1
00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:02,240
Hurricane season in Florida, huh?

2
00:00:03,120 --> 00:00:05,600
It's never really a walk in the park, is it?

3
00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:08,200
But this year, well, this year seems like it's really

4
00:00:08,200 --> 00:00:10,320
throwing some curveballs our way.

5
00:00:10,320 --> 00:00:11,600
You know, you send in those articles

6
00:00:11,600 --> 00:00:13,000
about Hurricane Milton.

7
00:00:13,000 --> 00:00:14,600
And let me tell you something,

8
00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:18,760
this thing is brewing and it's brewing fast.

9
00:00:18,760 --> 00:00:22,400
We're looking at a potential major hurricane here

10
00:00:22,400 --> 00:00:25,520
heading straight for Florida's West Coast.

11
00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:28,120
And it could be making landfall by midweek.

12
00:00:28,120 --> 00:00:29,720
Yeah, you've got that right.

13
00:00:29,720 --> 00:00:31,880
This is a situation we got to take seriously,

14
00:00:31,880 --> 00:00:32,960
no doubt about it.

15
00:00:32,960 --> 00:00:35,200
Those articles you sent, they're a gold mine really,

16
00:00:35,200 --> 00:00:39,080
packed with all the nitty gritty meteorological details.

17
00:00:39,080 --> 00:00:40,920
Those are what help us really understand

18
00:00:40,920 --> 00:00:42,760
what's going on out there.

19
00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:43,960
So let's break this down, okay?

20
00:00:43,960 --> 00:00:45,960
What's the crucial stuff you need to know right now?

21
00:00:45,960 --> 00:00:48,360
What should you be looking out for and why?

22
00:00:48,360 --> 00:00:51,280
Why is being prepared so incredibly important?

23
00:00:51,280 --> 00:00:52,320
Okay, let's do it.

24
00:00:52,320 --> 00:00:54,920
Now, something both of these articles really hit on

25
00:00:54,920 --> 00:00:58,600
is this rapid intensification of Milton.

26
00:00:58,600 --> 00:01:01,040
They're saying it's going from a tropical storm

27
00:01:01,040 --> 00:01:04,800
to a potential hurricane and it's happening way faster

28
00:01:04,800 --> 00:01:06,560
than anyone expected.

29
00:01:06,560 --> 00:01:08,440
So what's the deal with that?

30
00:01:08,440 --> 00:01:10,040
Why so fast?

31
00:01:10,040 --> 00:01:11,800
It all boils down to the water.

32
00:01:11,800 --> 00:01:14,920
The Gulf of Mexico, it's unusually warm right now

33
00:01:14,920 --> 00:01:17,360
and that is like rocket fuel for hurricanes.

34
00:01:17,360 --> 00:01:18,200
Oh, okay.

35
00:01:18,200 --> 00:01:19,280
Yeah, the warmer that water is,

36
00:01:19,280 --> 00:01:21,520
the faster these storms can crank up the power.

37
00:01:21,520 --> 00:01:23,720
And Milton, Milton's down there right now

38
00:01:23,720 --> 00:01:26,960
just gorging itself on that warm Gulf water.

39
00:01:26,960 --> 00:01:29,080
Like it's an all you can eat buffet, you know?

40
00:01:29,080 --> 00:01:31,680
Okay, so Milton's getting stronger quickly.

41
00:01:31,680 --> 00:01:32,520
Quickly.

42
00:01:32,520 --> 00:01:34,280
And the articles also mentioned some satellite

43
00:01:34,280 --> 00:01:37,800
and aircraft data showing a large burst of convection.

44
00:01:37,800 --> 00:01:38,640
Right, right.

45
00:01:38,640 --> 00:01:39,480
And I don't know about you,

46
00:01:39,480 --> 00:01:42,280
but that sounds a little, well, ominous.

47
00:01:42,280 --> 00:01:44,160
What does that actually mean when we hear that?

48
00:01:44,160 --> 00:01:45,400
Okay, so imagine this.

49
00:01:45,400 --> 00:01:48,560
You're looking at a satellite image and suddenly, bam,

50
00:01:48,560 --> 00:01:52,800
it's like this massive explosion of clouds over Milton.

51
00:01:52,800 --> 00:01:54,160
That's essentially what's going on.

52
00:01:54,160 --> 00:01:55,000
Okay.

53
00:01:55,000 --> 00:01:56,120
This burst of convection,

54
00:01:56,120 --> 00:01:58,040
it's like a giant neon sign flashing.

55
00:01:58,040 --> 00:02:00,600
This storm is sucking up all the energy it can

56
00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:01,720
from that warm water.

57
00:02:01,720 --> 00:02:04,040
And that is not something you wanna see.

58
00:02:04,040 --> 00:02:07,080
It's a clear sign that things are escalating and fast.

59
00:02:07,080 --> 00:02:09,560
So we've got Milton, it's bulking up, it's energized,

60
00:02:09,560 --> 00:02:11,960
it's ready for whatever,

61
00:02:11,960 --> 00:02:15,560
but the million dollar question is, where is it going?

62
00:02:15,560 --> 00:02:17,000
That is the million dollar question.

63
00:02:17,000 --> 00:02:17,840
Right.

64
00:02:17,840 --> 00:02:18,680
Everybody wants to know,

65
00:02:18,680 --> 00:02:20,440
and one of the articles had a great line.

66
00:02:20,440 --> 00:02:22,640
It said, don't focus on the middle line.

67
00:02:22,640 --> 00:02:23,480
Yeah.

68
00:02:23,480 --> 00:02:24,520
And they're right, you know?

69
00:02:24,520 --> 00:02:26,520
Which, come to think of it,

70
00:02:26,520 --> 00:02:28,760
is pretty good life advice in general.

71
00:02:28,760 --> 00:02:30,200
Oh, absolutely, it is.

72
00:02:30,200 --> 00:02:32,560
But what it really means in this situation,

73
00:02:32,560 --> 00:02:35,480
in this specific case is this.

74
00:02:35,480 --> 00:02:36,760
Every model out there,

75
00:02:36,760 --> 00:02:39,120
they're all showing this hurricane slamming

76
00:02:39,120 --> 00:02:40,640
into Florida's west coast.

77
00:02:40,640 --> 00:02:41,480
Right.

78
00:02:41,480 --> 00:02:44,080
But where exactly it makes landfall,

79
00:02:44,080 --> 00:02:45,640
that's still a bit of a mystery.

80
00:02:45,640 --> 00:02:47,280
It's too early to tell, you know what I mean?

81
00:02:47,280 --> 00:02:48,120
Yeah.

82
00:02:48,120 --> 00:02:49,920
One thing that's really got our attention though,

83
00:02:49,920 --> 00:02:52,960
is the southward shift we're seeing in the forecast track.

84
00:02:52,960 --> 00:02:54,080
Hmm.

85
00:02:54,080 --> 00:02:56,880
So I guess that's good news for the Yucatan.

86
00:02:56,880 --> 00:02:57,720
Right.

87
00:02:57,720 --> 00:02:59,280
They must be breathing a sigh of relief.

88
00:02:59,280 --> 00:03:00,120
Right.

89
00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:01,920
But when we talk about that southward shift,

90
00:03:01,920 --> 00:03:04,720
what's that going to mean for Florida's west coast?

91
00:03:04,720 --> 00:03:06,120
Especially when you think about, you know,

92
00:03:06,120 --> 00:03:08,320
the storm surge, which is a whole other thing.

93
00:03:08,320 --> 00:03:11,120
Yeah, that southward shift, it definitely got us worried.

94
00:03:11,120 --> 00:03:13,400
It puts areas like Tampa Bay right in the crosshairs

95
00:03:13,400 --> 00:03:16,360
for, well, for a potentially massive storm surge.

96
00:03:16,360 --> 00:03:17,280
Yeah.

97
00:03:17,280 --> 00:03:19,080
Because one of the articles even pointed out,

98
00:03:19,080 --> 00:03:20,640
they said this could be even worse

99
00:03:20,640 --> 00:03:23,600
than what we saw with Hurricane Helene's surge.

100
00:03:23,600 --> 00:03:25,960
And they even went back talking about those hurricanes

101
00:03:25,960 --> 00:03:30,440
that hit Tampa Bay back in like 1921 and 1848.

102
00:03:30,440 --> 00:03:31,280
Right.

103
00:03:31,280 --> 00:03:33,640
I mean, that's going way back in the history books.

104
00:03:33,640 --> 00:03:35,800
That is going back and it really highlights

105
00:03:35,800 --> 00:03:37,640
something important here.

106
00:03:37,640 --> 00:03:40,840
You know, experts, they look at Tampa Bay as one

107
00:03:40,840 --> 00:03:43,200
of the most vulnerable places, at least when we're talking

108
00:03:43,200 --> 00:03:46,080
about major metro areas when it comes to hurricanes.

109
00:03:46,080 --> 00:03:46,920
Right.

110
00:03:46,920 --> 00:03:50,720
The shape of that bay, the fact that the water is so shallow,

111
00:03:50,720 --> 00:03:53,280
the low elevation of all the land around it's like,

112
00:03:53,280 --> 00:03:55,360
all these things come together and it creates,

113
00:03:55,360 --> 00:03:58,600
well, it's a recipe for disaster when you have a storm surge.

114
00:03:58,600 --> 00:04:00,320
So, okay, let me get this straight.

115
00:04:00,320 --> 00:04:01,320
We've got this hurricane.

116
00:04:01,320 --> 00:04:03,440
It's getting stronger by the minute practically.

117
00:04:03,440 --> 00:04:06,040
Nobody can say for sure where it's going to hit.

118
00:04:06,040 --> 00:04:06,880
Yeah.

119
00:04:06,880 --> 00:04:07,840
And then on top of all of that,

120
00:04:07,840 --> 00:04:11,040
we're talking about a storm surge that could be one

121
00:04:11,040 --> 00:04:12,440
for the record books.

122
00:04:12,440 --> 00:04:13,280
That's right.

123
00:04:13,280 --> 00:04:14,880
And what about the wind?

124
00:04:14,880 --> 00:04:17,080
Because the articles, they were mentioning something

125
00:04:17,080 --> 00:04:20,520
called hostile upper level winds, which, I don't know,

126
00:04:20,520 --> 00:04:21,840
that just sounds weird to me.

127
00:04:21,840 --> 00:04:24,520
Isn't it supposed to be that if there are strong winds,

128
00:04:24,520 --> 00:04:27,160
that actually makes a hurricane weaker?

129
00:04:27,160 --> 00:04:28,120
Right, right.

130
00:04:28,120 --> 00:04:29,520
I know it seems kind of backwards, right?

131
00:04:29,520 --> 00:04:30,360
It dies.

132
00:04:30,360 --> 00:04:32,320
You think strong winds, they tear a hurricane apart,

133
00:04:32,320 --> 00:04:34,000
but it's not always that simple.

134
00:04:34,000 --> 00:04:34,840
Okay.

135
00:04:34,840 --> 00:04:35,680
See these upper level winds,

136
00:04:35,680 --> 00:04:37,680
they can actually make some things even worse,

137
00:04:37,680 --> 00:04:39,080
even if they stop the hurricane

138
00:04:39,080 --> 00:04:41,560
from reaching its full potential.

139
00:04:41,560 --> 00:04:43,920
So are these winds a good thing or a bad thing?

140
00:04:43,920 --> 00:04:45,720
Well, think of it like this.

141
00:04:45,720 --> 00:04:47,920
Imagine you're trying to build a tower, right,

142
00:04:47,920 --> 00:04:49,920
out of blocks or something.

143
00:04:49,920 --> 00:04:52,680
And someone comes along and they're pointing a fan

144
00:04:52,680 --> 00:04:54,560
right at the top of your tower.

145
00:04:54,560 --> 00:04:57,520
Now, the fan, it might not knock the whole thing over,

146
00:04:57,520 --> 00:05:00,080
not completely, but it's definitely gonna make it

147
00:05:00,080 --> 00:05:02,320
a lot harder to build it up nice and straight.

148
00:05:02,320 --> 00:05:03,160
Right, yeah.

149
00:05:03,160 --> 00:05:04,000
It's kind of like that

150
00:05:04,000 --> 00:05:06,960
with these hostile upper level winds and hurricanes.

151
00:05:06,960 --> 00:05:08,800
They mess with the hurricane's shape,

152
00:05:08,800 --> 00:05:10,800
they make it lopsided.

153
00:05:10,800 --> 00:05:11,640
Okay.

154
00:05:11,640 --> 00:05:13,120
Now you might think, well, lopsided,

155
00:05:13,120 --> 00:05:13,960
that doesn't sound so bad.

156
00:05:13,960 --> 00:05:15,200
This sounds better than a direct hit.

157
00:05:15,200 --> 00:05:16,040
Right.

158
00:05:16,040 --> 00:05:17,160
But here's the thing.

159
00:05:17,160 --> 00:05:20,320
It often means that the wind field,

160
00:05:20,320 --> 00:05:23,000
the area where those strong winds are happening,

161
00:05:23,000 --> 00:05:24,240
that gets bigger.

162
00:05:24,240 --> 00:05:27,760
So a bigger area gets hit by those strong winds.

163
00:05:27,760 --> 00:05:29,880
So instead of a direct hit in one spot,

164
00:05:29,880 --> 00:05:33,000
it's like that power gets spread out over a wider area.

165
00:05:33,000 --> 00:05:34,240
Exactly.

166
00:05:34,240 --> 00:05:36,920
And it can also make thunderstorms more likely,

167
00:05:36,920 --> 00:05:38,280
those really nasty ones,

168
00:05:38,280 --> 00:05:40,400
especially on that weaker side of the storm.

169
00:05:40,400 --> 00:05:43,000
Okay, so wider area of impact,

170
00:05:43,000 --> 00:05:46,720
more potential for strong winds and severe thunderstorms.

171
00:05:46,720 --> 00:05:47,560
Right.

172
00:05:47,560 --> 00:05:49,800
And we haven't even gotten to the rain yet.

173
00:05:49,800 --> 00:05:51,320
The articles, they're talking about what,

174
00:05:51,320 --> 00:05:53,720
like five to eight inches of rain,

175
00:05:53,720 --> 00:05:55,400
maybe even a foot in some places.

176
00:05:55,400 --> 00:05:58,560
Yeah, that is a ton of rain, no question about it.

177
00:05:58,560 --> 00:06:00,600
And that's where this whole front,

178
00:06:00,600 --> 00:06:03,520
interacting with all that moisture from Milton,

179
00:06:03,520 --> 00:06:05,080
that's where it gets really dicey.

180
00:06:05,080 --> 00:06:07,240
Think about it like a sponge.

181
00:06:07,240 --> 00:06:08,080
Yeah.

182
00:06:08,080 --> 00:06:09,160
You got a sponge and it's already soaking wet, right?

183
00:06:09,160 --> 00:06:10,000
Right.

184
00:06:10,000 --> 00:06:11,840
And you just keep trying to pour more and more water into it.

185
00:06:11,840 --> 00:06:13,360
Oh, it's just gonna overflow everywhere.

186
00:06:13,360 --> 00:06:14,560
Exactly.

187
00:06:14,560 --> 00:06:15,560
That's what we're looking at here.

188
00:06:15,560 --> 00:06:19,120
Wide spread flooding and it could be bad, really bad.

189
00:06:19,120 --> 00:06:21,200
And it's not just gonna be along the coast either.

190
00:06:21,200 --> 00:06:23,240
This could reach far inland.

191
00:06:23,240 --> 00:06:24,560
Okay, so just to recap here,

192
00:06:24,560 --> 00:06:28,800
we've got this potential storm surge could be historic.

193
00:06:28,800 --> 00:06:32,360
We've got strong winds over a wider area than we might expect

194
00:06:32,360 --> 00:06:35,920
and enough rain to cause some serious flooding.

195
00:06:35,920 --> 00:06:38,320
And all of this, I mean, this is happening fast.

196
00:06:38,320 --> 00:06:41,440
This is a lot for Floridians to wrap their heads around,

197
00:06:41,440 --> 00:06:42,480
especially with, you know,

198
00:06:42,480 --> 00:06:44,400
we still don't know exactly where this hurricane's gonna make

199
00:06:44,400 --> 00:06:46,640
a landfall, how strong it's gonna be when it gets here.

200
00:06:46,640 --> 00:06:48,000
You're right, it is a lot.

201
00:06:48,000 --> 00:06:50,560
And that is precisely why we have to be prepared.

202
00:06:50,560 --> 00:06:52,080
It is, it is.

203
00:06:52,080 --> 00:06:54,080
So for our listeners in Florida,

204
00:06:54,080 --> 00:06:56,440
especially those of you on the West Coast,

205
00:06:56,440 --> 00:06:58,480
I mean, what's the big takeaway here?

206
00:06:58,480 --> 00:07:01,440
What do you need to be doing like right now?

207
00:07:01,440 --> 00:07:02,560
Don't wait.

208
00:07:02,560 --> 00:07:03,400
That's the big thing.

209
00:07:03,400 --> 00:07:04,920
Don't wait, don't hesitate.

210
00:07:04,920 --> 00:07:07,560
Every hurricane, it's like its own beast, you know?

211
00:07:07,560 --> 00:07:08,400
Right.

212
00:07:08,400 --> 00:07:10,480
And this one, it's moving fast

213
00:07:10,480 --> 00:07:12,520
and there are a lot of things that could change.

214
00:07:12,520 --> 00:07:15,120
Get prepared and do it now.

215
00:07:15,120 --> 00:07:16,520
That means, first of all,

216
00:07:16,520 --> 00:07:18,160
you gotta know your evacuation zone.

217
00:07:18,160 --> 00:07:20,160
Where do you go if you need to get out?

218
00:07:20,160 --> 00:07:21,000
Right.

219
00:07:21,000 --> 00:07:22,680
Get that hurricane kit ready, you know?

220
00:07:22,680 --> 00:07:26,320
The essentials, food, water, batteries, all that stuff.

221
00:07:26,320 --> 00:07:31,320
And have a plan, a solid plan for your family and your pets.

222
00:07:31,600 --> 00:07:33,720
What are you gonna do if things get bad?

223
00:07:33,720 --> 00:07:35,880
And listen, if you're in an area,

224
00:07:35,880 --> 00:07:39,240
even if it's just prone to a little bit of flooding,

225
00:07:39,240 --> 00:07:41,080
you know, when it rains hard,

226
00:07:41,080 --> 00:07:42,960
take steps now to protect your property.

227
00:07:42,960 --> 00:07:44,600
Don't wait until the last minute.

228
00:07:44,600 --> 00:07:46,200
Yeah, I think it's easy to get overwhelmed

229
00:07:46,200 --> 00:07:48,080
when you hear about these big storms,

230
00:07:48,080 --> 00:07:49,560
especially when you're talking about the track

231
00:07:49,560 --> 00:07:50,520
and the intensity.

232
00:07:50,520 --> 00:07:51,680
I mean, we're still not 100% sure

233
00:07:51,680 --> 00:07:53,080
what's gonna happen here.

234
00:07:53,080 --> 00:07:54,600
What would you say to folks out there

235
00:07:54,600 --> 00:07:57,360
who are maybe feeling a little panicky right now?

236
00:07:57,360 --> 00:07:59,040
I get it, I totally get it.

237
00:07:59,040 --> 00:08:00,920
It is a lot to process.

238
00:08:00,920 --> 00:08:04,880
But here's the thing, taking action, even small steps,

239
00:08:04,880 --> 00:08:06,520
it helps, it really does.

240
00:08:06,520 --> 00:08:09,520
It gives you a sense of control, check your supplies,

241
00:08:09,520 --> 00:08:10,840
make sure those batteries are good,

242
00:08:10,840 --> 00:08:12,880
you've got flashlights, talk to your family,

243
00:08:12,880 --> 00:08:14,600
go over that plan again.

244
00:08:14,600 --> 00:08:16,960
It's about being prepared, not panicked.

245
00:08:16,960 --> 00:08:18,520
Prepared, not panicked.

246
00:08:18,520 --> 00:08:20,840
That's a good one, I like that.

247
00:08:20,840 --> 00:08:23,560
Now, we've been talking a lot about Milton's potential

248
00:08:23,560 --> 00:08:26,560
as this major hurricane.

249
00:08:26,560 --> 00:08:28,200
But what if it weakens?

250
00:08:28,200 --> 00:08:29,040
I mean, it could happen.

251
00:08:29,040 --> 00:08:31,320
What if it weakens before it makes landfall?

252
00:08:31,320 --> 00:08:33,320
Are we still in a dangerous situation?

253
00:08:33,320 --> 00:08:35,760
Absolutely, even if Milton weakens,

254
00:08:35,760 --> 00:08:38,040
and hey, it's possible, the storm surge,

255
00:08:38,040 --> 00:08:40,120
the wind, the rain, all of that together,

256
00:08:40,120 --> 00:08:42,080
it can still be devastating.

257
00:08:42,080 --> 00:08:44,080
So my advice, it doesn't change.

258
00:08:44,080 --> 00:08:46,720
Stay informed, keep an eye on the news,

259
00:08:46,720 --> 00:08:48,040
listen to your local officials,

260
00:08:48,040 --> 00:08:50,280
and whatever you do, heed those warnings.

261
00:08:50,280 --> 00:08:52,880
I don't care if it's a category one or a category five,

262
00:08:52,880 --> 00:08:54,920
those warnings are there for a reason.

263
00:08:54,920 --> 00:08:57,000
Yeah, don't get hung up on the category.

264
00:08:57,000 --> 00:08:59,160
Pay attention to the people who are, you know,

265
00:08:59,160 --> 00:09:00,120
the boots on the ground,

266
00:09:00,120 --> 00:09:02,520
the ones who are looking out for everybody's safety.

267
00:09:02,520 --> 00:09:05,080
They're gonna have the most up-to-date information.

268
00:09:05,080 --> 00:09:06,840
Now, if our listeners want to find

269
00:09:06,840 --> 00:09:08,920
that reliable information about Hurricane Milton,

270
00:09:08,920 --> 00:09:10,040
where should they go?

271
00:09:10,040 --> 00:09:11,400
The National Hurricane Center,

272
00:09:11,400 --> 00:09:13,000
that's your one-stop shop.

273
00:09:13,000 --> 00:09:15,400
They've got the latest forecasts, the tracking maps,

274
00:09:15,400 --> 00:09:17,600
any warnings, watches, all of it.

275
00:09:17,600 --> 00:09:20,680
And check it often, because like we've been saying,

276
00:09:20,680 --> 00:09:22,360
things can change quickly.

277
00:09:22,360 --> 00:09:24,720
This has been, I mean, this is a lot to digest.

278
00:09:24,720 --> 00:09:26,840
I'm guessing you're probably checking those forecasts

279
00:09:26,840 --> 00:09:28,040
right now as we speak.

280
00:09:28,040 --> 00:09:28,880
Right.

281
00:09:28,880 --> 00:09:29,720
But before we let you go,

282
00:09:29,720 --> 00:09:31,840
I want to leave you with one more thought.

283
00:09:31,840 --> 00:09:33,280
And it's something that always strikes me

284
00:09:33,280 --> 00:09:35,080
in situations like this.

285
00:09:35,080 --> 00:09:36,800
We've been talking about the science,

286
00:09:36,800 --> 00:09:39,320
the data, the preparations, all of that's important,

287
00:09:39,320 --> 00:09:41,960
but there's also the human element here, right?

288
00:09:41,960 --> 00:09:43,800
The power of community.

289
00:09:43,800 --> 00:09:48,480
Even if we're not right there in Florida, in Milton's path,

290
00:09:48,480 --> 00:09:50,600
you can still make a difference.

291
00:09:50,600 --> 00:09:52,120
Reach out to your friends, your family,

292
00:09:52,120 --> 00:09:53,120
who are down there.

293
00:09:53,120 --> 00:09:54,560
Let them know you're thinking about them,

294
00:09:54,560 --> 00:09:56,320
remind them to be safe.

295
00:09:56,320 --> 00:09:59,000
Sometimes that little bit of support, it goes a long way.

296
00:09:59,000 --> 00:09:59,840
Absolutely.

297
00:09:59,840 --> 00:10:02,320
A quick check-in, a reminder to be prepared and offered

298
00:10:02,320 --> 00:10:04,520
to help, it can make all the difference in the world.

299
00:10:04,520 --> 00:10:06,160
Stay safe out there, everyone.

300
00:10:06,160 --> 00:10:08,160
And remember, stay informed,

301
00:10:08,160 --> 00:10:10,800
stay prepared, and look out for each other.

302
00:10:10,800 --> 00:10:39,800
That's how we get through these things together.

