WEBVTT

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Welcome, everyone, to Meteorology Matters. We

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often talk about the weather out there. But today,

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we're looking inward. We're exploring something

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quite extraordinary. Absolutely. It's this idea

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that understanding ourselves, our own minds,

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can fundamentally change how we see our work,

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our passions, even the sky itself. Exactly. And

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we're diving into this fascinating link between,

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well, Human cognition and the atmospheric sciences,

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how our brains are wired might just shape our

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connection to weather. It's a really compelling

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area. We're seeing how specific psychological

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profiles, even conditions like autism, can really

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influence career choices and frankly lead to

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outstanding skill in certain fields. Especially

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fields like ours, like meteorology. Precisely.

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And today's research really sheds light on that.

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And we're anchoring this discussion around a

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really powerful story. It's about Rob Jones,

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a 44 -year -old meteorologist. He's had a long,

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successful career but recently received an autism

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diagnosis. And for Rob, this diagnosis has sort

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of illuminated his entire life, his whole career

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path. It's like a key unlocking why certain things

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felt the way they did. Yeah, making sense of

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the past through a new lens. Right. So our mission

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today is to look at the science, the research,

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that helps explain Rob's experience. To explore

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why someone like him might have always been,

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well, almost destined for a life studying the

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weather, even before he had that label, that

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understanding. It's a journey that reveals a

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lot about how different minds engage with complex

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systems. Okay, so let's start there. Rob's career

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is... Seriously impressive. On -air work, high

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pressure forecasting. I mean, he's navigated

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some incredibly demanding situations. Definitely.

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Predicting severe weather. That's immense pressure.

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And he achieved all this without knowing about

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his autism. So you have to ask, right, what was

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going on underneath? What inherent traits might

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have been guiding him, almost unconsciously,

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toward meteorology? Like an invisible hand pushing

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him towards patterns and systems. Yeah, exactly.

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Towards the atmosphere, which is, you know, chaotic,

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but also follows rules. What was drawing him

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in? Well, this is where a really key idea from

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psychology comes in the empathizing systemizing

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theory, or EES theory. pretty foundational for

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understanding cognitive diversity, especially

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with autism. OK, EES theory. Break that down

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for us. Sure. So systemizing is basically this

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fundamental drive we have. It's the urge to analyze

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things, to figure out how they work, and then

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to build mental models or systems to explain

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them. So like wanting to know the rules. Exactly.

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Identifying patterns, lawful regularities. The

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goal is prediction. You know, if this happens,

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then that will happen. It's about understanding

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cause and effect. Makes sense. And the research

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suggests there are about six main types of systems.

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People try to figure out technical things like

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computers, abstract ones like math, but crucially

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also natural systems. Ah, natural systems. Like

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the weather. Precisely. Weather, geology, biology,

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these fall right into that category. It's about

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observing, finding the underlying logic in the

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natural world. OK, so that's systemizing. What's

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the E part? Empathizing. Right. Empathizing is

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kind of the flip side. It involves two things,

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mainly. First, the cognitive bit, understanding

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what someone else is thinking or feeling, their

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intentions, their perspective. Putting yourself

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in their shoes intellectually. Yes. And second,

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the effective bit, actually responding with an

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appropriate emotion, feeling concern or joy alongside

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them. Got it. So how does this relate to autism

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and, well, Rob? The core idea of ES theory, especially

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regarding autism, is that autistic individuals

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often show a stronger natural inclination towards

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systemizing. Their brains are sort of wired to

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excel at analyzing systems. OK. Now this strength

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in systemizing can sometimes, not always, but

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sometimes mean that cognitive empathy, figuring

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out other thoughts and intentions intuitively,

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might be more challenging. So a different balance

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of strength. Exactly. It's not about lacking

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care or feeling. Often it's about how information,

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especially social information, is processed.

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For someone potentially like Rob, the logical,

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rule -based world of weather might feel much

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more intuitive, more comfortable than the often

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subtle and shifting rules of social interaction.

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Okay, wow. Let's really connect this back to

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Rob. His decades in meteorology, his skill in

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forecasting, understanding atmospheric physics,

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could this natural drive to systemize be that

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invisible force we were talking about, the thing

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that just pulled him towards weather? It seems

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highly plausible, doesn't it? Think about it

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from his perspective, maybe even as a kid. Yeah,

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maybe he wasn't connecting as easily with, you

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know, playground politics or unspoken social

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rules. But the clouds, the wind, the rain, that

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made sense. It followed patterns, even if complex

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ones. There was an underlying logic he could

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potentially grasp and find fascinating, maybe

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even comforting. A system he could decode. Exactly.

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And when we look at how this systemizing plays

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out specifically with weather, it gets even clearer

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why it's such a draw. OK, tell me more. Weather

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is just. It's a perfect example of a natural

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system, right? It demands constant observation

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of tiny details, temperature, pressure, humidity,

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all these variables. And then you monitor the

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whole system, looking for those lawful changes,

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those predictable shifts. It's finding order

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in what looks like chaos. Which is exactly what

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systemizing is about. Precisely. And the research

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points out that autistic individuals often have

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this deep drive to find truth in data. And by

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truth, they mean precise, reliable, consistent

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patterns. Facts you can count on. Not guesswork.

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Right. It's about observation, logic, deduction.

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The atmosphere provides this incredibly rich

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data -filled environment for a systemizing mind

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to explore. Can you give some examples of how

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this actually looks? How autistic people might

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engage with weather differently? Yeah, the research

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highlights some really interesting behaviors.

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For instance, some might repeatedly ask about

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the forecast even if they just heard it. Why?

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It might not just be curiosity. It could be fulfilling

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a need for routine, for sameness, confirming

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the world is predictable. Or maybe just finding

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pleasure, actual comfort in knowing that information,

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that system. OK, that makes sense. What else?

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Well, think about memorizing cloud types in intricate

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detail, not just the names, but how they form,

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what they signal, or meticulously tracking daily

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weather, maybe keeping logs or databases. Becoming

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a personal archivist of the weather. Kind of,

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yeah. Or compiling historical data, looking at

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past storm tracks, comparing conditions. These

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aren't just hobbies. They could be ways of imposing

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control and predictability. Almost like managing

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anxiety about the unpredictable. Exactly. It's

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turning something potentially overwhelming into

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a system you can understand, categorize, and

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to some extent predict. It gives both intellectual

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satisfaction and a sense of welcome. This is

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fascinating. And it leads into another concept

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you mentioned, hypersystemizing. What's that

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about? So hypersystemizing is like taking that

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systemizing drive up a notch. It's an even stronger

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preference for systems with very low variance

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things that are highly predictable, super consistent,

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where the rules are crystal clear. OK, extremely

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rule bound things. Right. And sometimes this

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intense focus can manifest in behaviors that

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might look repetitive from the outside, but they

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serve an internal purpose providing that predictability

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and comfort. And how does this connect to special

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interests? I've heard that term used with autism.

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It connects very strongly. Research suggests

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that somewhere between 75 % and a massive 95

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% of artistic individuals have what are called

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special interests. Wow, that high. Yeah. And

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these aren't just casual hobbies. They're intense,

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absorbing passions. They often start really young

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too, like between ages one and four. So very

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early on. Very early. And here's the kicker.

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These special interests... very often aligned

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with these highly systemizable domains we've

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been talking about. Things you can collect, categorize,

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understand the rules of... And weather is one

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of those. Weather is explicitly mentioned in

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the research as a common example of a special

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interest for autistic individuals. It fits the

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bill perfectly complex, but rule -based. So let's

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think about Rob again. Looking back now with

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his diagnosis, his whole career path wasn't just

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a job choice, was it? It sounds like it could

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have been this natural flowering of... deep -seated

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special interest. Very possibly. An unconscious

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cultivation, starting way back in childhood,

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that just naturally led him towards meteorology.

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And think about the advantages. If your brain

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is already wired to systemize, to see patterns,

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that kind of focus can train your perception.

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Exactly. The research talks about how it can

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hone perceptual processing. So for someone like

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Rob, maybe he features on a weather map, a cold

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front, a subtle rotation in a storm, might literally

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just pop out visually. Like a built -in pattern

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detector supercharged by interest. Precisely.

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It's not just helpful for developing talent,

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it's apparently a strong predictor for people

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going into STEM fields, science, tech, engineering,

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math. It's almost like his brain was pre -configured

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for this kind of work. Makes his career seem

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less like a choice and more like an inevitability,

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in a way. A place where his unique mind could

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really shine. It validates the journey, doesn't

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it? And the research digs even deeper with another

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concept called weather salience. Weather salience.

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OK, what does that mean? It's defined pretty

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specifically. It's the degree to which you assign

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psychological value or importance to the weather,

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how much you're naturally attuned to your atmospheric

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surroundings. So not just noticing if it's raining,

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but how much it matters to you psychologically.

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Exactly. How much mental space or importance

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it occupies for you. And what did the research

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find about weather salience and autism? Well.

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Across three different studies using questionnaires,

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personality tests, open -ended questions, the

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finding was consistent. Autistic individuals

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tended to show a higher degree of weather salience

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compared to neurotypical people. Higher. Okay.

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Significantly higher. Or subtly. Sometimes subtle,

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but consistently higher. It supports this idea

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that there's a genuinely stronger, deeper connection

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there. What else did they find? The qualitative

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data, the written answers, was really revealing.

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When autistic participants described why they

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liked weather, they often talked about it as

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a predictable and or categorical system. They

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focused on the rules, the patterns. Back to systemizing.

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Exactly. And here's something fascinating. They

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often wrote about twice as much about why they

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liked weather and in much greater detail than

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the neurotypical participants. Wow. So a deeper

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level of engagement, more reflection. It really

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seems so. It wasn't just a surface level interest.

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Were there specific numbers like survey results?

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Yes, definitely. In two studies, the percentage

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of autistic participants saying they had a general

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interest in weather was significantly higher,

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around 73 % in one, 70 % in the other. Compared

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to? Compared to the neurotypical groups in those

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studies. And even more striking, when asked directly,

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are you interested in becoming a meteorologist?

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Yeah. The vast majority of yes answers came from

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the autistic participants. In one study, it was

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something like 31 out of 36 yes responses. That's

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huge. That really suggests a powerful pull towards

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the profession itself. Not just liking weather,

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but wanting to do meteorology. Paints a picture

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of an internal gravitation, doesn't it? Almost

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like an innate calling for some. But it's important,

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as you said, to remember autism is a spectrum,

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right? The research acknowledged nuances. Absolutely.

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It's not uniform. The researchers themselves

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highlighted heterogeneity. You might have someone

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with high weather salience very attuned, but

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maybe they wouldn't say they're explicitly interested

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in a hobbyist way. Or vice versa. Interested,

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but maybe less subconsciously focused on it.

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Potentially, yes. The connection manifests differently.

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It's not a single path. And they also mentioned

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selection bias, right? What does that mean here?

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It just means that the people who chose to participate

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in a study about weather might already be more

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interested in weather to begin with, especially

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if they saw it advertised. Ah, okay, so the results

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might be amplified a bit because the participants

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were self -selecting. It's possible, yes. It

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doesn't mean the findings are wrong, but it's

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context. The real level of interest across the

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broader autistic population might be slightly

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different, but the core finding of a strong link

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seems robust. So for Rob, looking back, his journey

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makes sense within this pattern, but it's still

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his unique journey. Exactly. His experience reflects

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this broader trend of diverse minds finding their

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niche, engaging with the world in ways that work

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for them. It shows there isn't just one way to

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be passionate about weather or good at understanding

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it. It validates his path, his skills, his struggles,

00:12:35.289 --> 00:12:38.649
all of it. Precisely. And the research also looked

00:12:38.649 --> 00:12:41.830
beyond just the autism connection at meteorologists

00:12:41.830 --> 00:12:44.759
more broadly. Oh, what did they find there? There

00:12:44.759 --> 00:12:47.340
was a study comparing meteorologists to engineers

00:12:47.340 --> 00:12:50.840
and physicists. Interestingly, meteorologists

00:12:50.840 --> 00:12:54.659
scored higher as a group on both empathizing

00:12:54.659 --> 00:12:57.820
and systemizing. Both? That's interesting. Why

00:12:57.820 --> 00:13:00.919
might that be? Well, think about the job. You

00:13:00.919 --> 00:13:03.200
need the systemizing for the hard science, the

00:13:03.200 --> 00:13:06.279
forecasting. But many meteorologists also need

00:13:06.279 --> 00:13:09.519
to communicate complex, sometimes scary, information

00:13:09.519 --> 00:13:12.330
to the public. That requires some empathy, some

00:13:12.330 --> 00:13:14.110
understanding of how people will receive the

00:13:14.110 --> 00:13:16.549
message. Right, and teamwork, too, in forecast

00:13:16.549 --> 00:13:19.549
offices. Exactly. They also scored a higher on

00:13:19.549 --> 00:13:22.169
personality traits like extraversion, conscientiousness,

00:13:22.370 --> 00:13:24.830
agreeableness, and maybe most importantly, they

00:13:24.830 --> 00:13:26.809
reported being less stressed, depressed, and

00:13:26.809 --> 00:13:29.409
anxious than the engineers and physicists. Really?

00:13:29.570 --> 00:13:31.590
Despite the high pressure nature of the job,

00:13:31.950 --> 00:13:34.190
round -the -clock shifts lives on the line. It

00:13:34.190 --> 00:13:36.169
suggests maybe a certain psychological resilience

00:13:36.169 --> 00:13:38.830
or perhaps the specific blend of cognitive and

00:13:38.830 --> 00:13:41.509
personality traits common in meteorologists helps

00:13:41.509 --> 00:13:44.320
them cope better with those demands. That's fascinating,

00:13:44.779 --> 00:13:47.700
because the job is demanding, always on, rotating

00:13:47.700 --> 00:13:51.019
shifts. Mental health has to be a factor. Absolutely.

00:13:51.259 --> 00:13:53.139
Understanding work -related mental health is

00:13:53.139 --> 00:13:57.299
crucial. The study used the OCEAN model. Openness.

00:13:58.490 --> 00:14:00.850
conscientiousness, extraversion, agreeableness,

00:14:01.389 --> 00:14:03.769
neuroticism, to look at these traits. And the

00:14:03.769 --> 00:14:05.629
high conscientiousness makes sense. You need

00:14:05.629 --> 00:14:08.529
to be meticulous, extraversion for communication,

00:14:09.090 --> 00:14:11.750
openness for adapting to new data. Right. It

00:14:11.750 --> 00:14:13.690
paints a picture of a profession that perhaps

00:14:13.690 --> 00:14:17.210
attracts or cultivates a specific psychological

00:14:17.210 --> 00:14:20.120
profile suited to its unique challenges. This

00:14:20.120 --> 00:14:22.360
brings us to something called the systemizing

00:14:22.360 --> 00:14:25.220
chaos paradox. It sounds intriguing, especially

00:14:25.220 --> 00:14:27.179
thinking about social interactions. It really

00:14:27.179 --> 00:14:29.360
is. The research points out that both weather

00:14:29.360 --> 00:14:32.620
and social systems are technically chaotic dynamical

00:14:32.620 --> 00:14:34.899
systems. Okay, what does that mean in plain English?

00:14:35.120 --> 00:14:37.460
It means they're incredibly sensitive to initial

00:14:37.460 --> 00:14:40.120
conditions. The present state determines the

00:14:40.120 --> 00:14:42.940
future, sure, but even a tiny, tiny change in

00:14:42.940 --> 00:14:45.279
the present can lead to a massively different

00:14:45.279 --> 00:14:48.100
future outcome. The butterfly effect. Exactly.

00:14:48.460 --> 00:14:52.080
A butterfly flaps its wings in Brazil. The same

00:14:52.080 --> 00:14:54.899
applies, metaphorically, to social situations.

00:14:55.299 --> 00:14:57.179
A slightly wrong word, a misread expression.

00:14:57.320 --> 00:15:00.080
Can send the whole conversation off track. Precisely.

00:15:00.320 --> 00:15:02.600
An approximate understanding of the present social

00:15:02.600 --> 00:15:05.539
situation doesn't guarantee you'll predict even

00:15:05.539 --> 00:15:07.919
an approximate future state. It's unpredictable.

00:15:08.250 --> 00:15:12.289
So how is this a paradox for systemizers? Well,

00:15:12.409 --> 00:15:15.370
systemizers excel with rules, logic, predictable

00:15:15.370 --> 00:15:18.029
outcomes. Their strength is applying that systematic

00:15:18.029 --> 00:15:20.929
approach. But when you apply that rigid, rule

00:15:20.929 --> 00:15:23.929
-based thinking to the fluid, emotionally complex,

00:15:24.429 --> 00:15:26.529
often illogical world of human interaction...

00:15:26.529 --> 00:15:28.759
It doesn't always compute. It often doesn't.

00:15:28.759 --> 00:15:31.200
Expected if -then doesn't work reliably. This

00:15:31.200 --> 00:15:34.100
mismatch can cause anxiety, confusion, misinterpretations.

00:15:34.320 --> 00:15:36.580
You expect input A to lead to output B, but you

00:15:36.580 --> 00:15:38.740
get output Z. And it's stressful because the

00:15:38.740 --> 00:15:40.700
rules seem broken. It's not a lack of trying.

00:15:40.779 --> 00:15:43.580
It's a mismatch between the cognitive style and

00:15:43.580 --> 00:15:46.080
the system being analyzed. A fundamental cognitive

00:15:46.080 --> 00:15:48.360
clash. And this has real -world implications,

00:15:48.440 --> 00:15:50.759
for instance, in how we communicate weather warnings.

00:15:51.059 --> 00:15:53.299
Like with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric

00:15:53.299 --> 00:15:55.480
Administration, NOAA, and their Weather Ready

00:15:55.480 --> 00:15:58.179
Nation initiative. Exactly. That initiative is

00:15:58.179 --> 00:16:00.059
all about getting critical safety information

00:16:00.059 --> 00:16:03.059
to everyone, including vulnerable populations.

00:16:03.879 --> 00:16:06.039
This research suggests that for autistic people,

00:16:06.519 --> 00:16:08.919
communication might be more effective if it leans

00:16:08.919 --> 00:16:11.419
into their systemizing strengths. So less emotional

00:16:11.419 --> 00:16:15.399
appeals, more facts and rules. Potentially. More

00:16:15.399 --> 00:16:17.740
technical details, clear step -by -step safety

00:16:17.740 --> 00:16:21.320
protocols. At 7 p .m., do X. At 8 p .m., expect

00:16:21.320 --> 00:16:24.740
Y. Maybe hands -on demonstrations or clear visual

00:16:24.740 --> 00:16:27.360
aids. Things that provide structure and concrete

00:16:27.360 --> 00:16:30.480
information rather than abstract or purely narrative

00:16:30.480 --> 00:16:32.779
warnings. Tailoring the message to how different

00:16:32.779 --> 00:16:35.740
brains process information best makes total sense.

00:16:35.860 --> 00:16:38.179
It's a bit effective translation. So let's circle

00:16:38.179 --> 00:16:40.720
back one last time to Rob. Thinking about this

00:16:40.720 --> 00:16:43.850
systemizing chaos idea. It offers such a profound

00:16:43.850 --> 00:16:45.850
perspective on his life, doesn't it? It really

00:16:45.850 --> 00:16:48.509
does. Maybe the apparent chaos of weather with

00:16:48.509 --> 00:16:50.990
its underlying physics, its mathematical models,

00:16:51.049 --> 00:16:53.690
its learnable rules actually felt more manageable,

00:16:53.730 --> 00:16:56.710
more comforting to his systemizing mind. Compared

00:16:56.710 --> 00:17:00.389
to the inherently less predictable chaos of navigating

00:17:00.389 --> 00:17:02.690
social dynamics throughout his life and career.

00:17:02.950 --> 00:17:07.009
Exactly. It reframes everything. Those past struggles,

00:17:07.329 --> 00:17:09.410
maybe moments of feeling out of sync socially,

00:17:09.869 --> 00:17:12.940
aren't deficits. They're reflections of a brain

00:17:12.940 --> 00:17:15.380
optimized for a different kind of system. And

00:17:15.380 --> 00:17:18.339
it highlights his incredible strengths, the pattern

00:17:18.339 --> 00:17:21.680
recognition, the focus, the comfort with complex

00:17:21.680 --> 00:17:24.019
data as being perfectly suited for his chosen

00:17:24.019 --> 00:17:27.539
field. It gives him and us this new lens. It

00:17:27.539 --> 00:17:29.819
turns difficulties into understood differences

00:17:29.819 --> 00:17:32.259
and his success becomes even more remarkable.

00:17:32.420 --> 00:17:34.900
A validation of his talents and his unique way

00:17:34.900 --> 00:17:37.309
of experiencing the world. What an exploration

00:17:37.309 --> 00:17:39.710
this has been. We started with Rob's story, his

00:17:39.710 --> 00:17:42.210
recent diagnosis, and it's opened up so much.

00:17:42.329 --> 00:17:44.930
This drive to systemize pulling people towards

00:17:44.930 --> 00:17:46.910
meteorology. That deep connection, that weather

00:17:46.910 --> 00:17:48.750
salience. And understanding how these different

00:17:48.750 --> 00:17:51.170
cognitive styles aren't just about career paths,

00:17:51.450 --> 00:17:54.089
but about well -being, about effective communication,

00:17:54.410 --> 00:17:56.950
especially when safety is involved. It really

00:17:56.950 --> 00:17:59.509
underscores the importance of this ongoing research.

00:17:59.970 --> 00:18:02.890
It's not just for meteorology. It's about fostering

00:18:02.890 --> 00:18:05.930
a more inclusive approach everywhere. recognizing

00:18:05.930 --> 00:18:08.309
diverse strength. Looking beyond the surface,

00:18:08.690 --> 00:18:10.609
valuing different ways of thinking and interacting.

00:18:10.690 --> 00:18:12.970
Keep exploring, keep questioning. There's always

00:18:12.970 --> 00:18:15.109
more to discover about these connections. So

00:18:15.109 --> 00:18:17.150
as you go about your day, maybe take a moment,

00:18:17.509 --> 00:18:20.250
think about your own cognitive blueprint. How

00:18:20.250 --> 00:18:23.109
does it shape your path, your passions, your

00:18:23.109 --> 00:18:25.549
connection to the world from the tiniest detail

00:18:25.549 --> 00:18:29.369
to those huge atmospheric shifts? What hidden

00:18:29.369 --> 00:18:31.809
strengths might your own forecast within reveal

00:18:31.809 --> 00:18:35.109
about you? A fascinating thought to ponder. You've

00:18:35.109 --> 00:18:37.609
been listening to Meteorology Matters. If you

00:18:37.609 --> 00:18:39.509
want to follow Rob Jones's work and insights,

00:18:39.650 --> 00:18:41.910
you can find him on Instagram. His handle is

00:18:41.910 --> 00:18:45.730
Meteorologist. He's also on TikTok as TV Meteorologist.

00:18:46.049 --> 00:18:47.869
And you can subscribe to Rob Jones Hurricane

00:18:47.869 --> 00:18:50.650
on YouTube. That YouTube channel also has the

00:18:50.650 --> 00:18:52.630
Meteorology Matters podcast playlist, by the

00:18:52.630 --> 00:18:54.829
way. Great resources to check out. Definitely.

00:18:55.049 --> 00:18:57.029
Thank you so much for joining us today on this

00:18:57.029 --> 00:18:59.849
really extraordinary journey into the science

00:18:59.849 --> 00:19:01.150
and the psychology of weather.
