WEBVTT

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Breaking free from the chains of the past Where

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truth moves faster than a Holstein calf No law

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waiting on some printed page We're charting new

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ground in the digital age From genomic codes

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to robot facts We cut through the noise, no hold

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them back not your daddy's dairy news tonight

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we're sparking Welcome back to the Bullvine Podcast,

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where we cut through the dairy industry noise

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to get you the insights that actually matter

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for your operation. And today we are diving deep

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into a feature piece that honestly is going to

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ruffle some feathers. We're talking about the

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concept of the designer in the dairy. That sounds

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fancy. Almost too fancy for the milk house. It

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does, doesn't it? It has that sort of, you know,

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tech bro vibe to it. But stick with me. We are

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diving into a philosophy backed by some serious

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data from TGASC, Cornell, and the AHDB. Okay.

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Basically, we are asking a pretty provocative

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question. Can running your farm, a little bit

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more like Steve Jobs ran Apple, actually save

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your sanity and, more importantly, your bank

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account? Okay, as soon as you say Steve Jobs,

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I know half the listeners just rolled their eyes.

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Oh, for sure. They're thinking, great, what does

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a guy in a black turtleneck know about somatic

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cell counts? What does Silicon Valley know about

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getting a fresh heifer to let down at 4 a .m.?

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And that is a totally fair reaction. I had the

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same one when I first looked at the stack of

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research. It feels like a disconnect. A huge

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one. But bear with us because the data we are

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looking at today is pointing to a massive inefficiency

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in how we value our own time as owners. And it's

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not about wearing a turtleneck. It's about how

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you design the system you work in. We need to

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set the stage here. We need to talk about the

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culture of the grind. You know this better than

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anyone. In this industry, there is a massive

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badge of honor associated with working long hours.

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Oh, absolutely. It's the lone wolf mentality.

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If you aren't the first one in the parlor at

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4 .30 a .m. and the last one turning off the

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lights at 9 p .m., do you even really care about

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your cows? That's the mindset. It really is.

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If my neighbor sees my truck in the driveway

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at 7 a .m., I feel like I need to have an excuse

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ready. Like, oh, I was up all night with a calving,

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you know. Not, I decided to get a decent night's

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sleep. You feel like you're slacking off. It's

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deep -seated. But what if that mindset, that

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guilt, is costing you $24 ,000 a year? Now that

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is a number that gets my attention. We're talking

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about net margin here, not just gross revenue.

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We are talking about pure profit left on the

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table. We are going to unpack a proven 988 -hour

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gap between the most efficient herds and the

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least efficient ones. 988 hours. And we're not

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talking about robot farms versus tie stalls here.

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We're talking about management style. Shifting

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from the doer, the person holding the milk or

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claw, to the designer, the person managing the

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system. Look, I'm going to play the skeptic today

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because I know what it's like. You can't just

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manage a farm from an office chair. Cows get

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sick. Waters break. Scrapers get stuck. Things

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go wrong. Of course. So I want to see if this

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is just office farming theory. Or if it actually

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holds up in the barn when the manure hits the

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fan. That is fair. But I'm going to challenge

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you. By the end of this hour, I want to see if

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we can convince you and the listener that buying

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a robot might just be buying a guilt machine

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if you don't fix your head game first. All right.

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Shots fired early. I like it. Let's get into

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it. Let's start with segment one, the core problem.

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The source material identifies this as the lone

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wolf identity crisis. The lone wolf. This is

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the idea that if you want something done right,

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you have to do it yourself. It's probably carved

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into the wall of every farm shop in the country.

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Exactly. And the article opens with this parallel

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to the tech world that we touched on. We had

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this myth of Steve Jobs, right? The lone genius

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in the garage, soldering circuits, building the

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Macintosh with his bare hands. That's the story

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we all know. One guy against the world. It's

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a great story. It is a great story. But the source

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points out it is completely false. Steve Jobs

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never soldered a circuit board. He didn't write

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the code. He didn't build the casing. Okay, but

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he was the boss. He was in charge. He was the

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designer. He was the conductor. He built the

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team. He set the vision. He was the one saying

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no to things that weren't perfect. But he wasn't

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the one turning the screwdriver. I see where

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you're going with this. And the article argues

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that too many dairy farmers are trying to be

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the technician in the garage doing every single

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task instead of being the jobs figure who designs

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the entire system. I get the analogy, but let's

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be real. Steve Jobs didn't have to worry about

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a localized mastitis outbreak on a Sunday morning.

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It's a little different when you're dealing with

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livestock that are living, breathing, and seemingly

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always trying to find new ways to die. It is

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different. But is the psychology. The emotional

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hurdle is the same. The source talks about this

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deep -seated fear that sleeping past 6 a .m.

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feels like a failure. Like you're betraying your

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father's work ethic. That hits home. I mean,

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my dad never took a day off. Never. If I take

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a weekend, there is a voice in my head saying

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the farm is going to fall apart. It's a real

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physical feeling of anxiety. But here's the operational

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impact of that guilt. Yeah. When the owner is

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stuck in the pit, literally holding the unit,

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what isn't happening? Well, you're not looking

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at records. You're not planning forage needs

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for next year. You're definitely not having a

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calm team meeting to go over protocols. You're

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just surviving the shift. Your head is down.

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Exactly. The high -value task breeding strategy,

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team development, ration management, those get

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poofed to the side because you're too busy working.

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There was some fascinating data from TGAS focus

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groups mentioned here. TGAS is the Irish authority,

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right? They do good work on labor efficiency

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because they are so pasture -based and seasonal.

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Right. And in these focus groups, they found

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that farmers felt that anything under 55 hours

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a week was acceptable. That was sort of the baseline

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for a good work -life balance in their eyes.

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55 hours. That sounds like a vacation to a lot

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of guys I know. I mean, they'd call that part

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-time. Right. But here's the thing. The bottom

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quartile farms, the ones struggling the most

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financially, were blowing past that. They were

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working 15 to 20 hours more than that threshold.

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They were doing 70, 75 -hour weeks. And they

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were just accepting it. They were tolerating

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the grind, thinking it was necessary to survive.

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They wore it as a badge of honor. I put in 75

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hours last week. So the guys working the hardest

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were making the least progress. That is exactly

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where we are heading. This brings us to segment

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two, the industry reality check. We need to deep

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dive into this 988 hour gap. OK, walk me through

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these numbers. This is from that TGASC Moorpark

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study you mentioned. Yes. So they looked at labor

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efficiency on pasture based dairy farms. They

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split them into the top 25 percent and the bottom

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25 percent based on labor efficiency. Now, guess

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the difference in herd size. OK, usually the

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efficient ones are the massive herds, right?

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economies of scale. You'd expect the top group

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to have 500 cows and the bottom group to have

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50. That's what you'd think. That's the conventional

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wisdom. But in this study, the herd sizes were

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almost identical. The top group averaged 112

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cows. The bottom group averaged 113 cows. You're

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kidding me. So one extra cow isn't causing all

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the trouble. We're comparing apples to apples

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here. Exactly. But the hours, the top group worked

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about 51 hours a week on average. Okay. Like

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we said, still a serious work week, but you can

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have a life. You can see your family. For sure.

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But the bottom group, 70 hours a week. Whoa.

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That is, that's a 19 -hour difference. Every

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single week. 19 hours a week. Let's do the math

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on that. Over a year, 52 weeks times 19 hours

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totals 988 hours. Almost 1 ,000 hours. It's essentially

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an extra half -time job that the bottom group

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is doing for the same number of cows. Think about

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that. That's almost 25 standard 40 -hour work

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weeks. That is half a year of normal work you're

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putting in for free. And for what? Are they getting

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more milk? Are they more profitable? I assume

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not if they are the bottom quartile for efficiency.

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They are. They are generally less profitable.

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They're working more and earning less. It's a

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brutal cycle. You know, they mentioned this is

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Irish data, so seasonal calving, grass -based.

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Does this actually translate to a year -round

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TMR barn in Wisconsin or New York? Right. Because

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walking a pasture to get cows is different than

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scraping stalls? It's a fair question, and the

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source argues yes, because the core truth is

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universal. Profitable farms work different hours,

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not just more hours. It's about what you do with

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the time. So it's about system design, not the

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type of system. Exactly. And to back that up,

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let's look at the Cornell Dairy Farm Business

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Summary from 2024. They looked at 129 New York

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farms. Okay, New York. That's more comparable

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to the high input systems a lot of our listeners

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run. Confinement, TMR, the whole deal. Right.

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And what they found was that the top -earning

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herds shipped 1 .7 million pounds of milk per

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worker. That's a solid metric. Milk per FTE.

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Full -time equivalent. It's a great way to measure

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labor productivity. And the bottom -earning herds.

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Only 1 .2 million pounds of milk per worker.

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That's a huge spread in efficiency. That is half

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a million pounds of milk per person that you

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are missing out on every single year for every

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employee. Huge. But here's the kicker, and this

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is the part that blew my mind. The cost of hired

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labor per worker was roughly the same across

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the board, between $57 ,000 and $61 ,000. Wait,

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explain that. So the top farms weren't just finding

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cheaper labor? They weren't hiring high school

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kids for minimum wage? No. They were paying the

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same market rate for people, maybe even slightly

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more. But they designed systems that allowed

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those people to be vastly more productive. They

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got more milk per human hour. So they're not

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saving money on the wage. They're making more

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money on the output. That is the definition of

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system design. It's the difference between running

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around, putting out fires and having a fire prevention

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plan. Yeah. If you're shipping 1 .2 million pounds

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per worker. You're probably chasing cows, fixing

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gates that should have been replaced five years

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ago, and dealing with mastitis cases that shouldn't

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have happened in the first place. You're dealing

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with friction. The source material emphasizes

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that efficiency isn't about running faster. It's

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about removing friction from the system. Friction.

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I like that word. Friction is the gate that doesn't

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latch. Friction is the hose that is always tangled.

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Friction is having to walk 50 extra steps to

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get the dip because it's not where it should

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be. Friction is the SOP that no one follows because

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it's too complicated. Or worse, it only exists

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in your head. And that friction costs real money.

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Which is a perfect segue. It is. Which leads

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us to segment three. Follow the money. Because

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I know some listeners are thinking, okay, so

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I work hard. It's my time. It's free. Who cares?

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Yeah, the sweat equity argument. If I do it,

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I don't have to pay someone. I hear that in every

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coffee shop from here to California. It's baked

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into our DNA. Right. But it's a flawed argument.

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Let's look at Dr. John Fetrow's formula from

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the University of Minnesota. He breaks down the

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cost of being too busy to manage reproduction.

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I love Fetrow's stuff. He always puts a dollar

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sign on biology. Makes it tangible. He does.

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So he calculates the value of a one -point improvement

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in pregnancy rate, or PR. He pegs it between

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$15 and $35 per cow per year. Okay, that depends

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on milk price and replacement costs. But let's

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say $20 to be conservative. That's a pretty safe

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number. Sure, $20. Now take a scenario. You have

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a 200 -cow herd. You're running a 19 % PR because

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you're busy milking and you miss a few heats.

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Or your protocols are a bit sloppy because you're

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tired. Your neighbor, same size herd, runs a

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25 % PR. That's a six -point gap. And that's

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not... That's not a crazy gap. A 19 is average,

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a 25 is good, but it's achievable. It's not like

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comparing to a 40 PR herd. Totally achievable.

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So the calculation is the gap. That's six points

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times the value, we'll use $20, times the herd

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size, 200 cows. Let me do the mental math here.

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Six times 20 is 120 times 200. That's $24 ,000.

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$24 ,000 a year. That is pure net margin. That's

00:12:50.889 --> 00:12:53.889
not gross revenue. That is money that falls to

00:12:53.889 --> 00:12:56.490
the bottom line because you aren't feeding open

00:12:56.490 --> 00:12:58.929
cows and you aren't buying as many replacements.

00:12:58.950 --> 00:13:00.990
It's money you just don't get. It vanishes. And

00:13:00.990 --> 00:13:03.309
if you use the high end of his estimate, $35

00:13:03.309 --> 00:13:05.870
a point, which might be realistic with high replacement

00:13:05.870 --> 00:13:08.850
costs. It jumps to over $42 ,000. For the same

00:13:08.850 --> 00:13:11.370
cows. Just managed differently for six percentage

00:13:11.370 --> 00:13:13.429
points. See, this is the opportunity cost we

00:13:13.429 --> 00:13:15.610
always talk about but never calculate. We see

00:13:15.610 --> 00:13:17.509
the check we write to the relief milker, let's

00:13:17.509 --> 00:13:20.710
say $200 for the shift, and we flinch. We feel

00:13:20.710 --> 00:13:23.750
that pain. But we don't see the $24 ,000 check

00:13:23.750 --> 00:13:26.289
we didn't get because our PR is stuck at 19.

00:13:26.490 --> 00:13:29.769
That is the invisible loss. It's so much easier

00:13:29.769 --> 00:13:32.210
to track expenses than it is to track lost income.

00:13:32.470 --> 00:13:34.750
And there is real -world evidence for this. It's

00:13:34.750 --> 00:13:37.990
not just a formula on a spreadsheet. The UW -Madison

00:13:37.990 --> 00:13:41.409
Repro Money Program worked with 40 Wisconsin

00:13:41.409 --> 00:13:44.059
dairies. They didn't tell them to buy robots.

00:13:44.320 --> 00:13:46.059
They didn't tell them to build new barns. What

00:13:46.059 --> 00:13:48.000
did they do? They just told them to form team's

00:13:48.000 --> 00:13:51.379
owner, vet nutritionist, and meet regularly.

00:13:51.539 --> 00:13:54.179
Just meetings. That's the office work guys hate.

00:13:54.220 --> 00:13:56.000
I don't make money sitting in a chair. That's

00:13:56.000 --> 00:13:58.299
what you hear. Just meetings and protocols. And

00:13:58.299 --> 00:14:02.519
guess what? They improved their PR by two points

00:14:02.519 --> 00:14:05.720
on average just from that. The economic gain

00:14:05.720 --> 00:14:10.179
was about $31 per cow per year. So on a 300 cow

00:14:10.179 --> 00:14:13.740
herd, you're looking at over $9 ,000 purely from

00:14:13.740 --> 00:14:16.019
sitting down and talking to your team. Yes, because

00:14:16.019 --> 00:14:18.580
when you sit down, you stop doing the $18 an

00:14:18.580 --> 00:14:20.980
hour work and start doing the $100 an hour work.

00:14:21.159 --> 00:14:23.450
That's the comparison that hurts. I was looking

00:14:23.450 --> 00:14:27.850
at the USDA labor stats for January 2025. Livestock

00:14:27.850 --> 00:14:30.909
workers are averaging about $18 .15 an hour.

00:14:31.029 --> 00:14:33.090
Right. So if I'm the owner and I'm insisting

00:14:33.090 --> 00:14:35.230
on doing the milking myself because nobody does

00:14:35.230 --> 00:14:38.330
it like me, I am effectively valuing my time

00:14:38.330 --> 00:14:41.529
at $18 .15 an hour. While you are neglecting

00:14:41.529 --> 00:14:44.809
the work that is worth $100 or $200 an hour,

00:14:44.909 --> 00:14:48.129
negotiating feed contracts, analyzing that repro

00:14:48.129 --> 00:14:51.539
data, preventing the next outbreak. You are stepping

00:14:51.539 --> 00:14:54.580
over dollars to pick up dimes. It's the cost

00:14:54.580 --> 00:14:56.779
of loss decisions. We track the cost of labor

00:14:56.779 --> 00:14:58.720
on the P &L. We don't have a line item for money

00:14:58.720 --> 00:15:00.840
lost because I was too tired to notice the breeding

00:15:00.840 --> 00:15:02.860
list was outdated. That is the hidden killer.

00:15:03.200 --> 00:15:05.399
And it's not just theoretical. I want to talk

00:15:05.399 --> 00:15:07.360
about some real farmers who made this shift.

00:15:07.659 --> 00:15:10.559
Segment four, case studies. Let's make this real.

00:15:10.740 --> 00:15:12.799
Okay, let's talk about Jim Kirk. And before anyone

00:15:12.799 --> 00:15:15.620
asks, no, not the Star Trek guy. No, Jim Kirk

00:15:15.620 --> 00:15:17.919
from Heaton Barton Farm in the UK. He's running

00:15:17.919 --> 00:15:21.720
606 Holsteins. Big rotary parlor, 60 points.

00:15:21.899 --> 00:15:25.440
A 60 -point rotary for 600 cows. That's some

00:15:25.440 --> 00:15:28.019
serious iron. That's one point for every 10 cows.

00:15:28.159 --> 00:15:31.500
He's not messing around. He is not. And the efficiency

00:15:31.500 --> 00:15:35.080
is incredible. Two people run the whole milking

00:15:35.080 --> 00:15:37.919
in under two hours. That's fast. That's moving

00:15:37.919 --> 00:15:40.419
cows. But it also means you have a big chunk

00:15:40.419 --> 00:15:43.220
of your day back. And that's the point. The key

00:15:43.220 --> 00:15:45.659
isn't just the rotary. It's what Kirk did with

00:15:45.659 --> 00:15:48.850
his roll. He told the source he replaced an old

00:15:48.850 --> 00:15:51.830
herringbone parlor specifically because it was

00:15:51.830 --> 00:15:54.809
consuming his entire day. He realized he was

00:15:54.809 --> 00:15:57.549
a slave to the pit. So he spent the capital to

00:15:57.549 --> 00:15:59.350
free up his time. That's a huge mental shift.

00:15:59.409 --> 00:16:01.169
You're not buying a machine to milk cows. You're

00:16:01.169 --> 00:16:03.009
buying a machine to buy back your own time. Yes.

00:16:03.470 --> 00:16:05.830
But he didn't just use that time to watch TV.

00:16:05.970 --> 00:16:09.049
He shifted into that designer mode. He holds

00:16:09.049 --> 00:16:11.210
daily whiteboard meetings with his herdsman,

00:16:11.330 --> 00:16:13.389
Harrison. They write down the jobs, tick them

00:16:13.389 --> 00:16:15.750
off. It's simple. It's visual. I love the whiteboard

00:16:15.750 --> 00:16:17.870
idea. It's so simple. It's analog. You don't

00:16:17.870 --> 00:16:20.309
need fancy software. But it forces communication

00:16:20.309 --> 00:16:22.769
and accountability. And look at the results.

00:16:23.090 --> 00:16:26.649
His pregnancy rate is sitting at 25%. which puts

00:16:26.649 --> 00:16:29.309
him in the top 5 % of British herds. That's a

00:16:29.309 --> 00:16:31.870
direct result of him having the mental space

00:16:31.870 --> 00:16:34.789
to focus on breeding and ration management instead

00:16:34.789 --> 00:16:38.309
of just prepping udders. And he trusts his team.

00:16:38.529 --> 00:16:41.309
The source mentions he sent his herdsman, Harrison,

00:16:41.509 --> 00:16:44.529
to the U .S. to visit farms. Exactly. He sent

00:16:44.529 --> 00:16:47.429
him with worldwide sires. Think about that. Most

00:16:47.429 --> 00:16:49.929
farmers are terrified to train their staff that

00:16:49.929 --> 00:16:52.250
well because they might leave. What if I invest

00:16:52.250 --> 00:16:54.450
all this in him and he leaves? And the classic

00:16:54.450 --> 00:16:56.110
counter -argument is, what if you don't train

00:16:56.110 --> 00:16:59.110
him and he stays? Exactly. Kirk is training him

00:16:59.110 --> 00:17:01.409
so he can take ownership. That is a Steve Jobs

00:17:01.409 --> 00:17:04.490
move. Pick the best people, give them the vision

00:17:04.490 --> 00:17:06.869
and the tools, and let them execute. It's the

00:17:06.869 --> 00:17:08.849
difference between having a hired hand and having

00:17:08.849 --> 00:17:11.289
a herdsman. A hired hand does what you say. A

00:17:11.289 --> 00:17:13.049
herdsman knows why we're doing it and can make

00:17:13.049 --> 00:17:15.829
decisions when you're not there. Spot on. Now

00:17:15.829 --> 00:17:18.029
let's bring it back to the States. Wayside Dairy

00:17:18.029 --> 00:17:21.009
in Wisconsin. Yeah, the Natsky family. Big operation,

00:17:21.309 --> 00:17:23.569
2 ,000 cows. This is a great example because

00:17:23.569 --> 00:17:26.109
it shows the progression. It really is. For years,

00:17:26.130 --> 00:17:28.950
their PR was hovering around 18%. Not terrible

00:17:28.950 --> 00:17:31.089
for a herd that size a few years ago, but not

00:17:31.089 --> 00:17:34.450
great. Just kind of average. Stuck in a rut.

00:17:34.650 --> 00:17:36.869
Right. So phase one of their turnaround wasn't

00:17:36.869 --> 00:17:40.329
technology. It was management. They changed their

00:17:40.329 --> 00:17:42.809
vet. They changed their nutritionist. They implemented

00:17:42.809 --> 00:17:45.630
new protocols like a double Lutely shot. Okay,

00:17:45.670 --> 00:17:47.470
so they tightened the screws on the basics. No

00:17:47.470 --> 00:17:50.049
shiny new toys yet. Just people and process.

00:17:50.410 --> 00:17:54.230
And that alone jumped them to a 33 % PR. Wait,

00:17:54.309 --> 00:17:57.009
just from management changes? From 18 to 33?

00:17:57.289 --> 00:17:59.569
That's a 15 -point jump. Just from people and

00:17:59.569 --> 00:18:01.809
protocols, that is a massive jump. It's life

00:18:01.809 --> 00:18:04.309
-changing for a dairy's cash flow. It's unbelievable.

00:18:04.609 --> 00:18:06.869
But then came phase two. They added cow manager

00:18:06.869 --> 00:18:09.390
ear sensors. The activity monitors. Right. And

00:18:09.390 --> 00:18:11.869
with the sensors, they jumped again up to 38

00:18:11.869 --> 00:18:16.069
% PR. 38 % is elite. That is stratospheric. That's

00:18:16.069 --> 00:18:18.869
top 1 % stuff. But here's the lesson, and I want

00:18:18.869 --> 00:18:21.289
everyone to hear this. Jeremy Natsky, the owner,

00:18:21.450 --> 00:18:24.329
didn't use the tech to fix a broken system. He

00:18:24.329 --> 00:18:26.950
used the tech to enhance a system that was already

00:18:26.950 --> 00:18:29.650
working. That's a crucial distinction. Say that

00:18:29.650 --> 00:18:32.430
again. He used technology to enhance a working

00:18:32.430 --> 00:18:35.910
system, not to fix a broken one. I see so many

00:18:35.910 --> 00:18:38.250
guys buying sensors or robots hoping it will

00:18:38.250 --> 00:18:40.589
fix their management problems. If I just buy

00:18:40.589 --> 00:18:43.170
these collars, my cows will get pregnant. No.

00:18:43.390 --> 00:18:46.109
If you have bad protocols and poor compliance,

00:18:46.430 --> 00:18:48.529
the collars just tell you that you have bad protocols

00:18:48.529 --> 00:18:50.970
faster. They just give you more data on your

00:18:50.970 --> 00:18:54.049
failures. Exactly. Netsky said the sensors reduced

00:18:54.049 --> 00:18:56.369
his synchronization costs because they were catching

00:18:56.369 --> 00:19:00.000
natural heats. But... He only could take advantage

00:19:00.000 --> 00:19:02.180
of that because he had the team and the trust

00:19:02.180 --> 00:19:04.740
and the protocols in place to act on the data.

00:19:04.920 --> 00:19:07.279
It goes back to the designer idea. He designed

00:19:07.279 --> 00:19:09.940
a system where the sensors had a specific value

00:19:09.940 --> 00:19:13.019
-added role, not a rescue mission. Which leads

00:19:13.019 --> 00:19:16.240
us perfectly into segment five, the future and

00:19:16.240 --> 00:19:18.480
the tech trap. The tech trap. I feel like we're

00:19:18.480 --> 00:19:20.380
seeing this a lot with the robotic milking boom.

00:19:20.539 --> 00:19:22.839
Everyone wants a robot. It's the shiny new thing.

00:19:23.099 --> 00:19:25.140
It is. And I'm going to be controversial here.

00:19:25.220 --> 00:19:28.799
My hot take. If you buy a robot but you insist

00:19:28.799 --> 00:19:32.680
on being the robot, checking every alarm personally,

00:19:33.000 --> 00:19:35.220
waking up three times a night because you don't

00:19:35.220 --> 00:19:37.480
trust the machine. You didn't buy a labor -saving

00:19:37.480 --> 00:19:40.599
device. You bought a guilt machine. A guilt machine.

00:19:40.900 --> 00:19:43.720
That hits hard. I know guys with robots who are

00:19:43.720 --> 00:19:45.660
more tired than when they milked in a parlor

00:19:45.660 --> 00:19:47.539
because the phone never stops dinging. They're

00:19:47.539 --> 00:19:51.099
tethered to it 24 -7. Exactly. You traded the

00:19:51.099 --> 00:19:53.079
physical work in the pit for the mental stress

00:19:53.079 --> 00:19:55.980
of being constantly on call. The source makes

00:19:55.980 --> 00:19:58.920
a fascinating cost comparison here. Sensors,

00:19:58.940 --> 00:20:02.240
like the cow manager ones, cost about $25 per

00:20:02.240 --> 00:20:05.019
cow per year. Okay, manageable. A robot, you're

00:20:05.019 --> 00:20:08.460
talking $400 ,000 plus per unit. And that's before

00:20:08.460 --> 00:20:10.740
installation and maintenance. That is a massive

00:20:10.740 --> 00:20:13.079
capital difference. You can buy a lot of sensors

00:20:13.079 --> 00:20:15.940
for the price of one box. It is. And the decision

00:20:15.940 --> 00:20:18.359
matrix should be, what is your bottleneck? If

00:20:18.359 --> 00:20:20.940
your bottleneck is information like, I don't

00:20:20.940 --> 00:20:23.299
know which cow is in heat, then sensors plus

00:20:23.299 --> 00:20:25.720
management is the ROI winner. You don't need

00:20:25.720 --> 00:20:28.519
a $400 ,000 robot to find a heat. But if the

00:20:28.519 --> 00:20:31.339
bottleneck is that you literally cannot find

00:20:31.339 --> 00:20:33.779
a human being to show up and attach the unit.

00:20:34.019 --> 00:20:37.539
Then robots might be the answer. But, and this

00:20:37.539 --> 00:20:40.400
is the big, but only if the owner lets go of

00:20:40.400 --> 00:20:43.160
the control. Right. If you buy the robot, you

00:20:43.160 --> 00:20:45.299
have to let the robot be the milker. You become

00:20:45.299 --> 00:20:48.380
the manager of the robot. Your job changes. The

00:20:48.380 --> 00:20:51.339
job's approach to tech is about user experience,

00:20:51.779 --> 00:20:55.259
simplicity. The source talks about setting thresholds

00:20:55.259 --> 00:20:57.200
for intervention rather than checking every cow.

00:20:57.440 --> 00:20:59.099
Explain that. What does that look like in practice?

00:20:59.440 --> 00:21:01.720
So instead of looking at every single cow's data

00:21:01.720 --> 00:21:04.480
every morning and getting overwhelmed, you set

00:21:04.480 --> 00:21:07.140
a rule in the software. I only want to see cows

00:21:07.140 --> 00:21:10.759
where milk dropped by more than 15%. Or only

00:21:10.759 --> 00:21:13.240
show me cows with a high conductivity and a rumination

00:21:13.240 --> 00:21:15.890
alert. You manage by exception. You let the computer

00:21:15.890 --> 00:21:17.910
sift through the noise and just show you the

00:21:17.910 --> 00:21:20.809
problems. Yes. You shift from hours in the parlor

00:21:20.809 --> 00:21:23.970
to decisions per week as your metric of success.

00:21:24.690 --> 00:21:26.910
If you're looking at healthy cows on a computer

00:21:26.910 --> 00:21:29.750
screen, you are wasting time. The system should

00:21:29.750 --> 00:21:32.029
hide the healthy cows and only show you the sick

00:21:32.029 --> 00:21:34.869
ones. That requires trusting the system, which

00:21:34.869 --> 00:21:36.890
brings us right back to the psychological hurdle

00:21:36.890 --> 00:21:39.210
we started with. What if the computer misses

00:21:39.210 --> 00:21:42.880
one? That's the fear. It might. But are you telling

00:21:42.880 --> 00:21:44.920
me you never missed one when you were half asleep

00:21:44.920 --> 00:21:48.480
in the pit at 5 a .m. on a Tuesday? The goal

00:21:48.480 --> 00:21:51.400
isn't perfection. It's a better system. Touche.

00:21:51.519 --> 00:21:56.160
Good point. That brings us to segment six, contrarian

00:21:56.160 --> 00:21:59.059
takes. Because the source argues something that

00:21:59.059 --> 00:22:02.559
sounds crazy. The lazy farmer might be the most

00:22:02.559 --> 00:22:05.539
profitable one. Lazy is a dirty word in this

00:22:05.539 --> 00:22:08.680
industry. If you call a farmer lazy, them's fighting

00:22:08.680 --> 00:22:10.960
words. You better be ready to back that up. I

00:22:10.960 --> 00:22:13.180
know. But let's reframe lazy. Let's think of

00:22:13.180 --> 00:22:15.859
it as strategic inactivity. The source suggests

00:22:15.859 --> 00:22:17.759
that the most profitable thing an owner can do

00:22:17.759 --> 00:22:20.700
is say no. The power of no, like Jobs killing

00:22:20.700 --> 00:22:22.960
the floppy drive on the map. Exactly. Everyone

00:22:22.960 --> 00:22:24.859
screamed when he did that. We need the floppy

00:22:24.859 --> 00:22:26.680
drive. He said, no, it's old tech. It's clutter.

00:22:26.779 --> 00:22:29.759
We're moving on. So on a farm, what does saying

00:22:29.759 --> 00:22:33.180
no look like? It means dropping unprofitable

00:22:33.180 --> 00:22:36.740
side projects. It means killing traditions that

00:22:36.740 --> 00:22:39.880
don't pay. It means saying no to that extra 100

00:22:39.880 --> 00:22:41.619
acres of corn you don't have the equipment for.

00:22:41.740 --> 00:22:43.980
And it means stepping away from a milking shift,

00:22:44.140 --> 00:22:46.500
even if you feel guilty. It's the ability to

00:22:46.500 --> 00:22:48.599
say, we are not going to raise our own bull calves

00:22:48.599 --> 00:22:50.940
anymore because it distracts us from the heifers.

00:22:50.960 --> 00:22:54.259
Or we aren't going to make dry hay just because

00:22:54.259 --> 00:22:56.460
we always have. We're going to buy it in because

00:22:56.460 --> 00:22:59.500
our time is better spent elsewhere. Yes. But

00:22:59.500 --> 00:23:01.819
here is the pushback I hear, and I want you to

00:23:01.819 --> 00:23:05.220
voice it. If I step back, things fall apart.

00:23:05.420 --> 00:23:08.160
That's the fear. What if I leave for three days

00:23:08.160 --> 00:23:10.220
to go to a wedding and the somatic cell count

00:23:10.220 --> 00:23:13.240
spikes? What if the feeder loads the wrong mix

00:23:13.240 --> 00:23:15.700
and all the fresh cows go down? It's a legitimate

00:23:15.700 --> 00:23:18.480
terror for a lot of owners. And here is the brutal

00:23:18.480 --> 00:23:21.259
rebuttal from the source. If the SEC spikes the

00:23:21.259 --> 00:23:23.539
moment you leave the driveway, you don't have

00:23:23.539 --> 00:23:27.619
a system, you have a job. Ouch. Stings. But it's

00:23:27.619 --> 00:23:30.759
true. The goal is to build a lab, your farm,

00:23:30.880 --> 00:23:33.599
that works when you walk out the door. If it

00:23:33.599 --> 00:23:35.400
requires your physical presence to function,

00:23:35.579 --> 00:23:38.539
you haven't designed anything. You're just the

00:23:38.539 --> 00:23:40.839
glue holding it all together. And that glue is

00:23:40.839 --> 00:23:43.519
expensive. And frankly, it's fragile. If you

00:23:43.519 --> 00:23:46.480
break a leg, the whole farm breaks. That's not

00:23:46.480 --> 00:23:49.039
a business. That's a high -risk hobby that happens

00:23:49.039 --> 00:23:52.500
to own a lot of assets. Precisely. And the banks

00:23:52.500 --> 00:23:54.259
are starting to notice this. We're looking at

00:23:54.259 --> 00:23:57.700
a financial reckoning. The outlook for 2026 -2027

00:23:57.700 --> 00:24:00.079
suggests margins are going to compress. They

00:24:00.079 --> 00:24:02.660
usually do. It's a cyclical business. Banks are

00:24:02.660 --> 00:24:05.319
looking hard at cost of production. The Cornell

00:24:05.319 --> 00:24:07.740
data showed that bottom quartile farms spent

00:24:07.740 --> 00:24:10.980
about $22 .32 per hundred weight in operating

00:24:10.980 --> 00:24:15.490
costs. Yeah. The top quartile. $15 .79. That

00:24:15.490 --> 00:24:19.509
is a $6 .53 gap per hundredweight. That is enormous.

00:24:19.650 --> 00:24:21.569
That is the difference between making money at

00:24:21.569 --> 00:24:24.670
$18 milk and losing your shirt. And the bank

00:24:24.670 --> 00:24:26.549
doesn't care how hard you worked for that $6

00:24:26.549 --> 00:24:29.190
.53 gap. They don't give you a discount on interest

00:24:29.190 --> 00:24:31.089
rates because you have calluses on your hands.

00:24:31.230 --> 00:24:33.690
They care about the number. If you are spending

00:24:33.690 --> 00:24:37.250
$22 to make milk because you're working hard

00:24:37.250 --> 00:24:40.269
but managing poorly, you are going to get eaten

00:24:40.269 --> 00:24:43.049
alive by the guy spending $15. Because he's in

00:24:43.049 --> 00:24:45.529
the office negotiating feed prices. Exactly.

00:24:45.890 --> 00:24:48.630
The lazy farmer who sits in the office and locks

00:24:48.630 --> 00:24:52.130
in a low corn price is making more money in one

00:24:52.130 --> 00:24:55.069
hour than the hardworking farmer makes in a month

00:24:55.069 --> 00:24:57.849
of milking. That's a pill that's hard to swallow,

00:24:58.029 --> 00:25:00.789
but the math is the math. So we've laid out the

00:25:00.789 --> 00:25:03.410
problem. We've shown the data. We've scared everyone

00:25:03.410 --> 00:25:05.950
with the financial reality. Now we need to fix

00:25:05.950 --> 00:25:08.049
it. Right. We can't just leave people hanging.

00:25:08.190 --> 00:25:09.809
Hey, you're inefficient and your business is

00:25:09.809 --> 00:25:12.650
fragile. Good luck. We need a plan. All right,

00:25:12.690 --> 00:25:15.309
let's break this down. A farmer just finished

00:25:15.309 --> 00:25:17.650
milking. They're driving to the feed store listening

00:25:17.650 --> 00:25:21.109
to us. They're tired. They're skeptical. But

00:25:21.109 --> 00:25:24.349
they are curious. What is the three -step plan

00:25:24.349 --> 00:25:27.529
to stop being the bottleneck? Okay, let's look

00:25:27.529 --> 00:25:29.710
at the actionable insights from the source. We've

00:25:29.710 --> 00:25:31.829
got an immediate step, a medium -term step, and

00:25:31.829 --> 00:25:34.230
a long -term goal. Step one, immediate action,

00:25:34.349 --> 00:25:37.430
this week. The one -page SOP, standard operating

00:25:37.430 --> 00:25:39.880
procedure. Explain it. The challenge is to pick

00:25:39.880 --> 00:25:42.440
one milking shift, just one, let's say Tuesday

00:25:42.440 --> 00:25:45.519
morning. You need to write down exactly how that

00:25:45.519 --> 00:25:48.140
shift should run from start to finish on a single

00:25:48.140 --> 00:25:51.059
sheet of paper. Why just one page? Why the constraint?

00:25:51.359 --> 00:25:53.680
Because if it doesn't fit on one page, the source

00:25:53.680 --> 00:25:56.720
says it's not a standard, it's a wish. It's too

00:25:56.720 --> 00:25:58.819
complicated. You need to simplify it until it

00:25:58.819 --> 00:26:01.200
fits on a page that you can laminate and stick

00:26:01.200 --> 00:26:05.119
on the wall. Cow flow, prep routine, dip, wash,

00:26:05.539 --> 00:26:08.680
post -dip. Bullet points. Simple. I love that.

00:26:08.740 --> 00:26:11.119
It's not a standard. It's a wish. If you can't

00:26:11.119 --> 00:26:12.880
explain it simply, you haven't designed it well

00:26:12.880 --> 00:26:15.099
enough. It means you're relying on tribal knowledge.

00:26:15.400 --> 00:26:18.299
Exactly. Steve Jobs wanted the Mac to be intuitive.

00:26:18.740 --> 00:26:21.440
Your parlor needs to be intuitive for a new hire.

00:26:21.660 --> 00:26:24.779
Okay. Step two. Medium term strategy. The three

00:26:24.779 --> 00:26:27.220
to six month timeline. The 30 day test. How does

00:26:27.220 --> 00:26:29.579
this work? You take that one page SOP you wrote.

00:26:29.930 --> 00:26:32.490
You train one person, maybe a key employee, maybe

00:26:32.490 --> 00:26:34.650
a family member, to run that Tuesday morning

00:26:34.650 --> 00:26:37.210
shift exactly according to the paper. You watch

00:26:37.210 --> 00:26:39.710
them, you coach them, and then, this is the hard

00:26:39.710 --> 00:26:42.029
part, you step away from that shift entirely

00:26:42.029 --> 00:26:44.690
for 30 days. Like, don't even go in the barn.

00:26:44.789 --> 00:26:46.309
That's going to cause some anxiety. Don't go

00:26:46.309 --> 00:26:48.670
in the barn during milking. Don't hover. Don't

00:26:48.670 --> 00:26:50.549
text them every five minutes asking how it's

00:26:50.549 --> 00:26:54.670
going. You track three numbers, milk shipped,

00:26:54.869 --> 00:26:58.670
bulk tank, SCC, and mastitis cases. The key performance

00:26:58.670 --> 00:27:01.759
indicators. The big three. Right. If those numbers

00:27:01.759 --> 00:27:03.720
hold steady for 30 days without you being there,

00:27:03.799 --> 00:27:06.740
congratulations. That shift is now permanently

00:27:06.740 --> 00:27:09.799
owner optional. You just bought yourself four

00:27:09.799 --> 00:27:13.220
hours a week, every week. And if they slip, if

00:27:13.220 --> 00:27:15.759
the SEC bumps up a bit. If they slip, you don't

00:27:15.759 --> 00:27:17.619
just jump back in the pit and scream, move over.

00:27:17.799 --> 00:27:20.259
You fixed the training. You fixed SOP. Maybe

00:27:20.259 --> 00:27:22.599
a step wasn't clear. You treat it like a design

00:27:22.599 --> 00:27:25.619
flaw, not a personnel failure. That is the discipline.

00:27:25.720 --> 00:27:28.079
It's so easy to just take the tool back. Fine,

00:27:28.160 --> 00:27:30.470
I'll do it myself. But that puts you right back

00:27:30.470 --> 00:27:32.769
in the trap. It solves the immediate problem,

00:27:32.890 --> 00:27:35.349
but kills the long -term solution. Right. You

00:27:35.349 --> 00:27:37.609
have to debug the system, not just replace the

00:27:37.609 --> 00:27:40.750
worker with yourself. Okay, step three. Long

00:27:40.750 --> 00:27:43.809
-term positioning. One to two years out. The

00:27:43.809 --> 00:27:46.630
financial reallocation. This is the big picture.

00:27:46.809 --> 00:27:49.730
You need to actually map your time usage. For

00:27:49.730 --> 00:27:53.549
a week. Write down what you do. Be honest. The

00:27:53.549 --> 00:27:57.269
source suggests a target. Shift 15 hours a week.

00:27:57.480 --> 00:27:59.779
Take 15 hours that you used to spend doing manual

00:27:59.779 --> 00:28:03.079
labor scraping, milking, feeding, and move them

00:28:03.079 --> 00:28:06.859
to designer work, repro data analysis, lender

00:28:06.859 --> 00:28:09.980
negotiations, team building meetings, reading

00:28:09.980 --> 00:28:12.359
articles from the bullvine. I like that plug.

00:28:12.519 --> 00:28:14.460
And the ultimate goal is to be able to tell your

00:28:14.460 --> 00:28:17.099
lender exactly what you earn per hour of owner

00:28:17.099 --> 00:28:20.059
work. versus milker work imagine sitting across

00:28:20.059 --> 00:28:22.000
from your banker and saying when i'm in the pit

00:28:22.000 --> 00:28:25.799
milking i save the farm 18 an hour in wages when

00:28:25.799 --> 00:28:28.519
i spend an hour analyzing my repro data and adjusting

00:28:28.519 --> 00:28:32.440
protocols i make the farm 150 an hour in improved

00:28:32.440 --> 00:28:35.920
efficiency that is why i hired a relief milker

00:28:35.920 --> 00:28:38.240
that is a conversation that gets you alone That

00:28:38.240 --> 00:28:39.819
is a conversation that shows you are running

00:28:39.819 --> 00:28:42.039
a business, not just a lifestyle. It changes

00:28:42.039 --> 00:28:44.000
the dynamic completely. You're no longer just

00:28:44.000 --> 00:28:47.259
a farmer. You're a CEO. So to recap, write the

00:28:47.259 --> 00:28:49.960
SOP this week. Do the 30 -day test this quarter

00:28:49.960 --> 00:28:52.819
to prove the system works. Then over the next

00:28:52.819 --> 00:28:56.660
year, aggressively reallocate your time to where

00:28:56.660 --> 00:28:59.759
the real money is. It sounds simple when we lay

00:28:59.759 --> 00:29:01.680
it out like this, but I know it's the hardest

00:29:01.680 --> 00:29:04.420
thing a farmer will ever do. It's fighting decades

00:29:04.420 --> 00:29:06.680
of conditioning. It's fighting the ghost of your

00:29:06.680 --> 00:29:10.259
grandfather telling you to work harder, not smarter.

00:29:10.539 --> 00:29:14.019
It is. But as the source says, 10 years from

00:29:14.019 --> 00:29:16.519
now, the herd still standing will be owned by

00:29:16.519 --> 00:29:18.200
the people who stopped pretending they were the

00:29:18.200 --> 00:29:20.299
machine and started acting like the designer.

00:29:20.460 --> 00:29:22.859
More Steve Jobs, less hired Milker in chief.

00:29:23.039 --> 00:29:24.859
Exactly. You know, one thing we didn't touch

00:29:24.859 --> 00:29:27.339
on, but the source hints at, is the legacy aspect

00:29:27.339 --> 00:29:29.559
of this whole thing. Oh, I mean. The article

00:29:29.559 --> 00:29:32.019
mentions ensuring the farm is a life the next

00:29:32.019 --> 00:29:34.500
generation wants, not just a job they are obligated

00:29:34.500 --> 00:29:37.079
to take over. That is profound. If your kids

00:29:37.079 --> 00:29:39.740
see you grinding 80 hours a week, looking miserable,

00:29:39.940 --> 00:29:42.480
exhausted, never making it to their ball games

00:29:42.480 --> 00:29:45.640
because you have to milk, why on earth would

00:29:45.640 --> 00:29:47.500
they want to take that over? They won't. They'll

00:29:47.500 --> 00:29:49.039
go work for a tech company. They'll go find a

00:29:49.039 --> 00:29:51.579
job that gives them weekends off and a 401k.

00:29:51.880 --> 00:29:54.319
But if they see you managing a system, building

00:29:54.319 --> 00:29:57.900
a team, having a life outside the farm, suddenly

00:29:57.900 --> 00:30:00.240
taking over the farm looks like a pretty good

00:30:00.240 --> 00:30:03.619
career. It looks like an opportunity, not a prison

00:30:03.619 --> 00:30:06.430
sentence. So you aren't just designing the dairy

00:30:06.430 --> 00:30:08.730
for your bank account today. You're designing

00:30:08.730 --> 00:30:11.130
it for your succession plan tomorrow. Exactly.

00:30:11.190 --> 00:30:13.630
You're designing a business that is actually

00:30:13.630 --> 00:30:16.509
transferable. You can't transfer your own work

00:30:16.509 --> 00:30:19.430
ethic to your kid. You can't pass down your ability

00:30:19.430 --> 00:30:22.829
to work 80 hours a week. But you can transfer

00:30:22.829 --> 00:30:25.250
a system. That is the aha moment for me right

00:30:25.250 --> 00:30:27.769
there. You can't transfer hustle. You can only

00:30:27.769 --> 00:30:29.809
transfer systems. Put that on a bumper sticker.

00:30:30.009 --> 00:30:32.170
I think we will. So looking at all of this, the

00:30:32.170 --> 00:30:36.549
988 hours, the $24 ,000, the gilts, where do

00:30:36.549 --> 00:30:39.109
you land? Is the industry ready for this shift?

00:30:39.369 --> 00:30:41.750
I think the industry doesn't have a choice. Margins

00:30:41.750 --> 00:30:44.049
are getting tighter. Labor is getting harder

00:30:44.049 --> 00:30:47.089
to find and more expensive. The lone wolf model

00:30:47.089 --> 00:30:50.130
is going extinct. It worked in 1990. It doesn't

00:30:50.130 --> 00:30:53.450
work in 2026. I agree. The romantic image of

00:30:53.450 --> 00:30:55.849
the farmer doing it all is. It's a nice story.

00:30:55.950 --> 00:30:58.190
It makes for a good country song. But it's a

00:30:58.190 --> 00:30:59.990
business liability. It's a massive liability,

00:31:00.170 --> 00:31:02.630
and the data proves it, from Ireland to New York.

00:31:02.869 --> 00:31:04.410
Well, I think that gives our listeners plenty

00:31:04.410 --> 00:31:07.029
to chew on while they, well, hopefully, while

00:31:07.029 --> 00:31:08.750
they aren't milking, but maybe while they're

00:31:08.750 --> 00:31:10.369
checking their repro chart. Or while they're

00:31:10.369 --> 00:31:13.450
writing that one -page SOP. There you go. All

00:31:13.450 --> 00:31:15.579
right, let's wrap this up. We've covered the

00:31:15.579 --> 00:31:18.400
myth of the lone wolf, the 988 -hour efficiency

00:31:18.400 --> 00:31:21.880
gap, the real cost of a low pregnancy rate, the

00:31:21.880 --> 00:31:24.599
lessons from Jim Kirk and Wayside Dairy, and

00:31:24.599 --> 00:31:27.420
the trap of the guilt machine robot. A full menu

00:31:27.420 --> 00:31:30.259
today. A lot to think about. A full deep dive.

00:31:30.579 --> 00:31:33.039
This has been another Bullvine Podcast from the

00:31:33.039 --> 00:31:35.940
Bullvine Podcast. If you are ready to stop soldering

00:31:35.940 --> 00:31:38.140
circuits or milking cows when you should be managing

00:31:38.140 --> 00:31:42.039
and start designing your berry, head to www .thebullvine

00:31:42.039 --> 00:31:44.460
.com for more straight -talking industry analysis.

00:31:44.960 --> 00:31:47.779
Subscribe wherever you get podcasts. We're out

00:31:47.779 --> 00:31:50.599
with new episodes every day. And remember, the

00:31:50.599 --> 00:31:53.559
most profitable tool on the farm might just be

00:31:53.559 --> 00:31:56.599
the one between your ears. Use it. Thanks for

00:31:56.599 --> 00:31:56.799
listening.
