WEBVTT

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Breaking free from the chains of the past Where

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truth moves faster than a Holstein calf No law

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waiting on some printed page We're charting new

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ground in the digital age From genomic codes

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to robot facts We cut through the noise, no hold

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them back not your daddy's dairy news tonight

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we're sparking Welcome back to the Bullvine Podcast,

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the home for real stories from the people shaping

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the dairy industry. I'm Sarah, and I'm really

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glad you're here with us. And I'm Jake. Yeah,

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it's good to be back. You know, usually when

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we start a deep dive... We're ready to get into

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the weeds on the technical stuff. Oh, absolutely.

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Spend so much time talking about milk price volatility

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or breaking down the latest genomic proofs or

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debating the pros and cons of robotic milking

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versus rotaries. Right. We focus on the inputs

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and the outputs, the mechanics of the industry.

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Yeah. The spreadsheets. The spreadsheets. Exactly.

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But today. Today is going to be different. Today

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isn't about milk prices or genetics. We have

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a story here that, quite frankly, it stopped

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us in our tracks. It really did. It's a story

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about community, about sudden loss, and about

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what happens when the machinery of a farm keeps

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running, but the people just vanish. And I think

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for anyone listening, it doesn't matter if you're

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milking 50 cows or 5 ,000, this conversation

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is going to hit on a fear that... every single

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producer has tucked away in the back of their

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mind. We spend all this time planning for risks,

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you know, weather, markets, disease protocols.

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But this, this is a different kind of risk. It

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really is. It's the human risk. This is the kind

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of conversation that reminds you why you got

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into dairy in the first place. And it's not for

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the easy days. Anyone can look good when the

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sun is shining and the corn is chopping well

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and the tank is full. It is about how we show

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up. How we show up on the hard ones. That's so

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well said. And just to give everyone the context,

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this story takes place in Lovington, New Mexico.

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But, and this is so crucial, as we go through

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this, I want you to realize this could be any

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road in Wisconsin. It could be a valley in Vermont.

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It could be a concession road in Ontario. The

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zip code doesn't matter. Not at all. The coordinates

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don't matter as much as the reality of what happens

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inside that barn. So let's unpack this. I want

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to take you to a very specific moment. June 4th.

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2025. Outlook Dairy in Lovington, New Mexico.

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June 4th. A Tuesday. A Tuesday. And you have

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to picture the scene. The sources describe it

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as just a normal Tuesday. The morning started

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hot and dry, which is pretty typical for that

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part of the country. And if you closed your eyes

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and just stood in the parlor at, say, 8 a .m.,

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you'd hear all those sounds of a dairy humming.

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The rhythm. Yes, the rhythm. The hoses hissing,

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the units clanking, the vacuum pumps running.

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It's a constant. It's a rhythm. You know that

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sound. It tells you everything's okay. It does.

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And over the top of it, that mix of Spanish and

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English chatter, it's the sound of a team working

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together. It's really the sound of productivity.

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It's the heartbeat of the operation. I mean,

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you know things are going well just by the pitch

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of that noise. If it's rhythmic, if it's steady,

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you're making milk. You're making milk. It's

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a machine made of people. But then... In a heartbeat.

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In just a moment, everything shifts. The crisis

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point. Homeland Security investigations, HSI

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trucks come down the lane. And this wasn't like

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a small check -in. This wasn't a paperwork audit.

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No. By the end of the day, 11 workers are in

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custody. But here is the kicker. And this is

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where the numbers. They just get scary. An employment

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audit that was tied to the raid forces the owner,

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Isaac Bowles, to fire 24 more people. On the

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spot. OK, let's just let's just pause on that

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for a second. We really need to feel the weight

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of those numbers because it's so easy to just

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hear 11 arrested and kind of move on. Break it

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down for us. What does that actually look like

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on the ground? We are talking about a workforce

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of 55 people. That's the total crew. The whole

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operation. The whole thing. Milkers, pushers,

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feeders, calf managers, you name it. In the span

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of a few hours, I mean, before the sun even goes

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down, 35 of them are gone. 30 -guy. That is nearly

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two -thirds of the entire workforce. 64%. 64%.

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Wow. Imagine running any business. I don't care

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if it's a factory, a restaurant, a trauma center,

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and you lose 64 % of your staff before the shift

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change. Can't function. You don't just slow down.

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You crash. You stop. It's catastrophic. And the

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quote from Isaac Bowles in the source material

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is, it's just chilling. He said, milk production

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didn't just slow down. It effectively ceased.

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Ceased. You never, ever want to hear that word

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associated with a dairy. A dairy is a continuous

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flow biological system. Ceased implies a stoppage

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that, you know, biology doesn't allow for. And

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that just sets up this massive curiosity gap

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for us. Oh, yeah. How do you milk thousands of

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cows when 64 percent of your team disappears

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before sunset? Who is less standing in the barn?

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And maybe even bigger, what happens to a town

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when 35 families are suddenly completely in crisis?

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Because the cows don't know the workers are gone.

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The biology is just, it's relentless. It doesn't

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care about federal agencies. Before we get into

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the scramble to survive, you know, how I think

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we really need to understand what was lost. We

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need the origin story, so to speak, because this

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wasn't just some faceless industrial site. No,

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and that's a critical point the sources make.

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This was a community. It wasn't just a workplace.

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So let's talk about the before. Who were these

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35 people? Well, you know, there's a misconception

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sometimes, especially outside our industry, that

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farm labor is transient. Right, that they're

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just passing through. That it's people passing

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through, drifting from state to state, working

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a season and moving on. But these workers at

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Outlook Dairy, that wasn't the case at all. They

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had put down roots. They were neighbors. Exactly.

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I mean, their kids were in the local schools.

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They were shopping at the local grocery stores.

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They were part of the actual fabric of Lovington.

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They weren't strangers living in the shadows.

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They were the people you stood next to in line

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at the gas station or saw at the Little League

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game. The sources mentioned that local advocates

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pointed this out. They said they contributed

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to our economy and enriched our culture. These

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were co -workers. They were friends. And if you

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connect that to the listener's experience. Just,

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you know, think about your own crew. Think about

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those key people who have been with you for 5,

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10, maybe 15 years. The ones you trust implicitly.

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Yeah. The ones you don't even have to talk to,

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you just give them a look. Right. The guy who

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manages the maternity pen, he knows the cows

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better than the owner does half the time. Oh,

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for sure. He knows which cow is feeling off just

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by the way she walks into the parlor. He knows

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that cow 4E052 kicks with her left leg if you

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don't talk to her first. That kind of institutional

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knowledge. Yeah. It's invaluable. You can't buy

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it. It's not just labor. That's the key thing.

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It's skill. It's intuition. You can't just replace

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that with a warm body. That knowledge lives in

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their heads. And when you have that level of

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integration where the guy milking your cows is

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also the guy you see at the football game on

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Friday night, you get this illusion of stability.

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What do you mean by that? An illusion of stability?

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You just get the feeling that it won't happen

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here. You know, the coffee shop talk is familiar.

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Everyone knows everyone. And you just assume

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the system will keep holding together because,

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well, because it has to. Right. It's always worked

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before. It's always worked. We all know the immigration

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system is broken. We know the labor situation

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is fragile. But day to day, you just assume the

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sun will come up and the crew will show up. It's

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the normalization of a very fragile system. Precisely.

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You build your whole life around it. You build

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your business on it until the trucks pull in.

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Let's go right to that turning point. The raid

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itself. The day everything changed. The emotional

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shock described in the sources is just so intense.

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Isaac Bell's the owner. He emphasized that the

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dairy itself wasn't charged, but that the employees

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had false documents. Put yourself in that moment.

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I can't even. You're a farmer. The audit happens.

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You have 11 people arrested, literally taken

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away in vans. And then you're told you have to

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fire 24 more. Immediately. Think about the impossible

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position that puts a business owner in. First,

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the human side of it. Firing people you've worked

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with for years. People you care about. Yeah.

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But then let's just talk about the biological

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reality. The cows. The cows. They don't stop

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making milk just because the labor is gone. It's

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not like turning off a machine on a factory line

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and say, OK, we'll start it up tomorrow. No.

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Their udders are filling up every single hour.

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The pressure is building. They need feed pushed

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up. They need water drops cleaned. They need

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sand beds raked. The whole system is alive. It's

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just the impossible math, isn't it? 55 people

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were doing that work, and now fewer than 20 remain.

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It is physically impossible to do the same job.

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Isaac Boss said, and this quote sticks with me,

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it takes 100 % of the labor force. It's detrimental

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for our cattle. We're barely able to keep going.

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Detrimental for our cattle. I mean, that is a

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gut punch for any producer to have to admit.

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It breaks your heart because as farmers, animal

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welfare is the absolute priority. You know, it's

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deeper than just being late for milking. Tell

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me more about that. What happens biologically

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in that situation? Okay, so we have to talk about

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the neurohormonal loop. This is critical. Milk

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letdown isn't just a mechanical process. It's

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hormonal. It relies on a hormone called oxytocin.

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And oxytocin relies on a calm, consistent, predictable

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environment. Cows are creatures of extreme habit.

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They know the sounds of specific workers. They

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know the routine. They know the timing. So when

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the entire routine shatters. When the parlor

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goes silent. Or, you know what, even worse, when

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it's filled with the sounds of chaos and panic

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and strange voices, the cows get stressed. Their

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cortisol levels, the stress hormone, they spike.

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And cortisol directly blocks oxytocin. So even

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if you manage to get a unit on a cow, she might

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not let her milk down. She holds it up. She holds

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up. And now you've got a huge problem. You have

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residual milk left in the other. That is a perfect

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breeding ground for bacteria. So your SEC count

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just skyrockets. Your somatic cell count goes

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through the roof. You're inviting mastitis into

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the herd. The machine doesn't just stop. It starts

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to... self -destruct biologically that is the

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absolute nightmare isaac boss was looking at

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it wasn't just we are late it was we are actively

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damaging the herd maybe permanently can you just

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i mean can you imagine the sound in that barn

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as the afternoon wears on it wouldn't be silent

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that's the thing people might not realize it

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would be deafeningly loud Really? You'd have

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thousands of cows bellowing because they're full

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of milk, they're uncomfortable, and they're completely

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off schedule. It's a sound of distress. It's

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a sound that makes the hair on the back of your

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neck stand up. And the sun is going down. And

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you have 20 people left to do the work of 55.

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So how did they possibly get through it? Let's

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talk about the journey through. Because they

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didn't just walk away. They couldn't. No, you

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can't. This is where the story gets incredibly

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real. And frankly... It gets gritty. This isn't

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the, you know, the Disney version of farming

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where everyone pulls together with a song. This

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is the all hands on deck, brutal reality. What

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did that actually look like day to day? Well,

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it wasn't pretty. It wasn't a cavalry of trained

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professional relief milkers riding in to save

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the day. It was literally whoever was left. The

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sources mention the office staff. Yeah. I mean,

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can you picture that? The people who usually

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handle the phones, the payroll, the compliance

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paperwork. Suddenly they're taking off their

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office shoes and pulling on a pair of muck boots

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that might not even fit. People who maybe haven't

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been in a pit in years or maybe ever. Or ever.

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And you had high school students. High school

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students on summer break. Local high school kids.

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Instead of hanging out at the pool or playing

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video games, they are in a milking parlor in

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the middle of a crisis. You mentioned earlier

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that we shouldn't romanticize this moment. We

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absolutely cannot. A modern milking parlor is

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an industrial site. It is loud. It is wet. It

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is slippery. You have heavy steel gates swinging

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around. And huge animals. And you have 1500 pound

00:12:47.409 --> 00:12:49.549
animals that are already stressed out and unpredictable

00:12:49.549 --> 00:12:52.110
because their entire routine has been broken.

00:12:52.350 --> 00:12:54.809
And you put a 16 year old who maybe has never

00:12:54.809 --> 00:12:57.570
been in a pit before into that environment. You

00:12:57.570 --> 00:13:00.820
do. Because you have no other choice. But think

00:13:00.820 --> 00:13:03.159
about the danger. Think about the physical fatigue.

00:13:03.620 --> 00:13:06.500
These kids, the office staff, they aren't just

00:13:06.500 --> 00:13:09.139
working a nice little four -hour shift. They

00:13:09.139 --> 00:13:12.919
are grinding. They are running on pure adrenaline.

00:13:13.320 --> 00:13:15.480
And that kind of exhaustion, it just inevitably

00:13:15.480 --> 00:13:18.379
leads to mistakes. It has to. It's human nature.

00:13:18.779 --> 00:13:20.740
When you are running on adrenaline and no sleep

00:13:20.740 --> 00:13:23.080
for days on end, your reaction time slows down.

00:13:23.139 --> 00:13:25.580
Your judgment gets cloudy. That's when accidents

00:13:25.580 --> 00:13:27.559
happen. That's when you get kicked. That's when

00:13:27.559 --> 00:13:29.860
a gate smashes a finger. And that's when the

00:13:29.860 --> 00:13:32.200
animal care, despite your best intentions, starts

00:13:32.200 --> 00:13:34.799
to slip. The sources were very honest about that

00:13:34.799 --> 00:13:37.419
part of it. And I really appreciate that honesty,

00:13:37.700 --> 00:13:40.019
because if you try to paint a picture where everything

00:13:40.019 --> 00:13:42.320
was perfect and no balls were dropped, nobody

00:13:42.320 --> 00:13:44.850
in the industry believes you for a second. When

00:13:44.850 --> 00:13:48.330
you are that tired, you miss things. A cow with

00:13:48.330 --> 00:13:50.870
a full quarter, maybe she has mastitis starting,

00:13:50.950 --> 00:13:53.289
she gets missed. A calf that looks a little dull

00:13:53.289 --> 00:13:55.450
-eyed in the hutch doesn't get flagged because

00:13:55.450 --> 00:13:57.309
you're rushing to get formula into the next one.

00:13:57.409 --> 00:14:00.070
It's not negligence, it's... It's triage. It's

00:14:00.070 --> 00:14:03.490
triage. That's the perfect word. You stop worrying

00:14:03.490 --> 00:14:06.830
about production targets. You stop looking at

00:14:06.830 --> 00:14:09.450
the nuances of feed efficiency or breeding protocols.

00:14:09.789 --> 00:14:13.110
The entire goal shifts to primal survival. It's

00:14:13.110 --> 00:14:15.750
just keep the animals alive. It sounds like a

00:14:15.750 --> 00:14:18.389
war zone mentality. It is survival mode, pure

00:14:18.389 --> 00:14:20.649
and simple. Just keep the milk flowing enough

00:14:20.649 --> 00:14:22.970
to relieve the pressure on the cows. Dump it

00:14:22.970 --> 00:14:24.490
on the ground if you have to, but get it out

00:14:24.490 --> 00:14:26.549
of the cow. That's goal number one. And this

00:14:26.549 --> 00:14:28.799
just connects to every farmer's nightmare. You

00:14:28.799 --> 00:14:30.240
know, if you've ever had the flu run through

00:14:30.240 --> 00:14:32.480
your family during calving season. Yeah. Or a

00:14:32.480 --> 00:14:36.039
key employee quits without notice. You know that

00:14:36.039 --> 00:14:37.980
panic. You know that feeling in the pit of your

00:14:37.980 --> 00:14:40.700
stomach. Now just take that feeling and multiply

00:14:40.700 --> 00:14:44.840
it by 35. It's just. It's overwhelming. But there

00:14:44.840 --> 00:14:46.919
was another pressure building at the same time,

00:14:46.940 --> 00:14:50.559
wasn't there? This atmosphere of fear. Voss called

00:14:50.559 --> 00:14:52.980
it the intimidating effect. And it didn't just

00:14:52.980 --> 00:14:55.639
affect Outlaw Dairy. It rippled through the entire

00:14:55.639 --> 00:14:58.279
community. We see this in stories from Vermont

00:14:58.279 --> 00:15:00.659
and New York and Wisconsin, too. It's a known

00:15:00.659 --> 00:15:04.700
phenomenon. When a raid like this happens, the

00:15:04.700 --> 00:15:09.340
immigrant community shrinks. They go underground.

00:15:10.279 --> 00:15:12.059
What does that actually look like in practice

00:15:12.059 --> 00:15:14.360
outside the barn? It looks like a ghost town.

00:15:14.539 --> 00:15:17.059
It looks like empty pews at church on Sunday

00:15:17.059 --> 00:15:19.100
because people are afraid to drive down the main

00:15:19.100 --> 00:15:21.320
road. It looks like the waiting room at the local

00:15:21.320 --> 00:15:23.460
clinic is empty because people are skipping doctor

00:15:23.460 --> 00:15:25.919
appointments for themselves or their kids. Because

00:15:25.919 --> 00:15:28.279
just leaving the perceived safety of the farm

00:15:28.279 --> 00:15:31.279
feels like a massive risk. The fear that leaving

00:15:31.279 --> 00:15:34.659
the farm means ending up in a patrol car. I mean,

00:15:34.679 --> 00:15:36.580
think about the parents not going to their kid's

00:15:36.580 --> 00:15:38.480
school play or a parent -teacher conference because

00:15:38.480 --> 00:15:41.299
they're terrified of being seen. The emotional

00:15:41.299 --> 00:15:45.019
resonance of that is. It's just profound. You

00:15:45.019 --> 00:15:47.649
have children who are. Unsure where their parents

00:15:47.649 --> 00:15:50.309
are, you have families who are afraid to ask

00:15:50.309 --> 00:15:52.970
for help because asking for help means being

00:15:52.970 --> 00:15:56.049
seen and being seen is dangerous. It creates

00:15:56.049 --> 00:15:58.330
this invisible crisis that's running parallel

00:15:58.330 --> 00:16:00.850
to the very visible one in the barn. So you have

00:16:00.850 --> 00:16:03.450
the cows billowing on one side and this terrified

00:16:03.450 --> 00:16:05.730
silence in the homes on the other. Both happening

00:16:05.730 --> 00:16:08.990
at once. And the farm owner, Isaac Boss, is somehow

00:16:08.990 --> 00:16:10.830
trying to navigate both of those things at the

00:16:10.830 --> 00:16:14.279
same time. But then... Something shifted. There

00:16:14.279 --> 00:16:16.059
was a breakthrough. And this is the part of the

00:16:16.059 --> 00:16:18.179
story that, I don't know, it just gets me. This

00:16:18.179 --> 00:16:20.399
is the part that separates the story from just

00:16:20.399 --> 00:16:22.899
being another tragedy. It wasn't a policy change

00:16:22.899 --> 00:16:24.740
that saved them. It wasn't some government rescue

00:16:24.740 --> 00:16:27.860
program. No, the cavalry wasn't federal agents

00:16:27.860 --> 00:16:30.120
coming back to help. It was the neighbors. When

00:16:30.120 --> 00:16:32.000
neighbors became family. That's really what happened.

00:16:32.159 --> 00:16:34.679
Talk about that neighbor moment. How does that

00:16:34.679 --> 00:16:37.360
actually work? Because. I mean, your neighbors,

00:16:37.440 --> 00:16:39.120
they have their own cows to milk. They have their

00:16:39.120 --> 00:16:41.559
own farms to run. That's the thing. It's not

00:16:41.559 --> 00:16:43.299
like they were sitting around with nothing to

00:16:43.299 --> 00:16:45.720
do waiting for a crisis. It started with text

00:16:45.720 --> 00:16:48.460
messages. You know how news travels in farm country?

00:16:48.679 --> 00:16:51.080
Oh, yeah. It travels faster than fiber optics.

00:16:51.440 --> 00:16:54.179
Before sunrise the next day, the phones are blowing

00:16:54.179 --> 00:16:56.299
up. Did you hear? How bad is it? What do you

00:16:56.299 --> 00:16:58.879
need? And then they didn't just ask. They showed

00:16:58.879 --> 00:17:01.500
up. They showed up. But you have to think about

00:17:01.500 --> 00:17:03.830
the logistics of that help. It's incredible.

00:17:03.970 --> 00:17:06.849
You have a neighbor who runs a dairy five miles

00:17:06.849 --> 00:17:10.009
down the road. He has to milk his own cows first.

00:17:10.150 --> 00:17:13.009
Of course. So he gets up an hour early. He pushes

00:17:13.009 --> 00:17:15.490
his own crew, who are probably also scared, by

00:17:15.490 --> 00:17:18.150
the way. He finishes his own chores. And then

00:17:18.150 --> 00:17:20.849
he drives over to Outlook Dairy to start a second

00:17:20.849 --> 00:17:23.779
shift for free. That is just, it's exhaustion

00:17:23.779 --> 00:17:26.759
on top of exhaustion. It is. You had nutritionists

00:17:26.759 --> 00:17:28.900
and vets swinging by early in the morning, not

00:17:28.900 --> 00:17:31.319
to consult, but to put on boots and scrape alleys.

00:17:31.359 --> 00:17:33.880
These are highly paid professionals doing manual

00:17:33.880 --> 00:17:36.240
labor because it needed to be done. And the teens

00:17:36.240 --> 00:17:39.000
you mentioned earlier. The local kids choosing

00:17:39.000 --> 00:17:41.559
to work in the middle of a crisis rather than

00:17:41.559 --> 00:17:44.099
scroll on their phones. I mean, that tells you

00:17:44.099 --> 00:17:46.099
something powerful about the character of that

00:17:46.099 --> 00:17:48.380
place. And it wasn't just labor, was it? The

00:17:48.380 --> 00:17:50.900
help came in other forms, too. These little acts

00:17:50.900 --> 00:17:53.720
of kindness. The stuff that actually keeps you

00:17:53.720 --> 00:17:56.740
going mentally when you want to quit. Plates

00:17:56.740 --> 00:17:59.240
of food left at back doors. You know, the classic,

00:17:59.319 --> 00:18:01.759
we made too much excuse so nobody has to feel

00:18:01.759 --> 00:18:03.880
like a charity case. Oh, I just happened to bake

00:18:03.880 --> 00:18:06.279
three lasagnas today. Exactly. Here, take this.

00:18:06.319 --> 00:18:10.039
I don't want it to go to waste. It's a way of

00:18:10.039 --> 00:18:12.839
helping that preserves dignity. You had people

00:18:12.839 --> 00:18:15.140
giving rides into town for families who were

00:18:15.140 --> 00:18:18.259
too scared to drive themselves. You had envelopes

00:18:18.259 --> 00:18:20.400
of cash being passed quietly at church for the

00:18:20.400 --> 00:18:22.640
families who instantly lost all of their income.

00:18:22.900 --> 00:18:25.220
It was the community's way of saying, we see

00:18:25.220 --> 00:18:27.680
you, you're not alone. Exactly. And then you

00:18:27.680 --> 00:18:30.039
had the town hall meeting in Hobbs, New Mexico.

00:18:30.400 --> 00:18:32.200
Right. And this wasn't just a small gathering.

00:18:32.460 --> 00:18:34.799
The governor, Michelle Illusion Grisham, was

00:18:34.799 --> 00:18:37.359
there. Church leaders, school staff, this wasn't

00:18:37.359 --> 00:18:39.480
just an ag meeting. This was the whole community

00:18:39.480 --> 00:18:41.849
coming together. And the questions they were

00:18:41.849 --> 00:18:44.589
asking weren't about economics, were they? No.

00:18:44.789 --> 00:18:47.750
And that is so key. They weren't asking about

00:18:47.750 --> 00:18:50.910
tariffs or milk futures or the price of feed.

00:18:51.109 --> 00:18:53.789
They were asking human questions. They were asking,

00:18:53.849 --> 00:18:56.170
what happens to the kids? What happens to the

00:18:56.170 --> 00:18:58.529
grocery store if these families leave? It's the

00:18:58.529 --> 00:19:01.269
realization that the dairy isn't an island. It's

00:19:01.269 --> 00:19:03.509
connected to everything. The community realized

00:19:03.509 --> 00:19:05.109
they weren't just a collection of businesses

00:19:05.109 --> 00:19:07.730
coexisting next to each other. They were a single

00:19:07.730 --> 00:19:10.299
lifeline for one another. If the dairy falls,

00:19:10.619 --> 00:19:12.859
the grocery store hurts. If the workers vanish,

00:19:13.140 --> 00:19:16.420
the schools feel it. If the families leave, the

00:19:16.420 --> 00:19:18.920
church closes. That is such a powerful pivot

00:19:18.920 --> 00:19:21.640
to go from their problem to our problem. Our

00:19:21.640 --> 00:19:23.759
problem. That is the only way a community survives

00:19:23.759 --> 00:19:25.839
something like this. So let's zoom out for a

00:19:25.839 --> 00:19:27.779
minute. We've looked at the micro at what happened

00:19:27.779 --> 00:19:30.160
at Outlook Dairy. We've looked at the fear and

00:19:30.160 --> 00:19:32.500
the incredible community response. But we need

00:19:32.500 --> 00:19:34.920
to talk about the ripple effect. Because this

00:19:34.920 --> 00:19:37.880
goes so far beyond one farm in New Mexico. We

00:19:37.880 --> 00:19:40.329
have to. We have to connect this to the bigger

00:19:40.329 --> 00:19:42.369
picture, because if you're listening to this

00:19:42.369 --> 00:19:44.569
in Idaho or Pennsylvania or Wisconsin, you need

00:19:44.569 --> 00:19:47.109
to understand what this means for you. So what

00:19:47.109 --> 00:19:50.170
is the industry -wide reality here? The data

00:19:50.170 --> 00:19:54.200
is stark. It's really not up for debate. 51 %

00:19:54.200 --> 00:19:56.920
of all U .S. dairy labor is immigrant labor.

00:19:57.099 --> 00:19:59.359
Over half the workforce. Over half. And here's

00:19:59.359 --> 00:20:03.000
the even more critical number. 79 % of the country's

00:20:03.000 --> 00:20:05.460
milk comes from these farms that employ immigrant

00:20:05.460 --> 00:20:08.279
labor. Nearly 80 % of the entire milk supply

00:20:08.279 --> 00:20:11.740
relies on this workforce. Yes. The NMPF, that's

00:20:11.740 --> 00:20:14.039
the National Milk Producers Federation, they've

00:20:14.039 --> 00:20:15.759
done the modeling on this. They've run the numbers.

00:20:15.900 --> 00:20:18.500
They predict that losing this labor force would

00:20:18.500 --> 00:20:22.779
close. 7 ,000 dairy farms. 7 ,000 farms. And

00:20:22.779 --> 00:20:24.799
it would double retail milk prices for consumers.

00:20:25.059 --> 00:20:27.140
Double the price of milk. I mean, that hits every

00:20:27.140 --> 00:20:30.019
single consumer in the country. That changes

00:20:30.019 --> 00:20:32.559
the grocery bill for every single family. We've

00:20:32.559 --> 00:20:35.500
all seen the models, you know, milk prices jumping

00:20:35.500 --> 00:20:38.579
to $6 or $8 a gallon. That's the macroeconomic

00:20:38.579 --> 00:20:42.259
data. But I want to drill down even deeper. For

00:20:42.259 --> 00:20:44.799
the guy or gal listening in the tractor cab right

00:20:44.799 --> 00:20:47.619
now, there's a stat that matters even more than

00:20:47.619 --> 00:20:50.190
the price of milk. OK, what is that? It's the

00:20:50.190 --> 00:20:52.650
replacement lag. Replacement lag. Explain that.

00:20:52.769 --> 00:20:55.490
If you lose your experienced crew today, you

00:20:55.490 --> 00:20:57.710
don't just lose labor hours. That's not the real

00:20:57.710 --> 00:20:59.910
loss. You lose that institutional memory we talked

00:20:59.910 --> 00:21:03.500
about earlier. It takes what? Three months to

00:21:03.500 --> 00:21:06.220
fully train a new milker to consistently spot

00:21:06.220 --> 00:21:09.339
subclinical mastitis before it flares up. Six

00:21:09.339 --> 00:21:12.079
months for a new feeder to really learn the quirks

00:21:12.079 --> 00:21:14.539
of your mixer wagon so he doesn't waste thousands

00:21:14.539 --> 00:21:17.299
of dollars in feed. So even if you somehow hired

00:21:17.299 --> 00:21:19.880
35 people the very next morning. Even if you

00:21:19.880 --> 00:21:23.420
had 35 eager, qualified people standing there

00:21:23.420 --> 00:21:25.680
at sunrise, which let's be clear, you absolutely

00:21:25.680 --> 00:21:27.859
won't. You are still broken. Your farm is broken

00:21:27.859 --> 00:21:31.000
for at least a year. That's the nuance that the

00:21:31.000 --> 00:21:34.319
double milk price headline always misses. It's

00:21:34.319 --> 00:21:36.460
the efficiency dry. It's the efficiency dry.

00:21:36.559 --> 00:21:38.819
You bleed out slowly from the loss of skill.

00:21:39.059 --> 00:21:41.240
Because the new guy doesn't know that Cal Forte

00:21:41.240 --> 00:21:43.220
for two kicks with her left leg. Exactly. So

00:21:43.220 --> 00:21:45.359
she kicks off the unit. She doesn't get milked

00:21:45.359 --> 00:21:48.559
out properly. She gets mastitis. You treat her.

00:21:48.660 --> 00:21:50.519
You lose the milk. Maybe you lose the quarter.

00:21:51.150 --> 00:21:53.869
Maybe you lose the cow. That is the ripple effect

00:21:53.869 --> 00:21:57.230
in action. It's the thousands of these tiny microefficiencies

00:21:57.230 --> 00:22:00.329
that vanish instantly. And there's a human ripple

00:22:00.329 --> 00:22:02.630
effect to just knowing this is possible, isn't

00:22:02.630 --> 00:22:05.369
there? The mental load on other farmers. Oh,

00:22:05.549 --> 00:22:08.769
the 3 .0 a .m. stare at the ceiling. The worry.

00:22:09.029 --> 00:22:12.289
The worry. If you are a farmer in Wisconsin or

00:22:12.289 --> 00:22:14.170
New York and you're watching this news, you're

00:22:14.170 --> 00:22:17.769
thinking, am I next? It adds a layer of anxiety

00:22:17.769 --> 00:22:20.349
to an already stressful job. And you have to

00:22:20.349 --> 00:22:22.609
think about the spouse. And let's be honest,

00:22:22.750 --> 00:22:24.549
it's often the wife on the farm who's balancing

00:22:24.549 --> 00:22:26.390
the payroll, who's managing crisis communications,

00:22:26.789 --> 00:22:29.150
who's carrying the emotional weight of a terrified

00:22:29.150 --> 00:22:31.470
crew. It is a heavy, heavy burden. I've seen

00:22:31.470 --> 00:22:34.329
it a hundred times. The spouse is often the shock

00:22:34.329 --> 00:22:36.589
absorber for the entire operation. They absorb

00:22:36.589 --> 00:22:38.529
the fear from the employees, the stress from

00:22:38.529 --> 00:22:40.069
their husband, the questions from the community.

00:22:40.250 --> 00:22:43.819
It burns people out. It's a universal truth,

00:22:43.960 --> 00:22:46.740
isn't it? This isn't a New Mexico problem. It's

00:22:46.740 --> 00:22:49.119
a vulnerability baked into the system everywhere.

00:22:49.500 --> 00:22:51.779
The Bullvines' own reporting on this called it

00:22:51.779 --> 00:22:54.799
a stark preview. And that's exactly what it is.

00:22:54.880 --> 00:22:57.019
It's a trailer for a movie that nobody wants

00:22:57.019 --> 00:22:59.299
to see. OK, so what does this all mean for the

00:22:59.299 --> 00:23:02.000
listener? We've walked through the crisis, the

00:23:02.000 --> 00:23:04.660
survival, the community response. But if I'm

00:23:04.660 --> 00:23:06.359
sitting in my tractor cab right now listening

00:23:06.359 --> 00:23:09.890
to all this, what do I do with it? It could feel

00:23:09.890 --> 00:23:12.430
a little helpless. Right. You might be thinking,

00:23:12.470 --> 00:23:14.430
that's terrible, but I'm in Wisconsin, so what

00:23:14.430 --> 00:23:17.109
can I actually do? Exactly. So let's make this

00:23:17.109 --> 00:23:19.509
practical. I want to pose a challenge, a kind

00:23:19.509 --> 00:23:21.210
of thought experiment for everyone listening.

00:23:21.470 --> 00:23:24.049
I call it the who would you call challenge. Go

00:23:24.049 --> 00:23:26.349
on. It comes down to insight and preparation.

00:23:26.950 --> 00:23:30.730
The big lesson here is don't wait for the crisis

00:23:30.730 --> 00:23:33.190
to build the relationship. So I want you to ask

00:23:33.190 --> 00:23:35.930
yourself two questions today, right now. So question

00:23:35.930 --> 00:23:39.349
one. If half my crew vanished tomorrow, Just

00:23:39.349 --> 00:23:42.170
like that, poof, gone. Who are the first three

00:23:42.170 --> 00:23:44.190
people I would call? The first three. And you

00:23:44.190 --> 00:23:46.710
don't mean your lawyer or your banker? No, not

00:23:46.710 --> 00:23:49.309
your lawyer. Who would I call to help me physically

00:23:49.309 --> 00:23:52.029
milk the cows? Who would I call to help me feed

00:23:52.029 --> 00:23:55.109
the calves? Do I even have three names? That's

00:23:55.109 --> 00:23:57.230
a really scary question for a lot of people to

00:23:57.230 --> 00:23:59.529
answer, honestly. It exposes your isolation.

00:24:00.190 --> 00:24:02.769
If you can't name three people, you have some

00:24:02.769 --> 00:24:05.009
work to do, you have relationship building to

00:24:05.009 --> 00:24:08.450
do. And question two. Whose call would I answer

00:24:08.450 --> 00:24:11.150
if it happened to them? That's the mirror image

00:24:11.150 --> 00:24:13.349
of the first question, isn't it? That's the mirror.

00:24:13.490 --> 00:24:15.650
If your neighbor called you at four o 'clock

00:24:15.650 --> 00:24:17.609
in the morning and said, they're all gone, I

00:24:17.609 --> 00:24:19.750
can't milk, would you go? Would you get out of

00:24:19.750 --> 00:24:21.529
bed and pull on your boots and drive over there?

00:24:22.190 --> 00:24:25.710
That's profound. It moves it from being a policy

00:24:25.710 --> 00:24:28.549
problem to a personal responsibility. And here's

00:24:28.549 --> 00:24:31.470
some actionable advice to go with it. Tell your

00:24:31.470 --> 00:24:34.569
key people, your family, your long -term staff,

00:24:35.500 --> 00:24:37.440
Tell them today that they matter. Don't assume

00:24:37.440 --> 00:24:39.200
they know it. Build the safety net before you

00:24:39.200 --> 00:24:41.279
need it. Build the safety net before the storm

00:24:41.279 --> 00:24:43.519
hits. Go tell your neighbor, hey, if you ever

00:24:43.519 --> 00:24:45.700
get in a jam, I'm here. I'm a phone call away.

00:24:46.099 --> 00:24:49.160
Make that verbal contract. Because when the HSI

00:24:49.160 --> 00:24:51.740
trucks show up or the tornado hits or the barn

00:24:51.740 --> 00:24:54.539
burns down, that verbal contract is the only

00:24:54.539 --> 00:24:56.559
insurance that actually pays out immediately.

00:24:57.000 --> 00:24:58.819
And what about on the policy side of things?

00:24:59.420 --> 00:25:01.819
When you talk to your representatives, and we

00:25:01.819 --> 00:25:04.680
all should be, don't just talk economics. It's

00:25:04.680 --> 00:25:06.779
easy to fall back on that. Don't just talk about

00:25:06.779 --> 00:25:10.599
milk price margins or class three pricing. Tell

00:25:10.599 --> 00:25:12.660
them the human story. Tell them this story. Tell

00:25:12.660 --> 00:25:14.980
them, here is who milks my cows. Here are their

00:25:14.980 --> 00:25:17.680
names. Here is what happens to my town, to the

00:25:17.680 --> 00:25:19.779
school, to the church, to the grocery store if

00:25:19.779 --> 00:25:23.019
they disappear. You have to make them see the

00:25:23.019 --> 00:25:25.240
people behind the paperwork. Make it real. Make

00:25:25.240 --> 00:25:27.920
it completely undeniable. This has been, well,

00:25:27.960 --> 00:25:30.710
it's been heavy. Yeah. But so important. Very

00:25:30.710 --> 00:25:32.430
important. It's a conversation we have to have.

00:25:32.630 --> 00:25:35.049
As we wrap up this deep dive, I just keep thinking

00:25:35.049 --> 00:25:37.049
about the resilience we've seen in this story.

00:25:37.390 --> 00:25:40.130
That's the word for it. Resilience. But it's

00:25:40.130 --> 00:25:43.170
not the solitary pull yourself up by your bootstraps

00:25:43.170 --> 00:25:46.369
kind of resilience. No, it's communal resilience.

00:25:46.920 --> 00:25:49.299
It's shared. That's another story from the Bullvine

00:25:49.299 --> 00:25:52.059
podcast. These are the people building the future

00:25:52.059 --> 00:25:54.500
of dairy. And today, I think we learned that

00:25:54.500 --> 00:25:57.339
building sometimes just means holding each other

00:25:57.339 --> 00:25:59.480
up when the legs get kicked out from under you.

00:25:59.599 --> 00:26:03.720
That's it exactly. And remember this. The cameras

00:26:03.720 --> 00:26:06.940
left Lovington. The news cycle moved on to the

00:26:06.940 --> 00:26:10.220
next thing. But the neighbors didn't. They stayed.

00:26:10.670 --> 00:26:12.369
That's the part to remember. The neighbors didn't

00:26:12.369 --> 00:26:14.230
leave. You can find more stories that matter

00:26:14.230 --> 00:26:18.730
at www .thebullvine .com. Next time, we're talking

00:26:18.730 --> 00:26:20.789
to a producer who is flipping the script on genetics

00:26:20.789 --> 00:26:23.130
in a way you won't expect. He's turning data

00:26:23.130 --> 00:26:25.609
into dollars in a whole new way. Subscribe so

00:26:25.609 --> 00:26:27.269
you don't miss it. See you then. Take care.
