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All right, so we are diving deep today

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into Tropical Storm Milton.

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Yeah, looks like Florida might be taking on

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a bit more water soon if the forecasts are right.

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Seriously, it's barely been two weeks

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since Hurricane Helene and now this.

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Everyone seems especially concerned about this one.

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Yeah, I've got the articles here from the Washington Post

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and the New York Times and then Fox Weather too,

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plus that email you forwarded me from your friend.

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And yeah, it's all kind of saying the same thing.

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That's kind of what has everyone worried, right?

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Like all these different sources

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and everyone's saying, yep, this one is one to watch.

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Exactly, it's like when all the different weather models

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suddenly align and you're like, oh, this might be bad.

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Right, usually there's at least someone saying it's fine,

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but not this time.

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So for those of us who haven't been glued

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to the weather channel, what is it about Milton

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that has everyone so concerned?

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Well, for starters, this storm is like

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the express train of hurricanes.

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It is going to strengthen fast.

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Rapid intensification, right?

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Like going from zero to 60 in like a day.

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Exactly, and that makes it harder to predict

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and harder for people to prepare.

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And if I'm remembering my hurricane lingo correctly,

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rapid intensification usually means a higher chance

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of it being a serious storm when it makes landfall.

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Right on the money there, stronger, faster,

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and with less time to get ready.

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Okay, so we've got a storm that's basically got a lead foot

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and is heading towards Florida.

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Where exactly is it predicted to hit?

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Right now the models are pointing to somewhere

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between Tampa and Naples on the West Coast.

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So potentially a similar area to Haleen,

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but maybe a little farther south.

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Yeah, and that's a concern because if it does end up

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hitting further south, those areas south of the Big Bend

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could get hit with even higher storm surge than Haleen.

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Oh no, not good.

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Those areas are still recovering from the last one.

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Exactly, and we know storm surge is often

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the most dangerous part of a hurricane.

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Right, it's not just about the wind and rain.

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It's about that wall of water that can just surge inland

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and wipe everything out.

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And your friend's email made a good point

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about the West Coast of Florida

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being extra vulnerable to that.

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Why is that again?

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Something about the shape of the coastline.

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It's kind of like the geography of the Gulf Coast

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conspires to make storm surge worse in that area.

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The shallow waters and the shape of the coastline

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basically give the storm surge nowhere to go but up.

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Oh right, so it's like aiming a fire hose at a wall.

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The water has to go somewhere.

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That's a good way to put it.

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And unfortunately in this case that somewhere

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is often people's homes and businesses.

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Not a good combination at all.

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So we've got the potential for a strong hurricane

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making landfall on Florida's West Coast

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with a high risk of storm surge,

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particularly south of the Big Bend.

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What else do we need to know?

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Well you know how they say when it rains it pours well?

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Well in this case it might be more like

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when it hurricanes it floods.

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Oh you're talking about the rainfall predictions right?

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Yeah, Milton is not messing around in the rain department.

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We're talking potentially up to a foot of rain in some areas.

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And remember this is on top of ground

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that's already soaked from Helene.

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Oh man it's like someone up there is trying to give Florida

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a bath and they're not being gentle about it.

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Seriously though, that much rain on top of

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already saturated ground is a recipe for some major flooding.

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And didn't some of the articles mention something about

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this being similar to the flooding they had

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in the Appalachians during Helene?

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Yeah, the Washington Post article I think,

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it said the flooding in Florida probably will not be

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as extreme as what they saw in the Appalachians

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but it did draw some comparisons.

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Cause I was thinking about that.

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I remember seeing those images on the news.

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Entire towels were underwater.

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It was terrifying.

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Yeah the mountains and valleys there tend to funnel

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all that rain into the valleys creating those flash floods.

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So is it less likely to be that kind of

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sudden intense flooding in Florida?

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Probably Florida is much flatter

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so the water won't necessarily rise as quickly

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but it will spread out more.

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So instead of a flash flood it's more like

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a slow steady inundation.

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Exactly.

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And considering the ground is already saturated

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even a smaller amount of rain could lead to problems.

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So it's not just the amount of rain, it's the timing too.

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Precisely.

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And let's be clear here, flooding is dangerous

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no matter how it happens.

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Absolutely.

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It can damage homes, disrupt infrastructure

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and even lead to long-term health issues

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from mold and contaminated water.

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It's nothing to take lightly.

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And don't forget the psychological stress

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that comes with all of this.

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This is gonna be a tough one for a lot of people

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especially those who are still reeling from Helene.

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That's a really good point.

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We often focus on the physical dangers

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but the emotional toll of a hurricane

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can be just as devastating.

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Absolutely.

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It's important to acknowledge that

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and to reach out for help if you need it.

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Okay so we've got this potential for some serious flooding

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on top of everything else.

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What are the experts saying about all of this?

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Did the FOX weather folks have any insights?

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They did.

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They interviewed hurricane specialist

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Brian Norcross and he did not mince words.

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Oh that's never been signed

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when the hurricane experts aren't sugarcoating it.

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What did he say?

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He called the storm's development alarming

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and warned that this has the potential to be worse

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than Helene for parts of the west coast of Florida.

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Wow.

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Yeah those are some strong words coming from someone

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who knows hurricanes inside and out.

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Not exactly what you wanna hear

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especially after everything we've just discussed.

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Right and it highlights why we need to take these forecasts

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seriously and get prepared.

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For sure.

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This is definitely a situation that's evolving

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rapidly and we're gonna wanna stay on top of it.

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Absolutely and that's what we're here for

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to help you make sense of it all.

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Exactly.

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So let's dive a little deeper into those forecasts

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and talk about what people can do to prepare

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for whatever Milton throws their way.

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You know one thing that really stood out to me

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in those forecasts was all the talk about

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the cone of uncertainty.

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Oh yeah that's right.

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The hurricane track they always show

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with that cone shaped area around it.

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Exactly.

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It's basically a visual reminder that even with all

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our fancy technology we can't predict exactly

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where hurricane is gonna go.

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It's like Mother Nature's way of saying,

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yeah good luck with that.

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Pretty much.

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And that cone is important because it shows

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all the possible paths the storm could take.

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The center line might miss you but a slight wobble

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and boom you're right in the thick of it.

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So even if you're not directly in the center line

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of that cone you still need to be paying attention.

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Absolutely.

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Especially in a situation like this where the storm

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is still developing and could shift course.

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Speaking of shifting course, your friend's email

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mentioned something about a cold front

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and some upper level winds that could potentially

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mess with Milton's path.

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What's the deal with that?

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Yeah so basically we've got this atmospheric

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showdown brewing in the Gulf of Mexico.

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Hurricanes like Milton are fueled by warm ocean water.

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It's like their energy drink.

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But Milton's path might intersect with a cold front

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and some strong upper level winds.

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Think of it like a tug of war between hot

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and cold air masses.

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And what happens when a hurricane meets a cold front?

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Does it weaken it?

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It can.

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A cold front can disrupt a hurricane's circulation

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and cut off its access to that warm water it loves.

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But here's the thing, sometimes that interaction

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can actually make the storm bigger and wetter

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even if it's wind speeds drop.

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So it's like trading some wind power for extra rain power.

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Exactly, it's like Milton's thinking fine,

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you wanna take away my wind, I'll just drown you instead.

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That's not very supporting a Milton.

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And didn't your friend use the word nor Easter at some point?

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What exactly is a nor Easter anyway?

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Oh yeah, good catch.

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Your friend is right on the money with that.

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A nor Easter is a type of storm that forms

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along the East Coast when cold air from the North

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clashes with warm air from the South.

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They're notorious for bringing tons of rain and strong winds

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kind of like a hurricane's more unpredictable cousin.

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And they usually hit up North, right?

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Like the Northeast US.

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Exactly, but depending on how this whole

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cold front situation plays out,

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Milton could take on some nor Easter like characteristics

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potentially impacting a much wider area.

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Wow, so we've got this potential hurricane

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possibly changing course, maybe weakening,

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but also maybe morphing into a rain soaked nor Easter.

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It's like trying to predict the ending of a movie

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with three different possible endings.

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That's a great analogy and it's why it's so important

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to stay glued to those forecasts

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and be prepared for anything.

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Speaking of being prepared, those early showers

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and thunderstorms they were talking about in the forecasts,

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those aren't anything to brush off, are they?

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Not at all, those are the opening act for Milton's big show.

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We could see those showers and thunderstorms

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start drenching the Florida peninsula as early as Sunday.

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So days before the hurricane even gets there.

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Exactly, it's like Milton is sending out its scouts

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to soften things up a bit.

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And by soften things up, I mean soak everything in sight.

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Which is not good considering everything

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we've already talked about with the ground

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being saturated from Hulene.

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It's like trying to pour a gallon of water

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into a glass that's already full.

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It's just gonna overflow.

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Exactly.

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And this reminds me of what the Washington Post said

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about the flooding and the appellations after Hulene.

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All that rain just had nowhere to go.

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Right, and they made a good point about how the terrain

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and the appellations made the flooding worse.

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Because all those mountains and valleys basically channeled

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the water into the valleys, right?

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Exactly.

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Now Florida is obviously much flatter.

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So the water won't necessarily flow as fast,

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but it will spread out more.

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Exactly, it's a different type of flooding,

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but it can be just as destructive.

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So maybe less flash flooding

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and more of a slow and steady inundation.

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Precisely.

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And considering how much rain Hulene dumped on the state,

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even a smaller amount of rain from Milton

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could cause serious problems.

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It's all about the timing

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and the fact that the ground is already so saturated.

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Exactly.

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And it's why it's so important

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to take those evacuation orders seriously if they're issued.

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Even if you think your home can handle the wind

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and rain flooding can quickly turn a bad situation

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into a life-threatening one.

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Absolutely.

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It's always better to be safe than sorry,

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especially when it comes to hurricanes.

272
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Couldn't agree more.

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Okay, so we've covered the potential

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for some major flooding,

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the rapid development of the storm

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and the possibility of it

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taking on some Nor'easter characteristics.

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Anything else we need to know about Milton?

279
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Well, we've talked a lot about the potential dangers,

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but I'm always fascinated by the science

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behind these storms.

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They're so powerful and destructive,

283
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yet there's a strange beauty to them too.

284
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I know what you mean.

285
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It's like this weird mix of awe and terror

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that I don't think I'll ever get used to.

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So yeah, what else have we learned about Milton?

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Well, we've covered a lot of ground here, haven't we?

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This tropical storm Milton

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is shaping up to be quite the event.

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That's for sure.

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From rapid intensification to potential major flooding,

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and don't even get me started on that Nor'easter curveball.

294
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It's like a Hurricane Greatest Hits album,

295
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but not in a good way.

296
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Definitely not.

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So let's cut to the chase here for our listeners.

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What can people do right now

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to prepare for whatever Milton throws their way?

300
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That's the million dollar question.

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And unfortunately, there's no one size fix all answer.

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It really depends on your individual circumstances.

303
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Okay, so let's break it down.

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What are some of the universal truths here?

305
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The things that everyone should be doing

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regardless of where they are

307
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or what the latest forecast says.

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I'd say the most important thing is to stay informed.

309
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You mean don't just check the forecast once

310
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and call it a day?

311
00:11:02,080 --> 00:11:02,920
Exactly.

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Hurricanes are constantly evolving

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so it's crucial to stay up to date

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on the latest developments.

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So check those weather apps regularly.

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Precisely.

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And make sure you're getting your information

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from reliable sources like the National Hurricane Center

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and your local news outlets.

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Don't just trust that random Facebook post

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your uncle shared.

322
00:11:19,760 --> 00:11:20,680
Exactly.

323
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Stick to the experts.

324
00:11:23,000 --> 00:11:24,320
And speaking of experts,

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let's talk about those hurricane preparedness kits.

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Remember those.

327
00:11:27,760 --> 00:11:29,280
Oh yeah, the trustee hurricane kit.

328
00:11:29,280 --> 00:11:31,040
Always a good idea to have one of those on hand.

329
00:11:31,040 --> 00:11:33,560
More than just a good idea, it's essential.

330
00:11:33,560 --> 00:11:35,800
And I'm not just talking about stocking up on snacks,

331
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although having plenty of snacks is never a bad thing.

332
00:11:38,040 --> 00:11:40,480
Snacks are crucial for morale during a hurricane.

333
00:11:40,480 --> 00:11:41,320
Absolutely.

334
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But we're also talking about things like water batteries,

335
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flashlights, first aid kits, all that good stuff.

336
00:11:46,720 --> 00:11:48,440
And don't forget those important documents.

337
00:11:48,440 --> 00:11:50,440
Oh yeah, that's a good one.

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Keep all those important papers together

339
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in a waterproof container, just in case.

340
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Better safe than sorry.

341
00:11:56,160 --> 00:11:57,480
Exactly.

342
00:11:57,480 --> 00:11:59,240
And hey, speaking of being prepared,

343
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let's talk about those evacuation zones.

344
00:12:01,840 --> 00:12:03,800
Ah yes, evacuation zones.

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Those always make things feel a little more real.

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They do, and for good reason.

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If you're in an evacuation zone,

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it means you're in a vulnerable area

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and you need to be prepared to leave

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00:12:13,520 --> 00:12:15,520
if an evacuation order is issued.

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And it's important to remember

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00:12:16,880 --> 00:12:19,480
that even if you're not in an evacuation zone,

353
00:12:19,480 --> 00:12:21,520
it's still a good idea to have a plan.

354
00:12:21,520 --> 00:12:22,360
Absolutely.

355
00:12:22,360 --> 00:12:23,480
Know where you would go

356
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and how you would get there if you had to evacuate.

357
00:12:26,120 --> 00:12:29,080
It's always better to be over-prepared than under-prepared.

358
00:12:29,080 --> 00:12:30,040
Couldn't agree more.

359
00:12:30,040 --> 00:12:30,880
Yeah.

360
00:12:30,880 --> 00:12:33,000
Now we've talked a lot about the physical preparations,

361
00:12:33,000 --> 00:12:36,520
but what about the mental and emotional side of things?

362
00:12:36,520 --> 00:12:39,200
Hurricanes can be stressful even when you're prepared.

363
00:12:39,200 --> 00:12:40,440
That's so true.

364
00:12:40,440 --> 00:12:42,000
And it's something we often overlooked.

365
00:12:42,000 --> 00:12:43,640
It's important to take care of your mental health

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during hurricane season.

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00:12:45,080 --> 00:12:47,520
Check in on your friends and family practice self-care,

368
00:12:47,520 --> 00:12:49,600
and don't be afraid to seek professional help

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if you need it.

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It's okay to not be okay during a hurricane.

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And there's no shame in reaching out for help.

372
00:12:54,720 --> 00:12:55,560
Absolutely.

373
00:12:55,560 --> 00:12:56,400
Yeah.

374
00:12:56,400 --> 00:12:57,400
So yeah, take care of your mental health,

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00:12:57,400 --> 00:12:59,840
stay informed, be prepared,

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00:12:59,840 --> 00:13:02,560
and hopefully Milton will decide to take it easy on us.

377
00:13:02,560 --> 00:13:03,880
Here's hoping.

378
00:13:03,880 --> 00:13:05,120
But no matter what happens,

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00:13:05,120 --> 00:13:06,520
we'll be here to keep you informed

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00:13:06,520 --> 00:13:07,960
and help you make sense of it all.

381
00:13:07,960 --> 00:13:08,800
That's right.

382
00:13:08,800 --> 00:13:09,640
We're all in this together.

383
00:13:09,640 --> 00:13:10,680
Exactly.

384
00:13:10,680 --> 00:13:34,680
So until next time, stay safe out there, everyone.