability

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right there at the conference, couldn't you?

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You could. Attendance at AGU was down by a third.

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A full third. Wow. From about 30 ,000 attendees

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normally down to 20 ,000. And you saw fewer recruiters

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from universities, from federal agencies. That's

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a huge drop. It reflects this profound uncertainty

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that's plaguing the entire field. I mean, if

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you're a graduate student, why would you commit

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the next five or six years of your life to a

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field where the primary research institution

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might just disappear? It's a huge gamble. Now,

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let's shift focus to Boulder, Colorado, the home

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of NCAR. Because the local reaction was it was

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furious And it was grounded in very practical,

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everyday realities. Hundreds of protesters gathered,

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not just for NCAR, but near the Federal Facilities

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for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration,

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or NOAA, which is another agency facing huge

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cuts. And this wasn't just a small group of scientists,

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right? No, not at all. This was organized by

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community groups like Forever Indivisible Boulder.

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You had elected officials there. Representative

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Joe Naguse, Senator John Hickenlooper. The community

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sees NCAR as more than just a lab on a hill.

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Absolutely. They stress that NCAR has made a

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huge impact on humanity since 1960. And on a

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more local level, it provides hundreds of really

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important, well -paying jobs for the Boulder

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economy. It's a cornerstone of the community.

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And this is where the story takes a turn that

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is just powerfully ironic. You couldn't write

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it. The protests happened just after Boulder

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County got absolutely hammered by a severe wind

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event. We're talking winds over 100 miles per

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hour. Extreme winds. So extreme that the utility

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company, Xcel Energy, had to preemptively cut

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power to tens of thousands of customers because

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the fire danger was off the charts. So people

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are in their homes. The power is out. These incredible

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winds are howling. And what are they doing? They're

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on their phones, checking the internet for the

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latest NCAR wind speed readings. No way. Yes.

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They were relying on data from the very institution

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being threatened. in the middle of a crisis to

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know how dangerous it was outside. That perfectly

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illustrates the disconnect doesn't it? It's the

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ultimate example. One of the protesters pointed

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it out saying that this crucial local life -saving

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data source would just go away if NCAR is disestablished.

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So on one hand you have this political argument

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about alarmism and on the other you have people

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literally using NCAR's data to protect their

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homes and their families in real time. It's a

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stark contrast. It really brings the stakes of

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this whole debate down to a very real, very personal

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level. To really understand what's at stake,

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we need to dig into what NCAR actually is. Because

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it's not just another government lab, is it?

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It has a really unique structure. It's completely

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unique and it was set up that way for a very

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specific reason back in 1916. The idea was to

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create a centralized resource to tackle atmospheric

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problems that were just too big, too complex

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for any single university to handle on its own.

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So how does that work? Who actually runs it?

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It's operated by a non -profit consortium called

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the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research

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or UTR. Okay. Think of UTR as a kind of... a

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managing partner, it's made up of 129 North American

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universities. So it's the academic community

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itself that stewards NCAR, ensuring its resources

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are available to researchers and students all

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across the continent. And the funding comes primarily

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from the federal government. Its core funding

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does, yes. About half its budget, roughly $123

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million for fiscal year 2025, comes from the

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National Science Foundation, the NSF. But it

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gets other grants, too, right? It does. It pulls

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in grants for specific projects from places like

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NASA, even the Pentagon, for mission -critical

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work. So it has a diverse portfolio, but that

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NSF money is its lifeblood. And it's a huge operation.

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830 staff, most of them in Boulder. It is. And

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you can't talk about NCAR without mentioning

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the building itself. The Mesa Laboratory. It's

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an architectural icon. It really is. Designed

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by the world -renowned architect, IMP. The same

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architect who did the Louvre pyramid? The very

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same. And he designed the lab to echo the flat

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irons, those beautiful sloped rock formations

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right behind it. It's made of this pink -hued

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concrete that blends right into the landscape.

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It's a statement piece. What kind of statement?

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That fundamental science is important, that it

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deserves a home that is as foundational and as

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beautiful as the work being done inside it. It's

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a landmark. And that physical presence... really

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underscores its role, which scientists describe

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as the global mothership. That's a term you hear

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a lot. Global mothership. An international treasure.

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Because that centralization is the key to its

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success. The whole idea was to have a coordinated

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interdisciplinary approach that you just couldn't

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get in a single university department. That's

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about pooling resources. Exactly. It's so much

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more efficient. If you have one massive world

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-class tool that 129 universities can share,

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the science that comes out of it is exponentially

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better than if you had 129 separate, smaller,

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less powerful tools. Okay, so let's get specific.

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What are the key resources NCAR provides that

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a university, even a huge one, just can't replicate?

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Let's start with the big one. Supercomputing.

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Right. So NCAR operates one of the world's most

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powerful supercomputing centers, and it's specifically

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designed for Earth system modeling. We're talking

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about running models that simulate the entire

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planet's atmosphere. The entire planet. Or, you

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know, incredibly high resolution models of a

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single hurricane or tracking air pollution from

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wildfires as it moves across continents. These

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are calculations that are just... mind -bogglingly

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complex. And why can't a university just, you

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know, buy its own supercomputer? It's the scale.

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I mean, a university might have a computer cluster

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for a department, but the systems at NCAR are

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on another planet. The hardware costs tens, even

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hundreds of millions of dollars. And that's just

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to buy it. That's just to buy it. Then you have

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the building to house it, the massive cooling

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systems to keep it from melting, and a whole

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team of specialized engineers and technicians

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to keep it running 2047. So when scientists say

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losing this would cause severe damage to the

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field, they mean that for thousands of researchers

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around the world, their work would just stop.

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Full stop. It wouldn't happen. It's the difference

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between having a family car and having access

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to a Formula One race track with a full pit crew.

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They're not comparable. That's a great analogy.

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So that's the first key resource. What's the

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second? The second is its collection of specialized

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observational resources. The crown jewels of

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this are the research aircraft. Like the C -130s.

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Exactly. These are heavily modified military

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transport planes that are basically flying laboratories.

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They are packed floor to ceiling with custom

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radars, sensors, and all kinds of data collection

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instruments. And any researcher from a member

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university can propose a project to use one of

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these planes. That's the beauty of it. A professor

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from Penn State or the University of Oklahoma

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can write a grant to fly into the heart of a

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hurricane or to study cloud formation over the

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Arctic. And NCAR provides the plane, the pilots,

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The Whole 9 Yards. A professor at Penn State,

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Ken Davis, said that trying to do that kind of

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airborne research on your own as university would

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be totally impossible. You'd have to buy a C

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-130 for starters. And maintain it and hire specialized

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pilots who can fly in extreme weather and engineers

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who can keep these incredibly complex instruments

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working. NCAR centralizes all that cost and logistical

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headache so the scientists can just focus on

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the science. So NCAR is essentially a massive

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force multiplier for the entire scientific community.

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That's the perfect way to describe it. Okay,

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so let's go back to that charge of alarmism.

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Yeah. How does the leadership at NCAR and UCI

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respond to the accusation that their work is

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political. The president of UCR, Antonio Busalacchi

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Jr., has been very clear and very direct about

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this. He says NCAR produces apolitical science,

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period. Their job is an advocacy. Their job is

00:12:32.399 --> 00:12:35.279
not advocacy. He says the scientists are very

00:12:35.279 --> 00:12:38.080
careful not to cross over that line. Their mandate

00:12:38.080 --> 00:12:40.899
is to collect the data, run the models, and report

00:12:40.899 --> 00:12:43.690
what the science says. That's it. It's up to

00:12:43.690 --> 00:12:45.529
others to decide what to do with that information.

00:12:45.830 --> 00:12:48.629
Exactly. It's the role of policymakers, of the

00:12:48.629 --> 00:12:50.929
public, to interpret the significance of the

00:12:50.929 --> 00:12:53.809
science. The scientists just provide the objective

00:12:53.809 --> 00:12:56.669
facts about how our planet works. And that idea

00:12:56.669 --> 00:12:59.570
seems to be baked into the institution's DNA,

00:12:59.750 --> 00:13:02.570
right down to its name. It really is. The founders,

00:13:02.629 --> 00:13:06.269
back in 1960, showed incredible foresight. They

00:13:06.269 --> 00:13:08.529
deliberately named it the National Center for

00:13:08.529 --> 00:13:10.889
Atmospheric Research, not just weather research.

00:13:10.970 --> 00:13:13.009
Why was that distinction so important? Because

00:13:13.009 --> 00:13:15.210
they knew from the very beginning that climate,

00:13:15.330 --> 00:13:17.450
the long -term study of the whole system, was

00:13:17.450 --> 00:13:19.250
going to be a crucial part of their mission.

00:13:19.750 --> 00:13:22.370
They defined their scope as extending from the

00:13:22.370 --> 00:13:25.169
ocean floor to the Sun's core. A full spectrum

00:13:25.169 --> 00:13:28.190
approach. A full spectrum, holistic understanding.

00:13:28.669 --> 00:13:30.789
They knew you couldn't get better at short -term

00:13:30.789 --> 00:13:33.850
weather forecasts without understanding the long

00:13:33.850 --> 00:13:36.570
-term dynamics of the entire planet. So attacking

00:13:36.570 --> 00:13:39.070
the institution now is really an attack on that

00:13:39.070 --> 00:13:42.419
foundational 60 -year -old mission. about the

00:13:42.419 --> 00:13:44.519
theoretical damage, the loss of infrastructure.

00:13:45.179 --> 00:13:47.159
But let's ground this in really practical outcomes.

00:13:47.580 --> 00:13:50.019
What has NCAR actually done for people's safety

00:13:50.019 --> 00:13:53.200
over the years? The list of tangible, life -saving

00:13:53.200 --> 00:13:55.899
contributions is just extraordinary. And these

00:13:55.899 --> 00:13:57.940
are technologies that are in use every single

00:13:57.940 --> 00:14:00.440
day all around the world. Let's start with aviation.

00:14:00.600 --> 00:14:04.059
This is a big one. A huge one. Back in the 1980s,

00:14:04.320 --> 00:14:06.960
NCAR's research was absolutely essential in developing

00:14:06.960 --> 00:14:10.279
the technology to detect and warn against a phenomenon

00:14:10.279 --> 00:14:13.159
called wind shear. And its extreme form, the

00:14:13.159 --> 00:14:16.000
microburst. Right. A microburst is this intense

00:14:16.000 --> 00:14:18.720
localized column of sinking air, usually near

00:14:18.720 --> 00:14:22.000
a thunderstorm. If a plane hits one during takeoff

00:14:22.000 --> 00:14:24.740
or landing, it can cause a sudden catastrophic

00:14:24.740 --> 00:14:27.139
loss of lift. And this was the cause of several

00:14:27.139 --> 00:14:29.639
major fatal crashes in the 70s and 80s, wasn't

00:14:29.639 --> 00:14:32.460
it? It was a huge problem. So NCAR scientists

00:14:32.460 --> 00:14:35.200
pioneered the development of specialized Doppler

00:14:35.200 --> 00:14:37.580
radar systems, both on the ground at airports

00:14:37.580 --> 00:14:39.940
and on the planes themselves. And these systems

00:14:39.940 --> 00:14:42.940
can actually see the wind shear before the plane

00:14:42.940 --> 00:14:45.879
gets there. They can. They detect those subtle

00:14:45.879 --> 00:14:48.320
shifts in air movement that signal a microburst

00:14:48.320 --> 00:14:51.700
is forming. And NCAR didn't just build the hardware.

00:14:51.980 --> 00:14:54.279
They developed the algorithms and the warning

00:14:54.279 --> 00:14:56.399
protocols that get that information to air traffic

00:14:56.399 --> 00:14:59.240
controllers and pilots in real time. So what

00:14:59.240 --> 00:15:01.980
was the result of putting these systems in airports

00:15:01.980 --> 00:15:04.460
all over the world? The result is staggering.

00:15:05.000 --> 00:15:08.159
The UCR president, Antonio Busulaki, said that

00:15:08.159 --> 00:15:11.120
since these systems became mandatory in the 1990s,

00:15:11.320 --> 00:15:13.820
there has been zero loss of life from these weather

00:15:13.820 --> 00:15:16.299
events. Wait, say that again, zero? Zero. An

00:15:16.299 --> 00:15:18.759
entire category of weather -related aviation

00:15:18.759 --> 00:15:21.440
disasters has been effectively eliminated because

00:15:21.440 --> 00:15:23.879
of this research. It has saved, in his words,

00:15:24.299 --> 00:15:27.259
countless lives worldwide. That alone feels like

00:15:27.259 --> 00:15:29.399
it justifies the entire existence of the center.

00:15:29.639 --> 00:15:32.200
Just that one achievement. It's a monumental

00:15:32.200 --> 00:15:34.039
contribution to public safety. And then you move

00:15:34.039 --> 00:15:36.139
on to other extreme weather, like hurricanes.

00:15:36.519 --> 00:15:39.220
What was NCAR's big breakthrough there? The drop

00:15:39.220 --> 00:15:41.820
zone. This is a brilliant piece of technology.

00:15:42.080 --> 00:15:44.580
It's a small tube -shaped instrument that they

00:15:44.580 --> 00:15:46.639
release for research aircraft, like the Hurricane

00:15:46.639 --> 00:15:49.440
Hunters, flying high above the storm. And it

00:15:49.440 --> 00:15:51.299
just falls through the hurricane. It parachutes

00:15:51.299 --> 00:15:53.980
down right through the eye wall in the most intense

00:15:53.980 --> 00:15:57.500
parts of the storm. And as it falls, it's constantly

00:15:57.500 --> 00:16:00.169
measuring and transmitting data, temperature,

00:16:00.450 --> 00:16:03.289
pressure, humidity, wind speed, wind direction.

00:16:03.549 --> 00:16:05.850
So you're getting a real -time vertical slice

00:16:05.850 --> 00:16:07.950
of the inside of the storm. Exactly. Something

00:16:07.950 --> 00:16:10.500
you can't get from a satellite. This technology,

00:16:10.500 --> 00:16:12.940
and I quote, revolutionized the understanding

00:16:12.940 --> 00:16:16.179
of tropical cyclone structure. And better understanding

00:16:16.179 --> 00:16:18.899
leads to better forecasts. Much better forecasts.

00:16:19.240 --> 00:16:21.559
That data feeds directly into the prediction

00:16:21.559 --> 00:16:24.759
models and significantly improves the track and

00:16:24.759 --> 00:16:27.960
especially the intensity forecasts. The impact

00:16:27.960 --> 00:16:30.379
is so fundamental that this technology has been

00:16:30.379 --> 00:16:33.500
cited in over 400 scientific papers in the last

00:16:33.500 --> 00:16:36.960
25 years. So we have life -saving hardware for

00:16:36.960 --> 00:16:40.090
aviation and hurricanes. What about the software,

00:16:40.470 --> 00:16:43.710
the models that power our daily forecasts? NCAR

00:16:43.710 --> 00:16:46.190
is the backbone for that too. They developed

00:16:46.190 --> 00:16:48.269
and they continue to maintain the weather research

00:16:48.269 --> 00:16:50.929
and forecasting model, which is known as WRF.

00:16:51.860 --> 00:16:55.419
WRF model. Right. WRF is basically the foundational

00:16:55.419 --> 00:16:58.100
software used by forecasters all over the world.

00:16:58.559 --> 00:17:01.220
Your local TV meteorologist, national weather

00:17:01.220 --> 00:17:04.339
agencies, private companies, a huge number of

00:17:04.339 --> 00:17:07.000
them are using WRF to predict everything from

00:17:07.000 --> 00:17:10.079
thunderstorms to major winter storms. So if NCAR

00:17:10.079 --> 00:17:13.200
goes away... Who maintains that code? Who keeps

00:17:13.200 --> 00:17:15.859
it updated? That is the multi -million dollar

00:17:15.859 --> 00:17:18.420
question. It's an incredibly complex piece of

00:17:18.420 --> 00:17:21.799
software used by thousands of people. Its stability

00:17:21.799 --> 00:17:24.339
and continued improvement would be immediately

00:17:24.339 --> 00:17:26.039
at risk. And then there's the climate modeling

00:17:26.039 --> 00:17:28.079
site. Which brings us to the Community Earth

00:17:28.079 --> 00:17:31.460
System Model, or CESM. This is NCAR's masterpiece.

00:17:31.660 --> 00:17:34.180
It makes it so special. It was the first fully

00:17:34.180 --> 00:17:36.480
coupled global climate model that was designed

00:17:36.480 --> 00:17:38.740
from the ground up to be open and accessible

00:17:38.740 --> 00:17:41.269
for the entire university research. community.

00:17:41.569 --> 00:17:43.950
It's the gold standard. Can you give us a real

00:17:43.950 --> 00:17:46.410
world example of how it's used to, you know,

00:17:46.609 --> 00:17:48.910
protect people? A perfect example is the research

00:17:48.910 --> 00:17:52.069
that came after the February 2021 cold snap in

00:17:52.069 --> 00:17:54.049
Texas. The one that crippled the power grid.

00:17:54.369 --> 00:17:57.789
Exactly. Hundreds of fatalities, billions in

00:17:57.789 --> 00:18:01.410
damage. Researchers use CESM to run these incredibly

00:18:01.410 --> 00:18:03.950
complex experiments to understand what large

00:18:03.950 --> 00:18:06.289
scale atmospheric patterns lead to those kinds

00:18:06.289 --> 00:18:08.809
of extreme cold outbreaks. So they're trying

00:18:08.809 --> 00:18:10.789
to find long range signals to better predict

00:18:10.789 --> 00:18:13.329
them in the future. Right. And that kind of research,

00:18:13.390 --> 00:18:15.849
which is vital for protecting our national energy

00:18:15.849 --> 00:18:18.490
grid, is just flat out impossible for a single

00:18:18.490 --> 00:18:21.289
university to do. You need the supercomputing

00:18:21.289 --> 00:18:23.609
power and the sophisticated model framework that

00:18:23.609 --> 00:18:26.730
NCAR provides through CESM. So the same institution

00:18:26.730 --> 00:18:29.849
is helping with aviation safety, hurricane forecasts,

00:18:30.009 --> 00:18:32.849
and national grid security. And wildfire behavior,

00:18:33.109 --> 00:18:34.990
and air pollution modeling, and even providing

00:18:34.990 --> 00:18:37.630
real -time operational forecasts for the military

00:18:37.630 --> 00:18:40.630
at critical sites in Alaska. It's not just abstract

00:18:40.630 --> 00:18:43.910
research, it's deeply integrated into our national

00:18:43.910 --> 00:18:46.359
safety and security. And it's so important understand

00:18:46.359 --> 00:18:49.099
that this threat to NCAR isn't happening in a

00:18:49.099 --> 00:18:51.480
vacuum. It's part of a much bigger picture, isn't

00:18:51.480 --> 00:18:54.609
it? It is. Leaders in the scientific community

00:18:54.609 --> 00:18:57.470
are calling this a fundamental disruption of

00:18:57.470 --> 00:18:59.470
the systems that allow science in this country

00:18:59.470 --> 00:19:02.470
to function. It's systemic. So we're seeing a

00:19:02.470 --> 00:19:05.069
broader erosion of the entire scientific enterprise.

00:19:05.289 --> 00:19:07.349
That's right. It's not just the NCAR announcement.

00:19:07.529 --> 00:19:09.890
The administration has been accused of removing

00:19:09.890 --> 00:19:12.410
critical climate data from government websites,

00:19:13.089 --> 00:19:15.430
of freezing or canceling grants that were already

00:19:15.430 --> 00:19:18.829
approved, of weakening environmental regulations

00:19:18.829 --> 00:19:21.650
that were based on science. It creates this atmosphere

00:19:21.650 --> 00:19:24.769
of instability. It does. And if you lose a place

00:19:24.769 --> 00:19:27.450
like NCAR, the risk isn't just that your forecast

00:19:27.450 --> 00:19:29.990
is a little less accurate tomorrow. The real

00:19:29.990 --> 00:19:32.950
danger is a slow, steady decline in our ability

00:19:32.950 --> 00:19:35.150
to ever get better. We stop making progress.

00:19:35.309 --> 00:19:37.329
We stop making progress. And as experts have

00:19:37.329 --> 00:19:39.990
warned, being more in the dark about what is

00:19:39.990 --> 00:19:42.109
coming puts lives and property at risk. It's

00:19:42.109 --> 00:19:44.930
a slow motion crisis. And to see how deep it

00:19:44.930 --> 00:19:46.750
runs, you just have to look at what's happening

00:19:46.750 --> 00:19:48.710
in our oceans. You're talking about the Ocean

00:19:48.710 --> 00:19:52.369
Observatories Initiative, the OOI? I am. another

00:19:52.369 --> 00:19:55.609
massive critical piece of scientific infrastructure

00:19:55.609 --> 00:19:58.509
that's now on the ropes. What is it, exactly?

00:19:58.650 --> 00:20:02.750
It's a huge network of buoys, moorings, and thousands

00:20:02.750 --> 00:20:05.609
of instruments at four key locations in the oceans

00:20:05.609 --> 00:20:08.150
around the U .S. And it cost a fortune to build.

00:20:08.390 --> 00:20:13.390
It did. The NSF spent $386 million to build it

00:20:13.390 --> 00:20:16.329
starting in 2009. The whole point was to have

00:20:16.329 --> 00:20:19.910
this continuous 25 -year -long stream of data

00:20:19.910 --> 00:20:21.950
on the health of our oceans. Like taking the

00:20:21.950 --> 00:20:25.509
ocean's vital signs. Perfect analogy. It's monitoring

00:20:25.509 --> 00:20:28.289
long -term shifts in ocean circulation that drive

00:20:28.289 --> 00:20:31.109
our climate, but also short -term events like

00:20:31.109 --> 00:20:33.730
marine heat waves that can devastate commercial

00:20:33.730 --> 00:20:36.170
fishing. And there's a geological aspect too,

00:20:36.250 --> 00:20:39.109
isn't there? A huge one. One of the observatories

00:20:39.109 --> 00:20:41.250
is off the coast of Oregon, and it's basically

00:20:41.250 --> 00:20:43.609
sitting on top of an underwater volcano that's

00:20:43.609 --> 00:20:46.309
overdue for a major eruption. It's also monitoring

00:20:46.309 --> 00:20:49.609
the Cascadia subduction zone. This is essential,

00:20:49.990 --> 00:20:52.789
life -saving geological research. So this massive

00:20:52.990 --> 00:20:55.529
Nearly half billion dollar system is in place,

00:20:55.529 --> 00:20:57.910
but it needs to be maintained. And that's the

00:20:57.910 --> 00:20:59.890
crisis. It needs about 40 million dollars a year

00:20:59.890 --> 00:21:02.750
to maintain its 900 instruments and the administration

00:21:02.750 --> 00:21:04.529
has slashed that funding. What's happening to

00:21:04.529 --> 00:21:06.549
the instruments now? The project leaders are

00:21:06.549 --> 00:21:09.109
saying things are starting to break. They've

00:21:09.109 --> 00:21:11.390
had to reduce how often some instruments take

00:21:11.390 --> 00:21:14.589
samples just to save money. And they estimate

00:21:14.589 --> 00:21:17.309
they only have about 12 more months of operation

00:21:17.309 --> 00:21:19.809
before the whole thing goes dark. To spend all

00:21:19.809 --> 00:21:21.930
that money to build it and then just let it fall

00:21:21.930 --> 00:21:25.700
apart. It's just staggering. It really is. And

00:21:25.700 --> 00:21:27.880
the same thing is happening at NOAA, the National

00:21:27.880 --> 00:21:30.579
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. What

00:21:30.579 --> 00:21:33.400
are the cuts looking like there? The White House

00:21:33.400 --> 00:21:37.000
has proposed cutting NOAA's budget by 27 percent.

00:21:37.380 --> 00:21:40.200
And even more alarmingly, they want to completely

00:21:40.200 --> 00:21:42.480
eliminate the Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric

00:21:42.480 --> 00:21:46.069
Research, or OAR. Which is what? OAR is the research

00:21:46.069 --> 00:21:48.170
heart of NOAA. It's the part of the agency that

00:21:48.170 --> 00:21:50.529
develops new forecast models and new technologies.

00:21:50.910 --> 00:21:53.410
It's the engine of progress. And we're already

00:21:53.410 --> 00:21:55.849
seeing layoffs at NOAA offices, including in

00:21:55.849 --> 00:21:57.849
Boulder. And all of these cuts, they don't just

00:21:57.849 --> 00:22:00.349
affect the federal agencies. They send shockwaves

00:22:00.349 --> 00:22:02.960
through academia. This is maybe the most damaging

00:22:02.960 --> 00:22:05.339
long -term effect. Universities depend on those

00:22:05.339 --> 00:22:07.839
federal grants to run their labs and, critically,

00:22:08.160 --> 00:22:10.779
to pay their graduate students. The next generation

00:22:10.779 --> 00:22:13.500
of scientists. Exactly. And when that funding

00:22:13.500 --> 00:22:16.500
becomes uncertain, the pipeline starts to break

00:22:16.500 --> 00:22:19.619
down. We saw a really stark example at the University

00:22:19.619 --> 00:22:21.980
of Rhode Island's Graduate School of Oceanography.

00:22:22.079 --> 00:22:24.500
What happened there? They had to cut their incoming

00:22:24.500 --> 00:22:27.079
class of graduate students by more than half.

00:22:27.559 --> 00:22:30.990
From 22 students down to 10? And the school said

00:22:30.990 --> 00:22:33.450
it was a direct result of the uncertainty around

00:22:33.450 --> 00:22:36.470
federal funding for ocean science. That's devastating

00:22:36.470 --> 00:22:38.630
for the future of the field. It is. And we're

00:22:38.630 --> 00:22:41.029
even seeing a shift in the kind of research that

00:22:41.029 --> 00:22:43.890
gets proposed. How so? Some universities are

00:22:43.890 --> 00:22:46.289
moving away from research on how to slow climate

00:22:46.289 --> 00:22:48.950
change, what's called mitigation, and focusing

00:22:48.950 --> 00:22:51.369
instead on how to limit its effects, which is

00:22:51.369 --> 00:22:54.049
called adaptation. Why the shift? The research

00:22:54.049 --> 00:22:56.950
suggests it's a pragmatic political choice. There's

00:22:56.950 --> 00:22:59.890
a bipartisan appetite for disaster preparedness.

00:23:00.430 --> 00:23:02.849
So if you can't get funding to study how to stop

00:23:02.849 --> 00:23:05.029
the problem, maybe you can get funding to study

00:23:05.029 --> 00:23:07.549
how to survive it. But for the scientists who

00:23:07.549 --> 00:23:09.710
have spent their careers building these incredible

00:23:09.710 --> 00:23:12.519
long -term projects like the OOI, or NCAR's models,

00:23:13.059 --> 00:23:15.299
their focus is much more immediate, isn't it?

00:23:15.519 --> 00:23:18.500
It is. Their goal right now is simply, how can

00:23:18.500 --> 00:23:20.700
we save what we built? And that brings us to

00:23:20.700 --> 00:23:23.079
the political fight. We have to be clear here.

00:23:23.500 --> 00:23:25.720
We're impartially reporting on what officials

00:23:25.720 --> 00:23:28.299
in Colorado are alleging, but the timing of these

00:23:28.299 --> 00:23:31.589
cuts... suspicious. It is. Multiple officials

00:23:31.589 --> 00:23:33.910
and reports are suggesting a direct link between

00:23:33.910 --> 00:23:36.630
the attack on NCAR and other Colorado funding

00:23:36.630 --> 00:23:39.410
and a very public feud between the administration

00:23:39.410 --> 00:23:42.450
and Colorado's governor Jared Polis. And this

00:23:42.450 --> 00:23:45.089
feud centers on the case of a former county clerk.

00:23:45.390 --> 00:23:48.109
That's right. A woman named Tina Peters, a former

00:23:48.109 --> 00:23:50.230
Mesa County clerk who was convicted in state

00:23:50.230 --> 00:23:52.430
court on felony charges related to illegally

00:23:52.430 --> 00:23:55.690
accessing voting machines. She's serving a state

00:23:55.690 --> 00:23:58.769
prison sentence. President Trump issued a symbolic

00:23:58.769 --> 00:24:01.069
pardon for her, but because it's a state crime,

00:24:01.309 --> 00:24:03.569
not a federal one, Colorado officials have refused

00:24:03.569 --> 00:24:05.849
to release her. And the allegation is that cutting

00:24:05.849 --> 00:24:09.130
funding for NCAR is direct retaliation for that

00:24:09.130 --> 00:24:12.829
refusal. That is the direct allegation from multiple

00:24:12.829 --> 00:24:15.470
Colorado officials. They've called it blatantly

00:24:15.470 --> 00:24:19.329
retaliatory. And the timing is key. The NCAR

00:24:19.329 --> 00:24:21.390
announcement happened at the exact same time

00:24:21.390 --> 00:24:24.750
that $109 million in other federal grants for

00:24:24.750 --> 00:24:27.109
Colorado were also canceled. And these weren't

00:24:27.109 --> 00:24:29.170
climate -related grants. Not at all. This is

00:24:29.170 --> 00:24:31.730
what makes it look so targeted. The cuts included

00:24:31.730 --> 00:24:34.910
a $66 million grant for a critical rail safety

00:24:34.910 --> 00:24:37.980
project. another grant to help Fort Collins electrify

00:24:37.980 --> 00:24:40.579
its vehicle fleet, and money for Colorado State

00:24:40.579 --> 00:24:43.940
University Pueblo to study powering trains with

00:24:43.940 --> 00:24:46.660
hydrogen. These are infrastructure, safety, and

00:24:46.660 --> 00:24:49.259
economic development projects. Exactly. So Governor

00:24:49.259 --> 00:24:51.640
Polis came out very forcefully saying that public

00:24:51.640 --> 00:24:54.059
safety is at risk and science is being attacked,

00:24:54.380 --> 00:24:57.059
and he vowed a major fight. And that fight is

00:24:57.059 --> 00:24:59.420
already happening on Capitol Hill. What are Colorado

00:24:59.420 --> 00:25:01.880
senators doing? Senators Michael Bennett and

00:25:01.880 --> 00:25:04.799
John Hickenlooper are basically using legislative

00:25:04.799 --> 00:25:07.279
tactics to slow things down. They're holding

00:25:07.279 --> 00:25:09.619
up a major government spending bill trying to

00:25:09.619 --> 00:25:12.500
slow the process for as long as we can. And their

00:25:12.500 --> 00:25:15.339
goal is to protect NCAR's funding. Specifically,

00:25:15.660 --> 00:25:18.240
it's core funding from the National Science Foundation.

00:25:18.779 --> 00:25:21.200
Senator Hickenlooper has said he's confident

00:25:21.200 --> 00:25:23.900
he can get bipartisan support from Republicans

00:25:23.900 --> 00:25:27.599
to keep that funding in place because they recognize

00:25:27.599 --> 00:25:30.619
NCAR's national importance. And at the same time?

00:25:30.859 --> 00:25:33.460
House Democrats are exploring legal challenges.

00:25:33.619 --> 00:25:36.660
That's right. Led by Representative Neguse from

00:25:36.660 --> 00:25:39.619
Boulder, it's a full court press because the

00:25:39.619 --> 00:25:42.319
community understands what's at stake. As the

00:25:42.319 --> 00:25:44.660
experts have said, losing NCAR would be a major

00:25:44.660 --> 00:25:47.119
setback. and would have impact for decades to

00:25:47.119 --> 00:25:49.119
come. So let's just summarize that cost one more

00:25:49.119 --> 00:25:51.819
time. If this dismantling happens, what do we

00:25:51.819 --> 00:25:54.200
lose? You lose that incredible collaborative

00:25:54.200 --> 00:25:57.019
infrastructure that connects 129 universities.

00:25:57.480 --> 00:26:00.160
You lose access to the supercomputers that power

00:26:00.160 --> 00:26:02.900
thousands of research projects. You lose the

00:26:02.900 --> 00:26:04.940
specialized research aircraft that make cutting

00:26:04.940 --> 00:26:07.259
edge field science possible. And all of that

00:26:07.259 --> 00:26:10.319
translates into a slow but steady decay in our

00:26:10.319 --> 00:26:12.440
ability to improve forecasts. For everything,

00:26:12.740 --> 00:26:15.519
wildfires, severe weather, aviation safety, long

00:26:15.519 --> 00:26:18.140
-term risks, you're essentially taking a sledgehammer

00:26:18.140 --> 00:26:20.619
to the keystone holding up our scientific understanding

00:26:20.619 --> 00:26:23.079
of the planet. America loses its competitive

00:26:23.079 --> 00:26:25.859
edge and our ability to prepare for the future

00:26:25.859 --> 00:26:28.519
is fundamentally crippled. That's the bottom

00:26:28.519 --> 00:26:31.099
line. We've seen that in the face of these cuts,

00:26:31.599 --> 00:26:33.619
universities are shifting their research focus

00:26:33.619 --> 00:26:36.720
from researching how to slow climate change mitigation

00:26:36.720 --> 00:26:39.799
to studying how to limit its effects adaptation.

00:26:40.089 --> 00:26:43.309
If research on future risks is cut or compromised,

00:26:43.869 --> 00:26:46.710
how prepared can any community truly be for the

00:26:46.710 --> 00:26:49.089
extreme weather events that NCAR currently helps

00:26:49.089 --> 00:26:51.390
us predict? That's a question that should keep

00:26:51.390 --> 00:26:53.869
all of us thinking about the fundamental, life

00:26:53.869 --> 00:26:55.990
-saving value of our scientific infrastructure.

00:26:56.670 --> 00:26:58.869
You've been listening to Meteorology Matters

00:26:58.869 --> 00:27:01.829
created by meteorologist Rob Jones. We really

00:27:01.829 --> 00:27:04.009
want to know what you think about the NCAR situation.

00:27:04.450 --> 00:27:06.529
Don't say quiet, jump on our socials and let

00:27:06.529 --> 00:27:08.369
us know what you think. Like it, share it, drop

00:27:08.369 --> 00:27:10.509
a comment, or send us a message directly. You

00:27:10.509 --> 00:27:12.990
can follow meteorologist Rob Jones on Instagram,

00:27:13.289 --> 00:27:16.769
Meteorologist, on TikTok, TV Meteorologist, and

00:27:16.769 --> 00:27:18.990
on YouTube follow Rob Jones Hurricane, where

00:27:18.990 --> 00:27:21.269
you can also find the Meteorology Matters podcast

00:27:21.269 --> 00:27:24.109
playlist. Thanks for listening, and remember,

00:27:24.630 --> 00:27:25.990
the weather always matters.
